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Avio

Earnings Release Mar 19, 2021

4127_10-k_2021-03-19_d1e39a72-3896-4cfd-b115-0a60c6426cc9.pdf

Earnings Release

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Avio 2020 Full Year Results

Rome, 19 March 2020

AVIO SpA- All rights reserved – subject to the restrictions of last page.

Disclaimer

This document has been prepared by Avio S.p.A. ("Avio" or the "Company"). This document is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. This document might contain certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Avio's current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Avio to control or estimate. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Avio does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. Any reference to past performance or trends or activities of Avio shall not be taken as a representation or indication that such performance, trends or activities will continue in the future. This document does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy Avio's securities, nor shall the document form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or investment decision relating thereto, or constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of Avio.

This document may not be reproduced, redistributed or published in whole or in part without Avio's authorization.

2020 Highlights – Giulio Ranzo (CEO)

FY 2020 Financials – Alessandro Agosti (CFO)

2021 Outlook – Giulio Ranzo (CEO)

2020 results within guidance, long-term visibility improved

  • 2020 Guidance substantially achieved
  • Heavy non recurring efforts due to COVID-19
  • Vega on the launch pad, getting ready to return to flight
  • New development contracts kicked-off and in progress
  • Improved backlog and cash provide better long-term visibility
  • Dividend distribution securing shareholders' return

FY 2020 results in guidance, backlog and cash better than expected

Data in €-M

Highlights 2020 Results 2020 Guidance
Backlog 736 650-680
Revenues 322 325-345
EBITDA Reported 35.2 34-36
EBITDA Adjusted 43.3 41-43*
Net Income 14.9 16-19
Net Financial Position 62.6 42-46**

*Projected on the EBITDA Reported Guidance plus the indication of €7 M of Non-recurring costs given in September 2020 **Min & Max values of consensus

2020 economics slowed down vs 2019 due to COVID-19, but backlog and cash improved

Data in €-M

Highlights 2020 Results 2019 Results
Backlog 736 669
Revenues 322 369
EBITDA Reported 35.2 42.6
EBITDA Adjusted 43.3 44
Net Income 14.9 27
Net Financial Position 62.6 57.9

*Projected on the EBITDA Reported Guidance plus the indication of €7 M of Non-recurring costs given in September 2020 **Min & Max values of consensus

AVIO SpA- All rights reserved – subject to the restrictions of last page. SOURCE: ESA, Arianespace, Press search

One remarkable success: 53 sats in orbit with SSMS

AVIO SpA- All rights reserved – subject to the restrictions of last page. SOURCE: ESA, Arianespace, Press search

  • Sat mass from 1 to 150 kg
  • Released on two different orbital planes (1st time)
  • Next mission with a SSMS-derived module already on VV18 in April 2021

VV17 anomalies understood, corrective actions defined, return to flight with VV18 underway

Event

At ~8:00 min. (242km altitude) degradation of trajectory observed, thrust vector control stroke anomaly

Root Cause Investigation

  • Integration mistake in the electrical actuation system of the 4th stage (AVUM)
  • Defined corrective actions for return-to-flight

Inquiry Commission Recommendations

  • Full review of quality controls and check procedures
  • Over-inspection for acceptance of flight hardware
  • Longer-term improvement plan agreed
  • VV18 scheduled for April 2020

Return to flight path

  • Launcher Integration started early March
  • Launcher readiness by second half of April

(*) Established on 18 November 2020, chaired by ESA and Arianespace with participation of CNES and Avio SOURCE: Arianespace, ESA

P80

Z23

Z9

AVUM

Ongoing VV18 integration at the CSG in Kourou

AVUM shipping

10 Solid stages already integrated

Development activities progressing with new projects

Vega C Ground Qualification Review Vega E firing test in the USA

Space Rider contract signature

SPTF facility under construction in Sardinia

Vega backlog enriched by CO3D launch contract in December and supported by the Batch 4 signing today

Vega C Batch 4 production kicked-off

  • 10 new Vega C missions for the 2023-26 period
  • European institutional customers (ESA, EC, National Space Agencies)
  • 9 Copernicus satellites launch contracts with Vega C under discussion with the European Commission expected by 2021

New launch contract: CO3D

  • Jointly developed with the French Space Agency (CNES)
  • 50 cm resolution optical earth observation satellites
  • Constellation featuring 4x 300 kg satellites
  • High revisit rate to quickly produce 3D maps of the planet surface
  • Single rideshare Vega C launch to polar orbit at 500 km of altitude

AVIO SpA- All rights reserved – subject to the restrictions of last page. SOURCE: Arianespace, ESA

2020: Secured robust backlog for both Ariane 6 and Vega C Potential upside from a new European constellation

Ariane Backlog: >20 flights Vega Backlog: 8 flights

  • Ariane 5: 8 flights until program ends in 2022-23

  • Ariane 6: >12 flights in backlog until 2025-26 including:

  • 9 EU institutional
  • 5 commercial/Export

~40 Galileo satellites for the EU Commission to be launched by 2030

  • 8 Vega/Vega C flights in backlog until 2023-24:
  • 4 EU Institutional
  • 4 Commercial/Export

~10 Copernicus satellites EU Commission to be launched by 2030 (1 sat x flight)

New EU connectivity constellation under study:

  • EU LEO-based broadband constellation
  • Reliable, secure and cost-effective high-speed communication
  • Launch and services expected from 2025-2030

AVIO SpA- All rights reserved – subject to the restrictions of last page. Source : Arianespace, ESA, EU Commission, EuroConsult

New contracts signed for tactical propulsion

Aster

  • Contract with MBDA France S.A.S.
  • Production activities for a first stock of boosters for ASTER-30
  • Start of the preparatory activities instrumental for the future production of additional boosters
  • Contract value 50+ Euro million
  • Production period of around 3 years with deliveries starting in 2022

Pribes

  • New training system for the Italian Armed Forces capable of validating the performance of national tactical air defence launchers
  • Contract with the Naval Armaments Directorate (NAVARM) of the Italian General Secretariat of Defence and National Armaments Directorate
  • Avio leader of a consortium with Politecnico di Milano

2020 Highlights – Giulio Ranzo (CEO)

FY 2020 Financials – Alessandro Agosti (CFO)

2021 Outlook – Giulio Ranzo (CEO)

Net Order Backlog increased by 10% versus 2019

Net Order Backlog evolution 2019-2020 (€ - M)

Comments

New contracts signed in 2020 include:

  • Vega: new production batch for 135M and ground activities for 35M
  • Space Rider development contract for €55M
  • Tactical production Aster booster for ~€60M

Contracts expected to be signed in 2021 include:

  • Completion of new Vega Production Batch 4
  • Residual ESA '19 Ministerial Council related development contracts
  • Second part of Ariane 6 P120 contract
  • Additional tactical propulsion contracts

Net Revenues trend impacted by COVID-19

Revenues reduction in 2020 due to slowdown after Covid-19 outbreak and CSG closure

Data in €-M

EBITDA Adjusted 2020 substantially in line with 2019 exclcuding not-recurring costs confirming resilience

FY 2020 not-recurring costs by nature

FY 2020 Not-recurring Costs = 8.1 EUR Mln (100%)

  • Extra costs for Vega VV16 return to flight
  • Protection devices Covid-19
  • HR costs Covid-19 related
  • Donations Covid-19 related
  • Other

Stable EBITDA Adjusted confirms business resilience

FY 2019 MAIN ECONOMICS FY 2020
€ - M € - M Comments
368,7 NET REVENUES 322,0 Reduction from Ariane 5 ramp-down partially compensated by Ariane 6
ramp-up and decrease in Vega production due to impact from COVID-19
on return to flight
42,6
11,6%
EBITDA REPORTED
% on net revenues
35,2
10,9%
€8M not-recurring costs driven by Covid-19 (launch base in Guyana
closure, return to flight launch missions repetition)
44,0
11,9%
EBITDA ADJUSTED
% on net revenues
43,3
13,4%
Increase in operational costs by disruption of planning activities
compensated by savings in industrial fixed costs
26,5
7,2%
28,0
EBIT REPORTED
% on net revenues
EBIT Adjusted
15,9
4,9%
24,0
Increase
in amortization
principally
related
to the start of exploitation
of the new P120 engine
(Ariane 6 / Vega C) and Zefiro 40 engine
(Vega C)
assets
7,6% % on net revenues 7,5%
27,0
7,3%
PROFIT BEFORE TAXES
% on net revenues
15,4
4,8%
In 2019 one-offs
in interest
income
on VAT tax credits refunded
and in
27,0
7,3%
NET INCOME
% on net revenues
14,9
4,6%
taxes

Cash generation in 2020 thanks to working capital contribution

31 DEC 2019 31 DEC 2020 DELTA
ACTUAL MAIN SOURCES AND USES ACTUAL Comments
€ - M € - M € - M
(96,2) WORKING CAPITAL (111,9) (15,7) Working
capital structurally
negative with a timing
improvement
for
the slowdown of certain
(43,4) PROVISIONS (EMPLOYEES'
BENEFITS AND RISKS)
(43,0) 0,4 activities by suppliers and sub-contractors due to
the Covid-19 pandemic
77,8 DEFERRED TAX ASSETS 78,0 0,2
61,0 GOODWILL 61,0 -
36,6 CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIP ASSET 33,6 (3,0)
204,0 FIXED ASSETS 225,4 21,4 Mainly for capex on P120,Vega cadence and
6,1 FINANCIAL RECEIVABLES 6,3 0,2 development of new lauchers
of Vega family, net
of depreciation
245,9 NET INVESTED CAPITAL 249,4 3,5
57,9 NET CASH POSITION 62,6 4,7
(303,9) EQUITY (312,0) (8,1) Positive contribution of 2020 net income, less
(245,9) TOTAL SOURCES (249,4) (3,5) share buyback (€ 6.4M)

Data in €-M

2020 Highlights – Giulio Ranzo (CEO)

FY 2020 Financials – Alessandro Agosti (CFO)

2021 Outlook – Giulio Ranzo (CEO)

Flight activity:

2021 and beyond

  • Up to 3-4 flights for Ariane 5
  • Up to 3 flights for Vega
  • Vega C Maiden Flight preparation
  • Production:
  • P120 production ramp-up: up to 50% vs 2020
  • Tactical propulsion production ramp-up: up to 20% vs 2020
  • Progress on Space Rider and Vega E development
  • Medium-term (2025) growth prospects more robust
  • Order backlog to improve while approaching A6/Vc maiden flights
  • Industrial efficiency to improve across A5/6 and V/Vc transition

New dividend policy and share buyback program to remunerate investors

FY 2020 proposed dividend

€ 0.285 dividend per share Total dividend distribution = €7.3M

Proposed modification

Maximum dividend payout ratio from 50% to 60% of net earnings

Objectives

Increase the flexibility for the return to shareholders part of the liquidity generated by Avio operational performance

New dividend policy New share buyback program

Objectives

  • Efficient use of liquidity generated by the ordinary business activities through a medium-long term investment
  • Offer an additional return to shareholders along with dividend payments
  • Possible use own shares in M&A transactions
  • Possible use to serve incentive plans

Program scheme

€9.1M maximum investment amount (as in the first program already completed)

Following the purchases made in the first buyback program, Avio S.p.A. holds no. 671,233 own shares, corresponding to 2.55% of the total Avio's shares (August 2019 – October 2020)

Quarterly pattern of Adjusted EBITDA and Net Cash Position

  • Includes effects of IFRS 16
  • Includes Non-recurring tax effect

Economics in line with industry performance, backlog and cash generation better than average

Data in €-M

Delta 2020 vs 2019 performance

Benchmark includes: Leonardo, Airbus, Safran, Dassault, Thales, OHB SOURCE: FY 2020 Results' Presentations

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