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Austevoll Seafood ASA — Investor Presentation 2016
Aug 18, 2016
3546_rns_2016-08-18_9e74fb13-88f5-4ae5-b9ab-38d6d4835b21.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q2 2016 Financial presentation
Arne Møgster – CEO Britt Kathrine Drivenes – CFO
Highlights
| All figures in MNOK | Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4 558 | 4 108 | 8 970 | 7 654 | 15 273 |
| EBITDA | 985 | 778 | 1 871 | 1 295 | 2 244 |
| EBIT | 790 | 605 | 1 486 |
954 | 1 386 |
| Net profit | 504 | 231 | 1 197 | 205 | 1 283 |
| EPS (earning per share in NOK) | 1.09 | 0.91 | 2.92 | 0.81 | 3.59 |
| Total assets | 28 039 | 23 246 | 25 794 | ||
| NIBD (net interest bearing debt) |
1 911 | 4 560 | 4 838 | ||
| Group EBITDA incl. 50% of | |||||
| Pelagia AS |
1 045 | 857 | 1 994 | 1 440 | 2 603 |
| Salmon | 876 | 470 | 1 573 | 971 | 1 814 |
| Pelagic | 169 | 387 | 421 | 469 | 789 |
Other highlights
- Paid out dividend per share NOK 7.00, total MNOK 1,419
- Lerøy Seafood Group ASA (LSG) entered agreements to acquire a majority stake in Havfisk ASA and Norway Seafoods Group AS
- LSG completed a private placement of 5 million new shares as part of financing the acquisition
2016 Company overview
Operation overview
* Associated companies
| PERU | CHILE | NORTH ATLANTIC | AUSTEVOLL SEAFOOD GROUP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvesting | 7% of anchovy quota centre-north 21 fishing vessels |
9.1% of pelagic fishing quota 5 fishing vessels |
4 fishing vessels | 400,000 - 500,000 MT of pelagic fish annually (30 vessels) |
| Salmon | Norway: 153 salmon licenses Salmon operation UK* |
180,000 - 190,000 MT of salmon |
||
| Processing | 7 Processing plants | 4 Processing plants | 47 Processing plants | 58 processing plants Intake of 1.5 - 1.8 mill MT of pelagic fish annually |
| Sales | Own sales organisation | Own sales organisation | Own sales organisation | Wholesale with global sales & distribution |
Pelagic
Austral Group S.A.A Foodcorp Chile S.A Pelagia AS (associated)
Austral Group S.A.A Operation in Peru
- Centre/ North
- o Anchovy quota 1st season 2016 set at 1.8 million MT
- o Late startup and early termination of the anchovy season resulted in 50% of the national quota being caught
- o Austral caught 55% of their quota for the season
- o Increase third parties vs. 2015 (1.9% vs. 1.1% share) due to Coischo plant capacity increase.
- o Total yield 26.7% first season 2016 vs. 26% first season 2015
- o Production of Super Prime and Prime fishmeal reaching 78% vs. 69% same season last year.
- o Production 1st season 2016 to be sold in Q3 2016 principally
- South
- o 1 st quota (Semester 1) finalised. Austral caught 12,000 MT (completed 82.4% vs. national average 39.8%)
- o 2 nd quota 2016 defined: 382,000 MT from 7 July 2016 to 31 December 2016
- Market
- o Fishmeal prices firm and increasing due to lower than expected catch volumes
| '000 MT | Q2 2016 |
Q2 2015 |
H1 2016 |
H1 2015 |
2016E * |
2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own catch: Anchoveta |
34 | 185 | 53 | 186 | 224 | 248 |
| Purchase: Anchoveta |
19 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 100 | 62 |
| Total ('000 MT) | 53 | 223 | 90 | 224 | 324 | 311 |
*Based on 2,0 million MT in second season, however subject to final quota announcement
Historic and predictions of EL NIÑO
ENFEN project most probable scenario is neutral conditions until year end in coast pacific waters and weak niña in central pacific
Diagram Source: NOAA
Operation in Chile Foodcorp Chile S.A
- Jack mackerel:
- o Quota completed during May
- o Challenging market conditions
• Anchovy/sardine:
- o Slow startup of anchovy season
- o Sea conditions affected availability
- o Fishing ban until October 4
- Giant squid:
- o Purchases from artisanal and industrial vessels
- o Good demand
- o Good contribution from the giant squid segment in H1 2016
- Focus on adjusting cost level based on current raw material availability
| '000 MT | Q2 | Q2 | H1 | H1 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2015* | 2016 | 2015 | 2016E | 2015* | |
| Own catch: Mackerel and other species |
14 | 16 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 34 |
| Purchase: | ||||||
| Sardine/anchovy | 4 | 27 | 9 | 30 | 20 | 44 |
| Giant squid/mackerel |
9 | - | 18 | 2 | 23 | 3 |
| Total ('000 MT) | 27 | 43 | 48 | 58 | 66 | 81 |
* 2015 volumes proforma
North Atlantic pelagic quotas (2007-2016 est)
Source: NORGES SILDESALGSLAG
Fishmeal and fish oil (FMO) Pelagia AS
| Norway, UK and Ireland ('000 MT) | Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | 2016 E | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw material for fishmeal and fish oil Raw material for protein concentrate/oil |
150 60 |
251 61 |
361 144 |
511 122 |
542 220 |
702 244 |
| Total ('000 MT) | 211 | 311 | 505 | 633 | 762 | 945 |
All volume based on 100%
- Lower raw material intake at a higher price compared to Q2 2015 as a result of lower quotas of blue whiting and sand eel
- Increased sales volume compared to Q1
- Lower fishmeal volume in Peru gives increasing prices in H2
Fishmeal and fish oil factories
Human Consumption Pelagia AS
| Volume ('000 MT) | Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | 2016 E | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw material intake | 51 | 46 | 155 | 134 | 350 | 365 |
(incl. Sir Fish and NC Honningsvåg)
- Raw material intake for Q2 and H1 slightly above Q2 and H1 2015
- o Large part of the NVG herring quota taken in H1 2016, less quota left for second half of 2016
- o Good performance in the North Sea herring season
- Acceptable sales for the quarter at 40,400 MT (vs. Q2 2015: 44,000 MT)
- Limited stock in front of the new mackerel season
Pelagia AS (100% figures)
| (MNOK) | Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1 066 | 1 293 | 2 331 | 2 565 | 6 092 |
| EBITDA | 120 | 159 | 247 | 291 | 717 |
| EBIT | 80 | 110 | 167 | 210 | 548 |
| Sales volumes (tonnes): | |||||
| Frozen | 40 400 | 45 400 | 120 800 | 110 400 | 313 000 |
| FM/FPC/Oil | 38 600 | 52 200 | 64 000 | 87 000 | 194 800 |
Associated company, AUSS share = 50%
Br. Birkeland AS
| Salmon | Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvest volume (GWT) |
2,341 | 2,374 | 4,059 | 4,321 |
| EBIT (NOK/kg) | 31.9 | 0.4 | 29.2 | 3.1 |
• 7 salmon licenses in Norway
Fleet
- 4 fishing vessels in Norway
- o Good contribution from the fishing vessels in Q2
Salmon Lerøy Seafood Group ASA
Lerøy Seafood Group ASA Lerøy Aurora
Q2 2016
- EBIT before FV adj. NOK 760 million
- EBIT/kg all inclusive NOK 18.5
- o Salmon: NOK 20.1/kg
- o Trout: NOK 13.7/kg
- Harvest volume 41 132 GWT
- Contract share of 31%
- NIBD NOK -7 million at end Q2 2016
* Before biomass adjustment
Salmon/trout farming Lerøy Seafood Group ASA
| Licences | Smolt cap. |
2011 GWT |
2012 GWT |
2013 GWT |
2014 GWT |
2015 GWT |
2016E GWT |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lerøy Aurora AS* | 26 | 11,5 | 18 100 | 20 000 | 24 200 | 26 800 | 29 200 | 30 000 |
| Lerøy Midt AS |
57 | 22,0 | 62 300 |
61 900 | 58 900 | 68 300 | 71 400 | 60 000 |
| Lerøy Sjøtroll | 63 | 22,6 | 56 200 | 71 600 | 61 700 | 63 200 | 57 100 | 70 000 |
| Total Norway | 146 | 56,1 | 136 600 | 153 400 | 144 800 |
158 300 | 157 700 | 160 000 |
| Villa Organic AS** | 6 000 | |||||||
| Norskott Havbruk (UK)*** |
10 900 | 13 600 | 13 400 | 13 800 | 13 500 | 13 000 | ||
| Total | 147 500 | 167 100 | 158 200 | 178 100 | 171 200 | 173 000 |
*) Included harvested volume from Villa Organic after split July 2014
**) LSG's share of Villa Organic's volume in H1 2014, not consolidated
***) LSG's share, not consolidated
Lerøy Seafood Group ASA
- Entered agreements to acquire a majority stake in Havfisk ASA and Norway Seafoods Group AS
- Significantly strengthening Lerøy`s position in the white fish segment. Creating values through utilizing existing distribution channels and establishing the leading fresh/refreshed seafood supplier with a complete palette of seafood products
- Completed private placement of 5 million new shares at NOK 415.00 per share as part of financing the acquisition
Financials Q2 2016
Catch and purchase (100% volumes)
| Figures in 1,000 tonnes | Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | 2016 E | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group companies: | ||||||
| Chile own catch * | 14 | 16 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 34 |
| Chile purchase* | 13 | 27 | 27 | 32 | 44 | 47 |
| Peru own catch | 34 | 185 | 53 | 186 | 224 | 248 |
| Peru purchase | 19 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 100 | 62 |
| Total Group companies | 80 | 267 | 138 | 282 | 390 | 392 |
| Joint ventures: | ||||||
| Europe purchase (HC) | 51 | 46 | 155 | 134 | 350 | 365 |
| Europe purchase (FM/FPC/Oil) | 211 | 311 | 505 | 633 | 762 | 945 |
| Total Joint venture: | 261 | 357 | 660 | 767 | 1112 | 1 310 |
| TOTAL GROUP | 341 | 624 | 798 | 1 049 | 1502 | 1 702 |
* 2015 volumes proforma
Key financial figures
| Δ% | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 558 229 | 4 107 801 | 11,0 % | 5 091 140 | 4 754 514 | 7,1 % |
| 984 919 | 777 727 | 26,6 % | 1 045 042 | 857 180 | 21,9 % |
| 195 325 | 172 611 | 215 540 | 197 166 | ||
| 789 594 | 605 116 | 30,5 % | 829 502 | 660 014 | 25,7 % |
| 70 111 | 53 212 | ||||
| -49 408 | -72 194 | ||||
| 810 297 | 586 134 | 38,2 % | |||
| 504 159 | 231 039 | ||||
| 1,09 | 0,91 | ||||
| 1,46 | 1,44 | ||||
| Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | Δ% | Q2 2016 ** |
Q2 2015 ** |
* Before biomass adjustment
** AUSS incl. proportional 50% of Pelagia AS
| Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | |
|---|---|---|
| Biomass adj. group company | -150 187 | 225 156 |
| Biomass adj. group associated |
-1 018 | -7 488 |
| companies |
Key financial figures
| (NOK 1,000) | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | Δ% | H1 2016 | ** H1 2015 ** |
Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 8 970 468 | 7 653 630 | 17.2 % | 10 135 844 | 8 936 327 | 13.4 % |
| EBITDA | 1 870 663 | 1 294 692 | 44.5 % | 1 994 152 | 1 440 098 | 38.5 % |
| Depreciation/Impairment | 385 078 | 340 869 | 425 268 | 381 393 | ||
| EBIT* | 1 485 585 | 953 823 | 55.8 % | 1 568 884 | 1 058 705 | 48.2 % |
| Income from associates* | 146 292 | 108 922 | ||||
| Net finance | -97 900 | -162 247 | ||||
| Pre-tax* | 1 533 977 | 900 498 | 70.3 % | |||
| Net profit | 1 196 813 | 204 727 | ||||
| EPS (NOK) | 2,92 | 0,81 | ||||
| EPS (NOK)* | 2,89 | 2,17 | ||||
* Before biomass adjustment
** AUSS incl. proportional 50% of Pelagia AS
| H1 2016 | H1 2015 | |
|---|---|---|
| Biomass adj. group company |
13 641 | -593 378 |
| Biomass adj. group associated | 19 170 | -7 254 |
| companies |
Key financial figures
Income from associates ex. biomass adjustment
| Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norskott Havbruk AS |
36 488 | 13 729 | 74 677 | 29 623 | 49 622 |
| Pelagia AS |
28 436 | 33 551 | 62 958 | 69 633 | 203 322 |
| Others | 5 187 | 5 932 | 8 657 | 9 666 | 19 549 |
| Total income from associated companies |
70 111 | 53 212 | 146 292 | 108 922 | 272 493 |
Lerøy Seafood Group ASA
| (MNOK) | Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4 262 | 3 352 | 8 078 | 6 630 | 13 485 |
| EBITDA | 876 | 470 | 1 573 | 971 | 1 814 |
| EBIT* ex. Impairment | 760 | 370 | 1 345 | 774 | 1 380 |
| EBIT* | 760 | 370 | 1 345 | 774 | 1 380 |
| Harvested volume (GWT) | 41 132 | 40 295 | 79 295 | 75 318 | 157 697 |
| EBIT/kg* (NOK) | 18 | 9 | 17 | 10 | 9 |
* before biomass adj.
- Spot prices above last year
- o NOS Q2/16 NOK 63.5 vs. NOK 37.3 in Q2/15 (+70%)
- o Up NOK 5.4/kg q-o-q, and up NOK 26.2/kg y-o-y
- o Trout prices well below salmon prices, but improving
- Contract prices below spot prices
- o Contract share of 31%
- Cost increase from Q1/16
- o Salmon: cost increase q-o-q
- o Trout: cost decrease q-o-q
- Biomass at sea
- o End Q2/16 at 81,700 MT vs. 90,661 MT end Q2/15 (-10%)
NIBD Q2/16 MNOK -7 vs. Q2/15 MNOK 2,611
Austral Group S.A.A
| (MNOK) | Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 55 | 534 | 477 | 697 | 1 091 | |
| EBITDA | -28 | 242 | 50 | 249 | 273 | |
| EBIT ex.impairment | -72 | 202 | -34 | 171 | 109 | |
| EBIT | -70 | 204 | -31 | 175 | 117 | |
| Raw material intake (tonnes): |
53 381 | 223 206 | 90 194 | 224 921 | 310 468 | |
| Sales volumes: | ||||||
| Fishmeal (tonnes) | 1 363 | 30 837 | 27 074 | 37 158 | 55 373 | |
| Fish oil (tonnes) | 989 | 1 721 | 2 993 | 2 096 | 7 697 | |
| Canned fish (cases) | - | 102 255 | 26 185 | 239 397 | 351 543 | |
| Frozen/fresh (tonnes) | 27 | - | 72 | 26 | 26 |
- Low activity in Q2 explained by late start of first fishing season for anchoveta. (season started June 18th and ended July 27th)
- Total quota for first season 1.8 million MT vs. 2.6 million MT same season 2015
- Austral caught 67,270 MT (55% quota) vs. 176,300 MT (100% quota 2015)
- Low sales volumes in the quarter due to
- Low volumes were carried over from Q1 2016
- Low volumes sold from production in Q2 2016
- Expect to sell most of the production from the first season in Q3 2016
NIBD Q2/16 MNOK 909 vs. Q2/15 MNOK 639
Foodcorp Chile S.A
| (MNOK) | Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 151 | 133 | 255 | 207 | 490 | |
| EBITDA | 22 | 40 | 41 | 39 | 47 | |
| EBIT ex.impairment | 6 | 24 | 8 | 8 | -18 | |
| EBIT | 6 | 24 | 8 | 8 | -134 | |
| Rawmaterial intake: * |
26 544 | 43 530 | 47 988 | 58 385 | 176 970 | |
| Sales volumes:* | ||||||
| Fishmeal (tonnes) | 4 622 | 763 | 7 498 | 2 210 | 10 145 | |
| Fish oil (tonnes) | 968 | 255 | 1 653 | 283 | 1 962 | |
| Canned fish (cases) | 6 645 | 4 185 | 15 398 | 10 422 | 23 609 | |
| Frozen (tonnes) | 6 727 | 4 208 | 10 651 | 6 305 | 11 967 |
* 2015 volumes represents 46% of Marfood S.A volume
- Foodcorp finished their horse mackerel quota in May
- Good supply and demand for giant squid
- For the coastal fleet sea condition has affected fish availability, as a consequence lower raw material volumes received compared to same period last year.
- Still challenging market for frozen horse mackerel
NIBD Q2/16 MNOK 91 vs. Q2/15 MNOK 121
Br. Birkeland AS
| (MNOK) | Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 210 | 141 | 389 | 253 | 520 |
| EBITDA | 105 | 21 | 191 | 36 | 106 |
| EBIT* | 88 | 6 | 159 | 7 | 39 |
Salmon Q2 • Harvested volume (GWT): o Q2/16 2,341 MT vs. 2,375 in Q2/15 • EBIT/kg: o NOK 31.9 in Q2/16 vs. NOK 0.4 in Q2/15
Pelagic Q2
- The pelagic vessels have been catching North Sea herring
- Good performance from the fishing vessels activity in the quarter
NIBD Q2/16 MNOK 296 vs. Q2/15 MNOK 370
* before biomass adj.
Balance sheet
| (NOK 1,000) | 30.06.2016 | 30.06.2015 | 31.12.2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 8 049 524 | 7 539 115 | 8 115 351 |
| Tangible fixed assets | 5 490 220 | 5 084 182 | 5 531 053 |
| Financial non-current assets | 1 771 956 | 1 922 755 | 1 861 178 |
| Total non-current assets | 15 311 700 | 14 546 052 | 15 507 582 |
| Biological assets at cost | 3 140 393 | 3 042 711 | 3 522 235 |
| Fair value adjustment biomass | 1 067 439 | 215 808 | 1 052 252 |
| Other inventory | 822 519 | 982 165 | 965 426 |
| Receivables | 2 718 501 | 2 241 316 | 2 276 074 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 4 978 807 | 2 218 187 | 2 470 395 |
| Total current assets | 12 727 659 | 8 700 187 | 10 286 382 |
| Total assets | 28 039 359 | 23 246 239 | 25 793 964 |
| NIBD | 1 911 029 | 4 559 598 | 4 838 160 |
| Equity | 16 004 776 | 12 132 248 | 13 610 808 |
| Equity ratio | 57 % | 52 % | 53 % |
USD/NOK:
- 30.06.2016: 8.38
- 30.06.2015: 7.86
- 31.12.2015: 8.80
Increased cash
• Lerøy Seafood Group ASA completed a private placement of 5 million new shares in the quarter
Strong financial position, equity ratio at 57%
Pelagia is an associated company and are included in the line Financial non-current assets in the Group balance sheet.
• As such the Group balance sheet does not include proportional consolidation of Pelagia (50%)
Cash flow
| (NOK 1,000) | Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre tax profit | 659 092 | 353 492 | 1 566 788 | 299 867 | 1 572 137 |
| Biomass adjustment | 150 187 | 225 156 | -13 641 | 593 378 | -246 567 |
| Paid tax | -36 419 | -235 845 | -216 935 | -379 221 | -427 611 |
| Depreciaton and impairments | 195 325 | 172 611 | 385 077 | 340 869 | 857 640 |
| Associated companies | -69 093 | -45 725 | -165 462 | -101 668 | -264 279 |
| Interest (net) | 58 381 | 60 141 | 118 568 | 112 470 | 223 215 |
| Working capital | 75 039 | -235 128 | 147 973 | -146 453 | -503 407 |
| Cash from operating activities | 1 032 512 | 294 702 | 1 822 368 | 719 242 | 1 211 128 |
| Net investment in capex | -273 200 | -219 451 | -431 193 | -408 788 | -1 125 674 |
| Acquisitions and divestments | 51 674 | -1 952 | 1 010 621 | -117 316 | -34 530 |
| Others | 243 546 | 24 906 | 248 549 | 33 420 | 222 458 |
| Cash from investing activities | 22 020 | -196 497 | 827 977 | -492 684 | -937 746 |
| Change in long term loans | -46 534 | 479 107 | 151 531 | 421 782 | 645 229 |
| Change in short term loans | -76 264 | 256 055 | -504 437 | 181 833 | 275 754 |
| Dividends | -1 694 645 | -684 060 | -1 694 645 | -684 060 | -684 061 |
| Others | 1 981 863 | -72 240 | 1 909 154 | -130 654 | -255 959 |
| Cash from financing activities | 164 420 | -21 138 | -138 397 | -211 099 | -19 037 |
| Cash at the beginning of the period | 3 752 486 | 2 151 982 | 2 470 222 | 2 198 148 | 2 198 148 |
| Net change in cash (incl.exchange | |||||
| gain/losses) | 1 226 161 | 66 205 | 2 508 425 | 20 039 | 272 072 |
| Cash at the end of the period | 4 978 647 | 2 218 187 | 4 978 647 | 2 218 187 | 2 470 220 |
AUSS paid dividend by NOK 7.00 per share, total MNOK 1,419 in Q2
Paid out dividend in total in Q2, MNOK 1 695
Lerøy Seafood Group ASA completed a private placement of 5 million new shares at NOK 415.00 per share and sold 300,000 own shares at NOK 415.00 per share in Q2
Outlook
Fishmeal
| Week 30 Fishmeal production - 2016 vs 2015 (Cumulative) |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regions | 2016 | 2015 | Change % | |||
| Chile* | 153 845 | 213 224 | -28 % | |||
| Peru | 296 268 | 652 336 | -55 % | |||
| Danmark/Norway* | 148 520 | 220 705 | -33 % | |||
| Iceland/North Atlantic* | 116 926 | 180 671 | -35 % | |||
| Total | 715 559 | 1 266 936 | -44 % | |||
| source: IFFO All numbers are preliminary and subject to revision # | Includes salmon-derived oil |
*Includes U.K., Ireland and Faroe Islands
Source: IFFO
Production • IFFO Fishmeal production down 44% YTD vs. same period 2015 (Peru 55% down vs. 2015).
- Peruvian fishing season finished on July 27 landing 50% of the total quota
- Prices USD 1,850/MT FOB Peru for Super Prime
- USD 1,800/MT FOB Peru for Prime
- USD 1,400 1,450/MT FOB Peru for Standard
- Demand Feed producers & end users in Asia and Europe purchasing "hand to mouth" their needs during the aqua peak season in Q3
- Supply Still very tight in South America including Peru and Chile.
- Fishmeal stock in Peru is between 60~70,000 MT available for supply between Aug-Nov with stable prices.
Fishmeal
Main market – China
- Stock level: 133,160 MT as of May 5th vs. 79,550 MT same period 2015 (up by 67%)
- o Off takes: 2,800 MT/day
- o South of China: weather conditions getting better for the aquaculture.
- Prices in China still higher than in Peru and currently quoted at 12,800 RMB equivalent super prime 68% USD 1,900/MT.
- Fishmeal/soymeal price ratio (China) still high at 4.01
Fish oil
| Regions | 2016 | 2015 | Change % | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chile* | 51 782 | 71 346 | -27 % | |||||
| Peru | 44 812 | 77 997 | -43 % | |||||
| Denmark/Norway* | 39 820 | 61 842 | -36 % | |||||
| Iceland/North Atlantic* | 20 530 | 40 970 | -50 % | |||||
| Total | 156 944 | 252 155 | -38 % | |||||
| source: IFFO All numbers are preliminary and subject to revision # | Includes salmon-derived oil |
Fish oil production - 2016 vs 2015 (cumulative)
*Includes U.K., Ireland and Faroe Islands
- Week 30 Production IFFO Fish oil production down 38% YTD vs. same period 2015 (Peru 43% down vs. 2015)
- Prices USD 2,250/MT FOB Peru for feed grade
- USD 2,600 2,700/MT FOB Peru for omega 3 grades depending on the omega 3 content
- Demand Feed market balanced, buyers looking for EPA+DHA over 26%
- Omega 3 market undersupply, buyers looking for EPA+DHA 30% or high EPA
- Stable prices in the short term for deliveries at destination from Sep. to Dec.
- Supply Fish oil stock level available in Peru at about 25,000 MT (estimated at 60% feed and 40% HC)
Atlantic salmon supply Q2 2016
| Change | Change | Change | Change | Change | Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 11-12 | 2013 | 12-13 | 2014 | 13-14 | 2015 | 14-15 | 2016 | 15-16 | 2017 | 16-17 | |
| Norway | 1 183 100 | 17,7 % | 1 143 600 | -3,3 % | 1 199 000 | 4,8 % | 1 234 200 | 2,9 % | 1 198 600 | -2,9 % | 1 242 700 | 3,7 % |
| United Kingdom | 159 400 | 3,0 % 157 800 | -1,0 % 170 500 | 8,0 % 166 300 | -2,5 % 169 600 | 2,0 % 173 600 | 2,4 % | |||||
| Faroe Islands | 70 300 | 24,9 % | 72 600 | 3,3 % | 82 700 | 13,9 % | 76 900 | -7,0 % | 80 400 | 4,6 % | 90 100 | 12,1 % |
| Ireland | 15 600 | -2,5 % | 10 600 | -32,1 % | 12 300 | 16,0 % | 15 700 | 27,6 % | 15 000 | -4,5 % | 17 000 | 13,3 % |
| Iceland | 2 900 | 190,0 % | 3 100 | 6,9 % | 4 000 | 29,0 % | 5 200 | 30,0 % | 7 200 | 38,5 % | 10 500 | 45,8 % |
| Total Europe | 1 431 300 | 16,0 % | 1 387 700 | -3,0 % | 1 468 500 | 5,8 % | 1 498 300 | 2,0 % | 1 470 800 | -1,8 % | 1 533 900 | 4,3 % |
| Chile | 364 000 | 64,7 % 468 100 | 28,6 % 582 900 | 24,5 % 590 900 | 1,4 % 467 800 | -20,8 % 468 500 | 0,1 % | |||||
| Canada | 136 500 | 14,2 % 115 100 | -15,7 % | 95 000 | -17,5 % 135 200 | 42,3 % 139 500 | 3,2 % 141 000 | 1,1 % | ||||
| USA | 19 600 | 7,1 % | 20 300 | 3,6 % | 24 000 | 18,2 % | 20 200 | -15,8 % | 19 700 | -2,5 % | 22 000 | 11,7 % |
| Australia | 40 000 | 11,1 % | 39 000 | -2,5 % | 42 000 | 7,7 % | 55 000 | 31,0 % | 56 000 | 1,8 % | 58 000 | 3,6 % |
| Others | 8 100 | 62,0 % | 11 200 | 38,3 % | 15 200 | 35,7 % | 14 900 | -2,0 % | 12 900 | -13,4 % | 15 500 | 20,2 % |
| Total Others | 568 200 | 42,1 % 653 700 | 15,0 % 759 100 | 16,1 % 816 200 | 7,5 % 695 900 | -14,7 % 705 000 | 1,3 % | |||||
| Total World-wide | 1 999 500 | 22,4 % | 2 041 400 | 2,1 % | 2 227 600 | 9,1 % | 2 314 500 | 3,9 % | 2 166 700 | -6,4 % | 2 238 900 | 3,3 % |
NOS Q2 16 NOK 63.47 vs. Q2 15 NOK 37.25 (+70.4%)YTD June 16 NOK 60.79 vs. YTD June 15 NOK 38.81 (+56.6 %)
Figures as per 02.08.2016 - Source: Kontali
(in tonnes WFE )
Atlantic salmon consumption YTD July 2016
| Market - Salmon | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | Grow th |
Grow th % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 36 400 | 29 400 | 33 400 | 4 000 | 14 % |
| USA | 215 100 | 239 300 | 254 700 | 15 400 | 6 % |
| EU | 547 700 | 592 200 | 575 700 | -16 500 | -3 % |
| Russia | 79 700 | 62 000 | 41 400 | -20 600 | -33 % |
| Other Markets | 339 900 | 356 600 | 342 100 | -14 500 | -4 % |
| Total Consumption | 1 218 800 | 1 279 500 | 1 247 300 | -32 200 | -3 % |
Figures as per 02.08.2016 - Source: Kontali/Nasdax
Conclusion
Salmon (refer to Lerøy Seafood Group's management presentation www.leroy.no)
- Very strong salmon prices in Q2
- Increased prices for trout but below salmon level
- Limited growth in global salmon supply combined with strong demand, gives a strong outlook for the coming years
Lerøy Seafood Group ASA entered into agreements to acquire a majority stake in Havfisk ASA and Norway Seafoods Group AS
- Significantly strengthening Lerøy`s position in the white fish segment
- Lerøy completed a private placement of 5 million new shares as part of financing the acquisition
Pelagic
South America
- Late start of first fishing season 2016 (1.8 million MT) in Peru, completed July 27th with 50% caught nationwide
- Austral caught 55% of their quota in the season and expect to sell the majority of the production from the season in Q3
- Expecting normalised sea temperature in front of second season.
North Atlantic (Pelagia AS, an associated company)
- Good performance in the North Sea herring season
- Main African markets remain challenging due to foreign currency restrictions
- Russian market remains closed
Disclaimer
- This Presentation has been produced by Austevoll Seafood ASA (the "Company" or "Austevoll") solely for use at the presentation to the market held in connection with the announcement of second quarter results for 2016.
- This document contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and/or the industry in which it operates. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes", expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development. Neither The Company or any of their respective group of companies or any such person's officers or employees provides any assurance that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor does any of them accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this Presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. The Company assumes no obligation, except as required by law, to update any forward-looking statements or to conform these forward-looking statements to our actual results.
- An investment in the company involves risk, and several factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by statements and information in this presentation, including, among others, risks or uncertainties associated with the company's business, segments, development, growth management, financing, market acceptance and relations with customers, and, more generally, general economic and business conditions, changes in domestic and foreign laws and
regulations, taxes, changes in competition and pricing environments, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and interest rates and other factors.
- Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this presentation. the company does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update or correct the information included in this presentation.
- No representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and, accordingly, none of the Company or any of their group companies or any such person's officers or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.
- By attending the quarterly presentation or upon reading the Presentation you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of the Company and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own view of the potential future performance of the Company's business.
- This Presentation is dated 18.08.2016. Neither the delivery of this Presentation nor any further discussions of the Company with any of the recipients shall, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of the Company since such date.
Appendix
Associated companies
Pelagia AS (100% figures) AUSS`s share = 50%
| (MNOK) | Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1 066 | 1 293 | 2 331 | 2 565 | 6 092 |
| EBITDA | 120 | 159 | 247 | 291 | 717 |
| EBIT | 80 | 110 | 167 | 210 | 548 |
| Net interest bearing debt |
1 987 | 1 581 | 1 452 |
- Raw material intake FM/FPC/oil 211,000 MT vs. 312,000 MT in same quarter 2015.
- Raw material intake HC 51,000 MT vs. 46,000 MT in same quarter 2015.
- Currency exchange in Nigeria and Egypt remains challenging.
- Russian sanctions against Norwegian seafood products from August 7th 2014.
Associated companies
Norskott Havbruk AS (100% figures) LSG's share = 50%
| (MNOK) | Q2 2016 | Q2 2015 | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 433 | 344 | 854 | 669 | 1 498 |
| EBITDA | 123 | 56 | 227 | 116 | 201 |
| EBIT* | 101 | 37 | 182 | 80 | 122 |
| Volumes (gwt) | 7 155 | 6 556 | 14 136 | 12 145 | 27 032 |
| EBIT/kg* (NOK) | 14,2 | 5,7 | 12,9 | 6,6 | 4,5 |
| Net interest bearing debt |
344 | 366 | 482 |
* before biomass adj.
- Contract share in quarter of 49%, with negative impact on price realisation
- Performance impacted by early harvest of one site, also giving a marginal cost increase y-o-y
- Good biological situation at Orkney and Scotland region, some challenges at Shetland
- Continue to invest heavily in "cleaner fish", as well as access to mechanical treatment
- Volume guidance for 2016 at 26,000 GWT