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ASPEN GROUP — AGM Information 2015
Nov 15, 2015
64404_rns_2015-11-15_306167f2-581c-4abb-b084-da41a5de7011.pdf
AGM Information
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Aspen Group Limited
ABN 50 004 160 927
Aspen Property Trust
ARSN 104 807 767
Level 18, 9 Hunter Street
Sydney NSW 2000
Telephone: 02 9151 7500
Facsimile: 02 9151 7599
Email: [email protected]
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ASX ANNOUNCEMENT 16 November 2015
Aspen Group Annual General Meeting 2015
Please see attached copies of the Chairman’s address and the Chief Executive Officer presentation to be presented at the Annual General Meeting of Aspen Group today in the Wills Room, Chartered Accountants Conference Centre, 33 Erskine Street, Sydney, NSW at 9:30am.
For further information please contact: For media enquiries: Clem Salwin David Tasker Chief Executive Officer Professional Public Relations Phone: (+61) 2 9151 7500 Phone: (+61) 8 9388 0944 Email: [email protected] Mobile: (+61) 433 112 936 Email: [email protected]
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Chairman’s Address
Good morning Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome to our 2015 Annual General Meeting. My name is Frank Zipfinger. I am the Non-Executive Chairman of Aspen Group, and I have the privilege of being your Chairman for this meeting.
In my Chairman’s Report this year I will provide you with a brief overview of the 2015 financial year, reflecting on how we have progressed with our strategy of building a leading A-REIT focused on the accommodation sector. Aspen Group has substantially achieved the objective to become a structurally simple business focussed on value for money accommodation, with a more effective capital structure and a more efficient cost base. Aspen is now largely a pure play accommodation business.
During the 2015 financial year, most of the remaining non-core development assets were sold or contracted for sale, with the key unsold non-core asset being the Spearwood South industrial property. The two remaining debt facilities, in Aspen Group and Aspen Parks Property Fund (APPF), were both extended to September 2017 and on more favourable terms. As the business has simplified, overhead costs have been reduced markedly. Group overheads were down nearly 24% over the first half, reflecting in part the lower cost base of the business due to the relocation to Sydney. For the full year, overhead costs were down nearly 35%.
Operating profit before tax for the year of $10.2 million was down 31% on FY14. This fall largely reflects the progress Aspen Group has made in its strategy of divesting non-core assets. Over the past four years, Aspen Group has sold approximately $500m of non-core assets in some 35 transactions.
Aspen Group’s gearing was 35.1% at 30 June 2015 which has increased from nil at 30 June 2014, primarily reflecting the consolidation of APPF. On a “look through” basis (adjusting for the APPF consolidation), gearing was 22.5% at 30 June 2015. Importantly distributions declared for the 2015 financial year totalled 9.0 cents per security, in line with guidance.
It is disappointing to report that Aspen Group recorded a statutory loss for the year of $30.8 million, due largely to further declines in asset values in the resources sector. There was also an impairment of the unsold Spearwood South industrial property.
Income at the parks operating in the resources sector also continues to decline significantly. This reflects the severe cyclical downturn in the resources sector generally, which has been well documented. We are seeking to minimise costs and maintain occupancy volumes in the face of ongoing and significant headwinds in this sector.
However, Aspen Group has secured a lease extension at the Aspen Karratha Village for 150 of the 180 rooms, for 2 years until January 2018, so underpinning the stability of income, albeit at lower earnings levels. Based only on this 83% occupancy, the independent property valuation represents a 12% income yield.
Three resort/tourist properties in Western Australia which are in remote locations, with highly seasonal demand and challenged by competition from holidays involving cheap airfares to Asia, were sold and settled following the 2015 financial year in September.
As per my letter in the 2015 Annual Report, our key aims in FY16 are to: drive operational returns from our existing assets via initiatives around both revenue and costs; continue to deliver on and
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expand our manufactured housing development pipeline, grow our high quality annuity residential rental streams; complete the exit from the remaining non-core assets; and maintain discipline in assessing acquisition and development opportunities.
Turning to the remuneration report, the outcomes in 2015 mirrored our simplification strategy. In particular:
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all key management personnel fixed remuneration and directors’ fees were maintained at prior year levels;
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the short term incentive (STI) pool allocation for FY15 was reduced to 50% of the maximum pool available;
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the average percentage awarded of the maximum STI opportunity was 25%;
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the STI awarded to the CEO was down 44% compared to the FY14 award;
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the deferral period for any short term incentives has been increased to 18 months from 12 months; and
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performance rights which were due to vest at 30 June 2015 were cancelled as they did not meet the performance criteria set by the Board.
Heading into 2016 we will continue to review our remuneration strategy. Particular focus will be on the long term incentive hurdles to ensure they are appropriate for the business model and remain aligned with the interests of our securityholders.
As part of our ongoing capital management and as mentioned earlier, Aspen has secured an extended debt facility with its primary financier in July 2015. The debt limit has increased to $60 million (previously $40 million), with the maturity date extended to September 2017 (previously August 2016). Other terms of the facility are an improvement from the current facility. This new debt facility facilitates Aspen Group’s acquisition programme in the accommodation sector, under which we bought Tomago Van Village in NSW in August 2015 and the Adelaide Caravan Park in inner Adelaide, South Australia in October 2015.
We announced in September the proposed merger of Aspen Group and Aspen Parks Property Fund. A revised merger proposal was announced a few weeks ago. The merger represents the final stage in Aspen Group’s strategic journey to create a simplified business focused on owning, managing and developing value for money accommodation. The merger would deliver Aspen Group securityholders an increased exposure to a quality portfolio of assets, a forecast 28% increase in FY16 distributions to 12 cents per security up from 9 cents per security in FY15 and significant operating synergies estimated at $1.7 million per annum across the Merged Group. The Independent Expert has concluded that the revised merger proposal is in the best interests of both Aspen Group and Aspen Parks Property Fund securityholders. A securityholder meeting to approve the Revised Proposal is scheduled for Wednesday, 9 December 2015.
After the financial year end, Mr Hugh Martin tendered his resignation as Non-executive Director. Hugh served on the Board from April 2012. He also was interim CEO for a period and during that time was instrumental in the financial restructuring and equity raising which stabilised the Group. I would like to acknowledge and thank Hugh for his service to the Aspen Group and his support of me as Chairman.
Finally, I thank my fellow Board members and all Aspen staff for their dedication and hard work this past year. Most importantly, on behalf of the Board, I thank our fellow securityholders for their support of Aspen Group.
END
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Aspen Group Annual General Meeting
16 November 2015
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1
AGENDA
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1 Chairman’s report
2 CEO presentation
3 Resolutions
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1
Chairman’s report
Frank Zipfinger
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2
CEO presentation Clem Salwin
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FY15: DELIVERING ON STRATEGY
| Strategic focus | | Aspen is now substantially a pure-play accommodation business |
|---|---|---|
| | Strong thematics: demographics; affordability; public policy | |
| | Attractive asset pricing | |
| Accommodation operations |
| Strong performance in core residential / short-stay portfolio offset by weakness in the resources sector |
| | Karratha Village re-leased for further two years | |
| | Focus on both driving revenue and cost discipline | |
| Accommodation portfolio growth |
|
Aspen holds 42% of Aspen Parks Property Fund (APPF) $71m acquisitions at weighted yield of 10.0% (pre costs) |
| | Acquisitions weighted to permanent residents | |
| | Manufactured housing development underway | |
| Non-core asset | ||
| sales | | $108m of non-core asset sales announced or settled |
| | Spearwood South only material non-core asset remaining |
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FY15: DELIVERING ON STRATEGY
| Financial | ||
|---|---|---|
| performance | | FY15 group overheads reduced by a further 35% over FY14, reflecting strong cost focus |
| | Operating profit of $10.2m | |
| | NAV per security $1.26 – negatively impacted by devaluation of resources | |
| properties and Spearwood South | ||
| Disciplined | ||
| capital | | Strong balance sheet – 30 June 2015 look through gearing 22.5% |
| management | | Debt refinanced for both Aspen Group and APPF, extending maturities to |
| September 2017 | ||
| | Securities buyback completed at average price of $1.25 | |
| | Completion of APPF entitlement offer | |
| Attractive | ||
| distribution | | FY15 distribution of 9.0 cents per security consistent with guidance |
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ASPEN GROUP – THE BUSINESS
Strategy
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Aspen is now essentially a pure-play value for money accommodation business
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Combination of manufactured housing, residential, and traditional short-stay accommodation
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Maximise value within existing assets and development
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Continue to expand the portfolio with acquisitions that meet thematics
Competitive advantages/ market
positioning
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Fully integrated management platform:
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In-house operations, development and marketing teams
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Combine traditional residential and manufactured housing experience
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Scale business
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One of the largest operators in a consolidating sector
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Presence in every mainland state
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11 year experience in the sector
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POSITIVE INDUSTRY FUNDAMENTALS
| Demographics | | Increasing retiree population | |
|---|---|---|---|
| | Lengthening life expectancy | ||
| Inadequate savings drives requirement for capital release from residential |
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| down-sizing | |||
| More active, self-reliant lifestyle |
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| | Drives stronger volumes over time | ||
| Social policy | | Public policy | |
| Government has moved away from direct accommodation provision |
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| Approach is to focus on rental assistance |
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| | Social desire for ageing in-place | ||
| Market | | Housing affordability | |
| structure | Driver of increasing demand |
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| Residential down-sizing releases substantial equity |
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| Residential affordability remains a key issue |
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| | Land lease model is efficient and easy to understand, driving consumer | ||
| acceptance | |||
| | Highly fragmented industry – not highly corporatised |
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CASE STUDY – RETIREMENT POPULATION
Net growth in population aged 65+
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160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
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OUR CUSTOMERS
| Permanent | ||
|---|---|---|
| residents | | Largely retiree customers |
| | Land lease model (customer owns cabin) | |
| | Stable, high quality, annuity residential rental cashflows | |
| | Development margin on cabin sales | |
| Annual tourists | | Tourist customers |
| | Land lease model (customer owns cabin) | |
| | Annual rental streams | |
| Short-stay rentals/tourists |
| Tourist and business customers |
| | Lease of cabins and caravan sites | |
| | Short stay rentals, typically averaging less than one week | |
| Resource parks | | Business/contractors in resources sector and tourist customers |
| | Lease of cabins (typically contractors) and caravan sites (typically tourists) | |
| | Typically short stay rentals: up to several months to less than one week | |
| | Term lease in place at the Aspen Karratha Village (AKV) worker facility to | |
| January 2018 |
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SHIFTING BUSINESS FOCUS
Portfolio composition by sites
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6,000
5,000
20%
12%
4,000
23% 22%
3,000
43% 38%
2,000
1,000
22% 20%
0
30-Jun-14 Current1/2 (1)
Resources Short-stay Annuals Residential/permanents
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1 Including Adelaide Caravan park, settled on 21 October 2 Pro forma position of Merged Group
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THE PORTFOLIO
| Number of properties |
Value ($m) | % overall | Number of sites | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mixed residential/short stay | 15 | 143 | 57% | 3,459 |
| 100% short stay | 4 | 46 | 19% | 523 |
| 100% permanent | 2 | 19 | 7% | 260 |
| Resource – Aspen Karratha Village worker facility |
1 | 22 | 9% | 180 |
| Resource – other parks | 4 | 20 | 8% | 923 |
| Total | 26 | 250 | 100% | 5,345 |
| 34% |
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1 Pro forma position of Merged Group
1 CLUSTERS WITHIN A NATIONAL FOOTPRINT
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1 Pro forma position of Merged Group
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PROPERTY TYPES
| Mix of | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| permanent | | Mixed exposure is a frequent regulatory requirement | |
| residents and | | Greater flexibility to maximise the highest and best use of sites | |
| short-stay (57%) | | Ability to cross-sell to customers | |
| | Conversion potential | ||
| | Precincting an important focus of masterplanning to increase product attraction | ||
| | Competitive advantage to be able to manage mixed use parks and maximise | ||
| opportunities | |||
| 100% short-stay (19%) |
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Focus on strong, diversified short-stay customer bases Most exposure is in metropolitan Melbourne and Adelaide |
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| | Optionality of long-term land use | ||
| 100% | |||
| permanent | | Two recent acquisitions | |
| residents (8%) | | Stable residential yield plus development opportunities | |
| Resource parks (17%) |
|
One worker facility, largely leased to January 2018, underpinning income security Look to continue to reduce capital exposure by relocating cabins |
|
| | Focus on maximising operational efficiencies and grey-nomad tourism market |
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1 Pro forma position of Merged Group
OPERATING PLATFORM
| Scale operations |
|
11 year track record, with operations commencing in 2004 26 properties, located in every mainland state – 40% in NSW |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| | Over 400 employees | ||
| Strong | |||
| customer | | Over 200,000 customers on electronic database | |
| franchise | Competitive advantage of a large low cost, proprietary distribution channel |
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| Reflects business scale and time in business |
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| | Dedicated sales and marketing team | ||
| Integrated | |||
| digital strategy | | Spanning social media (facebook, twitter, instagram), on-line travel agencies (OTA) | |
| | Revamped APPF website launch in June 2015 | ||
| Yield | | Dynamic pricing to optimise rates and occupancies | |
| management | | Specialist in-house manager, applying hospitality industry techniques and statistical | |
| analysis | |||
| Operating | | Focus on asset clusters | |
| efficiencies | | Supplier efficiencies with scale |
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DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE
| In-house team | | Located in both Sydney and Perth |
|---|---|---|
| | Combine traditional residential, caravan park and manufactured housing | |
| experience | ||
| Development | | Creating high quality annuity rental streams |
| approach | | Market research/demographic driven |
| | Multiple suppliers of manufactured cabins | |
| Maximising | | Expansion of short stay cabins at Dubbo, NSW and Ashley Gardens, Melbourne |
| existing asset opportunities |
| Upgrade or conversion of existing sites, generating development margin and improved overall property underway at 6 properties |
| | Utilising vacant land | |
| Three development applications (DAs) in train to add approximately 200 sites |
||
| Expect to start delivery from late FY16 |
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| | Significant expansion in manufactured housing delivery, as pipeline ramps up from | |
| FY15 start | ||
| Continued | | Master-planning underway at five properties, to continue the multi-year growth |
| growth | momentum | |
| | Acquisitions buildpipeline – Tomago acquired with an inplace DA for 24 sites |
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STRONG ACQUISITION TRACK RECORD
| Clear criteria | ||
|---|---|---|
| | Locational focus on: metropolitan, existing asset clusters, or major regional | |
| population centres (especially east coast) | ||
| | Attractive income yields and development potential | |
| Adding to development |
| Focus on development/expansion upside |
| pipeline | | Positive demographics drive volume growth |
| | Very attractive return on capital employed and growth in annuity rental streams | |
| Mixed parks opportunity |
| Our existing scale operating platform facilitates acquisition and integration of mixed parks |
| | In turn, such acquisitions enhance and reinforce our scale advantage | |
| Ongoing pipeline |
| Continue to see good deal flow, building upon the seven acquisitions over the last |
| year | ||
| | Reflects fragmented industry/high individual ownership | |
| | Industry in early stages of consolidation/corporatisation |
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ACQUISITION CASE STUDY – MANDURAH GARDENS ESTATE
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THE MERGER PROPOSAL WITH APPF
Consideration for Aspen Group Securityholders
- One Merged Group security for each Aspen Group security
Consideration for APPF Securityholders
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Consideration represents a value of $0.60 per APPF security[(1)]
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Scrip Option: 0.42857 Merged Group securities for each APPF security[(2) ]
- Based on the current Aspen Group security price ($1.45 as at 13/11/15), equivalent to $0.62 per APPF security
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Cash Option: $0.60 per APPF security, subject to an overall cap of $40.5 million[(2)]
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Cash Option of $0.60 is equivalent to Scrip Option at $1.40 per Merged Group security
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The $40.5 million cap represents approximately 50% of total Merger consideration to APPF securityholders (other than Aspen Group)
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APPF securityholders may elect to receive a combination of the Scrip Option and Cash Option
Implementation
- Schemes of arrangement requiring approval by APPF securityholders and Aspen Group securityholders
Sunsuper/Discovery Unsolicited Offer
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Takeover offer for APPF at an all-cash price of $0.58 per security
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Takeover offer closes 7pm (Sydney time) 9 December
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1 Based on Aspen Group’s 10 day VWAP of $1.40 as at 23 October 2015 being the last trading day before the announcement of the Sunsuper / Discovery Unsolicited Offer. The implied value will change with movements in Aspen Group’s security price
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2 If demand for the Cash Option exceeds the cap, APPF securityholders will retain some Merged Group securities under a pro rata scale back, however they will have the option of selling these securities via a sale facility
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THE MERGER – ACCRETIVE TO DISTRIBUTIONS
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Aspen Group [1 ] APPF [2 ]
+28% +29%
FY16 DPS FY16 DPS
12.0 5.1
9.4 4.0
Current annualised
Current FY16 guidance Merged Group guidance Merged Group guidance
distribution rate [3 ]
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1 The Merged Group is forecasting an FY16 annualised distribution of 12.0 cents per Merged Group Security, based on 2H FY16 distribution forecast of 6.0 cents per Merged Group Security and no material change in business conditions. The APPF equivalent of 5.1 cents represents 12.0 cents multiplied by the revised merger ratio of 0.42857 Merged Group Securities for each APPF security
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2 For those APPF securityholders who retain Merged Group Securities
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3 Current distribution is the annualised income distribution rate as outlined in APPF’s Full Year Financial Results and Fund Update released on 24 August 2015
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THE MERGER – APPROPRIATE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
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50%
41%
40%
35%
Target
30% 25%-35%
28%
20%
20%
10%
0%
30 June 2015 pro forma Post sale of Spearwood South
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THE INDEPENDENT EXPERT VALUE RANGES
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INDICATIVE TIMETABLE
| Event | Indicative Date |
|---|---|
| Latest time and date to lodge proxy forms for Aspen Group Limited Scheme Meeting Latest time and date to lodge proxy forms for Aspen Group General Meetings in respect of Merger |
9:30am, 7 December 2015 10:00am, 7 December 2015 |
| Aspen Group Meetings | 9 December 2015 |
| Second Court Date (for approval of the Merger by the Court) | 11 December 2015 |
| Effective Date Last day of trading in existing Aspen Group securities |
14 December 2015 |
| Commence trading in Merged Group Securities on a deferred settlement basis (ASX code: APZDC) |
15 December 2015 |
| Record Date for Merger (including Aspen Group Special Distribution) | 7:00pm, 17 December 2015 |
| Implementation Date* | 22 December 2015 |
*The Implementation Date may be deferred if all Merger conditions have not been satisfied by 11 December 2015, being the Second Court Date
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CONCLUSION
- Aspen Group has undertaken a major strategic transition
Accommodation industry supported by strong fundamentals
Aspen is well positioned in the industry
- Already strong income yield generating business
Good growth potential
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Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by Aspen Group (“Aspen”) and should not be considered in any way to be an offer, invitation, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of any security, and neither this document nor anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. Prospective investors should make their own independent evaluation of an investment in Aspen. Nothing in this presentation constitutes investment, legal, tax or other advice. The information in this presentation does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. The information does not purport to constitute all of the information that a potential investor may require in making an investment decision.
Aspen has prepared this presentation based on information available to it. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information, opinions and conclusions contained in this presentation. To the maximum extent permitted by law, none of Aspen , its directors, employees or agents, nor any other person accepts any liability, including, without limitation, any liability arising from fault or negligence on the part of any of them or any other person, for any loss arising from the use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with it.
This presentation contains forward looking information. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings, distributions and financial position and performance are forward looking statements. Forward looking statements are based on Aspen Group’s current intentions, plans, expectations, assumptions, and beliefs about future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors which could cause actual results to differ materially. Aspen Group and its related bodies corporate and their respective directors, officers, employees, agents, and advisers do not give any assurance or guarantee that the occurrence of any forward-looking information, view or intention referred to in this presentation will actually occur as contemplated.
All references to dollar amounts are in Australian currency unless otherwise stated.
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