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ASPEN GROUP AGM Information 2015

Nov 15, 2015

64404_rns_2015-11-15_306167f2-581c-4abb-b084-da41a5de7011.pdf

AGM Information

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Aspen Group Limited
ABN 50 004 160 927
Aspen Property Trust
ARSN 104 807 767
Level 18, 9 Hunter Street
Sydney NSW 2000
Telephone: 02 9151 7500
Facsimile: 02 9151 7599
Email: [email protected]
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ASX ANNOUNCEMENT 16 November 2015

Aspen Group Annual General Meeting 2015

Please see attached copies of the Chairman’s address and the Chief Executive Officer presentation to be presented at the Annual General Meeting of Aspen Group today in the Wills Room, Chartered Accountants Conference Centre, 33 Erskine Street, Sydney, NSW at 9:30am.

For further information please contact: For media enquiries: Clem Salwin David Tasker Chief Executive Officer Professional Public Relations Phone: (+61) 2 9151 7500 Phone: (+61) 8 9388 0944 Email: [email protected] Mobile: (+61) 433 112 936 Email: [email protected]

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Chairman’s Address

Good morning Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome to our 2015 Annual General Meeting. My name is Frank Zipfinger. I am the Non-Executive Chairman of Aspen Group, and I have the privilege of being your Chairman for this meeting.

In my Chairman’s Report this year I will provide you with a brief overview of the 2015 financial year, reflecting on how we have progressed with our strategy of building a leading A-REIT focused on the accommodation sector. Aspen Group has substantially achieved the objective to become a structurally simple business focussed on value for money accommodation, with a more effective capital structure and a more efficient cost base. Aspen is now largely a pure play accommodation business.

During the 2015 financial year, most of the remaining non-core development assets were sold or contracted for sale, with the key unsold non-core asset being the Spearwood South industrial property. The two remaining debt facilities, in Aspen Group and Aspen Parks Property Fund (APPF), were both extended to September 2017 and on more favourable terms. As the business has simplified, overhead costs have been reduced markedly. Group overheads were down nearly 24% over the first half, reflecting in part the lower cost base of the business due to the relocation to Sydney. For the full year, overhead costs were down nearly 35%.

Operating profit before tax for the year of $10.2 million was down 31% on FY14. This fall largely reflects the progress Aspen Group has made in its strategy of divesting non-core assets. Over the past four years, Aspen Group has sold approximately $500m of non-core assets in some 35 transactions.

Aspen Group’s gearing was 35.1% at 30 June 2015 which has increased from nil at 30 June 2014, primarily reflecting the consolidation of APPF. On a “look through” basis (adjusting for the APPF consolidation), gearing was 22.5% at 30 June 2015. Importantly distributions declared for the 2015 financial year totalled 9.0 cents per security, in line with guidance.

It is disappointing to report that Aspen Group recorded a statutory loss for the year of $30.8 million, due largely to further declines in asset values in the resources sector. There was also an impairment of the unsold Spearwood South industrial property.

Income at the parks operating in the resources sector also continues to decline significantly. This reflects the severe cyclical downturn in the resources sector generally, which has been well documented. We are seeking to minimise costs and maintain occupancy volumes in the face of ongoing and significant headwinds in this sector.

However, Aspen Group has secured a lease extension at the Aspen Karratha Village for 150 of the 180 rooms, for 2 years until January 2018, so underpinning the stability of income, albeit at lower earnings levels. Based only on this 83% occupancy, the independent property valuation represents a 12% income yield.

Three resort/tourist properties in Western Australia which are in remote locations, with highly seasonal demand and challenged by competition from holidays involving cheap airfares to Asia, were sold and settled following the 2015 financial year in September.

As per my letter in the 2015 Annual Report, our key aims in FY16 are to: drive operational returns from our existing assets via initiatives around both revenue and costs; continue to deliver on and

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expand our manufactured housing development pipeline, grow our high quality annuity residential rental streams; complete the exit from the remaining non-core assets; and maintain discipline in assessing acquisition and development opportunities.

Turning to the remuneration report, the outcomes in 2015 mirrored our simplification strategy. In particular:

  • all key management personnel fixed remuneration and directors’ fees were maintained at prior year levels;

  • the short term incentive (STI) pool allocation for FY15 was reduced to 50% of the maximum pool available;

  • the average percentage awarded of the maximum STI opportunity was 25%;

  • the STI awarded to the CEO was down 44% compared to the FY14 award;

  • the deferral period for any short term incentives has been increased to 18 months from 12 months; and

  • performance rights which were due to vest at 30 June 2015 were cancelled as they did not meet the performance criteria set by the Board.

Heading into 2016 we will continue to review our remuneration strategy. Particular focus will be on the long term incentive hurdles to ensure they are appropriate for the business model and remain aligned with the interests of our securityholders.

As part of our ongoing capital management and as mentioned earlier, Aspen has secured an extended debt facility with its primary financier in July 2015. The debt limit has increased to $60 million (previously $40 million), with the maturity date extended to September 2017 (previously August 2016). Other terms of the facility are an improvement from the current facility. This new debt facility facilitates Aspen Group’s acquisition programme in the accommodation sector, under which we bought Tomago Van Village in NSW in August 2015 and the Adelaide Caravan Park in inner Adelaide, South Australia in October 2015.

We announced in September the proposed merger of Aspen Group and Aspen Parks Property Fund. A revised merger proposal was announced a few weeks ago. The merger represents the final stage in Aspen Group’s strategic journey to create a simplified business focused on owning, managing and developing value for money accommodation. The merger would deliver Aspen Group securityholders an increased exposure to a quality portfolio of assets, a forecast 28% increase in FY16 distributions to 12 cents per security up from 9 cents per security in FY15 and significant operating synergies estimated at $1.7 million per annum across the Merged Group. The Independent Expert has concluded that the revised merger proposal is in the best interests of both Aspen Group and Aspen Parks Property Fund securityholders. A securityholder meeting to approve the Revised Proposal is scheduled for Wednesday, 9 December 2015.

After the financial year end, Mr Hugh Martin tendered his resignation as Non-executive Director. Hugh served on the Board from April 2012. He also was interim CEO for a period and during that time was instrumental in the financial restructuring and equity raising which stabilised the Group. I would like to acknowledge and thank Hugh for his service to the Aspen Group and his support of me as Chairman.

Finally, I thank my fellow Board members and all Aspen staff for their dedication and hard work this past year. Most importantly, on behalf of the Board, I thank our fellow securityholders for their support of Aspen Group.

END

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Aspen Group Annual General Meeting

16 November 2015

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1

AGENDA

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1 Chairman’s report

2 CEO presentation

3 Resolutions

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1

Chairman’s report

Frank Zipfinger

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2

CEO presentation Clem Salwin

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FY15: DELIVERING ON STRATEGY

Strategic focus Aspen is now substantially a pure-play accommodation business
Strong thematics: demographics; affordability; public policy
Attractive asset pricing
Accommodation
operations
Strong performance in core residential / short-stay portfolio offset by weakness
in the resources sector
Karratha Village re-leased for further two years
Focus on both driving revenue and cost discipline
Accommodation
portfolio growth

Aspen holds 42% of Aspen Parks Property Fund (APPF)
$71m acquisitions at weighted yield of 10.0% (pre costs)
Acquisitions weighted to permanent residents
Manufactured housing development underway
Non-core asset
sales $108m of non-core asset sales announced or settled
Spearwood South only material non-core asset remaining

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FY15: DELIVERING ON STRATEGY

Financial
performance FY15 group overheads reduced by a further 35% over FY14, reflecting strong
cost focus
Operating profit of $10.2m
NAV per security $1.26 – negatively impacted by devaluation of resources
properties and Spearwood South
Disciplined
capital Strong balance sheet – 30 June 2015 look through gearing 22.5%
management Debt refinanced for both Aspen Group and APPF, extending maturities to
September 2017
Securities buyback completed at average price of $1.25
Completion of APPF entitlement offer
Attractive
distribution FY15 distribution of 9.0 cents per security consistent with guidance

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ASPEN GROUP – THE BUSINESS

Strategy

  • Aspen is now essentially a pure-play value for money accommodation business

  • Combination of manufactured housing, residential, and traditional short-stay accommodation

  • Maximise value within existing assets and development

  • Continue to expand the portfolio with acquisitions that meet thematics

Competitive advantages/ market

positioning

  • Fully integrated management platform:

  • In-house operations, development and marketing teams

  • Combine traditional residential and manufactured housing experience

  • Scale business

  • One of the largest operators in a consolidating sector

  • Presence in every mainland state

  • 11 year experience in the sector

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POSITIVE INDUSTRY FUNDAMENTALS

Demographics Increasing retiree population
Lengthening life expectancy

Inadequate savings drives requirement for capital release from residential
down-sizing

More active, self-reliant lifestyle
Drives stronger volumes over time
Social policy Public policy

Government has moved away from direct accommodation provision

Approach is to focus on rental assistance
Social desire for ageing in-place
Market Housing affordability
structure
Driver of increasing demand

Residential down-sizing releases substantial equity

Residential affordability remains a key issue
Land lease model is efficient and easy to understand, driving consumer
acceptance
Highly fragmented industry – not highly corporatised

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CASE STUDY – RETIREMENT POPULATION

Net growth in population aged 65+

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160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
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OUR CUSTOMERS

Permanent
residents Largely retiree customers
Land lease model (customer owns cabin)
Stable, high quality, annuity residential rental cashflows
Development margin on cabin sales
Annual tourists Tourist customers
Land lease model (customer owns cabin)
Annual rental streams
Short-stay
rentals/tourists
Tourist and business customers
Lease of cabins and caravan sites
Short stay rentals, typically averaging less than one week
Resource parks Business/contractors in resources sector and tourist customers
Lease of cabins (typically contractors) and caravan sites (typically tourists)
Typically short stay rentals: up to several months to less than one week
Term lease in place at the Aspen Karratha Village (AKV) worker facility to
January 2018

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SHIFTING BUSINESS FOCUS

Portfolio composition by sites

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6,000
5,000
20%
12%
4,000
23% 22%
3,000
43% 38%
2,000
1,000
22% 20%
0
30-Jun-14 Current1/2 (1)
Resources Short-stay Annuals Residential/permanents
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1 Including Adelaide Caravan park, settled on 21 October 2 Pro forma position of Merged Group

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1

THE PORTFOLIO

Number of
properties
Value ($m) % overall Number of sites
Mixed residential/short stay 15 143 57% 3,459
100% short stay 4 46 19% 523
100% permanent 2 19 7% 260
Resource – Aspen Karratha Village worker
facility
1 22 9% 180
Resource – other parks 4 20 8% 923
Total 26 250 100% 5,345
34%

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1 Pro forma position of Merged Group

1 CLUSTERS WITHIN A NATIONAL FOOTPRINT

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1 Pro forma position of Merged Group

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PROPERTY TYPES

Mix of
permanent Mixed exposure is a frequent regulatory requirement
residents and Greater flexibility to maximise the highest and best use of sites
short-stay (57%) Ability to cross-sell to customers
Conversion potential
Precincting an important focus of masterplanning to increase product attraction
Competitive advantage to be able to manage mixed use parks and maximise
opportunities
100% short-stay
(19%)

Focus on strong, diversified short-stay customer bases
Most exposure is in metropolitan Melbourne and Adelaide
Optionality of long-term land use
100%
permanent Two recent acquisitions
residents (8%) Stable residential yield plus development opportunities
Resource parks
(17%)

One worker facility, largely leased to January 2018, underpinning income security
Look to continue to reduce capital exposure by relocating cabins
Focus on maximising operational efficiencies and grey-nomad tourism market

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1 Pro forma position of Merged Group

OPERATING PLATFORM

Scale
operations

11 year track record, with operations commencing in 2004
26 properties, located in every mainland state – 40% in NSW
Over 400 employees
Strong
customer Over 200,000 customers on electronic database
franchise
Competitive advantage of a large low cost, proprietary distribution channel

Reflects business scale and time in business
Dedicated sales and marketing team
Integrated
digital strategy Spanning social media (facebook, twitter, instagram), on-line travel agencies (OTA)
Revamped APPF website launch in June 2015
Yield Dynamic pricing to optimise rates and occupancies
management Specialist in-house manager, applying hospitality industry techniques and statistical
analysis
Operating Focus on asset clusters
efficiencies Supplier efficiencies with scale

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DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE

In-house team Located in both Sydney and Perth
Combine traditional residential, caravan park and manufactured housing
experience
Development Creating high quality annuity rental streams
approach Market research/demographic driven
Multiple suppliers of manufactured cabins
Maximising Expansion of short stay cabins at Dubbo, NSW and Ashley Gardens, Melbourne
existing asset
opportunities
Upgrade or conversion of existing sites, generating development margin and
improved overall property underway at 6 properties
Utilising vacant land

Three development applications (DAs) in train to add approximately 200 sites

Expect to start delivery from late FY16
Significant expansion in manufactured housing delivery, as pipeline ramps up from
FY15 start
Continued Master-planning underway at five properties, to continue the multi-year growth
growth momentum
Acquisitions buildpipeline – Tomago acquired with an inplace DA for 24 sites

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STRONG ACQUISITION TRACK RECORD

Clear criteria
Locational focus on: metropolitan, existing asset clusters, or major regional
population centres (especially east coast)
Attractive income yields and development potential
Adding to
development
Focus on development/expansion upside
pipeline Positive demographics drive volume growth
Very attractive return on capital employed and growth in annuity rental streams
Mixed parks
opportunity
Our existing scale operating platform facilitates acquisition and integration of mixed
parks
In turn, such acquisitions enhance and reinforce our scale advantage
Ongoing
pipeline
Continue to see good deal flow, building upon the seven acquisitions over the last
year
Reflects fragmented industry/high individual ownership
Industry in early stages of consolidation/corporatisation

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ACQUISITION CASE STUDY – MANDURAH GARDENS ESTATE

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THE MERGER PROPOSAL WITH APPF

Consideration for Aspen Group Securityholders

  • One Merged Group security for each Aspen Group security

Consideration for APPF Securityholders

  • Consideration represents a value of $0.60 per APPF security[(1)]

  • Scrip Option: 0.42857 Merged Group securities for each APPF security[(2) ]

    • Based on the current Aspen Group security price ($1.45 as at 13/11/15), equivalent to $0.62 per APPF security
  • Cash Option: $0.60 per APPF security, subject to an overall cap of $40.5 million[(2)]

    • Cash Option of $0.60 is equivalent to Scrip Option at $1.40 per Merged Group security

    • The $40.5 million cap represents approximately 50% of total Merger consideration to APPF securityholders (other than Aspen Group)

  • APPF securityholders may elect to receive a combination of the Scrip Option and Cash Option

Implementation

  • Schemes of arrangement requiring approval by APPF securityholders and Aspen Group securityholders

Sunsuper/Discovery Unsolicited Offer

  • Takeover offer for APPF at an all-cash price of $0.58 per security

  • Takeover offer closes 7pm (Sydney time) 9 December

  • 1 Based on Aspen Group’s 10 day VWAP of $1.40 as at 23 October 2015 being the last trading day before the announcement of the Sunsuper / Discovery Unsolicited Offer. The implied value will change with movements in Aspen Group’s security price

  • 2 If demand for the Cash Option exceeds the cap, APPF securityholders will retain some Merged Group securities under a pro rata scale back, however they will have the option of selling these securities via a sale facility

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THE MERGER – ACCRETIVE TO DISTRIBUTIONS

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Aspen Group [1 ] APPF [2 ]
+28% +29%
FY16 DPS FY16 DPS
12.0 5.1
9.4 4.0
Current annualised
Current FY16 guidance Merged Group guidance Merged Group guidance
distribution rate [3 ]
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  • 1 The Merged Group is forecasting an FY16 annualised distribution of 12.0 cents per Merged Group Security, based on 2H FY16 distribution forecast of 6.0 cents per Merged Group Security and no material change in business conditions. The APPF equivalent of 5.1 cents represents 12.0 cents multiplied by the revised merger ratio of 0.42857 Merged Group Securities for each APPF security

  • 2 For those APPF securityholders who retain Merged Group Securities

  • 3 Current distribution is the annualised income distribution rate as outlined in APPF’s Full Year Financial Results and Fund Update released on 24 August 2015

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THE MERGER – APPROPRIATE CAPITAL STRUCTURE

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50%
41%
40%
35%
Target
30% 25%-35%
28%
20%
20%
10%
0%
30 June 2015 pro forma Post sale of Spearwood South
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THE INDEPENDENT EXPERT VALUE RANGES

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INDICATIVE TIMETABLE

Event Indicative Date
Latest time and date to lodge proxy forms for Aspen Group Limited
Scheme Meeting
Latest time and date to lodge proxy forms for Aspen Group General
Meetings in respect of Merger
9:30am, 7 December 2015
10:00am, 7 December 2015
Aspen Group Meetings 9 December 2015
Second Court Date (for approval of the Merger by the Court) 11 December 2015
Effective Date
Last day of trading in existing Aspen Group securities
14 December 2015
Commence trading in Merged Group Securities on a deferred settlement
basis (ASX code: APZDC)
15 December 2015
Record Date for Merger (including Aspen Group Special Distribution) 7:00pm, 17 December 2015
Implementation Date* 22 December 2015

*The Implementation Date may be deferred if all Merger conditions have not been satisfied by 11 December 2015, being the Second Court Date

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CONCLUSION

  • Aspen Group has undertaken a major strategic transition

 Accommodation industry supported by strong fundamentals

 Aspen is well positioned in the industry

  • Already strong income yield generating business

 Good growth potential

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Disclaimer

This presentation has been prepared by Aspen Group (“Aspen”) and should not be considered in any way to be an offer, invitation, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of any security, and neither this document nor anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. Prospective investors should make their own independent evaluation of an investment in Aspen. Nothing in this presentation constitutes investment, legal, tax or other advice. The information in this presentation does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. The information does not purport to constitute all of the information that a potential investor may require in making an investment decision.

Aspen has prepared this presentation based on information available to it. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information, opinions and conclusions contained in this presentation. To the maximum extent permitted by law, none of Aspen , its directors, employees or agents, nor any other person accepts any liability, including, without limitation, any liability arising from fault or negligence on the part of any of them or any other person, for any loss arising from the use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with it.

This presentation contains forward looking information. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings, distributions and financial position and performance are forward looking statements. Forward looking statements are based on Aspen Group’s current intentions, plans, expectations, assumptions, and beliefs about future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors which could cause actual results to differ materially. Aspen Group and its related bodies corporate and their respective directors, officers, employees, agents, and advisers do not give any assurance or guarantee that the occurrence of any forward-looking information, view or intention referred to in this presentation will actually occur as contemplated.

All references to dollar amounts are in Australian currency unless otherwise stated.

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