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Aryzta AG

Investor Presentation Mar 30, 2015

818_ip_2015-03-30_5f1de0ca-b8f8-4b01-9f91-57bae9a1c9e3.pdf

Investor Presentation

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ARYZTA AG Strategic Investment in Picard

31 March 2015

This document contains forward looking statements which reflect management's current views and estimates.

The forward looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures and regulatory developments.

Investment Transaction

  • ARYZTA in exclusive negotiations to invest in Picard (www.picard.fr), acquiring a 49% stake from Lion Capital, subject to regulatory approvals
  • Picard to consult with its works council in connection with the investment
  • Picard Financials:
  • March Financial Year-end

  • Revenue of €1.37bn

  • EBITDA of €192m (March 2015 run-rate)

Transaction Summary:

  • Enterprise Value of €2,250m

  • Net Debt of €1,341m1 (Gross Debt of €1,420m, Net Debt to EBITDA of 7.0x, Weighted average cost of interest 6.3%)

  • Equity of €909m

  • Base consideration of €446.6m
  • Largely funded through the disposal of non-core assets, primarily net proceeds from the Origin placement of c. €400m (net of fees and taxes)
  • Call option to acquire the remaining 51% in FY 2019 FY 2021
  • Picard debt non-recourse to ARYZTA
  • Net Underlying EPS benefit in a full year of +3%
  • 1 Includes cash, debt like items and working capital adjustment
  • 3 © ARYZTA, March 2015

Picard Overview

Picard at a Glance


First store opened in Paris 40 years ago
Picard network in France (928 stores –
September 2014)
#1 undisputed
leader in frozen

Category captain with c.19% market share
North
food retail in
France

Sales of €1.3bn in FY14, doubled over
the last decade
58 stores
Corsica
East
Paris area
2 stores

Voted favourite brand in France in 2014
ahead of Amazon¹
42 stores
339 stores
West
125 stores
La Réunion
7 stores
Center East
High quality
food with a
wide product
offering of over
1,100 SKUs

97% of sales are Picard branded2
Center West
94 stores
41 stores

Ingredients and ready meals covering all
categories and consumption occasions
South East
144 stores

Continuous product innovation with
in-house team developing c.200 new
SKUs each year
South West
76 stores
FY14 sales split by product
Extensive
proximity store
network, fully
controlled

987 company operated stores as of
September 2014: 9283 in France, 38 in
Italy, 14 in Belgium and 7 in Sweden
Bakery
Grocery
Desserts
2%
2%
7%
Ice cream
Fruit &
8%

Average store size of 240sqm; high
consistency of store metrics
Vegetables
19%
Meat
12%

Nearly 90% of stores leased
Fish
Meals
17%
Outsourced
manufacturing
and logistics

c.200 suppliers
16%

10 warehouses
Starters
17%

Exception: Home delivery4 last mile
transport
Notes: Fiscal year (FY) ends on March 31
1. Source: OC&C Strategy Consultants
2. Remaining sales being a few selected brands like Häagen-Dazs, Charal, Bonne Maman and Ben & Jerry's

5 © ARYZTA, March 2015

  1. Including franchised stores in Corsica (2) and La Reunion (7)

  2. Home delivery represents 1.7% of FY14 group sales

Picard's Broad Customer Proposition

6 © ARYZTA, March 2015 1 Material success of products specially prepared for Christmas, New Year's celebrations, Valentine's Day, etc.

Largest Offering in the Industry

Source: Nielsen

Note: Including private label and branded products

7 © ARYZTA, March 2015

Four Different Types of Complementary Retail Formats

1
Pedestrian
stores
2
Urban stores
3
Traffic
area
4
Hypermarkets
Description Dense urban area,
customers come
by foot
and
live within
a three to
five minute walk
Customers are 70%
pedestrians
30% car
and
-
drivers
Located along regional
main
roads,
private
parking lots
Large
shopping
centers
most often at the
periphery of
large and
medium
sized cities
Proportion of
Stores
26% 17% 34% 23%
Average selling
area (sqm)
c.195 c.255 c.255 c.267

Four complementary formats enabling Picard to compete with any single food retailer across the country

Emerging Consumer Trends to Benefit Picard

  • Renowned market leader in speciality food innovation
  • Focused on the growth trends around Premium, Convenience, Indulgence and Health
  • On-trend solution for consumer
  • Always fresh from the freezer

  • Convenience in the kitchen

  • Clean label

  • Food waste reduction

  • Expanding interest in home cooking

  • On-trend positioned
  • Growth in on-line shopping1

  • Increased impact of technology on lifestyles and home appliances

1 "Europe's New Ice Age" - Rabobank Industry Note #462, November 2014 David Roeg, Senior Analyst Consumer Foods, Rabobank International, Telephone: +31 30 712 15 72

  • Diversifies ARYZTA's B2B profile into an adjacent B2C sector
  • Investment partner has a strong track record in the consumer brand space
  • Complements ARYZTA's 10-year track record in the French speciality food sector
  • Consistent with ARYZTA's strategy to be relevant to consumers across all channels
  • Picard is asset light, separately managed and financed
  • No distraction for bakery management who remain focused on delivering improved organic growth performance as outlined in H1 results
  • Low-risk entry strategy No integration risk No exceptional charges
  • Replaces a highly predictable agri investment with a highly predictable food investment
  • Strategically moving up the value chain directly to consumer

Investment Strategy & Summary

Investment Strategy

  • Picard investment and contribution will be treated as an associate
  • Net Underlying EPS benefit in a full-year will be +3%, offsetting half of the negative 6% impact of the Origin placement
  • Picard debt non-recourse to ARYZTA
  • Disciplined and low risk funding approach
  • Initial stake largely funded by non-core disposal (Origin placement)
  • ARYZTA Bakeries' free cash generation run rate expected to accelerate
  • Bakery capacity optimisation expected to provide four-year headroom to grow organic revenue, while minimising bakery investment CapEx
  • ARYZTA balance sheet forecast to deleverage
  • Call option in FY 2019 FY 2021, if exercised, could be funded from the resultant deleveraged balance sheet, without diluting shareholder equity

Potential Picard and AFS Future Synergies

  • ARYZTA reinvesting Origin placement proceeds in a low-risk premium food partnership
  • Replaces a highly predictable agri invesment with a highly predictable food investment
  • Consistent with ARYZTA's strategy to increase relevance to consumers
  • Provides an attractive entry to B2C adjacent to ARYZTA's B2P (Business to Professional) platform
  • Picard has grown revenue and EBITDA by c. 3% (5-year CAGR)
  • Picard has grown market share by c. 2% (5-year CAGR)
  • Supportive of margin sustainability at the mid-teen level
  • Limited investor downside risk
  • Potential opportunity to expand speciality food directly to the consumer and move up the value chain

Appendix 1

14 © ARYZTA, March 2015

Clear Unchanged Bakery Strategy

  • No distractions for bakery performance
  • A period of calm will allow the market to fully assess bakery sustainable underlying performance without disruptions

  • The weak underlying revenue growth in bakeries has been subject to criticism

  • Picard investment does not mean bakery consolidation is unattractive
  • Will continue to strategically consolidate

  • Picard B2C platform diversification consistent with our strategy of relevance

Picard and AFS Synergies

  • Business model
  • Asset light

  • Speciality Food

  • Two complementary channels professional and consumer

  • Innovation
  • Similar R&D platforms

  • Revenue driven by new product innovation

  • Revenue
  • Potential to energise the entire Picard and AFS offering to both complementary customers bases using a single platform

  • Operational
  • Procurement

  • Distribution

  • Revenue
  • Refinancing Picard debt on consolidation at significantly more favourable rates

Picard Financial Performance

  • Picard has consistently grown revenue and EBITDA by c. 3% (5‐year CAGR)
  • Revenue growth driven by LfL sales (c. 1.2%) and new stores opening (c. 2%)
  • Picard has consistently grown market share by c. 2% (5‐year CAGR)

ARYZTA to Maintain Investment Grade on Picard Consolidation

  • Bakery Investment CapEx €300m in FY 2015, €200m in FY 2016 matching depreciation thereafter
  • Bakery free cash expansion (after investment CapEx) to accelerate to run rate of €450m after FY 2017 onwards
  • Delivering ARYZTA balance sheet deleverage of >€1 bn by FY 2019
  • Bakery EBITDA current run rate is €700m
  • Bakery capacity optimisation and CapEx plan provides potential revenue growth headroom of €1bn over the next four/five years
  • Bakery EBITDA trend potential of c.€900m by FY 2019 / FY 2020
  • Consolidating Picard adds €200+ to EBITDA
  • Consolidation of Picard achievable while maintaining investment grade status

Thank you!

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