Investor Presentation • Mar 11, 2012
Investor Presentation
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12 March 2012
This document contains forward looking statements which reflect management's current views and estimates.
The forward looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures and regulatory developments.
Year ended 31 July 2011
Year ended 31 July 2011
Bread Rolls&Artisan Loaves
43% 1 Sweet Baked Goods & Morning Goods include cookies, muffins, doughnuts, croissants and other morning goods.
6 month period ended 31 January 2012
| in Euro '000 | January 2012 | January 2011 | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group revenue | 1,911,456 | 1,894,272 | 0.9% |
| EBITA | 178,832 | 173,118 | 3.3% |
| EBITA margin | 9.4% | 9.1% | |
| Associates and JVs, net | 7,567 | 10,729 | |
| EBITA incl. associates and JVs | 186,399 | 183,847 | 1.4% |
| Finance cost, net | (31,679) | (36,713) | |
| Hybrid instrument accrued dividend | (8,240) | (3,911) | |
| Pre-tax profits | 146,480 | 143,223 | |
| Income tax | (19,968) | (20,684) | |
| Non-controlling interests | (3,909) | (6,263) | |
| Underlying fully diluted net profit | 122,603 | 116,276 | 5.4% |
| Underlying fully diluted EPS (cent)1 | 145.6c | 140.3c | 3.8% |
1 ARYZTA Group January 2012 underlying fully diluted EPS calculated using the weighted average number of diluted shares for the period of 84,176,373 (H1 2011: 82,856,277).
| Food N. | Food | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in Euro million | Food Europe | America | Rest of World | Food Group | Origin | Total |
| Group revenue | 629.0 | 669.3 | 105.7 | 1,404.0 | 507.4 | 1,911.4 |
| Underlying growth | (0.3)% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Acquisitions and disposals | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | (20.8)% | (3.2)% |
| Currency | 1.3% | (1.9)% | 1.5% | (0.2)% | (2.3)% | (0.8)% |
| Revenue Growth | 7.5% | 9.6% | 21.0% | 9.4% | (17.0)% | 0.9% |
| in Euro '000 | January 2012 | January 2011 | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Food Group | |||
| Food Europe | 74,164 | 66,004 | 12.4% |
| Food North America | 84,955 | 76,953 | 10.4% |
| Food Rest of World | 13,851 | 12,520 | 10.6% |
| Total Food Group | 172,970 | 155,477 | 11.3% |
| Origin | 5,862 | 17,641 | (66.8)% |
| Total Group EBITA | 178,832 | 173,118 | 3.3% |
| Associates & JVs, net | |||
| Food JVs | 502 | 4,328 | (88.4)% |
| Origin associates & JV | 7,065 | 6,401 | 10.4% |
| Total associates & JVs, net | 7,567 | 10,729 | (29.5)% |
| Total EBITA incl. associates and JVs | 186,399 | 183,847 | 1.4% |
| in Euro '000 | January 2012 | January 2011 | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group revenue | 1,404,035 | 1,283,194 | 9.4% |
| EBITA | 172,970 | 155,477 | 11.3% |
| EBITA margin | 12.3% | 12.1% | |
| JVs, net | 502 | 4,328 | |
| EBITA incl. JVs | 173,472 | 159,805 | 8.6% |
| Finance costs, net | (28,555) | (30,590) | |
| Hybrid instrument accrued dividend | (8,240) | (3,911) | |
| Pre-tax profits | 136,677 | 125,304 | |
| Income tax | (19,236) | (18,580) | |
| Non-controlling interests | (1,818) | (1,716) | |
| Underlying net profit | 115,623 | 105,008 | 10.1% |
6 month period ended 31 January 2012
| in Euro '000 | January 2012 | January 2011 |
|---|---|---|
| EBIT | 125,960 | 113,000 |
| Amortisation | 47,010 | 42,477 |
| EBITA | 172,970 | 155,477 |
| Depreciation | 43,838 | 41,545 |
| EBITDA | 216,808 | 197,022 |
| Working capital movement | (21,883) | (15,911) |
| Working capital movement from debt factoring | (9,545) | (587) |
| Dividends received1 | 10,567 | 12,967 |
| Maintenance capital expenditure | (22,032) | (22,092) |
| Interest and tax | (44,494) | (50,894) |
| Other non-cash income charges | 1,821 | 5,165 |
| Cash flows generated from activities | 131,242 | 125,670 |
| Investment capital expenditure2 | (36,802) | (26,199) |
| Cash flows generated from activities after investment capital expenditure | 94,440 | 99,471 |
| Underlying net profit | 115,623 | 105,008 |
1 Includes dividend received from Origin of €10,450,000 (H1 2011 €8,550,000).
2 Includes expenditure on intangible assets.
6 month period ended 31 January 2012
| in Euro '000 | Period ended 31 January 2012 |
Period ended 31 January 2011 |
|---|---|---|
| Food Group opening net debt as at 1 August | (955,468) | (1,115,623) |
| Cash flows generated from activities | 131,242 | 125,670 |
| Share placement | 140,854 | – |
| Hybrid instrument proceeds | – | 285,061 |
| Net debt cost of acquisitions | (100,959) | (316,563) |
| Transaction and restructuring related cash flows | (33,213) | (22,756) |
| Investment capital expenditure1 | (36,802) | (26,199) |
| Deferred consideration | (7,247) | (12,089) |
| Dividends paid | (2,255) | (2,066) |
| Hybrid dividend | (16,305) | – |
| Foreign exchange movement2 | (73,855) | 19,606 |
| Amortisation of financing costs and other | 1,655 | 985 |
| Food Group closing net debt as at 31 January | (952,353) | (1,063,974) |
1 Includes expenditure on intangible assets.
2 Foreign exchange movement is primarily attributable to the fluctuation in the U.S. Dollar between July 2011 (1.4323) and January 2012 (1.3149).
Excluding Origin – non-recourse financing facilities
2 Total hybrid instrument amount outstanding CHF 400m.
1 Incorporating the drawn amount on Revolving Credit Facility of €254.2m and excluding hybrid instrument.
| in Euro '000 | Non-Cash | Cash | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Transaction related costs | – | (805) | (805) |
| Asset write-downs | (300) | – | (300) |
| Restructuring related costs | – | (13,981) | (13,981) |
| Total income statement impact | (300) | (14,786) | (15,086) |
– Severance payments accounted for 49% of costs arising on integration during the period
– Other costs primarily include; integration advisory and operational site decommissioning
| Internal investment expenditure p.a. | €100m |
|---|---|
| Non-recurring cash costs over 2 years (FY 2012 & FY 2013) | €100m |
– FY 2015 Food Group target return on investment 15%+ from underlying Food business equates to an average increment of 100-150bps per annum in ROI
Market share gains for large retail and LSR
Leverage key customer relationships to grow revenue
Inflation/Volatility for Primary Food Categories
Source: Bloomberg first deliverable generic commodity futures.
1 FY 2005- 2008 data based on IAWS Foods Business performance.
| Food Europe | Food North America | Food Rest of World | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. of consumers1 | 342m | No. of consumers1 | 341m | No. of consumers1 | 389m |
| Gross National Income1 | €10.0tn | Gross National Income1 | €12.0tn | Gross National Income1 | €5.9tn |
| GNI per Capita1 | €29.2k | GNI per Capita1 | €35.3k | GNI per Capita1 | €15.3k |
| Revenue (FY 2011) | €1.18bn | Revenue (FY 2011) | €1.21bn | Revenue (FY 2011) | €180m |
| Employees (FY 2011) | >5,000 | Employees (FY 2011) | >5,000 | Employees (FY 2011) | >900 |
| Net assets (FY 2011) | €1.4bn | Net assets (FY 2011) | €1.6bn | Net assets (FY 2011) | €253m |
1 Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2011 report.
7%
21% 23%
1 FY 2005 – 2008 ROI based on IAWS Foods Business performance. FY 2009 - 2011 ROI represents ARYZTA Food Group ROI calculated on a trailing twelve months EBITA including pro forma contribution from acquisitions in each period.
ARYZTA ATI is key enabler
To sustain growth strategies across all channels
Appointed executive management teams in Europe and North America
Post ATI – accelerated pay-back from future bolt-on acquisitions
6 month period ended 31 January 2012
| in Euro '000 | January 2012 | January 2011 | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group revenue | 507,421 | 611,078 | (17.0)% |
| EBITA | 5,862 | 17,641 | (66.8)% |
| EBITA margin | 1.2% | 2.9 % | |
| Associates and JV, net | 7,065 | 6,401 | |
| EBITA incl. associates and JV | 12,927 | 24,042 | (46.2)% |
| Finance costs, net | (3,124) | (6,123) | |
| Pre-tax profits | 9,803 | 17,919 | |
| Income tax | (732) | (2,104) | |
| Underlying net profit | 9,071 | 15,815 | (42.7)% |
| Adjusted fully diluted EPS (cent)1 | 6.53c | 11.45c | (43.0)% |
1 Origin H1 2012 underlying fully diluted EPS is calculated using the weighted average number of diluted shares for the period of 138,499,154 (H1 2011: 138,098,000).
6 month period ended 31 January 2012
| in Euro '000 | January 2012 |
|---|---|
| Reported net loss | (3,248) |
| Intangible amortisation | 3,419 |
| Tax on amortisation | (765) |
| Net acquisition, disposal and restructuring related costs and fair value adjustments | 9,665 |
| Underlying net profit | 9,071 |
| Underlying fully diluted EPS1 | 6.53c |
|---|---|
| ------------------------------- | ------- |
1 Origin H1 2012 underlying fully diluted EPS is calculated using the weighted average number of diluted shares for the period of 138,499,154 (H1 2011: 138,098,000).
6 month period ended 31 January 2012
| in Euro '000 | January 2012 |
|---|---|
| Reported net profit | 71,855 |
| Intangible Amortisation | 50,429 |
| Tax on amortisation | (13,173) |
| Hybrid instrument accrued dividend | (8,240) |
| Net acquisition, disposal and restructuring related costs and fair value adjustments | 24,751 |
| Non-controlling interest portion of acquisition, disposal and | |
| restructuring related costs and fair value adjustments | (2,762) |
| Underlying net profit | 122,860 |
| Dilutive impact of Origin management incentives | (257) |
| Underlying fully diluted net profit | 122,603 |
1 ARYZTA Group January 2012 underlying fully diluted EPS calculated using the weighted average number of diluted shares for the period of 84,176,373 (H1 2011: 82,856,277).
Underlying fully diluted EPS1 145.6c
| in Euro '000 | January 2012 |
|---|---|
| Reported net profit | 74,175 |
| Intangible amortisation | 47,010 |
| Tax on amortisation | (12,408) |
| Hybrid instrument accrued dividend | (8,240) |
| Net acquisition, disposal and restructuring related costs and fair value adjustments | 15,086 |
| Underlying net profit | 115,623 |
as at 31 January 2012
| in Euro '000 | As at January 2012 | As at July 2011 |
|---|---|---|
| Property, plant and equipment | 988,236 | 939,949 |
| Investment properties | 22,290 | 32,180 |
| Goodwill and intangible assets | 2,798,090 | 2,650,956 |
| Associates and joint ventures | 130,179 | 124,057 |
| Other financial assets | 36,118 | 35,013 |
| Working capital, net | (35,834) | (128,185) |
| Other segmental liabilities | (45,878) | (59,379) |
| Segmental net assets | 3,893,201 | 3,594,591 |
| Net debt | (1,146,319) | (1,047,588) |
| Deferred tax, net | (322,396) | (309,425) |
| Income tax | (35,679) | (38,248) |
| Derivative financial instruments, net | (4,470) | (2,824) |
| Net assets | 2,384,337 | 2,196,506 |
as at 31 January 2012
| in Euro '000 | As at January 2012 | As at July 2011 |
|---|---|---|
| Property, plant and equipment | 892,143 | 845,693 |
| Investment properties | 15,953 | 16,178 |
| Goodwill and intangible assets | 2,663,054 | 2,520,450 |
| Joint ventures | 5,164 | 4,976 |
| Investment in Origin | 51,045 | 51,045 |
| Working capital, net | (72,143) | (90,372) |
| Other segmental liabilities | (30,856) | (39,567) |
| Segmental net assets | 3,524,360 | 3,308,403 |
| Net debt | (952,353) | (955,468) |
| Deferred tax, net | (306,554) | (292,985) |
| Income tax | (29,187) | (28,299) |
| Derivative financial instruments, net | (1,679) | (1,918) |
| Net assets | 2,234,587 | 2,029,733 |
Excluding Origin – non-recourse financing facilities
| Debt Funding | Principal1 | Maturity |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2011 – Syndicated Bank Loan | CHF 970m | Dec 2016 |
| May 2010 – US Private Placement | USD 420m /EUR 25m |
May 2013–May 2022 |
| Dec 2009 – US Private Placement | USD 200m | Dec 2021–Dec 2029 |
| Nov 2009 – Swiss Bond | CHF 200m | Mar 2015 |
| Jun 2007 – US Private Placement | USD 450m | Jun 2014–June 2019 |
1 Weighted average interest cost of Food Group debt financing facilities (including overdrafts) as at 31 January 2012 of c. 4.47%.
CHF 400m Hybrid instrument with 5% coupon funded in October 2010 After first call date (October 2014) coupon equates 905bps plus 3 month CHF LIBOR Traded on SIX Swiss exchange Treated as 100% equity for bank covenant purposes Treated as 25% equity for US PP covenant purposes
| Net Debt: EBITDA1 calculations as at 31 January 2012 |
Ratio |
|---|---|
| Net Debt: EBITDA1 (hybrid as equity) | 2.13x |
| Net Debt: EBITDA1 (hybrid as debt) | 2.87x |
1 Calculated based on the Food Group EBITDA for the 12 month period ended 31 January 2012, including dividend received from Origin, adjusted for the pro forma full-year contribution of Food Group acquisitions.
weighted average maturity c. 6.32 years
Gross Term Debt Maturity Prole1 Gross Term Debt Maturity Profile1
Quarterly Underlying Revenue Growth
| Total Food Group | (1.7)% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Food Rest of World | 18.5% | 18.3% | 6.2% | 21.3% | 14.7% | 14.2% |
| Food North America | (1.4)% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% |
| Food Europe | (2.4)% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | (1.8)% |
| Q1 2011 | Q2 2011 | Q3 2011 | Q4 2011 | Q1 2012 | Q2 2012 |
| in Euro million | Food Europe |
Food N. America |
Food Rest of World |
Total Food Group |
Origin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 January 2012 | ||||||
| Group share net assets1 | 1,453 | 1,738 | 282 | 3,473 | 4434 | 3,916 |
| EBITA incl. associates and JVs2 | 163 | 158 | 27 | 348 | 75 | 423 |
| ROI | 11.2% | 9.1%3 | 9.7% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 10.8% |
| 31 July 2011 | ||||||
| Group share net assets5 | 1,368 | 1,635 | 253 | 3,256 | 4344 | 3,690 |
| EBITA incl. associates and JVs5 | 149 | 157 | 26 | 332 | 86 | 418 |
| ROI | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 19.8% | 11.3% |
1 Net assets is defined as reported net assets excluding bank debt, cash and cash equivalents and tax-related balances.
2 ROI is calculated using pro forma trailing twelve months EBITA ('TTM EBITA') reflecting the full twelve months impact of Food Group acquisitions. TTM EBITA is presented as segmental EBITA plus the pro forma contribution from acquisitions in the current year of €7,032,000 (covering the pre-acquisition period in FY2011 and FY2012). EBITA is before interest, tax, non-SAP amortisation and before the impact of non-recurring items. The contribution from associates and JVs is net profit (i.e. presented after interest and tax).
3 Re-translating January 2012 pro-forma EBITA incl. JV contribution and Group share net assets for Food North America at the July 2011 closing rate of 1.4323 would result in a ROI of 9.4%.
4 Origin net assets adjusted for the fluctuation in its average quarterly working capital by €22,802,000 (2011: €95,544,000).
5 July 2011 pro forma trailing twelve months EBITA adjustments are detailed on page 18 of the 2011 Annual Report and Accounts.
6 The Group WACC on a pre-tax basis is currently 8.0%. The Group WACC presented on a post-tax basis is currently 6.7%.
| Depreciation p.a. | €85 – 90m |
|---|---|
| Amortisation p.a. | €90 – 95m |
| Effective tax rate | 16% – 20% |
| Finance costs p.a. | €70 – 75m |
| Dividend payout of underlying EPS p.a. | 15% |
| Maintenance capex p.a. | €50m |
| Investment grade status | maintain |
| Internal investment expenditure p.a. | €100m |
| Non-recurring cash costs over 2 years (FY 2012 & FY 2013) | €100m |
| Closing Rates | January 2012 | July 2011 | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Franc | 1.2072 | 1.1464 | 5.3% |
| US Dollar | 1.3149 | 1.4323 | (8.2)% |
| Canadian Dollar | 1.3135 | 1.3620 | (3.6) % |
| Sterling | 0.8390 | 0.8761 | (4.2) % |
| Average Rates | January 2012 | January 2011 | % |
| Swiss Franc | 1.2019 | 1.3169 | (8.7)% |
| US Dollar | 1.3586 | 1.3343 | 1.8% |
| Canadian Dollar | 1.3726 | 1.3582 | 1.1 % |
Year ended 31 July 2011
Paul Meade Communications Officer
Talacker 41 8001 Zurich Switzerland Tel: +41 (0) 44 583 42 00 Fax: +41 (0) 44 583 42 49 [email protected] www.aryzta.com
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