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Aryzta AG

Investor Presentation Mar 11, 2012

818_ip_2012-03-11_6a45b6b4-6337-408d-b294-da90eb40c0d2.pdf

Investor Presentation

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ARYZTA AG H1 Results, FY 2012

12 March 2012

This document contains forward looking statements which reflect management's current views and estimates.

The forward looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures and regulatory developments.

Agenda

  • Our Business
  • Financial and Business Review
  • Operating Environment
  • Food Group ARYZTA Transformation Initiative (ATI)
  • Summary and Outlook

ARYZTA AG Our Business

Our Business

  • Global leader in speciality bakery
  • Primary listing in Zurich (SIX; ARYN), and secondary listing in Dublin (ISE; YZA)

Food Group – Global Footprint

Year ended 31 July 2011

  • 1 See Appendix 2 for glossary definition of financial terms used in presentation.
  • 6 © ARYZTA, March 2012

Food Group – Channel and Food Mix

Year ended 31 July 2011

Bread Rolls&Artisan Loaves

  • 2 Savoury & Other include pizza, pretzels, other savoury snacks, chilled goods and high-end cuisine.
  • 7 © ARYZTA, March 2012

43% 1 Sweet Baked Goods & Morning Goods include cookies, muffins, doughnuts, croissants and other morning goods.

Origin Enterprises plc – 71.4 % Holding

  • Listed separately in 2007
  • Independently managed and financed
  • Leading agri-services group
  • Highly consistent cash generation business in highly predictable sector
  • Significant repositioning undertaken since listing
  • Accounted for 18% of ARYZTA Group EBITA in FY 2011
  • UK agronomy services businesses now combined under new identity called "Agrii"
  • Significant value creation opportunities remain
  • Current environment for farming providing very positive backdrop for Origin

ARYZTA AG Financial and Business Review

ARYZTA Group – Income Statement

6 month period ended 31 January 2012

in Euro '000 January 2012 January 2011 %
Group revenue 1,911,456 1,894,272 0.9%
EBITA 178,832 173,118 3.3%
EBITA margin 9.4% 9.1%
Associates and JVs, net 7,567 10,729
EBITA incl. associates and JVs 186,399 183,847 1.4%
Finance cost, net (31,679) (36,713)
Hybrid instrument accrued dividend (8,240) (3,911)
Pre-tax profits 146,480 143,223
Income tax (19,968) (20,684)
Non-controlling interests (3,909) (6,263)
Underlying fully diluted net profit 122,603 116,276 5.4%
Underlying fully diluted EPS (cent)1 145.6c 140.3c 3.8%

1 ARYZTA Group January 2012 underlying fully diluted EPS calculated using the weighted average number of diluted shares for the period of 84,176,373 (H1 2011: 82,856,277).

ARYZTA Group – Underlying Revenue Growth

Food N. Food Total
in Euro million Food Europe America Rest of World Food Group Origin Total
Group revenue 629.0 669.3 105.7 1,404.0 507.4 1,911.4
Underlying growth (0.3)% 7.5% 14.5% 4.4% 6.1% 4.9%
Acquisitions and disposals 6.5% 4.0% 5.0% 5.2% (20.8)% (3.2)%
Currency 1.3% (1.9)% 1.5% (0.2)% (2.3)% (0.8)%
Revenue Growth 7.5% 9.6% 21.0% 9.4% (17.0)% 0.9%

ARYZTA Group – Segmental EBITA

in Euro '000 January 2012 January 2011 %
Food Group
Food Europe 74,164 66,004 12.4%
Food North America 84,955 76,953 10.4%
Food Rest of World 13,851 12,520 10.6%
Total Food Group 172,970 155,477 11.3%
Origin 5,862 17,641 (66.8)%
Total Group EBITA 178,832 173,118 3.3%
Associates & JVs, net
Food JVs 502 4,328 (88.4)%
Origin associates & JV 7,065 6,401 10.4%
Total associates & JVs, net 7,567 10,729 (29.5)%
Total EBITA incl. associates and JVs 186,399 183,847 1.4%

Food Group – Income Statement

in Euro '000 January 2012 January 2011 %
Group revenue 1,404,035 1,283,194 9.4%
EBITA 172,970 155,477 11.3%
EBITA margin 12.3% 12.1%
JVs, net 502 4,328
EBITA incl. JVs 173,472 159,805 8.6%
Finance costs, net (28,555) (30,590)
Hybrid instrument accrued dividend (8,240) (3,911)
Pre-tax profits 136,677 125,304
Income tax (19,236) (18,580)
Non-controlling interests (1,818) (1,716)
Underlying net profit 115,623 105,008 10.1%

Food Group – Cash Generation

6 month period ended 31 January 2012

in Euro '000 January 2012 January 2011
EBIT 125,960 113,000
Amortisation 47,010 42,477
EBITA 172,970 155,477
Depreciation 43,838 41,545
EBITDA 216,808 197,022
Working capital movement (21,883) (15,911)
Working capital movement from debt factoring (9,545) (587)
Dividends received1 10,567 12,967
Maintenance capital expenditure (22,032) (22,092)
Interest and tax (44,494) (50,894)
Other non-cash income charges 1,821 5,165
Cash flows generated from activities 131,242 125,670
Investment capital expenditure2 (36,802) (26,199)
Cash flows generated from activities after investment capital expenditure 94,440 99,471
Underlying net profit 115,623 105,008

1 Includes dividend received from Origin of €10,450,000 (H1 2011 €8,550,000).

2 Includes expenditure on intangible assets.

Food Group Net Debt and Investment Activity

6 month period ended 31 January 2012

in Euro '000 Period ended
31 January 2012
Period ended
31 January 2011
Food Group opening net debt as at 1 August (955,468) (1,115,623)
Cash flows generated from activities 131,242 125,670
Share placement 140,854
Hybrid instrument proceeds 285,061
Net debt cost of acquisitions (100,959) (316,563)
Transaction and restructuring related cash flows (33,213) (22,756)
Investment capital expenditure1 (36,802) (26,199)
Deferred consideration (7,247) (12,089)
Dividends paid (2,255) (2,066)
Hybrid dividend (16,305)
Foreign exchange movement2 (73,855) 19,606
Amortisation of financing costs and other 1,655 985
Food Group closing net debt as at 31 January (952,353) (1,063,974)

1 Includes expenditure on intangible assets.

2 Foreign exchange movement is primarily attributable to the fluctuation in the U.S. Dollar between July 2011 (1.4323) and January 2012 (1.3149).

Food Group Financing

Excluding Origin – non-recourse financing facilities

Debt Financing

  • Food Group net debt of EUR 952.4m
  • Food Group gross term debt weighted average maturity of circa 6.32 years1
  • Weighted average interest cost of Food Group debt financing facilities (including overdrafts) of c. 4.47%
  • Net debt: EBITDA 2.13x (excluding hybrid instrument as debt) and interest cover of 8.07x (excluding hybrid interest)

Hybrid Financing

  • Food Group hybrid instrument net proceeds EUR 285.0m2
  • Net debt: EBITDA 2.87x (including hybrid instrument as debt) and interest cover of 6.24x (including hybrid interest)

2 Total hybrid instrument amount outstanding CHF 400m.

1 Incorporating the drawn amount on Revolving Credit Facility of €254.2m and excluding hybrid instrument.

Food Group non-recurring costs for 6 month period ending 31 January 2012

in Euro '000 Non-Cash Cash Total
Transaction related costs (805) (805)
Asset write-downs (300) (300)
Restructuring related costs (13,981) (13,981)
Total income statement impact (300) (14,786) (15,086)

– Severance payments accounted for 49% of costs arising on integration during the period

– Other costs primarily include; integration advisory and operational site decommissioning

Food Group financial metrics

Internal investment expenditure p.a. €100m
Non-recurring cash costs over 2 years (FY 2012 & FY 2013) €100m

– FY 2015 Food Group target return on investment 15%+ from underlying Food business equates to an average increment of 100-150bps per annum in ROI

Business Review

  • Food Europe
  • Food North America
  • Food Rest of World

Food Europe

  • Europe remains challenging widespread austerity measures
  • Q2 underlying revenue decline of 1.8%
  • Acquired business performed satisfactorily
  • Margin enhanced by prior year investment programme
  • Performance in line with expectation

Food North America

  • Modest economic recovery more confident consumer
  • Positive underlying revenue growth
  • Performance reflects the combination of high value (La Brea Bakery) combined with high volume LSR channel
  • Food North America well positioned to capture the increased consumer footfall in large retail and LSR channels

Food Rest of World

  • Positive underlying revenue growth
  • Taiwan and Singapore acquisitions performing satisfactorily
  • Brazilian bakery commissioning in H2
  • H1 margins impacted by transportation costs to Brazil while commissioning additional capacity

Food Group Underlying Revenue Growth Trend

  • Committed to financial discipline
  • Intend to maintain investment grade credit position (2x 3x net debt : EBITDA)
  • Extended and increased RCF in Q2 to CHF 970m with maturity of December 2016
  • Raised EUR 140.9m in January 2012 through a 5% share placement
  • FY 2015 Food Group target return on investment 15%+ from underlying Food business

Food Group Operating Environment

Macro Environment

  • Weak economic conditions in mature markets remain
  • Increased tax and austerity measures

Outlook Implications Response

  • Unemployment remains high
  • Consumer spending subdued
  • Market share gains for large retail and LSR

  • Leverage key customer relationships to grow revenue

  • Food development around consumer insights
  • Identify and exploit cost efficiencies
  • Consolidation opportunities to add new customers, channels, food creations or geographies
  • Increased investment in emerging markets

Raw material volatility

Inflation/Volatility for Primary Food Categories

  • Raw material inflation remains volatile
  • Prices likely to remain elevated
  • Reasonable recovery of higher raw material costs with three consecutive quarters of price increases
  • Margin preservation achieved
  • Remains key operational focus

Source: Bloomberg first deliverable generic commodity futures.

ARYZTA Transformation Initiative Why?

Food Group Financial Track Record

  • FY 2011 revenue EUR 2.58bn with 27% CAGR since FY 2005
  • FY 2011 EBITA EUR 322m with 31% CAGR since FY 2005
  • Strong cash conversion record of >90% of EBITDA

1 FY 2005- 2008 data based on IAWS Foods Business performance.

Scale & Reach – Global Access to over 1 Billion Consumers

Food Europe Food North America Food Rest of World
No. of consumers1 342m No. of consumers1 341m No. of consumers1 389m
Gross National Income1 €10.0tn Gross National Income1 €12.0tn Gross National Income1 €5.9tn
GNI per Capita1 €29.2k GNI per Capita1 €35.3k GNI per Capita1 €15.3k
Revenue (FY 2011) €1.18bn Revenue (FY 2011) €1.21bn Revenue (FY 2011) €180m
Employees (FY 2011) >5,000 Employees (FY 2011) >5,000 Employees (FY 2011) >900
Net assets (FY 2011) €1.4bn Net assets (FY 2011) €1.6bn Net assets (FY 2011) €253m

1 Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2011 report.

Food Group

Diversification of geography

  • 1 FY 2004 data based on IAWS Food Business revenue. 69%
  • 2 FY 2008 data based on ARYZTA pro forma revenue including Hiestand Holding AG. 39% 21%

Food Group

Diversification of channel mix

7%

  • 1 FY 2004 data based on IAWS Food Business revenue. Independent Retail
  • 2 FY 2008 data based on ARYZTA pro forma revenue including Hiestand Holding AG.

21% 23%

Food Group Unique Channel Requirements Innovation / Trends

Food Group Investment / ROI

  • Since creation of ARYZTA EUR 2.36bn invested in Food assets (incl. EUR 138m H1 FY 2012)
  • Major M&A activity: Groupe Hubert (FY 2005), Otis Spunkmeyer (FY 2007), Hiestand (FY 2009), FSB and Great Kitchens (FY 2010) and Maidstone Bakeries (FY 2011)

1 FY 2005 – 2008 ROI based on IAWS Foods Business performance. FY 2009 - 2011 ROI represents ARYZTA Food Group ROI calculated on a trailing twelve months EBITA including pro forma contribution from acquisitions in each period.

Key Elements of ARYZTA ATI

  • Market intelligence
  • Bakery expertise
  • Culture of innovation
  • Customer partnerships
  • Channel access
  • Food range
  • Executive talent
  • Culture of service
  • Financial strength
  • Incentives aligned with shareholders

ARYZTA ATI is key enabler

  • To become more relevant to customers
  • To leverage our infrastructure and capabilities
  • To maintain our competitive advantage
  • To achieve optimum capacity utilisation
  • To sustain growth strategies across all channels

  • Appointed executive management teams in Europe and North America

  • Refocused sales teams
  • Enhanced customer capability
  • Supply chain optimisation will drive investment
  • Full ERP implementation in North America by July 2012
  • ERP being commissioned in Europe
  • Enormous organisation engagement
  • Transformation journey commenced

Post ATIaccelerated pay-back from future bolt-on acquisitions

  • 2012 trends reflecting customer channel preference and economic activity
  • Raw material inflation remains volatile
  • Strengthened balance sheet positioned for growth
  • FY 2012 and FY 2013 Transformation of business model
  • Margin growth expected from ATI

Guidance and Targets

  • FY 2012 consensus EPS (338 cent) reiterated
  • FY 2013 underlying EPS target remains 400+ cent
  • FY 2015 Food Group target return on investment remains 15%+ from underlying Food business

ARYZTA AG Appendix 1 – Origin Financials

Origin Income Statement

6 month period ended 31 January 2012

in Euro '000 January 2012 January 2011 %
Group revenue 507,421 611,078 (17.0)%
EBITA 5,862 17,641 (66.8)%
EBITA margin 1.2% 2.9 %
Associates and JV, net 7,065 6,401
EBITA incl. associates and JV 12,927 24,042 (46.2)%
Finance costs, net (3,124) (6,123)
Pre-tax profits 9,803 17,919
Income tax (732) (2,104)
Underlying net profit 9,071 15,815 (42.7)%
Adjusted fully diluted EPS (cent)1 6.53c 11.45c (43.0)%

1 Origin H1 2012 underlying fully diluted EPS is calculated using the weighted average number of diluted shares for the period of 138,499,154 (H1 2011: 138,098,000).

Origin Underlying Net Profit Rec.

6 month period ended 31 January 2012

in Euro '000 January 2012
Reported net loss (3,248)
Intangible amortisation 3,419
Tax on amortisation (765)
Net acquisition, disposal and restructuring related costs and fair value adjustments 9,665
Underlying net profit 9,071
Underlying fully diluted EPS1 6.53c
------------------------------- -------

1 Origin H1 2012 underlying fully diluted EPS is calculated using the weighted average number of diluted shares for the period of 138,499,154 (H1 2011: 138,098,000).

ARYZTA AG Appendix 2 – Other Financial Information and Presentation Glossary

ARYZTA Group Underlying Net Profit Rec.

6 month period ended 31 January 2012

in Euro '000 January 2012
Reported net profit 71,855
Intangible Amortisation 50,429
Tax on amortisation (13,173)
Hybrid instrument accrued dividend (8,240)
Net acquisition, disposal and restructuring related costs and fair value adjustments 24,751
Non-controlling interest portion of acquisition, disposal and
restructuring related costs and fair value adjustments (2,762)
Underlying net profit 122,860
Dilutive impact of Origin management incentives (257)
Underlying fully diluted net profit 122,603

1 ARYZTA Group January 2012 underlying fully diluted EPS calculated using the weighted average number of diluted shares for the period of 84,176,373 (H1 2011: 82,856,277).

Underlying fully diluted EPS1 145.6c

Food Group Underlying Net Profit Rec.

in Euro '000 January 2012
Reported net profit 74,175
Intangible amortisation 47,010
Tax on amortisation (12,408)
Hybrid instrument accrued dividend (8,240)
Net acquisition, disposal and restructuring related costs and fair value adjustments 15,086
Underlying net profit 115,623

ARYZTA Group Balance Sheet

as at 31 January 2012

in Euro '000 As at January 2012 As at July 2011
Property, plant and equipment 988,236 939,949
Investment properties 22,290 32,180
Goodwill and intangible assets 2,798,090 2,650,956
Associates and joint ventures 130,179 124,057
Other financial assets 36,118 35,013
Working capital, net (35,834) (128,185)
Other segmental liabilities (45,878) (59,379)
Segmental net assets 3,893,201 3,594,591
Net debt (1,146,319) (1,047,588)
Deferred tax, net (322,396) (309,425)
Income tax (35,679) (38,248)
Derivative financial instruments, net (4,470) (2,824)
Net assets 2,384,337 2,196,506

Food Group Balance Sheet

as at 31 January 2012

in Euro '000 As at January 2012 As at July 2011
Property, plant and equipment 892,143 845,693
Investment properties 15,953 16,178
Goodwill and intangible assets 2,663,054 2,520,450
Joint ventures 5,164 4,976
Investment in Origin 51,045 51,045
Working capital, net (72,143) (90,372)
Other segmental liabilities (30,856) (39,567)
Segmental net assets 3,524,360 3,308,403
Net debt (952,353) (955,468)
Deferred tax, net (306,554) (292,985)
Income tax (29,187) (28,299)
Derivative financial instruments, net (1,679) (1,918)
Net assets 2,234,587 2,029,733

Food Group Financing Facilities

Excluding Origin – non-recourse financing facilities

Debt Funding Principal1 Maturity
Nov 2011 – Syndicated Bank Loan CHF 970m Dec 2016
May 2010 – US Private Placement USD 420m
/EUR 25m
May 2013–May 2022
Dec 2009 – US Private Placement USD 200m Dec 2021–Dec 2029
Nov 2009 – Swiss Bond CHF 200m Mar 2015
Jun 2007 – US Private Placement USD 450m Jun 2014–June 2019

1 Weighted average interest cost of Food Group debt financing facilities (including overdrafts) as at 31 January 2012 of c. 4.47%.

Hybrid Funding

CHF 400m Hybrid instrument with 5% coupon funded in October 2010 After first call date (October 2014) coupon equates 905bps plus 3 month CHF LIBOR Traded on SIX Swiss exchange Treated as 100% equity for bank covenant purposes Treated as 25% equity for US PP covenant purposes

Net Debt: EBITDA1
calculations as at 31 January 2012
Ratio
Net Debt: EBITDA1 (hybrid as equity) 2.13x
Net Debt: EBITDA1 (hybrid as debt) 2.87x

1 Calculated based on the Food Group EBITDA for the 12 month period ended 31 January 2012, including dividend received from Origin, adjusted for the pro forma full-year contribution of Food Group acquisitions.

Food Group Gross Term Debt Maturity Profile

weighted average maturity c. 6.32 years

Gross Term Debt Maturity Prole1 Gross Term Debt Maturity Profile1

  • 1 The term debt maturity profile is set out as at 31 January 2012. Food Group gross term debt at 31 January 2012 is €1.26bn. Food Group net debt at 31 January 2012 is €952.4m, which also includes overdrafts and finance leases, and is net of cash and related capitalised upfront borrowing costs.
  • 2 Incorporating the drawn amount on the Revolving Credit Facility of €254.2m as at 31 January 2012 which represents 20% of the Food Group gross term debt.

Food Group Underlying Revenue Growth

Quarterly Underlying Revenue Growth

Total Food Group (1.7)% 2.5% 4.9% 4.7% 4.4% 4.4%
Food Rest of World 18.5% 18.3% 6.2% 21.3% 14.7% 14.2%
Food North America (1.4)% 5.9% 8.9% 7.1% 6.0% 8.9%
Food Europe (2.4)% 0.7% 2.9% 2.3% 1.2% (1.8)%
Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012
in Euro million Food
Europe
Food N.
America
Food Rest
of World
Total
Food Group
Origin Total
31 January 2012
Group share net assets1 1,453 1,738 282 3,473 4434 3,916
EBITA incl. associates and JVs2 163 158 27 348 75 423
ROI 11.2% 9.1%3 9.7% 10.0% 16.9% 10.8%
31 July 2011
Group share net assets5 1,368 1,635 253 3,256 4344 3,690
EBITA incl. associates and JVs5 149 157 26 332 86 418
ROI 10.9% 9.6% 10.1% 10.2% 19.8% 11.3%

1 Net assets is defined as reported net assets excluding bank debt, cash and cash equivalents and tax-related balances.

2 ROI is calculated using pro forma trailing twelve months EBITA ('TTM EBITA') reflecting the full twelve months impact of Food Group acquisitions. TTM EBITA is presented as segmental EBITA plus the pro forma contribution from acquisitions in the current year of €7,032,000 (covering the pre-acquisition period in FY2011 and FY2012). EBITA is before interest, tax, non-SAP amortisation and before the impact of non-recurring items. The contribution from associates and JVs is net profit (i.e. presented after interest and tax).

3 Re-translating January 2012 pro-forma EBITA incl. JV contribution and Group share net assets for Food North America at the July 2011 closing rate of 1.4323 would result in a ROI of 9.4%.

4 Origin net assets adjusted for the fluctuation in its average quarterly working capital by €22,802,000 (2011: €95,544,000).

5 July 2011 pro forma trailing twelve months EBITA adjustments are detailed on page 18 of the 2011 Annual Report and Accounts.

6 The Group WACC on a pre-tax basis is currently 8.0%. The Group WACC presented on a post-tax basis is currently 6.7%.

Depreciation p.a. €85 – 90m
Amortisation p.a. €90 – 95m
Effective tax rate 16% – 20%
Finance costs p.a. €70 – 75m
Dividend payout of underlying EPS p.a. 15%
Maintenance capex p.a. €50m
Investment grade status maintain
Internal investment expenditure p.a. €100m
Non-recurring cash costs over 2 years (FY 2012 & FY 2013) €100m

Presentation Glossary

  • 'EBITA' presented before non-recurring items and related deferred tax credits. SAP intangible asset amortisation is treated as depreciation.
  • 'Associates and JVs, net' presented as profit from associates and JVs, net of taxes and interest.
  • 'EBITDA' presented as earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation reported for the period and before non-recurring items and related deferred tax credits.
  • 'Non-controlling interests' always presented after the dilutive impact of related subsidiaries' management incentives.
  • 'Hybrid instrument' presented as Perpetual Callable Subordinated Instrument in the Financial Statements.

ARYZTA AG Appendix 3 – FX Analysis

Closing Rates January 2012 July 2011 %
Swiss Franc 1.2072 1.1464 5.3%
US Dollar 1.3149 1.4323 (8.2)%
Canadian Dollar 1.3135 1.3620 (3.6) %
Sterling 0.8390 0.8761 (4.2) %
Average Rates January 2012 January 2011 %
Swiss Franc 1.2019 1.3169 (8.7)%
US Dollar 1.3586 1.3343 1.8%
Canadian Dollar 1.3726 1.3582 1.1 %

EURUSD Trend

EURCHF Trend

Food Group Revenue by Currency

Year ended 31 July 2011

  • 1 Based on FY 2011 Food Group revenue of €2.6bn.
  • 2 Other currencies comprises of the following: UK Sterling, Swiss Franc, Japanese Yen, Malaysian Ringgit, Polish Zloty, Swedish Krona, Australian Dollar, Canadian Dollar, Brazilian Real and New Zealand Dollar, of which UK Sterling and Swiss Franc represent the highest portion of revenues.

ARYZTA AG Thank you!

Investor Information

Company Contact

Paul Meade Communications Officer

ARYZTA AG

Talacker 41 8001 Zurich Switzerland Tel: +41 (0) 44 583 42 00 Fax: +41 (0) 44 583 42 49 [email protected] www.aryzta.com

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