GENERATIONS FOR
GENERATIONS
ATIONS
Arendals Fossekompani Q4 update
9 February 2024
arendalsfossekompani.no
Disclaimer
NEC
This Presentation includes and is based on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from the projected results. These statements and this Presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions and the economic conditions of the regions and industries that compose major markets for the businesses of Arendals Fossekompani ASA and its subsidiaries and affiliates (the "AFK Group"). These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions.
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for the businesses of the AFK Group, energy prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Presentation. Although the AFK Group believes that its expectations and the Presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Presentation.
The AFK Group is making no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Presentation, and neither the AFK Group nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from the use of the Presentation.
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Arendals Fossekompani in brief
- Long term industrial investment company $\bullet$
- Invest in B2B energy and technology
- Sustainable value creation
- Active ownership
Main investments (2 listed) 9
Countries 25
Listed on the Oslo Stock Exchange 1913
Head Office Arendal, Norway
Portfolio aligned with lasting global megatrends
volue AFK ownership 60% Market cap (31.12) 3,057 MNOK
Head office Oslo, Norway Listed at Oslo Børs
NSSLGlobal AFK ownership 80%
Head office London, UK
alytic AFK ownership 95%
Head office Arendal, Norway
ATEKNA
95%
AFK ownership 70%
Market cap (31.12) 1.039 MNOK
Head office Sherbrooke, Canada
Listed at Oslo Børs
ENRX AFK ownership
Head office Skien, Norway
Energy Transition
NECVANNKRAFT
AFK ownership 100%
Head office Arendal, Norway
ampwell AFK ownership 100%
Head office Arendal, Norway
X Vergia AFK ownership 100%
Head office Arendal, Norway Diversified portfolio ensuring both stable cash flow generating assets and attractive growth prospects
Our portfolio spans across the business life cycle
*FY23 EBIT% for Vergia was -800% (NOK -8 million operating profit, NOK 1 million revenue). FY23 EBIT% for Alytic was -184% (NOK -85 million operating profit, NOK 46 million revenue). FY23 EBIT% for Ampwell was -193% (NOK -108 million operating profit, NOK 56 million revenue). Bubble size indicate revenue. All numbers reflect full year 2023 per Q4.
Strong underlying performance in portfolio companies
Highlights Q4 2023
Financial
- Group revenue: NOK 1.4 bn. 3% growth YoY
- Operating profit: NOK 31m (83m), negatively affected by lower $\bullet$ electricity prices and non-recurring items.
- Adjusted for non-recurring items in Volue and Tekna, operating profit for the Group amounted to NOK 112 million
- Quarterly dividend: NOK 1.00 per share
Key developments in portfolio
- Strong underlying performance from portfolio companies Volue, ENRX, Tekna and NSSLGlobal
- Both lower hydropower production and electricity prices had $\bullet$ negative effects on revenue and operating profit, compared Q4 last year.
volue
Head office AFK ownership $60%$ Oslo, Norway
Market cap (31.12) 3,057 MNOK
Listed at
Oslo Børs
Q4 update Recurring revenue and Saas growth
Development last 5 quarters
Revenue and other income (MNOK) and operating margin
- Revenue: NOK 413 million (341 million).
- Adjusted EBITDA: NOK 86 million (64 million) with an adjusted EBITDA-margin: 21% $(19%).$
- Recurring revenue: NOK 272 million, an increase of 29% compared to the fourth quarter of 2022, representing 66% of total revenues in the quarter.
- SaaS revenues: NOK 106 million, an increase of 35% compared to the fourth quarter of 2022, representing 26% of total revenues in the quarter.
- Large ongoing changes in end markets, like increased price and production volatility, as well as overall market complexity, are driving growth and further business opportunities for the company.
- ARR growth and strong operational focus delivered robust 2023 performance despite announced head-winds on non-recurring revenues for Energy segment.
NSSLGlobal
AFK ownership Head office London, United Kingdom 80%
NEC
Q4 update
Strong sales and higher operating profit
Development last 5 quarters Revenue and other income (MNOK) and operating margin
- Revenue: GBP 23.3 million (GBP 23.1 million).
- Operating profit: GBP 3.4 million (GBP 1.6 million).
- Operating margin increase from the fourth quarter of 2022 largely reflecting product mix of sales.
- NSSLGlobal won GBP 13 million of new business during the quarter.
- Sales and pipeline continues to be strong across both maritime and governmental sectors.
- Transitioning of NSSLGlobal customers to FusionIPLeo expected to increase revenue and reduce margins from airtime services going forward
- 2023 was yet another strong year for NSSLGlobal, with growth in the top line and continued strong margins
ATEKNA
AFK ownership Head office Market cap (31.12) Listed at Oslo Børs 70% Sherbrooke, Canada 1,039 MNOK
Q4 update Quarterly revenue record and improved margins
Development last 5 quarters Operating revenue (MNOK) and operating margin
NEC
- Revenue: CAD 11.4 million (CAD 8.6 million), a 66% increase from 04 2022
- Adjusted EBITDA: CAD -0.3 million, a significant improvement from CAD -2.9 million in the fourth quarter last year.
- Order intake of CAD 11.2 million in the fourth quarter, up from 10.4 million the third quarter. Order backlog per year-end of CAD 24.0 million.
- Profitability improvement during 2023 driven by solid revenue growth and margin initiatives in both Materials and Systems segments, as well as successful capacity and productivity improvement programs.
- Continued focus on improving profitability and cash flow in 2024.
ENRX
AFK ownership Head office 95% Skien, Norway
NEC
Q4 update
Margin increase within the Heat segment
Development last 5 quarters Operating revenue (MNOK) and operating margin
- Revenue: EUR 41.9 million, a 12% increase from the same quarter in 2022.
- Revenue growth in the quarter driven by higher activity level within the Heat segment, especially in Europe and Asia.
- Operating profit: EUR 3.3 million (-2.9 million) for the quarter, corresponding to a margin of 7.9%.
- Order intake of EUR 36.8 million (EUR 41.1 million). The backlog per year end of EUR 86 million (EUR 94 million) creates a solid fundament for continued profitable growth in 2024.
- Strong revenue growth (19% YoY) and restructuring of loss-making operations during Q4 2022 and first half of 2023 yielded margin improvement in FY23
ampwell
AFK ownership Head office 100% Arendal, Norway
NEC
Q4 update Challenging market conditions affected sales
Development last 5 quarters Revenue and other income (MNOK) and operating margin
- Revenue: Sales in Commeo of EUR 1.5 million in Q4, up from EUR 1.0 million in the third quarter. An accounting reclassification booked in the quarter results in Ampwell revenue of EUR -3.5 million in Q4.
- Reduced investment level in Commeo's target segment had a negative impact on revenue in the quarter. A softened German economy, a temporary price cap on electricity and a possible new proposed battery subsidy scheme contri development.
- Operating profit: EUR -3.0 million. Operational ramp-ups in both Commeo, Cellect, as well as Ampwell parent company, contributed to negative margins.
- The first part of Commeo's new production facilities is estimated to be finalized in second half of 2024 and will over time enable above 1 GWh production capacity.
- Following the launch of an important pilot project with Volkswagen charging company Elli in July, Cellect is now targeting several companies with utility scale portfolios of storage assets that need to be managed.
alytic
95%
AFK ownership Head office Portfolio KUtel KONTALI Veyt Arendal, Norway
Factlines.
Q4 update Growing ARR and introducing new products
Development last 5 quarters
Revenue and other income (MNOK) and operating margin
The annual recurring revenues (ARR) for the portfolio grew to NOK 42 million, representing an 8% increase compared to the previous quarter and 61% compared to the fourth quarter of 2022.
- Kontali grew ARR by 52% YoY.
- Veyt grew ARR by 74% YoY. $\bullet$
- Factlines grew ARR 128% YoY.
- Utel made further progress in the development of its fraud management solution $\bullet$ during the quarter.
- Kontali and Factlines appointed new CEOs during the quarter. $\bullet$
- 2023 was marked by delivery on strategic milestones and new product launches, creating a foundation for recurring revenue growth going into 2024.
NECVANNKRAFT
AFK ownership 100%
不
Head office Arendal, Norway
Lower electricity prices and reduced production
Q4 update
- Average electricity price in the NO2 price area during the fourth quarter was 70 EUR/ MWh (165 EUR/MWh), a 57% reduction compared to Q4 2022.
- Power generation in the fourth quarter amounted to 126.4 GWh (134.8 GWh).
- High prices for gas during 2022, combined with higher precipitation than normal during the fourth quarter of 2023, explain the reduction in price levels.
- The high-price contribution, imposed on Norwegian hydropower producers on 28 September 2022, was abolished with effect from 1 October 2023, reducing the overall tax burden.
Financials
$14$
Quarterly profitability impacted by lower electricity prices and non-recurring items in Volue and Tekna
- Profitability improvement in portfolio $\bullet$ companies ENRX and NSSLGlobal.
- Volue and Tekna both delivering profitability improvement in the quarter when adjusting for dispute settlement (Volue) and nonrecurring bad debt provision (Tekna).
- Reduced profit from hydropower due $\bullet$ to considerably lower electricity prices.
- Strong underlying performance in the $\bullet$ portfolio for the full year 2023
- Outlook: $\bullet$ AFK Group expects 2024 revenue to be higher than in 2023. Operating profit for 2024 is expected to be lower than 2023.
| Operating Profit (MNOK) |
Q42023 |
Q4 2022 |
Difference |
FY 2023 |
FY 2022 |
| volue |
$-10$ |
$-4$ |
$-5$ |
87 |
40 |
| NSSLGlobal |
46 |
20 |
$+26$ |
209 |
209 |
| ATEKNA |
$-43$ |
$-40$ |
$-3$ |
$-95$ |
$-153$ |
| ENRX |
38 |
$-29$ |
$+67$ |
116 |
$-3$ |
| N (VANNKRAFT |
87 |
202 |
$-115$ |
414 |
535 |
| ampwell |
$-34$ |
$-23$ |
$-12$ |
$-108$ |
$-53$ |
| alytic |
$-24$ |
$-16$ |
$-8$ |
$-85$ |
$-46$ |
| X Vergia |
$-3$ |
$-2$ |
$-1$ |
$-8$ |
$-7$ |
| $\mathbf{N}$ Property |
$-2$ |
$-3$ |
$+1$ |
$-10$ |
$-7$ |
| Arendals Fossekompani Consolidated |
31 |
83 |
$-52$ |
440 |
429 |
$15$
Total available liquidity in AFK Parent 31.12.23 (NOK million)
NOK 1.1bn in cash, 2.3bn in available liquidity
Guiding
AFK Group expects 2024 revenue to be higher than in 2023. Operating profit for 2024 is expected to be lower than 2023.
Expected revenue growth in 2024 driven by key portfolio companies Volue, ENRX, NSSLGlobal and Tekna, as well as revenue recognition of the third stage of the AFK Property development project Bryggebyen. Lower expected power prices, partly offsetting the growth. Lower operating profit is driven by the latter, as well as reduced margins in NSSLGlobal.
- Volue guides on long term organic growth of 15% as well as improvements in adjusted EBITDA and cash conversion for 2024.
- Tekna expects revenues to be higher and operating profit to $\bullet$ improve in 2024 compared to 2023.
- ENRX expects revenues in 2024 to be in line with 2023. $\bullet$ Operating profit is expected to increase compared to 2023.
- NSSLGlobal expects 2024 revenues to be in line with 2023. $\bullet$ Operating profit is expected to decrease in 2024 due to lower highmargin airtime revenues.
Closing Summary
18
Closing summary
- Strong underlying performance across several companies with positive outlook
- Profitability negatively affected by hydropower and non-recurring items
- Focused business development on-going in all portfolio companies driving growth in long term NAV
- Diversified and well positioned portfolio $\bullet$ with both stable cash flow generating assets and attractive growth opportunities
- Balance sheet supports both continued $\bullet$ cash dividend and investing in growth
VISITING ADDRESS Langbryggen 9, 4841 Arendal
POSTAL ADDRESS Box 280, 4803 Arendal
+47 37 23 44 00 [email protected] arendalsfossekompani.no
Company presentation
Arild Nysæther, Chairman of the Board 9 February 2024
NSSLGlobal today
Committed to delivering high-quality voice and data services to customers anywhere in the world
Satellites are unique in their ability to connect remote locations
Commercial in Confidence 23
NSSLGlobal
Leading independent provider of satellite communications, navigational systems and IT solutions
Company description
- An independent provider of cyber secure satellite and mobile communications, OT and IT data solutions, engineering and IT support, to predominantly maritime and governmental mobility markets across the globe
- More than 50 years of experience in these markets
- Brings together the best-in-class satellite solutions from key satellite operators to offer options across C-, L-, Ka- and Ku-band networks along with a hybrid LTE/GEO/LEO Satellite solution
- Partnerships with some of the largest MSS1 and VSAT2 satellite and LEO satellite operators, including Inmarsat, Iridium, Thuraya, Telesat, Eutelsat, JCSAT, Intelsat and Starlink
- Committed to support customers locally, offering a large infrastructure of global sales and service offices, teleports, and local partners across all the major continents
- 24/7 network operation centres, which provide nonstop technical support for every customer, whether on land, at sea or in the air
- Security Operation Center (SOC) to prevent, detect, analyse and respond to cybersecurity incidents
- Shareholders comprise Arendals Fossekompani ASA (80%) and the management team of NSSLGlobal (20%)
Segment overview
Maritime
Other
Military / Government
1. Mobile satellite services (MSS) provide two-way L-Band satellite communications to global users who are on the go or in
- remote locations, with terminals ranging in size from handheld to laptop-size units and typically provide less then 1 Mbits bandwidth.
-
- A very-small-aperture terminal (VSAT) is a two-way satellite ground station with a dish antenna that is smaller than 3.8 meters
VSAT value chain
NSSLGlobal is taking full responsibility from satellite to end-user
NSSLGlobal is a Satellite Communication Provider
VSAT Network Operator, System Integrator, Engineering Solution House & Application Developer.
Predominately subscription-based revenue model with airtime still being the largest revenue contributor
Revenue split by type 2023
| Airtime |
• Subscription and / or usage-based pay • Includes value added services • Contract period is typically 1-3 years • Often bundled with hardware financing and global maintenance (3-5 year contracts) |
|
Projects and value-added services |
• Government & Maritime Engineering Projects and Value-added Services • Complex engineering system integration and development. • Multi-year projects which once rolled out generally include ongoing service and technology renewal contracts |
|
| Hardware |
• Ad-hoc hardware purchases both direct to end users and indirect through resellers |
|
|
|
|
Trend
Projects and value-added services take larger part of the revenue split.
60-65 % multi-year recurring revenue.
NSSLGlobal delivers state-of-the-art services and solutions
The customers demand more, and suppliers have increased capabilities... …NSSL provides the solutions
Relevant Global Megatrends:
Increasing demand for Broadband Connectivity
The growing need for high-speed internet access, particularly in remote and underserved areas, is driving the demand for satellite communication services.
Cybersecurity Concerns
As satellite systems become more integrated into critical infrastructure, concerns about cybersecurity and the need for secure satellite communication links are growing.
Internet of Things (IoT) Connectivity
The proliferation of IoT devices and applications is creating a demand for reliable and ubiquitous connectivity. Satellite communication plays a role in providing coverage in areas with limited terrestrial infrastructure.
Advancements in Satellite Technology
Ongoing technological advancements, including the development of high-throughput satellites (HTS) and smaller, more cost-effective satellite designs, are enhancing the capabilities and cost efficiency of satellite communication.
Government Defense Applications
Governments worldwide continue to invest in satellite communication for defense and security purposes. This includes the development of secure communication networks and satellite systems for national defense and surveillance.
Cyber Security
Smart@Sea Platform Combined with Satellite Comunication Turns the Vessel Into a Strategic Asset
Flexible and unified communication package, fulfilling regulatory requirements with regards to security, safety and emissions
Example use cases:
- Navigational and weather services
- Energy optimization
- Route optimization
- Real-time monitoring and preventive maintenance
- Remote cargo management
- "Always-on" connectivity
- Performance monitoring system
- Crew welfare
- Ship entertainment system
- MMRD Multimedia reception and distribution
FusionIPLeo Provides the Optimal Combination of Availability and Bandwith
- 2023 introduced the game-changing communications service FusionIPLeo, combining traditional VSAT service with high-capacity LEO, to offer a dynamic service to the customers.
- Benefits of a reliable VSAT service is combined with the low latency and high capacity from the LEO/LTE to provide continuous services over the most suitable bearer
- Business critical functions are routed over our Proprietary, in-house-developed SatLink modems, which provide VSAT connectivity where we can offer a guaranteed performance (CIR) and a 24/7 well proven support set-up
- Other services, like crew welfare, are routed over LEO
- NSSL currently offers Starlink, and other highcapacity suppliers will be provided over time
Selected customers
Long established relationships (+20 years) and contracts with blue chip maritime, government and defence customers
Proven financial track record with 6,7 % average growth p.a. and healthy dividends
Source: Company information 1. Earnings Before Tax
NSSLobal empowers the green transition and helps adaptation to climate change, as defined by the EU taxonomy
The activities and services in NSSL that empower the green transition and help adapt to climate change is covered by the EU Taxonomy as of EU 2020/852
Climate mitigation
Facilitate more efficient navigation, resulting in less fuel consumption and lower emissions
Climate adaptation
Establish solutions for effective communication in areas impacted by natural disasters
NSSLGlobal Key strengths
| Serving high-end market |
50 years of experience providing high-end satellite communication and data solutions and services to demanding customers in the governmental and maritime mobility markets |
| Global footprint |
Worldwide presence as independent service and hardware provider combined with partnerships with all important satellite operators |
| Recurring revenues and strong cash flow |
Predominantly subscription-based revenue model providing recurring revenues and consistently healthy dividends |
| Long-term relationships |
Long established relationships (+20 years) and contracts with blue chip maritime, government and defense customers |
| Leading engineering & support capability |
Renowned for 24/7 technical support & taking full end-to-end service responsibility |
| Huge market |
Forecasts* indicate that total annual revenues from the satellite connectivity market could approach USD 160 billion 2030, growing at a CAGR at 9,4% in the forecast period (2022-2030) |
| Positioned for growth |
Well positioned to exploit growing market opportunities within value-added services and digitalization such as crew welfare, cyber security, route optimization, remote cargo monitoring and preventive maintenance |
Thank you!
Read more at nsslglobal.com