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ARÇELİK A.Ş. — Interim / Quarterly Report 2016
Oct 21, 2016
5890_rns_2016-10-21_a07f97be-36da-4a03-b338-e2cba1f44fb9.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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Arçelik
2016 9-Month Financial Results
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2016 Q3 Key Developments
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-
Domestic MDA market was stagnant in terms of industry sell-in sales
-
Retail sales, on the other hand, were positive in the Turkish market
-
Arçelik A.Ş., outperforming market-average growth in MDA, TV and A/C in domestic markets
-
Ongoing organic growth in international markets, increasing market share in built-in segment
-
Decreasing gross margin (QoQ) due to increasing steel costs and depreciating GBP
-
Working Capital/Sales ratio stabilizing around 30% thanks to sustained structural measures
-
Historically low leverage ratio
-
Strong cash position composed of hard currency
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2016 Q3 Sales Performance
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Key factors impacting revenues
Domestic Market
Though industry sell-in sales (sales to dealers) were stagnant in MDA and down in A/C markets, retail sales, on the contrary, were strong in Q3.
Extension of Deadline in POS Cash Reg.
Deadline for the transition to new generation POS cash registers was extended until the end of 2017 for merchants with turnover up to 150 K TL, and estimated to account for around 50% of the replacement market.
International Growth
Continuing market share gains, especially in built-in segment.
Brexit
Depreciating GBP negatively affected sales in TRY terms (around 1% down YoY in 2016 Q3).
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2016 Q3 Margins
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Key factors impacting margins
Raw Material Prices
Product Mix
Depreciating GBP
Sales & Marketing Expenses
Increasing steel costs have negatively affected gross margin in white goods.
Larger size TV sales and slightly better (QoQ) unit sales in POS cash registers helped gross margins in consumer electronics.
Though it was partly mitigated with increasing sales volume in the UK, depreciation of GBP had a negative effect on margins in Q3.
Investments to support our long-term branded sales in international markets have partly diluted the margins.
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2016 9-Month Market Performance - Turkey
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Market
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Growth in MDA and air conditioner markets
-
Due to flat sell-in MDA sales in Q3, cumulative unit growth down to 4% in 9-months
-
With shrinking sales (-12%) in Q3, the A/C sell-in market was up 9% in Jan-Sep ‘16
-
-
Shrinking TV market (around 10%) due to issues with import brands and non-traditional
- retail channel
-
MDA and A/C figures are based on BESD data. The data for TV is based on retail panel.
-
Above market-average growth in all major product groups (MDA, TV, A/C)
- Outperforming unit growth (~%6) in MDA market
Arçelik A.Ş.
-
Around 10% unit growth in shrinking TV market
-
Around 20% increase in unit sales for A/C, especially due to the performance in June
-
Despite the slowdown in Q2-Q3, high increase (YoY) in POS cash register sales
-
Based on company sell-in unit sales.
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2016 9-Month Market Performance - International
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Overall positive performance in European MDA markets
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Despite the slowdown in Q3, cumulative growth in all major markets in Europe
Market
-
Increasing growth in the UK after the Brexit decision
-
Ongoing strong demand in Romania
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Ukraine turning into positive by August
-
Continuing weakness in S. Africa in line with macroeconomic environment (2016 8M: -%8)
-
Arçelik Group continuing to strenghten its position in international markets
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More stable performance in free-standing segment as Beko is already N1 in Europe
Arçelik A.Ş.
-
Beko also capturing the leading position in total MDA market in East Europe
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Continuing strong performance in built-in segment
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Beko has become N1 also in built-in segment in the UK in Jan-Sep‘16
-
Expansion of Grundig MDA goes on with sales growth of 63% in the first 3 quarters
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2016 9-Month Market Figures
Beko Unit Market Share in Europe (%) (MDA 6)
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%
10
Total Free-standing Built-in
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
J-A
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Turkish MDA6 Total Market – Monthly Sell-in Figures (MDA 6)
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mn units
0,9 20%
0,8 17%
15%
0,7
11%
0,6 10%
9%
0,5 7%
5% 5%
0,4 3%
0,3 0% 0%
-2%
0,2
-5%
0,1 -7%
0,0 -10%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
14 15 16 YoY (RHS)
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Market Unit Growth in Europe (MDA 6)
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January-August 2016
West Europe
France
Germany
Italy
Spain
UK
East Europe
Poland
Romania
Russia
Ukraine
S. Africa
-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
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Turkish Market by Product Group (MDA6)
| in 000 | 9M 2016 | 9M 2015 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Refrigerator | 1.561 | 1.503 | 4% |
| Freezer | 590 | 526 | 12% |
| Washing mach. | 1.579 | 1.517 | 4% |
| Dryer | 55 | 46 | 18% |
| Dishwashers | 1.154 | 1.111 | 4% |
| Ovens | 717 | 734 | -2% |
| Total | 5.655 | 5.436 | 4% |
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Trends in Parity and Raw Material Index
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EUR/USD Development
1,6
1,4
1,2
1,0
0,8
0,6
0,4
0,2
0,0
Annual Average EUR/USD
2013 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2014 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2015 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2016 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3
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Raw material Market Price Index
105
100
95
90
85
80
75
70
65
60
Annual average RM price index (market)
Jan-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 Nov-15 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16
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- Raw material price index for appliances category
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2016 Q3 Other Developments: Pro osed Reor anization in Turke p g y
-
Arçelik A.Ş. intends to separate its Turkish marketing and aftersales functions from its other operations (such as its production and R&D operations) and transfer these functions to a new wholly-owned subsidiary, Arçelik Pazarlama A.Ş. , in order to bring Turkish operations in line with global organization.
-
The Proposed Reorganisation will be effected by dividing the balance sheet of Arçelik A.Ş. through a partial spin-off (using a procedure for restructurings provided for under Turkish law), with the relevant assets and liabilities being transferred to the new subsidiary.
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As Arçelik Pazarlama A.Ş. will be a wholly-owned subsidiary of Arçelik A.Ş., the Proposed Reorganisation is not expected to have any impact on the presentation of the Group’s consolidated financial reports.
-
Following the approval process from local authorities and shareholders, the Proposed
Reorganisation is expected to become effective from 1 January 2017.
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2016 Q3 Other Developments:
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Arçelik A.Ş. participated the IFA 2016 Fair in Berlin with Beko and Grundig stands.
-
Arçelik A.Ş., with its 5 products, was granted awards at the Red Dot Awards , which is one of the most important competitions of the design world besides being a quality approval recognised by
authorities.
- A survey of senior executives conducted by monthly economy magazine Capital
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Sales Performance
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Sales by Region
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| Δ% | Δ% | Δ% | Δ% | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TL mn | 2016 Q3 | 2015 Q3 | 2016 Q2 | YoY | QoQ | 2016 9M | 2015 9M | YoY | 2015 | 2014 | YoY |
| Total Revenue | 4.083 | 3.877 | 3.960 | 5 | 3 | 11.570 | 10.099 | 15 | 14.166 | 12.514 | 13 |
| Turkey | 1.669 | 1.542 | 1.724 | 8 | -3 | 4.849 | 4.191 | 16 | 5.724 | 4.850 | 18 |
| International | 2.414 | 2.335 | 2.236 | 3 | 8 | 6.721 | 5.908 | 14 | 8.442 | 7.664 | 10 |
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41,9%
41,5%
32,0%
31,2%
12,2% 12,7%
8,0%
6,6%
2,8% 4,5%
3,0% 3,4%
Turkey Western Europe CIS&Eastern Africa Middle East Other
Europe
2015 9M 2016 9M
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39,8% 40,9%
33,1%
30,9%
14,3%
13,5%
8,0% 6,9%
4,5%
2,3% 2,5% 3,3%
Turkey Western Europe CIS&Eastern Africa Middle East Other
Europe
2015 Q3 2016 Q3
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Sales Bridge
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| - 2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000 10.000 12.000 14.000 |
4.191 4.849 5.908 6.721 451 658 362 2015 9M Organic Int. Organic TR FX impact 2016 9M Impact on Rev International Turkey TL mn |
|---|---|
| 2016 9M | Organic | Currency Effect | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| % International Growth | 7,6% | 6,1% | 13,8% |
| % Total Growth | 11,0% | 3,6% | 14,6% |
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Financial Performance
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Income Statement
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| Δ% | Δ% | Δ% | Δ% | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TL mn | 2016 Q3 | 2015 Q3 | 2016 Q2 | YoY | QoQ | 2016 9M | 2015 9M | YoY | 2015 | 2014 | YoY |
| Revenue | 4.083 | 3.877 | 3.960 | 5 | 3 | 11.570 | 10.099 | 15 | 14.166 | 12.514 | 13 |
| Gross Profit | 1.361 | 1.260 | 1.353 | 8 | 1 | 3.908 | 3.214 | 22 | 4.536 | 3.979 | 14 |
| margin | 33,3 | 32,5 | 34,2 | 33,8 | 31,8 | 32,0 | 31,8 | ||||
| EBIT * | 375 | 330 | 331 | 14 | 13 | 1.029 | 787 | 31 | 1.157 | 1.024 | 13 |
| margin | 9,2 | 8,5 | 8,4 | 8,9 | 7,8 | 8,2 | 8,2 | ||||
| Profit Before Tax | 283 | 241 | 656 | 18 | -57 | 1.093 | 543 | 102 | 785 | 732 | 7 |
| margin | 6,9 | 6,2 | 16,6 | 9,4 | 5,4 | 5,5 | 5,8 | ||||
| Net Income** | 264 | 214 | 653 | 24 | -60 | 1.074 | 681 | 58 | 893 | 638 | 40 |
| margin | 6,5 | 5,5 | 16,5 | 9,3 | 6,7 | 6,3 | 5,1 | ||||
| EBITDA* | 484 | 423 | 441 | 14 | 10 | 1.346 | 1.063 | 27 | 1.527 | 1.370 | 11 |
| margin | 11,9 | 10,9 | 11,1 | 11,6 | 10,5 | 10,8 | 11,0 |
- EBIT was calculated by deducting the impact of foreign exchange gains and losses arising from trade receivables and payables, credit finance income and charges and cash discount expense and adding income and expenses from sale of property plant and equipment.
** Net income before minority
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Revenue and Gross Profit by Segment
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| Δ% | Δ% |
Δ% | Δ% | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TL mn | 2016 Q3 | 2015 Q3 | 2016 Q2 | YoY | QoQ | 2016 9M | 2015 9M | YoY | 2015 | 2014 | YoY |
| Consolidated | |||||||||||
| Revenue | 4.083 | 3.877 | 3.960 | 5 | 3 | 11.570 | 10.099 | 15 | 14.166 | 12.514 | 13 |
| Gross Profit | 1.361 | 1.260 | 1.353 | 8 | 1 | 3.908 | 3.214 | 22 | 4.536 | 3.979 | 14 |
| Gross Profit % | 33,3 | 32,5 | 34,2 | 33,8 | 31,8 | 32,0 | 31,8 | ||||
| White Goods | |||||||||||
| Revenue | 3.130 | 2.947 | 2.747 | 6 | 14 | 8.339 | 7.384 | 13 | 10.299 | 9.069 | 14 |
| Gross Profit | 1.079 | 1.038 | 1.070 | 4 | 1 | 3.039 | 2.555 | 19 | 3.578 | 3.080 | 16 |
| Gross Profit % | 34,5 | 35,2 | 38,9 | 36,4 | 34,6 | 34,7 | 34,0 | ||||
| Consumer Electronics | |||||||||||
| Revenue | 528 | 465 | 529 | 14 | 0 | 1.633 | 1.317 | 24 | 1.966 | 1.829 | 7 |
| Gross Profit | 151 | 101 | 119 | 50 | 27 | 442 | 276 | 60 | 433 | 442 | -2 |
| Gross Profit % | 28,7 | 21,6 | 22,6 | 27,1 | 21,0 | 22,0 | 24,2 | ||||
| Other | |||||||||||
| Revenue | 426 | 466 | 684 | -9 | -38 | 1.598 | 1.399 | 14 | 1.901 | 1.616 | 18 |
| Gross Profit | 130 | 122 | 163 | 7 | -20 | 427 | 383 | 12 | 524 | 457 | 15 |
| Gross Profit % | 30,6 | 26,2 | 23,9 | 26,7 | 27,4 | 27,6 | 28,3 |
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Balance Sheet
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| TL mn | 30.09.2016 | 31.12.2015 | 30.09.2016 | 31.12.2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Assets | 10.760 | 9.406 | Current Liabilities | 6.151 | 5.236 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 2.722 | 2.168 | ST Bank Borrowings | 2.370 | 2.185 |
| Trade Receivables | 5.275 | 4.791 | Trade Payables | 2.495 | 2.090 |
| Inventories | 2.402 | 2.140 | Provisions | 401 | 335 |
| Other | 362 | 308 | Other | 886 | 627 |
| Non-current Assets | 4.118 | 4.332 | Non-current Liabilities | 3.440 | 3.826 |
| Property, Plant and Equipment | 2.211 | 2.056 | LT Bank Borrowings | 2.843 | 3.269 |
| Financial Investments | 221 | 749 | Other | 597 | 557 |
| Other | 1.686 | 1.528 | Equity | 5.287 | 4.676 |
| Total Assets | 14.879 | 13.739 | Total Liabilities | 14.879 | 13.739 |
| 30.09.2016 | 31.12.2015 | 31.12.2014 | 31.12.2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Financial Debt/Equity | 0,47 | 0,70 | 0,72 | 0,72 |
| Total Liabilities/Total Assets | 0,64 | 0,66 | 0,65 | 0,64 |
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Working Capital
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| TL mn | FX Basis | TL Basis | 30.09.2016 | FX Basis | TL Basis | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Trade Rec. | 2.021 | 3.254 | 5.275 | ST Trade Payables | 1.074 | 1.421 | 2.495 |
| Other Receivables | 44 | 76 | 120 | Other Payables | 217 | 263 | 480 |
| Inventory | 1.225 | 1.177 | 2.402 | Working Capital | 1.999 | 2.823 | 4.822 |
| TL mn | FX Basis | TL Basis | 30.06.2016 | FX Basis | TL Basis | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Trade Rec. | 1.744 | 3.283 | 5.027 | ST Trade Payables | 954 | 1.452 | 2.406 |
| Other Receivables | 40 | 58 | 98 | Other Payables | 163 | 195 | 358 |
| Inventory | 1.055 | 1.256 | 2.311 | Working Capital | 1.722 | 2.950 | 4.672 |
Working Capital / Sales
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41,8%
33,3% 38,9% 39,2% 39,1% 38,7% 36,2% 37,2% 39,3%
32,5%
30,9%
30,3% 30,8%
Dec-12 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16
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Debt Profile
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4.000 TL mn
3.000
2.000
1.000
1.317 1.174 1.741 1.267 1.621 2.168 2.491 2.467 2.722
905
0 416
-839
-1.000 -1.915 -1.924 -1.218 -1.629 -2.144 -1.673 -1.803 -2.185 -2.508 -2.078 -2.370
-2.000 -188
-1.528
-3.000 -1.577 -1.859 -2.581 -2.965
-4.000 -3.269 -3.084 -3.078 -2.843
-5.000
-6.000
-7.000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 16 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3
Cash and cash equivalent Short term debt Long term debt
3.500 3.286 6
3.076 2.988 3.146 3.100
3.000 2.689 5
2.491
2.500 2.263
1.983 4
2.000
3
1.500 1.207
1.000 5,1 740 2,3 2,2 2,6 2,3 2,2 2
1,8
500 1,3 1,5 1,4 1
0,9
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 16Q1 16Q2 16Q3
Net Debt (TL mn) Net Debt/EBITDA
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| Debt profile (as of 30 Sep | 2016) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Effective | mn Original | TL mn | |
| Interest Rate p.a. (%) | **Currency ** | Equivalent | |
| TRY EUR ZAR RUB |
11,8% 1,7% 9,9% 8,9% |
1.715 162 750 475 |
1.715 543 163 22 |
| CNY GBP |
4,4% 1,1% |
110 5 |
49 19 |
| USD | 1,3% | 2 | 6 |
| Other | 0 | ||
| Total Bank Borrowings | 2.518 | ||
| USD | 5,1% | 509 | 1.526 |
| EUR Total Eurobond |
4,0% | 348 | 1.169 2.695 |
| Total | 5.213 | ||
| Debt maturity profile | 2016 28% 2017 18% 2018-19 3% 2021 22% 2023 29% |
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Cash Flow
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| TL mn | 2016 9M | 2015 9M |
|---|---|---|
| Beginning Balance | 2.166 | 1.621 |
| Net Operational Cash Flow | 1.211 | 454 |
| CapEx | -439 | -414 |
| Acquisition of minority interest | 0 | -282 |
| Fixed Asset Sales | 9 | 11 |
| Financial Asset Sales | 559 | 0 |
| Dividend Paid | -262 | -350 |
| Dividends Received | 13 | 24 |
| Changes in Bank Borrowings | -361 | 474 |
| Other Financial & Investing Activites | -288 | -197 |
| Differences due to FX Conversion | 113 | 222 |
| Changes in Cash | 555 | -57 |
| Ending Balance | 2.721 | 1.563 |
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2016 Expectations
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2016 Expectations
White goods market volume growth
Turkey* : 3% - 5% International : c.2%
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Stable or higher market share Market Share in key regions Revenue Growth c. 12% in TL
EBITDA Margin (2016) c.11% Long Term EBITDA margin**** c.11%
- 6 main products, in compliance with WGMA data.
**EBITDA margin calculations are inline with the methodology used in calculation of historical values
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www.arcelikas.com
Contacts for Investor Relations
Polat Şen Hande Sarıdal CFO Finance Director Tel: (+90 212) 314 34 34 Tel: (+90 212) 314 31 85
Orkun İnanbil Investor Relations Manager Tel: (+90 212) 314 31 14
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Disclaimer
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This presentation contains information and analysis on financial statements as well as forward-looking statements that reflect the Company management’s current views with respect to certain future events. Although it is believed that the information and analysis are correct and expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, they may be affected by a variety of variables and changes in underlying assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially.
Neither Arçelik nor any of its managers or employees nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from the use of this presentation .
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