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ARÇELİK A.Ş. — Interim / Quarterly Report 2015
Apr 22, 2015
5890_rns_2015-04-22_fd22fe85-9b53-4ccd-ba94-6242b25c5ba4.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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Arçelik
1Q15 Financial Results
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1Q15 developments
Key developments
-
Domestic appliances market: Slow start to the year, but volume growth accelerated in March (1Q15: 7% YoY growth, March-15: 16% YoY growth)
-
European appliance markets overall robust. Especially Poland, Romania, Spain, and Germany
-
…….but strength negated by
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weakness in Russia: decline in oil prices, price increases and prebuying in Dec
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Commodity prices continued downward trend in 1Q15
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EUR/USD rate declined from 1.37 in 1Q14 to 1.13 in 1Q15 impacting revenues and margins negatively
- Initial signals of price increases in the European TV market
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Working capital/sales ratio at 37.2% in Mar-15 vs 39.2% in Mar-14
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Ground breaking ceremony for Thailand plant in January
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1Q15 developments
Key factors impacting margins
(1) Commodity prices
(2) FX rate
-
(1)+ (2)=
-
-ve impact on GPM
Deferred tax income
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Continued fall in commodity prices in 1Q15. The positive trend not fully reflected to Arcelik’s COGS in 1Q15 due to duration gap (contract periods and inventory).
EUR/USD down from 1.37 in 1Q14 to 1.13 in 1Q15=> Negative impact on TRY based revenues, and margins.
GPM down by 1.4pp YoY to 30.4%. White goods GPM was relatively resilient (lower USD exposure compared to electronics segment, and tailwinds from commodity prices).
Net tax income of TRY20mn in 1Q15=> Cash impact in the following periods
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1Q15 developments
Key factors impacting revenues
Domestic white goods & TV sales
Domestic A/C market
Strong growth in domestic appliances and TV sales
Lower volumes due to 1) transition to inverter A/Cs. 2) Stock reduction at dealers. Sell-out progression in 1Q15 significantly better than sell-in. Dealer inventories getting close to normalized levels.
4% negative impact on consolidated revenues
FX rate
High base impact in 1H14 pre FIFA World Cup
International TV sales
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1Q15 developments
Other developments
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60th year of Arcelik’s establishment, Beko celebrates 25th year in UK
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Fitch Ratings has affirmed Arcelik 's long-term foreign and local currency Issuer Default
Ratings at 'BB+' and outlook as stable
- Exemption on Resource Utilization Support Fund (KKDF) on imports on credit for selected raw materials and components
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1Q15 developments
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Domestic market monthly progression
mn units
0,8 18%
0,7 16,3% 16%
14%
0,6
1,4% [2,7% ] 12%
0,5
10%
0,4
8%
0,3
6%
0,2
4%
0,1 2%
0,0 0%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
13 14 15 YoY (RHS)
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| Domestic market in 1Q15 | Domestic market in 1Q15 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| in 000's | 1Q14 | 1Q15 | YoY |
| Refrigerator Freezer Washing mach. |
363 63 416 |
367 82 453 |
1% 31% 9% |
| Dryer Dishwashers |
14 277 |
20 291 |
48% 5% |
| Ovens Total |
162 1,295 |
178 1,391 |
10% 7% |
Source: TURKBESD
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1Q15 developments
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Raw material market price index EUR/USD development
120 1,4
112,9
104,1 1,4
110 103,5
1,3
100
87,1 1,3
90
1,2
80 1,2
70 1,1
1,1
60
1,0
Annual average RM price index (market) Annual Avg. EUR/USD
7
Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-15
13 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 14 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 15 Q1
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International growth Thailand investment overview
Investment
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Investment of c.USD100mn (during initial 3 years), including working capital requirement
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263k sqm plot at Hemaraj Rayong Industrial Land. Ground breaking ceremony on 6th January
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Expandable capacity
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Start-of production by YE15, exports by early 2016
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Strategy
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Leverage Beko brand and its European image across the region
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Sourcing to 10 countries incl. Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, Australia and New Zealand
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Local production for refrigerator from Thailand. WM sourced from other Arçelik plants.
ASEAN Market
Expectations
-
620mn population
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c.90% of production will be exported
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Low penetration of white goods
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Expected GDP CAGR between 14 and 2017E: +5%
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Washing Machine market is estimated to be c.USD1.65bn and at c.6.8mn units
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Refrigerator market worth c.USD2.5bn at c.8.6mn units
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c.USD500mn revenues and +800k units production in 3 years following the completion of the investment (cumulative)
Incentives
-
Corporate tax exemption for 8 years (capped at investment amount excluding land cost). Reduction on corporate tax during the following 5 years
-
Exemption on import duties on machinery
-
Partial exemption on duties on raw materials
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International growth ASEAN countries overview
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Vietnam Laos Asean total
$ 186 $ 12
91 7 GDP (USDbn) $ 2,459
Population (mn) 620
Vietnam
Myanmar $/ 2.1 $/ 1.7
Laos
$ 5.9% $ 7.6% GDP/capita(USD 000’s) $/ 4.0
GDP growth (14-17E) $ 5.1%
Thailand
Myanmar Cambodia Philippines
Cambodia
$ 63 $ 17 $ 285
51 15 99
Philippines
$/ 1.2 $/ 1.1 $/ 2.9
$ 8.4% $ 7.2% $ 6.3%
Malaysia
Thailand
$ 374
Singapore
69
$/ 5.4
$ 3.9%
Indonesia
Malaysia Singapore Indonesia
$ 308
$ 327 $ 889
5
30 251
$/ 10.8 $/ 56.3 $/ 3.5
$ 4.9% $ 3.1% $ 5.5%
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Source: WEO April 2015
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Sales performance
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Sales b re ion y g
| Δ% | Δ% | Δ% | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TL mn | 2015 Q1 | 2014 Q1 | 2014 Q4 | YoY | QoQ | 2014 | 2013 | YoY |
| Total Revenue | 2,867 | 2,802 | 3,402 | 2.3 | -15.7 | 12,514 | 11,098 | 12.8 |
| Turkey | 1,178 | 1,029 | 1,337 | 14.5 | -11.9 | 4,852 | 4,617 | 5.1 |
| International | 1,689 | 1,774 | 2,065 | -4.8 | -18.2 | 7,662 | 6,481 | 18.2 |
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45%
41.1%
40% 36.7%
35.3%
35% 32.9%
30%
25%
20%
13.1%
15%
11.2%
10% 7.8% 7.5%
5% 4.2% 3.6% 2.9% 3.8%
0%
Turkey Western Europe CIS&Eastern Africa Middle East Other
Europe
2014 Q1 2015 Q1
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Sales bridge
| - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,029 1,774 TL mn |
1,178 - 108 1,689 23 149 |
|||||
| Organic | Currency effect | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| % International Growth | 1% | -6% | -5% |
| % Total Growth | 6% | -4% | 2% |
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Financial performance
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Income statement
| Δ% | Δ% | Δ% | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TL mn | 2015 Q1 | 2014 Q1 | 2014 Q4 | YoY | QoQ | 2014 | 2013 | YoY | |
| Revenue | 2.867 | 2.802 | 3.402 | 2,3 | -15,7 | 12.514 | 11.098 | 12,8 | |
| Gross Profit | 872 | 892 | 1.050 | -2,3 | -17,0 | 3.979 | 3.388 | 17,4 | |
| margin | 30,4 | 31,8 | 30,9 | 31,8 | 30,5 | ||||
| EBITDA* | 270 | 293 | 351 | -8,1 | -23,2 | 1.370 | 1.155 | 18,6 | |
| margin | 9,4 | 10,5 | 10,3 | 11,0 | 10,4 | ||||
| EBIT * | 181 | 209 | 263 | -13,6 | -31,3 | 1.024 | 853 | 20,0 | |
| margin | 6,3 | 7,5 | 7,7 | 8,2 | 7,7 | ||||
| Net Income** | 141 | 135 | 176 | 5,0 | -19,6 | 638 | 623 | 2,5 | |
| margin | 4,9 | 4,8 | 5,2 | 5,1 | 5,6 |
*The effects of foreign exchange gains and losses arising from trade receivables and payables, credit finance income and charges and cash discount expense are deducted from operating profit and the effects of income and expenses from sale of property plant and equipment are added to operating profit in order to maintain consistency in the presentation with prior years EBITDA calculation.
** Net income before minority
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Revenue and gross profit by segment
| Δ% | Δ% |
Δ% | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TL mn | 2015 Q1 | 2014 Q1 | 2014 Q4 | YoY | QoQ | 2014 | 2013 | YoY |
| Revenue | 2,867 | 2,802 | 3,402 | 2.3 | -15.7 | 12,514 | 11,098 | 12.8 |
| Gross Profit % | 30.4 | 31.8 | 30.9 | 31.8 | 30.5 | |||
| White Goods Revenue | 2,031 | 1,948 | 2,434 | 4.3 | -16.6 | 9,069 | 7,818 | 16.0 |
| Gross Profit % | 33.1 | 33.8 | 33.0 | 34.0 | 32.8 | |||
| Electronics Revenue | 430 | 452 | 552 | -5.0 | -22.2 | 1,829 | 1,607 | 13.8 |
| Gross Profit % | 21.3 | 24.5 | 23.1 | 24.2 | 21.6 | |||
| Other | 406 | 402 | 416 | 1.0 | -2.3 | 1,616 | 1,673 | -3.4 |
| Gross Profit % | 26.8 | 30.2 | 28.8 | 28.3 | 28.6 |
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Balance sheet
| TL mn | 31.03.2015 | 31.12.2014 | 31.03.2015 | 31.12.2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Assets | 8,371 | 8,472 | Current Liabilities | 4,669 | 4,431 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 1,645 | 1,621 | ST Bank Borrowings | 1,982 | 1,803 |
| Trade Receivables | 4,306 | 4,434 | Trade Payables | 1,547 | 1,781 |
| Inventories | 2,123 | 2,125 | Provisions | 284 | 264 |
| Other | 297 | 292 | Other | 857 | 583 |
| Non-current Assets | 4,127 | 3,923 | Non-current Liabilities | 3,535 | 3,566 |
| Property, Plant and Equipment | 1,862 | 1,813 | LT Bank Borrowings | 2,943 | 2,965 |
| Financial Investments | 884 | 894 | Other | 591 | 601 |
| Other | 1,380 | 1,217 | Equity | 4,294 | 4,399 |
| Total Assets | 12,498 | 12,395 | Total Liabilities | 12,498 | 12,395 |
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Workin ca ital g p
| TL mn | FX Basis | TL Basis | 3/31/2015 | FX Basis | TL Basis | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Trade Rec. | 1,840 | 2,466 | 4,306 | ST Trade Payables | 767 | 780 | 1,547 |
| Other Receivables | 38 | 44 | 82 | Other Payables | 209 | 75 | 284 |
| Inventory | 1,047 | 1,076 | 2,123 | Working Capital | 1,949 | 2,731 | 4,680 |
| TL mn | FX Basis | TL Basis | 12/31/2014 | FX Basis | TL Basis | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Trade Rec. | 1,994 | 2,440 | 4,434 | ST Trade Payables | 884 | 897 | 1,781 |
| Other Receivables | 27 | 32 | 59 | Other Payables | 246 | 58 | 304 |
| Inventory | 1,219 | 906 | 2,125 | Working Capital | 2,110 | 2,423 | 4,533 |
Working capital /sales
31-Mar-15 37,2% 31-Dec-14 36,2% 30-Sep-14 38,7% 30-Jun-14 39,1% 31-Mar-14 39,2% 31-Dec-13 38,9% 31-Dec-12 33,3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
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Debt rofile p
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3,000 TL mn
2,000
1,000 416
905 1,317 1,174 1,741 1,267 1,621 1,645
0
-839
-1,000 -1,915 -1,924 -1,629 -2,144 -1,673 -1,803 -1,982
-1,218
-2,000
-1,528
-3,000 -1,577 -188 -1,859 -2,581
-2,965 -2,943
-4,000
-5,000
-6,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1
Cash and cash equivalent Short term debt Long term debt
3,500 3,281 6
3,076 3,146
2,988
3,000 5
2,500 5.1 2,263
1,983 4
2,000
3
1,500 1,207
2.6 2
1,000 740 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.4
1
500
1.3
0.9
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1
Net Debt (TL mn) Net Debt/EBITDA
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| Effective | mn Original | mn Original | TL mn | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Rate p.a. (%) | Currency | Equivalent | ||
| TRY EUR |
10.3% 1.9% |
1,474 308 |
1,474 873 |
|
| ZAR RUB |
8.6% 8.9% |
750 928 |
162 41 |
|
| CNY Other Total USD EUR |
5.6% 1.9% Bank Borrowings 5.1% 4.0% |
110 508 353 |
46 3 2,599 1,326 1,000 |
|
| Total | Eurobond | 2,327 | ||
| Total | 4,925 |
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Cash flow*
| TL mn | 31.03.2015 | 31.03.2014 |
|---|---|---|
| Beginning Balance | 1,621 | 1,266 |
| Net Operational Cash Flow | 149 | 124 |
| Fixed Asset Sales | 9 | 1 |
| CapEx | -116 | -80 |
| Dividend Paid | 0 | 0 |
| Changes in Bank Borrowings | -21 | 278 |
| Bonds Issued | 0 | 0 |
| Other Financial & Investing Activites | -36 | -38 |
| Differences due to FX Conversion | 38 | 1 |
| Changes in Cash | 24 | 287 |
| Ending Balance | 1,644 | 1,552 |
2014 figure reclassified
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2015 expectations
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2015 ex ectations p
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Stable or higher market share
Market share
in key regions
Turkey : 3 to 5 %,
White goods volume growth
International : > 6%
Revenue growth c.10% in TL
EBITDA margin (2015) c.10.5% c.11%
Long-Term EBITDA margin c. 3511 %
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- 5 main products, in compliance with WGMA data.
**EBITDA margin calculations are inline with the methodology used in calculation of historical values
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www.arcelikas.com
Contacts for Investor Relations
Polat Şen Doğan Korkmaz CFO Finance Director Tel: (+90 212) 314 34 34 Tel: (+90 212) 314 31 85
Gözde Çullas Investor Relations Tel: (+90 212) 314 3390
[email protected]
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Disclaimer
This presentation contains information and analysis on financial statements as well as forward-looking statements that reflect the Company management’s current views with respect to certain future events. Although it is believed that the information and analysis are correct and expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, they may be affected by a variety of variables and changes in underlying assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially.
Neither Arçelik nor any of its managers or employees nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from the use of this presentation .
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