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ARÇELİK A.Ş. — Interim / Quarterly Report 2015
Oct 26, 2015
5890_rns_2015-10-26_cc5dabcb-3793-441d-9142-f2890c17f4ec.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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Arçelik
9M15 Financial Results
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3Q15 developments
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Key developments
-
Decent domestic growth overall
-
Ongoing growth in international markets with both organic and FX components
-
Improving EBITDA supported by:
-
Gross margin enhancement for both white goods and consumer electronics
-
Favorable raw material prices
-
Sticking high working capital levels, with some seasonality effect
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3Q15 developments
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Domestic market
-
July-August appliance sales were on a growth track
-
Some weakening in September caused by:
-
Shift of Eid to September, 9 days of public holiday
-
Civil disturbances in the eastern regions of Turkey
-
Price actions are taken in line with increase in costs
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3Q15 developments
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International markets
-
Ongoing overall growth in international markets
-
European appliance markets overall robust, especially Spain, Germany, Austria, UK, Poland and Romania
-
Pickup in TV sales together with a slight margin improvement
-
Change in France’s retail channel landscape, putting pressure on prices
-
Continuing weakness in Russia /Ukraine (c.31% / 41% decline in the market in 8M15)*
-
Continuing weakness in South Africa (macro, store closures, credit constraints)
-
Middle East still negatively impacted by regional instability; Iran a potential catalyst for the region in the future
-
Arçelik continued to strengthen its international presence*
-
Beko holds 2[nd] rank MDA6 total Europe
-
Beko; capturing the leading brand position in MDA6 free-standing total Europe
-
Beko; top winning brand in total Europe
-
Our price index continued to improve in Europe
*Source: GFK
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3Q15 developments
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Key factors impacting revenues
Domestic white goods, TV and SDA sales
FX gains from international sales
International volumes
Strong growth in domestic appliances, TV and SDA sales Weakness in September due to holidays and regional issues
c.8% positive impact on consolidated revenues in 3Q15 (3% in 9M15)
MDA6: Top market share winning brand in Europe in terms of sales units* Consumer Electronics: Stabilizing TV sales
Appliances: Negative trend in volumes in France (channel restructuring) South Africa (market), Russia /Ukraine (market)
*Source: GFK
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3Q15 developments
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Key factors impacting margins
Commodity prices continued to support white goods margins in 3Q15
Commodity prices FX rate Flat on GPM YoY
OPEX
EUR/USD down from 1.33 in 3Q14 to 1.11 in 3Q15=> Negative impact on margins
White goods GPM improved by 0.4pp YoY supported by commodity cost declines and price actions, especially in the domestic market. Electronics margins are back above 20% threshold after actions taken in the last quarter.
OPEX/sales ratio (including net other operating income) improved by 0.2pp YoY
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3Q15 developments
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Other developments
-
New Turkish coffee machines using single-use capsules have been introduced.
-
Arçelik has been included in the MSCI Global Sustainability Index as of June 1st, 2015 with an MSCI ESG rating of ‘AA’. Also rated Green (G) in MSCI’s ESG Impact Monitor with a 10 out of 10 score. BIST Sustainability Index membership
renewed.
-
Successfully attended IFA Fair in Germany to exhibit newest product technologies with Beko and Grundig brands.
-
Thailand investment on track. Production to commence by year-end.
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3Q15 developments
Domestic market monthly progression
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mn units
0.9 30%
28%
0.8 25%
0.7
20%
0.6 16%
15%
0.5 13%
10%
0.4
7% 6%
5% 5%
0.3 3%
1%
0%
0.2
0.1 -5% -5%
0.0 -10%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
13 14 15 YoY (RHS)
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Domestic market in 9M15
| in 000's | 9M15 | 9M14 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Refrigerator Freezer Washing mach. Dryer Dishwashers |
1,495 534 1,500 47 1,106 |
1,438 485 1,366 33 1,065 |
4% 10% 10% 41% 4% |
| Ovens | 739 | 645 | 15% |
| Total | 5,420 | 5,031 | 8% |
Domestic market in 3Q15
| in 000's | 3Q15 | 3Q14 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Refrigerator | 610 | 616 | -1% |
| Freezer | 290 | 247 | 17% |
| Washing mach. | 523 | 510 | 2% |
| Dryer | 15 | 12 | 22% |
| Dishwashers | 411 | 408 | 1% |
| Ovens | 284 | 257 | 10% |
| Total | 2,132 | 2,050 | 4% |
Source: TURKBESD
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3Q15 developments
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EUR/USD development Raw material market price index
105
1.5
100
1.4
95
1.3 90
85
1.2
80
1.1
75
1.0
70
0.9
65
0.8 60
Annual average RM price index (market)
Annual Avg. EUR/USD
Raw material price index for appliances category
9
13 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 14 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 15 Q1 15 Q2 Jan-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Jul-15
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Sales performance
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Sales by region
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| Δ% | Δ% | Δ% | Δ% | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TL mn | 2015 Q3 | 2014 Q3 | 2015 Q2 | YoY | QoQ | 2015 9M | 2014 9M | YoY | 2014 | 2013 | YoY |
| Total Revenue | 3,877 | 3,234 | 3,355 | 20 | 16 | 10,099 | 9,112 | 11 | 12,514 | 11,098 | 13 |
| Turkey | 1,542 | 1,337 | 1,472 | 15 | 5 | 4,192 | 3,515 | 19 | 4,852 | 4,617 | 5 |
| International | 2,335 | 1,897 | 1,883 | 23 | 24 | 5,907 | 5,597 | 6 | 7,662 | 6,481 | 18 |
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41.4%
45%
39.8%
40%
35% 32.1% 33.2%
30%
25%
20%
13.9% 13.1%
15%
7.7% 7.9%
10%
5% 1.9% 2.5% 3.2% 3.5%
0%
Turkey Western CIS&Eastern Africa Middle East Other
Europe Europe
2014 Q3 2015 Q3
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50%
41.5%
45%
38.6%
40% 33.2%
35% 31.9%
30%
25%
20%
13.6%
15% 12.2%
8.3% 8.0%
10% 3.4% 3.5%
2.9% 3.0%
5%
0%
Turkey Western CIS&Eastern Africa Middle East Other
Europe Europe
2014 9M 2015 9M
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Sales bridge
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12,000
TL mn
254
677
10,000
56
8,000
5,907
Impact on Rev
5,597
6,000
International
4,000
Turkey
2,000 4,192
3,515
-
2014 9M Organic Int. Organic TR FX impact 2015 9M
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| 2015 9M | Organic | Currency effect | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| % International Growth | 1% | 5% | 6% |
| % Consolidated Growth | 8% | 3% | 11% |
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Financial performance
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Income statement
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| Δ% | Δ% | Δ% | Δ% | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TL mn | 2015 Q3 | 2014 Q3 | 2015 Q2 | YoY | QoQ | 2015 9M | 2014 9M | YoY | 2014 | 2013 | YoY |
| Revenue | 3,877 | 3,234 | 3,355 | 20 | 16 | 10,099 | 9,112 | 11 | 12,514 | 11,098 | 13 |
| Gross Profit | 1,260 | 1,046 | 1,082 | 20 | 16 | 3,214 | 2,928 | 10 | 3,979 | 3,388 | 17 |
| margin | 32.5 | 32.3 | 32.2 | 31.8 | 32.1 | 31.8 | 30.5 | ||||
| EBIT * | 330 | 274 | 277 | 20 | 19 | 787 | 761 | 3 | 1,024 | 853 | 20 |
| margin | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 8.4 | 8.2 | 7.7 | ||||
| Profit Before Tax | 241 | 194 | 180 | 24 | 34 | 543 | 545 | 0 | 732 | 745 | -2 |
| margin | 6.2 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 6.7 | ||||
| Net Income** | 214 | 160 | 326 | 33 | -35 | 681 | 462 | 47 | 638 | 623 | 2 |
| margin | 5.5 | 5.0 | 9.7 | 6.7 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.6 | ||||
| EBITDA* | 423 | 363 | 370 | 17 | 15 | 1,063 | 1,020 | 4 | 1,370 | 1,155 | 19 |
| margin | 10.9 | 11.2 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 11.2 | 11.0 | 10.4 |
- EBIT was calculated by deducting the impact of foreign exchange gains and losses arising from trade receivables and payables, credit finance income and charges and cash discount expense and adding income and expenses from sale of property plant and equipment.
** Net income before minority
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Revenue and gross profit by segment
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| Δ% | Δ% |
Δ% | Δ% | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TL mn | **2015 Q3 ** | **2014 Q3 ** | 2015 Q2 | YoY | QoQ | **2015 9M ** | 2014 9M | YoY | 2014 | 2013 | YoY |
| Consolidated | |||||||||||
| Revenue | 3,877 | 3,234 | 3,355 | 20 | 16 | 10,099 | 9,112 | 11 | 12,514 | 11,098 | 13 |
| Gross Profit | 1,260 | 1,046 | 1,082 | 20 | 16 | 3,214 | 2,928 | 10 | 3,979 | 3,388 | 17 |
| Gross Profit % | 32.5 | 32.3 | 32.2 | 31.8 | 32.1 | 31.8 | 30.5 | ||||
| White Goods | |||||||||||
| Revenue | 2,947 | 2,444 | 2,406 | 21 | 22 | 7,384 | 6,635 | 11 | 9,069 | 7,818 | 16 |
| Gross Profit | 1,038 | 852 | 846 | 22 | 23 | 2,555 | 2,277 | 12 | 3,080 | 2,564 | 20 |
| Gross Profit % | 35.2 | 34.8 | 35.1 | 34.6 | 34.3 | 34.0 | 32.8 | ||||
| Consumer Electronics | |||||||||||
| Revenue | 465 | 416 | 422 | 12 | 10 | 1,317 | 1,277 | 3 | 1,829 | 1,607 | 14 |
| Gross Profit | 101 | 101 | 84 | -1 | 20 | 276 | 315 | -12 | 442 | 346 | 28 |
| Gross Profit % | 21.6 | 24.4 | 19.9 | 21.0 | 24.7 | 24.2 | 21.6 | ||||
| Other | |||||||||||
| Revenue | 466 | 375 | 527 | 24 | -12 | 1,399 | 1,200 | 17 | 1,616 | 1,673 | -3 |
| Gross Profit | 122 | 93 | 152 | 31 | -20 | 383 | 337 | 14 | 457 | 478 | -4 |
| Gross Profit % | 26.2 | 24.8 | 28.9 | 27.4 | 28.1 | 28.3 | 28.6 |
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Balance sheet
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| TL mn | 30.09.2015 | 31.12.2014 | 30.09.2015 | 31.12.2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Assets | 9,965 | 8,472 | Current Liabilities | 5,567 | 4,431 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 1,564 | 1,621 | ST Bank Borrowings | 2,310 | 1,803 |
| Trade Receivables | 5,603 | 4,434 | Trade Payables | 2,148 | 1,781 |
| Inventories | 2,493 | 2,125 | Provisions | 392 | 264 |
| Other | 305 | 292 | Other | 719 | 583 |
| Non-current Assets | 4,415 | 3,923 | Non-current Liabilities | 4,064 | 3,566 |
| Property, Plant and Equipment | 2,018 | 1,813 | LT Bank Borrowings | 3,501 | 2,965 |
| Financial Investments | 839 | 894 | Other | 563 | 601 |
| Other | 1,558 | 1,217 | Equity | 4,749 | 4,399 |
| Total Assets | 14,380 | 12,395 | Total Liabilities | 14,380 | 12,395 |
| 30.09.2015 | 30.06.2015 | 31.12.2014 | 31.12.2013 | 31.12.2012 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Financial Debt/Equity | 0.89 | 0.92 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.58 |
| Total Liabilities/Total Assets | 0.67 | 0.66 | 0.65 | 0.64 | 0.62 |
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Working capital
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| TL mn | FX Basis | TL Basis | 30.09.2015 | FX Basis | TL Basis | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Trade Rec. | 2,529 | 3,074 | 5,603 | ST Trade Payables | 994 | 1,154 | 2,148 |
| Other Receivables | 46 | 50 | 96 | Other Payables | 210 | 184 | 394 |
| Inventory | 1,255 | 1,238 | 2,493 | Working Capital | 2,626 | 3,024 | 5,650 |
| TL mn | FX Basis | TL Basis | 31.12.2014 | FX Basis | TL Basis | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Trade Rec. | 1,994 | 2,440 | 4,434 | ST Trade Payables | 884 | 897 | 1,781 |
| Other Receivables | 27 | 32 | 59 | Other Payables | 246 | 58 | 304 |
| Inventory | 1,219 | 906 | 2,125 | Working Capital | 2,110 | 2,423 | 4,533 |
Working capital /sales
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41.8%
33.3% 38.9% 39.2% 39.1% 38.7% 36.2% 37.2% 39.3%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Dec-12 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15
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Debt profile
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3,000 TL mn
2,000
1,000 416
905 1,317 1,174 1,741 1,267 1,621 1,645 1,053 1,564
0
-839
-1,000 -1,915 -1,924 -1,629 -2,144 -1,673 -1,803 -1,982 -2,274 -2,310
-1,218
-2,000
-1,528
-1,577
-3,000 -188 -1,859 -2,581
-2,965 -2,943
-2,785
-4,000 -3,501
-5,000
-6,000
-7,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 15 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3
Cash and cash equivalent Short term debt Long term debt
4,500 4,247 6
4,007
3,076
4,000
3,500 2,988 [3,146] [3,281] 5
3,000 4
2,263
2,500
1,983 3
2,000
3.0 3.0
1,5001,000 5.1 1,207 740 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.3 2.4 2
1
500 1.3
0.9
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 15 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3
Net Debt (TL mn) Net Debt/EBITDA
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Debt profile (as of 30 Sept 2015)
| Effective Interest Rate p.a. (%) |
mn Original Currency |
TL mn Equivalent |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| TRY EUR ZAR RUB CNY Other Total |
11.2% 1.6% 8.6% 8.7% 4.9% 1.4% Bank Borrowings |
2,032 227 750 904 111 |
2,032 778 164 41 53 5 3,073 |
| USD | 5.1% | 509 | 1,549 |
| EUR | 4.0% | 347 | 1,189 |
| Total | Eurobond | 2,738 | |
| Total | 5,811 |
Debt maturity profile
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2015
13%
2023
26%
2016
27%
2021
21%
2017
10%
2018-19
3%
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Cash flow*
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| TL mn | 2015 9M | 2014 9M |
|---|---|---|
| Beginning Balance | 1,621 | 1,266 |
| Net Operational Cash Flow | 454 | 586 |
| CapEx | -414 | -310 |
| Acquisition of minority interest | -282 | 0 |
| Fixed Asset Sales | 11 | 2 |
| Dividend Paid | -350 | -354 |
| Dividends Received | 24 | 27 |
| Changes in Bank Borrowings | 474 | -473 |
| Bonds Issued | 0 | 991 |
| Other Financial & Investing Activites | -197 | -222 |
| Differences due to FX Conversion | 222 | -23 |
| Changes in Cash | -57 | 225 |
| Ending Balance | 1,563 | 1,490 |
2014 figure reclassified
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2015 expectations
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2015 expectations
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Stable or higher market share
Market share
in key regions
Turkey : 3 to 5 %, Turkey :> 5%
White goods volume growth
International : > 6c.2 %
Revenue growth c.10% in TL
EBITDA margin (2015) c.10.5% c.11%
Long-Term EBITDA margin c. 3511 %
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- 5 main products, in compliance with WGMA data.
**EBITDA margin calculations are inline with the methodology used in calculation of historical values
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www.arcelikas.com
Contacts for Investor Relations
Polat Şen CFO Tel: (+90 212) 314 34 34
Doğan Korkmaz Finance Director Tel: (+90 212) 314 31 85
[email protected]
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Disclaimer
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This presentation contains information and analysis on financial statements as well as forward-looking statements that reflect the Company management’s current views with respect to certain future events. Although it is believed that the information and analysis are correct and expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, they may be affected by a variety of variables and changes in underlying assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially.
Neither Arçelik nor any of its managers or employees nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from the use of this presentation .
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