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Arcadis NV — Investor Presentation 2019
Feb 14, 2019
3811_iss_2019-02-14_12a7d103-56d9-483a-8d95-9f92df2a3ba9.pdf
Investor Presentation
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FULL YEAR RESULTS 2018
Peter Oosterveer – CEO Sarah Kuijlaars – CFO
Amsterdam, 14 February 2018
Statements included in this presentation that are not historical facts (including any statements concerning investment objectives, other plans and objectives of management for future operations or economic performance, or assumptions or forecasts related there to) are forward-looking statements. These statements are only predictions and are not guarantees. Actual events or the results of our operations could differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward looking statements. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by the use of terms such as "may," "will", "should", "expect", "could", "intend", "plan", "anticipate", "estimate", "believe", "continue", "predict", "potential" or the negative of such terms and other comparable terminology.
The forward-looking statements are based upon our current expectations, plans, estimates, assumptions and beliefs that involve numerous risks and uncertainties. Assumptions relating to the foregoing involve judgments with respect to, among other things, future economic, competitive and market conditions and future business decisions, all of which are difficult or impossible to predict accurately and many of which are beyond our control. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, our actual results and performance could differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements.
PETER OOSTERVEER
Chief Executive Officer
NEW YORK CITY | UNITED STATES HELP THE CITY OF NEW YORK REDUCE WASTE COLLECTION TRAFFIC BY 63%
- Strong performance in key markets North America, Continental Europe, the UK and Australia
- − Organic net revenue growth of 3% to €2.4 billion (gross revenues: €3.3 billion)
- − Operating EBITA margin of 7.3% (2017: 7.6%); including project write-offs and provisions related to the Middle East and Asia, with a total margin impact of 0.8%
- Firm measures taken to turnaround lagging performance of the Middle East and Asia
- − Goodwill impairment of €40 million, mainly reflecting re-assessment of the Middle East
- Non-core clean energy assets Brazil: preparation for divestment of all assets initiated
- Significantly improved balance sheet
- Proposal to maintain dividend at €0.47 per share (2017: €0.47), pay-out ratio 47%
FOCUS & SELECTIVITY TO IMPROVE PERFORMANCE
STRONG PERFORMANCE IN KEY MARKETS
| Middle East |
Asia | Latin America |
|---|---|---|
| Org. NR % Op. EBITA % DSO -16% -3% 265 |
Org. NR % Op. EBITA % DSO -3% 5% 125 |
Org. NR % Op. EBITA % DSO -2% -2% 120 |
| • Phase out fixed price design & engineering work • Selectivity towards program & project management • Reduce presence in KSA • Exit Oman and Bahrain |
• Leadership changes • Organizational structure optimized • Selectivity towards project & cost management • Exit non-core countries and activities |
• Organization structure optimized • Focus on key private clients • Leverage post-electoral economic sentiment |
NON-CORE CLEAN ENERGY ASSETS BRAZIL
Process update
Gas Verde (gas-to-gas plant)
• Certified and operational, 35% of volume signed, a further 35% under negotiation, remaining volume off-take under discussion with 2 buyers
Gas-to-power plants
- Nova Iguaçu plant completed, delivers 60% of power generation, total production under contract
- São Gonçalo plant being assembled, operational in course of 2019
- Total production under contract
Financial update
- Net exposure €59 million:
- Provision: €28 million for ECL
- Off balance guarantee: €87 million
- Net investment valued at nil
- ALEN has €50 million loans from external lenders to be refinanced during 2019
- Independent third party verified business case in Q4
- Loss expected for H1 2019; break-even in H2 2019
Investment bank mandated for divestment
2018 DELIVERY UPON 2020 STRATEGIC PRIORITIES
SARAH KUIJLAARS Chief Financial Officer
UTRECHT | THE NETHERLANDS CONCEPT & DETAILED DESIGN OF A VERTICAL FOREST: THE WONDERWOODS BUILDING
| Key metrics | FULL YEAR | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In € millions | 2018 | 2017 | change | |||
| Gross Revenues | 3,256 | 3,219 | 1% | |||
| Net revenues | 2,440 | 2,437 | 0% | |||
| Organic growth % | 3% | |||||
| EBITA | 162 | 161 | 0% | |||
| Operating EBITA1) | 177 | 186 | -5% | |||
| Operating EBITA margin | 7.3% | 7.6% | ||||
| Free cash flow | 149 | 98 | 53% | |||
| Net working capital % | 15.1% | 16.9% | ||||
| Net debt | 342 | 416 | -18% | |||
| Backlog net revenues (billions) | 2.0 | 2.1 | -3% | |||
| Backlog organic growth | -4% |
1) Excluding acquisition and restructuring costs
- EBITA in line with last year despite -€6 million currency impact
- Operating EBITA impacted by project write-offs and provisions in the Middle East and Asia (impact of 0.8%)
- Strong free cash flow leading to year-end Net Debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.7
- Net working capital % improved to 15.1% (2017: 16.9%); DSO to 80 days (2017: 88 days)
- Excluding the Middle East organic backlog at +2%
QUARTERLY REVENUES AND OPERATING EBITA (MARGIN)
€ millions, % 585 595 599 621 613 607 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 2% 500 -20% Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18
Operating EBITA (margin)
Net Revenues and organic growth
€ millions, %
- Strong growth and solid margins in key markets
- Q4 growth and margins impacted by project write-offs and provisions in the Middle East and Asia (impact of 1.8%)
| FULL YEAR | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In € millions | 2018 | 2017 | change | ||
| EBITDA | 204 | 200 | 2% | ||
| Depreciation | (43) | (40) | |||
| EBITA | 162 | 161 | 0% | ||
| Amortization & impairment | (63) | (31) | |||
| EBIT | 98 | 130 | -24% | ||
| Net finance expense | (27) | (26) | |||
| Taxes on income | (30) | (20) | |||
| Normalized income tax rate1) | 27% | 20% | |||
| Credit loss and result from associates | (67) | (12) | |||
| Minority interest | (1) | (1) | |||
| Net income | (27) | 71 | |||
| Net income from operations2) | 88 | 101 | -13% | ||
| EPS3) | (0.31) | 0.82 | |||
| EPS from operations3) | 1.01 | 1.18 | -15% | ||
| Dividend (proposal) per share | 0.47 | 0.47 |
1) Excluding ALEN- and goodwill impairment
2) Corrected for non-recurring items (e.g. acquisition & restructuring costs, and impairment)
3) Average number of shares 2018: 87.1 million (2017: 85.9 million)
• EBITDA +2% at €204 million
- Net income for the year of -€27 million due to:
- − ALEN impairment €53 million (Total ALEN losses 2018 of € 67 million)
- − Goodwill impairment €40 million
- Net income from operations 13% lower mainly due to normalized taxes
- Proposal to maintain dividend at €0.47 per share; pay-out ratio at 47%
| Ageing of Receivables and NWC (%) |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period end, in € millions | 2018 | % of total | 2017 | % of total | |||||
| Not past due | 324 | 50% | 298 | 47% | |||||
| Past due 0-30 days | 106 | 17% | 109 | 17% | |||||
| Past due 31-120 days | 86 | 13% | 81 | 13% | |||||
| > 120 days due | 127 | 20% | 147 | 23% | |||||
| Gross Receivables | 643 | 100% | 635 | 100% | |||||
| Provisions | -61 | -57 | |||||||
| Provision % | 10% | 9% | |||||||
| Trade Receivables1) | 582 | 578 | |||||||
| Net Work in Progress | 174 | 202 | |||||||
| Accounts payables | -235 | -237 | |||||||
| Net Working Capital | 521 | 543 | |||||||
| Net Working Capital (%) | 15.1% | 16.9% | |||||||
1) Excluding receivables from associates
- NWC % improvement driven by cash collection from reduction overdue receivables (>120 days), WIP conversion and subsequent collection efforts
- Another €21 million reduction on overdue receivables >120 days, from cash received in January 2019 relating to oil & gas project involving insurance
QUARTERLY NET WORKING CAPITAL AND DSO IMPROVEMENT
Days Sales Outstanding
Days
- Improvement vs. Q3 from strong WIP conversion and subsequent collection efforts, and accounts payables
- Outperforming our 2020 strategic targets of:
- − NWC <17% of gross revenues
- − DSO < 85 days
Cash Flow statement (€ million)
| In € millions | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 204 | 200 |
| Changes in net working capital | 31 | 2 |
| Changes in other working capital | 38 | 2 |
| Tax paid | -35 | -25 |
| Net interest paid | -22 | -24 |
| Other | -2 | -4 |
| Cash flow from operating activities | 214 | 151 |
| Capital Expenditures | -65 | -53 |
| Free cash flow | 149 | 98 |
- Improved net working capital from collection efforts
- Changes other working capital of €38 million:
- − Less prepayments on IT and rental contracts (€13 million)
- − Higher accruals of employee related payments (€12 million)
- − Other tax payables (VAT) (€10 million)
- Tax impacted by higher preliminary tax assessments
- Capital expenditure increase from:
- − Arcadis Way
- − Office consolidation
STRONG FREE CASH FLOW LOWER NET DEBT
100 100 100 100 104 110 H2'16 H1'17 H2'17 H1'18 H2'18 EBITDA (€ millions)
Net Debt
(€ millions)
Average net debt / EBITDA
Calculated using bank covenant methodology
- €200 million of syndicated committed credit facilities refinanced with six core relationship banks
- Maturity of two Term loans and a Revolving Credit Facility (RCF) extended to 2024, option to extend to 2026
- Interest-discount when certain sustainability KPI's are met
- Total of €915 million of unsecured committed credit facilities that are stepwise maturing
- Total loans and borrowings €588 million (2017: €689 million)
- Weighted average interest rate of 3.8% (2017: 3.2%)
AMERICAS STRONGER ACROSS ALL METRICS
| (31% of net revenues) | FULL YEAR | FOURTH QUARTER | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2017 | change | 2018 | 2017 | change | ||
| Gross revenues | 1,186 | 1,175 | 1% | 334 | 293 | 14% | |
| Net revenues | 755 | 751 | 1% | 199 | 175 | 14% | |
| Organic growth | 5% | 11% | |||||
| EBITA | 52 | 36 | 44% | ||||
| Operating EBITA | 55 | 47 | 16% | ||||
| Operating EBITA margin | 7.3% | 6.3% | |||||
| Backlog organic growth | 7% | ||||||
| DSO | 78 | 84 | |||||
- Strong organic net revenue growth in North America 6% and -2% decline in Latin America
- Operating margin North America at 8.8% driven by strong results in Water and Environment
- Latin America operating EBITA improved by €5 million versus 2017 at €1 million loss
- Strong organic backlog growth for both regions
| (46% of net revenues) | FULL YEAR | FOURTH QUARTER | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2017 | change | 2018 | 2017 | change | |
| Gross revenues | 1,392 | 1,337 | 4% | 349 | 340 | 3% |
| Net revenues | 1,133 | 1,113 | 2% | 267 | 282 | -6% |
| Organic growth | 3% | -3% | ||||
| EBITA | 68 | 74 | -8% | |||
| Operating EBITA | 77 | 84 | -8% | |||
| Operating EBITA margin | 6.8% | 7.6% | ||||
| Backlog organic growth | -10% | |||||
| DSO | 81 | 96 |
- Continental Europe: organic net revenue growth 3% and operating EBITA margin at 8.4%, led by the Netherlands
- The UK: 13% organic net revenue growth and 8.7% operating EBITA margin despite continued uncertainty around Brexit
- Strategic re-orientation Middle East led to organic net revenue decline; margin impacted by write-offs and provisions
- Backlog strong in UK +13% and Continental Europe +5%, Middle East -57%, from continued selective bidding
| (14% of net revenues) | FULL YEAR | FOURTH QUARTER | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2017 | change | 2018 | 2017 | change | |
| Gross revenues | 375 | 387 | -3% | 97 | 98 | -1% |
| Net revenues | 331 | 344 | -4% | 82 | 85 | -4% |
| Organic growth | 2% | -2% | ||||
| EBITA | 24 | 30 | -20% | |||
| Operating EBITA | 25 | 31 | -17% | |||
| Operating EBITA margin | 7.7% | 8.9% | ||||
| Backlog organic growth | -4% | |||||
| DSO | 89 | 85 |
- Asia: organic net revenue decline of 3% and operating EBITA margin of 4.9% due to project write-offs
- Australia remained robust with 10% organic net revenue growth, and 11.7% operating EBITA margin
- Organic backlog Asia declined 10%, Australia +28% from key wins in major urban areas
CALLISONRTKL NEW ORGANIZATIONAL SET-UP; BACK TO GROWTH
| (9% of net revenues) | FULL YEAR | FOURTH QUARTER | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2017 | change | 2018 | 2017 | change | ||
| Gross revenues | 301 | 320 | -6% | 81 | 73 | 11% | |
| Net revenues | 220 | 229 | -4% | 59 | 53 | 12% | |
| Organic growth | 0% | 10% | |||||
| EBITA | 17 | 21 | -17% | ||||
| Operating EBITA | 19 | 24 | -19% | ||||
| Operating EBITA margin | 8.8% | 10.4% | |||||
| Backlog organic growth | -9% | ||||||
| DSO | 70 | 73 | |||||
- Net revenues back to organic growth in second half of 2018
- Operating EBITA margin impacted by strategic review process and provisions for bad debt in Asia and the Middle East
- Backlog decline of 9% due to project cancellations in China
- New organizational set-up to improve performance
PETER OOSTERVEER
Chief Executive Officer
ALAMEDA CREEK | SAN FRANSISCO
STRENGTHEN BAY AREA'S RESILIENCE TO CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS
DELIVERING SUSTAINABLE VALUE
• Revenue growth
- − Build on growth momentum North America, Continental Europe, the UK, Australia and CallisonRTKL
- − Leverage streamlined client portfolio and digital solutions
- Further margin improvement
- − Rigorous adherence to actions identified for the Middle East and Asia to improve performance
- − Leverage of "Make Every Project Count", growth Global Excellence Centers
- Further cost optimization
- Continue strong cash collection and further strengthen the balance sheet
- Non-core clean energy assets Brazil
- − Complete last gas-to-power facility, finalize remaining gas off-take contracts, intend to divest all assets in 2019