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APA GROUP — Investor Presentation 2015
Jun 4, 2015
64398_rns_2015-06-04_5b5ef8f2-8a48-4783-988c-433532aacc43.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Connecting opportunities Connecting resources to markets through a sustainable strategy
Investor Presentation for North American Investors June 2015
Australia’s largest gas pipeline owner by pipeline length, capacity and volume
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Normalised Continuing Business EBITDA [(1) ]
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$800m Full years Half years
$700m
CAGR: 14.0%
$600m
$500m
Growth: 8.7%
$400m
$300m
$200m
$100m
$0m
FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 HY2014 HY2015
$Am
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Australian gas transmission
pipeline ownership
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Source: AER State of the Energy Market Dec 2014 ; IMO Gas Market Statement of Opportunities Dec 2014; and APA data as at 1 Jan 2015
APA Overview (Ticker: APA AU)
Market capitalisation A$10.4billion (as at 29 May 2015)
S&P/ASX 50
ASX rank
Moody’s: Baa2 (outlook Stable) S&P: BBB (outlook Stable)
Credit Rating
~ $19 billion
Assets owned/ operated
Gas transmission 14,744[(3)] km transmission pipelines Underground & LNG gas storage
Gas distribution
27,100 km gas network pipelines 1.3 million gas consumers
Other energy infrastructure 585 MW power generation 244 km HV electricity transmission Gas processing plants
More than 1,600
Employees
-
(1) Normalised results exclude one-off significant items, reflecting APA’s core earnings from operations
-
(2) Includes Wallumbilla Gladstone Pipeline -financial close was reached 3 June 2015
-
(3) Includes 100% of the pipelines operated by APA Group which form part of its energy investments including Ethane Pipeline Income Fund, SEA Gas and EII. Figure does not include APA’s Eastern Goldfields Pipeline (292 km) which is currently under construction in WA
APA Group │ June 2015 │
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 3
Stable and predictable cashflows
Customers associated with many contracted assets provide essential services:
-
Regulated gas distribution systems
-
Major power generation facilities
Counterparty credit ratings by contracted volumes[(1)] for major contracted assets
1H 15 Revenue split by contract type
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Not rated
5% Sub-investment grade
Investment
1%
grade JV
2%
BBB– to BBB+ A– rated
rated or better
42% 50%
(1) Based on Maximum
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Daily Quantity (“MDQ”)
Other 1%
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Regulated
(revenue subject to
price regulated
tariffs)
18%
Contracted
(regulated assets with
negotiated tariffs)
14%
Contracted
(light regulation and
non-regulated assets)
67%
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Stable and predictable cash flow from regulated assets and long term contracts with quality customers
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 4
APA’s long term strategy
- Consistent execution of a sustainable growth strategy since listing in 2000
We’re focused on building and enhancing our core business of gas infrastructure assets
Continuing to grow our Leveraging our asset ownership interests in management, development transmission pipelines through and operational capabilities further expanding the east and west coast grids Growing other energy Delivering responsive, infrastructure midstream assets valuable solutions to our customers
Maintaining financial flexibility
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APA’s unrivalled asset portfolio across Australia and internal expertise, together with
strong industry fundamentals, drive growth opportunities
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 5
APA listing - June 2000
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15 years ago, APA had assets worth circa $1 billion with no operatorship
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 6
Own and/or operate $19 billion of assets - June 2015
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 7
Construction of the new Eastern Goldfields Pipeline, WA is well underway with almost half of the 292 km of pipe strung along the route. Completion due by January 2016.
162 km looping of APA’s Victorian Northern Interconnect is almost complete, enabling more gas to flow north into NSW from southern supply basins.
Bi-directional flow capability is being installed on many of APA’s pipelines. The South West Queensland Pipeline installation was completed December 2014, with Roma Brisbane and Moomba Sydney Pipeline projects underway.
Where to from here - strategic development
Continue to connect resources to markets, by working with our customers
New pipelines and expansions underwritten by customer contracts
Provision of new services responding to customers’ needs and developing new opportunities
Can only be achieved by having a solid balance sheet
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Unrivalled, interconnected footprint with sustainable growth opportunities
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 9
Key initiative - east coast grid innovation
-
Transformational change in service provision - seamless, flexible, new options/solutions
-
Ongoing development
and growth opportunities
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APA’s east coast grid is responding to the dynamic eastern gas market, providing flexibility for customers
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 10
Production vs Consumption in the east
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800 PJ
Gas Consumption
TAS
by Eastern States
SA
Gas Production
by Eastern regions
Otway / Bass / Gippsland VIC
Sydney NSW
Cooper
Bowen / Surat QLD
20102010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
One GTA
Source: EnergyQuest quarterly reports (Feb ‘11, Feb ‘12, Feb ‘13, Feb ‘14, Mar ‘15)
APA provides services to satisfy market demands, which:
enables supply to meet demand; and
demand encouraging new supply
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 11
Wallumbilla Gladstone Pipeline[(1)] acquisition - adds 543 km and
- access to Gladstone
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- (1) QCLNG Pipeline renamed on change of ownership to APA
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Creation of 7,500 km of interconnected grid with access to export market and highly creditworthy customers
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 12
Wallumbilla Gladstone Pipeline acquisition
-
Financial close reached on 3 June 2015
-
Final acquisition price of US$4.6 billion
-
20 year take-or-pay contracts with BG Group and CNOOC entities
-
Tariffs escalating by US CPI for term of contracts with first full year EBITDA contribution around US$355 million
Connection point on QGC’s Curtis Is LNG facility
-
APA’s FY15 EBITDA guidance reaffirmed as follows:
-
Statutory EBITDA[(1)] : $1,257 to A$1,272 million
-
Normalised EBITDA[(2)] : $810 to A$825 million
-
Includes EBITDA from WGP of approx. $35 million[(3) ]
-
Net interest cost is expected to be in the range of A$320 to A$355 million
-
(1) Statutory EBITDA includes significant items recorded in 1H 2015
(2) Excludes one-off significant items (A$447m)
APA’s delivery station for QGC’s Curtis Is LNG facility
- (3) Conversion based on AUD/USD exchange rate of 0.77
APA Group │ June 2015 │ 13
Emerging opportunity - NT Link
- Options Short/quick - Mount Isa: 600 km
Long/ $$$ - Moomba: 1,175 km
…or somewhere in between
Why link? NT has >200,000 PJ of gas resources[(1) ] Seamless transport between Timor Sea, Bass Strait, Sydney and Gladstone
Long term additional security of supply for both the east coast and the Northern Territory
- (1) NT Government media release 19 February 2014.
Potential reserves of approximately 240 TCF across 6 basins
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APA is one of four shortlisted entities - final bids due September 2015
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 14
Opportunities in the west
-
GGP expansion projects complete
-
Eastern Goldfields Pipeline
-
greenfield
-
long term GTAs with AngloGold
-
using 3 interconnected APA pipelines
-
replace diesel with gas
-
completion due by
- Jan 2016
-
Customers that take
-
long term view of their energy needs continue to have discussions with us
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Continue to pursue opportunities and developments in WA - benefits of a diverse asset footprint
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 15
Further growth - Australian midstream sector
APA will continue to consider investment opportunities in the midstream sector
-
North American oil and gas industry has distinct upstream and midstream sectors
-
Opportunities for the Australian upstream sector to pursue a similar approach
-
APA already has a long involvement in owning and operating gas midstream assets
-
Moomba and Wallumbilla compressor facilities
-
Mondarra Gas Storage Facility
-
Gas processing plants at Tipton West and Kogan North
Mondarra Gas Storage Facility
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Midstream sector is a potential area of additional opportunities for APA
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 16
Operational excellence - IOC
APA’s new Integrated Operations Centre will provide seamless service to our customers on the east coast grid
- Better response to market changes
Integrated Operations Centre, Brisbane
-
Holistic management of the Grid
-
Standardised and consistent processes and procedures
-
Real-time environment
-
Single point of contact for customers
-
Currently controls pipelines in Qld and NT
-
Other pipelines to be transitioned over the next 12 months
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APA continues to pursue efficiency and integration across our diverse portfolio
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 17
Maintaining a strong balance sheet
Growth needs to be sustainably funded with appropriate capital structure
APA’s Distribution Policy
- Fully covered by OCF
Sustainable over the long term
-
Grow generally in line with OCF
-
Regard for capital needs of the business and economic conditions
-
Soft target of 60 - 70% payout
-
Balance between maintaining BBB/Baa2 rating metrics and funding growth by appropriate mixture of debt and equity
| Capital Management | 31 Dec 2014 | 30 Jun 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gearing(1,2,3) | 44.5% | 64.2% | |
| Interest cover ratio Average interest rate applying to drawn debt(2) |
2.48x 7.07% |
2.31x 7.12% |
|
| Interest rate exposure fixed or hedged | 84.6% | 72.8% | |
| Average maturity of senior facilities | 5.3 years | 5.4 years |
(1) Ratio of net debt to net debt plus book equity
(2) Includes $515 million of Subordinated Notes
(3) After receipt of $958 million proceeds from Institutional and Early Retail Entitlement Offer
APA Group │ June 2015 │ 18
Long term, diverse debt portfolio
March 15 issuance – ongoing access to global markets:
- EUR700m 7yr notes @1.375% coupon
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EUR650m 12yr notes @2.0% coupon
-
GBP600m 15yr notes @3.5% coupon
-
USD1,100m 10yr notes @4.2% coupon
Weighted average interest rate applying to drawn debt reduced to 5.6%[* ]
-
Average maturity of senior drawn facilities extended to 8.8 years[* ]
-
USD300m 20yr notes @5.0% coupon
Maturity Profile of Drawn Debt as at 16 March 2015
- USD obligations translated, for the purposes of the calculation and the chart below, at the spot exchange rate on 16 March 2015 of A$=US$0.7642
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A$1,600m
Bank borrowings Australian MTN
A$1,200m
First Call Date – Japanese MTN
60 yr Sub Notes
Canadian MTN
A$800m
Euro MTN US 144a Notes
USPP notes Sterling MTN
A$400m
A$0m
962 1,439
1,159
894
515 735
536
295 318 289 300 296 393
186 86 175 126 96
Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-17 Jun-18 Jun-19 Jun-20 Jun-21 Jun-22 Jun-23 Jun-24 Jun-25 Jun-26 Jun-27 Jun-28 Jun-29 Jun-30 Jun-31 Jun-32 Jun-33 Jun-34 Jun-35
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Strong balance sheet and prudent capital management is integral to continued growth
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 19
Focus on safety and operational excellence
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LTIFR
7.3
6.1
4.9
2.2 2.1
0.7
0.3
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1HY15
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Health and safety
-
Long-term safety goal of Zero Harm – a program of continuous improvement
-
Decrease of LTIFR[ (1)] to 0.7 (FY14), down from 2.1 (FY13)
-
LTIFR as at 31 Dec 2014 is 0.3
-
Second year of 3 year HSE Strategic Improvement Plan
Enhancing infrastructure operations and maintenance
- Consolidating pipeline control and monitoring operations to better manage grid operations
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-
Improving asset maintenance management systems and processes across the portfolio
-
Progressively adopting global industry best practice
These and other initiatives are focused on improving service safety and reliability, operational efficiency and extending the economic life of the assets
(1) Lost time injury frequency rate (LTIFR) is measured as the number of lost time injuries
per million hours worked
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Safety of our people is an ongoing focus for us at APA – continuous improvement
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 20
APA - connecting resources to markets
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Largest gas infrastructure portfolio in Australia in terms of scale and geographic diversity Unrivalled, interconnected footprint with sustainable growth opportunities Stable and predictable cash flows from regulated assets and long term contracts with quality customers
Quality assets with long expected lives requiring a relatively low level of maintenance capital expenditure Strong balance sheet and prudent capital management Integrated in-house management and experienced executive management team
APA Group │ June 2015 │ 21
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Financial Highlights
APA Group │ June 2015 │ 23
Proven growth and value creation
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Revenue
$1,200m Full years Half years
$993
$1,000m $920
$758
$800m $720
$673 $660
$600m $510 $523
$400m
$200m
$0m
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1H14 1H15
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Operating Cash Flow
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Full years Half years
$500m
$432
$374
$400m
$336
$290 $280
$300m $268
$226
$208
$200m
$100m
$0m
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1H14 1H15
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EBITDA
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$1,000m Full years Half years
$850 [(1)]
$800m $764 $747
$600m $526 $447
$492
$444 $460
$399
$400m
$200m
$0m
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1H14 1H15
Total Assets
Full years Half years
$8,751
$9,000m
$7,699 [$7,973 $7,826 ]
$8,000m
$7,000m
$6,000m
$4,747 [$4,982 $5,428 $5,496 ]
$5,000m
$4,000m
$3,000m
$2,000m
$1,000m
$0m
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1H14 1H15
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(1)Includes a A$430 million net pre-tax profit on the sale of APA’s equity holding in AGN (formerly Envestra) and the one-off receipt of $17 million relating to certain performance fees being refunded to APA
APA Group │ June 2015 │ 24
Maximising value for securityholders
Total securityholder returns since listing
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1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
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APA TSR: 1,394%
APA CAGR: 19.9%
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APA Total securityholder return
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S&P / ASX 200 Utilities Accumulation Index
Utilities Accumulation Index
Indexed to 100 from listing date, 13 June 2000 to 12 May 2015 Source: APA based on IRESS data
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Total annual returns
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60%
43%
40% 29% 31%
23% 22%
18%
20%
0%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
-20%
APA Total Securityholder Return
-40%
S&P/ASX200 Accumulation Index
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 25
Sound financial performance
| $ million | 1H 15 | 1H 14 | Change | |
| Statutory results | ||||
| EBITDA | 849.6 | 398.9 | up | 113%(4) |
| Net profit after tax | 467.3 | 120.7 | up | 287%(4) |
| Operating cash flow(1) | 280.4 | 208.3 | up | 35%(4) |
| Operating cash flow per security (cents) | 31.9 | 24.1 | up | 32%(4) |
| Normalised results(2) | ||||
| EBITDA from continuing operations | 401.3 | 369.2 | up | 9%(4) |
| Net profit after tax | 111.2 | 120.7 | down | 8%(4) |
| Operating cash flow(1) | 263.2 | 216.6 | up | 22%(4) |
| Operating cash flow per security (cents) | 30.0 | 25.0 | up | 20%(4) |
| Distributions | ||||
| Distribution per security (cents) | 17.5 | 17.5 | ||
| Distribution payout ratio(3) | 55.6% | 67.5% | ||
(1) Operating cash flow = net cash from operations after interest and tax payments
(2) Normalised results exclude one-off significant items, reflecting APA’s core earnings from operations
(3) Distribution payout ratio = total distribution payments as a percentage of normalised operating cash flow
(4) Primarily as a result of exclusion of earnings and tax on distributions from Envestra
APA Group │ June 2015 │ 26
1H15 result: EBITDA by business segment
| $ million | 1H15 | 1H14 | Change | |
| Energy Infrastructure | ||||
| Queensland | 136.4 | 108.8 | 25% | |
| New South Wales | 59.6 | 62.2 | (4)% | |
| Victoria & South Australia | 70.3 | 62.4 | 13% | |
| Western Australia & Northern | ||||
| Territory | 107.3 | 92.6 | 16% | |
| Energy Infrastructure total | 373.6 | 326.0 | 15% | |
| Asset Management | 20.1 | 34.5 | (42)% | |
| Energy Investments | 7.6 | 8.7 | (12)% | |
| Continuing business EBITDA(1) | 401.3 | **369.2 ** | 9% | |
| Divested business(2) | 1.0 | 29.7 | nm | |
| Significant items | 447.2 | - | nm | |
| Total EBITDA | 849.6 | 398.9 | 1% |
(1) Continuing business EBITDA
1H15 EBITDA by business segment[(1)]
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Energy Investments
Asset Management 1.9%
5.0%
Queensland
Western Australia 34.0%
& Northern Territory
26.7%
Victoria & New South
South Australia Wales
17.5% 14.9%
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Energy Infrastructure 93.1%
(2) Investment in AGN formerly (Envestra ) sold in August 2014
APA Group │ June 2015 │ 27
1H15 Operational summary
Energy Infrastructure
-
Expansion of the East coast grid capacity and service offerings continues:
-
Moomba / Wallumbilla compressions completed
-
BWP bi-directional installed
-
Victoria – NSW Interconnect expansion continues
-
GGP expansion project completed
-
EGP construction on track
Asset Management
- Reduction in one-off customer contributions for relocating APA infrastructure
Energy Investments
-
Sale of shares in Envestra
-
Diamantina Power Station commissioning and start up costs
EBITDA by asset
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1H15
1H14
1H13
1H12
0 100 200 300 400
Roma Brisbane Pipeline Carpentaria Gas Pipeline
South West Queensland Pipeline Other Qld assets
Moomba Sydney Pipeline Victorian Transmission System & SESA
Goldfields Gas Pipeline Mondarra
Pilbara Pipeline System Emu Downs
Other WA Amadeus
Asset Management Energy Investments
Divested businesses
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APA Group │ June 2015 │ 28
Capital expenditure
| $ million | 1H15(1) | 1H14(1) | Growth capex – Actual & Committed | ||||||
| Growth capex | |||||||||
| Regulated - Victoria | 55.5 | 14.9 | $400m | ||||||
| Major Projects | |||||||||
| Queensland | 78.5 | 93.6 | |||||||
| New South Wales | 0.6 | 4.8 | $300m | ||||||
| Western Australia | 14.1 | 39.1 | |||||||
| Other Total growth capex |
13.3 162.0 |
11.4 163.8 |
$200m | ||||||
| Stay in business capex | 28.1 | 20.6 | |||||||
| Customer contributions | 1.6 | 16.4 | $100m | ||||||
| Total capex | 191.7 | 200.7 | |||||||
| Investments and acquisitions Total capital & investment expenditure |
20.9 212.6 |
200.7 | $0m | FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 | FY18 | ||||
| ) Capital expenditure represents cash payments as disclosed in the cash flow statement | for 1H15 and 1H14 | ||||||||
| Actual | Committed | Guidance |
(1) Capital expenditure represents cash payments as disclosed in the cash flow statement for 1H15 and 1H14
APA Group │ June 2015 │ 29
Fully covered distributions
Distribution guidance for FY 2015 “at least 36.25 cents”
1H 15 distribution payout ratio[(1,2) ] of 55.6%
| 48.2 51.9 52.6 52.5 56.0 52.6 31.9 31.0 32.8 34.4 35.0 35.5 36.3 17.5 D |
48.2 51.9 52.6 52.5 56.0 52.6 31.9 31.0 32.8 34.4 35.0 35.5 36.3 17.5 D |
48.2 51.9 52.6 52.5 56.0 52.6 31.9 31.0 32.8 34.4 35.0 35.5 36.3 17.5 D |
48.2 51.9 52.6 52.5 56.0 52.6 31.9 31.0 32.8 34.4 35.0 35.5 36.3 17.5 D |
48.2 51.9 52.6 52.5 56.0 52.6 31.9 31.0 32.8 34.4 35.0 35.5 36.3 17.5 D |
48.2 51.9 52.6 52.5 56.0 52.6 31.9 31.0 32.8 34.4 35.0 35.5 36.3 17.5 D |
48.2 51.9 52.6 52.5 56.0 52.6 31.9 31.0 32.8 34.4 35.0 35.5 36.3 17.5 D |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1H15 Operating cash flow per security Distribution per security |
(1) Distribution payout ratio: distribution payments as a percentage of operating cash flow (2) Based on normalised operating cash flow
APA Group │ June 2015 │ 30
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by Australian Pipeline Limited (ACN 091 344 704) the responsible entity of the Australian Pipeline Trust (ARSN 091 678 778) and APT Investment Trust (ARSN 115 585 441) ( APA Group ).
Summary information: This presentation contains summary information about APA Group and its activities current as at the date of this presentation. The information in this presentation is of a general background nature and does not purport to be complete nor does it contain all the information which a prospective investor may require in evaluating a possible investment in APA Group. It should be read in conjunction with the APA Group’s other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements which are available at www.apa.com.au.
Not financial product advice: Please note that Australian Pipeline Limited is not licensed to provide financial product advice in relation to securities in the APA Group. This presentation is for information purposes only and is not financial product or investment advice or a recommendation to acquire APA Group securities and has been prepared without taking into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of individuals. Before making an investment decision, prospective investors should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to their own objectives, financial situation and needs and consult an investment adviser if necessary.
Past performance: Past performance information given in this presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as (and is not) an indication of future performance.
Future performance: This presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements” such as indications of, and guidance on, future earnings and financial position and performance. Forward-looking statements can generally be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as, 'expect', 'anticipate', 'likely', 'intend', 'could', 'may', 'predict', 'plan', 'propose', 'will', 'believe', 'forecast', 'estimate', 'target', 'outlook', 'guidance' and other similar expressions within the meaning of securities laws of applicable jurisdictions and include, but are not limited to, forecast EBITDA, operating cashflow, distribution guidance and estimated asset life. Forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates provided in this presentation are based on assumptions and contingencies which are subject to change without notice, as are statements about market and industry trends, which are based on interpretations of current market conditions and are subject to risk factors associated with the industries in which APA Group operates. Such forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates are not guarantees or predictions of future performance and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of APA Group, and may involve significant elements of subjective judgement and assumptions as to future events which may or may not be correct. There can be no assurance that actual outcomes will not materially differ from these forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates. A number of important factors could cause actual results or performance to differ materially from such forwardlooking statements, opinions and estimates.
Investors should form their own views as to these matters and any assumptions on which any forward-looking statements are based. APA Group assumes no obligation to update or revise such information to reflect any change in expectations or assumptions.
Investment risk: An investment in securities in APA Group is subject to investment and other known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of APA Group. APA Group does not guarantee any particular rate of return or the performance of APA Group.
Not an offer: This presentation does not constitute an offer, invitation or recommendation to subscribe for or purchase any security. In particular, this presentation does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities in the United States. Securities may not be offered or sold, directly or indirectly, in the United States or to persons that are acting for the account or benefit of persons in the United States, unless they have been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the U.S. Securities Act), or are offered and sold in a transaction exempt from, or not subject to, the registration requirements of the U.S. Securities Act and any other applicable state securities laws.
Financial data: Investors should be aware that certain financial data included in this presentation are "non-GAAP financial measures" under Regulation G of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These measures are EBITDA, normalised EBITDA and statutory EBITDA. The disclosure of such non-GAAP financial measures in the manner included in the presentation may not be permissible in a registration statement under the U.S. Securities Act. These non-GAAP financial measures do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by Australian Accounting Standards and therefore may not be comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other entities, and should not be construed as an alternative to other financial measures determined in accordance with Australian Accounting Standards. Although APA Group believes these non-GAAP financial measures provide useful information to users in measuring the financial performance and condition of its business, investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any non-GAAP financial measures included in this presentation.
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For further information contact Delivering Australia’s Energy Yoko Kosugi Head of Investor Relations, APA Group Tel: +61 2 9693 0049 E-mail: [email protected]
or visit APA’s website www.apa.com.au