AI assistant
APA GROUP — Interim / Quarterly Report 2015
Mar 25, 2015
64398_rns_2015-03-25_0bfcbfde-b2b0-4f70-bc26-f3bffbb509e7.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
==> picture [596 x 100] intentionally omitted <==
ASX ANNOUNCEMENT
26 March 2015
APA Group (ASX: APA)
(also for release to APT Pipelines Limited (ASX: AQH))
APA Group Presentation
The APA Group investor information and 1H15 results highlights presentation is attached for release.
==> picture [129 x 29] intentionally omitted <==
Mark Knapman Company Secretary Australian Pipeline Limited
For further information please contact:
Investor enquiries: Media enquiries: Yoko Kosugi David Symons Telephone: (02) 9693 0049 Telephone: (02) 8306 4244 Mob: 0438 010 332 Mob: 0410 559 184 Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected]
About APA Group (APA)
APA is Australia’s largest natural gas infrastructure business, owning and/or operating in excess of $12 billion of energy infrastructure assets. Its gas transmission pipelines span every state and territory on mainland Australia, delivering approximately half of the nation’s gas usage. APA has direct management and operational control over its assets and the majority of its investments. APA also holds minority interests in a number of energy infrastructure enterprises including SEA Gas Pipeline, Energy Infrastructure Investments and GDI.
APT Pipelines Limited is a wholly owned subsidiary of Australian Pipeline Trust and is the borrowing entity of APA Group.
For more information visit APA’s website, www.apa.com.au
==> picture [842 x 186] intentionally omitted <==
APA investor information and 1H15 result highlights
March / April 2015
Australia’s largest gas pipeline owner by pipeline length, capacity and volume
APA Overview (Ticker: APA AU)
==> picture [363 x 340] intentionally omitted <==
A$10.2 billion (as at 27 Feb 2015) S&P/ASX 50
Market capitalisation
ASX rank[(1) ]
Moody’s: Baa2 (outlook Stable), confirmed 10 Dec 2014
Rating
S&P: BBB (outlook Stable), confirmed 10 Dec 2014
Over $12 billion[(1) ]
Assets owned/ operated
Gas transmission
14,744[(2)] km transmission pipelines Underground & LNG gas storage
Gas distribution
27,100 km gas network pipelines 1.3 million gas consumers
==> picture [127 x 83] intentionally omitted <==
Other energy infrastructure 585 MW power generation 244 km HV electricity transmission Gas processing plants
Employees More than 1,600
- (1) Does not include QCLNG Pipeline – financial close pending
(2) Includes QCLNG Pipeline (543 km) – financial close pending Does not include Eastern Goldfields Pipeline (292 km)– under construction
APA Group, March / April 2015
2
APA’s long term strategy
Consistent execution of a sustainable growth strategy since listing in 2000.
We’re focused on building and enhancing our core business of gas transmission and distribution assets.
Enhancing APA’s portfolio of Capturing revenue and gas infrastructure assets in operational synergies from Australia’s growing energy APA’s significant asset base market Facilitating development of gas related Pursuing opportunities projects that enhance APA’s that leverage APA’s infrastructure portfolio knowledge and skills base
Strengthening financial capability
==> picture [195 x 304] intentionally omitted <==
APA’s unrivalled asset portfolio across Australia and internal expertise, together with strong industry fundamentals, drive growth opportunities
APA Group, March / April 2015
3
Successful strategy implementation
==> picture [832 x 147] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2014
----- End of picture text -----
-
Acquired minorities, achieving 100% ownership of major pipeline asset
-
Acquisition – pipelines, distribution networks, electricity interconnects
-
Development – gas power stations, processing plants
-
Pipeline acquisitions
-
Organic expansion and Pipeline acquisitions pipeline development
-
Internal management and storage operation
-
Organic expansion – pipelines and gas storage
-
Development of the east coast gas grid
-
Development and investment in assets that protect and/or enhance APA’s gas portfolio
-
Focused balance sheet – partial divestment of noncore assets
-
Partial divestment of non-core assets
-
2014 – successful bid for QCLNG Pipeline provides a more direct access to LNG component of the east coast market
APA Group, March / April 2015
4
Strategic development of pipeline grid
==> picture [559 x 139] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
NT link to east coast grid:
• Feasibility study
APA’s east coast grid:
• > 7,000 km of pipelines
APA’s WA infrastructure: • 5 major pipelines
• Servicing mining regions • 5 states and territories
• Gas transport and storage for Perth
----- End of picture text -----
East coast grid
-
Interconnected transmission pipelines operating as one system
-
Seamless service capability across 30 receipt points and 100 delivery points
-
QCLNG Pipeline acquisition
-
Attractive growth and revenue opportunities
-
West Australian infrastructure
-
Interconnected gas storage and transportation to Perth
-
Pipeline infrastructure serving mining regions
-
NT Link - APA feasibility study
-
Connecting APA’s infrastructure to facilitate gas flow across regions
Transformational change in gas delivery and storage services
APA Group, March / April 2015
5
QCLNG – long term contract gives access to new volumes
-
Acquisition complements APA’s existing east coast grid
-
Long term contracts with two highly credit-worthy counterparties
-
Immediate access to new volumes and full
- revenue upon commissioning
-
Possibility of additional interconnection points with APA’s east coast grid
-
Potential for APA to further enhance efficiency with operatorship
-
Acquisition financing complete
-
$1.8bn equity raising successfully completed in January 2015
Delivery station for BG Group’s Curtis Island LNG Facility
-
US$3.7bn debt issuance in Euro, Sterling and
-
US144a markets completed successfully in March 2015 with tenors ranging 7 years to 20 years
APA Group, March / April 2015
6
QCLNG Pipeline acquisition overview
| Acquisition | | US$5bn, representing an FY16 EV / EBITDA multiple of 13.0x |
|---|---|---|
| Contract | | 20 year take-or-pay(1)arrangements with primary tariff |
| components linked to US CPI and revenue paid in US$ | ||
| Length | | 543km |
| | Comprises Export Pipeline (346km) and Gas Collection | |
| Header (196km) | ||
| Capacity | | Supports a total MDQ(2)of 1,510TJ/day under the various |
| GTAs(3) | ||
| Milestones | | Construction completed in December 2013 |
| | Financial close is expected in 2Q 2015 | |
| Operation | | QGC Pty Ltd (QGC) (a BG Group entity) will operate the |
| pipeline under an agreement with an initial term of 3 years | ||
| | APA may assume operatorship of the pipeline after 12 | |
| months following the acquisition(4) |
QCLNG Pipeline location
==> picture [311 x 308] intentionally omitted <==
(1) The development capex recovery charges are payable irrespective of volume transported whilst volume-related operating charges are passed through to the Shippers (2) Maximum Daily Quantity
(3) Gas Transportation Agreement
(4) Subject to Shipper consent requirements, not to be unreasonably withheld
APA Group, March / April 2015
7
QCLNG Pipeline acquisition highlights
| Revenue stability | | Revenues fully contracted on a take-or-pay basis(1)for a period of 20 years, calculated based on a fixed rate of |
|---|---|---|
| return on the contracted asset base, together with an operating cost pass-through | ||
| | Expected to contribute an additional EBITDA of US$383 million to APA’s business in FY16 | |
| | Contracted tariffs under the GTAs have primary tariff components escalated at US CPI | |
| | Expands contracted customer base with revenues provided by highly creditworthy counterparties | |
| − ~75% of revenue: BG Group Shipper entities backed by guarantee from BG Group’s rated entity, BGEH(2) |
||
| − ~25% of revenue: CNOOC owned QCLNG Project entity |
||
| Long-term contracts | | Revenues principally derived across 3 GTAs(3), each for an initial 20 year period |
| | 2 x 10 year options for the Shippers to extend | |
| Cost pass-through | | Operating costs are passed through to Shippers |
| Brand new pipeline | | Pipeline is operational and has undergone significant testing |
| that is the essential | | Essential component of LNG production process. GTA counterparties (BG and CNOOC) reliant on this |
| middle piece of a | infrastructure to deliver under off-take agreements and generate project cash flow | |
| much larger overall | ||
| project | ||
| Strong, inflation-linked | | High margins and minimal capex requirements result in strong free cash flows to APA |
| cashflow profile | ||
| Alignment with APA | | Satisfies APA’s key investment criteria and risk profile |
| strategy | | Interconnects with the East coast grid |
| | Acquisition financing supports maintaining APA’s current credit ratings |
(1) The development capex recovery charges are payable irrespective of volume transported whilst volume-related operating charges are passed through to the Shippers (2) BG Energy Holdings Ltd
(3) There is also an agreement to transport gas for use in the domestic market (variable operating charge tariff only) and a storage services agreement
APA Group, March / April 2015
8
Australian gas industry – abundant supply and growing consumption
-
Proven and probable gas reserves total approximately 136,639 PJ[(1) ]
-
There is an estimated proved and probable reserves of approximately 49,207PJ[(1) ] in east Australia; gas reserves are dominated by large coal seam gas resources in Queensland and New South Wales
==> picture [411 x 214] intentionally omitted <==
-
(1) Reserves (natural gas and ethane 2P), EnergyQuest, March 2015
-
(2) Sourced from the Australian Energy Market Operator’s (“AEMO”) 2014 National Gas Forecasting Report
-
(3) EnergyQuest March 2015
-
Total consumption of gas in Australia (including LNG exports) is expected to increase at an annual rate of 23.0% in the short term (2014-2019)[(2) ]
-
65.1%[(3)] of domestic gas consumption in CY14 was in the east Australian markets of QLD, NSW, SA, VIC and TAS
APA Group, March / April 2015
9
Proven growth and value creation
==> picture [350 x 212] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Revenue
A$
$1,200m Full years Half years
$993
$1,000m $920
$758
$800m $720
$673 $660
$600m $510 $523
$400m
$200m
$0m
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1H14 1H15
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [404 x 213] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
EBITDA
A$
Full years Half years
$1,000m
(1)
$850
$800m $764 $747
EBITDA from
$600m $447 significant
$526
$492 items
$444 $460
$399
$400m
$200m
$0m
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1H14 1H15
----- End of picture text -----
Operating Cash Flow
==> picture [343 x 210] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
A$ Full years Half years
$500m
$432
$400m $374
$336
$290
$300m $268 $280
$226
$208
$200m
$100m
$0m
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1H14 1H15
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [349 x 224] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Total Assets
A$ Full years Half years
$8,751
$9,000m
$7,699 $7,973 $7,826
$8,000m
$7,000m
$6,000m $5,428 $5,496
$4,982
$4,747
$5,000m
$4,000m
$3,000m
$2,000m
$1,000m
$0m
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1H14 1H15
----- End of picture text -----
- (1) Includes a A$430 million net pre-tax profit on the sale of APA’s equity holding in AGN (formerly Envestra) and the one-off receipt of $17 million relating to certain performance fees being refunded to APA
10
Maximising value for securityholders
Total securityholder returns since listing
==> picture [634 x 215] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
1600
1500 APA TSR: 1,396%
1400 APA CAGR: 20.1%
1300
1200
1100
1000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
----- End of picture text -----
Indexed to 100 from listing date, 13 June 2000 to 11 March 2015 Source: APA based on IRESS data
==> picture [365 x 210] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Total annual returns
50% 43%
40%
31%
29%
30% 23% 22%
18%
20%
10%
0%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
-10%
-20% APA Total Securityholder Return
S&P/ASX200 Accumulation Index
-30%
----- End of picture text -----
APA Group, March / April 2015
11
APA investment summary
==> picture [61 x 65] intentionally omitted <==
Largest gas infrastructure portfolio in Australia in terms of scale and geographic diversity
==> picture [61 x 66] intentionally omitted <==
Quality assets with long expected lives requiring a relatively low level of maintenance capital expenditure
==> picture [61 x 66] intentionally omitted <==
Stable and predictable cash flow from price regulated assets and long term contracts
==> picture [61 x 65] intentionally omitted <==
Quality customer base and diversified asset footprint
==> picture [61 x 65] intentionally omitted <==
Strong balance sheet and prudent capital management
==> picture [61 x 65] intentionally omitted <==
Integrated in-house management and experienced executive management team
APA Group, March / April 2015
12
==> picture [842 x 186] intentionally omitted <==
1H15 result highlights
13
APA Group, March 2013
Sound financial performance
| $ million | 1H 15 | 1H 14 | Change | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Statutory results | ||||
| EBITDA | 849.6 | 398.9 | up | 113%(4) |
| Net profit after tax | 467.3 | 120.7 | up | 287%(4) |
| Operating cash flow(1) | 280.4 | 208.3 | up | 35%(4) |
| Operating cash flow per security (cents) | 31.9 | 24.1 | up | 32%(4) |
| Normalised results(2) | ||||
| EBITDA from continuing operations | 401.3 | 369.2 | up | 9%(4) |
| Net profit after tax | 111.2 | 120.7 | down | 8%(4) |
| Operating cash flow(1) | 263.2 | 216.6 | up | 22%(4) |
| Operating cash flow per security (cents) | 30.0 | 25.0 | up | 20%(4) |
| Distributions | ||||
| Distribution per security (cents) | 17.5 | 17.5 | ||
| Distribution payout ratio(3) | 55.6% | 67.5% |
(1) Operating cash flow = net cash from operations after interest and tax payments.
(2) Normalised results exclude one-off significant items, reflecting APA’s core earnings from operations .
(3) Distribution payout ratio = total distribution payments as a percentage of normalised operating cash flow.
- (4) Primarily as a result of exclusion of earnings and tax on distributions from Envestra.
APA Group, March / April 2015
14
1H15 result: EBITDA by business segment
| $ million | 1H15 | 1H14 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Infrastructure | ||||
| Queensland | 136.4 | 108.8 | 25% | |
| New South Wales | 59.6 | 62.2 | (4)% | |
| Victoria & South Australia | 70.3 | 62.4 | 13% | |
| Western Australia & Northern Territory | 107.3 | 92.6 | 16% | |
| Energy Infrastructure total | 373.6 | 326.0 | 15% | |
| Asset Management | 20.1 | 34.5 | (42)% | |
| Energy Investments | 7.6 | 8.7 | (12)% | |
| Continuing business EBITDA(1) Divested business(2) |
401.3 1.0 |
369.2 29.7 |
9% nm |
|
| Significant items | 447.2 | - | nm | |
| Total EBITDA | 849.6 | 398.9 | 1% |
1H15 EBITDA by business segment[(1)]
==> picture [238 x 285] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Energy Investments
Asset Management 1.9%
5.0%
Western Queensland
Australia & 34.0%
Northern
Territory
26.7%
Victoria &
South New South
Australia Wales
17.5% 14.9%
Energy Infrastructure
93.1%
----- End of picture text -----
-
(1) Continuing business EBITDA
-
(2) Investment in AGN formerly (Envestra ) sold in August 2014
Reporting segments
-
Energy Infrastructure : APA’s wholly or majority owned energy infrastructure assets
-
Asset Management : provision of asset management and operating services for the majority of APA’s investments
-
Energy Investments : minority interests in energy infrastructure investments
APA Group, March / April 2015
15
Fully covered distributions
On target to deliver distribution guidance for FY 2015
cents
1H 15 distribution payout ratio[[(1,2) ]] of 55.6%
60 56.0 ratio[[(1,2) ]] of 55.6% 51.9 52.6 52.5 52.6 48.2 Distribution components: 50 17.5 cents profit distribution 40 nil capital distribution 31.9 17.5 cents 36.3 34.4 35.0 35.5 30 32.8 31.0 FY15 distribution guidance remains “at least 36.25 cents” 17.5 20 10 0 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1H15 (1) Distribution payout ratio: distribution payments as a ) Distribution payout ratio: distribution payments as a percentage of operating cash flow. Operating cash flow per security Distribution per security (2) Based on normalised operating cash flow.
(1) Distribution payout ratio: distribution payments as a ) Distribution payout ratio: distribution payments as a percentage of operating cash flow.
APA Group, March / April 2015
16
Developing growth capital projects across Australia
Continued expansion and enhancement of APA’s gas infrastructure portfolio, with many growth opportunities unique to APA
Committed projects underwritten by long term revenue contracts and/or regulatory arrangements
==> picture [233 x 278] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [28 x 6] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
NT Link
----- End of picture text -----
Feasibility study in progress
Eastern Goldfields Expansion APA assets and investments New 292 km pipeline under APA pipeline under development construction APA pipeline (financial close pending) APA operated assets Other natural gas pipelines Gas storage Wind Farm
Victorian Transmission System Capacity expansion
==> picture [44 x 41] intentionally omitted <==
Gas-fired power station
QCLNG Pipeline Financial close pending
Berwyndale Wallumbilla Pipeline Bi-directional capability
Roma Brisbane Pipeline Bi-directional capability
Moomba Sydney Pipeline Bi-directional capability
Moomba Sydney Pipeline southern lateral Capacity expansion
APA Group, March / April 2015
17
Gas processing plant
Capital expenditure
| $ million | $0m $100m $200m $300m $400m 1H15(1) 1H14(1) 55.5 14.9 78.5 93.6 0.6 4.8 14.1 39.1 13.3 11.4 162.0 163.8 28.1 20.6 1.6 16.4 191.7 200.7 20.9 212.6 200.7 |
Committed growth capex |
|---|---|---|
| Growth capex | 55.5 14.9 78.5 93.6 0.6 4.8 14.1 39.1 13.3 11.4 |
|
| Regulated- Victoria | ||
| Major Projects Queensland |
||
| New South Wales | ||
| Western Australia | ||
| Other | ||
| Total growth capex | ||
| Stay in business capex | 28.1 20.6 1.6 16.4 191.7 200.7 20.9 |
|
| Customer contributions | ||
| FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 Guidance Committed |
||
| Total capex | ||
| Investments and acquisitions | ||
| Total capital & investment expenditure |
- (1) Capital expenditure represents cash payments as disclosed in the cash flow statement for 1H15 and 1H14.
APA Group, March / April 2015
18
Capital management
Cash and committed undrawn facilities of around $2,400 million as at 31 December 2014
| . | . | Metrics |
31 Dec 2014 | 30 Jun 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gearing(1,2,3) | 44.5% | 64.2% | ||
| Interest cover ratio | 2.48 times | 2.31 times | ||
| Average interest rate applying to drawn debt(2) | 7.07% | 7.12% | ||
| Interest rate exposure fixed or hedged | 84.6% | 72.8% | ||
| Average maturity of senior facilities | 5.3 years | 5.4 years | ||
Credit ratings
In December 2014, post announcement of the QCLNG Pipeline acquisition, both S&P and Moody’s confirmed APA’s long-term corporate credit ratings of BBB and Baa2 respectively, each with Stable outlook
Gearing
Expected to settle at approximately 65% post completion of the QCLNG Pipeline acquisition
[(1) Ratio of net debt to net debt plus book equity. ]
(2) Includes $515 million of Subordinated Notes.
- (3) After receipt of $958 million proceeds from Institutional and Early Retail Entitlement Offer.
APA Group, March / April 2015
19
East coast grid – connecting multiple markets with multiple resources
==> picture [425 x 459] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Darwin
Gladstone
Wall um billa
Moomba Brisbane
Sydney
Adelaide
APA natural gas pipelines
QCLNG Pipeline
Other natural gas pipelines
Melbourne
Gas storage
Gas production
----- End of picture text -----
-
Provision of flexibility during dynamic market conditions for gas
-
SWQP expansion already delivering
-
NSW – VIC connection expansion under way
-
Flexible services to move gas where it is needed on the east coast
-
Feasibility study continues on NT Link
-
Bi-directional capability being implemented
-
QCLNG Pipeline acquisition enhances footprint and provides access to new volumes to Gladstone
-
Connection points with the existing APA grid will provide further flexibility for foundation shippers and future opportunities for APA
APA Group, March / April 2015
20
Connecting gas markets and resources
==> picture [446 x 417] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Darwin
Gladstone
Brisbane
Moomba
Perth
APA natural gas pipelines
Sydney
under development
Adelaide
QCLNG Pipeline
Other natural gas pipelines
Gas storage
Melbourne
Gas production
Gas resource
NT link potential pipeline routes
----- End of picture text -----
Organic growth
-
Capacity expansions, enhancements and new services, provide flexibility and new opportunities for customers
-
New services and more flexible contracts supplement traditional take-or-pay
East coast LNG
- QCLNG Pipeline acquisition enhances the east coast grid and is underwritten by 20-year take-or-pay contracts with two highly credit-worthy counterparties
Greenfield developments
-
Eastern Goldfields Pipeline
-
NT – east coast grid pipeline link (feasibility study continues)
-
Interconnected and flexible portfolio allows APA to assist customers to prevail in dynamic gas market environment
- Maintaining financial flexibility and strength is integral to delivering APA’s strategy
APA Group, March / April 2015
21
Focus on safety and operational excellence
Health and safety
-
Long-term safety goal of Zero Harm – a program of continuous improvement
-
Decrease of LTIFR[ (1)] to 0.7 (FY14), down from 2.1 (FY13)
-
LTIFR as at 31 Dec 2014 is 0.3
-
Second year of 3 year HSE Strategic Improvement Plan
Enhancing infrastructure operations and maintenance
==> picture [351 x 227] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
LTIFR
7.3
6.1
4.9
2.2 2.1
0.7
0.3
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1HY15
----- End of picture text -----
-
Consolidating pipeline control and monitoring operations to better manage grid operations
-
Improving asset maintenance management systems and processes across the portfolio
-
Progressively adopting global industry best practice
These and other initiatives are focused on improving service safety and reliability, operational efficiency and extending the economic life of the assets
(1) Lost time injury frequency rate (LTIFR) is measured as the number of lost time injuries per million hours worked
Damian Both and Jeff Jackson, Network Operations, Queensland
APA Group, March / April 2015
22
Outlook for FY 2015
Outlook
-
Continued construction and development to increase flexibility and capacity of our infrastructure footprint on both east and west coasts
-
Transaction completion and integration of QCLNG Pipeline
-
Continued Northern Territory – east coast interconnection feasibility study
Stage 2 looping of VNI Expansion project is underway, VIC
APA’s Control Room at Wallumbilla, QLD
Pipe laydown site for the Eastern Goldfields Pipeline, WA
APA Group, March / April 2015
23
FY 2015 Guidance
-
APA standalone (pre-acquisition) guidance for EBITDA and net interest cost for FY 2015 is revised as follows:
-
Statutory EBITDA is expected within a range of $1,222 million to $1,237 million[(1)]
-
Normalised continuing business EBITDA within a range of $775 million to $790 million[(2)] up from previous guidance of $740 million to $760 million
-
Net interest cost expected within a range of $320 million to $355 million
-
In addition for FY 2015, the acquisition of the QCLNG Pipeline is expected to generate additional EBITDA within a range of A$41 million to $83 million[(3)]
| FY 2015 Guidance | Statutory EBITDA(1) | Normalised EBITDA(2) |
|---|---|---|
| FY 2015 (APA standalone) | $1,222 – $1,237 | $775 – $790 |
| QCLNG Pipeline acquisition(3) | $41 – $83 | $41 – $83 |
| APA Group Total | $1,263 – $1,320 | $816 – $873 |
-
(1) Statutory EBITDA includes significant items recorded in 1H 2015.
-
(2) Excludes one-off significant items (being the pre-tax profit of A$430m from the sale of APA’s stake in Envestra and $17m recovered by HDF from Hastings Funds Management Limited), reflecting APA’s core earnings from operations.
-
(3) QCLNG Pipeline acquisition metrics are in addition to APA standalone.
Note: All conversions are based on AUD/USD exchange rate of 0.7804 as at 12.00pm 24 February 2015.
APA Group, March / April 2015
24
FY15 Guidance bridge - normalised
==> picture [661 x 369] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
$41-83m
$78-93m
$(50m) $816-873m
$747m • Asset
Management $697m
FY14 Less Envestra FY14 continuing Organic growth Plus QCLNG FY15 Guidance
equity earnings business EBITDA Pipeline
----- End of picture text -----
Note: All conversions are based on AUD/USD exchange rate of 0.7804 as at 12.00pm 24 February 2015.
APA Group, March / April 2015
25
==> picture [842 x 186] intentionally omitted <==
Supplementary information
26
APA Group, March 2013
APA asset and investment portfolio
==> picture [790 x 429] intentionally omitted <==
APA Group, March / April 2015
27
APA Group structure
-
APA is a stapled vehicle comprising two registered managed investment schemes:
-
Australian Pipeline Trust (ARSN 091 678 778)
APA Group Securityholders
-
APT Investment Trust (ARSN 115 585 441) is a tax pass-through trust
-
Australian Pipeline Limited (ACN 091 344 704) is the responsible entity of the Trust and APT
-
APA is listed as a stapled structure on the Australian Securities Exchange
-
The units of the Trust and APT are stapled and must trade and otherwise be dealt with together
-
APT Pipelines Limited (ABN 89 009 666 700) is APA’s borrowing entity, a company wholly owned by APT
==> picture [437 x 229] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Australian Pipeline Trust APT Investment Trust
(APT) (APTIT)
100%
100%
APT Pipelines Ltd
100%
Infrastructure
Australian Pipeline assets and
Limited
investments
(Responsible Entity)
----- End of picture text -----
-
Reporting segments
-
Energy Infrastructure : APA’s wholly or majority owned energy infrastructure assets
-
Asset Management : provision of asset management and operating services for the majority of APA’s investments
-
Energy Investments : minority interests in energy infrastructure investments
APA Group, March / April 2015
28
Quality customer base
- Customers associated with many contracted assets provide essential services:
Counterparty credit ratings by contracted volumes[(1)] for major contracted assets
-
Regulated gas distribution systems
-
Major power generation facilities
-
Key long term contract counterparties are credit-worthy entities
-
Utilities (e.g. AGL, Origin, EnergyAustralia)
-
Government owned entities (e.g. Synergy)
-
Resources (e.g. BHP, Rio Tinto)
As at 31 Dec 2014 Illustrative Post QCLNG
==> picture [428 x 192] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Sub-investment
Not rated
grade Sub-investment
A– rated or Investment 5%
2% grade
Not rated 9% better grade JV 1%
8% 2%
Investment
grade JV
3%
A– rated
BBB– to BBB+
or better
rated
BBB– to BBB+ rated
50%
42%
78%
----- End of picture text -----
(1) Based on Maximum Daily Quantity (“MDQ”)
Majority of APA’s counterparties are investment grade
APA Group, March / April 2015
29
Energy Infrastructure
Queensland
| South West Queensland Pipeline Expanded capacity Moomba compression Complete Sep 2014 and operational Wallumbilla compression Long-term agreement for compression services Construction completed in Dec 2014 Eastern Haul completed Dec 2014 Berwyndale Wallumbilla Pipeline Bi-directional capability completed EBITDA $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160 |
$136.4m 1H12 1H13 1H14 1H15 South West Queensland Pipeline Other Queensland assets Carpentaria Gas Pipeline Roma Brisbane Pipeline |
|---|---|
APA Group, March / April 2015
30
Energy Infrastructure
EBITDA
New South Wales
-
Three agreements to transport increased gas volumes north from Victoria, two commencing in Jan 2015 and one in May 2015
-
New 7-year grid services agreement from Sep 2015, mainly utilising Moomba Sydney Pipeline capacity
-
Capacity expansion on southern lateral
Victoria & South Australia
-
Capacity expansion of northern interconnect commenced, underpinned by regulated and contracted revenue
-
Expansion of the South West Pipeline into Melbourne, completed and commenced operation in Jan 2015
$80m $59.6m $60m $40m Moomba Sydney Pipeline $20m System $0m 1H12 1H13 1H14 1H15 EBITDA
$80m $70.3m $60m SESA Pipeline $40m Victorian $20m assets $0m 1H12 1H13 1H14 1H15
APA Group, March / April 2015
31
Energy Infrastructure
Western Australia & Northern Territory
Goldfields Gas Pipeline EBITDA Expansion project completed $120m Pilbara Pipeline System $100m Full HY contribution of a new contract Additional revenue agreement $80m Cost benefits of in-house operations Eastern Goldfields Pipeline $60m Long term gas transportation agreements to mines in the Goldfields region - seamless service across 3 pipelines $40m Construction begins on a new 292 km pipeline $20m On track to meet completion during mid FY2016 $0m 1H12 1H13 1H14 1H15
| $107.2m | Amadeus Gas Pipeline |
|---|---|
| Emu Downs | |
| wind farm | |
| Mondarra Gas | |
| Storage | |
| Facility | |
| Other WA assets |
|
| Pilbara Pipeline |
|
| System | |
| Goldfields Gas Pipeline |
|
APA Group, March / April 2015
32
Asset Management and Energy Investments
EBITDA
Asset Management
$40m One-off customer Reduction in one-off customer contributions contributions for relocating APA infrastructure Contracted $20.1m services One-off customer contributions $20m $30m $20m Average ~$10m/a $10m $0m $0m FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1H15 1H12 1H13 1H14 1H15 EBITDA $60m Divested & Energy Investments transferred investments (1) Sale of shares in Envestra $40m Continuing Diamantina Power Station commissioning investments and start up costs $20m $8.6m $0m 1H12 1H13 1H14 1H15
- Reduction in one-off customer contributions for relocating APA infrastructure
Energy Investments
-
Sale of shares in Envestra
-
Diamantina Power Station commissioning and start up costs
(1) Includes HDF income (1H 12) now reported under Energy Infrastructure, and Envestra equity earnings (1H15: $1.0m, 1H14: $29.7m)
APA Group, March / April 2015
33
Revenue by business segment
| $ million | 1H 15 | 1H 14 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Infrastructure | ||||
| Queensland | 161.4 | 132.3 |
22% | |
| New South Wales | 71.9 | 74.1 |
(3%) | |
| Victoria & South Australia | 94.7 | 81.0 |
17% | |
| Western Australia & Northern Territory | 143.8 | 127.1 | 13% | |
| Energy Infrastructure total | 471.8 | 414.5 |
14% | |
| Asset Management | 38.4 | 56.1 |
(31%) | |
| EnergyInvestments | 7.7 | 8.7 |
(11%) | |
| Total segment revenue | 517.9 | 479.3 |
8% |
|
| Pass-through revenue | 217.4 | 201.7 |
8% |
|
| Unallocated revenue | 3.8 | 0.7 |
n/m |
|
| Divested business | 1.0 | 29.7 | n/m |
|
| Total revenue | 740.1 | 711.4 |
4% |
1H 15 Revenue split
==> picture [283 x 274] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Other 1%
Regulated
(revenue subject to
price regulated tariffs)
18%
Contracted
(regulated assets with
Contracted negotiated tariffs)
(light regulation and
14%
non-regulated assets)
67%
----- End of picture text -----
(1) Equity accounted earnings from APA’s 33.05% stake in Envestra.
APA Group, March / April 2015
34
Balance sheet
| $ million | 31 Dec 2014 30 Jun 2014 Change |
|---|---|
| Current assets Property, plant and equipment Other non-current assets |
1,114(1) 203 449 % 5,677(1) 5,574 2 % 1,959(1) 2,195 (11) % |
| Total Assets | 8,750(1) 7,972 10 % |
| Current debt Other current liabilities Total current liabilities Long term debt |
149(1) - - 364(1) 374 (3) % |
| 513(1) 374 (37) % |
|
| 4,125(1) 4,708 12 % |
|
| Other long term liabilities | 389(1) 394 (1) % |
| Total long term liabilities | 4,514(1) 5,102 12 % |
| Total Liabilities | 5,026(1) 5,476 (8) % |
| Net Assets | 3,724(1) 2,496 49 % |
(1) Includes cash of $913.8m.
APA Group, March / April 2015
35
Capital management
==> picture [767 x 411] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Bank borrowings
Maturity Profile of Drawn Debt as at 16 March 2015
First Call Date - 60 year
Sub Notes
A$1,600m
Euro MTN
US Private Placement
Notes
Australian MTN
A$1,200m
Japanese MTN
Canadian MTN
A$800m
US 144a Notes
Sterling MTN
A$400m
A$0m
962
1,439
1,159
894
515
735
536
393
295 318 289 300 296
186 175
86 126 96
Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-17 Jun-18 Jun-19 Jun-20 Jun-21 Jun-22 Jun-23 Jun-24 Jun-25 Jun-26 Jun-27 Jun-28 Jun-29 Jun-30 Jun-31 Jun-32 Jun-33 Jun-34 Jun-35
----- End of picture text -----*
*** USD obligations translated, for the purposes of this chart, at the spot exchange rate on 16 March 2015 of A$=US$0.7642**
APA Group, March / April 2015
36
Debt facilities
Total committed debt facilities at 16 March 2015
| $million(1) | Facility amount |
Drawn amount |
Tenor |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 Bilateral borrowings(2) | 200 | 0 | 5 years maturing December 2018 |
| 2014 Syndicated facilities(3) | 1,100 | 175 | 2.25,3.25 and 5.25year trances maturingSeptember 2016,2017 and 2019 |
| 2003 US Private placement | 281 | 281 | 12 and 15 year tranches maturing September 2015 and 2018 |
| 2007 US Private placement | 811 | 811 | 10, 12 and 15 year tranches maturing May 2017, 2019 and 2022 |
| 2009 US Private placement | 185 | 185 | 7 and 10 year tranches maturing July 2016 and 2019 |
| 2010 AUD Medium Term Notes | 300 | 300 | 10 year tranche maturing July 2020 |
| 2012 JPY Medium Term Notes | 126 | 126 | 6.5 year tranche maturing in June 2018 |
| 2012 CAD Medium Term Notes | 289 | 289 | 7.1 year tranche maturing in July 2019 |
| 2012 USD 144a/Reg S Notes | 735 | 735 | 10 year tranche maturing October 2022 |
| 2012 GBP Medium Term Notes | 536 | 536 | 12 year tranche maturing in November 2024 |
| 2015 USD 144a/Reg S Notes(4) | 1,439 | 1,439 | 10 year tranche maturing March 2025 |
| 2015 USD 144a/Reg S Notes(4) | 393 | 393 | 20 year tranche maturing March 2035 |
| 2015 EUR Medium Term Notes(4) | 962 | 962 | 7 year tranche maturing March 2022 |
| 2015 EUR Medium Term Notes(4) | 894 | 894 | 12 year tranche maturing March 2027 |
| 2015 GBP Medium Term Notes(4) | 1,159 | 1,159 | 15 year tranche maturing March 2030 |
| 2012 Subordinated Notes | 515 | 515 | 60 year term, first call date March 2018 |
| Total | 9,925 | 8,800 |
(1) Australian dollars. Unless otherwise noted, foreign notes issued have been hedged into fixed-rate Australian dollar obligations.
(2) Comprises four facilities of $50 million each.
(3) Comprises three facilities, one of $425million, one of $400 million and one of $275 million.
(4) Foreign notes either issued in or hedged into fixed-rate USD obligations. Amount shown is the USD principal obligation translated at the spot exchange rate on 16 March 2015 of A$=US$0.7642
APA Group, March / April 2015
37
Regulatory update
APA’s major price regulated assets
Regulatory resets over the next five years
==> picture [802 x 188] intentionally omitted <==
Goldfields Gas Pipeline Access Arrangement Review
-
Application lodged 15 August 2014
-
Western Australian Economic Regulation Authority (“ERA”) has commenced its review, with a draft decision expected Q1 2015 and the final decision is expected by end FY2015
-
Existing arrangements remain in place until final determination of the new Access Arrangement
APA Group, March / April 2015
38
Economic regulation of gas pipelines and networks
| Regulator | The Australian Energy Regulator (AER) is responsible for the economic regulation of gas transmission and distribution |
|---|---|
| networks and enforcing the National Gas Law and National Gas Rules in all jurisdictions except Western Australia | |
| The Economic Regulation Authority of Western Australia (ERA) is the independent economic regulator for Western | |
| Australia | |
| Access | Apply for a fixed term, generally 5 years |
| arrangement | Set out the terms and conditions of third party access, including |
| – At least one reference service that is commonly sought by customers – for pipelines, this is generally firm forward-haulage services | |
| – A reference (benchmark) tariff for the reference service | |
| Reference | Provides a default tariff for customers seeking the reference service but tariffs can also be negotiated for other services |
| tariff | Determined with reference to regulated revenue, capacity and volume forecasts |
| Regulated | Determined using the building block approach to recover efficient costs |
| revenue | – Forecast operating and maintenance costs |
| – Regulatory asset depreciation costs and | |
| – Return on asset capital (regulated asset base) based on WACC determination | |
| WACC based on 60:40 debt equity split | |
| Regulated | Opening RABs have been settled with the regulator; there are no reassessments for approved RABs |
| asset base | RABs adjusted every access arrangement period |
| (RAB) | – Increased by capital added to the asset and reduced by regulatory depreciation costs |
| Regulatory | The larger distribution networks and some transmission pipelines are covered by economic regulation |
| coverage | Price regulated assets are those which the regulatory authorities have determined, among other things, demonstrate |
| natural monopoly characteristics and a degree of market power | |
| Coverage can be revoked | |
| “Light-handed” regulation is effectively a negotiate/arbitrate regime, where tariffs are negotiated with users and are | |
| subject to determination by the regulator only where the customer initiates a dispute |
APA Group, March / April 2015
39
Australian gas industry – domestic and export demand
-
Australia’s gas production, consumption and exports are all projected to grow over the period to 2048-49
-
Growth underpinned by:
-
Domestic consumption will be driven by gas-fired electricity generation and expected to grow by 35% from 999 PJ in 2014/15 to 1,346PJ in 2049/50
-
LNG export from Queensland and WA/NT
-
Production is forecast to constantly grow as LNG projects, particularly in Queensland, currently under construction ramp up to full operations during 2015
Australian primary gas use by sector (2012-13)
==> picture [233 x 196] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Construction, Agriculture,
Other, 1.1% 0.4% 1.7%
Mining, 8.3%
Residential,
7.7%
Transport,
26.3% Commercial
and services,
5.2%
Manufacturing,
Electricity 21.7%
generation,
27.6%
----- End of picture text -----
Australian natural gas balance (PJ)
Primary energy consumption in Australia (2012-2013)
==> picture [181 x 199] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Renewables,
5.6%
Coal, 33.1%
Gas, 23.6%
Oil, 37.7%
----- End of picture text -----
Source: BREE “Australian Energy Projections 20149 -50” Report, November 2014
APA Group, March / April 2015
40
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by Australian Pipeline Limited (ACN 091 344 704) the responsible entity of the Australian Pipeline Trust (ARSN 091 678 778) and APT Investment Trust (ARSN 115 585 441) ( APA Group ).
Summary information: This presentation contains summary information about APA Group and its activities current as at the date of this presentation. The information in this presentation is of a general background nature and does not purport to be complete. It should be read in conjunction with the APA Group’s other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements which are available at www.apa.com.au.
Not financial product advice: Please note that Australian Pipeline Limited is not licensed to provide financial product advice in relation to securities in the APA Group. This presentation is for information purposes only and is not financial product or investment advice or a recommendation to acquire APA Group securities and has been prepared without taking into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of individuals. Before making an investment decision, prospective investors should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to their own objectives, financial situation and needs and consult an investment adviser if necessary.
Past performance: Past performance information given in this presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as (and is not) an indication of future performance.
Future performance: This presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements” such as indications of, and guidance on, future earnings and financial position and performance. Forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates provided in this Presentation are based on assumptions and contingencies which are subject to change without notice, as are statements about market and industry trends, which are based on interpretations of current market conditions.
This presentation contains such statements that are subject to risk factors associated with the industries in which APA Group operates which may materially impact on future performance. Investors should form their own views as to these matters and any assumptions on which any forward-looking statements are based. APA Group assumes no obligation to update or revise such information to reflect any change in expectations or assumptions.
Investment risk: An investment in securities in APA Group is subject to investment and other known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of APA Group. APA Group does not guarantee any particular rate of return or the performance of APA Group. Not an offer: This presentation does not constitute an offer, invitation or recommendation to subscribe for or purchase any security.
APA Group, March / April 2015
41
==> picture [842 x 186] intentionally omitted <==
For further information contact Yoko Kosugi Investor Relations, APA Group Tel: +61 2 9693 0049 E-mail: [email protected]
Delivering Australia’s energy
or visit APA’s website www.apa.com.au