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Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. — Interim / Quarterly Report 2015
Sep 13, 2015
10425_rns_2015-09-13_726b9125-68aa-4cad-842b-869a725f99f7.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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CLSA CONFERENCE 2015 Hong Kong
A U S T R A L I A A N D N E W Z E A L A N D B A N K I N G G R O U P L I M I T E D
Investor Discussion Pack September 2015
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Index
| Group Overview | Group Overview | 3 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial Performance | 10 | |||
| Treasury | 27 | |||
| Strategy | 38 | |||
| Risk Management | 59 | |||
| Portfolio composition by EAD – Group, IIB, Asia, China | 75 | |||
| Home Loans | 80 | |||
| Economics | 88 | |||
| Data within this discussion pack is current as at ANZ’s 1H15 results, disclosed 5 May 2015, | ||||
| unless otherwise stated |
All figures within this investor discussion pack are presented on Cash basis in Australian Dollars unless otherwise noted. In arriving at Cash Profit, Statutory Profit has been adjusted to exclude non-core items, further information is set out on page 86 of the 2015 Half Year Consolidated Financial Report. Common growth rate abbreviations used in this presentation include PCP: Prior comparable period growth rate (for instance 1H15 vs 1H14, 2H14 vs 2H13); HoH: Half on Half growth rate (for instance 1H15 vs 2H14, 2H14 vs 1H14)
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2
2015
CLSA CONFERENCE Hong Kong
Group Overview
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SUPER REGIONAL STRATEGY
STRONG PROFITABLE
ENTERPRISE
CORE ASIAN
APPROACH
MARKETS GROWTH
STRONG LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
DISCIPLINED AND EXPERIENCED MANAGEMENT
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CEO PRIORITIES FY14-16
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Improving Diversifying Improving Improving customer revenue productivity returns experience
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4
ANZ offers a distinctive geographic footprint and business mix that rovides earnin s diversification p g
Corporate Profile – Latest Full Year position: 2014
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-
Founded in 1835, ANZ is a super regional bank that serves 10 million retail, commercial and institutional customers in 33 markets and employs 50,000 staff.
-
Headquartered in Melbourne, Australia, ANZ is one of the four largest Australian banks and ranked in the top 25 banks globally by market capitalisation.
-
Listed on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) with a secondary listing on the New Zealand Stock Exchange (NZX)
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Top 4 Corporate A Top 4 Bank The Largest Bank in
Bank in Asia [1 ] in Australia [ 2] New Zealand
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| APEA | 0,512 1.6m 1.2B .30% 108B $79B |
Australia | Australia | New Zealand | New Zealand | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staff (FTE) 2 |
Staff (FTE) | 21,591 | Staff (FTE) | 8,225 | ||
| Customers ~ |
Customers | ~6m | Customers | ~2.1m | ||
| Cash NPAT $ |
Cash NPAT | $4.4B | Cash NPAT | $1.5B | ||
| RoRWA 1 |
RoRWA | 2.16% | RoRWA | 2.51% | ||
| Customer Deposits $ |
Customer Deposits | $228B | Customer Deposits | $68B | ||
| Customer Lending |
Customer Lending | $349B | Customer Lending | $94B |
-
Greenwich Associates 2013 Asian Large Corporate Banking Study
-
Peter Lee Associates Large Corporate and Institutional Relationship Banking surveys, Australia and New Zealand 2014
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5
Profit & Loss contribution by division
Operating Income by Division[1 ]
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$m
Australia New Zealand IIB Wealth
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
-2,000
Net Profit after Tax by Division [1 ]
$m
Australia New Zealand IIB Wealth
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
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1H15 - Operating Income by Division[1 ]
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Australia New Zealand IIB Wealth
8%
42%
37%
13%
1H15 - Net Profit after Tax by Division [1 ]
Australia New Zealand IIB Wealth
7%
46%
42%
16%
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- Excluding GTSO / Group Centre
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6
Profit & Loss contribution by geography
Operating Income by Geography
1H15 - Operating Income by Geography
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$m Australia New Zealand APEA
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
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Net Profit after Tax by Geography
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$m
Australia New Zealand APEA
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
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Australia New Zealand APEA APEA Network
APEA Network
18% Revenue [1 ]
represents
income
generated in
25%
20% APEA plus
income
generated in
Australia & New
62% Zealand as a
result of referral
from ANZ’s APEA
network.
1H15 - Operating Income by income type
Net Interest Income Other Operating Income
100%
23% 26%
80%
55%
60%
40% 77% 74%
20% 45%
0%
Australia New Zealand APEA
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- APEA Network Revenue represents income generated in Australia & New Zealand as a result of referral from ANZ’s APEA network. Note: APEA = Asia Pacific Europe & America
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7
Balance sheet
Group balance sheet composition
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Customer Lending [1] Customer Deposits [1]
16%
30%
18%
19%
65% 52%
Australia APEA New Zealand
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Group lending composition[2 ]
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$b
400
Mortgages
Other Retail
300
Corporate & Commercial
Institutional
200
100
0
Australia NZ APEA
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Institutional Balance sheet profile
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By total exposure (%) By tenor – 1H15 (%)
Default
Tenor >1Yr
Sub Inv Grade
Tenor <1Yr
Inv. Grade
20%
22%
22%
29%
64% 63%
77% 75% 79%
71%
36% 37%
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Asia Aus NZ
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
-
Customer lending represents Net Loans and Advances including acceptances.
-
Net Loans and Advances. Excludes Wealth & other (1% of total lending)
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8
Total Credit Exposure (EAD) by Geography
Exposure at Default[1] by Geography
Exposure at Default by Line of Business[2 ]
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Total Exposure at Default (Mar 15) - $869b [1 ]
Australia New Zealand APEA
$515.8b $149.5b $204.1b
UK & Europe New Zealand
4%
17%
Americas
4%
Pacific 1% Australia
APEA 59%
4%
Singapore 24%
3%
Hong Kong
6%
Other North
East Asia 2%
Other South
East Asia
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16%
29%
31%
22%
94%
53%
49%
6%
Australia New Zealand APEA
Retail Institutional Commercial
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- EAD excludes amounts for ‘Securitisation’ and ‘Other Assets’ Basel asset classes.
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- Institutional includes exposure to Bank and Sovereign counterparties and ANZ’s Liquidity portfolio.
9
2015
CLSA CONFERENCE Hong Kong
Financial Performance
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Summary of results
| Revenue Expenses |
1H15 – 1H14 | |
|---|---|---|
| $m change |
||
| 10,185 5.3% (4,593) 7.2% |
||
| PBP Provisions |
5,592 3.9% (510) (3.4%) |
|
| Cash Profit | 3,676 4.6% |
|
| Stat. adjustments Statutory Profit |
(170) 3,506 3.4% 133.6 3.8% 86 3.6% 14.7% (80)bp 12.4 - 8.7 40bp |
|
| Cash EPS (cents) DPS (cents) ROE CET1 (%) Internationally harmonised APRA basis |
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11
Impact of FX translation
| 1H15 Growth |
FX impact |
FX Adj Growth |
1H15 Earnings Composition (by currency) |
||||
| 1H15 | 1H13 | ||||||
| Revenue | 5.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | $3,676m | $3,179m | ||
| Expenses | 7.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | USD CNY Other1 |
6% 5% 11% |
4% 3% 10% |
|
| 18% | |||||||
| PBP | 3.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | NZD | 22% | ||
| Provisions | (3.4)% | 1.6% | (5.0)% | ||||
| NPAT | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | AUD | 56% | 65% | |
| ROE | (80)bp | (30)bp | (50)bp |
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- major currencies in “other” category includes TWD, MYR, PGK and IND – no one currency greater than 2%
12
Operating environment and key actions
What we said at FY14 Actions – 1H15 Expanded coverage
-
Additional Aus. Division front office staff: ~600
-
• NSW expansion
Improved Customer Experience
-
Digital capacity & capability
-
• “GoMoney”, “Grow”, “Smart Choice” & “Transactive” enhancements
-
• “Tap and Pin” ATM: world first
-
• Rolled out “Transactive” China and Philippines
-
Single digital access to Cash, Trade and Markets in 4 Asian markets
-
Enhanced Productivity & Capital Efficiency
-
Hubs & Ops unit costs down ~10% average
-
Esanda Dealer Finance sale
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13
Composition of Group earnings
Revenue drivers
Net Interest Margin
Divisional Cash Profit (1H15–1H14)
Expense drivers
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Notes. TB: Transaction Banking, Retail: Retail Australia, Retail New Zealand, Retail Asia Pacific and Global Wealth, Comm: Corporate & commercial Banking Australia and Commercial NZ
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14
Net interest margin
Group
Divisional
Australia Division
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Group NIM First half trend
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NZ Division (NZD)
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2.53% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.49% 2.52%
2.25%
2.15%
2.04%
1H13 1H14 1H15 1H13 1H14 1H15 1H13 1H14 1H15
Net Interest Income contribution IIB Division Global Loans NIM Trends
3%
2.54%
2.45%
1.65% 2.35% 2.24%
1.55%
29% 1.34% 2% 1.99%
1.46% 1.53%
1.29% [1.18% 1.22% ]
53%
1%
18%
0
1H13 1H14 1H15 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
Aus Division NZ Division
Aus NIM Asia NIM
Instituional
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Net Interest Income contribution
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15
Lending composition and flows
Australia Division
NZ Division
Net Loans and Advances balance
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$b
12
10
11 68
66
63
188 202 218
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Mar 13
Mar 14 Mar 15
Net Loans and Advances balance[1 ]
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NZ$b
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16
16
16
16 17
15
56 60 63
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
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Home Loans Business Lending Other Consumer
Home Lending Business Lending Rural Lending
Net Loans and Advances flows
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$b
90 0.4
83 0.4
298
278
262 (70)
(67)
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
Cards Other Cards Other
Interest Loans and Interest Loans and
Redraws & Net Personal Redraws & Net Personal
New Fundings, Repay/ Refis / New Fundings, Repay/ Refis /
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Net Loans and Advances flows[2 ]
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NZ$b
9.1
8.6 13.7
12.5
(9.9) 100
(9.5) 95
91 (7.7)
(7.3)
Mar 13 New TopUp Exit Repay Mar 14 New TopUp Exit Repay Mar 15
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-
Excludes “other” Mar 13 $3.0b, Mar 14 $3.2b, Mar 15 $3.3b
-
Includes capitalised brokerage/mortgage origination fees, unearned income and customer liabilities for acceptances.
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16
Cost to income
Australia Division
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38.1%
37.0% 36.7%
1H13 1H14 1H15
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IIB
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46.8%
44.9%
44.2%
1H13 1H14 1H15
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NZ Division (NZD)
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45.2%
41.3%
40.1%
1H13 1H14 1H15
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Global Wealth[1]
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62.4%
60.4%
57.5%
1H13 1H14 1H15
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- Excluding the impact of the Trustees sale
17
Return on Risk Weighted Assets
Australia Division
NZ Division (NZD)
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$b 116
109
106
2.88% 2.75% 2.84%
1H13 1H14 1H15
RWA RoRWA
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NZ$b
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54 55
51
2.38%
2.22%
1.98%
1H13 1H14 1H15
RWA RoRWA
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IIB
IIB Asia (ex partnerships)
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$b
206
190
166
1.54% 1.47% 1.46%
1H13 1H14 1H15
RWA RoRWA
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US$b
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62 63
58
1.63%
1.50%
1.23%
0.81%
0.76%
0.46%
1H13 1H14 1H15
RWA RoRWA RoRWA ex partnerships
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RORWA first half annualised position. RoRWA equals Net Profit After Tax divided by average Basel III risk weighted assets.
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18
Portfolio credit quality remains sound
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Collective provision balance by source Total Provision Charge
$m $m
1,000
800
599 598 528
461
600 510
54 3 2,914
- 400
102 5 200
(7) 0
-200
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
2,757
CP charge IP charge
•
Predominantly Australia
Gross Impaired Assets
Division - consumer cards &
mortgages $m
5,000 4,685 4,264
4,000 3,620
3,000 2,889 2,708
2,000
1.9% ex FX
1,000
0
Sep 14 Fx Risk Mgt Credit Mix Mar 15 Mar 13 Sep 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Mar 15
overlay Growth
< $10m $10-$100m > $100m
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19
Australia – consistent growth & return, plus accelerated investment
Retail lending growth
Commercial lending growth
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2.01%
1.95% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97%
$b 220 229
212
206
199
Mar 13 Sep 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Mar 15
NLAs NIM (%)
Improving productivity
% $’000
450
38.1 400
37.4
37.0
36.6 36.7 350
300
250
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
CTI (%) Revenue per FTE (RHS)
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87% 87% 87% 88% 88%
68
68
$b 67
66
63
Mar 13 Sep 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Mar 15
1
NLAs EAD by CCR (6 or stronger)
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Strong operating performance
1H15 profit growth (PCP)
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6.5%
6.0%
5.2%
Revenue Expenses PBP
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- CCR = Customer Credit Rating
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20
Australia - Retail a highlight
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Customers FUM Retail products per customer
Home Loans FUM 1 retail product
120
Indexed % of total customers
115
110
105
43.4%
100
41.6%
Total Retail customer numbers
95
Mar-13 Mar-15 Mar 13 Mar 15
106 Indexed
Cards and Payments FUM 2-3 retail products
104
110 Indexed % of total customers
102 105
49.0%
100 100 47.6%
95
98
Mar-13 Mar-15 Mar 13 Mar 15
Mar 13 Mar 15
Retail Deposits FUM 4+ retail products
115
Indexed % of total customers
110
105
9.4%
100
9.0%
95
Mar-13 Mar-15 Mar 13 Mar 15
FUM FUM/Customer
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21
New Zealand Division – scale benefit driving growth
Retail lending growth
Commercial lending growth
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NZ$b
2.72%
2.61% 2.62% 2.65%
2.52%
36.9 37.1 37.4
36.4
35.8
Mar 13 Sep 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Mar 15
NLAs NIM
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Improved productivity
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NZ$b
88% 91% 92% 93% 96%
62.1
59.4
57.3
53.6 55.2
Mar 13 Sep 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Mar 15
NLAs EAD by CCR (6 or stronger)1
Operating performance
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% NZ$k
45.2
300
41.9 280
41.3
40.6 40.1 260
240
220
200
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
CTI Revenue per FTE (RHS)
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1H15 PCP growth (NZ$)
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7.8%
5.6%
2.5%
Revenue Expenses PBP
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- CCR = Customer Credit Rating
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22
Global Wealth – focused on quality & growth
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Wealth customers [1 ] Retail Life lapse rates FUM net flows [2 ]
m Australia $m
11%
883
686
2.1
13.3%
1.9
12.1%
11.6%
1.6
(442)
Sep-13 Mar 14 Mar 15 1H13 1H14 1H15 1H13 1H14 1H15
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Improved productivity[3 ]
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% CTI
62.4
60.4
57.5
1H13 1H14 1H15
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Operating performance [3 ]
1H15 PCP growth 14.6%
6.9%
1.9%
Revenue Expenses PBP
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-
ANZ Wealth customers directed through ANZ channels
-
Global Private Wealth and Funds Management netflows 3. Excluding the impact of the Trustees sale
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23
Digital investment – delivering results
Australia
ANZ Smart Choice
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Sales numbers Transaction numbers
via Digital [1] (%) via Digital [2 ] (%)
14.4% 73.9%
70.4%
9.5%
1H14 1H15 1H14 1H15
New Zealand
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Transaction numbers
Sales revenue via Digital 14.0% via Digital [2] (%)
[[3]] (%)
12.0% 65.0%
10.0%
7.6%
8.0% 6.6% 59.1%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
1H14 1H15 1H14 1H15
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Sales revenue via Digital 14.0% [[3]] (%)
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Online 1486
rollover
innovation
released
775 3,404
1,619
435
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
FUM ($m) Ave Weekly Rollovers
Transactive Mobile
A$b k
60 7,000
50 6,000
5,000
40
4,000
30
$55 3,000
20
$37 2,000
10 $20 1,000
$0
0 0
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15x4
Value Volume (RHS)
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- Sales includes the number of sales events through the Retail distribution network, including all Retail, Commercial and Wealth products. 2. Transactions refers to the number of value transactions through all channels including internet, mobile, teller and ATM. 3. Revenue from sales completed through Digital channels.
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- Determined by annualised calculation of available data as at Feb 15.
24
IIB revenue – re-balancing
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4.5% 3,786
A$m
3,622
Customer Acq.
Loan margins & penetration
FVA Asia Growth
Commodity prices Cash volumes
Interest Rates Trade volumes
Regulatory changes Market Sales
FX
1H14 Macro Headwinds Diversification & growth 1H15
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Markets income by type
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A$m
Sales Trading ex Balance Sheet Valuation
800
687 Balance Sheet Adjustments for
700 632
Derivatives
556
600
500
400 321 329
288 276 273
300 245
200
100 32
- -14 -48
-100
1H13 1H14 1H15 1H13 1H14 1H15 1H13 1H14 1H15 1H13 1H14 1H15
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25
IIB – improving the mix
IIB 1H15 profit by region
IIB 1H15 Revenue Growth
A$m, % growth PCP
A$ % growth PCP
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(4)% 20% 167% (33)%
688
596
95 80
Aus / NZ Asia EMEA Pacific
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24%
14%
10%
1%
-2%
-4%
P’ships Retail Cash Markets Trade Loans
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IIB Asia Productivity
IIB Asia Profitable growth
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US$k
US$m
300 1.63%
1.51%
61% 1.23%
55% 54% 0.77% 0.81%
0.46%
489
200 451
324
100
1H13 1H14 1H15
1H13 1H14 1H15
CTI Rev/FTE (RHS) NPAT RoRWA IIB 1 RoRWA IIB ex Pship 1
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- ‘RoRWA’ equals Net Profit After Tax divided by average Basel III risk weighted assets.
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26
2015
CLSA CONFERENCE Hong Kong
Treasury
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ANZ’s CET1 ratio compares favourably to global peers adjusting for regional methodology differences
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Canada UK Singapore Europe
+270bps +60bps +70bps +30bps
12.4% 12.5% 11.5% 12.1% 11.4% 11.9% 11.6%
10.9%
9.8%
8.7%
2
1 2 2
2
UK Peer Average
ANZ basis) Average basis) basis) Average
ANZ (APRA) ANZ (Canada Canada Peer Average ANZ (Europe Europe Peer
Comparable)
(Internationally ANZ (UK basis) ANZ (Singapore Singapore Peer
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-
Methodology per Australian Bankers’ Association: International comparability of capital ratios of Australia’s major banks (August 2014).
-
Peer estimates are based on RWA weighted average of G-SIB/D-SIBs (ex Singapore which is based on DBS and OCBC) fully loaded Basel III capital ratios per most recent disclosures.
28
Regulatory capital
Capital Update
Total RWA movement - Mar 15 v Sep 14
-
1H15 organic capital generation[1] of 59 bps modestly above recent first half performance. APRA Common Equity Tier 1 ratio 8.7%. Target range for CET1 ratio remains around 9% on an APRA basis.
-
Internationally Comparable[2] CET1 ratio is ~3.7% higher than under APRA basis. Reflects variances between Basel III under APRA and Basel standards.
-
1.5% discount for 1H15 Dividend Reinvestment Plan aims to achieve ~20% participation on a full 12 month basis. This level of participation is consistent with average observed since 2012 and capital planning.
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$b
15.4 386.9
1.5
16.1 (0.7)
361.5 (6.9)
Credit RWA
+$30.8bn
Sep 14 Growth FX Impact Other 6 Market & Op Risk Mar 15
IRRBB RWA
RWA
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APRA CET1 movement - Mar 15 v Sep 14
Pro-forma Mar 15 CET1 ratio (post equity raising, mortgage RW floor impact)
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----- Start of picture text -----
% 1.02 % ~13
0.83
9.00
8.79 (0.22) (0.21) 8.72 8.72
(0.55)
(0.64) (0.02)
Sep 14 Cash RWA Capital Net Other Mar 15 APRA Mar 15 Equity raising Add'l mortgage APRA Mar 15 Internationally
NPAT 3 Usage 4 Deductions5 Dividend (placement + RWA 7 pro-forma Comparable 2
SPP) 1H15 pro forma
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- Equal to cash profit - RWA growth - capital deductions. 2. Methodology per Australian Bankers’ Association: International comparability of capital ratios of Australia’s major banks (Aug 2014). 3. Cash profit net of preference share dividends. 4. Includes EL vs. EP shortfall. 5. Represents the movement in retained earnings in deconsolidated entities, capitalised software and other intangibles. 6. Other includes risk and portfolio
data review impact. 7. Assumes 25% Australian mortgage IRB risk weight at 1H15. APRA risk weight change does not come into effect until 1 July 2016
29
Internationally Comparable regulatory capital position
| CET1 | Tier 1 | Total Capital |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APRA | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.6% | |
| 10% / 15% allowance for equity investments and DTA |
APRA requires 100% deduction from CET1 vs. Basel framework which allows concessional threshold prior to deduction |
0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Mortgage 20% LGD floor | APRA requires use of 20% mortgage LGD floor vs. 10% under Basel framework |
0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| IRRBB RWA (APRA Pillar 1 approach) |
APRA includes in Pillar 1 RWA. This is not required under the Basel framework |
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Specialised Lending (Advanced treatment) |
APRA requires supervisory slotting approach which results in more conservative risk weights than under Basel framework |
0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Corporate undrawn EAD and unsecured LGD adjustments |
Australian ADI unsecured corporate lending LGDs and undrawn CCFs exceed those applied in many jurisdictions |
1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% |
| Other | Includes impact of deductions from CET1 for capitalised expenses and deferred fee income required by APRA |
0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| **Internationally Comparable1 ** | 12.4% | 14.7% | 17.1% |
- Internationally Comparable methodology per Australian Bankers’ Association: International comparability of capital ratios of Australia’s major banks (August 2014).
30
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio, dividend timing and re ulator ca ital eneration g y p g
APRA Basel III CET1 Ratio
Common Equity Tier 1 generation (bps)
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9.0%
8.5%
8.0%
7.5%
7.0%
Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15
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Note: shaded quarters represent declaration of dividends. Basel III basis.
-
Under Basel III, dividends are only deducted from regulatory capital in the quarter in which they are declared. This results in volatility in quarterly reported capital ratios.
-
To assess the underlying regulatory capital position, dividend payments should be adjusted to accrue evenly over the year, aligned with profit generation.
| First half average 1H12 – 1H14 1H15 |
First half average 1H12 – 1H14 1H15 |
First half average 1H12 – 1H14 1H15 |
|---|---|---|
| Cash profit RWA growth Capital deductions |
102 (29) (18) |
102 (22) (21) |
| Net capital generation | 55 | 59 |
| Gross dividend Dividend Reinvestment Plan |
(70) 14 |
(72) 8 |
| Core change in CET1 capital ratio (1) (5) |
||
| Other non-core and non- recurring items 11 (2) |
||
| Net change in CET1 capital ratio 10 (7) |
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31
Stable balance sheet composition – March 2015
$738bn $738bn
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Other ST Liabilities 4% Structural funding
Short Liquids 17% ST Funding 8% position has
remained stable with
Term 29% 30%
Term Funding growth in short-term
∆+3% <12M 4% ∆+3%
funding invested in
Other Short Term
Other Customer liquids and other
Assets & Trade 12%
Deposits 14% short-term assets
Customer Deposits
+$34bn or +8% vs.
Stable Customer Sep 14
Deposits 1
50%
71% 70%
Lending 69%
∆ -3% ∆-3%
Term Funding
Long >12M 12%
Term
Fixed Assets & SHE & Hybrids
Other 2% 8%
Assets Funding
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Note: ∆ represents the change in % of funded balance sheet from 30 September 2014 to 31 March 2015. 1. Stable customer deposits represent operational type deposits or those sources from retail / business / corporate customers and the stable component of Other funding liabilities.
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32
Term wholesale funding portfolio
Term Funding Profile
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Issuance [1 ] $bn Maturities
Annual
26 indicative
24 24 24 23 issuance
21 volume
16 16
12
11 10 10
7
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1H15 2H15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21+
Senior Unsecured Covered Bonds Tier 2
Portfolio by Type Portfolio by Currency
1%
9% 6% 8% 9%
Domestic
8%
9% 18% 20% Government 6% (AUD,NZD)
13% 18% Guaranteed
North America
Tier 2 34%
24% (USD, CAD)
Covered UK & Europe
69% 68% 74% 71% Bonds (€,£,CHF)
Senior
Asia (JPY, HKD,
Unsecured
SGD, CNY)
35%
Other
Sep 12 Sep 13 Sep 14 Mar 15
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All figures based on historical FX and excludes hybrids.
- Includes transactions with a call or maturity date greater than 12 months as at 30 September in the respective year of issuance.
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33
Liquidity successfully transitioned to LCR
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September 2014 March 2015
$b $b
17 LCR 119%
Surplus $28b
LCR 111%
17 Surplus $15b
49 24
19
49
3
3
121
116
104
81
Liquid Assets 1 Net Cash Outflows 3 Liquid Assets1, 2 Net Cash Outflows 3
HQLA 1 Internal RMBS Customer deposits and other [4 ]
HQLA 2 Other Alternative Liquid Assets Wholesale funding
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-
Post haircut market value as defined in APS210.
-
1H15 includes $54bn Committed Liquidity Facility.
-
Basel III LCR 30 day stress scenario cash outflows.
-
Other include off-balance sheet and cash inflows.
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34
Foreign currency hedging
1H15 Earnings Composition
(by currency)
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AUD
56%
Other
IDR 22%
NZD
22%
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-
The key objective of hedging is to manage short term EPS volatility arising from foreign currency earnings
-
Hedges currently in place:
-
FY15: ~80% of remaining earnings.
-
FY16: ~70% of NZD and ~ 25% of USD (inc. currencies that are highly correlated to AUD/USD) earnings.
-
Hedging has reduced the impact of a 5% movement of the AUD on FY15 EPS to less than 1%.
Net FX Impact (EPS)
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1.7%
1.6%
1H15 v 1H14 1H15 v 2H14
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Translation Rates (inclusive of hedges)
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1.35 1.05
1.30 1.00
1.25 0.95
1.20 0.90
1.15 0.85
1.10 0.80
1.05 0.75
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
NZD Translation (LHS) USD Translation (RHS)
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35
FX sensitivity (excluding the impact of revenue hedges)
| Metric | Approx. annualised impact of 5% **fall in AUD1 ** |
Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||
| Revenue | 2% | Impact of translation of non-AUD revenue |
| Operating expenses | 2% | Impact of translation of non-AUD expenses |
| Cash profit | 2% | Net result of revenue and expense FX effects, excluding the impact of foreign currency hedges. |
| Net interest margin | (1 bp) | Mix impact due to a higher relative contribution from lower risk and lower margin APEA assets |
| Cost to income ratio | +2 bps | FX effect on revenue and expenses largely offset each other, however average cost to income ratios in non-AUD denominated businesses are marginally higher |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Collective provision coverage |
(0.5 bp) | • CP overlays booked in AUD vs. a proportion of CRWA denominated in foreign currencies • Further impact from higher CRWA on FX derivatives with no corresponding CP as derivatives are marked-to-market and attract CVA |
| Funding | +$4 bn | Collateral flows under cross currency swaps used to hedge existing offshore funding liabilities |
| Return on equity | +3 bps | • Driven by positive FX effect on cash profit (see above) partially offset by increase in FCTR • Minimal impact on CET1 ratio |
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- Impact from a lower AUD relative to foreign currencies. Analysis based on 1H15 results (excluding the impact of foreign currency revenue hedges).
36
Regulatory landscape
| Status | ANZ’s position | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital | Leverage ratio | • APRA draft standard Sep 2014 • No minimum currently specified, BCBS 3% Leverage ratio 4.5-5.5% at 1H15 depending on final calibration |
||
| Level 3 capital adequacy “Conglomerates” |
• APRA draft Level 3 standards Aug 2014 • Finalisation and implementation deferred until Financial System Inquiry recommendations considered by government/APRA No material impact expected based on current draft standards |
|||
| Basel Standardised and floors |
• BCBS consultation papers released Dec 2014 propose changes to Standardised risk weights, introduction of Advanced approach capital floors ANZ has participated in BCBS QIS. Impact of any changes subject to final BCBS calibration and APRA implementation. |
|||
| Total Loss Absorbing Capacity (TLAC) |
• Financial Stability Board proposal released Nov 2014 details minimum TLAC requirements for G-SIBs Proposal currently does not apply to D-SIBs. If applied to ANZ, wide range of outcomes depending on calibration including basis for measuring capital base, D-SIB minimum etc |
|||
| Funding | Liquidity Coverage Ratio |
• Full implementation from Jan 2015 • Disclosure timetable to be determined by APRA Full compliance at 1H15 (LCR 119%) |
||
| Net Stable Funding Ratio |
• BCBS standard Jan 2014 • APRA standard yet to be finalised, expected implementation 2018 Do not expect NSFR to require any material change to balance sheet composition |
|||
| Other | Financial System Inquiry |
• Key recommendations to government: • Set standards such that Australian ADI capital ratios are unquestionably strong • Raise Advanced IRB mortgage risk weights to narrow difference with Standardised approach • Implement loss absorption and recapitalisation framework in-line with international practice • Introduce Basel framework leverage ratio • Final round consultation closed 31 March 2015 Refer to ANZ’s submission on the Final Report of the Financial System Inquiry published 1 April 2015 |
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37
2015
CLSA CONFERENCE Hong Kong
Strategy
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Australia Division - Delivering a leading customer ex erience p
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STRONG
CORE
MARKETS
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ANZ Group Strategy
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----- Start of picture text -----
Built on common infra-
Strengthen our Connecting customers
STRONG PROFITABLE structure & enterprise
position in our core to faster growing ENTERPRISE
markets of Australia CORE regional capital, ASIAN focus for greater APPROACH
MARKETS GROWTH responsiveness,
& New Zealand trade & wealth flows
efficiency and control
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Banking on Australia is transforming our Retail and Corporate & Commercial businesses based on a deep understanding of customer needs
Customer Needs
Developing a deep understanding of customer needs in our target segments
Customer Value Proposition Building a compelling customer value proposition that is aligned to their needs
Transformation
Investing through our Banking on Australia program to meet changing customer needs
Financial Outcomes
Growing market share, managing margins and costs and maintaining asset quality
Australia Division’s contribution
-
Deliver customers an easy, connected and insightful experience that puts the customer in control
-
Achieve consistent above system growth focused in priority segments
-
Maintain strong margins, cost discipline and risk profile
-
Leverage our Super Regional advantage to bring the whole of ANZ to customers
-
Take an enterprise wide approach and leverage global assets
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39
Australia Division - innovative solutions, aligned to chan in customer needs g g
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STRONG
CORE
MARKETS
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Delivering innovative solutions
… leading to increasing digital usage
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-
World first to roll out ‘Tap and Pin’ contactless ATMs
-
813 Smart ATMs deployed
-
Rolled out WiFi into branches, enabling goMoney app activation at account opening
-
Market leading multi-factor authentication
-
Innovative home loan solution for mobile lenders (Your Home Loan 360)
-
Digital tools and calculators
-
Interactive Insights for frontline bankers in Corporate Banking
-
Digital A-Z reviews across Retail and C&CB
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----- Start of picture text -----
Percent Sales [1]
via Digital
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Percent Transactions[2 ] via Digital
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14.4% 73.9%
12.9%
72.4%
9.5% 70.4%
1H14 2H14 1H15 1H14 2H14 1H15
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… while reducing customer complaints
Average Monthly Complaints
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----- Start of picture text -----
-19%
-9% -17%
FY12 FY13 FY14 1H15
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- Sales includes the number of sales events through the Retail distribution network, including all Retail, Commercial and Wealth products. 2. Transactions refers to the number of value transactions through all channels including internet, mobile, teller and ATM.
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40
STRONG CORE MARKETS
Australia Division - Highlights
Balanced margin management[1 ]
Investing for growth
Percent mix of Retail Sales and Service FTE
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2.53%
2.50% 2.50%
1H13 1H14 1H15
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----- Start of picture text -----
60%
55%
50%
45%
40%
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
Sales FTE Service FTE
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Improving Cost to Income
Credit quality
Cost to Income
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----- Start of picture text -----
38.1%
37.0%
36.7%
1H13 1H14 1H15
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Net Impaired Assets / Net Loans & Advances
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----- Start of picture text -----
0.39%
0.26%
0.22%
1H13 1H14 1H15
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- NIM %: Half year period average.
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41
Australia Division - Business units
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STRONG
CORE
MARKETS
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Retail
Corporate & Commercial
Retail Products per customer
Balance sheet
% of total customers
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----- Start of picture text -----
9.0% 9.3% 9.4%
47.6% 48.6% 49.0%
43.4% 42.1% 41.6%
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
4+ 2-3 1
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APRA Traditional Banking Market Share[1 ] Index Sep 12 = 100
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----- Start of picture text -----
103
102
101
100
99
98
97
Sep 12 Mar 13 Sep 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Mar 15
ANZ Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3
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----- Start of picture text -----
68.4
63.2 65.7
49.7
46.8
43.5
1H13 1H14 1H15
1
Lending ($b) Deposits ($b)
Small Business Banking Emerging Corporate [2 ]
15% 20%
1H14 1H15 1H14 1H15
Lending Lending
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- Inclusive of Deposits, Home Loans and Cards, Source: APRA. 2. A subset of Business Bank, lending greater than 10m and turnover greater than 40m.
42
STRONG CORE MARKETS
Global Wealth
Global Wealth strategic objectives
Growing solutions through ANZ channels
Wealth Solutions Held
Deepen relationships with existing ANZ customers
1
Simplify the business with self-directed solutions
2
3
Drive value from existing businesses
Simplifying with self-directed solutions
-
Exceeding $3 billion in FUM[1]
-
ANZ Smart • Received 5 stars by CANSTAR in every Choice superannuation category
-
Super
• Over a 300% increase in customer rollovers since the introduction of the paperless rollover service (70% self directed)
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-
Over 150,000 downloads with an activation rate of 66%
-
Deepening relationship with the Bank
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m CAGR
+9.4%
3.3 3.4
2.9 Non-ANZ
0.9 (2.1%)
1.0 channels
1.0
ANZ channels +15.0%
2.3 2.5
1.9
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
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Digital delivering growth
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----- Start of picture text -----
Online 1486
ANZ Smart
rollover
Choice
innovation
released
775 3,404
1,619
435
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
FUM ($m) Ave Weekly Rollovers
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- As at 31 March 15
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43
STRONG CORE MARKETS
Global Wealth - Insurance business
Stable mix of Life Insurance In-force
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----- Start of picture text -----
$m 1,445 1,468 1,636
30% 23% 24%
12% 12%
10%
60% 65% 64%
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
Group - Australia
Individual - New Zealand
Individual - Australia
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Continued improvement in Australian Retail Life Insurance Lapse Rates
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----- Start of picture text -----
-50bp
13.3%
12.1%
11.6%
1H13 1H14 1H15
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Consistent product mix in Individual Life Insurance
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$m
1,006 1,132 1,246
27% 28% 28%
73% 72% 72%
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
Lump Sum Income Protection
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Significant contribution to Embedded Value growth over 1H15
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$m 144 4,394 4,218
95
174
3,883 98 (176)
13%
Sep 14 Value of New Bus. Expected Return Experience Deviations Risk Disc. & FX Subtotal Net Transfers Mar 15
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44
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----- Start of picture text -----
STRONG
CORE
MARKETS
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New Zealand Division - Creating New Zealand’s best bank
ANZ Group Strategy
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----- Start of picture text -----
Built on common infra-
Strengthen our STRONG Connecting customers PROFITABLE structure & enterprise
position in our core CORE to faster growing ASIAN focus for greater ENTERPRISE
markets of Australia regional capital, APPROACH
& New Zealand MARKETS trade & wealth flows GROWTH responsiveness, efficiency and control
ANZ New Zealand’s Strategy
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----- Start of picture text -----
Attract, develop and
retain world class
service and sales
teams
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----- Start of picture text -----
Develop our digital
and payments
capability
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----- Start of picture text -----
Improve the use of
bank wide data for
better customer
interactions
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----- Start of picture text -----
Improve the way our
channels work
together so it’s
easier for customers
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----- Start of picture text -----
Continue to simplify
our products and
processes
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NZ’s Best Bank
Create Scale
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----- Start of picture text -----
How?
One team
One set of systems
One product set
One brand
One branch network
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2010-2013
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----- Start of picture text -----
How?
• Best service recognition
• Best brand consideration
• Integrated channels
• Leveraging Group capabilities
• Data driven customer
insights
• Automation of work flow
• Optimised channel
investment
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Leverage Scale
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----- Start of picture text -----
How?
Global hubs
Branch optimisation
Improve brand recognition
• World class sales and
service teams
• Upgrade core systems
• Digital and Payments
infrastructure
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2013-2016
2017+
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NZ’s Best Bank
Our Vision:
‘Helping Kiwis achieve more’
Our Goal:
-
1 Service
-
1 Market Share
-
Growing
-
• Visible in the community
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45
STRONG CORE MARKETS
New Zealand Division - Highlights
Cost to Income Return on Assets
Revenue and FTE[1 ] Staff Engagement
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----- Start of picture text -----
NZ$m
48% 1.29% $4,200 $3,700 $3,762
$3,700
$3,227
$3,200
$2,700
0.71% 9,298
39% $2,200
7,782
$1,700
$1,200
$700
$ 200
FY10 FY14 FY10 FY14 FY10 FY14
Revenue FTE
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----- Start of picture text -----
48% 1.29% $4,200 $3,700 $3,762 20,000 18,000 78%
$3,227 16,000
$3,200
14,000
$2,700 12,000
39% 0.71% $2,200 9,298 10,000 64%
7,782
$1,700 8,000
6,000
$1,200
4,000
$700
2,000
$ 200 -
FY10 FY14 FY10 FY14 FY10 FY14 FY10 FY14
Revenue FTE
Branch Coverage [2 ] Consideration [3 ] Impaired Assets [4 ] NLA Composition
NZ$m NZ$b
315 90%
120
85% 44%
85%
36% 1,463 100
233
80%
80
75% 27%
75%
60
70% 483 40
65% 20
60% -
FY10 FY14 FY10 FY10 FY14 FY10 FY14 FY10 FY14
NBNZ ANZ
Branches Coverage R&BB Agri Instit. & Comm. Wealth
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- NZ Geography FTE excluding NZ-based FTE who work for ANZ’s Australian businesses. 2. The percentage of market value across the country serviced by a retail branch (serviced means residing within the same ‘commercial area unit’ defined by Statistics NZ). 3. Colmar Brunton, IPSOS Brand Tracking and McCulley Research Limited (first choice or seriously considered). 4. Net impaired assets. Note: NZ Geography, FY10 on pro-forma performance (assumes 100% ownership of ING for the full year).
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46
New Zealand Division – Business Units
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STRONG
CORE
MARKETS
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Retail
Commercial & Agri
Market share[1 ]
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----- Start of picture text -----
45%
40% Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
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Home loans Household Credit cards deposits
Products per customer % of Retail customers
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----- Start of picture text -----
14.2% 15.6% 18.4%
46.7% 47.3% 46.7%
39.1% 37.1% 34.9%
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
4+ 2-3 1
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Market share[1 ]
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----- Start of picture text -----
45%
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Commercial Agri Commercial Agri
deposits deposits lending lending
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Credit quality EAD distribution by Credit Rating groups
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----- Start of picture text -----
Agri Risk Commercial
Rating
Stronger 35% 38% 38%
65% 68% 67%
58% 58% 58%
25% 26% 28%
10% 6% 5% Weaker 7% 4% 4%
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15 Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
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All values in New Zealand Dollars.
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- Source: RBNZ - Mar 2015, relates to NZ Geography.
47
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----- Start of picture text -----
PROFITABLE STRONG
ASIAN CORE
GROWTH MARKETS
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International & Institutional Banking (IIB) – deliverin rowth & tar etin hi her ROE g g g g g
ANZ Group Strategy
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----- Start of picture text -----
Strengthen our Connecting customers
STRONG PROFITABLE
position in our core to faster growing
markets of Australia CORE regional capital, ASIAN
MARKETS GROWTH
& New Zealand trade & wealth flows
IIB strategic priorities
Connecting More
Delivering Leading Intensifying
Customers by
Products through Balance Sheet
Providing
Insights Discipline
Seamless Value
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----- Start of picture text -----
ENTERPRISE
APPROACH
Scaling &
Optimising
Infrastructure
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IIB’s contribution (1H15)
-
Corridor Management strategy gaining traction, with revenues up ~30% pcp along the 3 main Australia-Asia trade corridors - China, Hong Kong and Singapore
-
1 for overall and lead bank penetration in Australia[1] & New Zealand. Widened the gap with # 2 in NZ[2]
-
4 corporate bank in Asia and narrowed the gap to # 3[3 ]
-
1 in AU & NZ Bonds[4] & # 1 in AU & NZ Syndicated Loans[5]
-
Best Trade Finance Bank – AU & NZ[5] & Best Bank for Cash Mgt Asia Pacific[6]
-
Best Foreign Exchange Provider, Asia Pacific[7 ]
-
Electronic channel utilisation for payments increased from 39% to 45%
- Peter Lee Associates: 2014 Large Corporate and Institutional Relationship Banking survey, Australia. 2. Peter Lee Associates: 2015 Large Corporate and Institutional Relationship Banking survey, New Zealand (widening based on lead bank relationships). 3. Greenwich Associates 2014 Asian Large Corporate Banking Study. 4. Dealogic by lead bank apportioned deal value, Jan 2015. 5. Thomson Reuters, Global Syndicated Loans Review FY 2014. 6. Trade & Supply Chain Finance Awards, Global Finance, 2015. 7. Best Foreign Exchange Provider Awards, Global Finance, 2015.
48
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----- Start of picture text -----
PROFITABLE STRONG
ASIAN CORE
GROWTH MARKETS
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IIB - Revenue and profit composition
APEA now represents over half of the division’s NPAT
Revenue is geographically diverse
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----- Start of picture text -----
$m
1,459
1,368
36%
532
41% 565
156 11%
11% 150
53%
771
48% 653
1H14 1H15
APEA NZ Aus
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----- Start of picture text -----
$m
3,786
3,622
37%
41% 1,467 1,412
313 8%
8% 291
51% 1,864 2,061 55%
1H14 1H15
APEA NZ Aus
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Growing higher ROE businesses[1 ]
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----- Start of picture text -----
$m 2,966 2,992
361 356 12%
12%
877 845 28%
30%
500 549 18%
17%
33% Higher 31%
ROE
1,228 1,242 42%
41%
1H14 1H15
Markets Cash Global Loans Trade
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APEA OOI growth is strong
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----- Start of picture text -----
$m 1,759
1,629
183 11%
129
8%
445 25%
474
29%
63% 1,026 1,131 64%
1H14 1H15
APEA Aus NZ
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- Excludes Retail and partnerships.
49
IIB - The corridor strategy
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----- Start of picture text -----
PROFITABLE STRONG
ASIAN CORE
GROWTH MARKETS
----- End of picture text -----
Major trade corridors are forecast to grow significantly
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----- Start of picture text -----
USDb Source: ANZ Economics
300 forecasts
250
200
150
100
50
0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Total Australia-China goods trade
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Trade revenue has a multiplier effect
Corridor strategy is delivering strong growth
Revenue Growth (1H15 PCP)
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----- Start of picture text -----
59%
48%
30%
22%
Aus/ Aus/ China/ Aus/
China Singapore HK HK
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Increasingly winning multi country mandates[2 ]
1H15: $1 of Trade income = $1.40 of Cross-Sell[1 ]
2.40 1.40 1.00 Trade Revenue Markets & Cash Combined income from Cross Revenue Sell
Number of multi country customer mandates won
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----- Start of picture text -----
170
147
134
1H14 2H14 1H15
----- End of picture text -----
-
Cross-sell multiple based on a pool of customers that have a minimum of Trade, Markets and Cash Management with ANZ.
-
Payments and Cash Management mandates, based on Transactive Asia Strategic transactions for client with 2 or more countries.
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50
IIB - Trade & Cash Management
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----- Start of picture text -----
PROFITABLE STRONG
ASIAN CORE
GROWTH MARKETS
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PCM Revenue is at record levels
Deposit growth is strong
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----- Start of picture text -----
$m 549
500
420
67%
68%
70%
14%
14%
13%
17% 18% 19%
1H13 1H14 1H15
APEA NZ Aus
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Trade revenues have remained broadly flat
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----- Start of picture text -----
$b 93
81
64
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
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Trade revenues broadly flat despite a significant decline in commodity prices
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----- Start of picture text -----
$m
361 356
322 7% > 180 days
37% 36%
31% 90-180 days
41%
6% 6%
5%
36% 31-90 days
57% 58%
54%
26% 0-30 days
1H13 1H14 1H15 1H15
APEA NZ Aus
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----- Start of picture text -----
Oil Price ANZ Trade Book
movement
43%
13%
44%
1H15
Resources DI
Agriculture
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51
==> picture [131 x 74] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
PROFITABLE STRONG
ASIAN CORE
GROWTH MARKETS
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IIB - Global Markets by income type & product
Majority of Global Markets revenue is customer facing
Delivering growth across a diverse product range
Income by region ($m) Income by product[1] ($m)
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----- Start of picture text -----
1,242
1,108 14% 6% 17% 6% 9% 12% 3%
13% 17% 12%
37%
46% 23% 29%
49% 48% 47%
41%
1H13 1H15 1H13 1H15
FX Commodities
APEA Aus NZ
Rates Others
Capital Markets pital Markets ital Markets
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----- Start of picture text -----
$m 13% 6% 17% 9% 12%
1,228 1,242 46% 37% 23% 29%
1,108
1,100
22% 22% 49% 48% 47%
41%
996
22%
25%
15% 1H13 1H15 1H13 1H15
FX Commodities
APEA Aus NZ
22%
26% Rates Others
Capital Markets pital Markets ital Markets
27% 26%
23%
Risk position remains conservative
>75%
$
customer 300
facing
56% 200
52%
51% 59% 52%
100
0
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
Balance Sheet Trading ex BS Sales Sales/Trading Balance Sheet
per $ VaR per $ VaR
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- Excludes Balance Sheet.
52
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----- Start of picture text -----
PROFITABLE STRONG
ASIAN CORE
GROWTH MARKETS
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IIB - Global Markets by geography
==> picture [641 x 408] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Asia Global Markets revenues - significant
Revenue diversity by region
growth potential, given low market share
1,400
First half 2015
FX Market
Europe & Americas share 1.18% 1 33% 2
Pacific
1,200 $m
Asia 12%
New Zealand
4%
Australia
1,000
300
7%
7%
33%
800
17%
200
600 15%
14%
400
100
55%
37%
200
0 0
1H10 1H15
North Asia SEA NZ
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-
Euromoney, 2014.
-
Peter Lee Associates 2014 Foreign Exchange survey, New Zealand.
53
IIB - Asia
IIB Asia NPAT has grown 8% PCP…
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----- Start of picture text -----
PROFITABLE STRONG
ASIAN CORE
GROWTH MARKETS
----- End of picture text -----
… with revenue growth in higher ROE businesses[2] …
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----- Start of picture text -----
USDm
1.63%
1.51%
1.23% 489
451
324
1H13 1H14 1H15
NPAT RoRWA [1] IIB
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----- Start of picture text -----
USD m
24% 143 148 126 18%
25% 149 177 178 25%
8% 52 59 64 9%
Higher
ROE
43% 257 330 334 48%
1H13 1H14 1H15
Markets Cash Global Loans Trade
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… and increasingly from OOI …
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----- Start of picture text -----
USDm
1.5
1.0
55% 56%
54%
0.5
46% 45% 44%
0
1H13 1H14 1H15
OOI NII
----- End of picture text -----
… with improving productivity
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----- Start of picture text -----
USDk
300
200
61%
55% 54%
100
0
1H13 1H14 1H15
CTI Rev/FTE (RHS) OOI/FTE (RHS)
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-
‘RoRWA’ equals Net Profit After Tax divided by average Basel III risk weighted assets.
-
Excludes Retail and Partnerships.
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54
ENTERPRISE APPROACH
Enterprise Approach – to operations and technology
An enterprise approach to operations and technology
Delivers a stronger and more efficient bank
Benefiting our customers, employees and shareholders
1H15 vs 1H14
Building Common Technology Platforms
across all main business lines to drive standardisation, simplification and automation.
Improving customer experience:
-
Easier on-boarding and faster approvals
-
Quality service
-
Consistency across channels
Driving operational productivity:
- Absorb significant volume growth
40bps
10%
Operations cost to income
Operations productivity
- Sustainable cost reduction
Utilising our Regional Delivery Network
to improve customer experience and drive down cost to serve.
- Simplified processes
Reducing operating risk:
-
Consistent, standard processes
-
Reduced error rates
-
Upgraded infrastructure and security systems
Customer 28% complaints (Australian Ops)
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55
Enterprise Approach – Regional delivery network APPROACH and common latforms p
ENTERPRISE APPROACH
Regional delivery network
-
Providing full service regional coverage across our operating time zones
-
Developing centres of excellence across the network around key business domains: • Payments • Voice
Chengdu Developing centres of excellence across the Hong Kong network around key business domains: Bangalore Manila • Payments • Voice • Markets • FIO, AML and Singapore Suva • Trade Sanctions • • Wealth Operations Secured Lending Sydney Auckland • • Technology Unsecured Lending • Melbourne Wholesale Lending Wellington Global Wholesale Digital 17 Global Payments 10 (Transactive) countries (Global PayPlus) countries Common Global Retail Digital 7 Global FX 13 platforms (goMoney, Grow) countries (Wallstreet) countries Global Process Management 15 Global Customer Registry 25 (PEGA, FileNet) countries (IBM MDM) countries
-
• Wealth Operations Secured Lending
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56
ENTERPRISE APPROACH
Enterprise approach - consistent, higher quality ex erience p
Operations volume growth
Operations efficiency
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----- Start of picture text -----
1H14-1H15 [1 ] 9% 9%
7% 7%
6%
Australia IIB NZ Wealth Total
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Operations productivity improvement[2 ]
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----- Start of picture text -----
Index:
145
FY10=100 136
122
100 102 105
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1H15
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Operations costs growth
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----- Start of picture text -----
1H14-1H15 [1 ] 2%
-2%
-3%
-4%
-5%
Australia IIB NZ Wealth Total
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Quality and service
Customer satisfaction by channel[3 ]
==> picture [299 x 132] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
91.4% 90.2% 88.9% 88.7%
80.8%
Website 4 Smart 5 Branch Personal Financial
device Banker Adviser
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- Volume growth represents YTD Mar 2015 vs YTD Mar 2014. 2 Operations efficiency measured by operations productivity improvement, which is the difference in operations costs and volume growth. 45% productivity improvement over 4 ½ years. 3. Roy Morgan Research. Satisfaction with channel, experience amongst MFI customers who have used service in the last 4 weeks. Base: ANZ Main Financial Institution (MFI) Customers, age 14+, rolling 12 months to March 2015. 4. Internet Banking using institution’s website. 5. Internet Banking using an app on mobile phone or tablet.
==> picture [59 x 22] intentionally omitted <==
57
ENTERPRISE APPROACH
Annual investment program
| 28% 26% 15% 19% 12% FY14 Wholesale Digital Consumer Digital Data and Analytics Wholesale Lending Retail Lending Payments Markets Process Automation Workflow Risk Management Infrastructure Security Annual investment spend ANZ invests approximately AUD1,200m1 per year on technology-based capabilities. Disciplined management is allowing us to fund an increasing proportion of this annual investment from the productivity gains in our wider delivery cost base. |
Capability Benefits |
Capability Benefits |
|---|---|---|
| Risk | •Minimised operating risks •Maintain the confidence of our customers and regulators |
|
| Stability | •Upgraded infrastructure •Enhanced resilience •Reduced cost-to-serve |
|
| Productivity | •Simplify and integrate end-to-end workflow •Increase systems and process standardisation •Re-engineer and automate high-priority enterprise domains |
|
| Product Lines | •Coordinated approach to end-to-end wholesale lending •Global capabilities for consumer lending •Modern, resilient payments network •Supporting markets growth with scalable platforms |
|
| Digitisation | •Consistent customer experience across channels •Supporting our segment-based businesses •Enterprise-wide data management |
ANZ invests approximately AUD1,200m[1] per year on technology-based capabilities. Disciplined management is allowing us to fund an increasing proportion of this annual investment from the productivity gains in our wider delivery cost base.
- Excludes technology run costs.
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58
2015
CLSA CONFERENCE Hong Kong
Risk Management
==> picture [59 x 22] intentionally omitted <==
Provision Charge
Provision charge
==> picture [307 x 174] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
$m
700 599 598 510
528
461
500
300 0.27% 0.24% 0.24%
0.21%
0.17%
100
-100
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
Individual Provision (IP) Charge
Collective Provision (CP) Charge
IP Charge as % Avg. Net Advances (RHS)
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Individual provision charge by segment
==> picture [292 x 169] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
$m
700
595 572 602
600 542
500 455
400
300
200
100
0
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
Institutional Commercial Consumer
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Individual provision charge composition
==> picture [299 x 170] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
$m
1,500
1,250 595 572 602
1,000 542 455
750
500
250
0
-250
-500
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
New Increased Writebacks & Recoveries
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Individual provision charge by region
$m
==> picture [288 x 149] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
700
595 602
572
600 542
500 455
400
300
200
100
0
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
Australia New Zealand APEA
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60
Historical Loss
Group regulatory expected loss
Historical observed loss rates
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----- Start of picture text -----
bps
EAD
75
69
61 62
54
Mar 11 Mar 12 Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
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----- Start of picture text -----
bps IP Loss Rate (LHS) %
250 120
1990-2014 median bp loss rates
(LHS)
100
200 Corporate Gearing lagged 15
months (RHS)
80
150
60
100
40
50
20
0 0
Sep 90 Sep 94 Sep 98 Sep 02 Sep 06 Sep 10 Sep 14
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Corporate gearing remains low
-
Corporate gearing ratios[1] were compared with the Group IP loss rates from 1990. Lagging corporate gearing 15 months provides a reasonably strong relationship, with corporate gearing a leading indicator of loss
-
Current IP loss rate (annualised) as at Mar’15 was 17bps which is similar to that observed between 2005 and 2007
-
The annualised 1H15 IP loss rate (17 bps) is the 6th lowest rate over the time period analysed since 1990
==> picture [59 x 22] intentionally omitted <==
- Debt to equity ratios for listed Australian Corporations sourced from the RBA.
61
Impaired Assets
Control list
==> picture [305 x 160] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Index Sep 09 = 100
120
100
80
60
40
20
Sep 09 Sep 10 Sep 11 Sep 12 Sep 13 Sep 14
Control List by Limits Control List by No of Groups
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Gross impaired assets by size of exposure
==> picture [292 x 164] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
$m
5,000 4,685
4,264
4,000 3,620
2,889
3,000 2,708
2,000
1,000
0
Mar 13 Sep 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Mar 15
< $10m $10-$100m > $100m
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New impaired assets by division
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----- Start of picture text -----
$m
2,000
1,716
1,571 1,541
1,500 1,327
1,197
1,000
500
0
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15
Australia New Zealand IIB Other
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Impaired assets concentration by number of customers[1 ]
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----- Start of picture text -----
3% 3% 3% 3% 5%
5% 8%
9%
11% 8% 11%
16%
83% 88% 84% 84%
76%
Mar 13 Sep 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Mar 15
$10-50m $51-100m $101-200m >$200m
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- Only >$10m customers.
62
Collective Provision
CP Balance Growth
CP coverage
The collective provision balance increased by $157m in the first half of FY15, to $2,914m, predominantly driven by:
-
Foreign exchange, particularly the depreciation of the AUD against the USD and against the NZD, which accounted for $102m, or 65%, of this increase
-
Portfolio growth of $54m, specifically the Australia Division (67%), driven by the retail portfolios
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----- Start of picture text -----
$b
340
305 309
288
275
1.01% 1.00%
0.93% 0.89% 0.86%
Mar 13 Sep 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Mar 15
Credit Risk Weighted Assets
Collective Provision as a % of CRWA (RHS)
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Collective provision by division
Collective provision by source
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----- Start of picture text -----
$m $m
102 2,914 102 2,914
61 54 3
2,757 (2) (3) (1 ) 2,757 5 (7 )
Sep 14 AUS IIB NZ Wealth & FX Mar 15 Sep 14 Risk Lending Portfolio Mgmt. Fx Mar 15
Other Movement Growth Mix Overlay movement
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63
Risk Weighted Assets
Total risk weighted assets
==> picture [234 x 52] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
$b
Op-Risk Risk Weighted Assets
Market & IRRBB Risk Weighted Assets
Credit Risk Weighted Assets
----- End of picture text -----
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----- Start of picture text -----
387
361 362
33
339
32 32 14
29
24 21
23
340
305 309
288
Sep 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Mar 15
----- End of picture text -----
Group EAD & CRWAs
==> picture [308 x 370] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
$b 891
813
779
741
692
39.8% 38.9% 39.2% 38.0% 38.1%
Mar 13 Sep 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Mar 15
Exposure at Default CRWA / EAD (RHS)
CRWA movement - Mar 15 v Sep 14
$b
15.4 339.7
1.7
16.1
308.9
(2.4)
Sep 14 Risk Lending Portfolio FX Impact Mar 15
Growth Data Review
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64
Portfolio composition
| ANZ Group Total Group EAD (Mar 15) $869b1 Exposure at default (EAD) as a % of Group total 38% 19% 7% 6% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%6% |
Category | % of Group EAD |
% of Group EAD |
% of Portfolio in Non Performing |
% of Portfolio in Non Performing |
Portfolio Balance in Non Performing |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14 | Mar 15 | Mar 14 | Mar 15 | Mar 15 |
|||
| Consumer Lending | 40.3% | 38.2% | 0.2% 0.2% $608m |
||||
| Finance, Investment & Insurance |
16.4% | 18.7% | 0.1% 0.1% $93m |
||||
| Property Services | 7.0% | 6.8% | 1.7% 1.3% $757m |
||||
| Manufacturing | 6.1% | 6.5% | 0.6% 0.5% $297m |
||||
| Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% 2.1% $728m |
||||
| Government & Official Institutions |
3.8% | 4.4% | 0.0% 0.0% $0m |
||||
| Wholesale trade | 3.9% | 4.0% | 0.6% 0.4% $154m |
||||
| Retail Trade | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% 0.4% $101m |
||||
| Transport & Storage | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% 1.3% $257m |
||||
| Business Services | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% 0.9% $151m |
||||
| Resources (Mining) | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% 0.5% $97m |
||||
| Electricity, Gas & Water Supply |
1.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% 0.1% $10m |
||||
Construction |
1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% 1.7% $240m |
||||
| Other | 5.7% | 5.5% | 0.6% 0.5% $220m |
- EAD excludes amounts for ‘Securitisation’ and ‘Other Assets’ Basel asset classes.
==> picture [59 x 22] intentionally omitted <==
65
Resources Portfolio
Resources exposure by sector (% EAD)
==> picture [299 x 330] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Total EAD (Mar 15) As a % of Group EAD
$19.5b 2.2%
42%
Oil & Gas
39%
23%
Metal Ore Mining
23%
(includes 14%
Coal MiningIron Ore 10%)
16%
15%
Services To Mining
16%
6%
Other Mining
6%
1H15 1H14
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Resources exposure credit quality by geography (EAD)
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----- Start of picture text -----
AUS ($b) NZ ($b) ASIA ($b) [EA & Other ]
($b)
9.8 0.9 4.3 4.5
9%
24% 22%
49%
91%
76% 78%
51%
AUS NZ ASIA OTHER
Investment Grade Sub-Investment Grade
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Resources portfolio management
-
Portfolio is skewed towards well capitalised and lower cost resource producers. Over a third of the book is less than one year duration.
-
Investment grade exposures represent 67% of portfolio. Mix of investment grade exposures in portfolio has increased across all geographies in 1H15.
-
Trade accounts for 21% of the Total Resources EAD.
-
Mining services customers are subject to heightened oversight given the cautious outlook for services sector.
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66
Commercial property portfolio
Commercial Property outstandings by Commercial Property outstandings by region[1 ] sector[1 ]
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----- Start of picture text -----
$b
8.0%
26%
Offices
35.5
34.4 33.9 Retail
32.0 4.6 7.5%
30.6 4.5 4.1 30% Residential
4.1 22% Industrial
4.0
7.8 7.0% Tourism
6.1 6.9 6.9
5.4 4% Other
3% 15%
6.5%
Property peer comparison [2 ]
6.0%
$m ANZ Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3
23.0 22.9 23.1
21.2 21.8
Property Portfolio EAD 51,039 68,739 72,935 57,994
5.5%
Property EAD Growth
7.9% (1.6%) 13.9% 7.0%
Rates
5.0% Property EAD/Total EAD 5.73% 7.57% 8.50% 6.42%
Mar 13 Sep 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Dec 14 Impaired Assets 424 1,497 726 318
APEA New Zealand
Property Impaired
0.83% 2.18% 1.00% 0.55%
Australia % of Group GLA's (RHS) Assets/Property EAD
----- End of picture text -----
| **Property peer comparison2 ** | **Property peer comparison2 ** | **Property peer comparison2 ** | **Property peer comparison2 ** | **Property peer comparison2 ** | **Property peer comparison2 ** |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $m | ANZ | Peer 1 | Peer 2 | Peer 3 | |
| Property Portfolio EAD | 51,039 | 68,739 | 72,935 | 57,994 | |
| Property EAD Growth Rates |
7.9% | (1.6%) | 13.9% | 7.0% | |
| Property EAD/Total EAD | 5.73% | 7.57% | 8.50% | 6.42% | |
| Impaired Assets | 424 | 1,497 | 726 |
318 | |
| Property Impaired Assets/Property EAD |
0.83% | 2.18% | 1.00% | 0.55% |
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-
As per ARF230 disclosure.
-
As per APS330 disclosure. ANZ includes property services, not consistent across peers.
67
Agri portfolio
Agriculture exposure by sector (% EAD)
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----- Start of picture text -----
Total EAD (Mar 15) As a % of Group EAD
$34.0b 3.9%
Dairy
14%
Beef
10%
Sheep & Other Livestock
40%
Grain/Wheat 16%
Horticulture/Fruit/Other
11%
Crops 9%
Forestry &
Fishing/Agriculture Services
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New Zealand Agri credit quality
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----- Start of picture text -----
NZ$ b
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----- Start of picture text -----
21
19
18 17 18 18
2.11%
1.55%
1.23% 1
0.94% 0.96%
0.81%
Sep 10 Sep 11 Sep 12 Sep 13 Sep 14 Mar 15
NZD Total Credit Exposure
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1 Average PD (Non-Defaulted Customers) (RHS)
Group Agriculture EAD splits
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7% [5% ]
1%
2%
38% 17%
61% 71%
98%
Australia New Zealand <60% Secured 60 - < 80% Secured
Int Markets Productive Impaired 80 - < 100% Secured Fully Secured
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- PD model changes account for 11bps increase in 1H15.
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68
Industry Themes and Guidelines for Quality
-
Areas on Watch ANZ Lending Principles Examples
-
1. Commercial Property 1.1 Focus on key markets in Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and Hong Kong
-
Land and buildings primarily leased to third parties or new buildings constructed to be leased 1.2 No appetite for speculative development or sold to third parties. 1.3 Limited appetite to lend against third party leased specialised buildings
-
2. Residential Property 2.1 Triggers and controls guide growth in investment, interest only and high LVR-band
-
Residential Land and/or buildings lending
-
Variable or fixed rate
-
Owner occupied, investor, equity loan
-
2.2 Very limited appetite for Self Managed Super Fund lending
-
Interest only or Principal & Interest
-
2.3 No appetite for reverse home loans or subprime loans
3. Resources Sector
Industry sectors include:
-
3.1 Relationships focused on low cost producers
-
3.2 We are focused on intermediating trade and FX flows
-
Metal Ore (Including Iron Ore)
-
Mining and Mining Services
-
Mining infrastructure
-
3.3 Mining infrastructure cost sustainability monitored
-
Oil and Gas
-
Coal
-
3.4 Preference for equipment leasing over unsecured lending
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69
Australia Home Loans portfolio
1H15 portfolio statistics[1 ]
Dynamic loan to value ratio[5 ]
Total Number of Home Loan Accounts 934k Total Home Loans FUM $218b % of Total Australia Geography Lending 60% % of Total Group Lending 39% Owner Occupied Loans - % of Portfolio[2] 60% Average Loan Size at Origination $376k (1H15 average)[3,4] Average LVR at Origination (1H15)[3,4,5] 71% Average Dynamic LVR of Portfolio[4,5,6] 51% % of Portfolio Ahead on Repayments[7,8] 43% % of Portfolio Paying Interest Only[8] 35%
% of Portfolio 50% Sep 12 45% Mar 13 40% Sep 13 35% Mar 14 30% Sep 14 Mar 15 25% 20% LVR >90% 15% 4.08% (Mar 15)[9] 10% 5% 0% 0-60% 61-75% 76-80% 81-90% 91-95% 95%+
Individual provision as % of average NLA
| Individual provision as % of average NLA | Individual provision as % of average NLA | Individual provision as % of average NLA | Individual provision as % of average NLA | Individual provision as % of average NLA | Individual provision as % of average NLA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY12 | FY13 | FY14 | 1H15 | ||
| Group | 0.38% | 0.25% | 0.22% | 0.17% | |
| Australia Home Loans | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
-
Home Loans (inclusive of NPLs, exclusive of offset balances). 2. Excludes Equity Manager. 3. Originated 1H15. 4. Unweighted.
-
Including capitalised premiums. 6. Valuations updated Mar 2015 where available. 7. % of customers >30 days ahead of repayments.
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- Excludes revolving credit. 9. Excluding capitalised premiums, the % of portfolio with LVR >90% as at Sep 2014 is 2.35% (Mar 2015 was 2.6%)
70
New Zealand - market characteristics
GDP contribution by industry[1 ]
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----- Start of picture text -----
Transport and
Comms
8%
Wholesale & Retail
12% Finance &
Business
27%
Construction
6% Government
4%
Utilities
3% Services and
other
Manufacturing 22%
11%
Primary sector
7%
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Primary sector GDP contribution[1 ]
Banking market[2 ]
88% of NZ banking sector Net Loans & Advances ($341b) are with the big 4 banks
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----- Start of picture text -----
Other
banks
12%
ANZ
31%
Peer 3
19%
Peer 2 Peer 1
19% 19%
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Positive migration impact on population
Population forecast: 5m by 2030, aided by migration Persons, 12 month total (k)
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----- Start of picture text -----
Agriculture industry [3] Persons, 12 month total (k)
Output analysis:
Mining • Dairy ~ 30% 140
• PLT Arrivals
23% Cattle & Sheep ~20%
• Agri Services ~ 15% 100
• Veg. Fruit, Nut ~ 12%
• Other ~23%
60
Fishing, PLT Departures
Aquaculture, Net PLT Immigration
Support Agriculture 20
services 57%
11%
-20
Forestry & 91 92 93 95 96 98 99 00 02 03 05 06 08 09 10 12 13 15
Logging
9%
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-
Statistics NZ
-
KPMG Financial Institutional Performance Survey Review 2014 3. Statistics NZ, ANZ analysis
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71
ANZ New Zealand - Commercial and Agri Book composition
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----- Start of picture text -----
Revenue PBP Lending Deposits
$NZm
+7% +10% +6% +7%
460 334 37,601 11,593
10,832
428 304 35,429
1H14 1H15 1H14 1H15 1H14 1H15 1H14 1H15
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Revenue [1 ] PBP [1] Lending [1] Deposits [1]
12% 12% 6% 14%
11%
33% 55% 34% 54% 43% 51% 75%
Commercial Agri UDC
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- As at 31 March 2015 Note: All values in NZD ($m), Lending is Net Loans & Advances, Deposits are Customer Deposits
72
ANZ New Zealand - Maintaining a balanced Commercial and Agri portfolio
Diversified portfolio (FUM)
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----- Start of picture text -----
Property
Services
24%
Dairy Farming
34%
Sheep and Beef
12%
Manufacturing
Other
5%
20%
Wholesale Trade
3%
Retail Trade
3%
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Credit Quality – Commercial (EAD by CCR)
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EAD by grouped credit rating bands (CCR [2] ) Risk
Rating
35% 38% 38% Stronger
58% 58% 58%
7% 4% 4%
Weaker
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
CCR 0-4 CCR 5-6 CCR 7-10
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Market share[1]
Credit Quality – Agri
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----- Start of picture text -----
45% Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Commercial Agri Commercial Agri
deposits deposits lending lending
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----- Start of picture text -----
EAD by grouped credit rating bands (CCR [2] )
Risk
Rating
Stronger
65% 68% 67%
25%
26% 28%
10% 6% 5% Weaker
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
CCR 0-4 CCR 5-6 CCR 7-10
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-
RBNZ
-
Customer Credit Rating CCR Internal ANZ Rating
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73
New Zealand - mortgages portfolio
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|||||
|---|---|---|---|
|1H15 portfolio statistics|
|Total Number of Mortgage Accounts|494k|
|Total Mortgage FUM (NZD)|$64b|
|% of Total New Zealand Lending|59%|
|% of Total Group Lending|[1]|11%|
|Owner Occupied Loans - % of Portfolio|75%|
|Average Loan Size at Origination (NZD)|$289k|
|Average LVR at Origination|[2]|64%|
|Average Dynamic LVR of Portfolio|[3]|49%|
|% of Portfolio Paying Interest Only|[4]|22%|
|Individual provision as % of average NLA|
|FY12|FY13|FY14|1H15|
|Group|[1 ]|0.38% 0.25% 0.22% 0.17%|
|New Zealand Mortgages|[5 ]|0.07% 0.04% 0.06% 0.01%|
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Dynamic loan to valuation ratio
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----- Start of picture text -----
6%
8%
0-60%
61-70%
19% 49%
71-80%
81-90%
90%+
18%
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Mortgage portfolio by region
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----- Start of picture text -----
|||
|---|---|
|Auckland|
|3%|
|12%|
|Wellington|
|Christchurch|41%|
|Other North Island|26%|
|Other South Island|
|7%|11%|
|Other|
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- As % of group average NLA. 2. Average LVR at Origination (not weighted by balance). 3. Average dynamic LVR as at (not weighted by balance) – Dynamic LVR graph as at Feb 2015. 4. Excludes revolving credit facilities. 5. Individual Provision as % average NLA.
74
2015 A U S T R A L I A A N D N E W Z E A L A N D B A N K I N G G R O U P L I M I T E D S e p t e m b e r 2 0 1 5
Portfolio composition by exposure at default Group International & Institutional Banking (IIB) Asia China
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ANZ portfolio composition: geography, division, industry
Group EAD by geography
Group EAD by division
EAD (June 15): AU$886b[1]
EAD (June 15): AU$886b[1]
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----- Start of picture text -----
23%
61%
16%
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----- Start of picture text -----
45%
41%
2% 12%
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----- Start of picture text -----
Australia APEA New Zealand
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Aus Division IIB² NZ Divisioin Wealth / Other
-
Data is provided is as at Jun15 on a Post CRM basis, net of credit risk mitigation such as guarantees, credit derivatives, netting and financial collateral. Position excludes Basel Asset Class “Retail”.
-
IIB: International and Institutional Banking division
76
ANZ Institutional Portfolio
Institutional Portfolio size & tenor (EAD)[1 ]
ANZ Institutional industry composition (EAD)
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----- Start of picture text -----
AU$ B EAD(June 15): AU$375b [1]
400
Finance (Banks and Central Banks)
Government Admin.
350
30% Property Services³
34%
Services to Fin. & Ins.
300
Material Wholesaling
50%
Machinery & Equip Mnfg
3%
250 3% Petrol,Coal,Chem & Assoc Prod Mnfg
10%
4%
4% 5% 9% Electricity & Gas Supply
Other⁴
200
39% ANZ Institutional product composition (EAD)
150 EAD(June 15): AU$375b [1]
100 Loans & Advances
50% 26% 13%
Trade & Supply chain
2%
61% 25%
Traded Securities (e.g. Bonds)
50
74% 11% Contingent Liabilities & commitments
12%
Derivatives & Money Market Loans
88%
0 16% 15% Gold Bullion
Total APEA Asia China
Other
Institutional
18%
Tenor < 1 Yr Tenor 1 Yr+
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-
Data is provided is as at Jun15 on a Post CRM basis, net of credit risk mitigation such as guarantees, credit derivatives, netting and financial collateral. Position excludes Basel Asset Class “Retail”.
-
Country is defined by the counterparty’s Country of Incorporation
-
81% of the ANZ Institutional “Property Services” portfolio is to entities incorporated in either Australia or New Zealand.
-
Other is comprised of 48 different industries with none comprising more than 2.4% of the Institutional portfolio
ANZ Asian Institutional Portfolio
Country of Incorporation[2 ]
ANZ Asia industry composition
EAD(June 15): AU$104b[1]
EAD(June 15): AU$104b[1]
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----- Start of picture text -----
Finance (Banks & Central Banks)
Material Wholesaling
26%
7%
Machinery & Equip Mnfg
4%
25% 47% Petrol,Coal,Chem & Assoc Prod Mnfg
5%
3% Property Services
3%
6% 5% Pers & Household Good W'saling
5% Machinery & Motor Vehicle W'saling
6%
6% Other³
6%
ANZ Asia product composition
17%
13% EAD(June 15): AU$104b [1]
Loans & Advances
16% 20% Gold Bullion
29%
Trade & Supply chain
China Singapore Japan
Traded Securities (e.g. Bonds)
13%
HK Sth Korea Taiwan 5% Derivatives & Money Market Loans
Other
10%
Indonesia India Other
24%
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-
Data is provided is as at Jun15 on a Post CRM basis, net of credit risk mitigation such as guarantees, credit derivatives, netting and financial collateral. Position excludes Basel Asset Class “Retail”.
-
Country is defined by the counterparty’s Country of Incorporation
78
- Other is comprised of 45 different industries with none comprising more than 2% of the Asian Institutional portfolio
ANZ China portfolio
China EAD
ANZ China industry composition (EAD)
- Total China EAD of A$26b, with 33% or $8.8b booked onshore in China.
Tenor ~88% of EAD have a tenor less than 1 year
Risk rating
- China exposure has a stronger average credit rating than Asia, APEA, Australia and NZ, with lower historic credit provisions and loss rates.
Industry
- 55% of China exposures to Financial institutions, with ~54 % of this to the Top 5 Chinese systemically important banks.
Products
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----- Start of picture text -----
Finance (Banks and Central Banks)
12%
Manuf & Wholesaling
8%
3% Property Services
55% Petrol, Coal, Chem & Assoc prod Mnfg
23% Other
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ANZ China product composition (EAD)
-
Mix focussed on short term trade and markets facilities providing flexibility to change composition of the portfolio
-
Within Global loans and advances circa 60% have tenor less than 1 year
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----- Start of picture text -----
Loans & Advances
4%
19%
Gold Bullion
20%
Trade & Supply chain
3%
18% Traded Securities (e.g. Bonds)
Derivatives & Money Market
Loans
36% Other
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-
Data is provided is as at Jun15 on a Post CRM basis, net of credit risk mitigation such as guarantees, credit derivatives, netting and financial collateral. Position excludes Basel Asset Class “Retail”.
-
Data is providing detail of exposure of counterparties domiciled in China , with the country where the exposure is booked.
79
2015
CLSA CONFERENCE Hong Kong
Home Loans
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Long term growth through leading proposition, investin in ca abilit to make it eas for customers g p y y
Building our sales reach
Enhancing the customer Expanding customer experience awareness
| 43% | 12mth increase in Mobile Lending loan writers with NSW up 50% |
|
|---|---|---|
| $30b 17% |
1H15 Home Loan Sales across all channels vs. PcP |
|
| $8.6b | 1H15 Home Loan FUM growth of $8.6b, up from $6.7b 1H14 |
|
| 5 years | Sustained above System growth1 |
| 6 days Same day |
Assessment available 6-days a week delivering same day assessment for over 90% of applications |
|---|---|
| 1,000 hours per month |
Process improvements freeing up front line capacity to serve more customers per month |
| 53% | Complaint reduction over 3 years through end-to-end process re-engineering & reliable settlements |
| 300k | Number of hits per month on ANZ.com tools and calculators |
Consistently award winning
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2015 Australian Lending Awards;
-
Best Customer Experience
-
Best Investor Lender
-
Mortgage Lender of the year
We help our customers be informed
Over 180,000 ANZ property profile reports distributed over the last 12 months
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Providing super-regional capability
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Expanded our Non Resident proposition to residents of 14 countries
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- 5 years above APRA System quarter on quarter growth to Dec 2014.
81
Consistent above system growth, balanced across the ortfolio p
Delivering 5 years of consistent above system market share growth
Balanced growth across segments particularly in NSW
Household Lending Market Share Growth (%) Index Sep 12 = 100
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----- Start of picture text -----
103 102.7
102 102.2
101
100
99
98 98.0
97 97.0
96
Sep 12 Sep 13 Sep 14
ANZ Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3
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ANZ Growth vs system by segment[1] Feb 15 YTD
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----- Start of picture text -----
1.3x 1.3x 1.2x
1.1x
1.1x 1.0x 1.0x
0.9x 0.8x
OO Inv WA SA
Broker Prop. Vic/Tas NSW/ ACT Qld/NT
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Strong sales volumes offset by industry high levels of repayments
Increased portfolio share in NSW/ACT
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----- Start of picture text -----
ANZ Home Loan Portfolio (%)
Home loan flows 24 ($bn) 2 7 Equity Inv OO Prop 3 Broker
NSW/
26% 27% ACT
(24) 46% 47% VIC/
58% 57%
TAS
33% 33% QLD/
209 8% 218 NT
annualised WA
18% 17%
36% 38% 54% 53%
SA
Sep 14 New Sales Net OFI Refi Redraw & Repay. Mar 15 16% 16%
excl Interest /Other
Refi-in 6% 5% 7% 7%
Mar 14 Mar15 Mar 14 Mar 15 Mar 14 Mar 15
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-
Customer Segments (Owner Occupier and Investor) defined by APRA. Channel performance relative to overall market growth. Geography sourced from Cannex.
-
Source: Comparator quarterly benchmarking.
-
Proprietary, comprising Branch, Mobile and Other.
82
Actively assessing and managing our home lending risk across the end-to-end value chain
Multiple checks during origination process
End-to-end home lending responsibility managed within ANZ
- Pre-sales (digital & marketing)
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----- Start of picture text -----
•
Pre-application Income & Expenses
•
Application Know Your Customer •
•
Income Verification
Serviceability Income Models •
Expense Models
Interest Rate Buffer
•
•
LVR Policy
Collateral /
Valuations LMI policy
Valuations Policy •
Credit Credit History
Assessment •
Bureau Checks
• Broker
Documentation
Fulfilment • Digital
Security
• Mobile
Quality assurance, info verification & policy reviews
----- End of picture text -----
-
Proprietary sales and/or verification of 3[rd] parties[1 ]
-
In-house loan origination, assessment, fulfilment
-
Balance sheet ownership
-
Collections activity
Originate to hold philosophy
- Currently all lending is on balance sheet
Effective hardship & collections processes
-
Dedicated hardship team
-
Early warning based on system triggers
Full recourse lending
- Multiple actions to manage potential losses
ANZ assessment process across all channels
-
ANZ network
-
Broker
- 3[rd] party sales channels (e.g. Broker) require ANZ accreditation and are subject to ongoing compliance monitoring to distribute ANZ home lending products.
83
Australian Housing Market
Strong sustained population growth
-
Main markets of Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane & Perth all growing
-
Australian population growth currently 1.8% vs US 0.7% & UK 0.6%[1 ]
Culture of repayment
-
Interest is non tax deductible on primary residence
-
Full recourse lending
-
Accelerating repayments (~16% loan ‘buffer’ based on latest RBA report[2] )
Strong underwriting standards
-
Extremely limited subprime / low doc lending since 2008
-
Low levels of 100% LVR lending
Banks ‘own’ their credit risks
-
Lenders perform income verification
-
Very low level of securitisation (2% of total housing finance and declining[3] ) aligns origination and underwriting
Housing supply
Continues to trail population growth (with the exception of certain historical ‘hot spots’ e.g. Gold Coast 2007-2009)
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-
Source: WorldBank 2013.
-
Source: RBA Financial Stability Review Mar 2015.
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84
- Source: APRA banking statistics.
Australian housing market
Low loan delinquencies and losses have historically been driven by:
1. Full recourse lending
- Including security over primary residence for investor loans
2. Floating rate loans
-
Typically > 80% floating rate
-
ANZ serviceability test at customer rate plus 275bps
3. Low LVRs
-
ANZ portfolio average 51%, new originations average 71%
-
~4% of ANZ’s book > 90%
-
ANZ generally requires mortgage insurance on loans >80% LVR
4. Limited tax incentives
-
Primary residence interest not tax deductible
-
Incentivises repayment: 43% of ANZ’s book >30 days ahead; 16% of system mortgage loan balances held in cash offset accounts
5. Origination practices
-
Mortgages retained on balance sheet (<2% system housing stock securitised)
-
Lenders perform income verification
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Refer page 41 for ANZ Australia Home Loans portfolio statistics
85
Australian housing market
Capital city house prices[1]
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----- Start of picture text -----
Index = Dec 2004 10 Yr
CAGR
200
6.3%
180
5.3%
160
4.6%
140
120
100
80
60
Sydney
Melbourne
Weighted Average (Eight Capital Cities)
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----- Start of picture text -----
% of population in two largest
cities [3 ]
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
New Zealand Australia Chile South Korea Norway UK Sweden Spain Japan Canada Netherlands Switzerland Italy Germany France Brazil US
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Capital city median house prices[2 ]
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----- Start of picture text -----
$k
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
----- End of picture text -----
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----- Start of picture text -----
Sydney
----- End of picture text -----
Population growth (pa)[4 ]
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----- Start of picture text -----
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
Australia G7 weighted average
1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012
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-
Source: ABS residential property price index data.
-
Source: ABS median house price data, established dwelling transfers. Smoothed over semiannual period. 3. Source: United Nations Data
-
Source: IMF Database
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86
Australian housing market Market attributes
New dwellings approvals[2 ]
System housing credit growth yoy
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----- Start of picture text -----
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
-
1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
----- End of picture text -----
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----- Start of picture text -----
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
OO Investor Total housing
Mar-05 Dec-05 Sep-06 Jun-07 Mar-08 Dec-08 Sep-09 Jun-10 Mar-11 Dec-11 Sep-12 Jun-13 Mar-14 Dec-14
----- End of picture text -----
- New dwelling approvals per million population Average
Household income growth (nominal)[3 ]
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----- Start of picture text -----
% YoY
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
----- End of picture text -----
Mortgage affordability[4 ]
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----- Start of picture text -----
%
48 18
Long-run average
44 16
affordability
40 14
36 12
32 10
28 8
24 6
20 4
1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014
income
% of average household disposable
----- End of picture text -----
Mortgage service affordability % of household disposable income (LHS) Discounted bank mortgage rate (RHS)
-
Source: IMF
-
Source: ABS
-
Source: RBA. Nominal household disposable income, yearly smoothed
-
Source: ANZ Economics. Calculated for mortgage repayments on 80% LVR of median capital city house price.
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87
2015
CLSA CONFERENCE Hong Kong
Economic Snapshots
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Australia Economics – Forecasts
Non-mining business indicators[3 ]
| Forecasts | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDP | 2.4 | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| Inflation (core CPI) | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Unemployment (avg) | 6.4 | 6.5 | 6.1 |
| Current A/C (% GDP) | -2.6 | -1.5 | -1.0 |
| Cash rate (year-end) | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| 10 year bonds | 2.10 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| AUD/USD | 0.72 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Iron ore (USD/t) | 501 | 541 | 552 |
| Thermal coal **(USD/t)1 ** |
681 | 701 | 732 |
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GDP Growth and Coal/Iron Ore Exports[4 ]
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Source: ANZ Economics, RBA.
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- Estimates as at December. 2. Long term forecast. 3. Source: RBA Statement of Monetary Policy May 2015. 3. Source: RBA Statement of Monetary Policy Feb 2015.
89
Australian Economy & Household Sector – RBA chart pack
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90
Australian Business sector – RBA chart pack
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91
Australian Employment – RBA chart pack
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92
New Zealand & China Economics
New Zealand Forecasts[1 ]
| 2015 | 2016 | |
|---|---|---|
| GDP | 3.0 | 2.6 |
| Inflation | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Unemployment | 5.3 | 5.1 |
| Current A/C (% GDP) | -4.8 | -5.0 |
| **Cash rate1 ** | 3.50 | 3.75 |
| **10 year bonds1 ** | 2.90 | 3.40 |
| **NZD/AUD1 ** | 0.97 | 0.97 |
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China Forecasts[1 ]
China days of use of China Manufacturing imported iron ore PMI
| 2015 | 2016 | |
|---|---|---|
| GDP | 6.8 | 6.7 |
| Inflation | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| Reserve Requirement Ratio | 18.5 | 18.5 |
| Exports y/y (RMB) | 6.8 | 3.0 |
| Imports y/y (RMB) | -5.6 | 2.0 |
| Trade Balance (RMB bN) | 3874 | 4104 |
| USD/CNY | 6.20 | 6.18 |
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Source: ANZ Economics (May 2015); 1. 2016 forecasts are for period ending Sept quarter.
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93
China Economics
Iron ore exports – quarterly
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----- Start of picture text -----
$bn
30
25
20
15
10
5
-
Foreign student enrolments
‘000 students
700
600
500
400
300
Chinese students represent
200 ~30% of total foreign student
enrolments
100
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
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Other exports – yoy growth
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12%
8%
4%
0%
-4%
-8%
-12%
Services Manufactured goods
Chinese tourist arrivals
in Australia per month
100 20%
80
15%
60
10%
40
5%
20
- 0%
Dec-04 Sep-05 Jun-06 Mar-07 Dec-07 Sep-08 Jun-09 Mar-10 Dec-10 Sep-11 Jun-12 Mar-13 Dec-13 Sep-14
2004 2005 2006 2007 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 2014
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Short term arrivals from China (LHS, '000) Chinese arrivals % total (RHS)
Source: RBA, ABS, DFAT
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The material in this presentation is general background information about the Bank’s activities current at the date of the presentation. It is information given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be considered, with or without professional advice when deciding if an investment is appropriate
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For further information visit
www.anz.com
or contact
Jill Craig Group General Manager Investor Relations
ph: (613) 8654 7749 fax: (613) 8654 9977 e-mail: [email protected]
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