AI assistant
AMSC ASA — Investor Presentation 2016
Jun 7, 2016
3533_iss_2016-06-07_a9480a46-51b6-4720-b64d-c6fc6b3ac1d5.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
American Shipping Company ASA
Company Presentation June 2016
Important information
This Company Presentation is current as of June 2016. Nothing herein shall create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of American Shipping Company ASA ("AMSC" or the "Company") since such date. This Company Presentation contains forward-looking statements relating to the Company's business, the Company's prospects, potential future performance and demand for the Company's assets, the Jones Act tanker market and other forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes", "expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this Company Presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources, are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development.
AMSC: Stable Long Term Contracts with…
… Blue Chip charterers a such as…
Aker Companies Investor Day 5
American Shipping Company Illustrated
*** Vessel converted to a shuttle tanker and is on a 10 year BBC backed by a 10 year TC
AMSC fleet cost advantage
AMSC has a modern fleet acquired at a lower cost…
Notes: 1) Based on Philly Tankers
2) Based on newbuild cost for the tankers delivered to American Petroleum Tankers (Golden State excluded due to cost overrun)
3) New regulation adds NOx emission requirement that estimated will increase cost to USD 145-150m
4) Based on total consideration for 9 vessels, including additional expenses incurred by Kinder Morgan for taking delivery
Source: Company materials
AMSC fleet cost advantage (cont.)
…providing significantly lower break-even costs
Annual bareboat costs given various total capital IRRs with newbuild cost @ USD 134m
Aker Companies Investor Day
AMSC Key Financial Highlights
- Listed on OSE
- -~ 1.6 BNOK MCAP (~ 195 MUSD)
- Firm BBC Revenue of 88 MUSD
- Normalized EBITDA of ~ 100 MUSD
- -Reported EBITDA of 85 MUSD
- -Deferred Payment Obligation (DPO) of 4 MUSD
- -Profit share of 11 MUSD
- Among top dividend yielding company on OSE
- -~15% (2016E)
- -Dividend supported by firm contracts
- -Dividend classified as repayment of capital
TTM NORMALISED EBITDA* PER 1Q (MUSD)
DIVIDEND YIELD**
9Aker Companies Investor Day
The Jones Act
The Jones Act has been in place since 1920… …and the Jones Act is here to stay!
- Passed in 1920, the Jones Act generally restricts the marine transportation of cargo and passengers between points in the United States to vessels that meet the following criteria:
- -Built in the United States
- -Registered under the U.S. flag
- -Manned predominately by U.S. crews
-
- At least 75% owned and controlled by U.S. citizens
- Essential feature of U.S. national security, ensuring non- dependency of ships controlled by foreign nations
- AMSC's operation in the Jones Act market is made possible by the lease finance exception of the Jones Act
100,000,000,000
USD 100bn contribution to the U.S. domestic economy
30,000,000,000
USD 30bn total investments in over 40,000 vessels
400,000
# jobs directly and indirectly impacted by the U.S. maritime industry
U.S. Transportation of crude and clean products
The link between Oilfields and Refineries
- Onshore shale oil resources mainly located inlands
- Refineries mainly located along the coast
- Combination of pipelines, trains, tankers/barges and trucks necessary to transport oil from fields to refineries and products from refineries to end markets
Transport Modes
U.S. Oilfields and Transportation links
Stable fleet deployment over time – current shift back to clean products trade
Current Jones Act tank fleet deployment by main trades (Tankers and ATBs)
Historical Jones Act tank fleet deployment by main trades (Tankers and ATBs)
Reduced crude transportation due to lower shale production - expected to rebound
- Shale oil production is going from strong growth over the past 5 years to contracting in 2016, but production may increase again in 2017 and forward as oil price recovers
- Reduced crude production, especially from Eagle ford, leads to reduced shipments from Corpus Christi, Texas, but volumes seems to have stabilized over the past three months
- Shipments out of Corpus Christi will likely increase as Eagle Ford production increase
Favorable cost curve at Eagle Ford could lead rebound as oil price recovers
Total Eagle Ford production (liquids and gas) Eagle Ford cost curve (\$/bbls) (only liquids)
- Eagle Ford has one of the most cost sensitive production curves in the U.S. shale
- Current production level has a breakeven level around \$45 per barrel,
- Significant growth potential in the \$50 - \$75 price range
Growing but ageing fleet
Yard delivery schedules Vessel age since delivery
Source: Navigistics Aker Companies Investor Day 15
Softer market short term, but positive long term supply and demand balance
AMSC is the second largest tanker owner
| 2 | 1 7 |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 0 |
||
| 8 | 8 | ||
| 1 0 |
|||
| 5 | 4 | ||
| 6 | 1 | ||
| 3 3 |
1 | ||
| 3 4 |
|||
| MA RT AH ON OI L |
3 1 |
||
| 4 | |||
| 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 1 | ||
| P l i R a n s e s o u r c e s |
1 | ||
| T k ( l f 3 7 ) t t a n e r s o a o |
A T B * ( l f 4 2 ) t t s o a o |
||
| N b i l d t k ( t t l f 1 6 ) e w u a n e r s o a o |
N b i l d A T B ( t t l f 8 ) e w u s o a o |
Investment Highlights
LEADING MARKET POSITION
SECURED CASH FLOWS
STABLE U.S. JONES ACT TANKER MARKET
STRONG DIVIDEND YIELD
Aker Companies Investor Day
THANK YOU!
2016 dividend supported by secured Bareboat + DPO cash flow alone…
Simplified illustration of AMSC cash-flow EXCLUDING profit share (MUSD)
Cash flow from Profit Share (MUSD 11 last 12 months) not included in figures above
Appendix: Profit Share
Illustration of the OSG profit share arrangement: trailing 4 quarters financials, MUSD
T/C hire received by OSG BBC hire paid to AMSC OPEX, profit layer to OSG and dry-dock provision Profit to share 50/50% with AMSC- =
Note: Market rate not adjusted for utilization 21
Appendix: DPO Cash Flow
- DPO = "Deferred Principal Obligation"
- OSG pays a reduced cash rate on the first 5 vessels for 7 years, accruing up to USD 7m on each vessel
-
- Originally structured to reduce OSG's cash costs during the startup period
- -Structured as a loan from AMSC to OSG
- Payable to AMSC after 7 years, over 18 years including interest @ 6.06%
-
- Due in full if OSG does not extend the charter after the initial term
- 4Q 15 first quarter with full cash effect from DPO
DPO explained Split of bareboat rate for PT 1-5 first 7 years, USDk/d
Estimated yearly DPO payments to AMSC, USDm
Significant industry consolidation with Kinder Morgan in the lead
Aug 2015: Kinder Morgan acquired Philly Tankers, previously majority owned by PHLY for a total transaction value of USD 568m
Nov 2014: Kinder Morgan acquired 2 product tankers from Crowley for a consideration of USD 270m
Oct 2014: Genesis Energy acquired a 2-year old tanker for USD 157m
April 2014, Crowley acquired profit-share interests in 2 vessels from PHLY for a total transaction value of USD 40m
Dec 2013: Kinder Morgan acquired 4 existing and 5 newbuild tankers from AMPT for a total transaction value of USD 1.2bn
Appendix: BoD & Management
Previously: Director / Investment Banking Division / DNB Markets, Vice President / Corporate Banking Shipping and Offshore / DNB with experience from New York, Singapore and Oslo
MBA from Columbia University, MSc. from the Norwegian School of Management
Pål LotheMagnussen President /
CEO
- CFO from April 2016
- Previously: Senior Vice President / DVB Corporate Finance, Shipping Analyst / Moore Stephens LLP, Analyst / Credit Suisse
- MSc. Shipping, Trade and Finance from Cass Business School and BA Business Studies form University of Greenwich
Leigh JarosBusiness Controller / Finance Manager
- Controller in AMSC from July 2008 and CFO July 2011 – May 2014
- Previously: +10 years corporate financial experience including financial reporting, analysis and budgeting. Ms. Jaros was employed by Aker Philadelphia Shipyard as its Accounting Supervisor prior to joining AMSC.
-
BSc in Finance and Economics from West Chester University
-
Board member since December 2007
- Previously: CEO / Eitzen Maritime Services and various positions in e.g. Yara International, Norgas Carriers / IM Skaugen and Norsk Hydro
-
MSc. In Technology Management from MIT/NTH/NHH in addition to MSc in Chemical Engineering from NTH
-
Board member since March 2012
- Previously: CEO / Jason Shipping, CEO / Eitzen Maritime Services and various positions in Christiania Bank, Nordea Bank and GIEK and others
- MBA from Oslo Business School / Arizona State University
AudunStensvoldBoard Member
- Board Member since May 2016
- Currently Investment Director in Aker ASA
- Prevously: CFO and Investment Director in i Converto Capital, Financial Advisor in Selmer and Financial Analyst in DNB.
- MSc in Norwegian School of Economics (NHH)