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AMSC ASA Earnings Release 2018

Nov 15, 2018

3533_rns_2018-11-15_f743ebfa-e84f-490e-84d4-798e242e5838.pdf

Earnings Release

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American Shipping Company ASA

Presentation of Q3 2018 15 November 2018

Important information

▪ Nothing herein shall create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of American Shipping Company ASA ("AMSC" or the "Company") as of the date of this Company Presentation. This Company Presentation contains forward-looking statements relating to the Company's business, the Company's prospects, potential future performance and demand for the Company's assets, the Jones Act tanker market and other forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes", "expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this Company Presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources, are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development.

Third Quarter 2018 Highlights

  • Adjusted net profit of USD 2.4 million*
  • Normalized EBITDA** of USD 22.2 million
  • No profit share
  • DPO of USD 0.9 million
  • Declared Q3 dividend of USD 0.08 per share, consistent with prior guidance
  • Ex-dividend date of 21 November 2018 with payment on or about 30th November 2018
  • Classified as a return of paid in capital
  • Improved market conditions for Jones Act tankers
  • Crude volumes to U.S. Northeast further increased
  • Increased number of time charter fixture in the market
  • Seasonal weaker spot market
  • Limited supply growth going forward

* Net profit after tax, adjusted for non-recurring items, currency fluctuations, mark-to-market of derivatives and changes to deferred tax

** Includes DPO, reported EBITDA for Q3 18 is USD 21.3 million

Stable, Predictable EBITDA

  • Normalized EBITDA* of USD 22.2 million in Q3 18 (USD 22.4 million in Q3 17)
  • No profit share in Q3 18 or Q3 17
  • DPO of USD 0.9 in Q3 18 (USD 0.9 million in Q3 17)

Fleet Deployment Overview

Long-term fixed rate bareboat charters to OSG secures cash flow

  • AMSC's fleet is on firm BB Charters to OSG until December 2019* plus evergreen extension options
  • AMSC receives fixed annual bareboat revenue of USD 88 million + ~50% of the profits generated by OSG under the time charter contracts
  • OSG time charters the vessels to oil majors for U.S domestic trade

A Critical Part of Oil Majors' Transportation Logistics

Primary trade routes for Jones Act crude oil and products

The Permian Pipeline Crunch

Permian Pipeline Capacity – New Projects and Production Growth, MBDs

Pipeline project Start Incremental
capacity
Total
capacity
Current capacity 2.80
Local refining 0.50 3.30
BridgeTex Q3
'18
0.04 3.34
Permian Express III Q3
'18
0.05 3.39
Sunrise Q2
'19
0.12 3.51
Cactus 2 Q4
'19
0.67 4.18
Gray Oak Q1 '20 0.70 4.88
EPIC Q2 '20 0.40 5.28
Enterprise NGL 2Q '20 0.10 5.38

Permian production growth has surpassed pipeline takeaway capacity – additional volumes to drive tanker demand

Majority of Fleet Carry Clean Products

8% 17% 36% 36% 3% MSC Clean USG 0% Idle1) West Coast Chemicals Crude Oil 8% 17% 22% 45% 3% 5% MSC Chemicals Idle1) West Coast Crude Oil Clean USG 2015 Total capacity: ~20 mbbls Aug 2018 Total capacity: ~27.5 mbbls

Significant upside potential for Jones Act deployment in Crude Oil

Increasing Volumes Into Florida

Crude Returning to Peak Levels on East Coast

▪ Volumes driven by spread in pricing of U.S. oil vs international alternatives

Source: EIA, Marine Traffic and AMSC analysis

Intra Gulf Crude Shipping Volumes Stabilizing

▪ Jones Act U.S. Gulf loading has stabilized at 500k barrels per day

Oil Price Spread - Key Driver for Increased Crude Shipping Volumes

PADD 3 to PADD 1 Crude Oil Moves by Number of Tanker Liftings

Crude Oil Price Spread - WTI Houston vs. Bonny Light

  • On average 8 MR voyages per month of crude to U.S. Northeast refineries
  • Record thirteen voyages in September 2018

  • Crude loaded in Houston vs. West Africa needs to be minimum \$1.50 cheaper to be competitive for purchase by U.S. Northeast Refiners

  • Spread has been sufficiently wide since Aug/Sept 2017

Fleet Reduction as Scrapping Continues

Fleet profile by vessel age Considerable fleet growth over the last 3 years, but scrapping likely to bring fleet back to 2015 levels

Income Statement (unaudited)

Figures in USD million (except share and per share information) Q3 2018 Q3 2017
Operating revenues 22.1 22.1
Operating expenses (0.8) (0.6)
Operating profit before depreciation -
EBITDA
21.3 21.5
Depreciation (8.5) (8.6)
Operating profit -
EBIT
12.8 12.9
Gain on investments - 2.3
Net interest expense (10.4) (10.4)
Unrealized gain/(loss) on interest swaps 0.1 0.1
Net foreign exchange gain/(loss) - 0.1
Profit/(loss) before income tax 2.5 5.0
Income
tax expense
- (1.0)
Non-cash income tax expense (0.1) (0.5)
Net profit / (loss) for the period * 2.4 3.5
Average number of common shares 60,616,505 60,616,505
Earnings/(loss) per share (USD) 0.04 0.06

Balance Sheet (unaudited)

Figures in USD millions 30.09.2018 30.09.2017
Vessels 720.3 753.9
Interest-bearing long term receivables (DPO) 27.2 29.2
Other non current assets 16.4 17.7
Derivative financial assets 4.2 -
Trade and other receivables 0.1 0.6
Cash held for specified uses 2.2 2.4
Cash and cash equivalents 47.3 46.3
TOTAL ASSETS 817.7 850.1
Total equity 180.6 181.8
Deferred tax liabilities 12.3 20.0
Interest-bearing long term debt 580.7 606.6
Derivative financial liabilities - 0.1
Interest-bearing short term debt 28.3 28.3
Deferred revenues and other payables 15.8 13.3
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 817.7 850.1

Cash position decreased during the quarter due to semi-annual bond interest payment

CASH DEVELOPMENT IN 3Q 18 (USD millions)

Investment Highlights

Highlights Comments
INCREASING
DEMAND
IN KEY TRADES

Soaring crude shipments from U.S. Gulf to the U.S. Northeast, highest since 2015

Growing clean volumes into Florida

Jones Act rates are increasing towards peak levels seen in 2014/15 levels
REDUCING FLEET
CAPACITY

Scrapping of older tonnage continues with 3 MR equivalents retired year to date

15 tankers and ATBs approaching 35 years or older in 2020; with Special Surveys
coming up

Slim orderbook with only one ATB for delivery in 2020
LEADING MARKET POSITION
WITH STABLE CASH FLOWS

Bareboat contracts provide stable cash flows with profit share upside potential

Existing modern fleet that is integral to OSG's business

Well positioned to take advantage of growth opportunities in a strengthening market