Earnings Release • Nov 8, 2010
Earnings Release
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer
According to Alain Taravella, Chairman and Founder:
"The operating indicators are gradually turning positive across all of our business lines, with an upturn in consumer spending at shopping centres, strong positions obtained in residential property development and tangible signs of recovery in office property. We have now laid the foundations for strong growth (subject to constant economic conditions) in our earnings and cash flow for the next two to three years. A more detailed outlook will be presented to the market on the publication of our full-year financial statements on 7 March next year. "
1 Potential revenues incl. tax from development projects with land under option + potential revenues incl. tax from properties for sale
Rental revenues rose by +5.3% over nine months as a result of:
| (€ m) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rental revenues as of Sept. 30, 2009 | 115,4 | |||
| Deliveries | 13,1 11,4% | |||
| Remodelling | (1,9) -1,7% | |||
| Disposals and acquisitions | (2,0) -1,7% | |||
| Like-for-like change | (3,1) -2,7% | |||
| Rental revenues as of Sept. 30, 2010 | 121,6 |
Since the start of the year, GLA of around 100,000 sqm2 has been completed in France (Okabé in Kremlin Bicêtre, Family Village in Limoges) and Italy (Le Due Torri in Lombardy), representing total fullyear rental revenues of €23.5 million3 . The occupancy rate for these properties was 95% on opening.
In parallel with creating new shopping centres, the Group has pursued an intense asset management policy across its entire portfolio, comprising the remodelling and extension of existing properties (seven projects in progress) and asset sales already carried out (Toulouse Saint-Georges, Paris Wagram) or under discussion relating to properties that have reached maturity. This should enable the Group to maintain its pace of growth in a business climate still in recovery, as demonstrated by the -2.7% fall in like-for-like rental revenues as a result of the combination of a number of factors (slightly negative indexation effect4 , decline in variable rental revenues, bad debt loans and frictional vacancy).
Retailers' revenues increased by 3.3%5 relative to 2009. This relates to all retail formats, with retail parks confirming the brisk momentum seen over the last few quarters with growth of +7.2%. The performance of retail parks was achieved in a climate in which competitive pricing has become the decisive factor for consumers. Retail parks have therefore benefited fully from their mass market positioning, while also offering a carefully thought-out environment and pleasant shopping experience comparable to those offered by many shopping centres (in particular for the latest-generation Family Villages developed by the Group).
As a result of the combination of revenue growth and a slight drop in rental values, tenants' occupancy cost ratio returned to close to the pre-crisis level at 9.0% (compared with 9.5% in 2009).
In a particularly buoyant market - with record low interest rates, support for first-time buyers, buy-to-let incentives and a shortage of new homes - the Group, via its subsidiary Cogedim, has achieved strong growth quarter after quarter, with net reservations of €1.0 billion including tax to 30 September 2010, representing a year-on-year increase of +66%.
2 On a 100% basis (78,500 sqm Group share)
3 On a 100% basis (€18.2 million Group share)
4 French retail rent index (ILC): +0.84%, CCI index: -4.10%
5 Figures to end-August on a like-for-like basis (France)
Compared with 2007, which was the benchmark year before the financial crisis, the level of sales has almost doubled, while in the meantime the French market has not yet returned fully to its pre-crisis level6 . This growth was achieved entirely on an organic basis.
Cogedim is the undisputed French leader in upscale residential development, managing prestigious projects as Paris 7 Rive Gauche on the former Laennec hospital site in the heart of Paris (7th arrondissement).
Individual investors have accounted for just 40% of sales since the start of the year. The Paris Region remains the most dynamic region with 63% of total sales since the beginning of the year.
| 30/09/2010 | 30/09/2009 | 30/09/2008 | 30/09/2007 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net reservations (€m, incl. tax) | 1,000 | 601 | 455 | 504 |
| % chg yoy | +66% | +32% | -9% | |
| % chg vs. 2007 | +98% | +19% | -9% | |
| Number of units sold8 | 3,646 | 2,905 | 1,701 | 2,194 |
| Notarised revenues (€m, incl. tax) | 698 | 495 | 410 | 562 |
| Revenues (€m, incl. tax) | 382.3 | 385.1 | 437.8 | 355.4 |
| Backlog9 (€m, excl. tax) |
1,334 | 778 | 684 | 679 |
In view of the sharp increase in residential reservations that began in 2009 and the backlog already built up, very strong revenue growth can be expected compared with current levels at the end of 2010 and for the next two to three years.
6 100,000-110,000 homes expected to be sold in 2010 compared with 127,000 in 2007 (source: French Ministry of Ecology)
8 On a 100% basis
9 The backlog comprises revenues excluding tax from notarised sales to be recognised according to the percentage-of-completion method and reservations to be notarised.
Pipeline:
| (in €m) | 30/09/2010 | 31/12/2009 |
|---|---|---|
| Properties for sale | 458 | 368 |
| Properties in the portfolio | 1,748 | 1,301 |
| Pipeline10 | 2,20611 | 1,669 |
Cogedim's commercial success relates above all to the quality of its products, the dynamism of its staff and the attractiveness of its brand, as well as its ability to offer properties that meet current market needs in terms of quality and volume. Despite the very brisk rate of sales, the pipeline has grown significantly since the start of the year (+32%), representing around 20 months' supply at the current disposal rate. Cogedim has therefore benefited fully from current market conditions while also maintaining rigorous management of its risks and commitments.
To 30 September 2010, Altarea Cogedim recorded take-up of €210 million incl. tax relating to various developments or delegated project management projects, an increase of 23.5% relative to the total in 2009. The backlog therefore grew in a market that is still weak but showing the first signs of recovery.
| 30 Sept. 2010 | 31 Dec. 2009 | 31 Dec. 2008 | 31 Dec. 2007 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Take-up (€m, incl. tax) | 210 | 170 | 409 | 448 |
| Backlog (€m, excl. tax) | 156 | 103 | 162 | 255 |
| Total revenues (€m, excl. tax) | 54.4 | 152.0 | 174.1 | 82.0 |
Net bank debt amounted to €2,229.5 million at 30 September 2010 compared with €2,098.6 million at 30 June 2010. This increase relates primarily to the dividend paid in July, investment in recently completed development projects and financing of the working capital requirement, as well as cash flow generated from operations.
Analysts, investors: Eric Dumas, Chief Financial Officer +33 1 44 95 51 42 Press: Nathalie Bardin, Communications Director +33 1 56 26 25 36 / + 33 6 85 26 15 29 Valérie Jardat, Coté Jardat +33 1 41 05 94 10 / +33 6 12 05 18 35
10 Potential revenues incl. tax
11 Number of units in the pipeline : 8,500
| 2010 | 2009 | Variation | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (€ k) | Q1 2010 | Q2 2010 | Q3 2010 | Total YTD | Q1 2009 | Q2 2009 | Q3 2009 | Total YTD | 2010 YTD - 2009 YTD |
|
| Shopping centres | ||||||||||
| Rental revenues | 40 585 | 40 283 | 40 700 | 121 567 | 35 543 | 41 040 | 38 866 | 115 448 | 5,3% | |
| External fees | 1 956 | 2 043 | 2 004 | 6 003 | 1 917 | 1 903 | 1 964 | 5 784 | 3,8% | |
| Shopping centres | 42 540 | 42 325 | 42 705 | 127 570 | 37 460 | 42 942 | 40 830 | 121 231 | 5,2% | |
| Third-party development | ||||||||||
| Revenues | 143 972 | 140 095 | 145 637 | 429 704 | 166 297 | 177 775 | 155 813 | 499 885 | -14,0% | |
| External fees | 2 343 | 4 443 | 3 089 | 9 874 | 4 442 | 5 251 | 2 698 | 12 391 | -20,3% | |
| Property development | 146 315 | 144 538 | 148 725 | 439 578 | 170 739 | 183 026 | 158 511 | 512 276 | -14,2% | |
| O/w residential property | ||||||||||
| Revenues | 122 644 | 126 144 | 133 502 | 382 290 | 122 349 | 140 156 | 122 564 | 385 069 | -0,7% | |
| External fees | 379 | 1 946 | 556 | 2 881 | 751 | 1 422 | 555 | 2 728 | 5,6% | |
| Residential property | 123 023 | 128 089 | 134 058 | 385 170 | 123 100 | 141 577 | 123 119 | 387 796 | -0,7% | |
| O/w office property | ||||||||||
| Revenues | 21 328 | 13 952 | 12 135 | 47 415 | 43 948 | 37 619 | 33 249 | 114 816 | -58,7% | |
| External fees | 1 964 | 2 497 | 2 532 | 6 993 | 3 692 | 3 829 | 2 143 | 9 664 | -27,6% | |
| Office property | 23 292 | 16 449 | 14 667 | 54 408 | 47 640 | 41 449 | 35 392 | 124 480 | -56,3% | |
| Recurring activities | 188 856 | 186 863 | 191 430 | 567 149 | 208 199 | 225 968 | 199 341 | 633 509 | -10,5% | |
| Revenues (1) | 11 758 | 4 586 | 2 973 | 19 316 | 4 962 | 19 256 | 34 848 | 59 066 | -67,3% | |
| External fees | 901 | 1 108 | 256 | 2 265 | 314 | 467 | 647 | 1 428 | 58,6% | |
| Non-recurring activities | 12 659 | 5 694 | 3 228 | 21 581 | 5 276 | 19 723 | 35 495 | 60 493 | -64,3% | |
| Total revenues | 201 515 | 192 557 | 194 658 | 588 730 | 213 475 | 245 691 | 234 836 | 694 001 | -15,2% |
(1) Non-recurring activities revenues are mainly consisting of off-plan sale agreements connected with shopping centres under development.
Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.