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AKVA Group — Investor Presentation 2024
Feb 16, 2024
3532_rns_2024-02-16_cf624400-ff28-405f-9270-6a55f4c5378d.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q4 2023 Presentation
Oslo, 16 February 2024
Pioneering a better future
Knut Nesse, CEO Ronny Meinkøhn, CFO
Agenda|Q4 2023
Introduction and Highlights
Financial Performance
Knut Nesse, CEO Ronny Meinkøhn, CFO
Q&A Session
Highlights|Q4 2023
- Revenue of MNOK 800 and EBIT of MNOK 0 adjusted for MNOK 10 in costs related to rightsizing process
- Rightsizing process with estimated MNOK 45 in annual costs savings completed in Q4
- Acceptable order intake in Sea Based but still slow market in Land Based
- AKVA has revised the medium-term financial targets and is aiming for revenue of minimum BNOK 3.6 and EBIT of 4%-5% in 2024
- Strong focus to further develop and improve deep farming concepts after the successful commercial breakthrough during 2023
Key figures|Q4 2023
Revenue 800 MNOK 655 757 833 779 800 Q4 19 Q4 20 Q4 21 Q4 22 Q4 23 -40
Key figures|Full year 2023
Revenue
3 431 MNOK
263 MNOK 272 337 302 158 263
EBITDA
* Note: EBITDA of MNOK 158 in 22 is impacted by MNOK 58 in costs related to restructuring and cost saving programs
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
EBIT
* Note: Negative EBIT of MNOK 56 in 22 is impacted by MNOK 98 in costs related to restructuring and cost saving programs
Development order intake and order backlog
Note: Order backlog includes currency effects on existing contracts
Strategic and Operational Status
Underlying demand growth implies 0.7-1.3 million ton volume increase by 2030
1) +1.5 percentage point increased price-neutral volume growth compared to base case Source: Kontali, Cardo Partners analysis Extrapolation of underlying demand growth for salmon 2012-2030 Consumption of Atlantic salmon WFE in mill. tons Base case price-neutral volume growth (~3%) High demand growth (~4.5%)1 Historic development Supply drivers Demand drivers Main supply and demand drivers 2022-2030: +0.7-1.3 mill. tons Supply potential Global health and wellness megatrend drives adoption of salmon as a sustainable and healthy source of protein Technological advances for improved utilization of existing licenses Inflationary pressures may shift consumption towards cheaper protein sources Slow scale-up of new farming technologies (landbased and offshore) Uncertainty regarding future regulations in several farming regions impacting future supply growth Growth in demand driven by emerging salmon markets and product development in existing markets Norwegian resource tax reducing investments in new technology for future license utilization 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 1.5 4.5 1.0 2.5 2.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 5.0 2.9 4.2 3.6
Precision Farming - Sea Based Solutions
- From advanced, tailored marine infrastructure to single components and products
Marine Infrastructure
- quality equipment for better operations
- Plastic and Steel pens
- Nets
- Anchoring & Mooring
- Net Cleaning
- ROV systems
- Boats
- Marine engineering
- Lab services
Precision Feeding
- for optimizing fish
and growth
▪ Feed systems
▪ Camera & sensors
- AKVA observe - AKVA fishtalk
▪ Digital support: ▪ - AKVA connect
▪ Barges
▪ Lights
performance, feed conversion
Deep farming & Lice control
- reducing lice problems
▪ Nautilus
- Tubenet
- OptiCage
- Plastic pens
- Feed system
- Sub surface feeding
- Camera systems
- Lights
- Digital support
Deep farming concept - Nautilus
- Can solve one of the biggest sustainability challenges in aquaculture: salmon lice
Current digital solutions
- 104 sites worldwide on recurring revenue model
- 25 new sites in 2022
- 64 new sites in 2023
▪ Global market share of 60% ▪ 353 sites worldwide on
- recurring revenue model
- 125 new sites in 2022
- 178 new sites in 2023
▪ 17 sites worldwide on recurring revenue model
Innovation agenda for Land Based Salmon Farming
Market leading RAS technology enabling sustainable and cost-effective production
Delivering complete scope of fish farming technology (e.g. feeding, fish tanks, fish handling, camera, lights, sensors, control system)
1
Data driven insight and intelligent farming systems enabling consistent and optimized production - "Precision Farming" 3 4
2
Production Advisory Services – RAS production competence group helping customers maximizing output and reducing cost
Standard 5,000 tonnes modules
Build up LB organization in Norway
AKVA group Innovation agenda – Centre of Excellence
Post-smolt RAS concept is validated
There are significant benefits from a post smolt strategy:
- Reduced time in the sea means less lice treatment and improved fish health
- Better utilization of licenses provides improved volume with 30% or higher dependent on the size of the post smolt
Outlook – post smolt market in Norway:
- Our customers want to know all the implications from the new resource tax and this takes some time
- AKVA does not expect to sign any major new RAS contracts in Norway before second half 2024
- Pipeline of prospects is solid
NOAP phase I will be finished in Q1-2024
- Construction of NOAP phase I will be completed in Q1 2024. Annual capacity of 4,000t
- NOAP phase II is initiated with additional annual capacity of 4,000t
- Phase II to be executed towards end of 2024 and during 2025
- AKVA has signed RAS contract for phase III (not included in order backlog) with additional annual capacity of 12,000t. Start-up of project to be authorized by NOAP in the future
Expected activity level for Land Based
- Total order backlog of BNOK 1,5
- During 2023 AKVA has signed the following contracts:
- NOAP phase II MEUR 40 (full grow out): Project is started and will be executed next 2-3 years
- Cermaq Finnmark MEUR 60 (post smolt): Project is started and will be executed next 2-3 years
- Two RAS contracts outside Norway at approx. MEUR 16 to be executed next 1-2 years
- With main basis in these contracts the expected activity level for 2024 will be minimum MNOK 600
- Soft activity level in first half of 2024 due to closing of "old" projects during Q1 and slow start up of new projects
- Project margins expected to improve
- OPEX will be reduced due rightsizing process completed in Q4 2023
Revised medium term financial targets
Revenue growth
- ➢ 2024: Min. 5% growth (BNOK 3,6) but no growth in Land Based
- ➢ Long term: Organic topline growth of min. 10% Y-oY
- Sea Based: 5%
- Land Based: Min. 30% as of 2025 and onwards
- Digital 30%
Profitability
- ➢ 2024: 4-5% EBIT
- ➢ 2025: min. 6% EBIT
- ➢ Improve ROACE to 10-15% by 2025
EBIT enablers
- ➢ Operational excellence
- ➢ Cost reduction program implemented 2023
- ➢ Scaling of Digital and Land Based business
- ➢ New contract management Land Based
Revenue and EBIT development
Agenda|Q4 2023
Introduction and Highlights
Financial Performance
Knut Nesse, CEO Ronny Meinkøhn, CFO
Q&A Session
Q4 2023 – Income statement
- Revenues increased by MNOK 21 compared to Q4 22
- EBIT increased by MNOK 4 from MNOK -14 in Q4 22 to MNOK -10 in Q4 23
- Adjusted for costs of MNOK 10 related to rightsizing process EBIT was MNOK 0 in Q4 23
- Net finance costs in Q4 23 is negative impacted by increased interest rates and currency effects
| million NOK |
2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 | Q4 | YTD | YTD | |
| Revenue | 800 | 779 | 3 431 |
3 376 |
| of materials Cost |
435 | 474 | 1 996 |
2 107 |
| Payroll expenses |
270 | 224 | 954 | 881 |
| Other operating expenses |
54 | 54 | 217 | 230 |
| EBITDA | 41 | 27 | 263 | 158 |
| EBITDA margin |
5,1 % | 3,5 % | 7,7 % | 4,7 % |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairment |
51 | 42 | 196 | 215 |
| EBIT | -10 | -14 | 68 | -56 |
| EBIT margin |
-1,2 % | -1,9 % | 2,0 % | -1,7 % |
| Financial Net Items |
-43 | -22 | -97 | -95 |
| (loss) before Income tax |
-53 | -37 | -29 | -152 |
| tax1 Income |
-13 | 1 | -6 | -21 |
| (loss) income Net |
-41 | -37 | -23 | -131 |
| per share (NOK) Earnings |
-1,10 | -1,03 | -0,61 | -3,61 |
1Income tax Q4 and YTD 23 based on best estimate
Revenue development
- Last twelve months order intake and revenue was MNOK 4,328 and MNOK 3,431, respectively
- Revenue increased by 3% compared to Q4 22
- Increased revenue in both Sea Based and Digital but reduction of 13% in Land Based compared to Q4 22
Revenue by Market and Segment
- Strong increase of 18% in the Nordic market compared to Q4 22
-
Reduced revenue in other markets
-
Sea Based represents 77% of total revenue in Q4 23
- Increase in revenue compared to Q4 22 is related to increased activity in Sea Based (+4%) and Digital (+66%)
* Note: Market definition is location of customer
EBITDA and EBIT development
- EBITDA margin increased from 3,5% in Q4 22 to 5,1% in Q4 23
- Adjusted for costs of MNOK 10 related to rightsizing process EBITDA margin was 6,3% in Q4 23
- EBITDA margin of 8,8% in Sea Based
- Still challenging profitability in Land Based due to high cost base, low activity level and low profit margins on part of project portfolio
- Rightsizing process completed in Q4 with estimated annual cost savings of MNOK 45
Cash flow and financial position
▪ Numbers includes MNOK 300 credit facility in DNB
Available cash (MNOK) Net Working capital Net debt / EBITDA*
NIBD/EBITDA covenant threshold of 4,50
* NIBD/EBITDA ratio for the periods Q4 22 to Q1 23, Q2 23 and Q4 24 is adjusted for nonrecurring costs of MNOK 138, MNOK 73 and MNOK 40, respectively, in agreement with DNB
Development Net interest-bearing debt
NIBD Q4 2023 (MNOK) NIBD YTD 2023 (MNOK)
Capital expenditure
- Total CAPEX of MNOK 35 in Q4 23, where MNOK 16 applies to our three innovation agendas
- Total CAPEX in 2023 of MNOK 175
CAPEX (MNOK)
Dividend
▪ The company has decided not to pay any dividend for the first half of 2024
Cash dividend (NOK per share)
Business segments
Sea Based Technology
Overall
- Revenue increased by MNOK 26 while EBITDA margin increased from 8,4% in Q4 22 to 8,8% in Q4 23
- Order intake decreased from MNOK 823 in Q4 22 to MNOK 679 in Q4 23
Nordic
- Revenue increased by 18% in Q4 23 compared to Q4 22
- 21% decrease in order intake Q4 23 compared to last year
Americas
• Revenue decreased by 16% in Q4 23 compared to Q4 22 while order intake was 12% higher in the same period
Europe & Middle East
• Revenue at the same level as in Q4 22 but order intake was reduced by 37% in Q4 23 compared to Q4 22
Revenue (MNOK) and EBITDA-margin (%)
Sea Based order intake and backlog development
Order backlog & Order intake(MNOK)
Development OPEX based revenue
- Positive trend continues and OPEX based revenue was MNOK 31 higher in Q4 23 compared to Q4 22
- Full year OPEX based revenue amounts to MNOK 1,017 and is 18% higher compared to 2022
Land Based Technology
- Revenue decreased by 13% in Q4 23 compared to Q4 22
- Profit margins are still negative impacted by high cost base, low activity level and low project margins on parts of the project portfolio
- Rightsizing of organization completed in Q4 23 with annual estimated cost savings of MNOK 20 161
Land Based order intake and backlog development
Revenue (MNOK) and EBITDA-margin (%)
- Order intake of MNOK 40 is MNOK 7 higher than the same quarter last year
- Strong increase of 66% in recurring revenue compared to Q4 22
- Temporary setback on profitability as EBITDA margin decreased from 20% in Q4 22 to 4% in Q4 23
Digital order intake and backlog development
Order backlog & Order intake(MNOK)
Outlook
- Salmon prices expected to remain strong driven by reduced supply
- AKVA expects to see normalization of the post smolt market in Norway during the second half of 2024
- Rightsizing of organization completed in Q4 23 with estimated annual cost savings of MNOK 45
- AKVA has revised the medium-term financial targets and is aiming for revenue of minimum BNOK 3.6 and EBIT of 4-5% in 2024
- AKVA will continue to invest and improve our solutions, both within Sea Based, Digital and Land Based Technology
Disclaimer
- All opinions and statements in this notice are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated date of this notice and may be subject to change without notice. AKVA group has taken all reasonable steps to ensure that the information contained in this notice is true and not misleading. Notwithstanding such efforts, we make no guarantee as to its accuracy or completeness.
- This notice includes forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on current plans, estimates and projections, and therefore investors should not place undue reliance on them. Words such as "expect", "anticipate", "believe", "intend", "estimate, "should" and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements but are not the exclusive means of identifying such statements. Forward-looking statements speaks only as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update any forwardlooking statement in light of new information or future events.
- Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, most of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond AKVA group's control. Although it is believed that the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, investors should bear in mind that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in such forward-looking statements, including assumptions relating to general economic conditions in Norway and worldwide. Numerous factors exist and may occur that could cause AKVA group's actual operations, result or performance to differ from the forward-looking statements.
- Any use of information contained in this notice is at your own individual risk. AKVA group assumes no liability for any losses caused by relaying on the information contained in this notice, including investment decision taken on the basis of this notice.
- This notice is not intended for, and must not be distributed to, individuals or entities in jurisdictions where such distribution is unlawful.
Agenda|Q4 2023
Introduction and Highlights
Financial Performance
Knut Nesse, CEO Ronny Meinkøhn, CFO
AKVA group in a brief
AKVA group is the leading technology and service partner to the aquaculture industry worldwide.
Our presence
Present in all markets with offices in:
- Norway
- Denmark
- Scotland
- Lithuania
- Spain
- Greece
- Turkey
- Chile
- Canada
- China
- Australia
Balance sheet
| CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION Note |
2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| (NOK 1 000) | 31.12. | 31.12. |
| Intangible fixed assets 1,3 |
1 157 266 | 989 063 |
| Deferred tax assets | 77 283 | 44 902 |
| Tangible fixed assets | 671 833 | 635 245 |
| Long-term financial assets | 312 778 | 314 337 |
| FIXED ASSETS | 2 219 160 | 1 983 547 |
| Stock | 628 614 | 600 394 |
| Trade receivables | 468 193 | 592 838 |
| Other receivables | 113 002 | 125 679 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 219 390 | 277 988 |
| CURRENT ASSETS | 1 429 199 | 1 596 899 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 3 648 359 | 3 580 446 |
| Equity attributable to equity holders of AKVA group ASA | 1 137 932 | 1 144 000 |
| Non-controlling interests 1,3 |
10 225 | 336 |
| TOTAL EQUITY | 1 148 157 | 1 144 337 |
| Deferred tax | 46 814 | 18 242 |
| Other long term debt | 59 777 | 36 637 |
| Lease Liability - Long-term | 405 231 | 403 340 |
| Long-term interest bearing debt 1 |
862 317 | 702 481 |
| LONG-TERM DEBT | 1 374 139 | 1 160 700 |
| Short-term interest bearing debt 4 |
37 500 | 80 625 |
| Lease Liability - Short-term | 90 795 | 79 095 |
| Trade payables | 328 421 | 310 629 |
| Public duties payable | 133 036 | 81 277 |
| Contract liabilities | 293 599 | 468 729 |
| Other current liabilities | 242 712 | 255 057 |
| SHORT-TERM DEBT | 1 126 063 | 1 275 410 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND DEBT | 3 648 359 | 3 580 446 |
Cash flow statement
| CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK 1 000) | Q4 | Q4 | YTD | YTD |
| Cash flow from operating activities | ||||
| Profit before taxes | -53 166 | -36 654 | -29 311 | -151 864 |
| Taxes paid | -425 | -5 133 | -12 184 | -11 370 |
| Share of profit(-)/loss(+) from associates | -2 106 | -1 102 | -10 256 | -7 087 |
| Net interest cost | 24 382 | 17 372 | 85 899 | 50 606 |
| Gain(-)/loss(+) on disposal of fixed assets | -583 | -318 | -1 339 | -766 |
| Gain(-)/loss(+) on financial fixed assets | -5 641 | 4 551 | -10 953 | -5 504 |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairment | 50 536 | 41 548 | 195 805 | 214 762 |
| Changes in stock, accounts receivable and trade payables | 202 948 | -108 630 | 114 218 | -51 344 |
| Changes in other receivables and payables | -122 107 | 80 908 | -123 038 | 205 137 |
| Net foreign exchange difference | -2 671 | -10 016 | -16 442 | -21 216 |
| Cash generated from operating activities | 91 167 | -17 475 | 192 399 | 221 353 |
| Cash flow from investment activities | ||||
| Investments in fixed assets | -35 418 | -43 910 | -175 160 | -167 859 |
| Proceeds from sale of fixed assets | 660 | 369 | 2 218 | 6 969 |
| Acquisition of subsidiary net of cash acquired | -35 320 | 0 | -35 648 | 0 |
| Proceeds from sale of associates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 000 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | -70 078 | -43 541 | -208 590 | -120 890 |
| Cash flow from financing activities | ||||
| Repayment of borrow ings | -11 288 | -14 700 | -160 393 | -81 622 |
| Proceed from borrow ings | 0 | 43 125 | 195 833 | 43 125 |
| IFRS 16 interest | -5 902 | -5 511 | -22 741 | -19 576 |
| Net other interest | -18 480 | -12 008 | -63 158 | -31 177 |
| Dividend payment | 0 | 0 | 0 | -36 668 |
| Dividents payment from NCI | 8 052 | 0 | 8 052 | 0 |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | -27 618 | 10 906 | -42 407 | -125 918 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period | 225 918 | 328 098 | 277 988 | 303 442 |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | -6 528 | -50 110 | -58 598 | -25 454 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of period | 219 390 | 277 988 | 219 390 | 277 988 |
Largest shareholders
20 largest shareholders
| No of shares |
% | Account name |
Type | Citizenship |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 703 105 |
51,0 % |
EGERSUND GROUP AS |
NOR | |
| 6 600 192 |
18,0 % |
Israel Corporation Ltd |
ISR | |
| 1 901 267 |
5,2 % |
PARETO AKSJE NORGE VERDIPAPIRFOND |
NOR | |
| 1 095 436 |
3,0 % |
VERDIPAPIRFONDET NORDEA AVKASTNING |
NOR | |
| 964 745 |
2,6 % |
SIX SIS AG |
Nominee | CHE |
| 791 167 |
2,2 % |
VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA |
NOR | |
| 621 997 |
1,7 % |
VERDIPAPIRFONDET NORDEA KAPITAL |
NOR | |
| 602 614 |
1,6 % |
VERDIPAPIRFONDET NORDEA NORGE PLUS |
NOR | |
| 543 332 |
1,5 % |
FORSVARETS PERSONELLSERVICE |
NOR | |
| 316 155 |
0,9 % |
SE J.P. Morgan |
Nominee | LUX |
| 302 998 |
0,8 % |
MP PENSJON PK |
NOR | |
| 256 590 |
0,7 % |
SE J.P. Morgan |
Nominee | FIN |
| 237 430 |
0,6 % |
VERDIPAPIRFONDET EQUINOR AKSJER NO |
NOR | |
| 230 663 |
0,6 % |
AKVA GROUP ASA |
NOR | |
| 221 502 |
0,6 % |
VERDIPAPIRFONDET BERG NORGE ALFRED |
NOR | |
| 130 000 |
0,4 % |
NESSE & CO AS |
NOR | |
| 129 988 |
0,4 % |
PACTUM AS |
NOR | |
| 128 000 |
0,3 % |
VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG NORGE |
NOR | |
| 125 795 |
0,3 % |
DAHLE | NOR | |
| 100 800 |
0,3 % |
JAKOB HOLDING AS HATTELAND |
NOR | |
| 34 003 776 |
92,7 % |
20 largest shareholders |
||
| 2 663 957 |
7,3 % |
Other shareholders |
||
| 36 667 733 |
100,0 % |
Total shares |
Origin of shareholders, 5 largest countries
| No of shares |
% Origin |
No of shareholders |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 143 106 |
Norway | 76,75 % |
1265 |
| 3 300 192 |
Israel | 9,00 % |
1 |
| 4 284 800 |
Switzerland | 11,69 % |
7 |
| 357 873 |
Luxembourg | 0,98 % |
3 |
| 302 576 |
Finland | 0,83 % |
3 |
| 81 365 |
Denmark | 0,22 % |
20 |
| 37 904 |
Ireland | 0,10 % |
14 |
Share development
Subscribe to Oslo Stock Exchange Releases from AKVA by email on:
https://www.akvagroup.com/investors/subscribe/
Total number of shareholders: 1408 - from 28 different countries
Our Values
- We CARE for our industry and the communities we are localized
Customer focus Aquaculture knowledge Reliability Enthusiasm