Regulatory Filings • Aug 12, 2024
Regulatory Filings
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1300 Riverplace Blvd, Suite 640 Jacksonville, FL 32207 904-516-8900
Mixed-Use Site Fountains East 377 Saint Elizabeth Way St Johns, Florida 32259
Prepared For: Ms. Ece Demirpence, CEO Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. Esentepe Mahallesi Buyukdere Caddesi No: 201 K: 8 Sisli Istanbul, Turkey
August 9, 2024
Ms. Ece Demirpence, CEO Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. Esentepe Mahallesi Buyukdere Caddesi No: 201 K: 8 Sisli Istanbul, Turkey
RE: Appraisal Report Mixed-Use Site (Fountains East) 377 Saint Elizabeth Way St Johns, Florida 32259 File No: 2024-1564
Dear Ms. Demirpence:
As requested, the following is an Appraisal Report of the above-referenced property. The subject property is specifically described by both narrative and legal description contained within the attached Appraisal Report. Furthermore, the report describes the subject, its market area environment, and surrounding influences, including current market conditions, and the methods of approach to the valuation problem. It contains data gathered and analyzed in arriving at our conclusion of market value.
We developed our analyses, opinions, and conclusions and prepared this report in conformity with the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP) of the Appraisal Foundation; and the Code of Professional Ethics and Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice of the Appraisal Institute.
The purpose of this appraisal is to develop an opinion of the As-Is Market Value (Fee Simple Estate). The following table conveys the final opinion of value that is developed in this appraisal:
| MARKET VALUE CONCLUSION | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUATION SCENARIO | INTEREST APPRAISED | EXPOSURE TIME | EFFECTIVE DATE | VALUE |
| As-Is Market Value | Fee Simple Estate | 12 Months | August 9, 2024 | \$8,840,000 |
The value conclusions are subject to the following extraordinary assumptions that may affect the assignment results. An extraordinary assumption is an assignment-specific assumption as of the effective date regarding uncertain information used in the analysis which, if found to be false, could alter the appraiser's opinions or conclusions.
The value conclusions are based on the following hypothetical conditions that may affect the assignment results. A Hypothetical Condition is a condition, directly related to a specific assignment, which is contrary to what is known by the appraiser to exist on the effective date of the assignment results, but is used for the purpose of the analysis.
If you have questions or comments, please contact the undersigned. Thank you for the opportunity to provide appraisal services.
Respectfully submitted,
Michael Hotaling, MAI, ASA Managing Partner State-Certified General Real Estate Appraiser RZ3226
Bolina Kol Senior Appraiser/Analyst State-Certified General Real Estate Appraiser RZ2602
| INTRODUCTION | |
|---|---|
| Executive Summary ___________________1 |
|
| Identification of Appraisal Assignment _________________1 |
|
| Intended Use & Users_________________2 | |
| Sales History ____________________2 |
|
| Definition Of Market Value _________________3 |
|
| Property Rights Appraised __________________3 |
|
| Scope Of Work __________________4 |
|
| Taxes & Assessment __________________5 |
|
| Zoning_____________________6 | |
| Site Description _________________7 |
| Flood Map_________________8 | |
|---|---|
| Photographs | __________________ 10 |
| Aerial Map_____________________ | 11 |
| Fountains St. Johns Master Plan | ________________ 12 |
| Location Map___________ | Error! Bookmark not defined. |
| Market Area Analysis________________ | 14 |
| Highest & Best Use | _________________ 20 |
| Site Valuation | _________________ 23 |
|---|---|
| Site Valuation Two ___________ |
Error! Bookmark not defined. |
| Reconciliation of Value Conclusions | ___________ Error! Bookmark not defined. |
| Exposure & Marketing Time | ______________ 40 |
| Assumptions & Limiting Conditions | ____________ 41 |
| Certification | ___________________ 43 |
| PROPERTY IDENTIFICATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Name | Fountains East | |
| Property | Mixed-Use Land | |
| Address | 377 Saint Elizabeth Way | |
| City, State Zip | St Johns, Florida 32259 | |
| County | St Johns County | |
| Market / Submarket | Jacksonville MSA / St. Johns County | |
| Geocode | 30.074394,-81.495576 | |
| SITE DESCRIPTION | ||
| Assessor Parcel Numbers | 026270-0015 & 026250-0043 | |
| Land Area | Square Feet Acres |
|
| Upland | 277,041 6.36 |
|
| Wetland | None None |
|
| Gross | 277,041 6.36 |
|
| Zoning | Planned Unit Development (PUD) | |
| Shape | Regular | |
| Flood Zone | Zone X | |
| QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS | ||
| Site Quality | Average | |
| Site Access | Average | |
| Site Exposure | Average | |
| Site Utility | Average | |
| HIGHEST & BEST USE | ||
| As Is/Vacant | Multi-family and retail development | |
| EXPOSURE & MARKETING TIME | ||
| Exposure Time | 12 Months | |
| Marketing Time | 12 Months | |
| VALUE CONCLUSION | ||
| (ALLIATION) CCENIADIOC | AC IC MAADVET VALUE |
| FINAL VALUE CONCLUSION | \$8,840,000 |
|---|---|
| Retail Land | \$2,400,000 |
| Multi-Family Land | \$6,440,000 |
| Effective Date | August 9, 2024 |
| Exposure Time | 12 Months |
| Interest | Fee Simple Estate |
| VALUATION SCENARIOS | AS-IS MARKET VALUE |
The value conclusions are subject to the following extraordinary assumptions that may affect the assignment results. An extraordinary assumption is an assignment-specific assumption as of the effective date regarding uncertain information used in the analysis which, if found to be false, could alter the appraiser's opinions or conclusions.
The value conclusions are based on the following hypothetical conditions that may affect the assignment results. A Hypothetical Condition is a condition, directly related to a specific assignment, which is contrary to what is known by the appraiser to exist on the effective date of the assignment results, but is used for the purpose of the analysis.
The subject of this appraisal represents 6.36± acres of fully entitled, mixed-use land located within the Fountains East PUD development, which is located within the northeast quadrant of Interstate 95 and County Road 210 in Saint Johns, Saint Johns County, Florida 32259. The subject is identified by the St. Johns County Property Appraiser as parcel identification numbers 026270-0015 & 026250-0043.
The client of this specific assignment is Ms. Ece Demirpence, CEO of Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S.
The intended use of the appraisal is to assist the client (intended user) in potentially bringing in a new partner (Global Platform) to develop the subject site.
The purpose of this appraisal is to develop an opinion of the As-Is Market Value (Fee Simple Estate).
The subject is undeveloped land. There is no personal property (FF&E) included in this valuation.
This is an Appraisal Report described by the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP) under Standards Rule 2-2(a).
This appraisal and report are intended to conform to the requirements of the following:
EOA Fountains, LLC 13553 Atlantic Boulevard, Suite 201 Jacksonville Florida 32225
According to public records,
EO At Fountains LLC purchased Parcel Number 026270-0015 from Fountains East Investments One, LLC in July 2022 for \$7,000,000 (26.78 PSF), which was recorded under Special Warranty Deed OR Book 5590, Page 1993. Additionally, EO At Fountains LLC purchased Parcel Number 026250-0043 from Madison Fountains Owner, LLC in August 2022 for \$356,800 (\$22.96 PSF), which was recorded under Special Warranty Deed OR Book 5633, Page 841. An appraisal was completed before the closing. These transactions are between related parties and are not considered arm's length as David Ergisi was the controlling member of both entities. Based on the fact that an appraisal was performed immediately before closing, the sales are assumed to be at market pricing, despite the related-party transaction.
Additionally, EO At Fountains LLC transferred the subject via a quit claim deed, which comprised Parcel Numbers: 026270-0015 & 026250-0043, to EOA Fountains, LLC in December 2022 for a recorded sale price of \$3,953,000. This was not an arm's-length market transaction.
We are not aware of any other sale transactions, transfers, listings, pending, or recent contracts for sale that occurred within the last three years. This is based on our interview with the client, and a search utilizing LoopNet, CoStar, public records, MLS, and various other sources.
The purpose of this appraisal is to develop an opinion of the market value of the subject property for internal decision-making.
The most probable price which a property should bring in a competitive and open market under all conditions requisite to a fair sale, the buyer and seller each acting prudently, knowledgeably, and assuming that the price is not affected by undue stimulus. Implicit in this definition is the consummation of a sale as of a specified date and the passing of title from seller to buyer under conditions whereby:
The subject is currently vacant. Our opinion of the subject's market value represents a Fee Simple interest.
Absolute ownership unencumbered by any other interest or estate, subject only to the limitations imposed by the governmental powers of taxation, eminent domain, police power, and escheat.2
1 Office of Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), Title 12 of the Code of Federal Regulation, Part 34, Subpart C -Appraisals, 34.42 (g); Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS), 12 CFR 564.2 (g); This is also compatible with the FDIC, FRS and NCUA definitions of market value.
2 The Dictionary of Real Estate Appraisal, Seventh Edition, Appraisal Institute, Chicago, Illinois, 2022.
The scope of work includes all steps taken in the development of the appraisal. These include:
In preparing this appraisal of the subject property, the appraisers:
In developing our opinion of market value, consideration is given to the subject's zoning, surrounding improvements, and its development potential under the St. Johns County Comprehensive Plan. We also considered its location in relation to the commercial and residential growth within the subject's greater market area. Additional information obtained while completing this appraisal assignment is retained in the appraisal file and incorporated herein by reference.
The date of the report is August 9, 2024, which is the date the report is completed and transmitted to the client.
The effective date of value is August 8, 2024, which is also the date of the site visit (inspection date).
| PROPERTY INSPECTION | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APPRAISER | INSPECTED | EXTENT | DATE | ||
| Bolina Kol | Yes | From the Street | August 8, 2024 | ||
| Michael Hotaling, MAI, ASA From the Street August 8, 2024 Yes |
The subject's assessed values and property taxes for the current year are summarized in detail in the following table.
| ASSESSMENT & TAXES (2023) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASSESSOR PARCEL# | LAND | IMPROVEMENTS | TOTAL | EXEMPTIONS | TAXABLE | BASE TAX |
| 026270-0015 | \$6,011,280 | \$0 | \$6,011,280 | \$0 | \$6,011,280 | \$73,252 |
| 026250-0043 | \$313,640 | \$0 | \$313,640 | \$0 | \$313,640 | \$3,822 |
| Subtotal | \$6,324,920 | \$0 | \$6,324,920 | \$0 | \$6,324,920 | \$77,074 |
| Subtotal S/NRA | ||||||
| TOTAL BASE TAX \$/NRA / \$ TOTAL | Millage Rate | 12.1858 | $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ | \$77,074 |
In Florida, commercial real estate is assessed at 100% of market value. In actual practice, assessments tend to range about 70% to 90% of market value to account for selling costs and to reduce the number of appeals. Based on the concluded opinion of market value contained within this report, the assessed value concluded by the St. Johns County Property Appraiser's Office of \$6,324,920 for the subject, which equates to \$22.83 PSF, is lower than our opinion of market value. It appears likely that the County did not fully consider the physical characteristics and development rights assigned to the subject site.
| Zoning Jurisdiction | St. Johns County |
|---|---|
| Zoning Code | PUD (2020-59) |
| Zoning Description | Planned Unit Development Fountains East PUD |
| District Intent | According to St. Johns County public records, the PUD, which encompassed the parent tract, is entitled for 450 multifamily units, 120 assisted living units, 90,000 square feet of retail/restaurant, 100,000 square feet of outpatient surgical/clinic, 200,000 square feet hospital, 250 hotel/motel rooms, and 280,000 square feet of professional/medical office. |
| Future Land Use Designation | Mixed-Use District |
| Subject Entitlements | 174 multifamily units and 50,000 square feet of retail/medical |
| Maximum ISR | 75% |
| Maximum Flooir Area Ratio (FAR) | 50% |
| Parking | Shall meet LDC Section 6.05.02 for specific uses, except for up to a maximum of 120 units of assisted living facilities at 1.1 space per unit and the 450 apartment units at 1.8 space per unit. |
| Structure Setbacks: | |
| West | 10 feet |
| South | 10 feet |
| North | 20 feet |
| East | 10 feet |
| Maximum Height of Structures | Shall not exceed 75 feet for multi-family uses, 90 feet for all other uses except the hospital and professional/medical office uses, which shall not exceed 120 feet. Buildings over 35 feet shall be protected with an automatic fire sprinkler system designed and installed in accordance with the latest edition adopted by the Florida Fire prevention Code, NFPA 13, and the LDC. |
The following summarizes the salient characteristics of the subject site.
| Adjacent Properties | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| North | Residential subdivision | ||
| South | Undeveloped commercial land | ||
| East | Apartment | ||
| West | Undeveloped | commercial land | |
| Easements | During the advised. |
property inspection, no adverse easements or encumbrances were noted. This appraisal assumes that there are no adverse easements present. If questions arise, further research is |
|
| Soils | A detailed soil for the existing improvements. |
analysis was not available for review. Based on the development of the subject, it appears the soils are stable and suitable |
FEMA Map Number 12109C0178J FEMA Map Date 12/7/2018 Flood Zone Designation X
Flood Zone The subject property i s under Flood Zone X, which i s a n area of minimal flood hazard from the principal source of flood i n the area and determined to be outside the 0.2 percent annual chance floodplain.
Hazardous Waste We have not conducted an independent investigation to determine the presence or absence of toxins on the subject property. If questions arise, the reader is strongly cautioned to seek qualified professional assistance in this matter. Please see the Assumptions and Limiting Conditions for a full disclaimer.
Existing Improvements On the day of our inspection, the subject had several abandoned buildings that needed to be removed.
Site Conclusion In conclusion, the site's physical characteristics appear to be supportive of the subject's highest and best use, and there were no significant detriments discovered that would inhibit development in accordance with its highest and best use.
Subject Property (Next to St Vincent's Health System Inc)
Subject Property (Next to Madison Apartment)
Ergisi Way Saint Elizabeth Way
Existing Buildings Existing Buildings
ZONING MAP
The subject property is located in northern St. Johns County within the St. Johns County/St. Augustine submarket.
The boundaries of the immediate market area are construed as follows.
| North | St. Johns/Duval County Line |
|---|---|
| South | St. Johns/Flagler County Line |
| East | Atlantic Ocean |
| West | St. Johns River |
Primary access routes serving the market area are as follows:
The Jacksonville International Airport is located about 35 miles north of the property; travel time is about 35 - 45 minutes, depending on traffic conditions. The subject is located less than 30 minutes from Downtown Jacksonville via Interstate 95.
The following map and data show demographic trends within a 5-, 10-, and 15-mile radius of the subject property compared with the Jacksonville MSA and the State of Florida.
| LOCAL AREA & MSA DEMOGRAPHICS | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DESCRIPTION | 1 MILE | 3 MILE | 5 MILE | MSA | DESCRIPTION | 1 MILE | 3 MILE | 5 MILE | MSA |
| POPULATION TOTAL | HOUSEHOLDS | ||||||||
| 2010 Census | 91 | 13,887 | 31,031 | 1,345,596 | 2010 Census | 37 | 4.526 | 10,711 | 524,146 |
| 2020 Census | 322 | 26,692 | 68,548 | 1,605,848 | 2020 Census | 127 | 8,564 | 23,698 | 628,344 |
| 2024 Estimate | 1,209 | 34,619 | 89,354 | 1,737,832 | 2024 Estimate | 447 | 11,383 | 30,869 | 685,635 |
| 2029 Projection | 1,664 | 43,049 | 107,874 | 1,855,859 | 2029 Projection | 617 | 14,202 | 37,066 | 740,874 |
| △ 2010-2020 | 253,85% | 92.21% | 120,90% | 19.34% | △ 2010-2020 | 243.24% | 89.22% | 121.25% | 19.88% |
| △ 2020-2024 | 275.47% | 29.70% | 30.35% | 8.22% | △ 2020-2024 | 251.97% | 32.92% | 30.26% | 9.12% |
| △ 2024-2029 | 37.63% | 24.35% | 20.73% | 6.79% | △ 2024-2029 | 38.03% | 24.77% | 20.08% | 8.06% |
| Total Daytime Population | 1,544 | 27,989 | 74,558 | 1,736,953 | HOUSEHOLDS BY INCOME (2024 ESTIMATE) | ||||
| HOUSING UNITS | $<$ \$15,000 | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 6.7% | ||||
| Total (2024 Estimate) | 656 | 12,794 | 33,407 | 751,484 | \$15,000 - \$24,999 | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 6.5% |
| Owner Occupied | 57.5% | 74.0% | 71.7% | 60.2% | \$25,000 - \$34,999 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 6.2% |
| Renter Occupied | 10.7% | 15.0% | 20.7% | 31.0% | \$35,000 - \$49,999 | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 9.5% |
| Vacant Housing Units | 31.9% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | \$50,000 - \$74,999 | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 15.8% |
| Total (2029 Projection) | 848 | 15,554 | 39,582 | 810,078 | \$75,000 - \$99,999 | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% |
| Owner Occupied | 54.4% | 71.6% | 69.3% | 61.6% | \$100,000 - \$149,999 | 32.4% | 28.3% | 26.3% | 20.4% |
| Renter Occupied | 18.4% | 19.7% | 24.4% | 29.9% | \$150,000 - \$199,999 | 15.9% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 10.5% |
| Vacant Housing Units | 27.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | \$200,000+ | 23.9% | 23.2% | 22.5% | 10.1% |
| AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD INCOME | AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD SIZE | ||||||||
| 2024 Estimate | \$160,785 | \$160,755 | \$158,568 | \$108,888 | 2024 Estimate | 2.70 | 3.04 | 2.89 | 2.49 |
| 2029 Projection | \$180,972 | \$181,664 | \$180,131 | \$126,915 | 2029 Projection | 2.70 | 3.03 | 2.91 | 2.46 |
| △ 2024-2029 | 12.56% | 13.01% | 13.60% | 16.56% | △ 2024-2029 | 0.00% | (0.33%) | 0.69% | (1.20% |
| MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME | MEDIAN HOME VALUE | ||||||||
| 2024 Estimate | \$128,672 | \$129,284 | \$124,421 | \$82,603 | 2024 Estimate | \$511,986 | \$472,182 | \$474,828 | \$378,437 |
| 2029 Projection | \$141,863 | \$146,794 | \$141,883 | \$97,954 | 2029 Projection | \$572,867 | \$514,028 | \$515,264 | \$446,033 |
| △ 2024-2029 | 10.25% | 13.54% | 14.03% | 18.58% | △ 2024-2029 | 11.89% | 8.86% | 8.52% | 17.86% |
| PER CAPITA INCOME | AVERAGE HOME VALUE | ||||||||
| 2024 Estimate | \$53,656 | \$52,737 | \$55,595 | \$43,041 | 2024 Estimate | \$577,116 | \$537,769 | \$537,564 | \$450,083 |
| 2029 Projection | \$60,646 | \$59,563 | \$62,933 | \$50,741 | 2029 Projection | \$639,371 | \$586,111 | \$582,551 | \$533,952 |
| △ 2024-2029 | 13.03% | 12.94% | 13.20% | 17.89% | △ 2024-2029 | 10.79% | 8.99% | 8.37% | 18.63% |
The estimate provided by ESRI for the current 2024 population within the subject neighborhood's 3-mile radius is 34,619 representing a 29.70%change since 2020. ESRI's 2020 population estimate for the subject's 5 mile radius is 89,354, which represents a 30.35% change since 2020. Looking forward, ESRI estimates that the population within the subject neighborhood's 3-mile radius is forecasted to change to 43,049 by the year 2029. As for the broader area, ESRI forecasts that the population within the subject's 5-mile radius will change to 107,874 over the next five years. The population estimates for the next five years within the subject's 5-mile radius represent a 20.73% change as well as a 37.63% change within the subject's 1-mile radius for the same period.
The estimates provided by ESRI indicate that the number of households within the subject neighborhood's 3 mile radius is 11,383, which is a 32.92% change since 2020. Within the subject's broader 5-mile radius, ESRI estimates that the number of households is 30,869, a 30.26% change over the same period. By the year 2029, the estimates provided by ESRI indicate that the number of households within the subject neighborhood's 3 mile radius will change by 24.77% to 14,202 households. Additionally, ESRI's estimate for total households
over the next five years within the subject's broader 5-mile radius indicates an expected change of 20.08% which will result in a total household estimate of 37,066. Looking back, the number of households in the subject neighborhood's 3-mile radius changed by 89.22% during the ten years from 2010 to 2020. Since then it has changed by 32.92%.
Income estimates provided by ESRI for the subject neighborhood's 3-mile radius indicate that the median household income is \$129,284 and that the average household income is \$160,755. Further, the estimates provided by ESRI indicate that, for the subject's broader 5-mile radius the median household income is \$124,421, and the average household income is \$158,568. Given that there are reportedly 30,869 households in the subject's 5-mile radius.
According to CoStar, vacancy has declined by roughly 300 basis points in the last 12 months as renter demand in Saint Augustine continues to concentrate here, even as 1,300 new apartments were completed in that time. This area currently has approximately 10% of all vacant apartments in the metro area at approximately 1,700 units, a number that is up about 5% in the past year. Renter demand improved significantly during 2023 over the previous year, with approximately 1,300 units absorbed in that time, and the forecast calls for an even stronger rate of demand in 2024 that should pull supply and demand more in balance by the end of the year. Elevated construction levels in Saint Augustine in the last few years have led to an inventory expansion here of nearly 50% since 2022. The area has only approximately 7% of the wider market's total inventory, yet it has more than 25% of all new apartment units currently under construction and has comprised more than 20% of all renter demand in the broader Jacksonville market in the last year. Also, roughly 25% of all units in the
market were completed in the last year, and the 1,600 new units underway are set to expand inventory here by another 19.8%. Asking rents in Saint Augustine now average \$1,750/month and rank as the highest in the broader Jacksonville market. Actual rent growth, however, has slowed significantly from the record high of 14.4% reached in 21Q4 and is now down markedly to a pace of -6.0% in year-over-year growth, the slowest in the Jacksonville area. The pace of rent growth is expected to remain under pressure for several more quarters as vacancy remains elevated and new units continue to deliver, although there is good potential for it to return to a range between 2% and 3% in the second half of 2025.
According to CoStar, having one of the smaller apartment inventories in the broader Jacksonville market, investment activity in Saint Augustine is infrequent. Before 23Q4, the last quarter when any notable activity took place was the final quarter of 2021; however, the trailing 12-month volume is comprised of only \$126 million following 5 separate transactions that closed in the past year. Many properties in this market have been recently delivered and are still working toward achieving stabilized occupancy, but as they do and the investment climate improves, there will be a greater chance for investment activity in the quarters ahead. While three of the past year's sales have been fairly insignificant, two prominent properties have traded in the last year. The 210-unit, 3-Star Camellia at World Commerce Center in the World Golf Village area was acquired in December by Lakewood, NJ-based private REIT Lightstone Value Plus REIT V, Inc. for \$53.3 million (\$253,800/unit) as part of a 1031 exchange. The seller was Jacksonville-based private developer Corner Lot Development, which wrapped up construction on the property in November 2022. The property was fully occupied at the time of the sale. More notably, Norfolk, VA-based Harbor Group International made a significant acquisition in May 2024 when it acquired the recently built, 350-unit Ascend Durbin Creek. The property was acquired from developer D.R. Horton for \$70.2 million (\$201/SF) and has been renamed Aria Durban Creek. A fast pace of leasing had it occupied at approximately 87% by the time of the sale.
CoStar indicates that the St Johns County retail submarket has a vacancy rate of 2.3%. This vacancy rate is 1.1% lower than it was this time last year. There have been 470,000 SF of positive absorption and 340,000 SF of net deliveries. Rents have increased 5.3% in the past 12 months and are currently around \$28.00/SF. Roughly 460,000 SF is under construction in the St Johns County retail submarket. The vacancy is 2.0% in general retail buildings, and 390,000 SF has been absorbed in this asset class over the past year. The vacancy is 1.3% in power centers, and 5,500 SF has been absorbed in this asset class over the past year. The vacancy is 3.4% in neighborhood centers, and 32,000 SF has been absorbed in this asset class over the past year. No vacancies were reported in other retail buildings, and absorption has been flat in this asset class over the past year. The current vacancy is lower than its trailing three-year average of 2.7%, which is also lower than the Jacksonville market's trailing three-year average of 4.2%. Rents have increased 23.3% over the past three years. Meanwhile, average rents increased 23.8% in the wider Jacksonville market. There have been 197 sales over the past three years, amounting to \$432 million in volume and 1.5 million SF of inventory. CoStar's estimated cap rate for St Johns County has averaged 6.5% over the past three years, which is higher than the current estimated cap rate of 6.4%. The total St Johns County retail submarket comprises 13.2 million SF of inventory. There have been 49 sales in the St Johns County retail submarket over the past year, amounting to \$104 million of volume and 340,000 SF of stock. These sales have averaged \$300/SF, matching the estimated price per unit for the submarket as a whole. During this time, trailing one-year price per SF averages were as high as \$405/SF and as low as \$300/SF. Over the past three years, St Johns County has averaged 67 sales per year, \$136 million of volume per year, and 510,000 SF of stock per year. Of the sales in the past 12 months, 40 were of general retail. Strip centers were traded 2 times. Neighborhood centers were sold 8 times. The submarket's current transaction cap rate stands at 6.0%, below the Jacksonville market average of 6.6%. Over the past three years, transaction cap rates have averaged 5.9%. Within St Johns County, general retail has a market cap rate of 6.3%, power centers have a market cap rate of 6.7%, strip centers have a market cap rate of 6.3% and neighborhood
The subject is located within and part of Fountains St. Johns (exhibit on the next page). Cross Regions Group's The Fountains at St. Johns is a mixed-use medical and retail development. The development is located on nearly 100 acres at the northeast intersection of County Road 210 West and Interstate 95 in St. Johns County made up of three phases:
https://crossregions.com/the-fountains-at-st-johns/
Overall, this is one of the prime development areas in Jacksonville MSA.
The 7th Edition of The Dictionary of Real Estate Appraisal, (Chicago: Appraisal Institute, 2022), defines highest and best use as:
"The reasonably probable use of property that results in the highest value. The four criteria that the highest and best use must meet are legal permissibility, physical possibility, financial feasibility, and maximum productivity."
These tests are performed sequentially, as it is irrelevant if a certain use is financially feasible when not physically possible or legally permissible. When identifying the highest and best use of an improved property these tests are performed first on the property under the hypothetical assumption it is vacant. If the highest and best use is to improve the property, then the ideal improvement is determined using these same four criteria. Then, the subject improvements are compared to the ideal improvement. A determination is then made on whether to maintain the existing improvement in its existing use or modify the improvement to conform more to the ideal.
The subject is zoned PUD (Planned Unit Development) with development rights of 174 multi-family units and 50,000 square feet of retail. The only legally permissible uses are those outlined within the Fountains PUD.
The physically possible uses for the subject are limited to the legally permissible uses, current zoning, and land use of the site mandates. Besides site size, the physical characteristics of the site do not appear to impose any unusual restrictions on development. Overall, the physical characteristics of the site and the availability of utilities result in functional utility suitable for any of the legally permissible uses.
Based on the comparable developments in the market and conversation with both Mr. David Ergisi and Mr. Doug Smith, Chief Operating Officer, approximately 3.49 acres of the subject is allocated for 174 multi-family units (50 units per acre), and the remaining 2.87 acres is allocated for 50,000 SF of retail (FAR 40%). No subjectspecific engineering documents were provided for review; however, the intensity of the planned development is reflective of other projects within the Jacksonville MSA. Therefore, the planned development is considered to be physically possible.
Financially feasible uses for the subject parcel are governed by legally permissible uses and the physically possible uses for that site. Also, the influence of the surrounding market area considering commercial and residential uses and the economic and demographical growth within the market area and its effect on the subject must be considered. The primary determinant of financial feasibility is if a specific use is likely to produce a higher income level than the combined need to satisfy operating expenses, financial expenses, and capital amortization.
Based on our analysis of the market, there is currently adequate demand for multi-family and retail use in the subject's area. It appears that the development of these uses would have a value commensurate with its cost. Therefore, multi-family and retail use is considered financially feasible.
Maximally productive uses are governed by the subject's legally permissible, physically possible, and financially feasible uses. The final criterion addresses the question of maximum productivity of the subject development, which would require consideration of alternate potential uses.
There appears to be no reasonably probable use of the site that would generate a higher residual land value than multi-family and retail use. Accordingly, it is our opinion that these uses, developed to the normal market density level permitted by zoning, are the maximally productive use of the property.
Considering the legally permissible, physically possible, financially feasible, and maximally productive uses, the highest and best use of the subject "as is / vacant" is for multi-family and retail development.
Considering the size and design characteristics of the property, the likely buyer is a multi-family and retail investor/developer.
Three basic approaches may be applicable and utilized, then reconciled to arrive at an estimate of market value. An approach to value is included or eliminated based on its applicability to the property type being valued and the information available. The reliability of each approach depends on the availability and comparability of market data, as well as the motivation and thinking of purchasers. Applicable approaches and whether they were utilized are summarized below.
The Cost Approach is based upon the principle of substitution, which states a prudent purchaser would not pay more for a property than the amount required to purchase a similar site and construct similar improvements without undue delay, producing property of equal desirability and utility. This approach is particularly applicable when the appraised improvements are relatively new or proposed or when the improvements are so specialized; that there is little or no sales data from comparable properties.
The Sales Comparison Approach involves the direct comparison of sales and listings of similar properties, adjusting for differences between the subject property and the comparable properties. This method can be useful for valuing general-purpose properties or vacant land. For improved properties, it is particularly applicable when there is an active sales market for the property type being appraised – either by owner-users or investors.
In the Income Capitalization Approach, the income-producing capacity of a property is estimated using contract rents on existing leases and estimating market rent from the rental activity at competing properties for the vacant space. Deductions are then made for vacancy and collection loss, and operating expenses. The resulting net operating income is divided by an overall capitalization rate to derive an opinion of value for the subject property. The capitalization rate represents the relationship between net operating income and value. This method is referred to as Direct Capitalization.
The appraisal process concludes with the Final Reconciliation of the values derived from the approaches applied for a single estimate of market value. Different properties require different means of analysis and lend themselves to one approach over the others.
The subject property is vacant land; therefore, the Cost and Income Approaches were not considered applicable. The Sales Comparison Approach was fully utilized for our analysis.
This section values the subject site by comparing it with substitute land sales or listings within the local market area or in competitive areas throughout the region. Land value is influenced by several factors; most notably development and use potential. These factors, as well as others, are factored in the following analysis.
Based on the comparable developments in the market and a conversation with both Mr. David Ergisi and Mr. Doug Smith, Chief Operating Officer, approximately 3.49 acres of the subject (6.36 acres) is allocated for 174 multi-family residential units (50 units per acre).
The most relevant unit of comparison for competing land is the \$/allowed multi-family residential unit. All of the comparable sales presented in this section were reported on this basis.
| 1 | Future Olea eTown 11385 Exchange Street Jacksonville, FL 32256 |
\$8,520,000 4/12/2022 Closed |
249,599 SF \$34.13/SF 5.73 acres \$1,486,911/acre |
192 units \$44,375/unit |
PUD zoning Irregular Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Future Ascend Durbin Park 95 Mossy Pine Lane St. Johns, FL 32259 |
\$17,600,000 7/15/2022 Closed |
721,354 SF \$24.40/SF 16.56 acres \$1,062,802/acre |
280 units \$62,857/unit |
PUD zoning Irregular Level |
| 3 | Future Tapestry St. Augustine 2080 STATE ROAD 16 St. Augustine, FL 32084 |
\$7,750,000 8/18/2023 Closed |
807,602 SF \$9.60/SF 18.54 acres \$418,015/acre |
240 units \$32,292/unit |
PUD zoning Irregular Level |
Comparable 1
Property
| Buyer | Owner, LLC | CRP/RW Olea South Jacksonville | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seller | Eastland Timber, LLC | |||
| Sale Date | 4/12/2022 | |||
| Transaction Status | Closed | |||
| Sale Price | \$8,520,000 | \$34.13 /SF Land | ||
| \$44,375 /Unit | ||||
| Recording Number | 20221/2487 | |||
| Rights Transferred | Fee Simple | |||
| Financing | Cash to seller | |||
| Conditions of Sale | Arm's length | |||
11385 Exchange Street Jacksonville, FL 32256
County Duval
APN 167872-0435
| Name | Libby Malloy |
|---|---|
| Company | Range-Water |
| Affiliation | Buyer |
| Date | 2/24/2022 |
This is the sale of a fully entitled 192-unit apartment site, which was negotiated and contracted in October 2021. This site was cleared and graded with an off-site retention area. The buyer, Range-Water Development, purchased this site to develop Olea at eTown, which will have a clubhouse, dog wash area, mailbox cabana, and three garages with a total of 22 spaces. This is Range-Water's third Olea location in Florida; the first two were in Nocatee (Ponte Vedra Beach) and Melbourne.
| Land Area | 5.73 Acres (249,599 SF) |
|---|---|
| Allowed Units | 192 |
| Zoning | PUD |
| Shape | Irregular |
| Topography | Level |
| Density | 34 Units Per Acre |
Comparable 2
| Buyer | DHIC-Durbin Park, LLC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seller | Durbin Creek National, LLC | |||
| Sale Date | 7/15/2022 | |||
| Transaction Status | Closed | |||
| Sale Price | \$17,600,000 | \$24.40 /SF Land | ||
| \$62,857 /Unit | ||||
| Recording Number | 5599/515 | |||
| Rights Transferred | Fee Simple | |||
| Financing | Cash to seller | |||
Conditions of Sale Arm's length
Allowed Units 280 Zoning PUD Shape Irregular Topography Level Utilities All available
Land Area 16.56 Acres (721,354 SF)
95 Mossy Pine Lane St. Johns, FL 32259
County St. Johns
Submarket St. Johns County
APN 023540-0006
Affiliation Public Records Date 11/2/2022
This is the sale of an apartment complex site 16.56 upland acres) within the Durbin development in north St. Johns County. The property was sold to DHI, an apartment developer owned by DR Horton, for \$62,857 per planned unit. This site was sold with a development right of 280 multi-family units
Comparable 3
| Buyer | Arlington St. Augustine, LLC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seller | JP Daniels, LLC & M&B Brothers Properties, LLC |
|||
| Sale Date | 8/18/2023 | |||
| Transaction Status | Closed | |||
| Sale Price | \$7,750,000 | \$9.60 /SF Land | ||
| \$32,292 /Unit | ||||
| Recording Number | 5812/1924 | |||
| Rights Transferred | Fee Simple | |||
| Financing | Cash to seller | |||
| Conditions of Sale | Arm's length | |||
Land Area 18.54 Acres (807,602 SF) Allowed Units 240 Zoning PUD Shape Irregular Topography Level Utilities All available
2080 STATE ROAD 16 St. Augustine, FL 32084
County St. Johns
Submarket St. Johns County
APN 086560 0000
Affiliation Public Records Date 12/5/2023
This property is located along State Road 16 proximate to Interstate 95. The sale is an assemblage of 5 parcels owned by two entities. Roughly 12.5± acres were purchased for \$5,200,000 (OR Book 5812, Page 1927) and the remaining 6.05± acres were purchased for \$2,550,000 (OR Book 5812, Page 1924). The total contract price was \$7,750,000 for 18.54 acres and was under contract in September 2021 pending the approval for multi-family units. The buyer at its expense acquired the development rights during the due diligence period; they intend to develop 240 apartment units, which was required to mitigate 1.21± acres of wetland area (1.58 acres).
Adjustments to comparable sales were considered and made when warranted for expenditures after purchase, property rights transferred, conditions of sale, financing terms, and market conditions.
Quantitative percentage adjustments are also made for location and physical characteristics such as size, location quality, access, and exposure, as well as other applicable elements of comparison. Where possible the adjustments applied are based on paired data or other statistical analysis. It should be stressed that the adjustments are subjective in nature and are meant to illustrate the logic in deriving a value opinion for the subject property by the Land Sales Comparison Approach.
| LAND SALES COMPARISON TABLE | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUBJECT | COMP 1 | COMP 2 | COMP 3 | ||||
| Address | 377 Saint Elizabeth | 2080 State Road 16 | |||||
| Way | 11385 Exchange Street | 95 Mossy Pine Lane | |||||
| City | St Johns | Jacksonville | St. Johns | St. Augustine | |||
| State | FL. | FL | FL | FL. | |||
| County | St Johns | Duval | St. Johns | St. Johns | |||
| SALE INFORMATION | |||||||
| Transaction Price | \$8,520,000 | \$17,600,000 | \$7,750,000 | ||||
| Transaction Price \$/Units | \$44,375 | \$62,857 | \$32,292 | ||||
| Property Rights | Fee Simple | Fee Simple | Fee Simple | ||||
| Financing | Cash to seller | Cash to seller | Cash to seller | ||||
| Sale Conditions | Arm's length | Arm's length | Arm's length | ||||
| Market Conditions | 4/12/2022 | 14% | 7/15/2022 | (4% ) | 8/18/2023 | (2%) | |
| Total Transactional Adjustments | \$6,200 | 14% | (\$2,604) | (4% ) | ( \$632) | (2%) | |
| Adjusted \$/Units | \$50,575 | \$60,253 | \$31,660 | ||||
| PHYSICAL INFORMATION | |||||||
| Square Feet | 277,041 | 249,599 | 721,354 | 807,602 | |||
| Acres | 3.49 | 5.73 | 16.56 | 18.54 | |||
| Allowed Multi-Family Units | 174 | 192 | 280 | 240 | |||
| Density Ratio | 49.86 Units/Acre | 33.51 Units/Acre | (16%) | 16.91 Units/Acre | (33%) | 12.94 Units/Acre | (37%) |
| Location | Good | Good | Very Good | (20%) | Average | 15% | |
| Zoning | Fully Entitled | Similar | Similar | Inferior | 15% | ||
| Economies of Scale | 174 | 192 | 280 | 5% | 240 | 5% | |
| Physical Characteristic | Fair | Superior | (5%) | Superior | (5%) | Superior | (5%) |
| Retention Pond | Off-site | Off-site | On-site | 15% | On-site | 15% | |
| Total Physical Adjustments | (\$10,797) | (21%) | (\$22,865) | (38%) | \$2,561 | 8% | |
| Adjusted \$/Units | \$39,778 | \$37,388 | \$34,221 |
The comparable land sales indicate an overall unadjusted value range from \$32,292/Unit to \$62,857/Unit. The adjustment process is described below.
Land Sale 1 (\$39,778/Unit Adjusted) Overall, Sale 1 has a superior density ratio and physical characteristics (elevation, shape, access, etc.). Downward adjustments are warranted.
Land Sale 2 (\$37,388/Unit Adjusted) Overall, Sale 2 has a superior density ratio, location, and physical characteristics (elevation, shape, access, etc.). Downward adjustments are warranted. However, it has inferior economies of scale & onsite retention area. Upward adjustments are warranted for economies of scale & retention area
Land Sale 3 (\$34,221/Unit Adjusted) – Sale 3 has a superior density ratio and physical characteristics (elevation, shape, access, etc.). Downward adjustments are warranted. However, it has an inferior location, zoning, economies of scale & onsite retention area. Upward adjustments are warranted for location, zoning, economies of scale & retention area
The comparables indicate a unit value, based on a general bracketing analysis, between \$34,221/Unit and \$39,778/Unit.
| LAND SALES COMPARISON APPROACH CONCLUSION (UNITS) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRANSACTION | ADJUSTMENT | NET | GROSS | ||||
| PRICE | TRANSACTIONAL1 | ADJUSTED | PROPERTY2 | FINAL | ADJ | ADJ | |
| \$44,375 | 14% | \$50,575 | (21%) | \$39,778 | (10%) | 35% | |
| $\overline{c}$ | \$62,857 | (4%) | \$60,253 | (38%) | \$37,388 | (41%) | 82% |
| 3 | \$32,292 | (2%) | \$31,660 | 8% | \$34,221 | 6% | 94% |
| HIGH | \$62,857 | 14% | \$60,253 | 8% | \$39,778 | 6% | 94% |
| AVG | \$46,508 | 3% | \$47,496 | (17%) | \$37,129 | (15%) | 70% |
| MED | \$44,375 | (2%) | \$50,575 | (21%) | \$37,388 | (10%) | 82% |
| LOW | \$32,292 | (4%) | \$31,660 | (38%) | \$34,221 | (41%) | 35% |
| SUBJECT UNITS | \$/UNIT | VALUE | |||||
| Allowed Multi-Family Units | 174 | X | \$37,000 $\equiv$ |
\$6,438,000 | |||
| INDICATED VALUE (ROUNDED TO NEAREST \$10,000) | \$6,440,000 |
Based on the comparable developments in the market and conversation with both Mr. David Ergisi and Mr. Doug Smith, Chief Operating Officer, approximately 3.49 acres of the subject (6.36 acres) is allocated for 174 multi-family residential units (50 units per acre).
The most relevant unit of comparison for competing land is the \$/Dev. Right SF. All of the comparable sales presented in this section were reported on this basis.
| 1 | 5400 State Road 16 St. Augustine, FL 32092 |
\$1,700,000 11/30/2021 Closed |
253,519 SF \$6.71/SF 5.82 acres \$292,096/acre |
40,000 Dev. Right SF \$42.50/Dev. Right SF |
PUD (Ordinance Number 2021-78) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 150 Longleaf Pine Pkwy St Johns, FL 32259 |
\$2,475,000 4/20/2022 Closed |
569,329 SF \$4.35/SF 13.07 acres \$189,365/acre |
44,561 Dev. Right SF \$55.54/Dev. Right SF |
PUD (2014- 49) zoning Irregular Level |
| 3 | 1460 County Road 210 W Jacksonville, FL 32259 |
\$3,500,000 6/10/2024 Closed |
216,058 SF \$16.20/SF 4.96 acres \$705,645/acre |
145,000 Dev. Right SF \$24.14/ Dev. Right SF |
PUD zoning Triangular Level to Sloping |
Land Sale Map
Comparable 1
| Buyer | Mill Creek Property, LLC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Seller | Diocese of St. Augustine, Inc. | ||
| Sale Date | 11/30/2021 | ||
| Transaction Status | Closed | ||
| Sale Price | \$1,700,000 | \$6.71 /SF Land | |
| \$42.50/Dev. Right SF | |||
| Recording Number | 5432/1770 | ||
| Rights Transferred | Fee Simple | ||
| Financing | Cash to seller | ||
| Conditions of Sale | Arm's-length |
Sale Price \$1,700,000 \$6.71 /SF Land \$42.50/Dev. Right SF
Land Area 5.82 Acres (253,519 SF) Allowed Retail SF 40,000 Shape Rectangular Topography Level Utilities Public
Zoning PUD (Ordinance Number 2021-78) Frontage 664′ State Road 16
5400 State Road 16 St. Augustine, FL 32092
County St Johns
Submarket St. Johns County
APN 028690-0000
Name Ramzy Bakkar Company Bakkar Group Date 1/19/2022
The buyer (Ramzy Bakkar) is a regional developer. The contract was originally drafted in 2018 for \$2,200,000. After his due diligence period, Mr. Bakkar determined the site was not as accessible as he previously thought, and the contract price was amended to \$1,700,000 in May 2020 pending rezoning approval. On the day of the contract, the site was zoned Open Rural (OR). The grantee rezoned the site to PUD, which was approved in November 2021 for 40,000 square feet of commercial, retail, and/or office spaces (Mill Creek Crossing PUD).
Comparable 2
| Buyer | Durbin Crossing Properties, LLC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seller | PRG Durbin, LLC | ||||
| Sale Date | 4/20/2022 | ||||
| Transaction Status | Closed | ||||
| Sale Price | \$2,475,000 | \$4.35 /SF Land | |||
| \$55.54 / Dev. Right SF | |||||
| Recording Number | 5542/227 | ||||
| Rights Transferred | Fee Simple | ||||
| Financing | Cash to seller | ||||
| Conditions of Sale | Arm's-length |
| Land Area | 13.07 Acres (569,329 SF) |
|---|---|
| Allowed Retail SF | 44,561 |
| Zoning | PUD (2014-49) |
| Shape | Irregular |
| Topography | Level |
| Utilities | Public |
| Frontage | 830′ Longleaf Pine Parkway, 950′ Saint Johns Parkway |
150 Longleaf Pine Pkwy St Johns, FL 32259
County St Johns
Submarket St. Johns County
APN 023630-0083, 023600-0041
Name Forest Gibson Phone Number 904-399-5222 Date 11/13/2023
Approximately 3.08 acres of the site are encumbered by a utility easement. The PUD zoning allows for community commercial or neighborhood commercial uses. Additionally, the property will have onsite retention and proximity to Race Track Road, County Road 210, and Interstate 95. This site was sold with a retail/commercial development not to exceed 44,561 SF (OR Book 5542, Page 234).
The site has 830 ft along the north side of Longleaf Pine Parkway; 950 ft along the west side of Saint Johns Parkway;
The subject represents the sale of two adjacent vacant commercial parcels approximately 13.07 acres in size, According to the seller, the land will be used for the Borland Groover surgery center. This center will have seven rooms for outpatient surgery and minimally invasive procedures, as well as 32 medical exam rooms.
Comparable 3
| Buyer | Pappy Trails, LLC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seller | Thomas M. & Philip T. Cratem, II | |||
| Sale Date | 6/10/2024 | |||
| Transaction Status | Closed | |||
| Sale Price | \$3,500,000 | \$16.20 /SF Land | ||
| \$24.14/Dev. Right SF | ||||
| Recording Number | 5965/331 | |||
| Rights Transferred | Fee Simple | |||
| Financing | Cash to seller | |||
| Conditions of Sale | Arm's-length |
1460 County Road 210 W Jacksonville, FL 32259
County St Johns
Submarket St. Johns County
APN 026050-0020
Name Philip Cratem
Phone Number 904-699-2941
.
This site has 4.96 acres (Per deed & broker). It is 100% upland with 651 feet of frontage along CR 210 W and 699 feet along EW Pappy Road.
This site has been on the market since October 2020 with an initial asking price of \$4,300,000. The grantee purchased this site for a 25,000-squarefoot retail center as well as 120,000 square feet of self-storage, which equates to a Floor Area Ratio of 0.67.
Land Area 4.96 Acres (216,058 SF) Allowed Retail SF 145,000 Zoning PUD Shape Triangular Topography Level to Sloping Corner Yes Permitted FAR 0.67 (\$24/FAR/SF) Frontage 651′ County Road 210 West, 699′ EW Pappy Road
Adjustments to comparable sales were considered and made when warranted for expenditures after purchase, property rights transferred, conditions of sale, financing terms, and market conditions.
Quantitative percentage adjustments are also made for location and physical characteristics such as size, location quality, access, and exposure, as well as other applicable elements of comparison. Where possible the adjustments applied are based on paired data or other statistical analysis. It should be stressed that the adjustments are subjective in nature and are meant to illustrate the logic in deriving a value opinion for the subject property by the Land Sales Comparison Approach.
.
| LAND SALES COMPARISON TABLE | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUBJECT | COMP 1 | COMP 2 | COMP 3 | ||||
| Address | 377 Saint Elizabeth | 5400 State Road | 150 Longleaf | 1460 County | |||
| Way | 16 | Pine Pkwy | Road 210 W | ||||
| City | St Johns | St. Augustine | St Johns | St. Johns | |||
| State | FL | FL | FL | FL | |||
| Zip | 32259 | 32092 | 32259 | 32259 | |||
| County | St Johns | St Johns | St Johns | St Johns | |||
| SALE INFORMATION | |||||||
| Transaction Price | \$1,700,000 | \$2,475,000 | \$3,500,000 | ||||
| Transaction Price \$/Dev. Right SF | \$42.50 | \$55.54 | \$24.14 | ||||
| Property Rights | Fee Simple | Fee Simple | Fee Simple | ||||
| Financing | Cash to seller | Cash to seller | Cash to seller | ||||
| Sale Conditions | Arm's-length | Arm's-length | Arm's-length | ||||
| Market Conditions | 11/30/2021 | 8% | 4/20/2022 | 7% | 6/10/2024 | 0% | |
| Total Transactional Adjustments | \$3.43 | 8% | \$3.84 | 7% | \$0.12 | 0% | |
| Adjusted \$/Dev. Right SF | \$45.93 | \$59.38 | \$24.26 | ||||
| PHYSICAL INFORMATION | |||||||
| Square Feet | 277,041 | 253,519 | 569,329 | 216,058 | |||
| Acres | 2.87 | 5.82 | 13.07 | 4.96 | |||
| Allowed Retail SF | 50,000 | 40,000 | 44,561 | 145,000 | |||
| Floor Area Ratio (FAR) | 0.40 | $0.16$ (12%) | 0.08(16%) | 0.67 | 14% | ||
| Location | Average | Average | Average (10%) | Good | (10%) | ||
| Zoning | Fully Entitled | Inferior | 10% | Similar | Similar | ||
| Economies of Scale | 50,000 SF | 40,000 SF | (5%) | 44,561 SF | 145,000 SF | 20% | |
| Physical Characteristic | Average | Similar | Superior | (5%) | Inferior | 20% | |
| Retention Pond | Off-site | On-site | 15% | On-site | 15% | On-site | 15% |
| Total Physical Adjustments | \$3.62 | 8% | $(49.55)$ $(16%)$ | \$14.21 | 59% | ||
| Adjusted \$/Dev. Right SF | \$49.55 | \$49.83 | \$38.47 |
The comparable land sales indicate an overall unadjusted value range from \$24.14/Unit to \$55.54/Unit. The adjustment process is described below.
Land Sale 1 (\$49.55/Unit Adjusted) – Overall, Sale 1 has inferior zoning & retention pond, Upward adjustments are warranted. However, it has a superior Floor Area Ratio (FAR), location, and economies of scale. Downward adjustments are warranted.
Land Sale 2 (\$49.83/Unit Adjusted) –Sale 2 has superior FAR, location, and physical characteristics. Downward adjustments are warranted. Sale 2 requires an on-site retention pond. Upward adjustments are warranted.
Land Sale 3 (\$38.47/Unit Adjusted) –Sale 3 has inferior FAR, economies of scale, and physical characteristics, and needed an on-site retention pond. Upward adjustments are warranted. However, it has a superior location.
The comparables indicate a unit value, based on a general bracketing analysis, between \$38.47/Unit and \$49.83/Unit. The following table summarizes the comparable land sales analysis and applies the unit value conclusion to the site area to indicate the as-vacant land value.
| LAND SALES COMPARISON APPROACH CONCLUSION (UNITS) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRANSACTION | ADJUSTMENT | GROSS | |||||
| PRICE | TRANSACTIONAL1 | ADJUSTED | PROPERTY2 | FINAL | ADJ | ADJ | |
| \$42.50 | 8% | \$45.93 | 8% | \$49.55 | 17% | 50% | |
| $\overline{c}$ | \$55.54 | 7% | \$59.38 | (16%) | \$49.83 | (10%) | 53% |
| 3 | \$24.14 | 0% | \$24.26 | 59% | \$38.47 | 59% | 79% |
| HIGH | \$55.54 | 8% | \$59.38 | 59% | \$49.83 | 59% | 79% |
| AVG | \$40.73 | 5% | \$43.19 | 17% | \$45.95 | 22% | 61% |
| MED | \$42.50 | 7% | \$45.93 | 8% | \$49.55 | 17% | 53% |
| LOW | \$24.14 | 0% | \$24.26 | (16%) | \$38.47 | (10%) | 50% |
| SUBJECT UNITS | \$/UNIT | VALUE | |||||
| Allowed Retail SF | 50,000 | $\times$ | \$48.00 $=$ |
\$2,400,000 | |||
| INDICATED VALUE (ROUNDED TO NEAREST \$10,000) | \$2,400,000 |
| RECONCILIATION OF VALUES | |
|---|---|
| VALUATION SCENARIOS | AS-IS MARKET VALUE |
| Interest | Fee Simple Estate |
| Date | August 9, 2024 |
| SALES COMPARISON APPROACH | |
| SALES COMPARISON APPROACH | |
| Multi-Family Land | \$6,440,000 |
| Retail Land | \$2,400,000 |
| FINAL VALUE CONCLUSION | |
| FINAL VALUE CONCLUSION | \$8,840,000 |
| Per Land SF | \$31.91 |
The value conclusions are subject to the following extraordinary assumptions that may affect the assignment results. An extraordinary assumption is an assignment-specific assumption as of the effective date regarding uncertain information used in the analysis which, if found to be false, could alter the appraiser's opinions or conclusions.
The value conclusions are based on the following hypothetical conditions that may affect the assignment results. A Hypothetical Condition is a condition, directly related to a specific assignment, which is contrary to what is known by the appraiser to exist on the effective date of the assignment results, but is used for the purpose of the analysis.
Marketing time and exposure time are both influenced by price. That is, a prudent buyer could be enticed to acquire the property in less time if the price were less. Hence, the time cited below coincides with the value opinion(s) formed herein.
USPAP Standard Rule 1-2(c)(iv) requires an opinion of exposure time, not marketing time when the purpose of the appraisal is to estimate market value. In the recent past, the volume of competitive properties offered for sale, sale prices, and vacancy rates have fluctuated, but Sale concessions have not been prevalent. The following information is used to estimate exposure time and marketing time for the subject:
| EXPOSURE & MARKETING TIME | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOURCE | MONTHS RANGE AVERAGE |
|||
| CoStar (St. Johns County Submarket) | 9.0 | to | 15.0 | 12.0 |
| OVERALL AVERAGE | 12.0 | |||
| Exposure Period Conclusion | 12 Months | |||
| Marketing Time Conclusion | 12 Months |
Exposure time is the length of time the subject property would have been exposed for sale in the market had it sold on the effective valuation date at the concluded market value. Exposure time is always presumed to precede the effective date of the appraisal. Based on our review of recent sales transactions for similar properties and our analysis of supply and demand in the local residential market, it is our opinion that the probable exposure time for the subject at the concluded market value stated previously is 12± months.
Marketing time estimates the amount of time it might take to sell a property at the concluded market value immediately following the effective date of value. As we foresee no significant changes in market conditions in the near term, it is our opinion that a reasonable marketing period for the subject is likely to be the same as the exposure time. Accordingly, we estimate the subject's marketing period at 12± months.
The liability of Moody Williams Appraisal Group, LLC, its principals, agents, and employees is limited to the client. Further, there is no accountability, obligation, or liability to any third party. If this report is placed in the hands of anyone other than the client, the client shall make such party aware of all limiting conditions and assumptions of the assignment and related discussions. The appraisers are in no way responsible for any costs incurred to discover or correct any deficiency in the property.
The appraisers are not qualified to detect the presence of toxic or hazardous substances or materials that may influence or be associated with the property or any adjacent properties, have made no investigation or analysis as to the presence of such materials, and expressly disclaim any duty to note the degree of fault. Moody Williams Appraisal Group, LLC and its principals, agents, and employees, shall not be liable for any costs, expenses, assessments, penalties, or diminution in value, property damage, or personal injury (including death) resulting from or otherwise attributable to toxic or hazardous substances or materials, including without limitation hazardous waste, asbestos material, formaldehyde, or any smoke, vapors, soot, fumes, acids, alkalis, toxic chemicals, liquids, solids or gasses, waste materials or other irritants, contaminants or pollutants.
We certify that, to the best of our knowledge and belief:
Michael Hotaling, MAI, ASA Managing Partner State-Certified General Real Estate Appraiser RZ3226
Bolina Kol Senior Appraiser/Analyst State-Certified General Real Estate Appraiser RZ2602
Managing Partner
Moody Williams Appraisal Group, LLC
| State Certifications | Experience |
|---|---|
| State of Florida | • Moody Williams Appraisal Group, Managing Partner (2020- |
| State-Certified General Real | Present) Moody Appraisal Group, Senior Appraiser (December 2018-2019) • |
| Estate Appraiser RZ3226 | • JLL Valuation & Advisory – Senior Analyst (May 2017-October 2018) • IRR-Jacksonville, formerly Crenshaw Williams Appraisal Company- Senior Analyst (August 2005 – May 2017) |
| State of Georgia | IRR-Orlando, Researcher (June 2005 – August 2005) • |
| State-Certified General Real | Prior to entering the appraisal field, Michael Hotaling, MAI, ASA spent 20 years in the automotive industry at both the dealership and auto auction |
| Property Appraiser 334632 | positions and now specializes in dealership valuations with over 100 dealerships appraised. |
| Education Bachelor of Science |
Completed appraisal assignments in Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, and the District of Columbia including Multi-family development, condominiums, |
| Business Administration Finance |
residential subdivisions, downtown and suburban office buildings, & general and medical offices, a wide variety of industrial properties including flex, manufacturing, refrigerated storage, and warehouses, |
| University of Central Florida | mixed-use developments, shopping centers, and free-standing retail properties, all types of vacant land including islands and ground leases, and special use properties such as churches, funeral homes, sports complexes/stadiums, golf courses and child care centers. |
| Contact Details | |
| Moody Williams | Assignments in the Jacksonville Metropolitan area (Duval County) also include the surrounding counties of Clay, Nassau, St Johns, Baker, Flagler, |
| Appraisal Group, LLC | and Putnam. |
| 1300 Riverplace Blvd, Ste 640 | Professional Activities |
| Jacksonville, FL 32207 | Qualified Expert Witness in U.S. Bankruptcy Court – Middle District of Florida |
| Phone: 904-516-8900 | The Florida Bar – Grievance Committee 4B – 2024-Current Designated Member, Appraisal Institute – MAI (2021) |
| Direct: 904-559-4136 | Designated Member, American Society of Appraisers – ASA (2023) |
| Northeast Florida Chapter of the Appraisal Institute: | |
| Cell: 386-295-0295 | Candidate Advisor – 2024 to Present |
| Chapter Secretary – 2023 |
|
| Email: | Chapter Treasurer – 2024 |
| [email protected] | Chapter Vice President – Elected for 2025 |
Senior Appraiser
Moody Williams Appraisal Group, LLC.
State of Florida State-Certified General Real Estate Appraiser RZ2602
Bachelor of Science Degree Finance, FSU, 1995 Bachelor of Science Degree Marketing, FSU, 1995
Moody Williams Appraisal Group, LLC 1300 Riverplace Blvd, Ste 640 Jacksonville, FL 32207 Phone: 904/516-8900
Pre-certification education course AB1 Pre-certification education course AB2 Pre-certification education course AB3 Business Practices & Ethics Report Writing & Valuation Analysis 15-Hour National USPAP Course Advanced Income Capitalization 7-Hour National USPAP Course Florida Core Law Florida Supervisory Appraiser Analyzing Distressed Real Estate Feasibility, Market Value, Investment Timing: Option Value Appraising and Analyzing Retail Shopping Centers for Mortgage Underwriting Nuts & Bolts of Green Building for Appraisers
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