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Aker — Investor Presentation 2021
Jan 19, 2021
3526_iss_2021-01-19_81461d61-42a0-422b-adc2-55f8793a5629.pdf
Investor Presentation
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AKER HORIZONS
J A N U A R Y 2 0 2 1
Disclaimer
This presentation (the "Presentation") has been prepared by Aker Horizons AS (the "Company", and with subsidiaries the "Group") except where context otherwise requires, solely for information purposes. This Presentation, and the information contained herein, does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities of the Company and neither the issue of the materials nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into, any investment activity. and do not constitute or form part of any offer, invitation or recommendation to purchase, sell or subscribe for any securities in any jurisdiction.
This Presentation is furnished by the Company, and it is expressly noted that no representation, warranty, or undertaking, express or implied, is made by the Company its affiliates or representative directors, officers, employees, agents or advisers (collectively "Representatives") as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein, for any purpose whatsoever. Neither the Company nor any of its affiliates or representatives shall have any responsibility or liability whatsoever (for negligence or otherwise) for any loss whatsoever and howsoever arising from any use of this Presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation. The Presentation comprise a general summary of certain matters in connection with the Group, and do not purport to contain all of the information that any recipient may require to make an investment decision. These materials have not been approved, reviewed or registered with any public authority or stock exchange. By attending or receiving these materials, you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the Company, the Group and its market position, and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own view of the Company and its prospects. Each recipient should seek its own independent advice in relation to any financial, legal, tax, accounting or other specialist advice
This Presentation speaks as of the date hereof. All information in this Presentation is subject to updating, revision, verification, correction, completion, amendment and may change materially and without notice. None of the Company or its affiliates or representatives undertakes any obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this Presentation or any information or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information. The information contained in this Presentation should be considered in the context of the circumstances prevailing at the time and has not been, and will not be, updated to reflect developments that may occur after the date of this Presentation. These materials do not purport to contain a complete description of the Group or the market(s) in which the Group operates, nor do they provide an audited valuation of the Group. The analyses contained in these materials are not, and do not purport to be, appraisals of the assets, stock or business of the Group or any other person. The Company has not authorized any other person to provide any persons with any other information related to the Group and the Company will not assume any responsibility for any information other persons may provide
Matters discussed in this Presentation may constitute or include forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts and may include, without limitation, any statements preceded by, followed by or including words such as "aims", "anticipates", "believes", "can have", "continues", "could", "estimates", "expects", "intends", "likely", "may", "plans", "forecasts", "projects", "should", "target" "will", "would" and words or expressions of similar meaning or the negative thereof. These forward-looking statements reflect the Company's beliefs, intentions and current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company's potential future revenues, results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth and strategies. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The forward-looking statements in this Presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions that may not be accurate or technically correct, and their methodology may be forward-looking and speculative. Although the Company believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. None of the Company or any of its Representatives provide any assurance that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor do any of them accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this Presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. Forward-looking statements are not guaranteeing of future performance and such risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors could cause the actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity of the Company or the industry to differ materially from those results expressed or implied in this Presentation by such forward-looking statements. No representation is made that any of these forward-looking statements or forecasts will come to pass or that any forecast result will be achieved, and you are cautioned not to place any undue influence on any forward-looking statement. Furthermore, information about past performance given in these materials is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as, and is not, an indication of future performance.
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This Presentation is subject to Norwegian law, and any dispute arising in respect thereof is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of Norwegian courts with Oslo city court (Nw: Oslo tingrett) as agreed exclusive venue.
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P O S I T I O N I N G T H E P O R T F O L I O F O R I N V E S T I N G ALONG G L O B A L M E G A T R E N D S
C A P I T A L I Z I N G O N T H E A K E R D N A T O D R I V E S U S T A I N A B L E LONG-T E R M V A L U E C R E A T I O N
Continuous adaption and value creation is in our DNA
~25% annual return to shareholders since 2004
~6.5x increase in net asset value since 2004
NOK 2.3bn upstream dividends in 2020
180 YEARS HISTORY IN BUILDING INDUSTRIAL FRONTRUNNERS REPEATEDLY ADVANCING THE FRONTIERS IN COMPLEX BUSINESSES…
…AND NOW WE ARE DOING IT AGAIN BY INVESTING IN THE ENERGY TRANSITION
A K E R H O R I Z O N S
Building a leading planet-positive investment company
- Aker's investment vehicle within renewable energy and green tech
- Capitalizing on the Aker DNA to drive sustainable long-term value creation
- Leveraging the Aker ecosystem and capabilities, including industrial software
- Develop companies that solve fundamental challenges to sustainable existence on our planet
- Investment thesis grounded in eight UN sustainability development goals
- Acquiring Mainstream Renewable Power to access a world-leading renewables developer and producer, and accelerate future initiatives
- Accelerating Aker Horizons' planet-positive ambitions
- Platform and competencies to strengthen portfolio and scale new ventures and geographies
- Aker Horizons platform well established with significant momentum and deal flow
- Three platforms established with additional opportunities in the "Sunrise Portfolio"
- Five MoUs signed with strategic partners across platforms
- NOK 9 billion shareholder value created in first 6 months, equalling 6.5x invested capital1
A K E R H O R I Z O N S A C Q U I R E S M A I N S T R E A M R E N E W A B L E P O W E R Creating a renewable energy major
- Agreement to acquire 75% of Mainstream Renewable Power ("Mainstream") valuing the company at EUR 900 million on a 100% basis, subject to customary adjustments
- Earn-out payment in 2023 of up to EUR 100 million based on certain milestones
- Existing Mainstream shareholders, led by founder and chairman Dr. Eddie O'Connor, will re-invest and retain 25% ownership
- As part of the transaction, Aker Horizons will also acquire 50% of superconducting technology company SuperNode
▪ The acquisition is fully funded through an Aker commitment in addition to a new Aker Horizons RCF facility and an acquisition financing facility totalling EUR 510m
Financing and timing
- In addition to the acquisition of Mainstream, Aker Horizons has ambitious investment targets and is currently in the process of preparing for a near-term private placement and listing on Euronext Growth, with a subsequent transfer of the listing to Oslo Børs within 12 months
- The transaction is expected to close in Q2 2021
- Conditional upon customary regulatory and local competition approvals, as well as approvals from Mainstream's creditors
Mainstream will catalyse further development of the Aker Horizons portfolio
Creating a renewable energy major
Pure-play renewable energy company with a global portfolio of development assets with strong growth trajectory
Unique and diversified technology platform across solar PV, onshore wind and offshore wind
Global organisation with in-house capabilities throughout the renewable energy value chain
Strong track-record as one of the most successful independent developers of renewables assets globally
Significant near-term value triggers from project awards and completion of projects under construction
Our ambition:
Develop Mainstream into a leading global renewable energy major, with a further 5 GW brought to financial close and IPO within the next 3 years
Source: Mainstream Renewable Power
- The development portfolio consists of active early to late stage development projects. Mainstream also has ~10 GW of identified opportunities which will build the development pipeline in the short to medium term
Mainstream has emerged as a leading global renewable energy developer
| 2008 ▪ Founded by Dr. Eddie O'Connor ▪ Barclays among first investors ▪ Entered Chilean market |
2010 ▪ Hornsea offshore wind zone (UK, 5,400 MW) awarded ▪ 110 MW US wind project awarded |
2013 ▪ Marubeni new shareholder ▪ Wind plants in Ireland and Canada (54 MW) sold to IKEA ▪ South Africa REIPPPP Round 3 – 360 MW awarded |
2015 ▪ Ørsted acquires Hornsea offshore wind zone ▪ Awarded 299 MW in Chilean auction ▪ South Africa REIPPPP Round 4 – 250 MW awarded |
2017 ▪ wind project deal signed 800 MW (now 1,400 MW) ▪ construction |
Vietnam Soc Trang offshore Chile projects (299 MW) start |
2019 ▪ Condor (Chile, 574 MW) starts construction ▪ Partnered with Eni to develop large-scale renewable assets |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 ▪ Entered South Africa market ▪ Neart na 450 MW) offshore wind awarded |
2011 ▪ South Africa REIPPPP Round 1 – awarded Gaoithe (UK, MAINSTREAM RENEWABLE POWER AS OF TODAY |
2014 ▪ Consent granted for 238 MW Neart na Hornsea Phase 1 |
2016 ▪ Gaoithe and (1,300 MW) ▪ |
Mainstream won 27% of Chilean electricity auction Consortium of investors including Rockefeller Brothers Fund and IFC invest in Lekela Power |
2018 ▪ Senegal project (158 MW) starts construction ▪ South Africa projects ▪ EDF Group acquires 450 MW Neart na ▪ Exit for Barclays and Marubeni |
(250MW) start construction Gaoithe |
2020 ▪ The first 200 MW of Soc Trang (up to 1,400 MW) included in Vietnam's PDP VII ▪ Huemul (Chile, 625 MW) starts construction ▪ South Africa Round 4 projects reach COD (250 MW) |
| 335 employees |
13 global offices with HQ in Dublin |
4.4x realised multiple on invested capital |
~6.4 GW capacity brought to FC-ready since inception |
~11 GW asset portfolio |
~1.4 GW net under operation and construction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ------------------ | ------------------------------------------- | ----------------------------------------------------- | --------------------------------------------------------------- | --------------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------- |
M A I N S T R E A M R E N E W A B L E P O W E R A truly global, diversified renewables developer
- The development portfolio consists of active early to late stage development projects. Mainstream also has ~10 GW of identified opportunities which will build the development pipeline in the short to medium term
Highly experienced management team with proven track record of success
30
4.4x MOIC
MANAGEMENT TEAM WITH COMBINED ~90 YEARS OF
Dr. Eddie O'Connor – Chairman
- Founder and former CEO. Executive Chairman since 2017
- Previously founded Airtricity which was later sold to SSEand EON for GBP 1.9 bn, and is also the founder of SuperNode
Mary Quaney – CEO
- Appointed CEO in 2020 after serving as CFO since 2017, having joined Mainstream in 2009
- Previously held senior level positions in PwC and Trinity Biotech
Paul Corrigan – CFO
- Appointed CFO in 2020, previously Head of Corporate Finance since 2014, having joined Mainstream in 2008
- Previous experience from IBI Corporate Finance and KPMG
Bart Doyle – COO
- Appointed COO in 2018 and appointed to the Mainstream Board in 2020
- Formerly GM in Chile and COO Onshore Development
Source: Mainstream Renewable Power
2013 Carrickeeny Ireland 2011 Shady Oaks USA
- Gross capacity. Includes Hornsea 1 and Hornsea 2 sold to Ørsted pre-financial close
In-house renewable project execution capabilities covering full asset lifecycle
CLASS EXECUTION GLOBAL END-TO-END TECHNICAL CAPABILITIES Existing local capabilities and functions HQ LatAm Africa APAC Offshore Market Entry / Origination ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ Development ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ Project Support ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ Construction ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ - Operations - ✔ ✔ ✔ - Corporate ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ Full-cycle expertise in-house – a clear differentiator versus competitors who generally outsource most services to third party consultants
GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT STANDARD DRIVING BEST-IN-
- Proprietary Global Development Standard (GDS) designed to deliver renewable energy projects to the highest international standard
- Helps manage projects and portfolios consistently by standardising all project execution procedures
- Accelerates process of identifying financially and technically viable projects, and directs resources and budget to the best projects
- Encompasses 9 stages and 8 decision gates with set requirements, from origination through to operations
- Aligned to benchmarks such as the IFC Sustainability Framework, the Equator Principles and the World Bank HSE guidelines
Placing sustainability at the heart of the business
Portfolio of world class projects to build a material future revenue base
CHILE
- 1.7 GW gross across 13 projects in operation / construction / near term FC
- 1.2 GW in construction with first projects reaching COD in 2021 - on budget with 20 year PPAs
- 150 MW reaching FC in Q2 with targeted COD in 2023
-
Further 1.5 GW solar and 1.4 GW onshore wind under development
-
More than 5 GW of 100% owned projects for upcoming tender rounds
- Significant opportunity set within bilateral PPAs with corporates and municipalities
VIETNAM
- Partner with the Phu Cuong Group (PCG) in the up to 1.4 GW Soc Trang offshore wind project
- Phase 1a (200 MW) recently included in the National Power Development Plan VII – FC expected in 2021
- Agreed partnership with Advanced Information Technologies Corporation (AIT) to jointly develop the 500 MW Ben Tre offshore wind project - initial phases targeting FC in 2024
OFFSHORE WIND
- Developed 3.5 GW offshore wind historically, including Hornsea, the largest offshore project in the world
- Integrated team with more than 20 years of experience working together across Mainstream and Airtricity
- Actively targeting future opportunities across Europe, USA and APAC
S U P E R N O D E Technology for a renewables powered supergrid
SUPERNODE ADDRESSES THE NEED FOR EFFICIENT TRANSMISSION REQUIRED TO SUPPORT THE RENEWABLE TRANSITION
Europe alone needs to connect 2,000 GW of renewables generation by 20501
SuperNode key market applications include offshore wind and onshore grid reinforcement
- Established in 2018 by Mainstream and Dr. Eddie O'Connor
- Superconductor grid identified as a key part of the solution to meet future electricity demand – by transmitting electricity without resistance
- SuperNode has proprietary technology to develop thermal management for improved superconductor cables
- Greater capacity, a smaller footprint and zero electrical losses
- DNV Statement of Feasibility achieved in Nov. 2020
- Aim to develop a prototype system by 2025
- Aker Horizons will become a 50% owner of SuperNode
S U P E R N O D E
Significant market potential and a differentiator for future offshore wind developments
DEVELOPING SUPERCONDUCTOR CABLE TECHNOLOGY
- SuperNode is developing superconducting cable systems for bulk power transfer
- The technology will utilize a high-performance cryostat, minimizing thermal ingress to the system and pipe losses, and intermediary cooling and pumping stations
-
Target to deliver in excess of 2GW of bulk power transfer systems at minimal cost and power loss
-
✓ Lower power loss
- ✓ Lower operating expenditures
- ✓ Lower installation costs
-
✓ Extended distances for highcapacity power transmission
-
✓ Many new potential superconductor applications
- ✓ Significant positive environmental impact
- ✓ Increased scalability of the overall connection system
MATERIAL MARKET POTENTIAL
Offshore wind power transmission
- ✓ Smaller and more cost efficient collector stations compared to conventional HVDC alternatives
- ✓ Connection of remote renewables to markets where demand is highest – a potential game changer for offshore wind developments
Onshore grid reinforcements
- ✓ Significantly smaller footprint and reduced environmental impact compared to lower capacity HVDC alternatives
- ✓ No heat leakage to surrounding soil, and zero energy losses in transmission
Outlook and mid-term company targets
| DEVELOPMENT | CAPACITY | FINANCIAL |
|---|---|---|
| + 5 GW | > 2 GW | USD 100-120m |
| GW brought to financial close1 in 2021-2023 |
Net GW in operation or under construction by end 2022 |
Run-rate EBITDA from the Andes platform2 once in operation in 2022 |
A K E R H O R I Z O N S A M B I T I O N Our 2025 ambitions
Source: SSB; US Environmental Protection Agency; IEA
-
10 GW at load factor of 35% equivalent to ~31,000 GWh. For comparison: London total annual electricity consumption ~40,000 GWh
-
Where 10 Mt CO2 eq. will come from CCUS and ~15 Mt CO2 eq. will come from avoidance of emissions from electricity generation,
assuming 35% capacity factor on renewable capacity and 475 g/kWh carbon intensity
A K E R H O R I Z O N S I N V E S T M E N T T H E S I S
Investment thesis grounded in eight UN sustainability development goals
If emissions continue to rise at current rates, the Arctic could be ice-free in the summer by 2040
We are losing Arctic sea ice at a rate of ~13% per decade – and it is accelerating
Source: WWF
MILLION DEATHS PER YEAR CAUSED BY…
4.2
Ambient air pollution kills four million people per year More than HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and road injuries combined
Air pollution deaths could rise to 6-9 million per year by 2060 and cost 1% of global GDP
Ambient air polution Road
1.4
HIV/AIDS
1.4
0.7
3.4
Source: WHO; Hiv.gov; Centre for Disease Control and Prevention; OECD
Tuberculosis
S E L E C T E D S C R E E N I N G C R I T E R I A F O R F U T U R E I N V E S T M E N T O P P O R T U N I T I E S
A K E R H O R I Z O N S ' I N V E S T M E N T C R I T E R I A
Planet-positive Solving a challenge close to our SDG investments themes
Bright future Strong growth outlook and profitability potential
Path to earnings 10x earnings potential in ten years
Unique capability set Addressing the challenge in a unique way
Plays to Aker's strengths Opportunity to leverage Aker ecosystem to drive value
A K E R H O R I Z O N S ' C U R R E N T P O R T F O L I O A N D O P P O R T U N I T I E S
Three platforms with ambition to grow and expand further
-
Aker Horizons' ownership in the respective portfolio company as at the date of this presentation (for Mainstream, at transaction closing)
-
24.7% ownership
-
Aker Horizons will become a 50% owner of SuperNode as part of the Mainstream transaction"
A K E R O F F S H O R E W I N D
Leading the development of deepwater offshore wind power production
Pure play floating offshore wind developer, headquartered in Norway, focusing on assets in deep waters. The company aims to source, develop and operate offshore wind projects
Aker Offshore Wind aims to deploy cost-effective solutions based on decades of offshore experience, in close cooperation with leading global partners
> 1.5 GW portfolio of development projects and prospects in South Korea (Ulsan), the US (California), Norway and the UK (Scotland)
A K E R C A R B O N C A P T U R E
Pure play carbon capture company with unique technology to secure a better future
Pure play carbon capture company delivering ready-to-use capture plants
Best-in-class HSE friendly solvent and other patented plant technologies for better all-round plant performance
Market-leading proprietary technology with more than 50,000 operating hours
M A I N S T R E A M R E N E W A B L E P O W E R Leading renewable energy developer with a global footprint
Existing portfolio of 1.4 GW
net assets in operation and construction
Global organization with expertise and track record across the renewable asset life cycle
R E C S I L I C O N
Uniquely positioned to seize opportunities in the fast-growing battery segment
One of the world's largest producers of high-performance polysilicon to the solar energy industry with +30 years' experience
Lowest cost and lowest carbon footprint manufacturer, with best-in-class proprietary technology
Uniquely positioned to take advantage of the 'electrification of everything decade'
A K E R C L E A N H Y D R O G E N N E X T O N T H E A G E N D A
Aim to launch advanced, ongoing development of hydrogen venture during H1 2021
A K E R H O R I Z O N S V A L U E C R E A T I O N A M B I T I O N
Building a leading portfolio through incubation and acquisitions
CLEAR STRATEGY FOR VALUE MAXIMIZATION AND DISTRIBUTION
Delivering shareholder value through:
- ✓ Access to unique deal flow and sourcing capabilities – growing and expanding the portfolio
- ✓ Optimizing financing for growth by actively tapping into capital markets
- ✓ Accelerating growth by leveraging Aker's ecosystem
- ✓ Private to public value creation through IPOs, trade sales and/or dividend distributions
A K E R H O R I Z O N S T E A M Financial, industrial, operational expertise
Kristian M. Røkke CEO
Nanna Tollefsen CFO
Erik Otto Nyborg Investment Director
Frode Strømø General Counsel
Holger Dilling
Ola Beinnes Fosse Head of Treasury
Jan Ivar Nielsen Senior Advisor
Karl-Petter Løken Investment Director
Christian Yggeseth IR & Market Analysis
Valborg Lundegaard CEO Aker Carbon Capture
Ivar Simensen Communications
Corporate Development
Merete Myrmo Investment Manager
Karianne Kristiansen Human Resources
Petter Natås Group Chief Controller
Adele Unneberg Investment Associate
Astrid S. Onsum CEO Aker Offshore Wind
Portfolio company management
Mary Quaney CEO Mainstream Renewable Power
Xinxin Yang Facility Management
Idun Heier Group Chief Accountant
A K E R E C O S Y S T E M A N D C A P A B I L I T I E S
Access to broader ecosystem enabling scale in capabilities and technology
A K E R E C O S Y S T E M A N D C A P A B I L I T I E S
Leverage Aker's digital ecosystem to strengthen competitiveness across Aker Horizons
- gas customer benefits in line of 15-18% of OPEX
-
NOK 5bn + of shareholder value created based on recent Accel investment in Cognite
-
value creation to improve competitiveness of Aker Horizons portfolio companies
- From day 1 focus on harvesting data across Aker Horizons companies to create an unparalleled opportunity to capture strategic data driven insights across Aker Horizons
S U M M A R Y
Aker Horizons established as Aker's investment platform within renewable energy and green tech, with various funding initiatives under evaluation, including a potential IPO of Aker Horizons
Acquisition of Mainstream Renewable Power is a step change in the development of Aker Horizons adding sizeable ~11 GW asset portfolio and a highly skilled organization
Plan to accelerate the development of Mainstream Renewable Power by leveraging on the Aker ecosystem and bringing Mainstream to an IPO within three years
Clear strategy and operating model for developing companies established, with a relentless focus on maximizing and realizing values for shareholders supported by significant value creation to date
Large funnel of opportunities for potential incubation & development coupled with an active M&A agenda – the next step for Aker Horizons is to launch Aker Clean Hydrogen and to incubate a new planet-positive area
Appendix
Diversified 11 GW net portfolio with additional 10 GW opportunities, including largescale offshore wind projects
| OPERATIONAL & CONSTRUCTION | UNDER DEVELOPMENT | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LatAm | Aela JV Andes – Condor portfolio Andes – Huemul portfolio |
133 MW 574 MW 630 MW |
Andes – Copihue portfolio Chile – Onshore wind Chile – Solar PV |
150 MW 1,356 MW 1,533 MW |
| Africa | Lekela JV – South Africa Lekela JV – Other Africa |
38 MW 52 MW |
South Africa – Onshore wind South Africa – Solar PV |
3,090 MW 2,500 MW |
| Asia Pacific | Camarines Sur | 71 MW | ||
| Offshore | Vietnam – Soc Trang Vietnam – Ben Tre |
980 MW 250 MW |
||
| Total: | 1,427 MW | Total: | 9,930 MW |
Global footprint and track record with full set of in-house capabilities will drive growth
- Approach New market due diligence process allows for efficient and accurate identification of viable projects
- Market entry through greenfield projects, joint ventures or acquisitions
In house capabilities
- ✓ New Market Entry ✓ Fatal Flaw Analysis
- ✓ Constraints Mapping (GIS)
- ✓ Due Diligence of Acquisitions
Market entry Development Construction & financing
- 56 staff globally with combined experience of +775 years experience of which 430 years is directly in renewables development
- Combination of global and local expertise and knowledge in house to deliver best in class projects on time and to plan
✓ Land Control
- ✓ Energy Yield Analysis
- ✓ Environmental Studies
- ✓ Planning and Consents
- ✓ Community Engagement
- ✓ Grid Connection
~6.4 GW of projects developed across 8 countries, 4 continents and 3 technologies
- 500 years of Experience in the Construction Industry providing best in market construction input and oversight to projects
- ✓ Procurement and Contracts
- ✓ Project Management
- ✓ Construction Management
- ✓ Civil Electrical Engineering
Track record Projects delivered to MRP exit / operations
+ projects under construction & developments
+ newly opened offices originating projects
Excellent construction safety record for ~1.4 GW of wind and solar assets built across 3 continents, and ~1.2 GW currently under construction
~EUR 3.0bn project finance raised
M A I N S T R E A M G L O B A L D E V E L O P M E N T S T A N D A R D
Stage-gate process
| Stage | Key activities | In current portfolio (net) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Pre-Feasibility | Potential opportunities identified considering high-level constraints, e.g. resources, grid, land type (terrain), competition. |
~10 GW |
| 1 | Feasibility | For greenfield sites, initial engagement with landowners; layout design. For potential acquisitions/JVs, due diligence. |
opportunities |
| 2 | Land Signing | Contract signing with main land site landowners. Initial energy analysis. Preliminary technology selection. |
~5.0 GW early |
| 3 | Site Surveys | Install measurement station. Engage with grid operator and access and grid line landowners. Constructability review. |
development pipeline |
| 4 | EIS / ESIA | Full suite of environmental studies (EIS/ESIA). Progress grid connection. | ~4.8 GW late |
| 5 | Permit Application |
Environmental permits, grid connection agreement, consented layout. | development pipeline |
| 6 | Pre-construction | Detailed engineering. Technology selection. Construction contracts. Secure project financing. | ~0.2 GW pre construction |
| 7 | Construction | Construction site management. Contract and loan administration. Stakeholder management. | ~1.4 GW under construction and |
| 8 | Operations | Operations. Asset management. | in operation |
M A I N S T R E A M R E N E W A B L E P O W E R Country overview
- One of the fastest growing economies in South America with promising market-oriented economic policies
- Liberal power sector which has been seen as a model for other markets in the region
- Traditionally reliant on thermal power and hydropower. However, decommissioning of coal capacity to 2030 and strong green energy mandate will drive increasing share of renewables and gas
- Vast renewable resource potential in solar and onshore wind
| A+ |
|---|
| 19.0m |
| USD 282bn |
| 100% |
| 79 TWh |
- Africa's most advanced economy, with an engine for economic growth despite recent slowdown
- Renewables program has successfully driven down bid tariffs
- Energy switch is imminent, with approximately 20 GW of new renewable capacity planned by 2030, the coal power plant fleet approaching retirement and no new nuclear plants in the pipeline
- Renewables can provide a solution to dire power needs and stabilize industrial production, as Eskom has resorted to rotating blackouts in recent months
| Credit rating: | BB |
|---|---|
| Population: | 58.6m |
| GDP: | USD 351bn |
| Electrification coverage: | 91% |
| Power consumption: | 229 TWh |
(auction)
CHILE SOUTH AFRICA VIETNAM
- The government has high ambitions for renewables targets and has established strategic plans for wind and solar. A FiT scheme also provides guaranteed opportunities for generators
- Vietnam possesses significant resource potential for renewables due to its long coastlines, significant solar irradiance and tropical climate
- Government support in the form of tax exemptions and reduction in environmental fees provides a favourable platform for renewables
| Credit rating: | BB |
|---|---|
| Population: | 96.5m |
| GDP: | USD 262bn |
| Electrification coverage: | 100% |
| Power consumption: | 227 TWh |
FiT Scheme FiT Scheme FiT Scheme
42
M A I N S T R E A M R E N E W A B L E P O W E R A leading independent developer in Latin America
- Active in Latin America since 2008
- Established presence with 144 staff
- Benefitting from extensive local competence, track record and relationships
CHILE
- The largest independent developer in Chile
- Successful commercial history of 4.2 TWh/year from 20 year DISCO PPAs awarded in 2015 and 20162
- Three projects in operation (332 MW gross) through Aela portfolio (40% owned, JV with Actis)
- 10 projects in construction (1.2 GW) and near construction (150 MW) through wholly owned Andes Renovables platform with targeted COD in 2021-2023 – combination of solar and onshore wind assets optimized for PPA delivery
- Actively developing pipeline of 2.9 GW targeting Corporate PPAs and upcoming DISCO auctions
COLOMBIA AND OTHER LATIN AMERICA
- Colombia representing an attractive growth market with more than 1 GW of identified opportunities across onshore wind and solar
-
Further potential to leverage track record in other Latin American countries fast growth economies with high ambitions within renewable energy
-
Distribution companies ("DISCOs") have the right but not the obligation to buy up to the contracted volume of the energy supplied by the generator. However, the DISCOs have the obligation to buy contracted energy prior to making spot market purchases and can only turn to the spot market when demand exceeds the contracted volume under existing PPAs. Any surplus energy can be sold in the spot market Source: Mainstream Renewable Power
M A I N S T R E A M R E N E W A B L E P O W E R Pan-African track record, focus on upcoming tenders in South Africa
- Active in South Africa since 2008
- Second biggest winner of tenders to date with 848 MW
- Founding partner in the Lekela JV – leading African renewable portfolio with 1.0 GW capacity
SOUTH AFRICA
- Strong local presence with 73 employees in South Africa
- Diverse portfolio of high quality solar and wind development assets
- More than 4.5 GW of ready to bid, 100% owned projects for upcoming tender rounds
- Bidding in upcoming REIPPPP Round 5 in 2021, potential financial close in 2022
- Significant opportunity set within bilateral PPAs with corporates and municipalities
LEKELA PORTFOLIO
- The largest Pan-African IPP established in 2014
- Mainstream has played a foundational role in the development of the portfolio
- 5-13% retained ownership in the projects
- Successfully brought in equity partners including IFC and Rockefeller Brothers
M A I N S T R E A M R E N E W A B L E P O W E R APAC core growth region, maturing offshore wind project towards financial close Development1
- Core growth area for Mainstream with 33 employees across the region
- Strong regional trends with high host country ambitions for renewable energy
- Mainstream regional HQ in Singapore with growing teams in local offices
VIETNAM
- Mainstream and Phu Coung Group (PCG) entered a JV agreement in 2017 to develop the 1.4 GW Soc Trang offshore wind project, which will be developed in two phases, 400 MW in phase 1 and 1,000 MW in phase 2
- Phase 1a (200 MW) recently included in the National Power Development Plan VII FC expected in H2 2021
- Recently agreed partnership with Advanced Information Technologies Corporation (AIT) to jointly develop the 500 MW Ben Tre offshore wind project – initial phases targeting FC in 2024
REST OF APAC (PHILIPPINES, AUSTRALIA, AND OTHER APAC)
- Actively pursuing growth opportunities in selected geographies across the APAC region
- Holds exclusive right to develop Camarines Sur onshore wind farm in Philippines with target FC in 2022 and further actively advancing ~350 MW onshore wind opportunities in Philippines
- Positioning for new projects in Australia with strong market development expected in years ahead
M A I N S T R E A M R E N E W A B L E P O W E R Large pipeline and leading track record within offshore wind
- Leading track record and experienced organization within fixed foundation offshore wind
- High impact growth potential through large scale participation in upcoming bid rounds
EXCEPTIONAL OFFSHORE WIND TRACK RECORD
- 3.5 GW taken to Ready to Build (RTB) in UK offshore wind historically, including Hornsea, the largest offshore project constructed to date in the world
- Track record of significant awards and value creation in offshore licensing rounds
- Awarded, developed and sold the Neart na Gaoithe and Hornsea developments ahead of FC
- Integrated team with more than 20 years of joint experience across MRP and Airtricity
- Demonstrated ability in securing, developing and delivering financeable, ready to build projects
WELL POSITIONED FOR UPCOMING AUCTION ACTIVITY
- Developing the Soc Trang project targeting significant new projects in years ahead
- Reviewing further opportunities in Asia and Europe
- US Pre-qualified to tender in California, targeting to participate in additional US markets
| 450 MW Neart na Gaoithe (Sold 2018) |
5,400 MW1 Hornsea (Sold 2015) |
1,400 MW Soc Trang (400 MW Phase 1 expected FC in 2021) |
Positioned for future auctions and opportunities across Europe, USA and APAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland | England | Vietnam | New markets |
Financing of the Mainstream acquisition
FINANCING OVERVIEW
- EUR 510m financing facility provided by DNB and Nordea
- o EUR 170m three-year Revolving Credit Facility with an accordion option to upsize the facility amount to EUR 340m
- o EUR 340m acquisition financing facility, available up to 18 months (50%) and 24 months (50%) after signing of the facility agreement
- Aker intending to fund remaining commitment in Aker Horizons through a combination of equity, equity linked loans and shareholder loans
FINANCING PLAN
- Intention to refinance acquisition financing facility through debt and equity
- Aker contemplating inviting external investors into Aker Horizons, inter alia through a potential IPO
SOURCES AND USES OVERVIEW
| Sources and uses | EURm |
|---|---|
| Purchase price of MRP shares (100%)1 | 900 |
| Equity injection at closing (100%) | 110 |
| Sum, net to Aker (75%)1 | 758 |
| Aker Horizons RCF | 170 |
| Acquisition finance | 340 |
| Aker capital commitment1 | 248 |
| Aker Horizons financing1 | 758 |
M A I N S T R E A M R E N E W A B L E P O W E R Consolidated financial figures
GROUP P&L AND BALANCE SHEET OF MAINSTREAM RENEWABLE POWER LIMITED
| Audited financials (IFRS) | Draft & Unaudited management accounts |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EURm | 2017 | 20181 | 2019 | 2020 |
| Revenue | 18 | 632 | 71 | N/A |
| COGS | (0) | (83) | (1) | N/A |
| Gross profit | 18 | 549 | 70 | N/A |
| Administration exp. | (17) | (31) | (25) | N/A |
| Development exp. | (13) | (6) | (4) | N/A |
| Operating profit/(loss) | (12) | 512 | 41 | N/A |
| Net profit/(loss) | (6) | 487 | 19 | N/A |
| Non-current assets | 15 | 17 | 88 | N/A |
| Inventories | 135 | 81 | 215 | N/A |
| Cash | 87 | 364 | 325 | 446 |
| Of which restricted | 44 | 67 | 51 | 3002 |
| Other current assets | 7 | 10 | 18 | N/A |
| Total assets | 244 | 472 | 646 | N/A |
| Borrowings | 116 | 51 | 198 | 7523 |
| Other liabilities | 43 | 22 | 49 | N/A |
| Equity | 85 | 399 | 399 | N/A |
-
Revenue in 2018 driven by sale of the offshore wind farm Neart na Gaoithe (NNG) to EDF Renewable.
-
Of which (i) EUR 99m restricted cash under the TFF, bid bonds etc. and (ii) EUR 201m related to unspent
Mezzanine debt drawn and exclusively restricted for the use of Condor and Huemul capex
- Mainstream Renewable Power company estimate
Source: Mainstream Renewable Power
- MRP has historically divested its projects in advance of commencing production, i.e. revenue and earnings has been realised through sale of assets
- Going forward, MRP will transform into both a developer and producer of renewable energy, creating steady cash flow from producing projects and growth from development projects
- Restricted cash consists primarily of prefunded debt and cash backing of LC facilities
M A I N S T R E A M R E N E W A B L E P O W E R Mainstream key project metrics
PROJECTS
| Asset | Portfolio | Country | Technology | Stage | Economic interest |
Capacity (MW) |
P50 Production (GWh/y) |
FC | COD | Remaining capex1 (USDm) |
PPA tariff / MWh |
PPA volume (GWh/y) |
PPA tenor (years) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | Aela | Chile | Wind | Operation | 40% | 129 | 351 | 2017 | 2020 | - | USD 79 | 3122 | 20 |
| Sarco | Aela | Chile | Wind | Operation | 40% | 170 | 481 | 2017 | 2020 | - | USD 80 | 4562 | 20 |
| Cuel | Aela | Chile | Wind | Operation | 40% | 33 | 94 | 2013 | 2014 | - | USD 47 | 802 | 20 |
| Alena | Andes – Condor |
Chile | Wind | Construction | 100% | 84 | 291 | 2019 | 2021 | ||||
| Rio Escondido | Andes – Condor |
Chile | Solar PV | Construction | 100% | 145 | 452 | 2019 | 2021 | USD 43 | 5282 | 20 | |
| Cerro Tigre | Andes – Condor |
Chile | Wind | Construction | 100% | 185 | 463 | 2019 | 2021 | 286 | USD 42 | 4622 | 20 |
| Tchamma | Andes – Condor |
Chile | Wind | Construction | 100% | 158 | 456 | 2019 | 2021 | USD 40 | 4402 | 20 | |
| Ckani | Andes – Huemul |
Chile | Wind | Construction | 100% | 109 | 354 | 2020 | 2022 | USD 43 | 3742 | 20 | |
| Llanos del Viento | Andes – Huemul |
Chile | Wind | Construction | 100% | 160 | 453 | 2020 | 2022 | ||||
| Puelche Sur |
Andes – Huemul |
Chile | Wind | Construction | 100% | 156 | 472 | 2020 | 2022 | 684 | USD 39 | 6382 | 20 |
| Pampa Tigre | Andes – Huemul |
Chile | Solar PV | Construction | 100% | 100 | 335 | 2020 | 2022 | 6382 | |||
| Valle Escondido | Andes – Huemul |
Chile | Solar PV | Construction | 100% | 105 | 345 | 2020 | 2022 | USD 39 | 20 | ||
| Caman | Andes – Copihue |
Chile | Wind | Pre-Construction | 100% | 149 | 552 | 2021 | 2023 | N/A | USD 44 | 2862,3 | 20 |
| Khobab | Lekela | South Africa | Wind | Operation | 5% | 140 | 564 | 2015 | 2017 | - | ZAR 752 | N/A | 20 |
| Loeriesfontein 2 |
Lekela | South Africa | Wind | Operation | 5% | 140 | 535 | 2015 | 2017 | - | ZAR 766 | N/A | 20 |
| Noupoort | Lekela | South Africa | Wind | Operation | 5% | 81 | 305 | 2015 | 2016 | - | ZAR 1,0314 | N/A | 20 |
| Kangnas | Lekela | South Africa | Wind | Operation | 7% | 140 | 516 | 2018 | 2020 | - | ZAR 670 | N/A | 20 |
| Perdekraal East |
Lekela | South Africa | Wind | Operation | 7% | 110 | 371 | 2018 | 2020 | - | ZAR 759 | N/A | 20 |
| Taiba N'Diaye | Lekela | Senegal | Wind | Operation | 12% | 158 | 450 | 2018 | 2021 | - | EUR 95 / 1295 | N/A | 20 |
| West Bakr (BOO) | Lekela | Egypt | Wind | Construction | 13% | 252 | 1,219 | 2019 | 2021 | 22 | USD 406 | N/A | 20 |
| Soc Trang Ph 1A&B | Soc Trang | Vietnam | Offshore wind | Late stage development | 70% | 400 | 1,252 | 2021 | 2023 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
KEY GROUP LOAN FACILITIES
| Facility7,8 | Size | Drawn YE 2020 | Recourse | Maturity | Economic interest | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aela Mezzanine |
USDm | 50 | 47 | Non recourse to MRP | December 2022 | 100% |
| Condor PF | USDm | 551 | 481 | Non recourse to MRP | Construction + 18 years | 100% |
| Huemul PF | USDm | 542 | 157 | Non recourse to MRP | Construction + 17.5 years | 100% |
| Andes Mezzanine | USDm | 296 | 250 | Non recourse to MRP | September 2025 | 100% |
-
Total capex including capitalised borrowing costs remaining as of YE 2020 (for West Bakr project in Lekela platform amount of Construction Equity is Gross Lekela share)
-
For PPAs in Chile, DISCOs have the right but not the obligation to buy up to the contracted volume of the energy supplied by the generator. However, the DISCOs have the obligation to buy
contracted energy prior to making spot market purchases and can only turn to the spot market when demand exceeds the contracted volume under existing PPAs.
-
Additional PPA in advanced discussions.
-
Only 27% of the Noupoort PPA tariff is subject to indexation.
-
95 for years 1-16, 129 for years 17-20, 100% of tariff subject to indexation in year 1-16, 0% subject to indexation in year 17-20.
-
78% tariff indexation.
-
Loan facilities are USD denominated to match currency of PPAs. MRP also has a EUR 167m Trade Finance Facility (non-cash) which is fully utilized to provide Letters of Credit to support Mainstream's
equity commitments for the Condor and Huemul portfolios. In addition, there is a USD 55m cash backed facility which has provided an LC in the amount of USD 37m to support Mainstream's equity
commitments for the Huemul portfolio.
- Proportionate debt related to non-consolidated JV interests: Aela JV proportionate debt is USD 159m and Lekela JV proportionate debt is USD 116m. Source: Mainstream Renewable Power
Building Mainstream into a renewable energy major by pursuing tangible growth opportunities, leveraging Aker's ecosystem and bolstering the organization
Mainstream is already a sizeable global renewable energy company with a strong & tangible portfolio of attractive growth opportunities
Source: Mainstream Renewable Power; latest financial report and/or company presentation for each of the included companies 1. Including development pipeline
E U T A X O N O M Y
Aker Horizons aims to invest in activities with a high degree of alignment with the EU Taxonomy
EU Taxonomy in brief
- The EU Taxonomy is a classification system, establishing a list of environmentally sustainable economic activities
- The regulation is designed to enable gathering of reliable, consistent and comparable sustainability related indicators
- Economic activities are considered environmentally sustainable if they contribute to one or more objectives shown below – while not doing significant harm to the others
Climate change mitigation
Climate change adaption
Circular economy Sustainable use of water and marine resources
Pollution prevention
Biodiversity and ecosystems
Aker Horizons alignment with key EU Taxonomy objectives
- The EU Taxonomy entered into force in July 2020, with technical screening criteria currently being developed. First company reports and investor disclosures using the Taxonomy are due at the start of 2022, covering the financial year 2021
- As of today, technical criteria for two of the six environmental goals have been published: Climate change mitigation and Climate change adaptation. For the four other environmental objectives, the taxonomy will be established by the end of 2021
- Based on a preliminary analysis and current interpretation of the treatment in the Taxonomy,
- ‒ Capture of CO2 is covered as an enabling activity in the technical screening criteria of the industrial activity to which it is applied. Carbon capture in industrial manufacturing and energy production is a sustainable activity if it enables the manufacturing/power generation activity to become more sustainable according to Taxonomy definitions
- ‒ Wind power production qualifies as sustainable if it supports the transition to a climate-neutral economy
- No legal precedent exists, and the EU is expected to further expand and clarify the rules moving forward