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Aker Solutions — Investor Presentation 2016
Feb 12, 2016
3531_rns_2016-02-12_5eddb93f-abf2-410d-864d-a904fb487501.pdf
Investor Presentation
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4Q 2015
Fornebu, February 12, 2016 Luis Araujo and Svein Stoknes
Agenda | 4Q 2015
Luis Araujo Chief Executive Officer
Financials Svein Stoknes Chief Financial Officer
Key Developments
- Major projects progress as planned
- Order backlog steady at NOK 40 billion
- Order intake of NOK 6.4 billion, helped by MMO contracts in Norway and the UK
- Solid financial position with liquidity buffer of NOK 9 billion
- Capacity adjustments amid market slowdown
- Earnings impacted by restructuring costs, impairment charges
- Steady progress on global improvement program
- Board recommends zero dividend for 2015
Key Figures | 2015
Revenue and EBIT
NOK billion
26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 2012 2013 2014 2015 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Revenue EBIT 31.9 1.0 22.8 39.7 Intake Backlog
2012 2013 2014 2015
Order intake and backlog
NOK billion
2012 2013 2014 2015
Key Figures | 4Q 2015
Revenue and EBIT
NOK billion
Order intake and backlog
NOK billion
Health, Safety and Environment: A Top Priority
HSE Performance Indicators
One Global Improvement Program – #thejourney
Targeting minimum 30 percent improvement in cost-efficiency across the business.
Building a culture of continuous improvement
Outlook
- Market uncertainty persists amid concern over capital, oil prices
- Tougher commercial environment
- Steady tendering in main markets, though seeing projects postponed
- Norway market sluggish over next year
- Decreasing break-even costs may spur project sanctions
- Healthy order backlog and growing international presence
- Well placed to capture long-term, global subsea market growth
- Vigilant about costs and capacity
Agenda | 4Q 2015
Luis Araujo Chief Executive Officer
Financials Svein Stoknes
Chief Financial Officer
Q&A Session
4Q 2015 | Consolidated Income Statement
- Revenue for 4Q 2015 down 14% versus 4Q last year, reflecting a challenging NCS market
- Underlying 4Q 2015 EBITDA reached NOK 695 million, a margin of 8.9% versus 9.6% a year earlier
| (NOK million) | 4Q 2015 | 4Q 2014 | 2015 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue and other income | 7,864 | 9,155 | 31,896 | 32,971 |
| EBITDA | 182 | 786 | 1,841 | 2,675 |
| EBITDA margin | 2.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% |
| EBITDA (excl. special items) 1 |
695 | 873 | 2,638 | 2,835 |
| EBITDA margin (excl. special items) 1 |
8.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairment | (337) | (228) | (882) | (665) |
| EBIT | (155) | 557 | 958 | 2,010 |
| EBIT margin | (2.0%) | 6.1% | 3.0% | 6.1% |
| EBIT (excl. special items) 1 |
481 | 714 | 1,918 | 2,243 |
| EBIT margin (excl. special items) 1 |
6.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% |
| Net financial items | (102) | (197) | (320) | (244) |
| FX on disqualified hedging instruments | (21) | 115 | 46 | 51 |
| Profit before tax | (278) | 476 | 685 | 1,817 |
| Income tax expense | 28 | (117) | (302) | (516) |
| Profit for the period | (250) | 359 | 383 | 1,300 |
| Basic earnings per share (NOK) | (0.83) | 1.30 | 1.44 | 4.71 |
| Basic earnings per share (NOK) (excl. special items)1 | 0.96 | 1.41 | 3.94 | 5.17 |
1Special items include costs linked to restructuring, onerous lease provisions, the impact of currency derivatives not qualifying for hedge accounting, IT separation costs following the demerger, and impairment charges on technology and property. See first page of additional information section for full details on special items.
4Q 2015 | Cashflow and Financial Position
- Strong 4Q 2015 cashflow from operations of NOK 1,595 million, helped by favourable net working capital (NCOA) development on project progress and working capital initiatives
- Continue to see NCOA moving over time towards more normalized level of NOK 1.5-2 billion
- Robust 4Q 2015 financial position with net cash of NOK 301 million and gross debt NOK 3.7 billion; leverage and gearing well below policy
- Increased RCF by NOK 1 billion with improved leverage covenant; total liquidity buffer at NOK 9 billion
- Group ROACE reached 8%, reflecting ongoing investments and special items
Debt maturity profile
NOK million
Note: Revolving credit facility of NOK 5 billion as at end 4Q 2015, drawn NOK 0 billion, maturing in 2019
Net current operating assets (NCOA)
NOK million
Subsea
- Project execution according to plan
- 4Q 2015 revenue down 13% vs. last year to NOK 4.8 billion
- 4Q 2015 EBIT margin decreased to 1.5% from 7.6% a year earlier
-
EBIT impacted by special items totaling NOK 242 million from restructuring and technology impairments
-
4Q 2015 order intake down year-on-year to NOK 1.3 billion, equivalent to 0.3 book-tobill
- End 4Q 2015 order backlog was down 33% year-on-year to NOK 22.5 billion
- Key financial KPIs: ROACE and EBIT margins
1 EBIT excluding special items was NOK 312 million and the EBIT margin excluding special items was 6.6% in 4Q 2015
Field Design
- Impacted by continued activity slowdown on the NCS
- 4Q 2015 revenue down 14% vs. last year to NOK 3.2 billion
- 4Q 2015 EBITDA margin of 0% due to restructuring cost mainly within MMO
-
EBIT impacted by special items totaling NOK 254 million from restructuring and technology impairments
-
4Q 2015 order intake was up year-on-year to NOK 5.1 billion, equivalent to 1.6 bookto-bill
- End 4Q 2015 order backlog increased 18% year-on-year to NOK 17.2 billion
- Key financial KPIs: EBITDA margin and nominal EBITDA
1 EBIT excluding special items was NOK 204 million and the EBIT margin excluding special items was 6.4% in 4Q 2015
Good Visibility From Substantial Order Backlog1
4Q 2015 Order backlog by execution date
NOK billion
Subsea backlog
Field Design backlog
Order backlog by business area
NOK billion
1 Firm backlog only, excludes majority of service business and potential additional revenue from existing agreements and options
Order backlog and intake evolution
NOK billion
Order backlog Order intake
End 4Q 2015 Order backlog by region NOK billion
Financial Guidance
- Positive long-term offshore, deepwater outlook
- Near-term uncertainty on timing of awards
- Aim to at least maintain market share in main subsea, field design markets
Revenue Balance sheet
- Maintenance capex/R&D ≈ 3% of revenue
- Current major capex investment plans to be finished in 2016
- Working capital: likely to fluctuate around large project work but on average will be ≈ 5-7% of group revenue
Margins and returns Financial policy
- We aim to gradually move toward peer group margin levels in Subsea
- We expect gradual recovery in Field Design
-
We aim for Subsea ROACE of 20-25% over medium term
-
Net interest-bearing debt/EBITDA ≈ 1
- Net interest-bearing debt/Equity < 0.5
- Dividend payments should over time amount to 30-50% of net profit
Agenda | 4Q 2015
Introduction
Luis Araujo Chief Executive Officer
Financials Svein Stoknes Chief Financial Officer
Additional information 4Q 2015
Special items
| NOK million | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special items (EBITDA) | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | YTD 2015 |
| Onerous lease cost1 | 52 | 58 | 40 | 114 | 265 |
| Restructuring cost2 | 0 | 2 | 41 | 373 | 416 |
| Non-qualifying hedges | 18 | 36 | 25 | 15 | 94 |
| Demerger and other costs | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22 |
| Special items (EBIT) | |||||
| Impairment losses3 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 123 | 163 |
| Total | 100 | 103 | 121 | 636 | 960 |
1) Onerous lease costs are included in the "other" segment and has not impacted the BA results
2) Restructuring cost in 4Q is related to Subsea (NOK 134 million) and Field Design (NOK 239 million). For 2015, restructuring cost is NOK 166 million in Subsea and NOK 250 million in Field Design.
3) Impairments are primarily related to Subsea with NOK 108 million for 4Q and NOK 145 million for 2015
Consolidated income statement
| NOK million | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement consolidated | 1Q 2014 | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | FY 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | FY 2015 |
| Operating revenue and other income | 7,482 | 8,060 | 8,274 | 9,155 | 32,971 | 8,500 | 8,048 | 7,484 | 7,864 | 31,896 |
| EBITDA | 666 | 608 | 615 | 786 | 2,675 | 591 | 547 | 521 | 182 | 1,841 |
| Of which related to hedging | 28 | (25) | 2 | (91) | (86) | (18) | (36) | (25) | (15) | (94) |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairment | (145) | (136) | (156) | (228) | (665) | (183) | (171) | (192) | (337) | (882) |
| EBIT | 521 | 472 | 460 | 557 | 2,010 | 409 | 376 | 329 | (155) | 958 |
| Net financial items | (24) | (19) | (4) | (197) | (244) | (82) | (106) | (30) | (102) | (320) |
| Foreign exchange on disqualified hedging instruments |
(106) | 73 | (32) | 115 | 51 | 11 | 41 | 15 | (21) | 46 |
| Profit before tax | 391 | 526 | 424 | 476 | 1,817 | 338 | 310 | 315 | (278) | 685 |
| Income tax expense | (108) | (137) | (154) | (117) | (516) | (118) | (102) | (110) | 28 | (302) |
| Profit for the period | 283 | 388 | 270 | 359 | 1,300 | 220 | 209 | 205 | (250) | 383 |
| EBITDA margin | 8.9 % | 7.5 % | 7.4 % | 8.6 % | 8.1 % | 7.0 % | 6.8 % | 7.0 % | 2.3 % | 5.8 % |
| Basic earnings per share (NOK) | 1.03 | 1.41 | 0.97 | 1.30 | 4.71 | 0.79 | 0.73 | 0.75 | -0.83 | 1.44 |
Consolidated assets & debt and equity
| NOK million | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | 4Q 2013 | 1Q 2014 | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 3,072 | 3,067 | 3,180 | 3,203 | 3,603 | 3,586 | 3,754 | 3,792 | 3,962 |
| Intangible assets | 5,524 | 5,585 | 5,731 | 5,810 | 6,143 | 6,238 | 6,388 | 6,518 | 6,539 |
| Financial assets (non-current) | 17 | 17 | 23 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
| IB receivables (non-current) | 0 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| IB receivables (current) | 106 | 112 | -0 | 299 | 82 | 8 | 8 | - | 117 |
| Other current assets | 12,792 | 12,591 | 13,805 | 15,732 | 14,197 | 14,381 | 14,520 | 15,252 | 13,213 |
| Cash & bank deposits | 4,463 | 4,041 | 4,009 | 1,064 | 3,339 | 2,816 | 1,958 | 2,651 | 3,862 |
| Total Assets | 25,975 | 25,416 | 26,754 | 26,139 | 27,391 | 27,055 | 26,654 | 28,241 | 27,729 |
| Debt and equity | 4Q 2013 | 1Q 2014 | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shareholder's equity | 6,231 | 7,046 | 7,534 | 5,125 | 5,677 | 5,707 | 5,836 | 6,326 | 6,397 |
| Minority interests | 156 | 161 | 175 | 186 | 216 | 239 | 241 | 253 | 234 |
| Non IB liabilities (non-current) | 1,802 | 1,890 | 1,922 | 1,662 | 1,391 | 1,338 | 1,445 | 1,472 | 881 |
| Interest bearing debt (non-current) | 3,533 | 3,650 | 3,710 | 3,652 | 3,154 | 3,142 | 3,685 | 3,122 | 3,137 |
| Non IB liabilities (current) | 14,239 | 12,653 | 13,396 | 15,298 | 16,279 | 16,049 | 15,356 | 16,584 | 16,520 |
| Interest bearing current liabilities | 14 | 16 | 17 | 216 | 674 | 581 | 91 | 483 | 561 |
| Total Liabilities and shareholder's equity | 25,975 | 25,416 | 26,754 | 26,139 | 27,391 | 27,055 | 26,654 | 28,241 | 27,729 |
| Net current operating assets, excluding held for sale | 98 | 1,492 | 336 | 880 | -688 | 90 | 656 | 315 | -1,607 |
| Net interest bearing items | -1,023 | -491 | -288 | 2,491 | 397 | 889 | 1,801 | 943 | -301 |
| Equity | 6,387 | 7,207 | 7,710 | 5,310 | 5,893 | 5,945 | 6,077 | 6,579 | 6,630 |
| Equity ratio (in %) | 24.6 | 28.4 | 28.8 | 20.3 | 21.5 | 22.0 | 22.8 | 23.3 | 23.9 |
Consolidated cashflow
| NOK million | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow | FY 2013 | 1Q 2014 | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | FY 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | FY 2015 |
| EBITDA continuing operations | 2,162 | 623 | 587 | 617 | 785 | 2,675 | 591 | 547 | 521 | 182 | 1,841 |
| Change in cash flow from operating activities | 497 | (1,510) | 1,239 | (968) | 1,271 | (30) (1,005) | (627) | 311 | 1,414 | 93 | |
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 2,659 | (887) | 1,826 | (351) | 2,057 | 2,645 | (414) | (80) | 832 | 1,595 | 1,934 |
| Capital expenditure fixed assets | (996) | (132) | (166) | (203) | (315) | (816) | (118) | (297) | (165) | (261) | (841) |
| Capital expenditure internal developement | (498) | (120) | (115) | (124) | (195) | (554) | (109) | (125) | (94) | (121) | (449) |
| Proceeds from sale of businesses | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Acquisition of subsidiaries, net of cash acquired | (619) | - | (15) | - | (36) | (51) | - | - | - | (3) | (3) |
| Cash flow from other investing activities | 3 | (4) | 25 | (18) | 50 | 53 | (0) | 3 | (1) | (7) | (5) |
| Net cash flow from investing activities | (2,110) | (256) | (271) | (345) | (496) (1,368) | (227) | (419) | (261) | (392) (1,299) | ||
| Change in external borrowings | (136) | 88 | (3) | 119 | (170) | 34 | 31 | 49 | (8) | 25 | 98 |
| Other financing activities | - | - | 6 | (10) | (125) | (129) | 65 | (4) | 9 | (96) | (26) |
| Net contribution from (to) parent | 859 | 626 | (1,643) (2,349) | 632 | (2,734) | - | (394) | - | - | (394) | |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | 723 | 714 | (1,640) (2,240) | 337 | (2,829) | 95 | (349) | 2 | (71) | (323) | |
| Translation adjustments | 36 | 7 | 53 | (9) | 377 | 428 | 22 | (10) | 120 | 79 | 211 |
| Net decrease (-) / increase (+) in cash and bank | |||||||||||
| deposits | 1,308 | (422) | (32) (2,945) | 2,275 | (1,124) | (523) | (859) | 693 | 1,211 | 523 | |
| Cash and bank deposits as at the beginning of the period | 3,155 | 4,463 | 4,041 | 4,009 | 1,064 | 4,463 | 3,339 | 2,816 | 1,958 | 2,651 | 3,339 |
| Cash and bank deposits as at the end of the period | 4,463 | 4,041 | 4,009 | 1,064 | 3,339 | 3,339 | 2,816 | 1,958 | 2,651 | 3,862 | 3,862 |
Split per segment
| NOK million | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 1Q 2014 | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | FY 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | FY 2015 |
| Subsea | 4,105 | 4,672 | 5,054 | 5,461 | 19,293 | 5,077 | 4,820 | 4,452 | 4,752 | 19,101 |
| Field Design | 3,404 | 3,408 | 3,210 | 3,688 | 13,710 | 3,467 | 3,293 | 2,990 | 3,170 | 12,920 |
| Other | 21 | 31 | 62 | 90 | 205 | 41 | 50 | 104 | 79 | 273 |
| Eliminations | (48) | (51) | (52) | (85) | (236) | (85) | (115) | (62) | (137) | (398) |
| Revenues | 7,482 | 8,060 | 8,274 | 9,155 | 32,971 | 8,500 | 8,048 | 7,484 | 7,864 | 31,896 |
| EBITDA | 1Q 2014 | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | FY 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | FY 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subsea | 405 | 540 | 530 | 584 | 2,058 | 507 | 487 | 433 | 352 | 1,778 |
| Field Design | 258 | 143 | 174 | 293 | 868 | 183 | 190 | 170 | (1) | 543 |
| Other | 3 | (75) | (88) | (91) | (252) | (99) | (130) | (82) | (169) | (480) |
| EBITDA | 666 | 608 | 615 | 786 | 2,675 | 591 | 547 | 521 | 182 | 1,841 |
| EBIT | 1Q 2014 | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | FY 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | FY 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subsea | 294 | 425 | 399 | 417 | 1,536 | 353 | 344 | 278 | 70 | 1,045 |
| Field Design | 233 | 131 | 142 | 220 | 725 | 154 | 161 | 138 | (50) | 404 |
| Other | (5) | (84) | (82) | (80) | (251) | (99) | (130) | (86) | (175) | (490) |
| EBIT | 521 | 472 | 460 | 557 | 2,010 | 409 | 376 | 329 | (155) | 958 |
Split per segment
| NCOA | 1Q 2014 | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subsea | 1,322 | 327 | 742 | (332) | 18 | 724 | 611 | (472) |
| Field Design | 275 | 250 | 532 | 71 | 212 | 54 | (238) | (861) |
| Other | (105) | (241) | (394) | (427) | (140) | (122) | (58) | (275) |
| NCOA | 1,492 | 336 | 880 | (688) | 90 | 656 | 315 | (1,607) |
| Net capital employed | 1Q 2014 | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subsea | 4,940 | 4,392 | 4,549 | 3,989 | 4,322 | 5,157 | 5,130 | 4,702 |
| Field Design | 62 | (17) | 299 | 11 | 384 | 206 | (106) | (362) |
| Other | 3,262 | 2,973 | 3,584 | 3,685 | 3,887 | 4,007 | 4,146 | 3,689 |
| Net capital employed | 8,264 | 7,347 | 8,432 | 7,685 | 8,593 | 9,370 | 9,170 | 8,029 |
| Order intake | 1Q 2014 | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | FY 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | FY 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subsea | 4,423 | 18,463 | 1,791 | 2,630 | 27,306 | 1,998 | 1,782 | 2,537 | 1,343 | 7,660 |
| Field Design | 1,508 | 2,993 | 1,859 | 3,539 | 9,899 | 7,045 | 1,657 | 1,444 | 5,118 | 15,263 |
| Other | 17 | 11 | 27 | 134 | 190 | 50 | 55 | 64 | 118 | 287 |
| Eliminations | (51) | (59) | (50) | (100) | (260) | (81) | (58) | (88) | (191) | (418) |
| Order intake | 5,897 | 21,408 | 3,626 | 6,203 | 37,135 | 9,012 | 3,436 | 3,957 | 6,388 | 22,793 |
| Order backlog | 1Q 2014 | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subsea | 23,973 | 38,508 | 35,015 | 33,702 | 30,403 | 27,522 | 25,538 | 22,476 |
| Field Design | 15,556 | 15,376 | 14,035 | 14,609 | 17,927 | 16,453 | 15,131 | 17,235 |
| Other | 79 | 59 | (70) | (15) | (6) | 0 | (42) | 0 |
| Eliminations | (14) | (21) | 9 | (6) | (3) | 54 | 30 | (27) |
| Order backlog | 39,594 | 53,922 | 48,989 | 48,289 | 48,322 | 44,029 | 40,657 | 39,684 |
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Disclaimer
This Presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker Solutions ASA and Aker Solutions ASA's (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker Solutions' businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Presentation. Although Aker Solutions ASA believes that its expectations and the Presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Presentation. Aker Solutions ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Presentation, and neither Aker Solutions ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
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