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Aker Solutions — Investor Presentation 2016
Jul 13, 2016
3531_rns_2016-07-13_dc0e0852-25c8-44ea-8296-78260c9eb1f8.pdf
Investor Presentation
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2Q16
Fornebu, July 13, 2016 Luis Araujo and Svein Stoknes
© 2016 Aker Solutions |
Agenda | 2Q 2016
Introduction
Luis Araujo Chief Executive Officer
Financials Svein Stoknes Chief Financial Officer
Q&A Session
Luis Araujo Svein Stoknes
Key Developments | 2Q 2016
- Major projects progress as planned
- Steady margins year-on-year
- Top line weakens on global market decline
Good progress on global operational improvement program
- Solid financial position with liquidity buffer of NOK 7.9 billion
-
Subsea alliance with ABB formed in April
-
Robust order backlog of NOK 35 billion
- New orders secured in all business areas
-
Key engineering agreement with Lundin Norway
-
Subsea wins contract for its longest-ever umbilical for Egypt's Zohr field
- MMO wins orders in Norway
- FEED contract from Idemitsu Oil and Gas for offshore Vietnam developments
Key Figures | 2Q 2016
Global Improvement Program – #thejourney
Targeting minimum 30 percent improvement in cost-efficiency across company and building culture of continuous improvement
Simplifying work methods, organizational set-up, geographic footprint and products and services
Leaner and more efficient processes that reduce overall costs of projects and products while boosting quality
Collaborations From Reservoir to Topside
Outlook
- Market uncertainty persists amid concern over capital, oil prices
- Commercial environment still tough
- Steady tendering in key markets, though seeing projects postponed
- Norway market seen subdued this year, may see gradual recovery from 2017
- Lower break-even costs may spur project sanctions in next 12-18 months
- Robust order backlog and growing international presence
- Vigilant about costs and capacity
- Well placed to capture long-term, global deepwater and subsea market growth
Agenda | 2Q 2016
Introduction Luis Araujo Chief Executive Officer
Financials
Svein Stoknes Chief Financial Officer
Q&A Session
Luis Araujo Svein Stoknes
2Q 2016 | Income Statement
- Revenue for 2Q 2016 down 13% versus 2Q last year, reflecting project phasing and lower order intake
- Underlying 2Q 2016 EBITDA reached NOK 590 million, a margin of 8.5% versus 8.1% a year earlier
| (NOK million) | 2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 | 1H 2016 | 1H 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 6,969 | 8,048 | 13,432 | 16,548 |
| EBITDA | 563 | 547 | 1,072 | 1,138 |
| EBITDA margin | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| EBITDA (excl. special items) 1 |
590 | 647 | 1,111 | 1,312 |
| EBITDA margin (excl. special items) 1 |
8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairment | (245) | (171) | (440) | (354) |
| EBIT | 319 | 376 | 632 | 784 |
| EBIT margin | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% |
| EBIT (excl. special items) 1 |
395 | 478 | 722 | 987 |
| EBIT margin (excl. special items) 1 |
5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% |
| Net financial items | (95) | (106) | (154) | (188) |
| FX on disqualified hedging instruments | (25) | 41 | (22) | 52 |
| Income before tax | 199 | 310 | 457 | 648 |
| Income tax | (68) | (102) | (157) | (220) |
| Net income | 131 | 209 | 300 | 428 |
| Earnings per share (NOK) | 0.37 | 0.73 | 0.90 | 1.52 |
| Earnings per share (NOK) (excl. special items)1 | 0.66 | 0.91 | 1.22 | 1.94 |
1 Special items include costs linked to restructuring, onerous leases, the impact of currency derivatives not qualifying for hedge accounting, IT separation costs following the demerger, and impairment charges on technology and property in 2016. See first page of additional information section for details on special items.
2Q 2016 | Cashflow and Financial Position
- 2Q 2016 cashflow from operations was negative NOK 530 million, reflecting NCOA normalization
- Expect NCOA to move over time towards more normalized level of around NOK 1.5 billion
- Robust 2Q 2016 financial position with net debt of NOK 1.3 billion and gross debt NOK 4.3 billion; leverage and gearing well below target range
- Total liquidity buffer at NOK 7.9 billion from NOK 2.9 billion cash and NOK 5 billion RCF
- Group ROACE excluding impact from special items reached 13%, reflecting recent and ongoing investments
Debt maturity profile
NOK million
Note: Revolving credit facility of NOK 5 billion as at end 2Q 2016, drawn NOK 0 billion, maturing in 2019
Net current operating assets (NCOA) NOK million
Subsea
- Good progress on major projects, according to plan
- 2Q 2016 revenue down 12% vs. last year to NOK 4.3 billion
- 2Q 2016 EBITDA1 margin at 9.6%, slightly lower year-on-year
- 2Q 2016 EBIT1 margin decreased to 6.0% from 7.2% a year earlier
- 2Q 2016 order intake at NOK 2.2 billion, equivalent to 0.5x book-to-bill
- End 2Q 2016 order backlog at NOK 18.3 billion
Field Design
- Impacted by continued activity slowdown on the NCS
- 2Q 2016 revenue down 17% vs. last year to NOK 2.7 billion
- 2Q 2016 EBITDA1 margin of 7.4% driven by strong operational performance
- 2Q 2016 EBIT1 margins of 6.1%, up year-on-year from 4.9%
- 2Q 2016 order intake at NOK 1.3 billion, equivalent to 0.5x book-to-bill
- End 2Q 2016 order backlog at NOK 16.7 billion
Good Visibility From Substantial Order Backlog1
2Q 2016 Order backlog by execution date
NOK billion
Order backlog by business area
NOK billion
1 Firm backlog only, excludes majority of service business and potential additional revenue from existing agreements and options
Order backlog and intake evolution
NOK billion
End 2Q 2016 order backlog by region
NOK billion
Financial Guidance
- Positive long-term offshore, deepwater outlook
- Near-term uncertainty on timing of awards
- Aim to at least maintain market share in main subsea, field design markets
Margins and returns
- We aim to gradually move toward peer group margin levels in Subsea
- We expect gradual recovery in Field Design
- We aim for Subsea ROACE of 20-25% over medium term
Revenue Balance sheet
- Capex and R&D ≈ 3% of revenue
- Current major capex investment plans to be finished in 2016
- Working capital: likely to fluctuate around large project work but on average will be ≈ 5-7% of group revenue
Financial policy
- Net interest-bearing debt/EBITDA ≈ 1
- Net interest-bearing debt/Equity < 0.5
- Dividend payments should over time amount to 30-50% of net profit
Agenda | 2Q 2016
Introduction Luis Araujo Chief Executive Officer
Financials Svein Stoknes Chief Financial Officer
Q&A Session
Luis Araujo Svein Stoknes
Additional information
Special items
| NOK million | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special items (EBITDA) | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | FY 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 2Q 2016 |
| Onerous leases1 | 52 | 58 | 40 | 114 | 265 | - | 4 |
| Restructuring2 | 0 | 2 | 41 | 373 | 416 | 15 | 19 |
| Non-qualifying hedges | 18 | 36 | 25 | 15 | 94 | -4 | -11 |
| Demerger and other costs4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 3 | 15 |
| Special items (EBIT) | |||||||
| Impairments3 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 123 | 163 | - | 50 |
| Total | 100 | 102 | 121 | 636 | 960 | 13 | 77 |
1) Onerous lease costs are included in the "other" segment and has not impacted the BA results
2) Restructuring cost in 2Q is mainly related to capacity adjustments outside Norway in Engineering (NOK 16 million) and MMO (NOK 2 million)
3) Impairments are related to Subsea (NOK 50 million) in 2Q
4) Demerger and other costs in 2Q contains IT separation costs related to demerger of NOK 2 million and a NOK 13 million loss related to the sale of our Sweden office
Income statement
| NOK million | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement consolidated | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | FY 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | FY 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 2Q 2016 |
| Revenue | 8,060 | 8,274 | 9,155 | 32,971 | 8,500 | 8,048 | 7,484 | 7,864 | 31,896 | 6,463 | 6,969 |
| EBITDA | 608 | 615 | 786 | 2,675 | 591 | 547 | 521 | 182 | 1,841 | 508 | 563 |
| Of which related to hedging | (25) | 2 | (91) | (86) | (18) | (36) | (25) | (15) | (94) | 4 | 11 |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairment | (136) | (156) | (228) | (665) | (183) | (171) | (192) | (337) | (882) | (195) | (245) |
| EBIT | 472 | 460 | 557 | 2,010 | 409 | 376 | 329 | (155) | 958 | 314 | 319 |
| Net financial items | (19) | (4) | (197) | (245) | (82) | (106) | (30) | (102) | (320) | (59) | (95) |
| Foreign exchange on disqualified hedging instruments | 73 | (32) | 115 | 51 | 11 | 41 | 15 | (21) | 46 | 4 | (25) |
| Net income (loss) before tax | 526 | 424 | 476 | 1,817 | 338 | 310 | 315 | (278) | 685 | 258 | 199 |
| Income tax | (137) | (154) | (117) | (516) | (118) | (102) | (110) | 28 | (302) | (89) | (68) |
| Net income (loss) for the period | 388 | 270 | 359 | 1,300 | 220 | 209 | 205 | (250) | 383 | 169 | 131 |
| EBITDA margin | 7.5 % | 7.4 % | 8.6 % | 8.1 % | 7.0 % | 6.8 % | 7.0 % | 2.3 % | 5.8 % | 7.9 % | 8.1 % |
| Basic earnings per share (NOK) | 1.41 | 0.97 | 1.30 | 4.71 | 0.79 | 0.73 | 0.75 | -0.83 | 1.44 | 0.53 | 0.37 |
Balance sheet
| NOK million | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 2Q 2016 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 3,180 | 3,203 | 3,603 | 3,586 | 3,754 | 3,792 | 3,962 | 3,882 | 3,934 |
| Intangible assets | 5,731 | 5,810 | 6,143 | 6,238 | 6,388 | 6,518 | 6,539 | 6,403 | 6,306 |
| Financial assets (non-current) | 23 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| IB receivables (non-current) | 6 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 27 |
| IB receivables (current) | -0 | 299 | 82 | 8 | 8 | - | 117 | 76 | 91 |
| Other current assets | 13,805 | 15,732 | 14,197 | 14,381 | 14,520 | 15,252 | 13,213 | 11,909 | 10,478 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 4,009 | 1,064 | 3,339 | 2,816 | 1,958 | 2,651 | 3,862 | 3,497 | 2,861 |
| Total assets | 26,754 | 26,139 | 27,391 | 27,055 | 26,654 | 28,241 | 27,729 | 25,802 | 23,713 |
| Debt and equity | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 2Q 2016 |
| Total equity attributable to the parent | 7,534 | 5,125 | 5,677 | 5,707 | 5,836 | 6,326 | 6,397 | 6,278 | 6,399 |
| Non-controlling interests | 175 | 186 | 216 | 239 | 241 | 253 | 234 | 249 | 278 |
| Non IB liabilities (non-current) | 1,922 | 1,662 | 1,391 | 1,338 | 1,445 | 1,472 | 881 | 833 | 805 |
| Interest bearing debt (non-current) | 3,710 | 3,652 | 3,154 | 3,142 | 3,685 | 3,122 | 3,137 | 3,343 | 1,934 |
| Non IB liabilities (current) | 13,396 | 15,298 | 16,279 | 16,049 | 15,356 | 16,584 | 16,520 | 14,444 | 11,965 |
| Interest bearing current liabilities | 17 | 216 | 674 | 581 | 91 | 483 | 561 | 655 | 2,332 |
| Total liabilities and equity | 26,754 | 26,139 | 27,391 | 27,055 | 26,654 | 28,241 | 27,729 | 25,802 | 23,713 |
| Net current operating assets, excluding held for sale | 336 | 880 | -688 | 90 | 656 | 315 | -1,607 | -933 | -100 |
| Net interest bearing items | -288 | 2,491 | 397 | 889 | 1,801 | 943 | -301 | 406 | 1,287 |
| Equity | 7,710 | 5,310 | 5,893 | 5,945 | 6,077 | 6,579 | 6,630 | 6,527 | 6,677 |
| Equity ratio (in %) | 28.8 | 20.3 | 21.5 | 22.0 | 22.8 | 23.3 | 23.9 | 25.3 | 28.2 |
Cashflow
| 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | FY 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | FY 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 2Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 563 | ||||||||||
| (1,094) | ||||||||||
| 1,826 | (351) | 2,057 | 2,645 | (414) | (80) | 832 | 1,595 | 1,934 | (327) | (530) |
| (53) | ||||||||||
| (65) | ||||||||||
| (5) | ||||||||||
| - | ||||||||||
| (10) | ||||||||||
| (271) | (345) | (496) | (1,368) | (227) | (419) | (261) | (392) | (1,299) | (185) | (133) |
| 99 | ||||||||||
| - | ||||||||||
| 6 | (10) | (125) | (129) | 65 | (4) | 9 | (96) | (26) | 36 | (28) |
| (1,646) | (2,230) | 462 | (2,700) | 95 | (349) | 2 | (71) | (296) | 274 | 71 |
| (43) | ||||||||||
| (38) | (2,935) | 2,401 | (994) | (523) | (859) | 694 | 1,211 | 550 | (366) | (636) |
| 4,041 | 4,003 | 1,074 | 4,463 | 3,339 | 2,816 | 1,958 | 2,652 | 3,339 | 3,862 | 3,496 |
| 4,003 | 1,068 | 3,475 | 3,469 | 2,816 | 1,958 | 2,652 | 3,864 | 3,890 | 3,496 | 2,861 |
| 587 1,239 (166) (115) - (15) 25 (3) (1,643) 53 |
617 (968) (203) (124) - - (18) 119 (2,349) (9) |
785 1,271 (315) (195) - (36) 50 (170) 632 378 |
2,675 (30) (816) (554) - (51) 53 34 (2,734) 429 |
591 (1,005) (118) (109) - - (0) 31 - 22 |
547 (627) (297) (125) - - 3 49 (394) (10) |
521 311 (165) (94) - - (1) (8) - 121 |
182 1,414 (261) (121) - (3) (7) 25 - 79 |
1,841 93 (841) (449) - (3) (5) 98 (394) 212 |
508 (836) (94) (93) - - 2 238 - (128) |
Split per segment
| NOK million | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | FY 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | FY 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 2Q 2016 |
| Subsea | 4,672 | 5,054 | 5,461 | 19,293 | 5,077 | 4,820 | 4,452 | 4,752 | 19,101 | 3,864 | 4,264 |
| Field Design | 3,408 | 3,210 | 3,688 | 13,710 | 3,467 | 3,293 | 2,990 | 3,170 | 12,920 | 2,650 | 2,725 |
| Other | 31 | 62 | 90 | 205 | 41 | 50 | 104 | 79 | 273 | 25 | 48 |
| Eliminations | (51) | (52) | (85) | (236) | (85) | (115) | (62) | (137) | (398) | (76) | (68) |
| Revenues | 8,060 | 8,274 | 9,155 | 32,971 | 8,500 | 8,048 | 7,484 | 7,864 | 31,896 | 6,463 | 6,969 |
| EBITDA | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | FY 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | FY 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 2Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subsea | 540 | 530 | 584 | 2,058 | 507 | 487 | 433 | 352 | 1,778 | 367 | 399 |
| Field Design | 143 | 174 | 293 | 868 | 183 | 190 | 170 | (1) | 543 | 162 | 182 |
| Other | (75) | (88) | (91) | (252) | (99) | (130) | (82) | (169) | (480) | (21) | (18) |
| EBITDA | 608 | 615 | 786 | 2,675 | 591 | 547 | 521 | 182 | 1,841 | 508 | 563 |
| EBIT | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | FY 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | FY 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 2Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subsea | 425 | 399 | 417 | 1,536 | 353 | 344 | 278 | 70 | 1,045 | 213 | 194 |
| Field Design | 131 | 142 | 220 | 725 | 154 | 161 | 138 | (50) | 404 | 128 | 149 |
| Other | (84) | (82) | (80) | (251) | (99) | (130) | (86) | (175) | (490) | (27) | (24) |
| EBIT | 472 | 460 | 557 | 2,010 | 409 | 376 | 329 | (155) | 958 | 314 | 319 |
Split per segment
| NCOA | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 2Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subsea | 327 | 742 | (332) | 18 | 724 | 611 | (472) | (124) | 640 |
| Field Design | 250 | 532 | 71 | 212 | 54 | (238) | (861) | (538) | (456) |
| Other | (241) | (394) | (427) | (140) | (122) | (58) | (275) | (271) | (283) |
| NCOA | 336 | 880 | (688) | 90 | 656 | 315 | (1,607) | (933) | (100) |
| Net capital employed | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | 1Q 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subsea | 4,392 | 4,549 | 3,989 | 4,322 | 5,157 | 5,130 | 4,702 | 4,923 | |
| Field Design | (17) | 299 | 11 | 384 | 206 | (106) | (362) | (161) | |
| Other | 2,973 | 3,584 | 3,685 | 3,887 | 4,007 | 4,146 | 3,689 | 3,773 | |
| Net capital employed | 7,347 | 8,432 | 7,685 | 8,593 | 9,370 | 9,170 | 8,029 | 8,535 |
| Order intake | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | FY 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | FY 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 2Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subsea | 18,463 | 1,791 | 2,630 | 27,306 | 1,998 | 1,782 | 2,537 | 1,343 | 7,660 | 1,916 | 2,158 |
| Field Design | 2,993 | 1,859 | 3,539 | 9,899 | 7,045 | 1,657 | 1,444 | 5,118 | 15,263 | 4,129 | 1,264 |
| Other | 11 | 27 | 134 | 190 | 50 | 55 | 64 | 118 | 287 | 25 | 46 |
| Eliminations | (59) | (50) | (100) | (260) | (81) | (58) | (88) | (191) | (418) | (74) | (67) |
| Order intake | 21,408 | 3,626 | 6,203 | 37,135 | 9,012 | 3,436 | 3,957 | 6,388 | 22,793 | 5,996 | 3,400 |
| Order backlog | 2Q 2014 | 3Q 2014 | 4Q 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 2Q 2015 | 3Q 2015 | 4Q 2015 | 1Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subsea | 38,508 | 35,015 | 33,702 | 30,403 | 27,522 | 25,538 | 22,476 | 20,242 |
| Field Design | 15,376 | 14,035 | 14,609 | 17,927 | 16,453 | 15,131 | 17,235 | 18,275 |
| Other | 59 | (70) | (15) | (6) | 0 | (42) | 0 | 0 |
| Eliminations | (21) | 9 | (6) | (3) | 54 | 30 | (27) | (25) |
| Order backlog | 53,922 | 48,989 | 48,289 | 48,322 | 44,029 | 40,657 | 39,684 | 38,493 |
Copyright and Disclaimer
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Disclaimer
This Presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker Solutions ASA and Aker Solutions ASA's (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker Solutions' businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Presentation. Although Aker Solutions ASA believes that its expectations and the Presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Presentation. Aker Solutions ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Presentation, and neither Aker Solutions ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
Aker Solutions consists of many legally independent entities, constituting their own separate identities. Aker Solutions is used as the common brand or trade mark for most of these entities. In this presentation we may sometimes use "Aker Solutions", "we" or "us" when we refer to Aker Solutions companies in general or where no useful purpose is served by identifying any particular Aker Solutions company.