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Aker BP — Investor Presentation 2024
Apr 24, 2024
3528_rns_2024-04-24_5317fe73-6c23-430d-b875-4da47c4c0607.pdf
Investor Presentation
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First quarter 2024
24 April 2024 Aker BP ASA
Highlights
First quarter 2024
High operational performance
- Increased production
- Low cost and low emissions
Development projects on track
- Hanz in production
- Accelerated start-up for Tyrving
Strong financial position
- Stable underlying cash flow
- Full-year guiding unchanged

Production
1,000 barrels oil equivalent per day (mboepd)

1) Total portfolio (operated and non-operated)

Operating cost
Aker BP production cost USD per boe


USD per boe, 2023e
20
1) Source Wood Mackenzie. Companies included: Aker BP, BP, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Diamondback Energy, DNO, Eni, EOG Resources, Equinor, ExxonMobil, , Galp Energia, Harbour Energy, Hess Corp., Marathon Oil, OKEA, Pioneer, Shell, TotalEnergies, , Tullow Oil, Vår Energi.

4

A global leader in low GHG emissions
Decarbonising the business
Aker BP emission intensity, kg CO2e/boe

120 Industry net emission intensity Kg CO2 /boe, equity share (2023)1

285 largest producing upstream companies
1
140
Safety

Injury frequency (TRIF)1 Serious incident frequency (SIF)1

1) TRIF: Total recordable injuries per million working hours, rolling 12 months average. SIF: Serious incident frequency per million working hours, rolling 12 months average.


Development projects to drive growth and value creation
Net volume 800 mmboe I Net capex USD ~3 billion after tax I Portfolio BE at USD 35-40 per barrel1
Production outlook
mboepd


Project execution progressing according to plan
Moving from engineering and procurement phase to construction


The Hanz field in production
Subsea development to the Ivar Aasen platform1

1) Operated by Aker BP (35%). Partners: Equinor (50%) and Sval Energy (15%). Gross reserves of ~20 mmboe, net ~7 mmboe.
2024 exploration program
| Licence | Prospect | Operator | Aker BP share |
Pre-drill mmboe |
Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL102G | Trell North* | Aker BP | 61% | 3-8 mmboe | |
| PL1138 | Ametyst | Harbour Energy | 30% | 6-19 mmboe | |
| PL956 | Ringhorne North | Vår Energi | 20% | 13-23 mmboe | |
| PL211CS | Adriana* | Wintershall Dea | 15% | 23-45 mmboe | |
| PL442 | FGD*/Ypsilon | Aker BP | 88% | 9 - 20 |
Drilling |
| PL1182S | Kjøttkake | DNO | 30% | 19 - 40 |
Q2 |
| PL1185 | Kvernbit | Equinor | 20% | 9 - 65 |
Q2 |
| PL203 | Alvheim Deep | Aker BP | 80% | 24 - 160 |
Drilling |
| PL261 | Storjo West | Aker BP | 70% | 4 - 30 |
Q2 |
| PL1170 | Ferdinand | Aker BP | 35% | 31 - 65 |
Q2 |
| PL1170 | Hassel | Aker BP | 35% | 27 - 45 |
Q2 |
| PL554 | Garantiana Skrustikke | Equinor | 30% | 26 - 100 |
Q2 |
| PL211CS | Sabina* | Wintershall Dea | 15% | 6 - 15 |
Q3 |
| PL869 | Rumpetroll South | Aker BP | 80% | 10 - 45 |
Q3 |
| PL932 | Kaldafjell | Aker BP | 40% | 12 - 140 |
Q3 |
| PL1110 | Njargasas | Aker BP | 55% | 23 - 120 |
Q4 |
| PL1131 | Elgol | Vår Energi | 20% | 27 - 180 |
Q4 |
| PL942 | Kongeørn | Aker BP | 30% | 5 - 40 |
Q4 |
| PL886 | Bounty | Aker BP | 60% | 50 - 400 |
Q4 |
| PL212 | E-Prospect | Aker BP | 30% | 5 - 10 |
Q4 |
Ferdinand Storjo W Garantiana Skrustikke FGD/Ypsilon Ringhorne North Rumpetroll S. Hassel Trell North Alvheim Deep Ametyst Kvernbit Kjøttkake Njargasas Kaldafjell Elgol Kongeørn Aker BP partner Aker BP operator E-Prospect Bounty Adriana/Sabina
*) Appraisal well

Financial highlights
- High prices and low costs
- Underlift and working capital build in the quarter
- Strong financial flexibility maintained

Sales of oil and gas
Volume sold mboepd

Realised prices USD/boe

Total income USD million

Liquids Natural gas
Liquids Natural gas
Liquids Natural gas Other

Income statement
USD million
| Q1 2024 | Q4 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | Before impairment |
Impairments | Actual | |
| Total income | 3 078 | 3 556 | 3 556 | |
| Production costs | 211 | 298 | 298 | |
| Other operating expenses | 11 | 17 | 17 | |
| EBITDAX | 2 855 | 3 241 | 3 241 | |
| Exploration expenses | 68 | 67 | 67 | |
| EBITDA | 2 787 | 3 174 | 3 174 | |
| Depreciation | 592 | 606 | 606 | |
| Impairments | 0 | 415 | 415 | |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 2 194 | 2 569 | (415) | 2 154 |
| Net financial items | (104) | 15 | 15 | |
| Profit/loss before taxes | 2 090 | 2 583 | (415) | 2 168 |
| Tax (+) / Tax income (-) |
1 559 | 2 008 | (3) | 2 005 |
| Net profit / loss | 531 | 575 | (412) | 164 |
| EPS (USD) | 0.84 | 0.91 | (0.65) | 0.26 |
| Effective tax rate | 75 % | 78 % | 1 % | 92 % |
429 mboepd (467)
Oil and gas sales
\$78 per boe (82) Net realised price
\$6.1 per boe (6.2)
Production cost
75% (92%)
Effective tax rate

Cash flow
USD million
| Q1 -24 |
Q4 -23 |
Q3 -23 |
Q2 -23 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Op. CF before tax and WC changes | 2 986 | 3 204 | 3 235 | 2 731 |
| Taxes paid | (1 054) | (2 207) | (862) | (2 817) |
| 1 Changes in working capital |
(476) | 506 | (272) | 207 |
| Cash flow – operations |
1 456 | 1 503 | 2 101 | 121 |
| Cash flow – investments |
(1 117) | (1 042) | (944) | (776) |
| Free cash flow | 339 | 461 | 1 157 | (655) |
| Net debt drawn/repaid | - | (0) | (2) | 488 |
| Dividends | (379) | (348) | (348) | (348) |
| Interest, leasing & misc. | (110) | (85) | (138) | (75) |
| Cash flow – financing |
(489) | (433) | (488) | 66 |
| Net change in cash | (150) | 28 | 669 | (589) |
| Cash at end of period | 3 215 | 3 388 | 3 375 | 2 689 |
\$0.34bn (0.5)
Free cash flow (FCF)
\$0.54(0.73)
FCF per share
\$0.60 (0.55)
Dividend per share

Near-term tax payments
Sensitivity for H2-2024

Q1-24 Q2-24 Q3-24 Q4-24
\$100/bbl
\$60/bbl
\$80/bbl
Tax instalments for fiscal year 2023
- Tax for the year is paid in six bimonthly instalments with six months delay
- Q2-24 instalments now fixed based on full-year 2023 performance
Assumptions for H2-24 sensitivity analysis
- Gas prices assumed at USD 8 per mmbtu
- USDNOK rate assumed at 10.0
- Three oil price scenarios illustrated (average for 2024)

Balance sheet
USD million
| Assets | 31.03.24 | 31.12.23 | 31.03.23 |
|---|---|---|---|
| PP&E | 17 819 | 17 450 | 16 220 |
| Goodwill | 13 143 | 13 143 | 13 636 |
| Other non-current assets |
3 207 | 3 314 | 3 122 |
| Cash and equivalent | 3 215 | 3 388 | 3 280 |
| Other current assets | 2 053 | 1 751 | 1 671 |
| Total Assets |
39 437 | 39 047 | 37 928 |
| Total Equity and liabilities |
39 437 | 39 047 | 37 928 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other current liabilities | 1 955 | 1 833 | 1 416 |
| Tax payable | 3 444 | 3 600 | 4 758 |
| Other long-term liabilities | 4 674 | 4 861 | 4 681 |
| Deferred taxes | 11 058 | 10 592 | 9 502 |
| Financial debt | 5 791 | 5 798 | 5 304 |
| Equity | 12 514 | 12 362 | 12 267 |
| Equity and liabilities |
\$6.6bn (\$6.8)
Total available liquidity
32% (32%)
Equity ratio
0.21(0.19)
Leverage ratio1
1) Leverage ratio: Net interest-bearing debt divided by EBITDAX last 12 months, excluding effects of IFRS16 Leasing

Maintaining financial flexibility
Net interest-bearing debt Excl. leases, USD billion
4
2.0 3.1 2.4 2.4 2.6 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 Q1-23 Q2-23 Q3-23 Q4-23 Q1-24
Leverage ratio1 Targeting below 1.5 over time
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Q1-21 Q3-21 Q1-22 Q3-22 Q1-23 Q3-23 Q1-24
Liquidity available2 USD billion

Investment grade credit ratings
BBB Baa2 BBB
1) Leverage ratio: Net interest-bearing debt divided by EBITDAX last 12 months, excluding effects of IFRS16 Leasing 2) Liquidity available: undrawn bank facilities and cash and cash equivalents

Dividends
Planned quarterly dividends of USD 0.60 per share, equivalent to USD 2.40 per share for 2024
Dividends
USD per share

- Resilient dividend capacity
- Distributions shall reflect the financial capacity through the cycle
- A quarterly dividend of USD 0.60 per share paid in the first quarter 2024
- ~9% dividend growth for full year
- Ambition to grow dividend by minimum 5% per year
2024 guidance unchanged
| Q1-24 actuals |
2024 guidance |
|
|---|---|---|
| Production (mboped) | 448 | 410-440 |
| Opex (USD/boe) | 6.1 | ~7.0 |
| Capex (USDbn) | 1.0 | ~5.0 |
| Expex (USDbn) |
0.08 | ~0.50 |
| Abex (USDbn) |
0.06 | ~0.25 |


Disclaimer
This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ.
These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business.
These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions.
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document.
Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document.
Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

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