AI assistant
Aker BP — Investor Presentation 2024
Jul 12, 2024
3528_rns_2024-07-12_14a2035e-314e-4830-9732-3b2a6fbd58d6.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer

Second quarter 2024
12 July 2024 Aker BP ASA
Highlights
Second quarter 2024
Excellent operational performance
- High production efficiency and volumes
- Low cost and emissions
Development projects on track
- Fabrication and installation activities well underway
- Cost estimates and schedule unchanged
Strong financial performance
- High underlying cash flow in the quarter
- Continued optimising capital structure with Euro bond

Production
1,000 barrels oil equivalents per day (mboepd)



Johan Sverdrup
A world-class oil field with excellent reservoir properties


Johan Sverdrup
Steady production at elevated plateau
- Continued high production efficiency
- Four new production wells online in 1H
- Six more production wells to be added in 2H
- Planning for retrofit multilaterals next year
- Maturing Phase 3 subsea expansion
Johan Sverdrup production
Net to Aker BP, mboepd

Aker BP has a 31.6% interest in the Johan Sverdrup field, which is operated by Equinor. Prior to Q3-22, Aker BP's interest was 11.6%.
Production costs
A strong competitive position
Aker BP production cost USD per boe

Industry peers total operational cost1

USD per boe, 2023

Decarbonisation
A global leader in low GHG emissions
Decarbonising the business
Aker BP emission intensity, kg CO2e/boe

120 Industry net emission intensity1 Kg CO2 /boe, equity share (2023)

285 largest producing upstream companies
1
140
Project execution on track
- Major milestones successfully reached
- Fabrication and installation activities well underway
- Subsea activities and drilling progressing well
- Tyrving start-up planned for October
- Total capex estimate in line with plans


Development projects to drive growth and value creation
Net volume ~770 mmboe I Net capex USD ~3 billion after tax I Portfolio BE at USD 35-40 per barrel1
Production outlook
mboepd


Aker BP project overview
~770 mmboe net oil and gas volume at net capex of around USD 3 billion after tax
| Asset area | Field development | Aker BP ownership |
Gross/net volume | Net capex estimate | PDO submission | Production start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosk | 80.0% | 10/8 mmboe | USD 0.2bn | 2021 | 2023 | |
| Alvheim | Kobra East & Gekko |
80.0% | 50/40 mmboe | USD 0.9bn | 2021 | 2023 |
| Tyrving | 61.3% | 25/15 mmboe | USD 0.4bn | 2022 | 2024 | |
| Hanz | 35.0% | 20/7 mmboe | USD 0.2bn | 2021 | 2024 | |
| Grieg/Aasen | Symra | 50.0% | 87/49 mmboe USD 1.3bn |
2026 | ||
| Solveig Phase II | 65.0% | 2026 | ||||
| Alve North |
68.1% | 2027 | ||||
| Skarv | Idun North |
23.8% | 119/51 mmboe | USD 1.0bn | Dec-22 | 2027 |
| Ørn | 30.0% | Dec-22 230/187 mmboe USD 5.5bn Dec-22 650/413 mmboe USD 10.7bn Dec-22 |
2027 | |||
| Valhall | Valhall PWP | 90.0% | 2027 | |||
| Fenris | 77.8% | 2027 | ||||
| Hugin | 87.7% | 2027 | ||||
| Yggdrasil | Munin | 50.0% | 2027 | |||
| Fulla | 47.7% | 2027 |
Eventful exploration year so far
Positive exploration results
- Successful Adriana well: Candidate for tie-in to Skarv
- Successful Trell North well: Already included in Tyrving
- Ringhorne North: Potential tie-in to nearby infrastructure
- Frigg Gamma: Successful geopilot in Yggdrasil area
The unlocking of Wisting continues
- Positive Wisting geopilot in the quarter
- Encountered good reservoir quality
- Important data for evaluation and development of Wisting
- Small gas discoveries at Ferdinand and Hassel

2024 exploration program
| Licence | Prospect | Operator | Aker BP share |
Pre-drill mmboe |
Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL102G | Trell North* | Aker BP | 61% | 3-8 mmboe | |
| PL1138 | Ametyst | Harbour Energy | 30% | 6-19 mmboe | |
| PL956 | Ringhorne North | Vår Energi | 20% | 13-23 mmboe | |
| PL211CS | Adriana* | Wintershall Dea | 15% | 23-45 mmboe | |
| PL442 | Ypsilon | Aker BP | 88% | Dry | |
| PL203 | Alvheim Deep | Aker BP | 80% | Dry | |
| PL1170 | Ferdinand | Aker BP | 35% | Small gas discovery | |
| PL1170 | Hassel | Aker BP | 35% | Small gas discovery | |
| PL261 | Storjo West |
Aker BP | 70% | 4 - 30 |
Ongoing |
| PL1185 | Kvernbit | Equinor | 20% | 9 - 65 |
Q3 |
| PL554 | Garantiana Skrustikke | Equinor | 30% | 26 - 100 |
Q3 |
| PL211CS | Sabina* | Wintershall Dea | 15% | 6 - 15 |
Q3 |
| PL869 | Rumpetroll South | Aker BP | 80% | 10 - 45 |
Q3 |
| PL932 | Kaldafjell | Aker BP | 40% | 12 - 140 |
Q3 |
| PL1110 | Njargasas | Aker BP | 55% | 23 - 120 |
Q4 |
| PL942 | Kongeørn | Aker BP | 30% | 5 - 40 |
Q4 |
| PL886 | Bounty | Aker BP | 60% | 50 - 400 |
Q4 |
| PL212 | E-Prospect | Aker BP | 30% | 5 - 10 |
Q4 |
| PL1182S | Kjøttkake | DNO | 30% | 19 - 40 |
Postponed to 2025 |
| PL1131 | Elgol | Vår Energi | 20% | 27 - 180 |
Postponed to 2025 |


Financial highlights


Sales of oil and gas
Volume sold mboepd

Realised prices USD/boe

Total income USD million

Liquids Natural gas
Liquids Natural gas
Q2-23 Q3-23 Q4-23 Q1-24 Q2-24
Liquids Natural gas Other

Income statement
USD million
| Q1 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before impairment | Impairments | Actual | Actual | |
| Total income | 3 377 | 3 377 | 3 078 | |
| Production costs | 290 | 290 | 211 | |
| Other operating expenses | 13 | 13 | 11 | |
| EBITDAX | 3 074 | 3 074 | 2 855 | |
| Exploration expenses | 108 | 108 | 68 | |
| EBITDA | 2 966 | 2 966 | 2 787 | |
| Depreciation | 588 | 588 | 592 | |
| Impairments | 83 | 83 | 0 | |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 2 378 | (83) | 2 295 | 2 194 |
| Net financial items | (16) | (16) | (104) | |
| Profit/loss before taxes | 2 362 | (83) | 2 279 | 2 090 |
| Tax (+) / Tax income (-) |
1 718 | 1 718 | 1 559 | |
| Net profit / loss | 644 | (83) | 561 | 531 |
| EPS (USD) | 1.02 | 0.89 | 0.84 | |
| Effective tax rate | 73 % | 75 % | 75 % |
461 mboepd (429) Oil and gas sales
\$80 per boe (78)
Net realised price
\$6.4 per boe (6.1)
Production cost
75% (75%)
Effective tax rate

Cash flow
USD million
| Q2-24 | Q1-24 | Q4-23 | Q3-23 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Op. CF before tax and WC changes | 3 133 | 2 986 | 3 204 | 3 235 |
| Taxes paid | (2 086) | (1 054) | (2 207) | (862) |
| Changes in working capital1 | 100 | (476) | 506 | (272) |
| Cash flow – operations |
1 147 | 1 456 | 1 503 | 2 101 |
| Cash flow – investments |
(1 430) | (1 117) | (1 042) | (944) |
| Free cash flow | (283) | 339 | 461 | 1 157 |
| Net debt drawn/repaid | 807 | - | (0) | (2) |
| Dividends | (379) | (379) | (348) | (348) |
| Interest, leasing & misc. | (119) | (110) | (85) | (138) |
| Cash flow – financing |
308 | (489) | (433) | (488) |
| Net change in cash | 25 | (150) | 28 | 669 |
| Cash at end of period | 3 233 | 3 215 | 3 388 | 3 375 |
\$-0.28bn (0.34)
Free cash flow (FCF)
\$-0.45(0.54)
FCF per share
\$0.60 (0.60)
Dividend per share

Near-term tax payments
Sensitivity for H2-2024


Tax instalments
- Tax for the year is paid in six bimonthly instalments with six months delay
- Initial tax estimate for the year is made in Q2, the H2-instalments are then fixed in NOK
- Option for voluntary additional payment in October
Assumptions for H1-25 sensitivity analysis
- Three oil price scenarios illustrated (average for H2-24)
- Gas prices assumed at USD 9 per mmbtu
- USDNOK rate assumed at 10.0

Balance sheet
USD million
| Assets | 30.06.24 | 31.03.24 | 31.12.23 |
|---|---|---|---|
| PP&E | 18 620 | 17 819 | 17 450 |
| Goodwill | 13 060 | 13 143 | 13 143 |
| Other non-current assets |
3 307 | 3 207 | 3 314 |
| Cash and equivalent | 3 233 | 3 215 | 3 388 |
| Other current assets | 1 997 | 2 053 | 1 751 |
| Total Assets |
40 218 | 39 437 | 39 047 |
| Equity and liabilities | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity | 12 685 | 12 514 | 12 362 | ||
| Financial debt | 6 589 | 5 791 | 5 798 | ||
| Deferred taxes | 11 691 | 11 058 | 10 592 | ||
| Other long-term liabilities | 4 734 | 4 674 | 4 861 | ||
| Tax payable | 2 512 | 3 444 | 3 600 | ||
| Other current liabilities | 2 007 | 1 955 | 1 833 | ||
| Total Equity and liabilities |
40 218 | 39 437 | 39 047 |
\$6.6 bn (\$6.6)
Total available liquidity
32% (32%)
Equity ratio
0.27 (0.21)
Leverage ratio1

Continuously optimising our capital structure
Bond maturities
USD/EUR billion

Senior notes issued in May
- EUR 750 million
- 2032 maturity at 4.0% annual fixed coupon
Strong financial capacity and flexibility
- A robust balance sheet
- Maintaining financial flexibility
- Available liquidity
- Manage leverage ratio

Maintaining financial flexibility
3.4
Net interest-bearing debt Excl. leases, USD billion
2.4 2.4 2.6
Q2-23 Q3-23 Q4-23 Q1-24 Q2-24
3.1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Leverage ratio1 Targeting below 1.5 over time
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.5



Q2-21 Q4-21 Q2-22 Q4-22 Q2-23 Q4-23 Q2-24
0.2 0.2
0.2
0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
0.3
BBB Baa2 BBB 1) Leverage ratio: Net interest-bearing debt divided by EBITDAX last 12 months, excluding effects of IFRS16 Leasing 2) Liquidity available: undrawn bank facilities and cash and cash equivalents

Dividends
Strong and resilient cash flow as basis for dividend growth
Aker BP value creation plan 2023-2028 USD billion, accumulated

Dividends USD per share
- Low-cost production gives resilient dividend capacity
- Distributions shall reflect the capacity through the cycle
- A quarterly dividend of USD 0.60 per share also paid in the second quarter 2024
- ~9% dividend growth in 2024
Q1
Q3
Q4
Q2
▪ Ambition to grow dividend by minimum 5% per year
2024 guidance
| Previous guidance |
Actual Jan -June |
New guidance |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Production mboepd |
410 -440 |
446 | 420 -440 |
| Production cost USD/boe |
~7.0 | 6.2 | ~7.0 |
| Capex USD billion |
~5.0 | 2.28 | ~5.0 |
| Exploration USD billion |
~0.50 | 0.25 | ~0.50 |
| Abandonment USD billion |
~0.25 | 0.14 | ~0.25 |


Second quarter 2024 - Delivering on the strategy
| Operate safely and efficiently |
Decarbonise our business |
Deliver high return projects on quality, time and cost |
Establish the next wave of profitable growth options |
Return maximum value to our shareholders and our society |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 444 mboepd with 95% efficiency |
Equity GHG intensity of 2.9 kg CO e/boe 2 |
Project portfolio progressing as planned |
Several discoveries close to existing infrastructure |
Quarterly dividend of USD 0.60 per share |
| Low unit cost of USD 6.4/boe |
A global leader in low CO emissions 2 |
Hanz on stream and Tyrving start-up accelerated to October |
The unlocking of Wisting continues |
Successful EUR 750 mill bond issue |

Disclaimer
This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ.
These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business.
These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions.
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document.
Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document.
Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

www.akerbp.com