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Aker BP — Investor Presentation 2023
Apr 27, 2023
3528_rns_2023-04-27_f600cc9e-c6e5-4fa3-9347-5802b8d6f851.pdf
Investor Presentation
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First quarter 2023
27 April 2023 Aker BP ASA

Disclaimer
This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ.
These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business.
These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions.
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document.
Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document.
Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
Highlights
- Strong operational performance
- Projects on track
- High earnings and cash flow
- 2023 guidance reiterated

Safety is our priority number one
Injury frequency (TRIF)

Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21 Q1-22 Q2-22 Q3-22 Q4-22 Q1-23


High efficiency and low cost
Production efficiency
Capacity utilisation (operated assets)

Production cost USD per boe

Record high production
1,000 barrels oil equivalent per day (mboepd)


2023 exploration program
| Licence | Prospect | Operator | Aker BP share |
Pre-drill mmboe |
Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL867 | Gjegnalunden | Aker BP | 80% | 3 - 124 |
3-9 mmboe |
| PL265 | P-Graben | Equinor | 27% | 8 - 33 |
Dry |
| PL1141 | Styggehøe | Aker BP | 70% | 10 - 41 |
Dry |
| PL554 | Angulata | Equinor | 30% | 8 - 64 |
Dry |
| PL919 | Ve | Aker BP | 80% | 6 - 14 |
3-5 mmboe |
| PL873/442 | Øst Frigg Beta/Epsilon |
Aker BP | 44% | 18 - 45 |
Drilling |
| PL1148 | Carmen | Wellesley | 10% | 22 - 172 |
Drilling |
| PL1005 | Rondeslottet* | Aker BP | 40% | Q2 | |
| PL442 | Frigg Gamma Delta / Ypsilon | Aker BP | 88% | 9 - 22 |
Q2 |
| PL211CS | Dvalin N |
Wintershall Dea |
15% | 29 - 66 |
Q2 |
| PL272B | Krafla Mid Statfjord | Aker BP | 50% | 10 - 59 |
Q2 |
| PL929 | Ofelia | Neptune | 10% | 28 - 45 |
Q3 |
| PL956 | Ringhornet Ty |
Vår | 20% | 7 - 39 |
Q3 |
| PL261 | Storjo West | Aker BP | 70% | 10 - 20 |
Q4 |
| PL1170 | Ferdinand | Aker BP | 35% | 49 - 117 |
Q4 |
| PL932 | Kaldafjell | Aker BP | 40% | 19 - 145 |
Q4 |
| PL917 | Magellan | Vår | 40% | 16 - 54 |
Q4 |

7

Continued progress on decarbonisation
Emission intensity Kg CO2e/boe

Main drivers for the reduction
- Increased ownership in low-emission assets following the Lundin transaction from Q3-22
- Edvard Grieg and Ivar Aasen electrified as part of Johan Sverdrup Phase 2 project
- Continuous energy efficiency improvements

Aker BP – a global leader in low CO2 emissions
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 1 9 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 73 81 89 97 105 113 121 129 137 145 153 161 169 177 185 193 201 209 217 225 233 241 249 257 265 273 281 289 300 largest producing upstream companies 50 100 150 200 250 Net emission intensity, kg CO2 /boe equity share (2022) 1 1 300 1. Carbon intensity <4 kg CO2e/boe 2. Methane intensity <0.1 % 3. Scope 2 emissions ~0 from 2023 4. Absolute CO2 emissions reduced with 50% by 2030 and ~100% by 2050 5. Net zero across operations by 2030 Aker BP's targets

Sales of oil and gas
Volume sold mboepd

Total income USD million

Realised prices USD/boe

Q1-22 Q2-22 Q3-22 Q4-22 Q1-23
Liquids Natural gas
Liquids Natural gas Other

Income statement
USD million
| Q1 2023 | Q4 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Total income | 3 310 | 3 826 |
| Production costs | 263 | 286 |
| Other operating expenses | 16 | 16 |
| EBITDAX | 3 031 | 3 523 |
| Exploration expenses | 98 | 32 |
| EBITDA | 2 933 | 3 491 |
| Depreciation | 599 | 641 |
| Impairments | 373 | 636 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 1 961 | 2 214 |
| Net financial items | (137) | (37) |
| Profit/loss before taxes | 1 824 | 2 177 |
| Tax (+) / Tax income ( - ) |
1 637 | 2 064 |
| Net profit / loss | 187 | 112 |
| EPS (USD) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
450 mboepd (428)
Oil and gas sales
\$81 per boe (96)
Net realised price
\$7.2 per boe (7.2)
Production cost
90% (95%)
Effective tax rate

Cash flow - First quarter 2023
USD million

\$1.0 bn (0.08)
Free Cash Flow (FCF)
\$1.55(0.13)
FCF per share
\$0.55 (0.525) Dividend per share

Cash tax
Tax payments - Sensitivity for 2023 USD million
3,500

Process for tax payments
- Tax for the year is paid in six bimonthly instalments, starting in August, plus final settlement
- Initial tax estimate for the year is made in Q2, the Aug-Dec instalments are then fixed in NOK
- Option for voluntary additional payment in October normally only relevant if the initial estimate was too low
- At year-end, the upcoming Feb-Jun instalments may be adjusted to reflect latest estimate
- Final settlement in December the following year
Assumptions for H2-23 sensitivity analysis
- Brent price assumption reflects average for 2023
- Gas prices fixed at 15 \$/mmbtu
- USDNOK 9.5

Statement of financial position
USD million
| Assets | 31.03.23 | 31.12.22 | 31.03.22 restated |
|---|---|---|---|
| PP&E | 16 220 | 15 887 | 10 370 |
| Goodwill | 13 636 | 13 935 | 1 647 |
| Other non-current assets |
3 122 | 2 984 | 1 877 |
| Cash and equivalent | 3 280 | 2 756 | 2 817 |
| Other current assets | 1 671 | 2 000 | 1 228 |
| Total Assets |
37 928 | 37 562 | 17 940 |
| Equity and liabilities | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity | 12 267 | 12 428 | 2 547 | ||
| Financial debt | 5 304 | 5 279 | 3 558 | ||
| Deferred taxes | 9 502 | 9 359 | 3 405 | ||
| Other long-term liabilities | 4 681 | 4 248 | 5 275 | ||
| Tax payable | 4 758 | 5 084 | 2 257 | ||
| Other current liabilities | 1 416 | 1 164 | 898 | ||
| Total Equity and liabilities |
37 928 | 37 562 | 17 940 |
\$6.7 bn (\$6.2)
Total available liquidity
32% (33%)
Equity ratio
0.16 (0.21)
Leverage ratio*
*) Net interest-bearing debt divided by twelve months rolling EBITDAX, excluding any impacts from IFRS 16

Bond maturities
USD/EUR billion
Maintaining financial flexibility
Net interest-bearing debt
Excl. leases, USD billion
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

Liquidity available2)
USD billion
1) Leverage ratio: Net interest-bearing debt divided by EBITDAX last 12 months, excluding effects of IFRS16 Leasing 2) Liquidity available: undrawn bank facilities and cash and cash equivalents 15

Dividends
Planned quarterly dividends of USD 0.55 per share, equivalent to USD 2.2 per share for 2023
Dividends
USD per share

- Resilient dividend capacity
- Distributions shall reflect the financial capacity through the cycle
- A quarterly dividend of USD 0.55 per share paid in the first quarter 2023
- ~10% dividend growth for full year
- Ambition to grow dividend by minimum 5% per year
2023 guidance reiterated
| Production (mboped) | 430-460 |
|---|---|
| Opex (USD/boe) |
7.0-8.0 |
| Capex (USDbn) | 3.0-3.5 |
| Exploration (USDbn) | 0.4-0.5 |
| Abandonment (USDbn) | 0.1-0.2 |


Aker BP project overview

~770 mmboe
Net oil and gas resources
~20 USD bn
Net investments, before tax
~3 USD bn
Net investments, after tax
Projects adding significantly to growth and value creation
Lifting Aker BP's production by 250-300 mboepd in 2028
Production outlook
mboepd

Robust and profitable project portfolio
\$35-40/bbl
Project portfolio break-even oil price1
~25%
Project portfolio IRR at \$65/bbl oil price
1-2 years
Project portfolio payback at \$65/bbl oil price
Project execution progressing according to plan
- Progress on track
- Quality I Schedule I Cost I HSSE
- Reaping the benefits of frontloading
- Early planning and maturation
- Supplier involvement
- Secured yard and rig capacity
- All major contracts placed
- With alliance partners and strategic suppliers
- Troldhaugen project discontinued


Aker BP project overview
| Asset area | Field development | Aker BP ownership |
Gross/net volume | Net capex estimate | PDO submission | Production start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobra East & Gekko |
80.0% | 50/40 mmboe | USD 0.9bn | 2021 | 2024 | |
| Alvheim | Frosk | 80.0% | 10/8 mmboe | USD 0.2bn | 2021 | 2023 |
| Tyrving | 61.3% | 25/15 mmboe | USD 0.4bn | 2022 | 2025 | |
| Hanz | 35.0% | 20/7 mmboe | USD 0.2bn | 2021 | 2024 | |
| Edvard Grieg & Ivar Aasen |
Symra | 50.0% | 87/49 mmboe | USD 1.3bn | Dec-22 | 2027 |
| Solveig Phase II | 65.0% | 2026 | ||||
| Alve North |
68.1% | 119/51 mmboe | USD 1.0bn | Dec-22 | 2027 | |
| Skarv | Idun North |
23.8% | 2027 | |||
| Ørn | 30.0% | 2027 | ||||
| Valhall PWP |
90.0% | 230/187 mmboe | USD 5.5bn | Dec-22 | 2027 | |
| Valhall | Fenris | 77.8% | 2027 | |||
| Hugin | 87.7% | 650/413 mmboe | USD 10.7bn | Dec-22 | 2027 | |
| Yggdrasil | Munin | 50.0% | 2027 | |||
| Fulla | 47.7% | 2027 |

Alvheim projects
Unlocks new volumes, reduces unit cost and secures life-time extension on Alvheim



Yggdrasil
New North Sea area hub by joining forces across licenses
| Gas ~40% of estimated volumes |
Aker BP (operator) |
Hugin: 87.7% Munin: 50.0% Fulla: 47.7% |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Power supply from shore |
Munin Unmanned production platform |
Partners | Equinor and LOTOS Norge |
| A new digital standard |
Hugin A Production, drilling & quarters Hugin B Normally unmanned installation |
Volume estimate | 650 mmboe (gross) / 413 mmboe (net) |
| 55 wells | Net capex estimate (nominal) |
USD 10.7 bn | |
| Significant additional volume potential |
Production start est. | 2027 |


Valhall PWP-Fenris
Unlocks new volumes and secures life-time extension on Valhall



Skarv Satellites
Investments in future flexibility enabling further area development


Alve N

Utsira High projects
Increased capacity utilisation at Ivar Aasen and Edvard Grieg platforms


Summing up
- Strong operational performance
- Projects on track
- High earnings and cash flow
- 2023 guidance reiterated


www.akerbp.com