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Aker BP

Investor Presentation Jul 13, 2023

3528_rns_2023-07-13_956eccde-1518-4855-87fc-24e0fc29efb1.pdf

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Second quarter 2023

13 July 2023 Aker BP ASA

Disclaimer

This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ.

These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business.

These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions.

Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document.

Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document.

Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

Highlights

Second quarter 2023

Record-high production

1,000 barrels oil equivalent per day (mboepd)

Strong performance at Johan Sverdrup

A giant field with excellent reservoir properties

Daily oil production since start-up of Johan Sverdrup

  • Successfully executed development phase 2
  • Producing above name-plate capacity of 720,000 bblpd
  • Long field life (+50 yrs) and a future area hub

High efficiency and low cost

Production efficiency

Capacity utilisation (operated assets)

Production cost USD per boe

Safety

Injury frequency (TRIF)

TRIF: Total recordable injuries per million exp. hours, rolling 12 months average

A global leader in low GHG emissions

Continued progress on decarbonisation

Aker BP emission intensity, kg CO2e/boe

Industry net emission intensity

Kg CO2 /boe equity share (2022)1

Project execution progressing according to plan

  • All major contracts placed
  • Important milestones achieved
  • Governmental approvals of all PDOs
  • Yggdrasil: Common system design freeze in Q2
  • PWP-Fenris: System design freeze on schedule for Q3 Fenris jacket and pre-drill module fabrication started
  • Other projects: Engineering and procurement progressing according to plan – subsea template fabrication and topside offshore work started
  • Construction activities to be stepped up in 2H-23
  • 2023 capex estimate USD 3.0-3.5 bn (unchanged)

The projects add significantly to growth and value creation

Lifting Aker BP's production by 250-300 mboepd in 2028

Production outlook

mboepd

Robust and profitable project portfolio

\$35-40/bbl

Project portfolio break-even oil price1

~25%

Project portfolio IRR at \$65/bbl oil price

1-2 years

Project portfolio payback at \$65/bbl oil price

Aker BP project overview

770 mmboe net oil and gas volume at net capex after tax of around USD 3 billion

Asset area Field development Aker BP
ownership
Gross/net volume Net capex estimate PDO submission Production
start
Alvheim Frosk 80.0% 10/8 mmboe USD 0.2bn 2021 2023
Kobra
East & Gekko
80.0% 50/40 mmboe USD 0.9bn 2021 2023/24
Tyrving 61.3% 25/15 mmboe USD 0.4bn 2022 2025
Hanz 35.0% 20/7 mmboe USD 0.2bn 2021 2024
Edvard Grieg &
Ivar Aasen
Symra 50.0% USD 1.3bn Dec-22 2027
Solveig Phase II 65.0% 87/49 mmboe 2026
Alve
North
68.1% 119/51 mmboe USD 1.0bn Dec-22 2027
Skarv Idun
North
23.8% 2027
Ørn 30.0% 2027
Valhall
PWP
90.0% 230/187 mmboe USD 5.5bn Dec-22 2027
Valhall Fenris 77.8% 2027
Hugin 87.7% USD 10.7bn Dec-22 2027
Yggdrasil Munin 50.0% 650/413 mmboe 2027
Fulla 47.7% 2027

Significant oil discovery in the Yggdrasil area

Øst Frigg will be an integrated part of ongoing project development

  • Current volume estimate of 53-90 mmboe, twice as large as the original pre-drill estimate
  • Increases the resource base for the Yggdrasil project by around 10%
  • Strong field economics improving the total project profitability
  • Could extend plateau production by a year
  • The discovery is located within PL442 (Aker BP operator, 87.7%) and PL873 (Aker BP operator, 47.7%)
  • Seeking further upside potential around Yggdrasil

Record-breaking well behind the discovery

Norway's longest ever exploration well of nearly 8 200 meters

2023 exploration program

Licence Prospect Operator Aker BP
share
Pre-drill
mmboe
Status
PL867 Gjegnalunden Aker BP 80% 3-9 mmboe
PL1141 Styggehøe Aker BP 70% Dry
PL554 Angulata Equinor 30% Dry
PL919 Ve Aker BP 80% 3-5 mmboe
PL873/442 Øst Frigg Beta/Epsilon Aker BP 48%/88% 53-90 mmboe
PL1148 Carmen Wellesley 10% Discovery
PL1005 Rondeslottet1 Aker BP 40% Drilling
PL 984 Norma DNO 10% 31
-
122
Q3
PL442 Frigg Gamma Delta/Ypsilon Aker BP 88% 9
-
22
Q3
PL035 Krafla Mid Statfjord Aker BP 50% 7
-
45
Q3
PL929 Ofelia appraisal Neptune 10% 16
-
39
Q3
PL211CS Adriana appraisal (Dvalin N) Wintershall Dea 15% 29
-
66
Q4
PL956 Ringhornet Ty Vår Energi 20% 7
-
27
Q4
PL261 Storjo West Aker BP 70% 4
-
32
Q4
PL1170 Ferdinand Aker BP 35% 31
-
65
Q4
PL272 Surtsey2 Aker BP 50% 2
-
16
Q4
PL869 Rumpetroll
South2
Aker BP 80% 10
-
45
Q4
PL917 Magellan/Hubert Vår Energi 40% 16
-
54
Q4
PL 932 Kaldafjell Aker BP 40% 19
-
145
Moved to 2024

1) Appraisal of the Ellida discovery from 2003 2) Moved from 2024 exploration program

Financial highlights

Excellent operations

Cost control and project execution

Optimisation of capital structure

Sales of oil and gas

Volume sold mboepd

Liquids Natural gas

Total income USD million

Liquids Natural gas Other

Income statement

USD million

Q1 2023
Before impairment Impairments Actual Actual
Total income 3 291 3 291 3 310
Production costs 247 247 263
Other operating expenses 13 13 16
EBITDAX 3 031 3 031 3 031
Exploration expenses 27 27 98
EBITDA 3 004 3 004 2 933
Depreciation 645 645 599
Impairments 102 102 373
Operating profit (EBIT) 2 359 (102) 2 257 1 961
Net financial items (50) (50) (137)
Profit/loss before taxes 2 309 (102) 2 207 1 824
Tax
(+) / Tax income (-)
1 826 (15) 1 811 1 637
Net profit / loss 483 (86) 397 187
EPS (USD) 0.76 (0.14) 0.63 0.30
Effective tax rate 79 % 15 % 82 % 90 %

477 mboepd (450) Oil and gas sales

\$75 per boe (81) Net realised price

\$5.6 per boe (7.2)

Production cost

82% (90%)

Effective tax rate

Cash flow - Second quarter 2023 USD million

Q2-23 Q1-23 Q4-22 Q3-22
Operating cash flow before tax 2 938 3 251 3 762 3 602
Taxes paid (2 817) (1 569) (2 995) (1 241)
Cash flow –
operations
121 1 682 807 2 361
Cash flow –
investments
(776) (705) (708) (500)
Free cash flow (655) 977 98 1 861
Net debt drawn/repaid 488 - - (600)
Dividends (348) (348) (332) (332)
Interest, leasing & misc. (75) (106) 2 (109)
Cash flow –
financing
66 (454) (329) (1 041)
Net change in cash (589) 523 (231) 820
Cash at end of period 2 689 3 280 2 756 3 042

\$-0.7bn (1.0) Free Cash Flow (FCF)

\$-1.04(1.55)

FCF per share

\$0.55 (0.55)

Dividend per share

Cash tax

Tax payments - Sensitivity for H1-2024

USD million

Process for tax payments

  • Tax for the year is paid in six bimonthly instalments, starting in August, plus final settlement
  • Initial tax estimate for the year is made in Q2, the H2-instalments are then fixed in NOK
  • Option for voluntary additional payment in October normally only relevant if the initial estimate was too low
  • At year-end, the upcoming Feb-June instalments may be adjusted to reflect latest estimate
  • Final settlement in Q4 the following year

Assumptions for H1-24 sensitivity analysis

  • Brent price assumption reflects average for the quarters
  • Gas prices assumed at USD 11 per mmbtu
  • USDNOK rate assumed at 10.5

Statement of financial position

USD million

Assets 30.06.23 31.03.23 30.06.22
restated
PP&E 16 218 16 220 16 620
Goodwill 13 554 13 636 14 246
Other non-current
assets
3 248 3 122 3 181
Cash and equivalent 2 689 3 280 2 154
Other current assets 1 603 1 671 1 581
Total
Assets
37 312 37 928 37 781
Equity and liabilities
Equity 12 316 12 267 11 919
Financial debt 5 766 5 304 5 834
Deferred taxes 9 725 9 502 9 333
Other long-term liabilities 4 674 4 681 4 896
Tax payable 3 351 4 758 4 253
Other current liabilities 1 480 1 416 1 545
Total
Equity and liabilities
37 312 37 928 37 781

\$6.1bn (\$6.7)

Total available liquidity

33% (32%)

Equity ratio

0.22 (0.16)

Leverage ratio1

1) Net interest-bearing debt divided by twelve months rolling EBITDAX, excluding any impacts from IFRS 16

Optimising our capital structure

Bond transactions in June

  • USD 1,500 million in new Senior Notes issued
  • USD 0.5 billion aggregate principal amount of 5.60% Senior Notes due in 2028
  • USD 1.0 billion aggregate principal amount of 6.00% Senior Notes due in 2033
  • Interest will be payable semi-annually
  • USD 1,000 million in existing bonds repurchased
  • 2025 and 2026 maturities
  • Nominal amount USD 1,068 million
  • Increasing avg. time to maturity to 6.7 (5.4) years

Bond maturities

Maintaining financial flexibility

Net interest-bearing debt

Excl. leases, USD billion

3.7

0.54

Liquidity available2

USD billion

0.21 0.21

2.5

Leverage ratio

1

2.2

1) Leverage ratio: Net interest-bearing debt divided by EBITDAX last 12 months, excluding effects of IFRS16 Leasing 2) Liquidity available: undrawn bank facilities and cash and cash equivalents

2.0

0.16

Strong and resilient cash flow as basis for dividend growth

Financing cost 0 5 10 15 20 Sources Uses Aker BP value creation plan 2023-2028 USD billion, accumulated \$90/bbl \$65/bbl Dividend capacity and debt repayment Cash flow from operations after tax Investments1 \$40/bbl

  • Low cost production gives resilient dividend capacity
  • Distributions shall reflect the capacity through the cycle
  • ~10% dividend growth in 2023
  • Quarterly USD 0.55 per share
  • Ambition to grow dividend by minimum 5% per year

2023 guidance

Previous
guidance
Actual
H1
-23
New
guidance
Production 430 467 445
mboped -460 -470
Opex 7.0 6.3 6.0
USD/boe -8.0 -7.0
Capex 3.0 1.3 3.0
USD billion -3.5 -3.5
Exploration 0.4 0.2 0.4
USD billion -0.5 -0.5
Abandonment 0.1 0.1 0.1
USD billion -0.2 -0.2

Delivering on the strategy

Operate safely
and efficiently
Decarbonise
our business
Deliver high return
projects on quality,
time and cost
Establish the next
wave of profitable
growth options
Return maximum value
to our shareholders
and our society
96% production efficiency Equity GHG intensity
of 2.6 kg CO
e/boe
2
Project execution
on track
Oil discovery in the
Yggdrasil area
Bond transactions to
optimise capital structure
Record-low unit cost of
USD 5.6/boe
A
global leader in low CO
2
emissions
Important milestones
passed
Prolific exploration
program
Quarterly dividend of
USD 0.55 per share

www.akerbp.com

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