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Aker BP

Earnings Release Apr 28, 2022

3528_rns_2022-04-28_6666af37-0228-41be-99c6-f8a038a89602.pdf

Earnings Release

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First Quarter 2022

28 April 2022

Disclaimer

This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ.

These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business.

These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions.

Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document.

Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document.

Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

Highlights

First quarter 2022

Record strong financial performance

  • High oil and gas prices
  • Increased gas exports
  • Cognite sold the digital journey continues

Securing organic growth

  • Hod on stream Johan Sverdrup phase 2 on schedule
  • PDOs approved for Hanz and KEG
  • On track to submit PDOs by end-2022

Lundin transaction on track for closing 30 June

▪ Approved by both companies' shareholders

Lundin transaction on track

About the transaction

  • Aker BP acquires Lundin Energy's oil and gas activities
  • Lundin Energy remains listed as renewable pure-play
  • ~0.95 AKRBP shares and USD 7.76 per LUNE share

Approval process

  • Shareholders approvals received at AGMs
  • Approved by Ministry of Petroleum and Energy
  • Awaiting approval from Ministry of Finance

Integration plan

  • Transaction closing expected 30 June
  • Full organizational integration from 1 October

Post-transaction ownership structure

Equity in combined entity: 57% Aker BP and 43% Lundin Energy

Key performance indicators

First quarter 2022

Injuries frequency (TRIF) boe/day Production efficiency per produced barrel kg CO2e/boe

1.8 208.2 88% \$11.6 4.8

Safety Production Efficiency Cost Emissions

Production performance

Oil and gas production

mboepd

Stable volume

  • Produced 208 mboepd
  • Overlift of 8.0 mboepd

Record high gas production of 45 mboepd

  • Full production from Ærfugl
  • Initiated gas blowdown on Skarv

On track to deliver on 2022 guidance of 210-220 mboepd

HSSE performance

Injury frequency (TRIF) 1) CO2 emissions intensity 2)

  • Safety is always the top priority in Aker BP
  • One recorded injury in Q1 2022
  • Ambition to be the preferred employer in the industry

1) Total recordable injuries per million exp. hours, rolling 12 months average

2) Kg CO2 emissions per barrel of oil equivalents produced, rolling 12 months average

  • CO2 emission of 4.8 kg/boe, below target of <5 kg/boe
  • Developing decarbonisation strategy to cover residual emissions
  • Ambition to be industry leader on ESG

Our digital journey continues

Creating solutions with application across industries

The foundation for digital transformation

  • Co-founded by Aker BP to develop state -of -the -art industrial data platform
  • Now serving many companies across various industries
  • Aker BP sold its shares in Cognite to Saudi Aramco in Q1 -22 for USD 118 million

Applications to transform project execution & operations

  • Aize co-founded by Aker BP to build applications for capital -intensive projects and operations
  • First priority to develop solutions to transform project execution with NOA Fulla as pilot
  • Collaborating to develop a digital workspace for operations and condition -based maintenance

Skarv

Growth, upside potential and reliable supply

Initiated Skarv Blowdown

  • Providing reliable gas supply to Europe
  • Adds capacity to Skarv Satellites
  • Highly profitable

Adding substantial reserves through Skarv Satellites

  • Concept selected in Q1
  • PDO submission planned in Q4
  • ~70 mmboe net to Aker BP first oil 2025

Active exploration campaign

  • Five wells planned in 2022
  • Net unrisked volumes of ~90 mmboe

Hod

On production after only 22 months

First oil in April – in record time

  • First of six wells on stream
  • Gross 40 million barrels to be produced
  • Minimal emissions with power from shore

Five unified alliances contributing to development

  • New standard set for the alliance model
  • Integration from start to finish
  • Work to bring remaining wells on stream continues

First PDO project under temporary tax regime on stream

Projects in execution

Progressing towards first oil

Johan Sverdrup phase 2

  • P2 platform installed
  • First oil Q4 2022
  • Increasing processing capacity by 220.000 bbl/day (gross)

Kobra East & Gekko

  • PDO approved in Q1 2022
  • First oil Q1 2024
  • Extending Alvheim asset life to 2040

Hanz

  • PDO approved Q1 2022 ▪ First oil Q1 2024
  • Innovative concept to reduce B/E and environmental footprint

Early -phase projects

Maturing portfolio towards PDOs in 2022

NOAKA

  • ~600 mmboe gross
  • Flexible design to cater for upside potential
  • Power from shore

Valhall NCP & King Lear

  • 200 mmboe gross

  • Turning Valhall into a potential future gas hub
  • Power from shore

Other satellite developments

  • Skarv Satellites
  • Trell & Trine
  • Lille Prinsen

NOAKA

Targeting PDO by end -2022

~600 mmboe resources (gross)

USD ~10 bn capex (gross, real)

~\$30/bbl break -even

2027 first oil

Aker BP interest

NOA: 87.7% Fulla: 47.7% Krafla: 50%

Valhall NCP & King Lear

Targeting PDO by end -2022

USD 4 -5 bn capex (gross, real)

\$25 -30/bbl break -even

Aker BP interest

Valhall: 90% King Lear: 77.8%

On track to sanction 700 mmboe by end-2022

2022 exploration program

Licences Prospect Operator Aker BP
share
Pre-drill
mmboe
Status
PL873 Grefsenkollen
& Øst
Frigg
Aker BP 40% 1-7 mmboe
PL685 Laushornet Aker BP 40% 17
-
147
Drilling
PL1085 Overly Aker BP 55% 38
-
92
Q2
PL261 Storjo
East
Aker BP 70% 16
-
45
Q2
PL941 Newt Aker BP 80% 13
-
33
Q3
PL941 Barlindåsen
CW
Aker BP 80% 18
-
86
Q3
PL867 Gjegnalunden Aker BP 80% 3
-
124
Q4
PL1141 Styggehøe Aker BP 70% 10
-
41
Q4
PL554 Angulata Equinor 30% 8
-
64
PL782S Busta
(Lamba)
CoP 20% 8
-
114
PL1064 Staurheia/Peder CoP 20% 23
-
76
PL265 P-Graben (Sverdrup) Equinor 20% 5
-
19
PL943 Uer Equinor 10% 7
-
93

Financial review

Financial highlights

First quarter 2022

  • 1) Production cost based on produced volumes
  • 2) Including lease debt of USD 0.1 billion

3) Net interest-bearing debt divided by 12M rolling EBITDAX, excluding IFRS 16 Leasing

Oil and gas sales

Volumes sold mmboe

Total income USD million

Realised prices USD/boe

Liquids Natural gas

19

Oil lifted and realised prices

Crude oil liftings

Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22

Time effect and realised differentials

20

Continued strong contribution from natural gas

22% of total production in Q1 2022

  • Skarv 55%
  • Alvheim area 20%
  • Valhall 14%

Continued strong price realisation

  • ~90% of gas sold linked to spot (TTF/NBP)
  • Other income of USD 40 million related to gas futures placed in Q1 2022 to hedge price exposure

Gas volumes set to increase in the future

  • Skarv Blowdown initiated 2022
  • Skarv satellites from 2025
  • NOAKA and King Lear from 2027

Gas volumes and realised prices

Capital discipline

Capital spend (USD million)

Production cost1) (USD million)

Production costs impacted by power prices and well maintenance activity

Production cost USD/boe

  • Continued high well maintenance activity on Valhall
  • High power prices correlated with European gas prices
  • Increasing environmental taxes
  • Shipping and handling driven up by gas export tariffs and overlift

Income statement

First quarter 2022

USD million Q1 2022 Q4 2021 Change Comment
Total income 2 291 1 849 +24% 1
Production costs 220 202
Other operating expenses 7 6
EBITDAX 2 064 1 641 +26%
Exploration expenses 58 83 -30% 2
EBITDA 2 007 1 559 +29%
Depreciation 231 219
Impairments - 79
Operating profit (EBIT) 1 775 1 260 +41%
Net financial items 61 (43) 3
Profit/loss before taxes 1 837 1 218 +51%
Tax
(+) / Tax income (-)
1 300 854
Net profit / loss 537 364 +47%
EPS (USD) 1.49 1.01
    1. Increased due to higher prices. Other income of USD 41m mainly driven by gains on gas futures
    1. Reduced field evaluation expenses as Krafla and Valhall NCP & King Lear passed DG2 during Q4 2021
    1. Driven by sale of shares in Cognite AS

Cash flow

First quarter 2022

USD million

1) Net cash flow from operating activities and investment activities including payments on lease debt

2) Includes interest paid, fees related to RCF, payments of lease debt, and FX effect on cash held

Q1-2022

FCF per share

\$3.0

Dividend per share \$0.48

FCF per share \$2.0

Q4-2021

Dividend per share \$0.42

Statement of financial position

USD million

Assets 31.03.22 31.12.21 31.03.21
Goodwill 1 647 1 647 1 647
Other intangible
assets
1 589 1 664 1 879
Property, plant
and equipment
8 257 7 976 7 392
Right-of-use asset 104 94 127
Receivables and other assets 1 413 1 117 804
Cash and
cash equivalents
2 817 1 971 392
Total
Assets
15 826 14 470 12 241
Equity and liabilities 31.03.22 31.12.21 31.03.21
Equity 2 708 2 342 1 989
Other provisions for liabilities
incl.
P&A (long)
2 834 2 659 2 665
Deferred
tax
3 478 3 323 2 782
Bonds and bank debt 3 558 3 577 3 474
Lease debt 136 136 200
Other current liabilities incl. P&A 856 936 678
Tax payable 2 257 1 497 452
Total
Equity and liabilities
15 826 14 470 12 241

Capital allocation priorities

Growing capital distribution in line with value creation

Invest in profitable growth

1) BE: Break-even oil price using 10% discount rate

Superior financial flexibility

Net interest-bearing debt Excl. leases, USD billion

Liquidity available USD billion 2)

Comments

  • S&P upgrade to BBB on 8 April
  • No debt maturities before 2025
  • Capacity to fund Q2 dividends, taxes and Lundin USD 2.2bn cash consideration with cash
BBB (stable)
BBB-
(positive outlook)
Baa3 (review for upgrade)

1) Leverage ratio: Net interest-bearing debt divided by EBITDAX last 12 months, excluding effects of IFRS16 Leasing

2) Liquidity available: Undrawn bank facilities and Cash and cash equivalents

Return value creation

Aker BP dividends USD per share

USD 1.9/share

guidance for 2022

40%

dividend growth from 2021

Capacity

for extraordinary dividends or buybacks if prices sustained above \$65/bbl

Guidance for 2022

2022
Guidance
Q1-2022
Actuals
Production (mboped) 210-220 208.2
Opex (USD/boe) ~10 11.6
Capex (USDbn) 1.6 0.4
E&A (USDbn) 0.4 0.07
Decom (USDbn) 0.1 0.02

No change to guidance for full year

  • Production set to increase in the second half of the year, driven by Johan Sverdrup phase 2 and Hod
  • Opex currently above guidance, owing to higher power costs and environmental taxes
  • Capex phasing means spending will increase throughout the year

Priorities ahead

First quarter 2022

  • Deliver safe and efficient operations
  • Establish net zero plan
  • Continue the digital transformation
  • Execute projects on time, cost and quality
  • Integrate Lundin

www.akerbp.com

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