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Aker BP — Investor Presentation 2022
Jul 20, 2022
3528_rns_2022-07-20_0f78e079-4e91-4875-8f85-3beec5acd427.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Second quarter 2022 & strategy update
20 July 2022

Today's agenda
-
- Introduction
-
- Second quarter 2022 review
-
- Strategy update
-
- Q&A
Who will be speaking today…

Karl Johnny Hersvik CEO

David Tønne CFO

Disclaimer
This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ.
These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business.
These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions.
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document.
Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document.
Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

Second quarter 2022
20 July 2022
The E&P company of the future
Created by combining two leading independents
✓ World-class assets with high efficiency and low cost
- ✓ Low emissions and clear pathway to net zero
- ✓ Driving transformation through digital and alliances
- ✓ Profitable growth from unique resource base
- ✓ Financial strength & growing dividends

Highlights
Second quarter 2022
Lundin integration
- Transaction completed 30 June
- Leadership appointed and synergies progressing
- New decarbonisation plan established
Operations
- Summer maintenance progressing as planned
- Projects on track for PDO submission by year-end
- Exploration success in Skarv area
Financials
- Strong price realisation and cash generation
- Credit ratings upgraded by S&P, Moody's and Fitch
- Quarterly dividend up ~11% to 52.5 cents/share



- Lundin Energy Norway is now a subsidiary of Aker BP ASA and renamed to ABP Norway
- Consideration shares as SDRs, convertible to ordinary shares (free conversion first 30 days)
Organizational integration on track
- New organisational structure defined and leaders appointed
- Combining Edvard Grieg and Ivar Aasen into one hub with one management team
- Effective from 1 October
Decarbonisation plan established
- Decarbonization targets and plan defined
- Clear path to net zero by 2030
Progressing synergies outtake
- Latest estimate USD ~250m in run-rate and USD ~150m in one-off synergies pre-tax
- Key areas are SG&A, exploration high-grading, logistics and drilling performance
- Further upside in increased output from Edvard Grieg/Ivar Aasen hub being explored

7


Production review
Oil and gas production mboepd

Production efficiency Capacity utilisation

Q2 comments
- One-month planned maintenance shutdowns at Valhall and Ula
- Shorter maintenance shutdowns at Skarv and Johan Sverdrup
- Shutdown due to power issues at Edvard Grieg/Ivar Aasen, planned maintenance was accelerated to minimise the production impact

HSSE performance
Injury frequency (TRIF) 1) CO2 emissions intensity 2)

- Safety is always the top priority in Aker BP
- Zero recorded injuries in Q2 2022
- Ambition to be the preferred employer in the industry

- CO2 emission of 4.7 kg/boe in line with plan
- Launched decarbonisation plan to achieve net zero by 2030
- Clear ambition to be industry leader on ESG
1) Total recordable injuries per million exp. hours, rolling 12 months average
2) Kg CO2 emissions per barrel of oil equivalents produced, rolling 12 months average


Project portfolio progressing according to plan

Valhall
- ✓ First oil on Hod achieved in Q2 2022
- ✓ Valhall NCP & King Lear PDO by end 2022

Skarv
✓ Ærfugl Phase II started production in Q4 2021 ✓ Skarv Satellites PDO scheduled in Q4 2022, first oil scheduled from 2024

Johan Sverdrup phase II
- ✓ Expanding capacity to 755,000 bbl/day
- ✓ First oil expected in Q4 2022

Edvard Grieg & Ivar Aasen
- ✓ Hanz PDO approved in Q1 2022
- ✓ DG2 passed on Lille Prinsen, Rolvsnes Full Field and Solveig Phase II

Alvheim
- ✓ Frosk PDO approved in July 2022
- ✓ Kobra East Gekko PDO submitted in Q2 2021
- ✓ Trell & Trine PDO scheduled in Q3 2022

NOAKA
- ✓ On track for PDO submission in Q4 2022
- ✓ Operatorship on Krafla to be transferred to Aker BP following PDO submission
Gas discovery in Skarv Area
Storjo East – Gas discovery 25-80 mmboe
- Significantly larger than pre-drill estimate of 16-45 mmboe
- Aker BP 70 percent working interest
- Further delineation planned in 2023
Large campaign in prospective Skarv area
- Targeting net unrisked volumes of ~90 mmboe in 2022
- 3 more wells to be drilled in H2 2022
Ambition to build next wave of tie-backs
- Skarv Satellites approaching development
- Continued focus on exploration and business development

2022 exploration program
| Licences | Prospect | Operator | Aker BP share |
Pre-drill P90-P10 |
Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL873 | Grefsenkollen & Øst Frigg |
Aker BP | 40% | 17 - 40 |
1-7 mmboe |
| PL685 | Laushornet | Aker BP | 40% | 73 - 306 |
Dry |
| PL1085 | Overly | Aker BP | 55% | 46 - 135 |
4-12 mmboe |
| PL261 | Storjo East |
Aker BP | 70% | 16 - 46 |
25-80 mmboe |
| PL941 | Newt | Aker BP | 70% | 13 - 33 |
Ongoing |
| PL941 | Barlindåsen CW |
Aker BP | 70% | 18 - 86 |
Q3 |
| PL867 | Gjegnalunden | Aker BP | 80% | 3 - 124 |
Q4 |
| PL1141 | Styggehøe | Aker BP | 70% | 10 - 41 |
Q4 |
| PL554 | Angulata | Equinor | 30% | 8 - 64 |
Q4 |
| PL782S | Busta (Lamba) | CoP | 20% | 8 - 114 |
Q3 |
| PL1064 | Staurheia/Peder | CoP | 20% | 37 - 110 |
Non-commercial |
| PL265 | P-Graben (Sverdrup) | Equinor | 20% | 5 - 19 |
Q4 |
| PL943 | Uer | Equinor | 10% | 7 - 93 |
Q3 |
| PL229G | Lupa (Barents Sea) |
Vår | 50% | 24 - 143 |
Q3 |
| PL935 | Bounty | CoP | 20% | 18 - 665 |
Dry |
| PL886 | Melstein | Lundin | 60% | Dry | |
| PL929 | Ophelia | Neptune | 10% | 10 - 40 |
Q3 |
| PL1104 | Poseidon | Equinor | 40% | 50 - 300 |
Ongoing |

Exploration map

Lupa

Financial review
Second quarter 2022

Production and sales of oil and gas
Volumes produced & sold mboepd

Total income USD million

Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21 Q1-22 Q2-22
Liquids Natural gas Other

Liquids Natural gas Over/underlift

Capital spend

Capex
- Previous Aker BP 2022 guidance USD 1.6 bn
- Spend year-to-date below budget due to phasing
- Expected to ramp up in second half of the year
Expex
- Previous Aker BP 2022 guidance USD 0.4 bn
- High activity in the quarter
- Spending in accordance with plan
Abex
- Previous Aker BP 2022 guidance USD 0.1 bn
- Removed Valhall DP in the second quarter
- Spending in accordance with plan

Production costs down due to planned maintenance
Increased unit cost in Q2 due to lower production as a result of planned maintenance shutdowns
Production cost
USD million

Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21 Q1-22 Q2-22
Production cost USD/boe

Absolute cost down in the quarter
- Lower tariffs and transport due to lower production
- Base opex stable with high activity during planned shutdowns
Production cost per barrel up
- Direct consequence of lower production
- Will trend down as production ramps-up in the third quarter

Income statement
Second quarter 2022
| USD million | Q2 2022 | Q1 2022 | Change | Comment | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 2 026 | 2 291 | (265) | 1 | |
| Production costs | 190 | 220 | (30) | in Q2 | |
| Other operating expenses | 20 | 7 | 13 | 2 | |
| EBITDAX | 1 816 | 2 064 | (248) | ||
| Exploration expenses | 67 | 58 | 9 | ||
| EBITDA | 1 749 | 2 007 | (258) | ||
| Depreciation | 199 | 231 | (32) | ||
| Impairments | 422 | - | 422 | 3 | |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 1 128 | 1 775 | (647) | ||
| Net financial items | (62) | 61 | (123) | 4 | |
| Profit/loss before taxes | 1 066 | 1 837 | (771) | ||
| Tax (+) / Tax income (-) |
878 | 1 300 | (422) | 5 | |
| Net profit / loss | 188 | 537 | (349) | ||
| EPS (USD) | 0.52 | 1.49 |
-
- Gas ~31% and liquids ~67% of income in Q2
-
- Includes transaction related costs
-
- Mainly related to Ula, driven by change in profiles and accelleration of expected shut-down to 2028
-
- Q1 was positively impacted by gain on sale of shares in Cognite
-
- Higher tax rate due to revaluation of tax balances driven by weaker NOK
Cash flow
Second quarter 2022
USD million

1) Net cash flow from operating activities and investment activities excluding payments on lease debt
2) USD 2.22bn cash consideration net of cash & equivalents on account, and currency adjustment
3) Includes interest paid, fees related to RCF, and payments of lease debt

Q1-2022
FCF per share
\$3.0
Dividend per share
\$0.48
Q2-2022
FCF per share
\$2.2
Dividend per share
\$0.48
19

Statement of financial position
Before and after completion of Lundin transaction (USD million)
| Assets | 31.03.22 before |
30.06.22 before |
30.06.22 after |
|---|---|---|---|
| PP&E | 8 257 | 8 479 | 15 988 |
| Goodwill | 1 647 | 1 647 | 14 246 |
| Other non-current assets |
1 877 | 1 852 | 3 181 |
| Cash and equivalent | 2 817 | 3 396 | 2 154 |
| Other current assets | 1 228 | 932 | 1 581 |
| Total Assets |
15 826 | 16 306 | 37 149 |
| Equity and liabilities | 31.03.22 before |
30.06.22 before |
30.06.22 after |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity | 2 708 | 2 724 | 12 061 | |
| Financial debt | 3 558 | 3 508 | 5 834 | |
| Other long-term liabilities | 6 406 | 7 018 | 13 456 | |
| Tax payable | 2 257 | 2 072 | 4 253 | |
| Other current liabilities | 898 | 984 | 1 545 | |
| Total Equity and liabilities |
15 826 | 16 306 | 37 149 |

Superior financial flexibility
3.7
0.54
Net interest-bearing debt Excl. leases, USD billion

0.56
0.33
Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21 Q1-22 Q2-22
Leverage ratio
0.85



Cash and cash equivalents
Investment grade credit ratings

1)
0.7
0.12

BBB (upgraded from BBB-) Baa2 (upgraded from Baa3) BBB (upgraded from BBB-)


1) Net interest-bearing debt divided by EBITDAX last 12 months, excluding effects of IFRS16 Leasing 21
2) Liquidity available: Undrawn bank facilities and Cash and cash equivalents. Cash and cash equivalents shown net of USD 0.6 bn in short-term debt repaid on 1 July

Tax guidance
Tax payments - Sensitivity for fiscal year 2022 USD million

New tax system approved
- Key changes are immediate depreciation and refund of tax losses in special petroleum tax (71.8%), combined with the removal of uplift
- Will work in tandem with temporary system for 2022 PDO Projects
Tax instalments for fiscal year 2022 set in June
- Q3 and Q4-22 instalments fixed
- Based on forecast full-year 2022 performance for combined company
- Opportunity to adjust in Oct-22 and Jan-23
Sensitivity for payments in H1-23
- Brent price assumptions given for H2 2022
- Gas prices assumed fixed at \$25/mmbtu
- USDNOK fixed at 9.0

Operational guidance for second half 2022
Aker BP 195 Lundin 181 376 410-435 H1 actual H2 guidance Aker BP 0.9 Lundin 0.3 Capex 1.3 Expex 0.3 Abex: 0.1 1.2 1.7 H1 actual H2 guidance ~7 11.8 4.4 H1 Lundin H1 Aker BP H2 guidance Production mboepd Capital spend USD billion Production cost USD/boe
H2 guidance is based on USDNOK 9.5
Returning value
Aker BP dividends USD per share


USD 2.0/share
Updated guidance for full year 2022
~48%
Yearly growth from 2021
~11%
Quarterly growth from Q2 2022
Resilient growth
Ambition to grow by minimum 5% per year at oil prices above 40 \$/bbl

Strategy update
20 July 2022

The E&P company of the future
Created by combining two leading independents
✓ World-class assets with high efficiency and low cost
- ✓ Low emissions and clear pathway to net zero
- ✓ Driving transformation through digital and alliances
- ✓ Profitable growth from unique resource base
- ✓ Financial strength & growing dividends


The E&P company of the future
Reserves & Resources
2.8 bn ~400 <\$7 <4 kg \$2.0
barrels oil equivalent Production growth
mboepd in 2022, ~525 mboepd in 2028
Industry-leading low production cost
USD/boe targeted from 2023
Industry-leading low carbon emissions
CO2 /boe Net zero by 2030
Sustainable dividend growth
USD/share in 2022
27

Profitable growth from unique resource base

Production outlook excl. 3P and exploration upsides

NPV10 breakeven target supportive tax system Production by 2028
\$30/bbl Capital efficient ~525 mboepd
Aker BP is uniquely positioned to deliver affordable, sustainable and reliable energy


1
Iraq

Driving the transformation of the E&P industry
Strategic alliances to reorganise the value chain
Digital transformation of core processes
Organisation
Alliance
Scope Incentives \$
Production optimisation and energy efficiency
Maintenance
Subsurface interpretation & modelling
Well construction & intervention
Field development
Collaboration

Strong and resilient cash flow generation
Aker BP value creation plan 2022-2028 USD billion, accumulated

Free cash flow scenarios USD billion, accumulated

2) 2022 FCF estimate is based on a fixed oil price assumption of USD 100/bbl

Capital allocation priorities
Aker BP's financial frame – designed to drive value creation and shareholder return


Our strategic priorities next 5 years
Aker BPs strategic framework
Lead the transformation of E&P Digitalisation – Alliances – Future Operations Return maximum value to our shareholders and our society Operate safely and efficiently Decarbonise our business Deliver growth on time, cost and quality Establish the next wave of profitable growth options
One Team – The most attractive place to work

Operate safely and efficiently
World-class assets with high efficiency and low cost


Safe and efficient operations

Production cost forecast USD/boe
84%
2021 NCS avg.
2) 2)
95%
Target

1) Source: RNNP 2021 (Petroleum Safety Authority Norway)
2) Source: Aker BP and McKinsey operations benchmark. 2021 proforma includes all Aker BP operated assets and Edvard Grieg

Decarbonize our business
Low emissions and clear pathway to net zero

The challenge
Affordable, sustainable and reliable energy for all
Oil & gas will remain a crucial part of the energy mix
Sustainable Development scenario (SDS)

Aker BP's contribution as a pure play E&P company

Maximize value creation for shareholders and the society while producing the energy the world needs

Minimize emissions from our operations

Share technology and knowledge to enable new industries

World-class low emissions
Leading the way on low carbon
kg CO2 /boe, equity share

Source: Rystad. Selection of independents with 2021e production>100 mboepd and mainly offshore assets Includes APA , BHP, COP, BHR, HES, MUR, Neptune Energy, OXY, Spirit Energy, Vår Energy, Wintershall DEA, WPL
Emissions intensity 2020 Key drivers behind Aker BP's low emissions
Electrification
Power from Shore to Valhall (2012) – Johan Sverdrup (2019)– Edvard Grieg & Ivar Aasen (late 2022)
Efficiency improvements
Portfolio-wide program achieving year-by-year improvements in Energy Efficiency
Production optimisation
Continuous field development through Aker BP's alliance model to keep production high

Decarbonization plan to net zero
Net zero across operations by 2030 1)

Aker BP's targets
-
- Carbon intensity <4 kg CO2e/boe
-
- Methane intensity < 0.1 %
-
- Scope 2 emissions ~0 from 2023
-
- Absolute CO2 emissions reduced with 50% by 2030 and ~100% by 2050
-
- Net zero across operations by 2030

Aker BP set to further improve emissions performance
Concrete actions taken to reduce emissions
More than 80% of production with ~0 scope 1 emissions Driven by continued electrification and asset retirement

Energy efficiency: Targeting 2% improvement p.a.
Examples of recent achievements1)
2020: 19 000 tonnes (+60 000 tonnes with temporary effect)
- Change Skarv gas export specifications and reduce pressure loss
- Optimised Ula WAG scheme reduced injection pressure
2021: 22 000 tonnes
- Rebundled Alvheim compressors
- Modifications on rig to optimise fuel consumption
2022: 39 000 tonnes (YTD estimate)
- Change two Alvheim water injection pumps
- Optimise Skarv gas injection and rate
Successful decarbonisation strategy results in forecast emissions intensity of < 4 kg CO2 /boe until 2035

Clear pathway to reduce absolute emissions close to zero
Aker BP high level CO2 emissions forecast of operated assets

1) Current best estimate of hypothetical emissions if no electrification or energy efficiency measures had been implemented
2) Based on current business plan and could change based on economic cut-off
Neutralising residual emissions from 2030
- ✓ Leading low CO2 intensity is a competitive advantage for Aker BP to become net zero across operations
- ✓ Main priority is to avoid and reduce our own emissions
- ✓ Residual emissions will be neutralised from 2030
- For every ton CO2 we emit in 2030 onwards1), Aker BP will remove one ton from the atmosphere
- ✓ Neutralisation through high integrity carbon credits
-
50% of cumulative credits needed to 2040 secured already, mostly through two proprietary reforestation projects2)
-
- ✓ Evaluating CCS3) as a standalone business opportunity and potential decarbonisation lever longer term
- 1) Aker BP's equity share of Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions
- 2) VCS or GoldStandard registered reforestation projects
- 3) Carbon Capture and Storage

CO2 neutralisation status


Deliver growth on time, cost and quality
Profitable growth from unique resource base
Uniquely positioned for profitable growth
- Large resource base and diversified project portfolio with low break evens
- Supportive and investment friendly fiscal regime
- Alliance model enabling strong execution in volatile supplier market
- Portfolio progressing according to plan on track to deliver PDOs by end 2022
- Set to grow production >525 mboepd by 2028

1.4 bn boe
2C resources



Investing in highly profitable growth
Aiming to sanction ~900 of 1,400 mmboe by end 2022 in new developments1)
Projects targeting FID by end-22




Investment-friendly fiscal regime
Accelerated tax deductions reduce financial risk and improve project economics
Aker BP est. capex before tax USD billion

Aker BP est. capex after tax USD billion

New tax system approved in June
Will work in tandem with temporary system from 2020 in response to the pandemic
Temporary system applicable to projects with final investment decision by end 2022
- Effectively lowers full-cycle breakeven oil prices by USD 5-10/bbl (NPV-10)
- ~90% tax deduction for capex until production start (~85% in the first year)
Alliances – the cornerstone of our execution model
Key to secure capacity in the supply chains Aker BP's alliance model
Long-term collaboration model
- One team
- Common goals
- Shared incentives
Key benefits
- Access to capacity and competence
- Improved efficiency
- Drive continuous improvement
Alliances established with leading suppliers
- Covering >90% of capital spend
- Across all major categories




Transforming drilling performance
Enabled by digitalization and world-class alliance partners

Performance Benchmark from Drilling & Wells
Rushmore benchmarking 2021-2022

Source: Rushmore Reviews. All rights reserved. Extracted 06.07.2022. Search Criteria (Rig Type: Semi-Sub & Jack Up, Well Type: Development & Exploration, Year: 2021-2022, Hole Type: New Well & Slot Recovery, Is Multilateral: True & False, Is HPHT: False, Following areas: Norway, Total number of wells: 89)

On track to sanction 900 mmboe by end-2022
| Area | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvheim | Kobra East & Gekko Frosk |
||||||
| Trell & Trine Hanz |
|||||||
| Edvard Grieg & Ivar Aasen |
Lille Prinsen Rolvsnes Full Field |
||||||
| Solveig Phase II | |||||||
| NOAKA | NOA Fulla | ||||||
| Krafla | |||||||
| Skarv | Ærfugl phase 2 Skarv satellites |
||||||
| (Ørn, Shrek, Alve Nord, Idun Hod |
Nord) | ||||||
| Valhall | Valhall NCP /King Lear |
||||||
| Johan Sverdrup |
Johan Sverdrup phase 2 (Equinor operated) |
||||||
| Wisting field development | |||||||
| Wisting | (Equinor operated) | ||||||
| Timing is indicative | Project planning | Project execution | Concept select | Final investment decision | Production start |
Strong production growth with high-return barrels
Production outlook1)
mboepd


~525 mboepd
production by 2028
30 \$/bbl
Targeted NPV-10 breakeven

with supportive tax system

Establish the next wave of profitable growth options
Uniquely positioned on the NCS
Significant upsides to current plans around existing assets
- Skarv: Exploration prospectivity (ILX) and development of tight reservoirs
- Edvard Grieg/Ivar Aasen: Infills, ILX and basement upside enabled by 4D seismic
- Johan Sverdrup: Infill drilling to extend plateau and accelerate production
- Valhall: Infill enabled by lower drilling cost and new completion technology
- Alvheim & NOAKA: Infill and ILX enabled by 4D seismic and lower drilling costs


Exploration strategy
Uniquely positioned on the NCS
- Second largest licence holder with 189 licences
- Operator for ~70%
Targeting 250 mmboe by 2027
- Drill 10-15 exploration wells per year
- 80/20 near-field/new areas
New ways of working
- Combining two strong teams
- Investing in technology and digitalisation


Disciplined approach to M&A
Value creation through a combination of M&A and organic growth


Summary
56

Our strategic priorities next 5 years
Aker BPs strategic framework
| Return maximum value to our shareholders and our society | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lead the transformation of E&P Digitalisation – Alliances – Future Operations |
|||||||
| Zero serious incidents Production efficiency ex. Planned shut ins > 95% Production cost <7 USD/boe |
Equity GHG intensity < 4kg CO e/boe 2 Reduce scope 1+2 CO emissions 2 by 50% by 2030 Net zero across operations by 2030 |
Grow production to >525 mboepd from projects with BEP < 30 Deliver projects on cost, quality & time |
Discover 250 mmboe by 2027 Grow the resource potential with new technology Execute value driven M&A |
||||
| Operate safely and efficiently | Decarbonise our business | Deliver growth on time, cost and quality |
Establish the next wave of profitable growth options |
||||
One Team – The most attractive place to work

The E&P company of the future
Reserves & Resources
2.8 bn ~400 <\$7 <4 kg \$2.0
barrels oil equivalent Production growth
mboepd in 2022, ~525 mboepd in 2028
Industry-leading low production cost
USD/boe targeted from 2023
Industry-leading low carbon emissions
CO2 /boe Net zero by 2030
Sustainable dividend growth
USD/share in 2022
58

www.akerbp.com