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Aker BP — Investor Presentation 2019
Oct 22, 2019
3528_rns_2019-10-22_e1ee9a77-c546-4990-9e74-ecdc686b688a.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Third quarter 2019
Aker BP ASA
22 October 2019

Disclaimer
This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document. Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document. Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
AKER BP Third quarter 2019 highlights
Field developments on track
- Johan Sverdrup on stream 5 October
- Ærfugl, Valhall Flank West and Skogul on track
Strong operational performance
- High production efficiency
- Delayed stimulation program at Valhall
Exploration success
- Two discoveries in the Skarv area
- Frosk test producer on stream
| Key figures | Q3-19 | Q2-19 | Q3-18* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Production | mboepd | 146.1 | 127.3 | 150.6 |
| Sales | mboepd | 143.3 | 140.7 | 148.3 |
| Realized liquids price | USD/bbl | 62.0 | 69.3 | 74.6 |
| Realized gas price | USD/scm | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.30 |
| Total income | USDm | 723 | 785 | 966 |
| EBITDA | USDm | 480 | 522 | 698 |
| Operating profit | USDm | 196 | 354 | 509 |
| Net profit (loss) | USDm | (43) | 62 | 116 |
| Effective tax rate | USDm | 130 % | 77 % | 74 % |
| EPS | USD | (0.12) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| DPS | USD | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.31 |
AKER BP The Johan Sverdrup achievement
Below budget – ahead of schedule

Operator: Main contractors phase 1:


Production overview OPERATIONAL REVIEW
Net production, mboepd

Production efficiency


Alvheim OPERATIONAL REVIEW
- Frosk test production started
- Skogul on track for first oil in Q1-2020
- Maturing new infill targets
- Swift action to repair Mid-Water Arch



OPERATIONAL REVIEW Valhall
Preparing for new growth
- Valhall Flank West approaching first oil
- Drilling campaign ongoing at Valhall WP
- Stimulation program slightly behind plan


OPERATIONAL REVIEW Ivar Aasen
- Strong operational performance
- New wells on stream
- Continued digital innovation
- Follow-up and monitoring of discharge permits


OPERATIONAL REVIEW Skarv
- Strong operational performance
- Ærfugl development on track
- Adding resources through exploration



OPERATIONAL REVIEW Exploration success in the Skarv area


OPERATIONAL REVIEW Ula
- Drilling campaign has started
- Tambar multi-phase pump a digital success story
- Progressing long-term area strategy


Using data to create more value IMPROVEMENT
Examples
| Better production performance assessment | ||
|---|---|---|
| Best Day performance |
Challenge: repeat peak performance every day | |
| Solution: use advanced visualization and analytics to explain differences in performance |
||
| Production engineers at Alvheim and Valhall now have better insight on how to repeat best day performance |
Reduced CO2 emissions intensity at Skarv
- Challenge: continue to reduce emissions and cost
- Solution: Reduced export pressure and reduced energy use in the FPSO gas cleaning process
- Reduced CO2 emissions intensity of approx. 0.4 kg/boe with associated annual cost savings of NOK 11 million

Energy
optimisation
OPERATIONAL REVIEW NOAKA
Significant resource base
- Recoverable resources ~700 mmboe1) (average WI >60%)
- Planning for Liatårnet appraisal in H1 2020
New infrastructure is needed
- Many accumulations with various hydrocarbon types
- Further exploration potential
Aker BP favours a central processing hub (PQ)
- Highest value creation and resource utilisation
- Capacity for future discoveries

EXPLORATION 2019 exploration program
| License | Prospect | Operator | Aker BP share |
Est. spud |
Pre-drill mmboe |
Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL869 | Froskelår Main | Aker BP | 60 % | Q1 | 45 - 153 |
Discovery 60-130 mmboe |
| PL857 | Gjøkåsen | Equinor | 20 % | Q1 | 26 - 1427 |
Dry |
| PL033 | Hod Deep West | Aker BP | 90 % | Q1 | 2 - 22 |
Dry |
| PL869 | Froskelår NE | Aker BP | 60 % | Q2 | 7 23 - |
Discovery 2-10 mmboe |
| PL916 | JK | Aker BP | 40 % | Q2 | 100 - 420 |
Dry |
| PL814 | Freke-Garm | Aker BP | 40 % | Q2 | 16 81 - |
Dry |
| PL777 | Hornet | Aker BP | 40 % | Q2 | 14 137 - |
Dry |
| PL502 | Klaff | Equinor | 22 % | Q2 | 50 372 - |
Non-commercial discovery |
| PL869 | Rumpetroll | Aker BP | 60 % | Q2 | 45 148 - |
Non-commercial discovery |
| PL442 | Liatårnet | Aker BP | 90 % | Q2 | 39 331 - |
Discovery 80-200 mmboe |
| PL762 | Vågar | Aker BP | 20 % | Q3 | 63 130 - |
Dry |
| PL986 | Nipa | Aker BP | 30 % | Q3 | 35 115 - |
Dry |
| PL942 | Ørn | Equinor | 30 % | Q3 | 8 40 - |
Discovery 50-88 mmboe |
| PL838 | Shrek | PGNIG | 30 % | Q3 | 10 22 - |
Discovery 19-38 mmboe |
| PL782S | Busta | Conoco | 20 % | Q3 | 54 199 - |
Currently drilling |
| PL019C | Kark | Aker BP | 60 % | Q3 | 15 48 - |
Currently drilling |
| PL1008 | Nidhogg | Aker BP | 60 % | Q4 | 26 70 - |
EXPLORATION A leading explorer on the NCS

Net discovered since 2016 by company (mmboe)
Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate (NPD), Aker BP analysis (Petoro not included)
Financial review

FINANCIAL REVIEW Oil and gas sales

Income statement FINANCIAL REVIEW
| USD million | Q3 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2018* |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating income | 723 | 785 | 966 |
| Production costs | 167 | 198 | 170 |
| Other operating expenses |
6 | 4 | 4 |
| EBITDAX | 550 | 583 | 791 |
| Exploration expenses | 70 | 60 | 94 |
| EBITDA | 480 | 522 | 698 |
| Depreciation | 206 | 168 | 189 |
| Impairment losses | 78 | - | - |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 196 | 354 | 509 |
| Net financial items |
(53) | (86) | (58) |
| Profit/loss before taxes | 143 | 268 | 451 |
| Tax (+) / Tax income (-) | 186 | 206 | 335 |
| Net profit/loss | (43) | 62 | 116 |
| EPS (USD) | (0.12) | 0.17 | 0.32 |

FINANCIAL REVIEW Reconciliation of tax expense
Effective tax for Q3-2019 (USD million)

"Other items" vs. forex changes, quarterly since 2016

Statement of financial position FINANCIAL REVIEW
USD million
| Assets | 30.09.19 | 30.06.19 | 31.12.18* | Equity and liabilities | 30.09.19 | 30.06.19 | 31.12.18* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwill | 1,713 | 1,791 | 1,860 | Equity | 2,444 | 2,664 | 2,977 |
| Other intangible assets |
2,571 | 2,522 | 2,433 | Other provisions for liabilities incl. P&A (long) |
2,543 | 2,560 | 2,581 |
| Property, plant and equipment |
6,614 | 6,300 | 5,746 | Deferred tax |
2,279 | 1,991 | 1,753 |
| Right-of-use asset | 215 | 239 | Bonds and bank debt | 2,940 | 2,635 | 2,018 | |
| Receivables and other assets | 609 | 522 | 614 | Lease debt | 341 | 375 | |
| Calculated tax receivables |
- | 17 | 11 | Other current liabilities incl. P&A | 985 | 829 | 828 |
| Cash and cash equivalents |
5 | 102 | 45 | Tax payable | 195 | 439 | 552 |
| Total Assets |
11,727 | 11,493 | 10,709 | Total Equity and liabilities |
11,727 | 11,493 | 10,709 |
Cash flow – third quarter 2019 FINANCIAL REVIEW
USD million

Tax payments FINANCIAL REVIEW
USD million

The instalments for 2019 are converted from NOK to USD using an exchange rate of 8.5. The amounts payable in 2020 will be adjusted based on actual income for FY2019.
FINANCIAL REVIEW Guidance summary
| Actual per 2019-9M | Updated 2019 guidance1) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Production2) | 144 mboepd | ~155 mboepd (previous 155-160 mboepd) |
||
| Capex3) | USD 1161 million | USD 1.6-1.7 billion | ||
| Exploration spend | USD 422 million | USD ~550 million | ||
| Abandonment spend | USD 99 million | USD ~100 million | ||
| Production cost per boe4) | USD 13.5 | USD ~12.5 | ||
| Dividends | USD 562.5 million |
USD 750 million |

23 1) 2019 guidance is based on a USDNOK assumption of 8.5 3) Excl. capitalized interest, incl. payments on lease debt 4) Per produced boe. Excl. costs related to Alvheim MWA pending insurance recovery
AKER BP Priorities ahead
Safe and efficient operations
Excellent project execution
Keep momentum on improvement agenda
Leverage technology to drive value creation
Start up of new fields and wells
Mature discoveries

Grow
Improve
Execute
24
