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Aker BP — Investor Presentation 2018
Oct 19, 2018
3528_rns_2018-10-19_3ceb7221-c3eb-49b2-86f0-380dd758958a.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Third Quarter 2018
Aker BP ASA
Karl Johnny Hersvik, CEO Alexander Krane, CFO 19 October 2018
Disclaimer
This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document. Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document. Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
AKER BP ASA Highlights
Operations
- Q3 production 151 mboepd
- Positive appraisal results dry wildcats
- Field development projects on track
Finance
- Q3 EBITDA USD 736 million, EPS USD 0.35
- Solid cash flow FCF per share USD 0.67
- Quarterly dividend USD 0.3124 per share
Business development
- Acquisition of portfolio from Total
- Acquisition of King Lear from Equinor
- Submitted applications for next APA round
Oil & gas production, mboepd net
Financials
Third Quarter 2018
FINANCIALS Statement of income
| (USD million) | Q3 2018 | Q2 2018 | Q3 2017 | FY 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating income | 1,000 | 975 | 596 | 2,563 |
| Production costs | 165 | 164 | 134 | 523 |
| Other operating expenses |
4 | 1 | 3 | 28 |
| EBITDAX | 830 | 810 | 459 | 2,012 |
| Exploration expenses | 94 | 75 | 64 | 226 |
| EBITDA | 736 | 735 | 395 | 1,786 |
| Depreciation | 189 | 183 | 175 | 727 |
| Impairment losses | - | - | 1 | 52 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 548 | 552 | 219 | 1,007 |
| Net financial items |
(58) | (22) | (9) | (196) |
| Profit/loss before taxes | 490 | 530 | 209 | 811 |
| Tax (+) / Tax income (-) | 365 | 394 | 97 | 536 |
| Net profit/loss | 125 | 136 | 112 | 275 |
| EPS (USD) | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.33 | 0.81 |
FINANCIALS Statement of financial position
| Assets | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (USD million) | 30.09.18 | 30.06.18 | 30.09.17 |
| Goodwill | 1,860 | 1,860 | 1,817 |
| Other intangible assets |
1,979 | 1,986 | 1,615 |
| Property, plant and equipment |
6,039 | 5,835 | 4,782 |
| Receivables and other assets | 752 | 820 | 676 |
| Calculated tax receivables (short) |
1,607 | 1,596 | 145 |
| Cash and cash equivalents |
127 | 49 | 81 |
| Total Assets |
12,364 | 12,147 | 9,116 |
| Equity and liabilities (USD million) |
30.09.18 | 30.06.18 | 30.09.17 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity | 3,083 | 3,064 | 2,502 |
| Other provisions for liabilities incl. P&A (long) |
3,024 | 2,992 | 2,308 |
| Deferred tax |
1,671 | 1,525 | 1,137 |
| Bonds | 1,122 | 1,119 | 626 |
| Bank debt | 1,853 | 1,898 | 1,396 |
| Other current liabilities incl. P&A | 857 | 861 | 882 |
| Tax payable | 754 | 687 | 265 |
| Total Equity and liabilities |
12,364 | 12,147 | 9,116 |
FINANCIALS Second quarter cash flow and liquidity
Cash flow (USDm)
Strong operating cash flow
- Higher oil and gas prices
- Production cost USD 11.9 per boe
Capital spending within plan
- Capex USD 310 million (ex. capitalized interest)
- Expex USD 109 million
- Abex USD 72 million
Robust balance sheet
- Net interest-bearing debt (book value) USD 2.85 billion
- Leverage ratio of 0.95x
- Hess tax loss expected to be disbursed in Q4-2018
- Cash and undrawn credit of USD 3.7 billion
FINANCIALS 2018 Guidance
| Item | Actual YTD per 30 September 2018 | Updated 2018 guidance |
|---|---|---|
| CAPEX* | USD 823 million | USD ~1.25 billion (previous USD ~1.3 billion) |
| EXPEX | USD 275 million |
USD ~400 million (previous USD ~425 million) |
| Production | 156 mboepd | 155 – 160 mboepd (lower half) |
| Production cost | USD 11.8 per boe | USD ~12 per boe |
| ABEX | USD 226 million |
USD ~250 million |
Note: Guidance based on USD/NOK 8.0
FINANCIALS Acquisition of licence portfolio from Total
Strengthening Aker BP's position in core areas
- 11 licences including 4 discoveries
- 83 mmboe net recoverable resources
- Consideration USD 205 million
- Closing expected in Q4
| Area | Licence | Acquired interest |
Resources net mmboe |
New interest |
Discovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvheim | 036 E | 64% | 16 | 64% | Trine |
| 102 D | 40% | 50% | |||
| 102 F | 40% | 6 | 50% | Trell | |
| 102 G | 40% | 50% | Trell | ||
| 102 C | 40% | 50% | |||
| Ula | 906 | 20% | 60% | ||
| 907 | 20% | 60% | |||
| Skarv | 127 | 50% | 50% | ||
| 127 B | 50% | 50% | |||
| 127 C | 100% | 44 | 100% | Alve North | |
| NOAKA | 026 | 62% | 17 | 92% | Rind |
Map of acquired licences (ex. Skarv area)
FINANCIALS Acquisition of King Lear
Planning tie-back to Ula
- Gas/condensate discovery
- NPD estimate: 99 mmboe gross (42% liquids)
- Acquisition of Equinor's 77.8% interest
- Consideration USD 250 million
- Closing expected in Q4
Strong synergies with Ula
- Gas from King Lear to be used for injection to increase oil recovery at Ula
- Total resource potential net to Aker BP above 100 mmboe (including Ula WAG effect)
King Lear and Ula
Operations
Third Quarter 2018
ALVHEIM AREA (~65%) Alvheim
High regularity and strong performance
Production efficiency 96%
Excellent drilling of Kameleon infill well
- Tri-lateral well with more than 10 km of reservoir drilled
- First well delivered with new alliance model
- Delivered 10% faster than plan
Acquisition of Trine and Trell
- 40 mmboe gross resources (NPD)
- To be tied back to Alvheim
Kameleon Infill South well
ALVHEIM AREA (~65%) The success story continues
Frosk leaping ahead
- Exploration drilling on Froskelår and Rumpetroll
- Multilateral production and appraisal well planned in 2019
Outline of Frosk test producer well Gekko seismic cross section
Gekko resources firmed up
- Oil column thicker than previously assumed
- Excellent reservoir properties
- Estimated gross recoverable resources ~40 mmboe
VALHALL AREA (90%) Targeting further improvements at Valhall
Q3 production 36.0 mboepd net
- Up 7% from Q2
- Production efficiency 88%
- Completion of new IP wells behind plan
- Testing Single-Trip Multi-Frac (STMF)
- More efficient stimulation method
- Potential for significant savings for future wells
STMF – significant savings potential
VALHALL AREA (90%) P&A campaign successfully completed
Average time per well reduced by more than 50 percent
Valhall P&A performance
VALHALL AREA (90%) Valhall projects on track
Valhall Flank West
Valhall Flank North Water Injection
Photo: Hans Petter Helland, Aker BP Photo: Marton Audun Haga, Aker BP. Maersk Invincible arriving at Valhall Flank North
ULA (80%) / TAMBAR (55%) Rejuvenating Ula as an area hub
Ambition to extend lifetime beyond 2040
- Conversion of Ula DP underway
- Preparing for new drilling campaign next year
- Oda on track for production start in Q2 2019
- Cassidy exploration well coming up
- Significant IOR potential identified
- Ula Triassic
- Ula WAG
- Enable additional tieback opportunities
- Existing discoveries
- Exploration opportunities
- King Lear – perfect fit for Ula
Significant upside potential in the Ula area
| Reserves 2017 |
IOR potential |
Tiebacks | King Lear | KL Ula WAG | Gas blowdown |
Exploration (illustrative) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ULA (80%) / TAMBAR (55%) King Lear – strong synergies with Ula
Among the largest undeveloped discoveries on NCS
- Gas/condensate discovery
- Resource range 60-170 mmboe gross* (NPD: 99)
- Gas/liquids ratio ~60/40
- Agreement to acquire 77.8% interest from Equinor
- Targeting tie-back to Ula
- Wellhead platform with ~50 km pipeline to Ula
- Condensate export through Ula
- Gas to support Ula WAG residual gas to be exported
Significant IOR potential at Ula with WAG
- WAG = Water Alternating Gas injection
- Positive volume effect and higher value per barrel
- Total resources estimated to more than 100 mmboe net to Aker BP (King Lear plus Ula WAG effect)
King Lear and Ula
IVAR AASEN (34.8%) Ivar Aasen
- Water injectors completed
- Hanz appraisal in line with expectations
SKARV AREA (23.8%) Skarv
- Temporarily lower gas exports due to increased gas injection
- Ærfugl development progressing as planned
- Alve North acquisition provides new tie-back opportunity
JOHAN SVERDRUP (11.6%) Johan Sverdrup progressing steadily
Photo: Bo Randulff / Equinor 21
NORTH OF ALVHEIM / ASKJA / KRAFLA NOAKA – field of the future
Interest in Rind discovery increased from 30 to 92 percent
Preparing for concept selection by year-end
- Aker BP favors a central processing hub
- Maximum resource utilisation
- Highest value creation
- Capacity for future discoveries
EXPLORATION Exciting drilling ahead
- Positive appraisals at Gekko and Hanz in Q3
- Dry wells on Slengfehøgda, Gråspett and Scarecrow
- Two follow-up wells to Frosk in Q4
- Targeting up to 300 mmboe (gross unrisked)
- Cassidy back on 2018 plan
- Near Oda (Ula tieback)
- JK – large prospect with a good address
- Near Johan Sverdrup and Ivar Aasen
- Potential for standalone development
- Gjøkåsen – high risk, high reward in the Barents
- Large prospect near the border with Russia
DIGITALIZATION Continued strong focus and speed on our Digital journey
Digital lab running at full speed
- Dedicated crews addressing specific themes with clear outcomes for "super-sprint" this fall
- Aker BP domain experts, Cognite and 3rd parties
- "Sprint"-based product development with new products/output delivered after two weeks
Delivering tangible results
Condition-based maintenance dashboard for valves and dampers
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- Improve tracking of status and use of equipment currently maintained/tested in fixed time intervals
- Eliminate unnecessary testing of valves
- Reduce maintenance cost and production loss
Digital tools made available on handheld devices
- Handheld devices being rolled out to operators
- New applications rolled out on ongoing basis
- Improved efficiency and HSE benefits