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Aker BP — Interim / Quarterly Report 2023
Jul 13, 2023
3528_rns_2023-07-13_956eccde-1518-4855-87fc-24e0fc29efb1.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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Second quarter 2023
13 July 2023 Aker BP ASA
Disclaimer
This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ.
These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business.
These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions.
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document.
Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document.
Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
Highlights
Second quarter 2023
Record-high production
1,000 barrels oil equivalent per day (mboepd)
Strong performance at Johan Sverdrup
A giant field with excellent reservoir properties
Daily oil production since start-up of Johan Sverdrup
- Successfully executed development phase 2
- Producing above name-plate capacity of 720,000 bblpd
- Long field life (+50 yrs) and a future area hub
High efficiency and low cost
Production efficiency
Capacity utilisation (operated assets)
Production cost USD per boe
Safety
Injury frequency (TRIF)
TRIF: Total recordable injuries per million exp. hours, rolling 12 months average
A global leader in low GHG emissions
Continued progress on decarbonisation
Aker BP emission intensity, kg CO2e/boe
Industry net emission intensity
Kg CO2 /boe equity share (2022)1
Project execution progressing according to plan
- All major contracts placed
- Important milestones achieved
- Governmental approvals of all PDOs
- Yggdrasil: Common system design freeze in Q2
- PWP-Fenris: System design freeze on schedule for Q3 Fenris jacket and pre-drill module fabrication started
- Other projects: Engineering and procurement progressing according to plan – subsea template fabrication and topside offshore work started
- Construction activities to be stepped up in 2H-23
- 2023 capex estimate USD 3.0-3.5 bn (unchanged)
The projects add significantly to growth and value creation
Lifting Aker BP's production by 250-300 mboepd in 2028
Production outlook
mboepd
Robust and profitable project portfolio
\$35-40/bbl
Project portfolio break-even oil price1
~25%
Project portfolio IRR at \$65/bbl oil price
1-2 years
Project portfolio payback at \$65/bbl oil price
Aker BP project overview
770 mmboe net oil and gas volume at net capex after tax of around USD 3 billion
| Asset area | Field development | Aker BP ownership |
Gross/net volume | Net capex estimate | PDO submission | Production start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvheim | Frosk | 80.0% | 10/8 mmboe | USD 0.2bn | 2021 | 2023 |
| Kobra East & Gekko |
80.0% | 50/40 mmboe | USD 0.9bn | 2021 | 2023/24 | |
| Tyrving | 61.3% | 25/15 mmboe | USD 0.4bn | 2022 | 2025 | |
| Hanz | 35.0% | 20/7 mmboe | USD 0.2bn | 2021 | 2024 | |
| Edvard Grieg & Ivar Aasen |
Symra | 50.0% | USD 1.3bn | Dec-22 | 2027 | |
| Solveig Phase II | 65.0% | 87/49 mmboe | 2026 | |||
| Alve North |
68.1% | 119/51 mmboe | USD 1.0bn | Dec-22 | 2027 | |
| Skarv | Idun North |
23.8% | 2027 | |||
| Ørn | 30.0% | 2027 | ||||
| Valhall PWP |
90.0% | 230/187 mmboe | USD 5.5bn | Dec-22 | 2027 | |
| Valhall | Fenris | 77.8% | 2027 | |||
| Hugin | 87.7% | USD 10.7bn | Dec-22 | 2027 | ||
| Yggdrasil | Munin | 50.0% | 650/413 mmboe | 2027 | ||
| Fulla | 47.7% | 2027 |
Significant oil discovery in the Yggdrasil area
Øst Frigg will be an integrated part of ongoing project development
- Current volume estimate of 53-90 mmboe, twice as large as the original pre-drill estimate
- Increases the resource base for the Yggdrasil project by around 10%
- Strong field economics improving the total project profitability
- Could extend plateau production by a year
- The discovery is located within PL442 (Aker BP operator, 87.7%) and PL873 (Aker BP operator, 47.7%)
- Seeking further upside potential around Yggdrasil
Record-breaking well behind the discovery
Norway's longest ever exploration well of nearly 8 200 meters
2023 exploration program
| Licence | Prospect | Operator | Aker BP share |
Pre-drill mmboe |
Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL867 | Gjegnalunden | Aker BP | 80% | 3-9 mmboe | |
| PL1141 | Styggehøe | Aker BP | 70% | Dry | |
| PL554 | Angulata | Equinor | 30% | Dry | |
| PL919 | Ve | Aker BP | 80% | 3-5 mmboe | |
| PL873/442 | Øst Frigg Beta/Epsilon | Aker BP | 48%/88% | 53-90 mmboe | |
| PL1148 | Carmen | Wellesley | 10% | Discovery | |
| PL1005 | Rondeslottet1 | Aker BP | 40% | Drilling | |
| PL 984 | Norma | DNO | 10% | 31 - 122 |
Q3 |
| PL442 | Frigg Gamma Delta/Ypsilon | Aker BP | 88% | 9 - 22 |
Q3 |
| PL035 | Krafla Mid Statfjord | Aker BP | 50% | 7 - 45 |
Q3 |
| PL929 | Ofelia appraisal | Neptune | 10% | 16 - 39 |
Q3 |
| PL211CS | Adriana appraisal (Dvalin N) | Wintershall Dea | 15% | 29 - 66 |
Q4 |
| PL956 | Ringhornet Ty | Vår Energi | 20% | 7 - 27 |
Q4 |
| PL261 | Storjo West | Aker BP | 70% | 4 - 32 |
Q4 |
| PL1170 | Ferdinand | Aker BP | 35% | 31 - 65 |
Q4 |
| PL272 | Surtsey2 | Aker BP | 50% | 2 - 16 |
Q4 |
| PL869 | Rumpetroll South2 |
Aker BP | 80% | 10 - 45 |
Q4 |
| PL917 | Magellan/Hubert | Vår Energi | 40% | 16 - 54 |
Q4 |
| PL 932 | Kaldafjell | Aker BP | 40% | 19 - 145 |
Moved to 2024 |
1) Appraisal of the Ellida discovery from 2003 2) Moved from 2024 exploration program
Financial highlights
▪ Excellent operations
▪ Cost control and project execution
▪ Optimisation of capital structure
Sales of oil and gas
Volume sold mboepd
Liquids Natural gas
Total income USD million
Liquids Natural gas Other
Income statement
USD million
| Q1 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before impairment | Impairments | Actual | Actual | |
| Total income | 3 291 | 3 291 | 3 310 | |
| Production costs | 247 | 247 | 263 | |
| Other operating expenses | 13 | 13 | 16 | |
| EBITDAX | 3 031 | 3 031 | 3 031 | |
| Exploration expenses | 27 | 27 | 98 | |
| EBITDA | 3 004 | 3 004 | 2 933 | |
| Depreciation | 645 | 645 | 599 | |
| Impairments | 102 | 102 | 373 | |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 2 359 | (102) | 2 257 | 1 961 |
| Net financial items | (50) | (50) | (137) | |
| Profit/loss before taxes | 2 309 | (102) | 2 207 | 1 824 |
| Tax (+) / Tax income (-) |
1 826 | (15) | 1 811 | 1 637 |
| Net profit / loss | 483 | (86) | 397 | 187 |
| EPS (USD) | 0.76 | (0.14) | 0.63 | 0.30 |
| Effective tax rate | 79 % | 15 % | 82 % | 90 % |
477 mboepd (450) Oil and gas sales
\$75 per boe (81) Net realised price
\$5.6 per boe (7.2)
Production cost
82% (90%)
Effective tax rate
Cash flow - Second quarter 2023 USD million
| Q2-23 | Q1-23 | Q4-22 | Q3-22 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow before tax | 2 938 | 3 251 | 3 762 | 3 602 |
| Taxes paid | (2 817) | (1 569) | (2 995) | (1 241) |
| Cash flow – operations |
121 | 1 682 | 807 | 2 361 |
| Cash flow – investments |
(776) | (705) | (708) | (500) |
| Free cash flow | (655) | 977 | 98 | 1 861 |
| Net debt drawn/repaid | 488 | - | - | (600) |
| Dividends | (348) | (348) | (332) | (332) |
| Interest, leasing & misc. | (75) | (106) | 2 | (109) |
| Cash flow – financing |
66 | (454) | (329) | (1 041) |
| Net change in cash | (589) | 523 | (231) | 820 |
| Cash at end of period | 2 689 | 3 280 | 2 756 | 3 042 |
\$-0.7bn (1.0) Free Cash Flow (FCF)
\$-1.04(1.55)
FCF per share
\$0.55 (0.55)
Dividend per share
Cash tax
Tax payments - Sensitivity for H1-2024
USD million
Process for tax payments
- Tax for the year is paid in six bimonthly instalments, starting in August, plus final settlement
- Initial tax estimate for the year is made in Q2, the H2-instalments are then fixed in NOK
- Option for voluntary additional payment in October normally only relevant if the initial estimate was too low
- At year-end, the upcoming Feb-June instalments may be adjusted to reflect latest estimate
- Final settlement in Q4 the following year
Assumptions for H1-24 sensitivity analysis
- Brent price assumption reflects average for the quarters
- Gas prices assumed at USD 11 per mmbtu
- USDNOK rate assumed at 10.5
Statement of financial position
USD million
| Assets | 30.06.23 | 31.03.23 | 30.06.22 restated |
|---|---|---|---|
| PP&E | 16 218 | 16 220 | 16 620 |
| Goodwill | 13 554 | 13 636 | 14 246 |
| Other non-current assets |
3 248 | 3 122 | 3 181 |
| Cash and equivalent | 2 689 | 3 280 | 2 154 |
| Other current assets | 1 603 | 1 671 | 1 581 |
| Total Assets |
37 312 | 37 928 | 37 781 |
| Equity and liabilities | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity | 12 316 | 12 267 | 11 919 | ||
| Financial debt | 5 766 | 5 304 | 5 834 | ||
| Deferred taxes | 9 725 | 9 502 | 9 333 | ||
| Other long-term liabilities | 4 674 | 4 681 | 4 896 | ||
| Tax payable | 3 351 | 4 758 | 4 253 | ||
| Other current liabilities | 1 480 | 1 416 | 1 545 | ||
| Total Equity and liabilities |
37 312 | 37 928 | 37 781 |
\$6.1bn (\$6.7)
Total available liquidity
33% (32%)
Equity ratio
0.22 (0.16)
Leverage ratio1
1) Net interest-bearing debt divided by twelve months rolling EBITDAX, excluding any impacts from IFRS 16
Optimising our capital structure
Bond transactions in June
- USD 1,500 million in new Senior Notes issued
- USD 0.5 billion aggregate principal amount of 5.60% Senior Notes due in 2028
- USD 1.0 billion aggregate principal amount of 6.00% Senior Notes due in 2033
- Interest will be payable semi-annually
- USD 1,000 million in existing bonds repurchased
- 2025 and 2026 maturities
- Nominal amount USD 1,068 million
- Increasing avg. time to maturity to 6.7 (5.4) years
Bond maturities
Maintaining financial flexibility
Net interest-bearing debt
Excl. leases, USD billion
3.7
0.54
Liquidity available2
USD billion
0.21 0.21
2.5
Leverage ratio
1
2.2
1) Leverage ratio: Net interest-bearing debt divided by EBITDAX last 12 months, excluding effects of IFRS16 Leasing 2) Liquidity available: undrawn bank facilities and cash and cash equivalents
2.0
0.16
Strong and resilient cash flow as basis for dividend growth
Financing cost 0 5 10 15 20 Sources Uses Aker BP value creation plan 2023-2028 USD billion, accumulated \$90/bbl \$65/bbl Dividend capacity and debt repayment Cash flow from operations after tax Investments1 \$40/bbl
- Low cost production gives resilient dividend capacity
- Distributions shall reflect the capacity through the cycle
- ~10% dividend growth in 2023
- Quarterly USD 0.55 per share
- Ambition to grow dividend by minimum 5% per year
2023 guidance
| Previous guidance |
Actual H1 -23 |
New guidance |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Production | 430 | 467 | 445 |
| mboped | -460 | -470 | |
| Opex | 7.0 | 6.3 | 6.0 |
| USD/boe | -8.0 | -7.0 | |
| Capex | 3.0 | 1.3 | 3.0 |
| USD billion | -3.5 | -3.5 | |
| Exploration | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| USD billion | -0.5 | -0.5 | |
| Abandonment | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| USD billion | -0.2 | -0.2 |
Delivering on the strategy
| Operate safely and efficiently |
Decarbonise our business |
Deliver high return projects on quality, time and cost |
Establish the next wave of profitable growth options |
Return maximum value to our shareholders and our society |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96% production efficiency | Equity GHG intensity of 2.6 kg CO e/boe 2 |
Project execution on track |
Oil discovery in the Yggdrasil area |
Bond transactions to optimise capital structure |
|
| Record-low unit cost of USD 5.6/boe |
A global leader in low CO 2 emissions |
Important milestones passed |
Prolific exploration program |
Quarterly dividend of USD 0.55 per share |
|
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