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Aker BP — Interim / Quarterly Report 2018
Feb 6, 2019
3528_rns_2019-02-06_90c4894a-4a5b-4e27-9981-6a577460fbf5.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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Fourth Quarter 2018
Aker BP ASA
Karl Johnny Hersvik, CEO David Torvik Tønne, CFO 6 February 2019
Disclaimer
This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document. Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document. Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
AKER BP 2018 Highlights
AKER BP Fourth quarter 2018 highlights
Operations
- Production increased to 156 mboepd
- New wells on stream at Alvheim and Valhall
- Field developments on track
Finance
- Adj. EBITDA USD 667 million1)
- Dividend USD 0.31 per share
- Net debt reduced to USD 1.97 billion
Business development
- Acquisitions of King Lear and Total portfolio completed
- Hess tax loss refunded
| Key figures | Q4-18 | Q4-17 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Production | mboepd | 155.7 | 135.6 | 155.7 | 138.8 |
| Realized oil price | USD/bbl | 64.3 | 64.6 | 71.9 | 56.2 |
| Realized gas price | USD/scm | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| Total income | USDm | 886 | 726 | 3 750 | 2 563 |
| Operating profit | USDm | 403 | 305 | 1 775 | 1 556 |
| Profit before taxes | USDm | 359 | 248 | 1 805 | 811 |
| Net profit | USDm | 54 | 34 | 476 | 275 |
| Effective tax rate | USDm | 85% | 86% | 74% | 66% |
| EPS | USD | 0.15 | 0.10 | 1.32 | 0.81 |
| DPS | USD | 0.31 | 0.19 | 1.25 | 0.74 |
Discovery at Froskelår EXPLORATION
Growing the Alvheim area resource base
Preliminary results
- Oil and gas
- Within pre-drill range of 45-153 mmboe
- May straddle UK-Norway border
Drilling operation ongoing
- Coring and data acquisition
- Horisontal sidetrack
Way forward
- Drill test producer on Frosk also testing Froskelår NE
- Rumpetroll exploration well
- Concept studies based on results
OPERATIONS Record production and high regularity
Production per hub, mboepd
Production efficiency per hub
NCS DRILLING EFFICIENCY Leading drilling performance
Exploration wells by operator 2018
FIELD DEVELOPMENTS ON TRACK Improvement program showing tangible results
Example: Valhall Flank West
Benchmark Current estimate
LEAN MINDSET Reducing cost, waste and emissions
CO2 emissions intensity1)
kg CO2 per boe produced (2017)
The world's first offshore lifeboat with electric propulsion
- Latest design of BMW Li-ion batteries
- Successful Factory Acceptance Test performed in January 2019
- 50 % cost reduction on regular inspection and maintenance
Digitalization demonstrating its value in production optimization DIGITALIZATION GAINING MOMENTUM Optimizing production with artificial intelligence
Examples
| Chalk influx a challenge at Valhall |
||
|---|---|---|
| Chalk influx prediction |
By using machine learning on production data from the Cognite data platform (CDP) the chalk influx can be predicted and well breakdown deferrals can be avoided |
Dynamic modelling of max flow
- Multiphase flow meters on 3rd party separator at Alvheim need to be calibrated monthly. During the calibration the fixed limit of the Alvheim separator becomes a constraint, and production is deferred
- New tool reduce deferrals by providing live optimized production limits based on current fluid conditions
STRATEGIC ALLIANCES Alliances established as a key pillar in improvement agenda Reshaping the value chain with alliances
Growing the resource base in 2018 OPERATIONAL REVIEW
Development in 2P reserves (mmboe) Development in 2C contingent resources (mmboe)
EXPLORATION 2018 exploration highlights
Value creation from 2018 exploration
120-280
USD million1)
Frosk oil discovery
~50
mmboe (gross)
APA 2018 awards
21 new licences (11 operated)
1) Estimated NPV10 of Frosk and Gekko discoveries (oil price range USD 50-70 per barrel)
Gekko appraisal
~40
mmboe (gross)
EXPLORATION 2019 exploration program
| License Prospect | Operator | Aker BP share |
Pre-drill mmboe |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL869 | Froskelår Main | Aker BP | 60% | 45 -153 |
| PL869 | Froskelår NE | Aker BP | 60% | 7 -23 |
| PL869 | Rumpetroll | Aker BP | 60% | 45 -148 |
| PL033 | Hod Deep West | Aker BP | 90% | 2 -22 |
| PL916 | JK | Aker BP | 40% | 100 -420 |
| PL857 | Gjøkåsen | Equinor | 20% | 26 -1427 |
| PL782S | Busta | ConocoPhillips | 20% | 54 -199 |
| PL942 | Ørn | Equinor | 30% | 8 -40 |
| PL777 | Hornet | Aker BP | 40% | 14 -137 |
| PL814 | Freke-Garm | Aker BP | 40% | 16 -81 |
| PL502 | Klaff | Equinor | 22% | 50 -372 |
| PL762 | Vågar | Aker BP | 20% | 62 -128 |
| PL019C | Kark | Aker BP | 60% | 15 -48 |
| PL838 | Shrek | PGNIG | 30% | 10 -22 |
| TBD | NOAKA area | Aker BP |
Currently drilling
Planned to be drilled in 2019
AKER BP New members of Executive Management Team
Lene Landøy, SVP Strategy & Business Development
Lene Landøy (born 1979) comes from the position of VP Strategy, Portfolio and Analysis and has been with the company since January 2017. Landøy has a master's degree in finance, from NHH Norwegian School of Economics / University of California Los Angeles (UCLA). She also holds a master's degree in international finance from the Skema Business School in France. Prior to joining Aker BP, she led Equinor's business development unit on the Norwegian shelf.
David Tønne, Chief Financial Officer
David Tønne (born 1985) comes from the position of VP Corporate Controlling in Aker BP and has been with the company since January 2017. Tønne holds a master's degree in finance from NHH Norwegian School of Economics. Prior to Aker BP, he worked for seven years in The Boston Consulting Group's Oil and Gas team.
Financial review
FINANCIAL REVIEW 2018 financial highlights
USD million
Statement of income FINANCIAL REVIEW
| USD million | Q4 2018 | Q3 2018 | Q4 2017 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating income | 886 | 1,000 | 726 | 3,750 | 2,563 |
| Production costs | 187 | 165 | 147 | 689 | 523 |
| Other operating expenses |
8 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
| EBITDAX | 692 | 830 | 565 | 3,044 | 2,012 |
| Exploration expenses | 72 | 94 | 56 | 296 | 226 |
| EBITDA | 619 | 736 | 509 | 2,748 | 1,786 |
| Depreciation | 196 | 189 | 183 | 752 | 727 |
| Impairment losses | 20 | - | 21 | 20 | 52 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 403 | 548 | 305 | 1975 | 1,007 |
| Net financial items |
(44) | (58) | (57) | (171) | (196) |
| Profit/loss before taxes | 359 | 490 | 248 | 1,805 | 811 |
| Tax (+) / Tax income (-) | 305 | 365 | 214 | 1,328 | 536 |
| Net profit/loss | 54 | 125 | 34 | 476 | 275 |
| EPS (USD) | 0.15 | 0.35 | 0.10 | 1.32 | 0.81 |
Statement of financial position FINANCIAL REVIEW
USD million
| Assets | 31.12.18 | 30.09.18 | 31.12.17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwill | 1,860 | 1,860 | 1,860 | |
| Other intangible assets |
2,433 | 1,979 | 1,982 | |
| Property, plant and equipment |
5,746 | 6,039 | 5,582 | |
| Receivables and other assets | 681 | 752 | 775 | |
| Calculated tax receivables (short) |
11 | 1,607 | 1,586 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents |
45 | 127 | 233 | |
| Total Assets |
10,777 | 12,364 | 12,019 |
| Equity and liabilities | 31.12.18 | 30.09.18 | 31.12.17 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity | 2,990 | 3,083 | 2,989 |
| Other provisions for liabilities incl. P&A (long) |
2,581 | 3,024 | 2,942 |
| Deferred tax |
1,800 | 1,671 | 1,307 |
| Bonds | 1,110 | 1,122 | 622 |
| Bank debt | 908 | 1,853 | 2,767 |
| Other current liabilities incl. P&A | 835 | 857 | 1,041 |
| Tax payable | 552 | 754 | 351 |
| Total Equity and liabilities |
10,777 | 12,364 | 12,019 |
Fourth quarter cash flow FINANCIAL REVIEW
USD million
Tax payments FINANCIAL REVIEW
USD million
21 1) Estimated current tax on income for fiscal year 2019 at various oil price scenarios, assuming USDNOK 8.5. Excluding potential payments related to uncertain tax cases.
FINANCIAL REVIEW Guidance summary
| 2018 guidance | 2018 actual | 2019 guidance1) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Production | 155-160 mboepd | 155.7 mboepd | 155-160 mboepd |
| Capex | USD 1.25 billion | USD 1.20 billion | USD 1.6 billion |
| Exploration spend | USD 400 million | USD 359 million | USD 500 million |
| Abandonment spend | USD 250 million | USD 243 million | USD 150 million |
| Production cost per boe | USD ~12 | USD 12.1 | USD ~12.5 |
| Dividends | USD 450 million | USD 450 million | USD 750 million |
Concluding remarks
AKER BP Priorities ahead
| e t u c e x E |
Safe and efficient operations Excellent project execution |
|---|---|
| e v o r p m I |
Lead the digital transformation Reorganize value chains with alliances Apply new technology to drive value creation |
| w o r G |
High exploration activity Maturing resources to reserves |
Dividend plan (USD million)