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Aker BP

Earnings Release Oct 28, 2021

3528_rns_2021-10-28_084476f2-3b7e-4cb8-a6ce-21af7df72e25.pdf

Earnings Release

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Third Quarter 2021

28 October 2021

Disclaimer

  • This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ.
  • These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business.
  • These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions.
  • Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document.
  • Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document.
  • Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

Highlights

Third quarter 2021

Strong results

– Higher oil and gas prices and stable operations

Project portfolio progressing well

– NOAKA resource estimate upgraded

Unique financial position

– Increasing dividends

per boe 1)

Key performance indicators

oil equivalents per day

Third quarter 2021

injury frequency (TRIF) 1)

SAFETY
FIRST
PRODUCTION
VOLUME
PRODUCTION
COST
PRODUCTION
EFFICIENCY
EMISSIONS
INTENSITY
1.5 210 9.0
\$
90
%
4.4
kg
Total recordable thousand barrels of per boe Aker BP operated CO
emissions
2

produced

1) 12 months rolling average

assets, gross

Production performance

Oil and gas production (mboepd) Production efficiency (percent)

HSSE performance

1) Total recordable injuries per million exp. hours, rolling 12 months average

2) Kg CO2 emissions per barrel of oil equivalents produced, rolling 12 months average

Capital discipline

Production cost (USD/boe) Capital spend (USD million)

Development projects

  • Ærfugl phase 2 approaching completion
  • Frosk PDO submitted
  • NOAKA concept selected resources upgraded
  • King Lear included in Valhall NCP scope
  • Garantiana postponed

Progressing and optimizing the project portfolio

Area 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Alvheim Kobra
Frosk
Trell
& Trine
East & Gekko
Ivar Aasen Hanz
NOAKA NOA Fulla
Krafla
Skarv Ærfugl
phase 2
Skarv satellites
(Ørn, Shrek, Alve
Nord, Idun
Nord)
Valhall Hod
Valhall infill drilling
Valhall NCP + King Lear
Other Johan Sverdrup phase 2
(Equinor operated)
Garantiana (Equinor operated)
Project planning Project execution Concept select Final investment decision

NOAKA development concept selected – resources upgraded

~600 mmboe resources (gross)

USD ~10 bn capex (gross, real)

~\$30/bbl break-even

2027 first oil

Aker BP interest

NOA: 87.7% Fulla: 47.7% Krafla: 50.0%

NOAKA – development concept overview

Exploration 2021

Licence Prospect Operator Aker BP
share
Pre-drill
mmboe
Status
PL 533 Bask 1 Lundin 35 % Dry
PL 554 Garantiana W 2 Equinor 30 % Discovery 8-23 mmboe
PL 722 Shenzhou 3 Equinor 20 % Dry
3
Q
PL 442 Liatårnet 4 Aker BP 90 % Appraisal Volume reduced
PL 858 Stangnestind 5 Aker BP 40 % Non-commercial
PL 167 Lille Prinsen 6 Lundin 10 % Appraisal 12-60 mmboe confirmed
PL 006C Gomez 7 DNO 35 % Discovery, volume TBC
PL 981 Merckx Ty 8 Lundin 40 % Dry
PL 1041 Lyderhorn 9 Aker BP 55 % 6
-
14
Planned start in Q4
PL 906 Mugnetind1) 10 Aker BP 50 % 10
-
40
Drilling

9

10

Financial review

Oil and gas sales

Third quarter 2021

Volumes sold

mmboe

Liquids Natural gas

Total income

USD million

Liquids Natural gas Other

Liquids \$71.5 +7% Natural gas Realised prices USD per boe

\$91.3 +103%

Production cost

Third quarter 2021

0

50

100

150

200

250

Unit production cost USD per boe

First nine months 2021 \$8.9

Full-year guidance \$8.5-9.0

(higher end)

0

5

10

15

20

25

Income statement

Income statement

USD million Q3 2021 Q2 2021 Change Comment
Total income 1 563 1 124 +39% 1
Production costs 209 158 +32% 2
Other operating expenses 7 9
EBITDAX 1 347 957 +41%
Exploration expenses 97 102 -4% 3
EBITDA 1 250 855 +46%
Depreciation 247 240
Impairments 154 -
Operating profit (EBIT) 849 614 +38%
Net financial items (47) (62)
Profit/loss before taxes 802 552 +45%
Tax (+) / Tax income (-) 596 399
Net profit / loss 206 154 +34%
EPS (USD) 0.57 0.43
    1. Higher volume sold due to increased production and overlift, combined with higher oil and gas prices
    1. Driven by increased volume and sales mix – overlift in Q3 was dominated by higher-cost barrels which also carry an element of depreciation
    1. Mainly driven by field evaluation (USD 43m) and dry well expenses (USD 38m)

Cash flow

Third quarter 2021

USD million

1) Including payments on lease debt which are classified as financing activities in the statement of cash flow

2) Net cash flow from operating activities and investment activities including payments on lease debt

3) Includes interest paid, fees related to RCF, and FX effect on cash held

Statement of financial position

USD million

Assets 30.09.21 30.06.21 31.12.20
Goodwill 1 647 1 647 1 647
Other intangible
assets
1 779 1 873 2 043
Property, plant
and equipment
7 667 7 630 7 266
Right-of-use asset 105 116 133
Receivables and other assets 963 834 793
Cash and
cash equivalents
1 421 975 538
Total
Assets
13 582 13 076 12 420
Equity and liabilities 30.09.21 30.06.21 31.12.20
Equity 2 128 2 030 1 987
Other provisions for liabilities
incl.
P&A (long)
2 639 2 681 2 650
Deferred
tax
3 142 3 050 2 642
Bonds and bank debt 3 595 3 615 3 969
Lease debt 158 179 216
Other current liabilities incl. P&A 930 923 792
Tax payable 990 597 163
Total
Equity and liabilities
13 582 13 076 12 420

Superior financial flexibility

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

Net interest-bearing debt

Excl. leases, USD million

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

Liquidity available USD million

Capital allocation priorities

    1. Maintain financial capacity and investment grade credit rating
    1. Allocate capital to investments in profitable projects
    1. Return value creation to stakeholders

Returning value creation

Dividend considerations across oil price scenarios Aker BP dividends

Consider extra shareholder distributions

1

2

3

Grow distributions in line with value creation Deliver on profitable investment plan Maintain financial capacity & Investment grade

Reassess investment plan and distribution level to sustain financial robustness

Cash tax sensitivity

USD million

1) Estimated payments of current tax on income for fiscal year 2021 for Aker BP at various oil price scenarios (average Brent for the full year), assuming USDNOK 8.5. Tax payments for 2H-21 were fixed in June. The payments in 1H-22 will be adjusted after year-end to reflect actual 2021 results. Potential payments related to uncertain tax cases are excluded.

Guidance summary

2021
guidance
PRODUCTION
210-220
mboepd
(lower end)
CAPITAL SPEND
2.1-2.2
USD billion
(down from 2.2-2.3)
PRODUCTION COST
8.5-9.0
USD/boe
(higher end)
DIVIDENDS
488
USD million
(up from 450)
9M-2021 210.2 1.5 8.9 338
actuals mboepd USD billion USD/boe USD million

Concluding remarks

Priorities

Building a leading E&P company

Drive operational performance

  • Maximize production efficiency
  • Safe operations with low cost and emissions

Invest in profitable project portfolio

  • Aiming to sanction ~600 mmboe by end-2022
  • Execute projects on time, cost and quality

Maintain superior financial flexibility

  • Preserve unique financial position
  • Return value to stakeholders

Hanna Tronstad Drilling supervisor Aker BP

www.akerbp.com

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