Q3 2017
AKER BP ASA
KARL JOHNNY HERSVIK, CEO ALEXANDER KRANE, CFO 30 OCTOBER 2017
Disclaimer
This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document. Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document. Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
AKER BP ASA Highlights
Production
- Q3-17 production of 131.9 mboepd
- Expecting to reach upper half of 135 140 mboepd production guidance for 2017
Finance
- Q3-17 EBITDA USD 395 million, EPS USD 0.33
- Q3-17 Free cash flow* of USD 445 million (USD 1.32 per share)
- Quarterly dividend of USD 62.5 million (DPS of USD 0.185) to be disbursed in November
M&A
Acquisition of Hess Norge AS
Operations
- Two Volund infill wells completed, both on stream
- On track to deliver three PDO's before year-end
AKER BP ASA Acquisition of Hess Norge AS
- Cash consideration of 2.0 USDbn (effective date 1/1-17)
- Interest in Valhall (64.05%) and Hod (62.50%) fields
- After-tax value of tax loss carry forward USD 1.5 billion**
- Transaction to be financed with undrawn credit on RBL and USD 500 million in new equity
- Represents significant addition to reserves, resources and production base
- 150 mmboe of 2P reserves***
- 195 mmboe of 2C contingent resources***
- Production of ~24,000 boe/day (2017, 9 months)
- More than 85% liquids
- Aker BP will aggressively pursue upsides and grow reserves through further investments and subsequently farm down to ~67% (cash or asset swap)
Illustrative production potential*, mboepd net
4
* Sanctioned and non-sanctioned projects
** Nominal value based on Hess Norge AS' 2016 annual report, assuming USD/NOK 8.0
*** Reserves based on Aker BP's 2016 Annual Statement of Reserves, 2C resources based on Aker BP evaluation as presented at the 2017 CMD
Financials
Q3 2017
FINANCIALS Statement of income
| (USD million) |
Q3 2017 |
Q3 2016 |
FY 2016 |
| Total operating income |
596 |
248 |
1,364 |
| Production costs |
134 |
32 |
227 |
Other operating expenses |
3 |
6 |
22 |
| EBITDAX |
459 |
210 |
1,115 |
| Exploration expenses |
64 |
31 |
147 |
| EBITDA |
395 |
179 |
968 |
| Depreciation |
175 |
115 |
509 |
| Impairment losses |
1 |
8 |
71 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) |
219 |
56 |
387 |
Net financial items |
(9) |
(5) |
(97) |
| Profit/loss before taxes |
209 |
51 |
290 |
| Tax (+) / Tax income (-) |
97 |
(13) |
255 |
| Net profit/loss |
112 |
63 |
35 |
| EPS (USD) |
0.33 |
0.31 |
0.15 |
FINANCIALS Statement of financial position
Assets (USD million) |
30.09.17 |
30.09.16 |
| Goodwill |
1,817 |
1,858 |
Other intangible assets |
1,615 |
2,590 |
Property, plant and equipment |
4,782 |
4,383 |
| Receivables and other assets |
676 |
529 |
Calculated tax receivables (short) |
145 |
133 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
81 |
786 |
|
|
|
Total Assets |
9,116 |
10,280 |
Equity and liabilities (USD million) |
30.09.17 |
30.09.16 |
| Equity |
2,502 |
2,579 |
Other provisions for liabilities incl. P&A (long) |
2,308 |
2,400 |
Deferred tax |
1,137 |
1,415 |
| Bonds |
626 |
526 |
| Bank debt |
1,396 |
2,640 |
| Other current liabilities incl. P&A (short) |
882 |
721 |
| Tax payable |
265 |
- |
Total Equity and liabilities |
9,116 |
10,280 |
FINANCIALS Third quarter cash flow and liquidity
- Free cash flow of USD 445 million
- Includes positive one-off tax effect of USD 264 million
Robust balance sheet per 30 September
- Net interest-bearing debt (book value) USD 1.94 billion
- Leverage ratio of 1.0x
- Cash and undrawn credit of USD 2.6 billion
Changes to capital structure
- Issued USD 400 million US HY bond
- Repaid USD 330 million DETNOR03 bond
- Cancelled USD 550 RCF
- Amended terms for the USD 4.0 billion RBL
FINANCIALS Dividends set to increase
Sustained strong cash flow in 2017
- USD 746 million free cash flow year-to-date
- USD 188 million paid in dividends
Dividends set to increase
- USD 62.5 million (USD 0.185 per share) paid in August
- USD 62.5 million (USD 0.185 per share) to be paid on or about 9 November
- Plan to increase dividends from next quarter (from USD 250 million to USD 350 million per year)
Cash flow coverage
Dividends
- Cash flow from investing activities
- Cash flow from operating activities
730
| Item |
Actual year-to-date per September 30, 2017 |
2017 full year guidance |
|
| CAPEX |
663 million |
USD 900 – 950 million (no change) |
|
| EXPEX |
196 million |
USD 280 – 300 million (no change) |
|
| Production |
140 mboepd |
135 – 140 mboepd (top half of range) |
|
| Production cost |
USD 9.9 per boe |
USD ~10 per boe (no change) |
|
| Decommissioning cost |
55 million |
USD 80 – 90 million (previous 100 – 110) |
|
Note: Guidance based on USD/NOK 8.0 going forward
Operations
Q3 2017
PRODUCTION Oil and gas production
Net production* (boepd)
* Including FY 2016 production from BP Norge AS ** Subject to government approval, effective date 01.01.2017
VALHALL (100%*) / HOD (100%*) The chalk giant
- The Valhall field center consists of six separate steel platforms, including a process/accommodation platform installed in 2013
- Two unmanned flank platforms (North and South)
- Q3-17 production 11.6 mboepd (13.7 mboepd in Q2-17)
- Planned maintenance and well operations
- Production efficiency of 86% (85% in Q2-17)
- IP Platform drilling program well under way
- Seven wells planned three in 2017
- Latest well completed 20 percent below budget and 14 days ahead of plan with fastest completion time ever on Valhall IP
VALHALL (100%*) / HOD (100%*) Preparing for further increase in Valhall reserves
Valhall/Hod in place volumes are about 3.8 bn boe
- 1 billion barrels produced per Jan 2017
- Ambition to produce at least 500 mmboe more
Applying new technology to increase field recovery
- Multilateral wells
- New completion technology to replace fracturing
- Improved reservoir monitoring and modeling = better decisions
- P&A technology to radically reduce time per well
- Several digitalization projects initiated
Valhall Flank West project on track
- Planned as unmanned wellhead platform with 12 well slots, tied back to Valhall field center
- Plan to submit PDO by end-2017
Maturing further opportunities in the Valhall area, including
- Valhall Flank West upsides
- Valhall Flank South
- Hod redevelopment including water flood
- Lower Hod formation
ALVHEIM AREA (65.0%*) Further development of the Alvheim area
Q3-17 production 68.9 mboepd (72.5 mboepd in Q2-17)
- SAGE outage and planned ESD test
- Production efficiency of 96% in Q3 (98% in Q2-17)
Production started from two new Volund infill wells
- Project delivered ahead of schedule and below budget
- Replaces volumes from Viper/Kobra (Alvheim wells produced via Volund)
Further maturing opportunities in the Alvheim area
- Commenced drilling of first of two Boa infill wells
- Planning for Storklakken PDO in Q4
- Tie-back to Alvheim FPSO via Vilje
- First oil planned for 2020
IVAR AASEN (34.8%) Preparing for the next steps
Q3-17 production 16.6 mboepd (17.3 mboepd in Q2-17)
- Excellent production performance with high uptime
- High operational availability of 97% (98.5% in Q2-17)
- Production efficiency 82% due to Edvard Grieg power issues
Development scope in PDO completed
- Production set to increase from Q4-2017
- According to agreement with Edvard Grieg
- Plateau production reached one year ahead of plan
Preparing for the next steps
- Two water injectors planned in 2018
- Hanz appraisal well in 2018 first oil planned in 2020
- IOR program initiated
ULA (80.0%) / TAMBAR (55.0%) Making Tambar great again
Q3-17 production 8.6 mboed (9.9 mboepd in Q2-17)
- Volatile production due to WAG effects
- Production efficiency 68% (69% in Q2-17)
Tambar development on track
- Two new production wells
- New gas lift module
- Drilling commenced in October
- Will improve understanding of the reservoir
Oda (15%) development underway
- Subsea tie-back to Ula
- Est. CAPEX NOK 5.4 billion
- First oil expected in Q2-19
Drilling two new wells at Tambar
SKARV AREA (23.8%) Approaching PDO for Snadd
Q3-17 production 24.5 mboepd (29.3 mboepd in Q2-17)
- Planned maintenance and three wells shut in
- Snadd test producer shut in due to production permit reached
- 87% production efficiency (96% in Q2-17)
Rig operation to recomplete wells is ongoing
Targeting Snadd PDO in Q4-17
- Phase 1 planned with 3 subsea wells
- Gross capex approx. NOK 6 billion
- Production expected from 2020
Snadd technology development
- Unique ~60km long reservoir requires continuous heating of flowlines to prevent hydrates
- Qualification of electrically trace heated pipe-in-pipe system ongoing
JOHAN SVERDRUP (11.6%) Development on track
Project progressing according to plan:
- Construction was approximately 70% complete by end-Q3
- The first steel jacket has been installed on the field
- Drilling platform modules integrated on barge in Norway
- Good drilling and completion progress of water injectors
Costs continue to come down
- Phase 1 CAPEX estimated at NOK 92 billion (nom.) with break-even oil price below 20 USD/boe
- Full field CAPEX estimated at NOK 132 147 billion (nom.) with break-even oil price below 25 USD/boe
The project aims to deliver PDO for phase 2 in the second half of 2018
Riser platform jacket being installed by Thialf
Photo: Jan Arne Wold, Statoil
PROJECTS MMO activity to prolong field life
Ula
- Oda Tie-In to Ula
- Ula lifeboat project
Tambar • Ula Power • Tambar Artificial Lift
Valhall & Hod
- Topside modifications for tie-in of West Flank platform
- North Flank Water Injection
Skarv/Snadd
- Turret mods for Snadd tie-back
- Topside scope methanol pumps, scale inhibitor package, electrical modifications for flowline heating
Alvheim
• Prepare for new subsea tie-ins including Boa infills and Storklakken (non-sanctioned)
Ivar Aasen
- Digitalization projects including remote operations
- Hanz tie-in (non-sanctioned)
IMPROVEMENT Volund infill project subsea alliance Improvement program starting to show results
Strategic partnerships to align incentives
- Alliances established for subsea and two fixed facilities
- Drilling & wells and MMO alliance being established
- Focus on flow efficiency to reduce costs by avoiding rework and continuously improving
- Progressing our vision of a fully digitized value chain
- Cognite (Aker BP 10% ownership)
• Open architechture platform
- Data sharing could increase NCS competitiveness
- Goal to sanction new stand-alone projects at break-even prices below 35 USD/boe
Volund infill project delivered 30% below budget
Strong improvement in Valhall P&A days per well
2017 drilling schedule EXPLORATION
- Drilling on Hyrokkin and Nordfjellet/Delta completed in the third quarter
- Drilling on Hufsa ongoing, to be followed by Hurri
- Preparing for high-impact Barents Sea campaign in 2018
| License |
Prospect name |
Operator |
Aker BP share |
Pre-drill mmboe* |
Time |
| JS Unit |
Tonjer |
Statoil |
11,6% |
Dry |
Q1 |
| PL533 |
Filicudi |
Lundin |
35% |
Discovery |
Q1 |
| PL492 |
Gohta (NE) |
Lundin |
60% |
Dry |
Q1 |
| PL150B |
Volund West |
Aker BP |
65% |
Dry |
Q2 |
| PL677 |
Hyrokkin |
Aker BP |
60% |
Dry |
Q3 |
| PL442 |
Nordfjellet/Delta |
Aker BP |
90% |
Dry/App. |
Q3 |
| PL048G |
Central 3 |
Statoil |
3,3% |
8 - 21 |
Q4 |
| PL533 |
Hufsa |
Lundin |
35% |
186 – 403 |
Q4 |
| PL533 |
Hurri |
Lundin |
35% |
40 – 360 |
Q4 |
OUTLOOK Closing remarks
Efficient and safe operations Deliver PDO on Snadd, Valhall Flank West and Storklakken before year-end Stepping up exploration activity Pursue selective growth opportunities Relentless focus on cost reductions and productivity gains Mature projects to below 35 USD/boe break-even Improve Grow Execute Safety