Det norske oljeselskap ASA
17 March 2015, London Karl Johnny Hersvik, CEO Alexander Krane, CFO
DET NORSKE Company snapshot
- Fully-fledged E&P company with ~500 employees with sole focus on the Norwegian Continental Shelf
- Holds 79 licenses, whereas 35 as operator
P50 reserves at year-end 2014 of 206 mmboe
- Including Sverdrup: approximately 500 mmboe
- 2014 production of 66.6 mboepd
- Major ongoing development projects
- Ivar Aasen and Johan Sverdrup fields to secure future production growth
- Enterprise value: USD ~3.0 billion
DET NORSKE
Investment considerations
- Strong current production base and operational cash flow
- Assets in portfolio have capacity to lift oil production above 100,000 boepd after 2020
- World-class project portfolio with very low break even oil price levels
- Significant free cash flow from 2020 onwards as Johan Sverdrup is brought on stream
- Work ongoing to optimize long-term capital structure
Our assets
PRODUCTION AND DEVELOPMENTS Concentrated in two core areas
Utsira High Greater Alvheim area
RESERVES Year-end 2014 certified reserves of 206 mmboe
Proven & probable reserves (P50), end 2014 Development in P50 reserves (mmboe)
PRODUCTION GROWTH
Developments to secure cash flow for decades
- 2015 production guidance of 58-63 mboepd
- Production cost of USD 8-10/boe
Low breakeven cost development projects
- Ivar Aasen to start production in 2016
- Johan Sverdrup to start production in 2019
- Several profitable projects in the Alvheim area
- Reserve base1 could deliver after-tax operating cash flow in excess of 5 USDbn2 to Det norske in the period 2020 to 2025
2) Based on a realised price of 80 USD/boe, operating cost of 12 per barrel, cash tax rate of 60% and average production of 90 mboepd
1) Excluding upsides
ALVHEIM AREA (65%) The main production asset
BØYLA (65%) Bøyla production commenced in January
- 19 January, first oil flowed from the Bøyla field to the Alvheim FPSO (28 km) – on schedule
- Hooked up with no shut-down on the Alvheim FPSO
- The first well has produced around 18,000 boepd (gross) in its first two months of production
- The second well will be completed in Q2
- Reserves estimated to 15 mmboe (net)
- Peak production estimated to 13,000 boed (net)
Bøyla and Greater Alvheim area
ALVHEIM AREA DEVELOPMENTS (65%) Viper-Kobra and IOR projects
Viper-Kobra
- Recoverable resources of approx. 9 mmboe
- 90% is oil
- Estimated average rate of 7 500 boepd (gross)
- Development project commenced
- Subsea tie back to the existing Volund manifold via a new extension manifold
- Development costs estimated at approx. NOK 1.8 billion (gross)
Alvheim IOR Projects
- East Kameleon L4
- Production to commence in Q2 2015
- BoaKam North
- To be completed in Q3 2015
- Kneler K6
- Drilling to commence in Q3 '15, completed in 2016
Viper-Kobra and infill wells
IVAR AASEN (~35%*) Aasen development on track
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 Concept selection FEED studies PDO approval Unitisation Agreement Construction of jacket Construction of topside Construction of LQ Maersk Interceptor to Norway Drilling of geo-pilots Jacket lifted into place Drilling of production wells Topside to leave SMOE yard Installation of topside Installation of living quarters Hook-up and commissioning Production start-up
Overview
- Ivar Aasen was discovered in 2008
- Det norske is operator (34.8% working interest)
- Partners are Statoil (41.5%), Bayergas (12.3%), Wintershall (6.5%), VNG (3.0%), Lundin (1.4%) and OMV (0.6%)
- First oil is expected in Q4 2016
- Ivar Aasen contains ~ 200 mmboe, including Hanz
- 71 mmboe net to Det norske
- PDO for Ivar Aasen was approved on May 21, 2013
- Gross investments in Ivar Aasen, including Hanz, are estimated at NOK 27.4bn (nominal)
IVAR AASEN (~35%*) Jacket to sail to Norway in Q1/Q2
Jacket completed below budget
- Jacket completed in January 2015, on time and below budget with no major incidents
- Jacket will sail from Sardinia to Norway in Q1/Q2
- Jacket to be installed in Q2 2015
IVAR AASEN (~35%*) Drilling of first geo-pilot in line with expectations
Excellent performance**
* 34.78% in PL 01B/242/457, 35% in Hanz PL 028B ** Source: Rushmore Benchmark data provided by permission of Det norske
IVAR AASEN (~35%*) Construction of topsides 50% completed
Construction on schedule
- Stacking of intermediate deck 30 January
- 90% 3D model review completed.
- Stacking of weather deck expected end of March
- Installations of major equipments
JOHAN SVERDRUP (11.8933%, preliminary WI) A game-changing development project
Recoverable reserves of 1.7-3.0 billion boe
- ~80% to be extracted from first phase investments
- Break-even oil price below USD 40/boe
- CAPEX of NOK 117 billion for the first phase, and an estimated NOK 170-220 billion for all phases (2015 value)
- Production to commence in Q4 2019
- PDO submitted 13 February 2015, contracts are now being awarded
JOHAN SVERDRUP (11.8933%, preliminary WI) Det norske did not sign the unit agreement
- Ownership interests in Johan Sverdrup should be distributed according to a combination of volume and value
- The proposal from the operator did not reflect the underlying value in the various licenses in the Johan Sverdrup field
- Det norske could therefore not sign the proposed unitization agreement
Det norske could not sign the agreement
- The other partners have asked the Ministry of Petroleum and Energy to conclude on the unitization
- Until then, Statoil's proposal will be used as a basis, awarding Det norske with a 11.8933 per cent interest in Johan Sverdrup
EXPLORATION Working to revamp our strategy
- Re-assessing the current exploration inventory
- Assessing prospectivity in all exploration areas
- Step-up in seismic processing
- Assessing the 23rd licensing round's value potential
- Evaluating high-impact and value accretive targets
- Revamping the exploration strategy and optimizing the portfolio
- Development of potential new core areas
- Business intelligence efforts
- 2015 exploration expenditures of USD 115-125m
Key ongoing activities 2015 drilling schedule
| License |
Prospect |
Share |
mmboe |
Rig |
Timing |
PL 272/035 |
Krafla North & Main |
25 % |
- |
Transocean Leader |
Q4 14/Q1 15 |
| PL 001B |
Løvstakken |
35% |
- |
Maersk Interceptor |
Q1 15 |
| PL 627 |
Skirne East |
20 % |
50-171 |
Leiv Eiriksson |
Q2 15 |
| Gina Krog |
East 3 |
3.3 % |
27-82 |
TBC |
TBC |
| PL 672 |
Snømus |
25 % |
14-94 |
Maersk Giant |
Q2 15 |
Financials & funding
FINANCIALS & FUNDING Liquidity and balance sheet position
| Headline figures end 2014 |
|
Debt instruments |
| Cash position (USDm) |
296 |
|
| Bank debt (USDm) |
2,037 |
|
| Bonds (USDm) |
253 |
|
Net interest-bearing debt (USDm) |
1,994 |
|
| Cash and undrawn credit (USDm) |
896 |
|
Net debt / EBITDAX (12m rolling) |
1.0x |
|
| EBITDA / Interest expense (12m rolling) |
13.0x |
|
| Equity ratio (adj.) |
15.5% |
|
USD 3.0 billion RBL facility
- Drawn USD 2.1 billion at year-end, borrowing base availability of USD 2.7 billion at year end
- Borrowing base only partially affected by oil price fluctuations
- Johan Sverdrup included in borrowing base with a USD/boe multiple
- Fiscal regime softens impact as historical tax balances are not sensitive to oil price changes
DETNOR02 (2013/2020) NOK 1.9 billion bond
Work ongoing to address certain adjustments to the loan agreement
FINANCIALS & FUNDING Optimization of long-term capital structure
- Challenging macro environment
- Working to increase our financial flexibility and robustness by optimizing our capital structure
- Strong support from the bank syndicate
- Constructive dialogue with banks and stakeholders
- Confident that we will be able to fund our planned developments
FINANCIALS Financial risk management
- Det norske closely monitors its risk exposure and assesses risk-reducing measures
- Alvheim Loss of Production Insurance in place
- Hedging program initiated
- Collars secured for USD/NOK exposure
- Commodity hedge program ongoing
Commodity hedge program |
20151 |
2016 |
Put option price |
55 USD/bbl |
55 USD/bbl |
Production volume hedged |
~15% |
~10% |
Target hedge volume |
~30%2 |
~20% |
1) From March onwards
2) Corresponding to 100% hedge of after-tax cash flow, per the Norwegian fiscal regime
CAPEX GUIDANCE 2015 investment estimate: USD 950-1,000 million
Ivar Aasen
- Drilling of geo-pilots, construction of topsides and living quarters, misc. project costs
- Alvheim area
- Alvheim: Three infill wells
- Volund: LLI's for two planned infill wells
- Bøyla: Completion of third development well
- Viper-Kobra: Manufacturing new subsea manifold, preparations for 2016 drilling campaign
Johan Sverdrup
- Award of major contracts and start detailed engineering and procurement.
- Concept studies future phases
- Other
- Gina Krog, Utsira pipelines, IT, misc.
Outlook & priorities
OUTLOOK Cost efficiency programme
- Cost efficiency programme initiated as a response to challenging market environment – expenditure reductions starting to be realized
- Expenditures to be reduced by USD 100+ mill for 2015
- Top management to run and own process
- To be concluded by the summer of 2015
- Continue to improve supply chain and optimize processes going forward
- Take advantage of the adverse market environment where we can
2015 PRIORITIES Drive execution and build optionality
Drive execution
- Deliver Ivar Aasen
- Maximise value from the Alvheim area
- Optimize Johan Sverdrup execution and unitisation
Build optionality
- Continue to optimize the capital structure
- Deliver on cost efficiency
- Long-term reserve replacement strategy
Q & A
Appendix
FINANCIALS Statement of income
| Income statement (USD mill) |
Q4 2014 |
Q4 2013 |
FY 2014 |
| Revenues |
346 |
43 |
464 |
| Production costs |
44 |
17 |
67 |
Payroll and payroll-related expenses |
(10) |
1 |
(17) |
Other operating expenses |
23 |
1 |
49 |
| EBITDAX |
289 |
25 |
365 |
| Exploration expenses |
50 |
93 |
158 |
| EBITDA |
239 |
(68) |
208 |
| Depreciation |
104 |
21 |
160 |
| Impairment losses |
319 |
112 |
346 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) |
(184) |
(201) |
(299) |
Net financial items |
(13) |
18 |
(77) |
| Profit/loss before taxes |
(197) |
(219) |
(376) |
| Tax (+) / Tax income (-) |
90 |
(163) |
(96) |
| Net profit/loss |
(287) |
(56) |
(279) |
| EPS |
(1.42) |
(0.40) |
(1.68) |
FINANCIALS Statement of financial position
Assets (USD mill) |
31.12.14 |
31.12.13 |
Equity and Liabilities (USD mill) |
31.12.14 |
31.12.13 |
| Goodwill |
1,187 |
53 |
Equity |
652 |
524 |
Other intangible assets |
940 |
444 |
Other provisions for liabilities incl. P&A (long) |
503 |
155 |
Property, plant and equipment |
2,549 |
437 |
Deferred tax |
1,286 |
- |
Calculated tax receivables (long) |
- |
47 |
Bonds |
253 |
407 |
| Deferred tax asset |
- |
104 |
Bank debt |
2,037 |
335 |
| Receivables and other assets |
412 |
135 |
Exploration facility |
- |
79 |
Calculated tax receivables (short) |
- |
232 |
Other current liabilities incl. P&A (short) |
464 |
233 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
296 |
281 |
Tax payable |
189 |
- |
Total Assets |
5,384 |
1,733 |
Total Equity and Liabilities |
5,384 |
1,733 |
FINANCIALS Statement of cash flow Q4 2014
| Condensed statement of cash flows Q4-2014 |
USDm |
| Pre-tax profit |
(197) |
| Taxes paid |
(109) |
| Tax refund |
191 |
| DD&A + Impairment |
423 |
| Δ W/C and other |
(13) |
| Net cash from operations |
295 |
| Investments in fixed assets |
(255) |
| Purchase/sale fixed assets |
(1 514) |
Capitalised exploration / Other |
(26) |
| Net cash from investments |
(1 794) |
| Drawn on RBL |
2 650 |
Repayment bank debt |
(1 132) |
| Repayment bond debt |
(88) |
| Transaction cost |
(67) |
| Net cash from financing |
1 363 |
| Beginning cash (30.09.2014) |
445 |
| Exchange rate differences |
(12) |
| End cash (31.12.2014) |
296 |
- One tax payment in December and tax refund for 2013 exploration activity disbursed in Q4-2014
- Investments of USD 255 million in the quarter
- Cleaner debt structure at year-end consisting of RBL and DETNOR02 bond only
- Repaid RCF in full (420 USDm)
- Repaid DETNOR01 (88 USDm)
- Repaid exploration facility (162 USDm)
- Reduced drawn amount on RBL (550 USDm)
- Year-end cash consisted of about 50% USD, 50% in other currencies
OUTLOOK 2015 guidance
| Financials |
|
|
| CAPEX |
USD 950-1,000 million |
|
| EXPEX |
USD 115-125 million |
|
Production cost per boe |
USD 8-10 per boe |
|
| Operations |
|
| ------------ |
-- |
| 2015 production |
58,000 – 63,000 boepd |
|
| Ivar Aasen start-up |
Q4 2016 |
|
| Ivar Aasen total CAPEX (gross) |
NOK 27.4 billion (nominal) |
|
Johan Sverdrup start-up |
Q4 2019 |
|
Johan Sverdrup Phase 1 CAPEX (gross) |
NOK 117 billion (2015 value) |
|