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AEDAS Homes S.A.

Investor Presentation Feb 25, 2020

1781_iss_2020-02-25_7dca2734-a2e4-4ed5-8f83-05fd493e08bb.pdf

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Full Year 2019 Results Presentation 26 February 2020

Disclaimer

By attending this presentation and/or by accepting this presentation you will be taken to have represented, warranted and undertaken that you have read and agree to comply with the contents of this disclaimer.

This presentation (the "Presentation") has been prepared by AEDAS Homes, S.A. (the "Company") and comprises slides for a corporate presentation to the market of the Company and its subsidiaries (the "Group"). For the purposes of this disclaimer, "Presentation" means this document, its contents or any part of it. This Presentation may not be copied, distributed, reproduced or passed on, directly or indirectly, in whole or in part, or disclosed by any recipient to any other person, for any purpose other than the aforementioned. This Presentation has not been independently verified and will not be updated. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein and nothing in this Presentation is, or shall be relied upon as, a promise or representation. None of the Company nor any of its employees, officers, directors, advisers, representatives, agents or affiliates shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise, whether direct or indirect, in contract, tort or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this Presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation.

This Presentation is for informational purposes only and is incomplete without reference to, and should be viewed solely in conjunction with, the Company's publicly available information and, if applicable, the oral briefing provided by the Company. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation are provided as at the date of the Presentation and are subject to verification, correction, completion and change without notice. In giving this Presentation, no obligation is undertaken to amend, correct or update this Presentation or to provide access to any additional information that may arise in connection with it is undertaken. Likewise, it is not the intention to provide, and you may not rely on these materials as providing, a complete or comprehensive analysis of the Company's financial or trading position or prospects.

This Presentation does not constitute investment, legal, accounting, regulatory, taxation or other advice and does not take into account your investment objectives or legal, accounting, regulatory, taxation or financial situation or particular needs. You are solely responsible for forming your own opinions and conclusions on such matters and for making your own independent assessment of the Company and the Group. You are solely responsible for seeking independent professional advice in relation to the Company and the Group. No responsibility or liability is accepted by any person for any of the information or for any action taken by you or any of your officers, employees, agents or associates on the basis of such information.

This Presentation contains financial information regarding the businesses and assets of the Company and the Group. Such financial information may not have been audited, reviewed or verified by any independent accounting firm. The inclusion of such financial information in this Presentation or any related presentation should not be regarded as a representation or warranty by the Company, its affiliates, advisors or representatives or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness of such information's portrayal of the financial condition or results of operations by the Company and the Group and should not be relied upon when making an investment decision. Certain financial and statistical information in this document has been subject to rounding off adjustments. Accordingly, the sum of certain data may not conform to the expressed total.

Certain statements in this Presentation may be forward-looking. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These include, among other factors, changing economic, business or other market conditions, changing political conditions and the prospects for growth anticipated by the Company's management. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Any forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation and based upon past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. No undue reliance should be placed in such forward-looking statements.

The market and industry data and forecasts that may be included in this Presentation were obtained from internal surveys, estimates, experts and studies, where appropriate as well as external market research, publicly available information and industry publications. The Company, its affiliates, directors, officers, advisors and employees have not independently verified the accuracy of any such market and industry data and forecasts and make no representations or warranties in relation thereto. Such data and forecasts are included herein for informational purposes only. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry or market data contained in this Presentation.

The distribution of this Presentation in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this presentation comes should inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions.

Neither this document nor any of the information contained herein constitutes or forms part of, and should not be construed as, an offer of purchase, sale or exchange, nor a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities, or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities of the Company in any jurisdiction, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision. Any purchase of or subscription for securities of the Company should be based solely on each investor's own analysis of all public information, the assessment of risk involved and its own determination of the suitability of any such investment. No reliance should be placed, and no decision should be based on this Presentation.

I Operational ramp-up 833 units delivered (80% of annual target) in 2019. Remaining built and sold units now have First Occupancy Permit and are currently being delivered.

III

Landbank of 15,426 units

Successful ongoing replenishment with new locations where demand and pricing II dynamics are attractive

Strong financials

32.7% gross margin Above expectations, reflecting strong cash generation IV Strategy & Outlook

Business Plan is on track Attractive shareholder Remuneration and Financial Policy approved by the BOD

Key highlights

01

Business as usual, strong operational profile

Business update

Business plan on track: Coverage ratios provide strong visibility

100% of 2019 target deliveries have First Occupancy Permits, all final units sold and currently being delivered

CONSTRUCTION DELIVERY
Development Municipality Total Project
Units
FCC1 # FCC FOP1 2019 Target
Delivery
Delivered
31 Dec 2019
Forecast
29 Feb 2020
Nou Eixample Mar Vilanova i la Geltrú 59 59 59 58 58
Galera Sun
Bay
Estepona 5 5 5 5 5
Brisas del Arenal Jávea 11 11 11 11 11
Hacienda del Mar 2 Alicante 4 4 4 4 4
Villas de Arco Norte Dos Hermanas 50 50 50 49 50
Jardines Hacienda Rosario Sevilla 78 78 78 77 77
Ramón y Cajal Sevilla 54 54 36 34 35
Villas de Arco Norte II Dos Hermanas 62 62 62 59 61
Jardines Hacienda Rosario Sevilla 63 63 60 55 57
Terrazas de Los Fresnos I Boadilla del Monte 30 30 30 30 30
Marina Real Denia 80 80 80 80 80
Merian Torrejón de Ardoz 10 10 10 9 9
Tasman Sant Just Desvern 30 30 30 29 30
Dampier Masnou 26 26 21 15 15
Humboldt Vilanova i la Geltrú 93 93 90 79 88
New Folies Andratx 41 41 35 34 35
Villas de Arco Norte III Dos Hermanas 27 27 24 12 20
Altos del Pilar Madrid 100 100 99 91 97
Ulloa Alcorcón 54 54 54 50 53
Torre Estronci 99 Hospitalet de Llobregat 55 55 54 45 51
Altos de La Reserva Boadilla del Monte 11 11 10 5 9
South Bay Las Mesas Estepona 47 20 12 0 11
Vanian
Gardens
Estepona 72 38 22 2 16
Cabot Madrid 28 28 28 0 4
Altos de Los Fresnos Boadilla del Monte 35 35 31 0 21
Escalonia I Las Rozas 60 60 60 0 43
TOTAL 1,185 1,124 1,055 833 970

Landbank & land acquisitions: 1,767 units acquired and access up to 1,465 units

Landbank1 = 15,426 units (5,592 units launched + 9,834 units in future developments)

Closed deals 1,259 units (€90m)

(1) FULLY PERMITTED LAND

(2) PROJECT LAND

RoFO 854 units

Call Options 611 units

Closed deals 508 units (€22.7m)

LAND INVESTMENT IN 2019

TOTAL 2019 = 3,232 units

NAV per share1 : 3.3% increase in 2019

(1) 2019 NAV per share calculation excludes 1,487,822 treasury stock shares. Total NAV by year-end Source: Savills and AEDAS Homes Financial Statements.

Gross Development Value Savills appraisal

Valuation drivers Dec 2018 Dec 2019 Variation % according to Savills 5.4%
GDV €/sqm 2,816 2,888 65 2.3%
ASP € thousands/unit 342 345 3 0.9% 2.0% 3.4%
GAV €/sqm 978 1,035 54 5.5%
IRR weighted by GDV 11.85% 11.39% (46 bps) - GDV ASP Pending

The two plots of land divested of by AEDAS Homes in 2019 were sold at 101% of Savills GAV

02

Robust results highlighting profitability and cash generation capacity

Full Year 2019 Financial Results

Consolidated P&L: sound EBITDA margin driven by tight cost control and high-end product mix

(€m) 2019 2018 Variation
(€ m1)
(%)
Home development revenues 295.6 65.6 230.0 351%
Land sales 15.9 14.2 1.7 -
REVENUES 311.5 79.8 231.7 290%
Cost
of Goods Sold
(209.7) (56.0) 153.7 274%
GROSS MARGIN 101.8 23.8 78.0 328%
margin
%
Gross
32
.7%
29
8%
-
Marketing and Sales commissions (18.3) (7.9) (10.4) 132%
Other expenses related to developments & Taxes (3.0) (2.5) (0.5) 20%
NET MARGIN 80.5 13.4 67.1 500%
margin
%
Net
25
8%
16
8%
,
-
Overheads (25.2) (19.5) (5.7) 29%
Other operating income & expenses 0.4 1.6 (1.2) 75%
Inventory Impairment losses /Gains 0.0 0.1 (0.1) 100%
EBITDA 55.7 (4.4) 60.2 -
margin
%
EBITDA
17.9% -5.5% -
Depreciation and Amortization (1.5) (0.4) (1.1) 275%
Financial Results (9.6) (3.3) (6.3) 190%
EBT 44.6 (8.1) 52.7 651%
Corporate tax (10.5) 12.0 (22.5) 188%
NET INCOME 34.1 3.9 30.2 774%
%
Net
Income
14.5% 4.8% -
Minority interests 2.5 1.4 1.1 78.6%
NET INCOME ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE PARENT COMPANY 31.6 2.5 29.1 1,164%
Variation
(€ m1) (%)
290%
328%
- bps
+290
500%
- bps
+900
-
- bps
+2
340
,
651%
774%
- bps
+970
1,164%

Consolidated pro-forma P&L (January to December 2019 with 1,055 deliveries)

(€m) 2019 Pro-Forma1 20192
REVENUES 406.5 311.5
Cost
of Goods Sold
(278.6) (209.7)
GROSS MARGIN 127.9 101.8
margin
%
Gross
31
5%
32
7%
Marketing and Sales commissions (20.6) (18.3)
Other expenses related to developments & Taxes (3.7) (3.0)
NET MARGIN 103.6 80.5
margin
%
Net
25
5%
25
8%
Overheads (25.2) (25.2)
Other operating income & expenses 0.4 0.4
Inventory Impairment losses /Gains (0.1) (0.1)
EBITDA 78.9 55.8
margin
%
EBITDA
19
4%
9%
17

Balance sheet

(€m) 31/12/2019 31/12/2018 Variation
(€m)
Variation
(%)
NON-
CURRENT ASSETS
37 27 10 37% 19% increase in inventories
Inventories 1,276 1,076 200 19% due to increase in
Trade and Other Receivables 49 42 7 17% construction activity and
completed housing units
Short Term Accruals 18 14 4 29% soon to be delivered.
Cash and Equivalents 149 103 48 44%
CURRENT ASSETS 1,492 1,235 257 21%
TOTAL ASSETS 1,529 1,262 272 22% Advances to
EQUITY 939 935 4 1% Completed
suppliers
product
1%
of
which
stock
Treasury
(31) (1) (30) - 7%
Long-Term Financial Borrowings 0 58 (58) - FY 2019
Other Long-Term Borrowings 2 1 1 100% €1,275m
Land
49%
Work in
NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES 2 59 (57) 97% Progress
43%
Provisions 9 1 8 800%
Short-Term Financial Borrowings 309 92 217 236%
Other Short-Term Borrowings 2 3 (1) 33%
Trade and other payables 268 172 96 56%
CURRENT LIABILITIES 588 268 320 119%
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 1,529 1,262 272 22%

Net financial debt amounted to €214.5m by 2019 year-end

(1) LTC: Calculated as Net Financial Debt divided by inventory carrying cost, excluding land prepayments (2) LTV: Calculated as Net Financial Debt divided by total GAV

(€m) December 2019 December 2018
(A) Developer secured loans 79.3 57.1
(B) Unsecured
debt
230.6 97.3
Corporate facility term loan 150.0 61.6
Commercial paper 78.0 34.0
Other financial debt 2.6 1.7
Gross Financial Debt (A+B) 309.9 156.2
(C) Unrestricted Cash 95.4 60.5
Net Financial Debt (A+B-C) 214.5 95.7
(D) Restricted Cash 53.3 42.5
Total Cash (C+D) 148.7 103.0
Deferred Land Payments (€m) 3.9 9.3
LTC1 17% 9%
LTV2 11% 5%
LTC1
including restricted cash
13% 4%
NFD/EBITDA 3.9x -
Average cost of debt 2.90% 2.44%

2019 Pro-Forma1 cash-flow generation

(€m) 2019 Pro-Forma1
EBITDA 78.9
(+) Cash recovered from land bank 86.2
(-) Land investments paid (109.2)
(-) Financials costs paid (6.0)
(-) Cash tax (2.0)
FUNDS FROM OPERATIONS 47.8
(-) Net WIP investments and developer loans disposals (91.5)
(-) Shares repurchase & dividends paid (30.6)
(-) Other company expenses 0.0
CHANGE IN NET DEBT (74.3)
  • (+) Cash recovered from land bank 86.2
  • (-) Land investments paid (109.2)
  • (-) Financials costs paid (6.0)

FUNDS FROM OPERATIONS 47.8

  • (-) Net WIP investments and developer loans disposals (91.5)
  • (-) Shares repurchase & dividends paid (30.6)
  • (-) Other company expenses 0.0

CHANGE IN NET DEBT (74.3)

03

Relevant corporate announcements

Changing fiscal year: Now running from 1st April to 31st March

Adapting fiscal year to business plan seasonality to maximize customer satisfaction

Shareholder Remuneration Policy

Expected 2020-23 Total Shareholder Remuneration of up to €1bn1

  • The Company's current share buy-back program is being scaled up from €50m to €150m.
  • The Company will pay a dividend of €1.00/per share out of 2020 results.
    • Dividends are to be paid semi-annually following the market presentations of first-half and full-year results (50% in each period).
  • Dividends will grow in line with the cash-flow generated by the Company during the 2020-2023 period.
    • The first interim dividend of €0.50/per share will take place in November 2020.
    • Ordinary dividend distribution could be complemented by extraordinary dividends and additional share buy-back programs.

19 AEDAS Homes FY 2019 Results 26 February 2020

Disciplined Financial and Investment Policy

Financial leverage is estimated to stand below 3x Net Financial Debt to EBITDA ratio.

Forecasted Net Financial Debt to EBITDA ≤ 3x

The company plans to invest more than €700m in land acquisitions between 2020 and 2023.

Closing remarks

2020 Prospects

Solid progress on sales and coverage ratios provide us with excellent visibility on the future performance of AEDAS Homes.

Competitive Shareholder Remuneration Policy, fully compatible with future business plans and corporate development.

Drivers of our business:

  • Demand: strong operational performance indicates sustainability of demand for AEDAS Homes projects.
  • Construction Costs: Moderate inflation of costs, expected to be partially offset by HPA.
  • Execution Risk: Hands-on approach and long-term relationships with major regional contractors in Spain allows us to minimize construction risks.

Appendix

On track to deliver 2017-2023 Business Plan

(1) Active units are all units which have entered design phase, up until they are delivered.

(2) Units under construction exclude delivered and completed units.

(3) Total completed units, yet to be delivered.

24 AEDAS Homes FY 2019 Results 26 February 2020

5,592 units on market at 2019 year end 1,2

(1) A Project is launched when marketing kicks off (2) Accumulated launches

Strong evolution of sales; 2,738 units in orderbook (€925m)

FY 2019

26 AEDAS Homes FY 2019 Results 26 February 2020

High visibility, with 91% of 2021 deliveries under construction1

Units under construction

Regional breakdown

Launches

Permits granted

Permit request maturity

Cash-Flow Statement

(€m) 31/12/2019 31/12/2018
(A)
Earnings Before Taxes
44.5 -8.1
(B) Adjustment to Profit/Losses 5.8 -6.2
(B1) Change in Trade Provisions 1.1 3.0
(B2) Change in Investment properties 1.6 -0.5
(B3) Financial cost / (income) 9.4 3.2
(B4) Other Income / (expense) -6.2 -11.9
(C) Change in Working Capital -164.3 -143.0
(C1) Inventories -169.9 -185.3
(C2) Trade and other receivables -8.6 10.1
(C3) Trade and other payables 14.2 33.1
(C4) Other operating cash flows 0.0 -0.9
(D) Net cash-flow from operating activities (A+B+C) -114.0 -157.3
(E) Net cash-flow from investment activities -12.7 -5.9
(F) Net cash-flow from financing activities 172.4 93.7
Net cash increase / (decrease) (D+E+F) 45.8 -69.5
Cash Beginning-of-Period 103.0 172.4
Cash End-of-Period 148.7 103.0
Of
which
unrestricted
Cash
95
4
60
5

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