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ABL Group — Investor Presentation 2019
Feb 28, 2019
3519_rns_2019-02-28_f80c4557-8793-4e83-89b3-7c9700855f02.pdf
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Aqualis ASA 2018 Q4 results February 28, 2019
aqualis.no
Disclaimer
- This Presentation has been produced by Aqualis ASA (the "Company" or "Aqualis ") solely for use at the presentation to investors and other stake holders and may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, to any other person. This presentation is strictly confidential, has not been reviewed or registered with any public authority or stock exchange, and may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, to any other person. To the best of the knowledge of the Company, the information contained in this Presentation is in all material respect in accordance with the facts as of the date hereof, and contains no material omissions likely to affect its importance. However, no representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and, accordingly, neither the Company nor any of its subsidiary companies or any such person's officers or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this Presentation. This Presentation contains information obtained from third parties. Such information has been accurately reproduced and, as far as the Company is aware and able to ascertain from the information published by that third party, no facts have been omitted that would render the reproduced information to be inaccurate or misleading.
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Agenda
1. Highlights David Wells CEO
-
Financial review Kim Boman CFO
-
Outlook David Wells
CEO
2018 Highlights Growth continues - Led by offshore renewables
4
Q4 2018 Highlights Growth continues - Led by offshore renewables
- Revenues of USD 9.8 million in Q4 2018 vs USD 8.9 million in Q4 2017
- EBITDA of USD 0.9 million in Q4 2018 vs USD 0.7 million in Q4 2017
- Adjusted EBIT of USD 0.9 million in Q4 2018 vs USD 0.6 million in Q4 2017
- Strong billing ratio1 of 84 % in Q4 2018
- Continued solid HSE performance and no lost time incidents (LTIs) during the quarter
- Robust financial position with cash balance of USD 5.5 million
- Offshore renewable business growing and increasingly important for group
- Strong operational performance for our new office in Taiwan
- Activity in offshore wind market is high and expanding globally
- The oil & gas market showing signs of recovery
- Order backlog up to USD 7.8 million with similar increase in pipeline of opportunities
New office opened in Perth, Australia
- Aqualis Offshore has established a new office in Perth, Western Australia, to support oil & gas and renewables developments in the Australasia region
- Aqualis Offshore will offer the full suite of the company's services including;
- Concept, FEED and basic design engineering
- Transportation & installation
- Marine consultancy and rig moving
- Dynamic positioning & critical systems
- Marine warranty and marine casualty surveys
- Construction supervision and rig inspection, preservation and reactivation
- Technical due diligence; risk consulting and renewables
Aqualis at a glance – A leading global energy consultancy
Aqualis Offshore – oil & gas focus
Development in revenues 1 (USDk)
(1) Unaudited pro forma figures. Includes revenues from Tristein AS from May 2014 and onwards
8
• Adjustment to
lines (rig inspection)
• Geographical expansion
E&P spending development
Break even oil price for oil majors Global offshore E&P spending
(1) Free cash flow break even oil price after capex and dividend
Source: Sparebank 1 Markets, Jan 2019 Source: Sparebank 1 Markets, Jan 2019
Rig market development
Working offshore rig count Rig contracting activity
Source: SpareBank 1 Markets & IHS Markit, Jan 2019 Source: SpareBank 1 Markets & IHS Markit, Jan 2019
Wind Turbine Installation Vessel – Construction supervision
- Aqualis completed the construction supervision of Ouyang Offshore's new-build self-elevating wind turbine installation vessel, OuYang 1, at Dayang Offshore Equipment yard in Jiangsu, China. The delivery ceremony was held in January 2019
- Construction supervision for Ouyang Offshore's second wind turbine installation vessel, OuYang 2, is ongoing
- A wind turbine installation vessel can rapidly raise its hull clear of the water to provide a stable platform for offshore construction and O&M works
Bahrain LNG Terminal Project – multi faceted loadout/marine installation operation completed
- Loadout of the 7200 MT topside took place in Thailand onto a smaller installation "Giant 5" barge
- Barge and topside piggy backed onto a large self propelled dry transportation HLV
- Topside and installation barge discharged offshore Bahrain
- Topside installed by floatover within shallower water terminal area
- Installation of the jacket, fabricated in South Korea, was engineered and managed by Aqualis in May 2018
FPSO P-76 – MWS, Naval Architecture and Marine Operations
- MWS for the integration of topsides to the FPSO P-76 at Techint Yard, Brazil
- Additional work included Naval Architecture and Marine Operations scopes, incl. stability manuals, and provision of Towmasters for the tow to Santos Basin
FPSO P-76 departed to the field in December 2018
Selected projects in Middle East
- Q4 2018 completion of MWS work on the Aramco field development jacket and deck loadouts in Dammam for SNP/Taqa
- Increased vessel inspection numbers and RMM client portfolio in KSA
- On going recruitment of new staff to our Bahrain, Doha and Dubai offices
OWC Provides Advisory Services Across the Market
Projects
Development, Engineering, Commercial, Technical & Project Management Support over Whole Lifecycle
Transactions
Technical Due Diligence Advisory
Business Intelligence
Market &Technology Studies & Strategy
Experience Snapshot In Some Segments
Of projects
27 GW (50 projects)
6.5 GW
5.1 GW
We have worked on many projects world wide since 2011
Due Diligence
We have undertaken peer reviews & TDD at many critical stages of projects
Geotech & engineering
We have experience of soil conditions world wide. We also optimise, reduce costs and reduce uncertainty of substructure concepts
Subsea cables
We design & evaluate risks of cable routes, determine or evaluate installation methodologies & advise on O&M & repair issues
Offshore substations
We can advise on specification, siting, procurement & construction of offshore & onshore transmission assets
Project management
We have realised full projects & support developers during preconstruction & construction
3 GW
19 GW
13 GW
Offshore Wind Consultants – offshore wind focus
(1) Unaudited pro forma figures
Global offshore wind market development
Offshore wind capacity development Comments
- Industry analyst expect the global offshore wind market to grow at 17% compound annual return from 2018 to 2025
- Strong growth both in Europe and in emerging markets. Europe's share of global offshore wind capacity expected to fall from 76% in 2018 to 62% in 2025
- China expected to constitute 21% of the global installed base in 2025
Source: SB1M June 2018, 4C offshore, WindEurope 2017
Project Management Consultancy
- The project:
- Confidential Taiwan Offshore Wind project
- c400 MW project
- Circa EUR 2.3 BN of CAPEX
- Jacket-foundation project in a highly seismic area
- Client: Confidential
- OWC Scope:
- We are embedded into the project team 16 roles including: EPC Director, Foundation Package Manager, Site Conditions Manager, Geotechnical Engineers, Risk Manager, Interface Manager, Transportation and Installation Team, GIS Engineer, Permitting/Environmental Support
- We are using its experience across Europe to advise the Client, help set up controls to understand risk, and reduce CAPEX/DEVEX
- Site Investigation (managed by OWC) completed in 2018
- Design/Certification process ongoing, as well as contract negotiation
- OWC brings deep OW experience, local regulatory knowledge and APAC supply chain knowledge (via Aqualis Offshore, group company)
Technical Due Diligence Assignment
- The Project:
- Confidential Taiwan Offshore Wind
- c650 MW project
- Circa EUR 2.3 BN of CAPEX
- Bid stake in the project is 49%
- Client: Confidential
- OWC Scope:
- Project Development & Construction: site suitability, WTGs, foundations & civil works, cables design & installation, project management, QA & certification, construction contracts, CAPEX, schedule, electrical design, grid connection, permitting/consenting/PPA & environmental
- O&M: availability, OPEX assumptions, O&M contracts & decomm
- EY/Production: review of 3rd party energy production forecasts, identify concerns, recommend base energy production assumptions, etc
- Financial model inputs
- OWC Approach:
- OWC put together an international expert team (utilising experts from their London, Hamburg and Taipei offices) for a shortened BO phase inc local OWC Taiwan consenting/PPA experts
- Adjusted the scope to include scenario modelling for contingency sizing estimating/challenging due to risks identified
Order backlog development
Order backlog (USDm) Highlights Q4 2018
- Order backlog at USD 7.8m
- Pipeline of future opportunities increasing, indicating that the low point in this cycle could be behind us
- Pipeline of work expected from call out contracts is positive and increasing, but visibility in our industry is limited and timing could be uncertain.
- Current focus is on supporting clients on dayto-day service operations - typically call-out contracts that are only included in backlog figures when reliable estimates are available
Staff level development
Staff level development1 Highlights Q4 2018
- Staff levels increased from last quarter
- Employment opportunities in Aqualis attractive in the job market
- Increase in number of own technical staff and number of subcontractors
- The use of subcontractors allows for a more flexible cost base whilst the short term outlook / position of the market is assessed
(1) Average full time equivalent in the quarter. Numbers include subcontractors on 100% utilization equivalent basis and excludes staff made temporary redundant
Stable performance with high billing ratio in Q4 2018 - Total technical staff (including subcontractors), billing ratio1 %
(1) Billing ratio for Technical Staff including subcontractors. Excludes management, business development, admin support staff and temporary redundancies. Figure calculated as billable hours / available hours. Available hours excludes paid absence (public holidays, time off in-lieu, compassionate leave, authorized annual leave) and unpaid absence (sabbatical and other unpaid leave).
Agenda
1. Highlights David Wells CEO
2. Financial review Kim Boman CFO
- Outlook David Wells CEO
Revenues and adjusted EBIT trend
Revenue LTM (USDm) Adjusted EBIT 1 LTM (USDm, %)
(1) Adjusted EBIT: Earnings before interest and taxes adjusted for goodwill impairments, share of net profit / (loss) from associates and impairment of loan to and investment in associates
Geographical split
Revenue split (USDm) Adjusted EBIT1 split (USDm)
• Regional revenue differences y-o-y for entities respectively in Middle East 33%, Far East 33%, Americas -18% and Europe -9% (note: OWC increased revenues with 56% y-o-y. OWC constitutes ~21% of group revenues in Q4 2018 and 17% in year 2018
2)
1) After allocation of group costs to entities. Corporate group costs that are not allocated to entities are included in «other»
2) Other excludes goodwill impairments, share of net profit / (loss) from associates and impairment of loan to and investment in associates
Income Statement
| Amounts in USD thousands | Q4 2018 | Q4 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 9,828 | 8,948 | 36,185 | 31,134 |
| Total revenues | 9,828 | 8,948 | 36,185 | 31,134 |
| Payroll and payroll related expenses | (4,043) | (3,864) | (15,682) | (15,324) |
| Other operating expenses | (4,893) | (4,424) | (17,981) | (13,951) |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment | (32) | (3,963) | (129) | (4,061) |
| Total operating expenses | (8,967) | (12,251) | (33,792) | (33,336) |
| Gain (loss) on disposal of interest in associates | - | (3,080) | 291 | (3,426) |
| Operating profit (loss) (EBIT) | 860 | (6,383) | 2,684 | (5,628) |
| Finance income | 118 | 1 9 |
167 | 7 1 |
| Net foreign exchange gain (loss) | 9 4 |
131 | 2 7 |
(776) |
| Profit (loss) before taxes | 1,073 | (6,233) | 2,878 | (6,333) |
| Income tax expenses | (259) | 3 | (456) | (144) |
| Profit (loss) after taxes | 814 | (6,230) | 2,422 | (6,477) |
| Financial ratios: | ||||
| Adjusted operating profit (loss) | 860 | 627 | 2,393 | 1,729 |
| EBITDA | 892 | 660 | 2,522 | 1,860 |
| Earnings per share (USD): basic and diluted | 0.02 | (0.15) | 0.06 | (0.15) |
- Revenues for Q4 2018 up 10% from Q4 2017
- EBITDA of USD 0.9 million
- Adjusted EBIT of USD 0.9 million
New IFRS 16 Leases effective from 1 January 2019
- Aqualis group will apply the new standard from its mandatory adoption date of 1 January 2019. The group intends to apply the simplified transition approach with no restatement of comparable periods
- The group expects to recognise right-of-use assets and lease liabilities of approximately USD 0.1 million on 1 January 2019
- The group expects that operating expenses will be reduced and EBITDA will increase by approximately USD 0.1 million for 2019 as a result of adopting the new standard
- Depreciation for 2019 will increase by approximately USD 0.06 million
- Interest expense for 2019 will increase by approximately USD 0.05 million
- Above amounts are preliminary estimates based on current lease contracts. The actual impact upon implementation may change as a result of changed interest rates, signing of new lease contracts and re-assessment of renewal options. The impact may also change if new information and guidance becomes known before the group presents its first consolidated financial statements under the new standard
Highlights Q4 2018 Working capital1
- Solid financial position with no interest bearing debt and USD 5.5m in cash
- Negative operational cash flow of USD 0.3 million
- Working capital of USD 8.1 million, up from USD 7.0 million in Q3 2018
- The working capital % will fluctuate during the year with regional mix, type of projects and milestone payments
(%)
(1) Working capital / average quarterly revenues last 2 quarters
Agenda
-
Highlights David Wells CEO
-
Financial review Kim Boman CFO
3. Outlook David Wells CEO
Outlook
- The O&G sector is expected to improve in 2019 as the markets gradually rebalance
- Revenues and adjusted EBIT margin expected to increase full year 2019 vs 2018 level1)
- The marine consultancy market in Middle East and Asia Pacific remains strong and growth in other regions expected
- Aqualis expects to gain market share, expand and develop new business lines
- The global offshore renewables market has a strengthening outlook with growth opportunities identified globally leading us to plan for further expansion
- Recruitment drive ongoing and job applications increasing
- Consolidation is needed in the marine and engineering industry, including consultancy, to mitigate oversupply, rationalize global operations and achieve better economies of scale
- Aqualis will continue to actively work on any value adding consolidation opportunities
Appendix
Alternative Performance Measures
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) issued guidelines on Alternative Performance Measures ("APMs") that came into force on 3 July 2016. The Company has defined and explained the purpose of the following APMs:
EBITDA
Management believes that "EBITDA" which excludes gain (loss) on disposal of interest in associates, depreciation, amortisation and impairments is a useful measure because it provides useful information regarding the Company's ability to fund capital expenditures and provides a helpful measure for comparing its operating performance with that of other companies. A reconciliation between reported operating profit (loss) (EBIT) and EBITDA is shown below. EBITDA may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures from other companies.
Adjusted operating profit (loss)
Management believes that "Adjusted operating profit (loss)" which excludes gain (loss) on disposal of interest in associates and impairments of goodwill is a useful measure because it provides an indication of the profitability of the Company's operating activities for the period without regard to significant events and/or decisions in the period that are expected to occur less frequently. A reconciliation between reported operating profit (loss) (EBIT) and adjusted operating profit (loss) is shown below.
Adjusted profit (loss) after taxes
Management believes that "Adjusted profit (loss) after taxes" which excludes gain (loss) on disposal of interest in associates and impairments of goodwill is a useful measure because it provides an indication of the profitability of the Company's operating activities for the period without regard to significant events and/or decisions in the period that are expected to occur less frequently. A reconciliation between reported profit (loss) after taxes and adjusted profit (loss) after taxes is shown below.
Order backlog
Order backlog is defined as the aggregate value of future work on signed customer contracts or letters of award. Aqualis' services are shifting towards "call out contracts" which are driven by day-to-day operational requirements. An estimate for backlog on "call out contacts" are only included in the order backlog when reliable estimates are available. Management believes that the order backlog is a useful measure in that it provides an indication of the amount of customer backlog and committed activity in the coming periods.
Working capital and working capital ratio
Working capital is a measure of the current capital tied up in operations. The amount of working capital will normally be dependent on the revenues earned over the past quarters. Working capital may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures from other companies. Working capital ratio provides an indication of the working capital tied up relative to the average quarterly revenue over the past two quarters.
Balance Sheet
| Amounts in USD thousands | 31.12.2018 | 31.12.2017 |
|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | ||
| Property, plant and equipment | 141 | 160 |
| Intangible assets | 12 864 | 13 063 |
| Deferred tax assets | 7 | 69 |
| Trade receivables | 8 289 | 7 886 |
| Other current assets | 3 878 | 3 033 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 5 454 | 9 709 |
| Total assets | 30 633 | 33 920 |
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | ||
| Equity | 25 555 | 28 451 |
| Deferred tax liability | 314 | 156 |
| Other non-current liabilities | 713 | 617 |
| Trade payables | 1 352 | 1 888 |
| Income tax payable | 159 | 74 |
| Other current liabilities | 2 540 | 2 734 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 30 633 | 33 920 |
| Financial ratios: | ||
| Net debt, USD thousands | (5 454) | (9 709) |
| Equity/Assets ratio, % | 83,4% | 83,9% |
Cash Flow
| Amounts in USD thousands | Q4 2018 | Q4 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cashflow | (304) | (44) | 312 | (262) |
| Investing cashflow | 7 | 1 7 |
214 | (39) |
| Financing cashflow | - | - | (4,674) | - |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | (297) | (27) | (4,148) | (301) |
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period | 5,814 | 9,753 | 9,709 | 9,910 |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | (297) | (27) | (4,148) | (301) |
| Effect of foreign exchange rate changes | (63) | (17) | (107) | 100 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period | 5,454 | 9,709 | 5,454 | 9,709 |
• Negative operating cash flow of USD 0.3 million due to increase in working capital
Top 20 shareholders
| # | Name | Shares | % | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gross Management AS | 7 367 996 | 17,4 | |||
| 2 | Carnegie Investment Bank AB | 2 453 386 | 5,8 | |||
| 3 | Tigerstaden AS | 1 886 663 | 4,5 | |||
| 4 | Danske Bank A/S | 1 702 046 | 4,0 | |||
| 5 | Mp Pensjon PK | 1 463 128 | 3,5 | |||
| 6 | Lgt Bank AG | 1 402 923 | 3,3 | |||
| 7 | Oma Invest AS | 1 400 000 | 3,3 | |||
| 8 | Saxo Bank A/S | 1 264 743 | 3,0 | |||
| 9 | Nordnet Bank AB | 1 238 872 | 2,9 | |||
| 10 | Badreddin Diab | 1 001 302 | 2,4 | |||
| 11 | Dnb Nor Markets, Aksjehand/Analyse | 971 735 | 2,3 | |||
| 12 | Philip Alan Lenox | 830 583 | 2,0 | |||
| 13 | Magne Gislerød | 800 000 | 1,9 | |||
| 14 | Acme Capital AS | 637 500 | 1,5 | |||
| 15 | Six Sis AG | 631 192 | 1,5 | |||
| 16 | Alsto Consultancy Ltd | 598 122 | 1,4 | |||
| 17 | Andreas Theofanatos | 512 188 | 1,2 | |||
| 18 | Ian Dennis Bonnon | 508 260 | 1,2 | |||
| 19 | Kula Invest AS | 504 362 | 1,2 | |||
| 20 | Kim Magnus Boman | 500 000 | 1,2 | |||
| Top 20 shareholders | 27 675 001 | 65,4 | ||||
| Source: VPS, 13.02.2019 |