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ABL Group Investor Presentation 2019

Aug 29, 2019

3519_rns_2019-08-29_37bc47c4-0a79-4639-80a4-d638a68a2306.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Management presentation - Business streams Sparebank 1 Markets August 29, 2019

aqualisbraemar.com

Introduction

The track record of the Aqualis founding team

  • Revenues (GBPm / USDm)

Relations to insurance industry key for AqualisBraemar

AqualisBraemar's role

Managing insurance loss events

  • Adjusting of losses
  • Marine surveys

Insurance approvals

  • Rig moves
  • Complex offshore transportation
  • Offshore renewables

AqualisBraemar can act as the conducting and/or the approving party

  • Servicing all needs in value chain

  • What do we do and our clients

(1): Based on internal figures and management's best estimate

  • The offshore wind experience we bring

30 GW >55 projects

10 GW

6 GW

Of projects We have worked on projects world wide since 2011

Consultancy & TDD

Consultancy & TDD for a

We have undertaken

number of projects

21 GW

14 GW

Geotech & engineering

We have experience of soil conditions world wide. We also optimise, reduce costs and reduce uncertainty of substructure concepts

Subsea cables

We design & evaluate risks of cable routes, determine or evaluate installation methodologies & advise on O&M & repair issues

Project management

We have realised full projects & support developers during preconstruction & construction

3 GW

Offshore substations

We can advise on specification, siting, procurement & construction of offshore & onshore transmission assets

Offshore renewables market

  • Offshore wind market growing at a rapid pace

Cumulative capacity (MW)1 Project pipeline (MW) – Ex China1

Offshore renewables market

  • Moving from Europe base to become a global industry

Projects commenced, 2000-2015 (GW) Projects commenced, 2016-2025 (GW)

Offshore renewables market

  • More wind farm developers and owners entering market

Installed capacity by owner Market share, Top developers1

  • Project Management Services (Taiwan)

The project:

  • Confidential Taiwan Offshore Wind project
  • c400 MW project
  • Jacket-foundation project in a highly seismic area

Client: Confidential

OWC Scope:

  • We are embedded into the project team 18 roles including: EPC Director, Foundation Package Manager, Site Conditions Manager, Geotechnical Engineers, Risk Manager, Interface Manager, Transportation and Installation Team, GIS Engineer, Permitting/Environmental Support
  • We are using its experience across Europe to advise the Client, help set up controls to understand risk, and reduce CAPEX/DEVEX
  • Site Investigation (managed by OWC) completed in 2018
  • Design/Certification process ongoing, as well as contract negotiation
  • OWC brings deep OW experience, local regulatory knowledge and APAC supply chain knowledge (via AqualisBraemar, group company)

  • Technical Due Dilligence (Taiwan)

The Project:

  • Confidential Taiwan Offshore Wind
  • c650 MW project
  • Bid stake in the project is 49%

Client: Confidential

OWC Scope:

  • Project Development & Construction
  • O&M
  • EY/Production
  • Financial model inputs

OWC Approach:

  • OWC put together an international expert team (utilising experts from their London, Hamburg and Taipei offices) for a shortened BO phase including local OWC Taiwan consenting/PPA experts
  • Adjusted the scope to include scenario modelling for contingency sizing estimating/challenging due to risks identified

- Engineering & Project Management Consultancy (UK)

The project:

  • SPR's East Anglia ONE project
  • 102 X 7- MW WTGs (714 MW project)
  • Round 3 project, part of the 7.2 GW East Anglia Zone

OWC Scope:

  • Involved deeply with engineering & project management since 2013 (& ongoing) including the following assignments & roles:
  • Geotechnical & Structural Engineering (optimised & saved many £m DEVEX)
  • Cable route design
  • Management of the onshore & offshore transmission package
  • Construction Readiness Evaluation prior to offshore works
  • Led the development of the O&M readiness workstream
  • Met mast decommissioning
  • PMC roles in the project include: Senior Foundation Project Manager, Fabrication Manager & Inspectors (Coating & Welding), Onshore Sub-Station Supply & Installation Manager, Offshore Installation Manager, Onshore Electrical Site Manager, Environmental Advisor, HDD Construction Manager, Export Cable Installation Rep, onshore route administrators, Risk Manager

Client: Iberdrola are a Spanish public multinational electric utility company covering four continents.

ScottishPower Renewables (SPR) is their UK utility, which develops and operates onshore & offshore wind projects in the UK.

OWC have worked with SPR/Iberdrola since its founding in 2011.

- Key financials OWC

Unaudited pro forma figures

USD'000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTM
Revenue 2
211
,
2
432
,
2
823
,
4
426
,
6
081
,
8
144
,
EBITDA 294 111 72 459 240 867
1)
Net
working
capital("NWC")
416 243 555 1
435
,
1
913
,
1
491
,
Unbilled
(days)
revenue
47 18 30 26 77 57
(days)
Receivables
outstanding
60 26 58 71 42 36
2)
NWC
/
Revenue
(%)
19% 10% 20% 32% 31% 18%

LTM analysis is based on June 2019.

(1) Net working capital includes trade receivables and other current assets, trade payables, current tax payable and other current liabilities :

(2) Net working capital 30th June / Revenues last 12 months

- The Marine surveyors' role in the casualty process

Marine Casualty process

Casualty Instruction Survey Report Repairs Settlement

Vessel suffers
casualty

Owners
typically notify
their
Insurance
broker or P&I
Club

Brokers notify
Insurers

Underwriters
or P&I Club
instruct a
surveyor

Surveyor
attends the
vessel

Conducts their
investigation
based on the
nature of loss
and the basis
of instruction

Preliminary
report sent to
the instructing
party

Advice
offered on
repair /
salvage
options

Owner
undertakes
repairs -
informs
surveyor

Surveyors
attend to
witness repairs
and assess
costs

Surveyors writes
a full report on
completion of
repairs, reviews
invoices &
provides
comments or
further advice as
required.
Machinery
damage
Groundings Fires and
explosions
Collisions
/ Allisions
Heavy weather Capsize / sinking

  • Worldwide technical expertise in marine and energy casualties

Services provided Comments

% of revenues last 12 months (1)

  • Services offered worldwide by experienced marine engineers, master mariners + naval architects and scientists
  • Strong market position within Hull & Machinery ("H&M") which represent the largest share of services provided

(1): Based on internal figures and management's best estimate

(2) Protection & Indemnity

  • Our customers

% of revenues last 12 months (instructing party) (1) % of instruction by vessel type last 12 months (1)

Client mix Vessels services

(1): Based on internal figures and management's best estimate

  • Key market / macro drivers to observe

Global fleet development Comments

  • The global shipping fleet has been in continuous growth since the 1980s
  • Relatively stable growth last 5 years
  • Short term: Tanker fleet growth trending up, bulkers stable, containership growth trending down

  • Key market / macro drivers to observe

Passenger fleet Superyachts

  • 7,652 internationally registered passenger ships over 500GT
  • Including 1,962 cruise and 3,045 ferries
  • 6.5% of world fleet (data from 2017)

  • 5,500 superyachts worldwide over 30m in length

  • World fleet still growing, especially the larger yachts

Business stream Marine -CARNIVAL VISTA (H&M Project)

  • CARNIVAL VISTA suffered Azipod damage and required removal from service and drydocking to conduct repairs.
  • Our marine team attended and assisted owners in repair planning. (Our offshore team was involved in the MWS)

ME Tankers (H&M War Risk Projects)

  • Several recent tanker attacks in the Middle East
  • Instructions received from War Risk H&M and P&I underwriters
  • Scope of work included provision of an SCR (Special Casualty Representative), salvage experts, advice on repairs and recycling options including relocation tows

  • Key trends in our market

  • Total losses continue to decline

  • Serious losses continue to increase
  • Insurance market hardening premium rates increasing
  • Consolidation in insurance market
  • Deductibles no longer increasing but have done so prior to hardening market
  • World fleet growth at 3% down from 9% in 2010 but still in positive growth
  • Passenger, LNG and yacht fleets increasing at a higher growth rate
  • World trade volume issues and laid up vessels
  • Introduction of IMO 2020 legislations
  • Low oil price leading to increased movement of goods

- Key financials Marine

Unaudited figures
GBP
'000
(proforma)
2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 LTM
Revenue 12
866
,
13
774
,
14
569
,
14
254
,
14
276
,
14
928
,
(adjusted)
EBITDA
769 599 (872) 531 (101) 456
1)
capital("NWC")
Net
working
147
5
,
6
953
,
6
210
,
366
5
,
6
665
,
183
7
,
Unbilled
(days)
revenue
52 61 65 68 73 80
Receivables
outstanding
(days)
102 117 100 79 91 87
2)
NWC
(%)
Revenue
vs
40% 50% 43% 38% 47% 48%

Historic figures are based on proforma adjusted results for the calendar year ending 28 February. LTM analysis is based on June 2019.

(1) Net working capital includes trade receivables and other current assets, trade payables, current tax payable and other current liabilities :

(2) Net working capital 30th June / Revenues last 12 months

- Worldwide technical expertise in marine and energy casualties

  • AqualisBraemar's adjusting service specialises in the investigation and resolution of insurance claims and commercial disputes.
  • Key Services
    • Loss Adjusting
    • Expert Witness
    • Dispute resolution
    • Risk Assessment
  • Nature of Incidents
    • Property Damage
    • Control of Well
    • Construction All Risk
    • Liability
    • Pollution
    • Business Interruption / Loss of Hire

Services Sectors covered

  • Nature of claims

Services provided Comments

  • (1): Based on internal figures and management's best estimate
  • (2): «Construction all risk»

  • Global diversified business revenue evenly split across all regions

  • Onshore and offshore property damage («PD») represent the main service provided

  • Our customers

(1): Based on internal figures and management's best estimate

  • Key market / macro drivers to observe

Upstream vs Downstream losses

Source - Willis Energy Loss database, August 2019 Note: 2019 figures are too early to be meaningful

  • Large Refinery Fire (Canada)

  • 350k bbls/day synthetic crude oil

  • Leak of Naptha, vapour release
  • Resulting fire and explosion
  • Acting as loss adjuster

- Offshore Pipeline Construction (GoM)

  • Severe weather, loss of vessel position. Unplanned abandonment of Pipeline. Failure of Pipe Recovery Tool
  • 685 km natural gas pipeline, offshore GoM

• Acting as loss adjuster. Complex cause investigation

  • Pollution Liability (Canada)

  • ~225 m3 of oil spilled into river

  • Multiple stakeholders impacted
  • Peak work force of ~1100 people during recovery efforts
  • Acting as loss adjuster

- Key financials

Unaudited figures
(proforma)
GBP
'000
2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 LTM
Revenue 9
041
,
9
473
,
10
410
,
9
599
,
9
572
,
8
894
,
(adjusted)
EBITDA
1
279
,
938 782 770 99 (280)
1)
Net
working
capital("NWC")
6
858
,
8
029
,
6
880
,
6
504
,
5
206
,
5
386
,
Unbilled
(days)
revenue
181 150 114 124 100 116
Receivables
outstanding
(days)
106 162 138 114 111 140
2)
Revenue
NWC
(%)
vs
76% 85% 66% 68% 54% 61%

Historic figures are based on proforma adjusted results for the calendar year ending 28 February. LTM analysis is based on June 2019.

(1) Net working capital includes trade receivables and other current assets, trade payables, current tax payable and other current liabilities :

(2) Net working capital 30th June / Revenues last 12 months

- Services offering cover lifecycle of offshore assets

Marine project / asset lifecycle

Engineering /
Project initiation
design phase
Project
Construction
procurement
Hook-up and
commissioning
Asset
De
management
commissioning
e
s
r
e
o
c
h
vi
s
r
Off
e
s
Engineering (niche
Construction yard
focus):
supervision:
Basic / conceptual design /
Site attendance on behalf of
FEED
owners, shipyards, financial
institutions, 3rd
parties
Modifications and upgrades of
drilling rigs / FPSOs / FSOs /
Conversions, upgrades & New
lift-boats
builds
Transportation & installation
Due diligence / compliancy;
analysis
financial community focus
Marine operations:
Transport and installation
services; "moving of offshore
assets"
Rig moving
Float-overs
Site attendance & procedure
management
Inspection & approvals:
Marine warranty services
Mooring analyses
Condition and suitability
surveys / audits
DP inspections and audits
Jack-up site assessments

Key competencies cover both offshore opex and capex cycles

- Offshore Service Offerings

Segment mainly driven by E&P investments (capex) Segment mainly driven by E&P operations (opex)

  • Regional revenue split

(1): Based on internal figures and management's best estimate

  • Service and client split

Service split Client split

(1): Based on internal figures and management's best estimate

Offshore Market

  • Key market drivers (E&P Spending)

Key statistics driving the oil and gas markets:

  • E&P spending is flat for the past 3 years and is less than half from its peak between 2013 and 2014 and significantly lower than the previous 10 years prior to the peak period.
  • Only 235 subsea trees sanctioned in 2018 which is a increase from 175 in 2017.
  • 2012-2013 had a combined total of over 1,000 subsea trees. Require over 700 tree annually to meet future capacity.
  • Based on lead times, offshore activity takes place 2-3 years after a project is sanctioned.
  • Based on present projects sanctioned in recent years, we should hope to see a pick up in activity post 2020.

Offshore market

  • A small upward trend in offshore activity

Since the start of 2019 we have started to see a increase in rig activity, with increased utilisation and moderate increases in day rates. Contracting has also start to pick up, thus confirming the previous expectaion of increses production and E&P spending.

As AqualisBraemar operates in both CAPEX and OPEX related projects, this should start to filter through in day to day activity in marine operations as well as increased requirements for Marine Warranty Services.

Business Stream Offshore - Bahrain LNG Terminal Project

– Multi faceted loadout / marine installation operation completed

  • Loadout of the 7200 MT topside took place in Thailand onto a smaller installation "Giant 5" barge
  • Barge and topside piggy backed onto a large self propelled dry transportation HLV
  • Topside and installation barge discharged offshore Bahrain
  • Topside installed by floatover within shallower water terminal area
  • Installation of the jacket, fabricated in South Korea, was engineered and managed by Aqualis in May 2018

Business Stream Offshore - Dry Transportation – FPSO P-67 Transportation China to Brazil

  • MWS for the dry transportation of FPSO P-67 from China to Brasil and inshore mooring at Rio de Janeiro.
  • Largest ever cargo transported by a Heavy Transport Vessel at 80,000 MT and 288m length

Business Stream Offshore - Project Construction Supervision – Construction Supervision of WTIV OuYang 1 and 2

▪ Aqualis completed the construction supervision of Ouyang Offshore's new-build self-elevating wind turbine installation vessel, OuYang 1, at Dayang Offshore Equipment yard in Jiangsu, China.

▪ Construction supervision for Ouyang Offshore's second wind turbine installation vessel, OuYang 2, is ongoing and is expected to be delivered in Q1 2020.

Business Stream Offshore - Rig Moving Services – Market leader in offshore rig moving activities

  • AqualisBraemar are the market leader in jack up rig moving services for both towmaster attendance and Marine Warranty on over half the world's active fleet.
  • Cients include ONGC, Seadrill, Shelf Drilling, UMW, Noble Drilling, PV, Jindal, Aban, Saudi Aramco, Borr Drilling, COSL and others.

- Key financials

Unaudited proforma figures
---------------------------- -- --
OFFSHORE (AQUALIS +
BRAEMAR)
USD '000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTM
Revenue 56 589 56 531 39 328 35 608 38 207 36 648
(adjusted figures BTS)
EBITDA
7 357 1 834 (5 882) 1 580 619 (1 195)
1)
Net working capital("NWC")
7 492 10 582 7 434 9 279 10 376 10 772
Unbilled revenue (days) 24 26 24 23 21 33
Receivables outstanding
(days)
71 77 75 96 98 98
2)
Revenue vs NWC (%)
13 % 19 % 19 % 26 % 27 % 29 %

(1) Net working capital includes trade receivables and other current assets, trade payables, current tax payable and other current liabilities :

(2) Net working capital 30th June / Revenues last 12 months