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ABG Sundal Collier

Quarterly Report Oct 17, 2024

3518_rns_2024-10-17_028a4cd9-a5d6-4bb5-bc25-0fdc1adeca48.pdf

Quarterly Report

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Celebrating our 40th anniversary with one of the strongest third quarters ever Q3 revenues of NOK 392m (+10%) Q3 diluted EPS of NOK 0.09 (+29%) YTD revenues of NOK 1,305m (+12%) YTD diluted EPS of NOK 0.35 (+35%)

2024 Q3 INTERIM REPORT

CEO comments | Celebrating our 40th anniversary with one of the strongest third quarters ever

Following the quarter marking the 40th anniversary of our firm, I am very pleased to report one of the strongest third quarters ever. In what is a seasonally slow quarter, we saw robust activity in investment banking transactions and revenues coming close to the NOK 400m mark. This implies 10% growth in the quarter and 12% YTD, lifting our YTD EPS by 35%. This once again demonstrates the leverage of our business model.

The quarter demonstrated the breadth of our franchise, with solid contributions from all products and segments. I would particularly like to highlight our strong performance in Debt Capital Markets (DCM) and the growth in Brokerage and Research.

At the beginning of the year, we initiated a strategic update, reviewing our corporate strategy to ensure it aligns with our long-term objectives. Our mission is to enable companies and capital to grow and perform. This is our top priority as we have the clear ambition to be the obvious choice for clients and top talent in the industry. To enhance our services and increase efficiency, we have strengthened our Nordic integration through clearly defined pan-Nordic product and sector teams and streamlined coordination between sales and research.

While we aim to leverage our current infrastructure and platform, we will continue to invest judiciously in technology and make quality additions to our pool of talent. With such additions, we believe there is significant potential for profitable growth by filling gaps and increasing market share within our current core segments, broadening product offerings, extending market reach and successfully launching new ventures.

Jonas Ström, CEO

Key financial figures | YTD revenues of NOK 1,305m (+12%) and diluted EPS of NOK 0.35 (+35%)

Macro and market backdrop | Market driven by cautious optimism for a soft landing amid looming inflation and recession fears

  • Long-term interest rates in the US and Europe are falling
  • Volatility continued to decline after a spike at the beginning of the quarter, as the VIX again dropped below 20
  • S&P 500 was up 5.5% while MSCI Nordic was down 4.6% in the quarter

2021

2022

2023

2024

Market volumes | Continued strong momentum in DCM and increasing M&A activity. ECM primary volumes remain soft

1) Nordic primary DCM volumes (NOKbn)

2)

Nordic M&A transactions (#) Nordic primary ECM volumes (NOKbn 3) )

1) Source: Refinitv. Issuers listed on Nordic stock exchanges

2) Source: Stamdate. Corporate high yield, Nordic issuers

3) Source: Mergermarket. Nordic targets, announced transactions with financial advisors. Last quarter estimate reflecting a time-lag in Mergermaket deal registration

Corporate Financing | YTD revenues up 22% with several sizeable transactions closed across multiple sectors during the quarter

M&A and Advisory | Solid M&A quarter underpinned by the increase in deal count

M&A and Advisory revenues (NOKm)

Selected transactions
Sale of Kanari to Conscia Undisclosed TMT
Sale of Biowater
to Uniwater
Undisclosed Technology
Sale of Oppdal Skisenter
to
Alpinco
Undisclosed Real Estate
Sale of a majority stake in
Permian to Telemos
Capital
Undisclosed Financials
  • Almost in line with Q3 last year, which was exceptionally strong
  • Several transactions ongoing

Brokerage and Research | Return to growth in the quarter

Brokerage and Research revenues (NOKm)

  • Research revenues and secondary trading grew y-o-y, boosted by a strong performance in September across most markets
  • The trend in Q2, with improving risk appetite among both institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals, continued after the summer break
  • All in all, we are pleased with a return to growth, with Q3 revenues up 13% y-o-y

Operating costs | Cost increase primarily impacted by profitability-driven compensation model. Continued weakening of NOK inflating fixed cost base

▪ Continued increase in compensation costs (variable) due to our revenue- and profitability-driven compensation model. Average headcount YTD (333) down compared to the first 9 months of last year (343)

  • Non-compensation costs primarily up due to general cost inflation
  • YTD total fixed cost base inflated by ~NOK 13m due to the weakening NOK relative to last year
  • New business initiatives included in headcount and costs

Position | Celebrating 40 years of delivering value for clients and shareholders

Leading full-service supplier operating in the attractive Nordic investment banking market

Diversified and balanced business with consistent industry leading profitability1)

Strategy | Profitable growth leveraging our best-in-class platform

Priorities

Increase share of wallet within current core operations and markets

Deliver current and new core services to additional markets and client groups Secure successful launch of new ventures

Keep front staff share >80% Distribution of excess capital

Enablers

People

Attract, retain and develop top talent

Technology

Invest in- and utilise technology to improve offering and efficiency

Brand

Strengthen the ABGSC brand to support and fuel continued growth

Objectives

Minimum top 3 position across all key products

Increase revenue / head by >20%

Operating margin >25%

Purpose | Enable businesses and capital to grow and perform

Excellence

"We will outperform and provide best-in-class advice and execution" Dedication

"We work harder, and we are always there for our clients"

Persistence

"We never give up and can always be trusted to deliver"

Excellence. Always.

Closing remarks

  • One of the strongest third quarters ever
  • Balanced business mix with solid contribution from all business segments and product areas
  • Strategy to deliver meaningful profitable growth by increasing market share within current business, broadening product offerings, extending market reach, and successfully launching new ventures
  • Focusing on leveraging brand and infrastructure to further improve efficiency and increase operating margins

Financial statements and supplementary information

Consolidated income and cash flow statements

Condensed consolidated income statement (unaudited) Other comprehensive income

NOKm Q3 2024 Q3 2023 YTD 2024 YTD 2023 2023
Corporate Financing 161.4 122.0 531.0 435.6 580.0
M&A and Advisory 107.3 124.9 363.0 303.2 561.8
Brokerage and Research 123.6 109.5 411.1 422.4 565.0
Total revenues 392.3 356.4 1,305.2 1,161.3 1,706.7
Personnel costs -232.6 -212.7 -749.5 -677.0 -988.0
Other operating costs -74.1 -72.8 -235.2 -224.7 -309.4
Depreciation -22.0 -19.5 -65.1 -63.9 -83.9
Total operating costs -328.7 -304.9 -1,049.8 -965.6 -1,381.3
Operating profit 63.7 51.5 255.4 195.7 325.4
Net interest -0.8 -0.3 3.1 -0.7 0.7
Associates 0.3 -0.8 -1.4 -5.6 -5.4
Other -2.6 0.4 -2.8 -0.3 -0.8
Net financial result -3.1 -0.7 -1.1 -6.6 -5.6
Profit before tax 59.7 50.8 253.4 189.0 319.9
Taxes -14.8 -15.5 -64.1 -49.7 -82.5
Net profit 44.9 35.3 189.3 139.3 237.3
Profit / loss to non-controlling interests -0.2 0.6 -0.4 1.2 1.0
Profit / loss to owners of the parent 45.1 34.7 189.7 138.1 236.3
NOKm Q3 2024 Q3 2023 YTD 2024 YTD 2023 2023
Net profit 44.9 35.3 189.3 139.3 237.3
Items that may be reclassified to profit or loss
Exchange differences on translating foreign operations 10.2 -10.2 21.8 24.3 22.7
Hedging of investment in foreign operations -8.8 10.5 -20.8 -24.9 -20.7
Income tax relating to items that may be reclassified 2.2 -2.6 5.2 6.2 5.2
Total other comprehensive income 3.5 -2.3 6.2 5.6 7.2
Total comprehensive income for the period 48.4 33.0 195.4 144.9 244.5
Comprehensive income to non-controlling interests 0.2 0.4 -0.1 1.6 1.8
Comprehensive income to owners of the parent 48.2 32.5 195.5 143.3 242.8
Condensed cash flow statement
NOKm Q3 2024 Q3 2023 YTD 2024 YTD 2023 2023
Cash and cash equivalents - opening balance 541.7 571.4 525.7 832.0 832.0
Net cash flow from operating activities 168.0 -9.5 147.1 -107.6 140.9
Net cash flow from investing activities 0.0 3.5 -13.4 -9.8 -6.2
Net cash flow from financing activities -176.5 54.3 -126.2 -94.8 -440.9
Net change in cash and cash equivalents -8.4 48.4 7.5 -212.1 -306.2
Cash and cash equivalents - closing balance 533.2 619.8 533.2 619.8 525.7

Consolidated balance sheet

Consolidated balance sheet (unaudited)

NOKm 30/09/2024 30/09/2023 31/12/2023
Intangible assets 163.0 174.2 158.7
Financial non-current assets 66.6 63.9 65.3
Tangible assets 434.0 497.5 489.6
Total non-current assets 663.6 735.6 713.6
Receivables 4,756.6 3,097.7 2,669.7
Investments 35.8 52.6 14.2
Cash and bank deposits 533.2 619.8 525.7
Total current assets 5,325.7 3,770.1 3,209.6
Total assets 5,989.3 4,505.7 3,923.2
Paid-in capital 158.8 137.6 137.8
Retained earnings 764.0 721.6 821.9
Equity attributable to owners of the parent 922.8 859.2 959.7
Non controlling interests 11.6 11.6 11.7
Total equity 934.4 870.8 971.4
Long-term liabilities 425.8 479.4 433.3
Short-term interest bearing liabilities 168.8 332.2 2.9
Short-term liabilities 4,460.2 2,823.4 2,515.6
Total liabilities 5,054.8 3,634.9 2,951.8
Total equity and liabilities 5,989.3 4,505.7 3,923.2

Condensed statement of changes in equity

NOKm Q3 2024 Q3 2023 YTD 2024 YTD 2023 2023
Equity attributable to owners of the parent - opening balance 874.5 850.7 959.7 1,019.1 1,019.1
Comprehensive income to owners of the parent 48.2 32.5 195.5 143.3 242.8
Payment to shareholders 0.0 0.0 -260.3 -248.7 -248.7
New issuing of shares 0.0 0.0 20.8 4.2 4.2
Change in own shares 0.1 -24.0 7.0 -58.7 -57.7
Equity attributable to owners of the parent - closing balance 922.8 859.2 922.8 859.2 959.7
Equity attributable to non-controlling interests - opening balance 11.4 11.1 11.7 7.6 7.6
Comprehensive income to non-controlling interests 0.2 0.4 -0.1 1.6 1.8
Payment to shareholders 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Business combinations 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 2.4
Equity attributable to non-controlling interests - closing balance 11.6 11.6 11.6 11.6 11.7
Total equity - closing balance 934.4 870.8 934.4 870.8 971.4

Notes to the financial statements

1) Accounting principles

The quarterly report is prepared in accordance with IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting and International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) published by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) and all interpretations from the Financial Reporting Interpretations Committee (IFRIC), which have been endorsed by the European Commission for adoption within the EU. The quarterly report is prepared using the same principles as those used for the 2023 annual report. The quarterly report is unaudited.

2) Judgments, estimates and assumptions

The preparation of condensed consolidated interim financial statements in accordance with IFRS and the application of the chosen accounting policies require management to make judgments, estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, income and expenses. The estimates and associated assumptions are based on historical experience and various other factors that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances. Actual results may differ from these estimates. The estimates and underlying assumptions are reviewed on a continuous basis. Revisions to accounting estimates are recognised in the period in which the estimates are revised if the revision affects only that period, or in the period of the revision and future periods if the revision affects both current and future periods. When preparing these condensed consolidated interim financial statements, the significant judgments made by management in applying the Group's accounting policies and the key sources of estimate uncertainty were the same as those that applied to the consolidated financial statements as of the period ending 31 December 2023.

3) Risk and uncertainty

As described in ABGSC's annual report, ABGSC's total risk exposure is analysed and evaluated at the group level. Risk evaluations are integrated in all business activities both at the group and business unit levels, increasing ABGSC's ability to take advantage of business opportunities. There has not been any significant change in the risk exposure or the risks and uncertainties described in the annual report.

4) Related parties

There have not been any changes or transactions with any related parties that significantly impact the Group's financial position or results for the period.

5) Segment information

The group segments its business primarily on a product level as this provides the best understanding of the Group's integrated operation. The Group does not allocate profits or split the balance sheet per product. Revenues are also split at an overall geographical level. Segment information is presented on other pages of this report, including on the historical quarterly summary pages.

Cost ratios

Compensation Non-Compensation

Cost per head (NOKm) Total compensation/Revenue Non-compensation/Revenue

Shareholder matters | Share count and shareholder structure

Share count
Figures
in
thousands
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Q3
2024
Shares
outstanding
(period
end)
497
463
,
497
463
,
527
735
,
527
735
,
527
735
,
- Treasury
shares
(period
end)
9
549
,
8
649
,
7
109
,
7
159
,
7
059
,
+ Forward
outstanding
(period
end)
contracts
69
486
,
68
586
,
52
999
,
53
249
,
53
524
,
Diluted
shares
(period
end)
557
399
,
557
399
,
573
624
,
573
824
,
574
199
,
Shares
outstanding
(average)
497
463
,
497
463
,
501
163
,
527
735
,
527
735
,
- Treasury
shares
(average)
8
055
,
8
980
,
870
7
,
127
7
,
125
7
,
+ Forward
outstanding
(average)
contracts
69
337
,
68
916
,
71
866
,
53
131
,
53
532
,
Diluted
shares
(average)
558
746
,
557
399
,
565
159
,
573
739
,
574
142
,

Share transactions

During the quarter, ABGSC sold 800k shares on forward contracts to new partners. ABGSC purchased 425k shares from former partners at an average price of NOK 6.14 per share.

Shareholder structure

Shares
held
by
Directors
and
staff
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Q3
2024
Shares
Staff
/
Shares
held
by
Directors
and
outstanding
29% 29% 33% 32% 30%
Shares
and
fwd
held
by
Directors
and
Staff
/
Diluted
shares
contracts
38% 38% 39% 38% 37%
Shareholders
by
(shares
outstanding)
country
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Q3
2024
Norway 71% 72% 69% 69% 69%
Great
Britain
5% 4% 4% 4% 4%
USA 9% 8% 8% 8% 9%
Sweden 7% 8% 10% 10% 10%
Other 9% 8% 9% 9% 9%

Shareholder information

For more information about the ABGSC share and its largest shareholders, please visit the Investor Relations section on the ABGSC website (www.abgsc.com).

Shareholder matters | ABGSC sold a total of 800k shares to new partners and repurchased 425k shares from former partners in Q3

The Board currently has a mandate from the shareholders to acquire a number of ABGSC shares corresponding to approximately 10% of the share capital. The one-year mandate is valid until the end of June 2025.

Expiry
year
Forward
(1
000)
contracts
,
Forward
price
average
2025 500 1
91
2026 12
209
,
5
62
2027 10
935
,
6
41
2028 13
745
,
5
51
2029 16
135
,
6
49
Total 53
524
,

As part of the partner share incentive programme, several partners in the firm have entered into forward contracts for the future delivery of shares. Under the programme, new and certain existing partners are given the opportunity to acquire restricted partner shares at market price, with a 15% price adjustment reflecting several restrictions with regards to the selling (or purchasing) of these shares.

The forward settlement price is adjusted for changes in interest rates and any cash distribution paid to shareholders. The interest element in the forward contract will also be adjusted in cases where the contract is settled prior to the original expiry date.

Shareholder matters | Distribution to shareholders

Cash distribution to shareholders (per share) Pay-out ratio (DPS/Diluted EPS)

▪ The Board is committed to returning excess capital to shareholders through cash and buy-backs of shares over time. Excess capital will be evaluated on a continuous basis, taking into consideration a number of factors, including market conditions, regulatory requirements, counterparty and market perceptions and the nature of our business

Capital and balance sheet summary | Highly liquid asset base and solid capitalisation with satisfactory buffers to regulatory requirement

▪ ABGSC is well capitalised with a core capital ratio of 1.7x the current regulatory minimum requirement and 2.4x the expected future requirement

  • Liquid balance sheet with limited proprietary trading activity and a modest and conservative security financing operation
  • Net working capital shall be close to neutral over time, but may be subject to short-term fluctuations1)
  • Cash & Bank includes collateral cash deposits (stock borrowing, clearing, etc.)

Historical figures | Key financials in last nine quarters

Income statement
NOKm Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Q3
2024
Revenues 303 508 426 379 356 545 403 510 392
Operating
costs
-269 -383 -338 -323 -305 -416 -331 -390 -329
Operating
profit
34 125 88 56 51 130 72 120 64
Net
financial
result
-7 4 -1 -5 -1 1 4 -2 -3
Profit
before
tax
27 129 87 51 51 131 75 118 60
Taxes -9 -31 -22 -12 -15 -33 -19 -30 -15
Non-controlling
interests
-2 -5 -1 0 -1 0 2 -1 0
profit
Net
16 93 65 39 35 98 58 87 45
Balance sheet
NOKm Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Q3
2024
Total
non-current assets
752 780 803 770 736 714 705 679 664
Receivables 4,931 2,242 4,903 5,352 3,098 2,670 3,656 6,370 4,757
Investments 95 63 75 70 53 14 73 76 36
Cash
and
bank
deposits
922 832 799 571 620 526 775 542 533
Total
current assets
5,948 3,137 5,778 5,993 3,770 3,210 4,503 6,988 5,326
Total
assets
6,700 3,917 6,580 6,763 4,506 3,923 5,208 7,667 5,989
Equity
attributable
to owners of
the
parent
933 1,019 1,039 851 859 960 1,051 875 923
Non-controlling
interests
3 8 11 11 12 12 10 11 12
Total
equity
936 1,027 1,051 862 871 971 1,061 886 934
Long-term
liabilities
476 480 497 488 479 433 441 433 426
Short-term
interest
bearing
liabilities
49 70 163 237 332 3 169 325 169
Short-term
liabilities
5,238 2,340 4,869 5,177 2,823 2,516 3,538 6,023 4,460
liabilities
Total
5,764 2,890 5,530 5,901 3,635 2,952 4,147 6,781 5,055
Total
equity
and
liabilities
6,700 3,917 6,580 6,763 4,506 3,923 5,208 7,667 5,989

Historical figures | Segment revenues in last nine quarters

Segment revenues
NOKm Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Q3
2024
Corporate
Financing
62 124 182 132 122 144 122 247 161
M&A
and
Advisory
121 232 78 100 125 259 128 128 107
Brokerage
and
Research
120 152 166 147 110 143 153 135 124
Group 303 508 426 379 356 545 403 510 392
NOKm Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Q3
2024
Norway 190 266 209 195 153 388 214 256 239
Sweden 74 167 144 133 108 110 144 195 114
Denmark 18 38 15 11 65 11 5 20 7
International 21 37 58 39 30 37 39 40 32
Group 303 508 426 379 356 545 403 510 392

Historical figures | Key figures in last nine quarters

Key figures
NOK Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Q3
2024
(average)
Headcount
336 341 341 343 346 338 333 331 335
Revenues
per head
(average)
0
90
1
49
1
25
1
10
1
03
1
62
1
21
1
54
1
17
Operating
per head
(average)
costs
-0
80
-1
12
-0
99
-0
94
-0
88
-1
23
-0
99
-1
18
-0
98
Operating
/
Revenues
cost
89% 75% 79% 85% 86% 76% 82% 76% 84%
Total
compensation
/
Revenues
60% 56% 57% 59% 60% 57% 57% 56% 59%
Operating
margin
%
11% 25% 21% 15% 14% 24% 18% 24% 16%
(annualised)
Return
on Equity
7% 25% 25% 16% 16% 25% 23% 36% 31%
Shares
outstanding
(period
end)
483
343
,
483
343
,
497
463
,
497
463
,
497
463
,
497
463
,
527
735
,
527
735
,
527
735
,
(period
end)
Treasury
shares
-6
419
,
-5
669
,
-13
401
,
-5
586
,
-9
549
,
-8
649
,
-7
109
,
-7
159
,
-7
059
,
Forward
outstanding
(period
end)
contracts
80
726
,
81
776
,
76
176
,
69
261
,
69
486
,
68
586
,
52
999
,
53
249
,
53
524
,
Diluted
shares
(period
end)
557
650
,
559
450
,
560
238
,
561
138
,
557
399
,
557
399
,
573
624
,
573
824
,
574
199
,
(basic)
Earnings
per share
0
03
0
19
0
14
0
08
0
07
0
20
0
12
0
17
0
09
Earnings
share
(diluted)
per
0
03
0
17
0
12
0
07
0
07
0
18
0
11
0
16
0
09
Book
value
per share
(basic)
1
96
2
13
2
15
1
73
1
76
1
96
2
02
1
68
1
77
(diluted)
Book
value
per share
2
05
2
21
2
33
1
90
1
94
2
12
2
33
1
98
2
08
Total
capital
adequacy
4
683
,
5
006
,
4
966
,
5
169
,
4
937
,
4
853
,
5
046
,
4
915
,
4
816
,
Core
capital
627 671 614 643 621 623 632 633 636
Total
capital
adequacy
ratio
13% 13% 12% 12% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13%
Minimum
requirement
coverage ratio
1
7x
1
7x
1
5x
1
6x
1
6x
1
6x
1
6x
1
6x
1
7x

Financial calendar

13 February 2025 | Q4 2024 earnings release

Norway

ABG Sundal Collier ASA Pb. 1444 Vika Ruseløkkveien 26 8th floor NO-0251 Oslo

Tel +47 22 01 60 00

Sweden

ABG Sundal Collier AB Regeringsgatan 25 8th floor SE-11153 Stockholm Tel +46 8 566 286 00

United Kingdom

ABG Sundal Collier Ltd. St Martin's Court 25 Newgate St 5th floor UK-EC4M 7EJ London Tel +44 207 905 5600

Denmark

ABG Sundal Collier ASA Copenhagen Branch Forbindelsesvej 12 DK-2100 Copenhagen Ø

Tel +45 3546 3000

Germany

ABG Sundal Collier ASA Frankfurt Branch Schillerstrasse 2 5. Obergeschoss DE-60313 Frankfurt /Main

Tel +49 69 96 86 96 0

USA

ABG Sundal Collier Inc. 140 Broadway Suite 4604 US-10005 New York Tel +1 212 605 3800

Singapore

ABG Sundal Collier Pte Ltd 10 Collyer Quay Ocean Financial Center #40-07, Singapore 049315

Tel +65 6808 6082

Switzerland

ABG Sundal Collier AG Representative Office Schwanenplatz 4 6004 Lucerne

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This material has been prepared by ABG Sundal Collier ASA, or an affiliate thereof ("ABGSC").

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