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ABG Sundal Collier

Quarterly Report Apr 26, 2022

3518_rns_2022-04-26_90ed43e8-faf2-4093-accb-fa0d35bccb5b.pdf

Quarterly Report

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2022 Q1 INTERIM REPORT

CEO comments | Historically strong revenues amid geopolitical tensions

I am very pleased to again report a solid quarter with revenues just shy of the NOK 500m mark. Although revenues are down compared to the outstanding Q1 last year, the first quarter is normally seasonally slow, and this year's performance is particularly strong in a historical context.

The year got off to a good start, with market activity remaining high in the first half of the quarter, until we sadly again witnessed armed aggression in Europe. The Russian war against Ukraine has resulted in human suffering beyond comprehension, and has impacted the financial markets through increased uncertainty and volatility. The markets for new issuance of debt and equity felt the effects immediately, with several planned transactions being put on hold or rescheduled.

Despite this more challenging and turbulent macroeconomic and geopolitical sentiment, ABGSC executed on a strong pipeline of transactions in Q1. The slowdown in equity capital market activity, and especially IPOs, has been offset by the closing of several mergers and acquisitions during the quarter. Also, our brokerage operation has been less affected by the more volatile conditions.

ABGSC's ability to keep up activities in a changing market shows that we have transformed from a highly specialised transaction advisor and brokerage firm into a full-service investment bank with a broader and diverse revenue base. As an independent financial advisor with a broad product range, we can help our clients through the different stages in a business cycle and always provide the best advice regardless of the state of the market.

Outlook

We entered 2022 with more mandated transactions than we did in 2021, and the pipeline remains at solid levels. Some projects have been postponed due to market circumstances, and despite a decent start to Q2, the current sentiment provides limited visibility.

Jonas Ström, CEO

Key financial figures | Strong first quarter in an historical context and against the backdrop of significant market turbulence

Macro and market backdrop | Ukraine war, inflation fears and rising interest rates sparked volatility in second half of the quarter

  • The S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) spiked in the mid-30s after the Russian invasion, but it came down to the low 20s towards the end of the quarter
  • Rising long-term interest rates in the both US and Europe as inflation fears are looming
  • S&P 500 down 5% and MSCI Nordic down 9% in the quarter, having partly recovered initial reactions

Capital market and M&A market perspectives | Significant slowdown in capital markets, while M&A activity has been more stable

Nordic M&A transactions (#) Nordic primary ECM volumes (NOKbn 3) ) 1) Nordic primary DCM volumes (NOKbn) 2)

33 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

Source: Refinitiv, Stamdata, Mergermarket

  • 1) Issuers listed on Nordic stock exchanges
  • 2) Corporate high y ield, Nordic issuers

3) Nordic targets, announced transactions with financial advisors

Corporate Financing | A wide range of transactions concluded prior to primary capital markets closing temporarily in the second half of the quarter

M&A and Advisory | Solid activity in M&A with several transactions closed both in Norway and Sweden in the quarter

Brokerage and Research: Secondary brokerage activity remains high amid market turmoil

Comments

  • Falling asset values and rising volatility in Q1 provided headwinds for secondary trading, but revenues at a similar level as last year
  • Improving client rankings in both Kapital (Norway) and Prospera (Sweden) show continued progress for ABGSC in both Research and Sales
  • We continue to grow our research coverage successfully, which now spans over 400 companies, more than any of our peers

Operating costs | Lower compensation costs in accordance with our model while non-compensation costs have increased from a combination of factors

  • Lowered compensation costs reflecting our revenue- and profitability-driven compensation model
  • Headcount has increased by approx. 8%, reflecting our strategic decision to further expand the investment banking operation
  • Increase in Non-Compensation up due to a combination of a higher headcount, more normalised travel and interaction activity, general cost inflation, and higher infrastructure costs

Closing remarks

  • Solid Q1 revenues in a historical context
  • ABGSC has further developed the organisation and will continue to expand the service offering
  • Diverse and broad revenue base
  • High market share of completed transactions across all relevant products
  • M&A partly compensating for lower ECM activity
  • Decent activity at the start of Q2, but limited visibility in current sentiment

Financial statements and supplementary information

Consolidated income and cash flow statements

Condensed consolidated income statement (unaudited) Other comprehensive income
NOKm Q1
2022
Q1
2021
2021 NOKm
Corporate
Financing
195.7 491.7 1,712.8 profit
Net
M&A
and
Advisory
142.8 90.5 594.7 reclassified
profit
Items
that
may be
to
or loss
Brokerage
and
Research
148.4 155.9 603.5 differences
foreign
Exchange
on translating
operations
Total
revenues
486.9 738.0 2,911.0 of
foreign
Hedging
investment
in
subsidiaries
Personnel
costs
-265.6 -395.4 -1,563.3 Income
relating
items
that
may be
reclassified
tax
to
Other
operating
costs
-69.2 -54.2 -248.9 Total
other
comprehensive
income
Depreciation -20.2 -14.4 -63.0 Total
comprehensive
income
for
the
period
Total
operating
costs
-355.1 -464.1 -1,875.2
Operating
profit
131.9 274.0 1,035.8 Comprehensive
income
non-controlling
interests
to
Net
interest
-8.8 -3.3 -6.0 Comprehensive
income
owners of
the
to
parent
Associates -2.1 -2.0 -3.9
Other 0.2 1.1 -0.8
Net
financial
result
-10.7 -4.2 -10.7
Profit
before
tax
121.2 269.8 1,025.1 Condensed cash flow statement
Taxes -30.3 -63.1 -248.0 NOKm
profit
Net
90.9 206.7 777.1 Cash
and
cash
equivalents
- opening
balance
Net
cash
flow
from
operating
activities
/
Profit
loss
non-controlling
interests
to
0.1 -1.5 17.2 Net
cash
flow
from
investing
activities
Profit
/
loss
owners of
the
to
parent
90.8 208.2 759.9 flow
from
financing
Net
cash
activities
NOKm Q1
2022
Q1
2021
2021
Net
profit
90.9 206.7 777.1
Items
that
may be
reclassified
profit
or loss
to
Exchange
differences
on translating
foreign
operations
-11.8 -15.9 -15.9
Hedging
of
investment
in
foreign
subsidiaries
8.7 12.7 19.0
Income
relating
items
that
may be
reclassified
tax
to
-2.2 -3.2 -4.7
Total
other
comprehensive
income
-5.2 -6.3 -1.6
Total
comprehensive
income
for
the
period
85.7 200.4 775.5
Comprehensive
income
non-controlling
interests
to
0.1 -1.5 17.2
Comprehensive
income
owners of
the
to
parent
85.6 201.9 758.2
Condensed cash flow statement
NOKm Q1
2022
Q1
2021
2021
Cash
and
cash
equivalents
- opening
balance
1,388.5 1,251.3 1,251.3
Net
cash
flow
from
operating
activities
189.6 -292.1 746.3
Net
cash
flow
from
investing
activities
-1.6 2.4 -39.5
Net
cash
flow
from
financing
activities
168.5 -22.0 -569.6
Net
change
in
cash
and
cash
equivalents
356.6 -311.8 137.2
Cash
and
cash
equivalents
- closing
balance
1,745.0 939.5 1,388.5

Consolidated balance sheet

Consolidated balance sheet (unaudited)

NOKm 31/03/2022 31/03/2021 31/12/2021
Intangible
assets
177.1 161.8 179.5
Financial
non-current
assets
73.9 67.2 79.1
Tangible
assets
531.4 263.8 553.9
Total
non-current
assets
782.4 492.8 812.5
Receivables 2,784.4 5,828.5 1,392.3
Investments 66.2 36.9 541.2
Cash
and
bank
deposits
1,745.0 939.5 1,388.5
Total
current
assets
4,595.6 6,804.9 3,322.0
Total
assets
5,378.0 7,297.7 4,134.4
Paid-in
capital
115.6 112.6 114.0
Retained
earnings
1,168.2 971.6 1,099.9
Equity
attributable
owners of
the
to
parent
1,283.8 1,084.2 1,213.9
Non
controlling
interests
19.8 88.4 19.8
Total
equity
1,303.6 1,172.7 1,233.6
Long-term
liabilities
485.5 235.3 496.6
Short-term
interest
bearing
liabilities
198.4 0.0 0.0
Short-term
liabilities
3,390.5 5,889.8 2,404.2
Total
liabilities
4,074.4 6,125.1 2,900.8
Total
equity
and
liabilities
5,378.0 7,297.7 4,134.4

Condensed statement of changes in equity

NOKm Q1
2022
Q1
2021
2021
Equity
attributable
to
owners of
the
parent
- opening
balance
1,213.9 893.9 893.9
Comprehensive
income
owners of
the
to
parent
85.6 201.9 758.2
Payment
shareholders
to
0.0 0.0 -473.3
New
issuing
of
shares
0.0 0.0 0.0
Change
in
own shares
-15.7 -11.6 35.0
Equity
attributable
owners of
the
- closing
balance
to
parent
1,283.8 1,084.2 1,213.9
Equity
attributable
non-controlling
interests
- opening
balance
to
19.8 89.9 89.9
Comprehensive
income
to
non-controlling
interests
0.1 -1.5 17.2
Payment
shareholders
to
0.0 0.0 -87.4
Business
combinations
0.0 0.0 0.0
Equity
attributable
non-controlling
interests
- closing
balance
to
19.8 88.4 19.8
Total
equity
- closing
balance
1,303.6 1,172.7 1,233.6

Notes to the financial statements

1) Accounting principles

The quarterly report is prepared in accordance with IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting and International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) published by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) and all interpretations from the Financial Reporting Interpretations Committee (IFRIC), which have been endorsed by the European Commission for adoption within the EU. The quarterly report is prepared using the same principles as those used for the 2021 annual report. The quarterly report is unaudited.

2) Judgments, estimates and assumptions

The preparation of condensed consolidated interim financial statements in accordance with IFRS and the application of the chosen accounting policies require management to make judgments, estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, income and expenses. The estimates and associated assumptions are based on historical experience and various other factors that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances. Actual results may differ from these estimates. The estimates and underlying assumptions are reviewed on a continuous basis. Revisions to accounting estimates are recognised in the period in which the estimates are revised if the revision affects only that period, or in the period of the revision and future periods if the revision affects both current and future periods. When preparing these condensed consolidated interim financial statements, the significant judgments made by management in applying the Group's accounting policies and the key sources of estimate uncertainty were the same as t hose that applied to the consolidated financial statements as of the period ending 31 December 2021.

3) Risk and uncertainty

As described in ABGSC's annual report, ABGSC's total risk exposure is analysed and evaluated at the group level. Risk evaluat ions are integrated in all business activities both at the group and business unit levels, increasing ABGSC's ability to take advantage of business opportunities. There has not been any significant change in the risk exposure or the risks and uncertainties described in the annual report.

4) Related parties

There have not been any changes or transactions with any related parties that significantly impact the Group's financial position or results for the period.

5) Segment information

The group segments its business primarily on a product level as this provides the best understanding of the Group's integrated operation. The Group does not allocate profits or split the balance sheet per product. Revenues are also split at an overall geographical level. Segment information is presented on other pages of this report, including on the historical quarterly summary pages.

Cost ratios

Shareholder matters | Share count and shareholder structure

Share count
Figures
in
thousands
Q1
2021
Q2
2021
Q3
2021
Q4
2021
Q1
2022
Shares
outstanding
(period
end)
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
(period
end)
- Treasury
shares
26
870
,
18
288
,
18
063
,
19
371
,
11
738
,
(period
end)
+ Forward
outstanding
contracts
104
373
,
102
791
,
102
436
,
101
511
,
101
004
,
Diluted
shares
(period
end)
548
249
,
555
249
,
555
119
,
552
887
,
560
013
,
Shares
outstanding
(average)
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
(average)
- Treasury
shares
26
832
,
21
820
,
18
267
,
19
973
,
16
874
,
+ Forward
outstanding
(average)
contracts
96
645
,
103
661
,
102
751
,
102
280
,
101
221
,
Diluted
shares
(average)
540
560
,
552
588
,
555
231
,
553
054
,
555
094
,

Shareholder structure

Shares
held
by
Directors
and
staff
Q1
2021
Q2
2021
Q3
2021
Q4
2021
Q1
2022
Shares
Staff
/
Shares
held
by
Directors
and
outstanding
20% 22% 22% 22% 24%
Shares
fwd
Staff
/
and
held
by
Directors
and
Diluted
shares
contracts
36% 37% 37% 37% 38%
Shareholders
(shares
outstanding)
by
country
Q1
2021
Q2
2021
Q3
2021
Q4
2021
Q1
2022
Norway 69% 67% 67% 67% 69%
Great
Britain
4% 4% 4% 4% 3%
USA 9% 11% 11% 11% 9%
Sweden 7% 8% 8% 9% 8%
Other 10% 10% 9% 9% 10%

Share transactions

During the quarter, ABGSC purchased 5m shares at NOK 8.40 per share in a buy-back offering. ABGSC sold 12.2m shares on forward contracts as part of the annual partner share offering and to new partners. ABGSC also sold 11.6m treasury shares to partners as settlement of forward contracts previously entered into.

Shareholder information

For more information about the ABGSC share and its largest shareholders, please visit the Investor Relations section on the ABGSC website (www.abgsc.com).

Shareholder matters | ABGSC sold a total of 12.2m shares to partners and repurchased 5m shares from the market in Q1

The Board currently has a mandate from the shareholders to acquire a number of ABGSC shares corresponding to approximately 10% of the share capital. The one-year mandate is valid until the end of June 2022.

Expiry
year
Forward
(1
000)
contracts
,
Forward
price
average
2022 8
396
,
2
40
2023 10
192
,
3
53
2024 38
722
,
2
22
2025 19
620
,
1
47
2026 12
934
,
7
00
2027 11
140
,
7
95
Total 101
004
,

As part of the partner share incentive programme, several partners in the firm have entered into forward contracts for the future delivery of shares. Under the programme, new and certain existing partners are given the opportunity to acquire restricted partner shares at market price, with a 15% price adjustment reflecting several restrictions with regards to the selling (or purchasing) of these shares.

The final settlement price will be adjusted to reflect any distribution to shareholders paid prior to settlement. The interest element in the forward contract will also lead to an adjustment of the settlement price in cases where the contract is settled prior to the original expiry date.

Shareholder matters | Distribution to shareholders

▪ The Board is committed to returning excess capital to shareholders through cash and buy-backs of shares over time. Excess capital will be evaluated on a continuous basis, taking into consideration a number of factors, including market conditions, regulatory requirements, counterparty and market perceptions and the nature of our business

Capital and balance sheet summary | Highly liquid asset base and solid capitalisation with satisfactory buffers to regulatory requirement

▪ ABGSC is well capitalised with a core capital ratio of 1.6x the current regulatory minimum requirement and 2.6x the expected future requirement

  • Liquid balance sheet with limited proprietary trading activity and a modest and conservative security financing operation
  • Net working capital shall be close to neutral over time, but may be subject to short-term fluctuations1)
  • Cash & Bank includes collateral cash deposits (stock borrowing, clearing, etc.)

Historical figures | Key financials in last nine quarters

Income statement
NOKm Q1
2020
Q2
2020
Q3
2020
Q4
2020
Q1
2021
Q2
2021
Q3
2021
Q4
2021
Q1
2022
Revenues 263 408 363 893 738 809 561 803 487
Operating
costs
-226 -291 -264 -509 -464 -499 -386 -527 -355
Operating
profit
36 116 99 384 274 310 175 276 132
Net
financial
result
0 -4 -3 -7 -4 -2 -4 0 -11
Profit
before
tax
37 112 96 377 270 308 171 276 121
Taxes -11 -29 -24 -95 -63 -74 -44 -67 -30
Non-controlling
interests
-1 -8 -5 -38 1 -9 -2 -7 0
Net
profit
25 76 67 243 208 225 126 201 91
Balance sheet
NOKm Q1
2020
Q2
2020
Q3
2020
Q4
2020
Q1
2021
Q2
2021
Q3
2021
Q4
2021
Q1
2022
Total
non-current assets
557 546 541 531 493 494 484 812 782
Receivables 4,841 4,238 4,762 1,623 5,828 6,278 5,245 1,392 2,784
Investments 102 78 249 65 37 52 74 541 66
Cash
and
bank
deposits
780 507 752 1,251 940 1,195 1,250 1,388 1,745
Total
current assets
5,723 4,822 5,763 2,939 6,805 7,526 6,569 3,322 4,596
Total
assets
6,280 5,368 6,304 3,470 7,298 8,019 7,053 4,134 5,378
Equity
attributable
to owners of
the
parent
676 658 726 894 1,084 913 1,039 1,214 1,284
Non-controlling
interests
63 49 54 90 88 10 12 20 20
Total
equity
739 706 779 984 1,173 923 1,051 1,234 1,304
Long-term
liabilities
277 263 265 256 235 238 234 497 485
Short-term
interest
bearing
liabilities
212 14 223 0 0 0 0 0 198
Short-term
liabilities
5,053 4,385 5,036 2,230 5,890 6,859 5,767 2,404 3,390
Total
liabilities
5,541 4,662 5,524 2,486 6,125 7,097 6,002 2,901 4,074
Total
equity
and
liabilities
6,280 5,368 6,304 3,470 7,298 8,019 7,053 4,134 5,378

Historical figures | Segment revenues in last nine quarters

Segment revenues
NOKm Q1
2020
Q2
2020
Q3
2020
Q4
2020
Q1
2021
Q2
2021
Q3
2021
Q4
2021
Q1
2022
Corporate
Financing
50 236 180 579 492 534 260 427 196
M&A
and
Advisory
78 46 82 175 90 137 142 225 143
Brokerage
and
Research
134 126 101 139 156 138 159 151 148
Group 263 408 363 893 738 809 561 803 487
NOKm Q1
2020
Q2
2020
Q3
2020
Q4
2020
Q1
2021
Q2
2021
Q3
2021
Q4
2021
Q1
2022
Norway 136 211 168 524 343 375 246 429 238
Sweden 85 132 133 224 287 312 208 285 199
Denmark 8 10 23 37 21 52 55 28 14
International 34 54 39 108 87 70 51 61 36
Group 263 408 363 893 738 809 561 803 487

Historical figures | Key figures in last nine quarters

Key figures
NOK Q1
2020
Q2
2020
Q3
2020
Q4
2020
Q1
2021
Q2
2021
Q3
2021
Q4
2021
Q1
2022
Headcount
(average)
275 278 287 298 301 307 315 323 324
(average)
Revenues
head
per
0
95
1
46
1
27
2
99
2
45
2
63
1
78
2
48
1
50
Operating
(average)
head
costs
per
-0
82
-1
05
-0
92
-1
70
-1
54
-1
62
-1
23
-1
63
-1
10
Operating
/
Revenues
cost
86% 72% 73% 57% 63% 62% 69% 66% 73%
Total
compensation
/
Revenues
57% 54% 54% 48% 54% 52% 55% 54% 55%
Operating
margin
%
14% 28% 27% 43% 37% 38% 31% 34% 27%
Return
Equity
(annualised)
on
15% 45% 39% 56% 84% 90% 51% 74% 58%
Shares
outstanding
(period
end)
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
(period
end)
Treasury
shares
-32
534
,
-30
219
,
-29
364
,
-26
940
,
-26
870
,
-18
288
,
-18
063
,
-19
371
,
-11
738
,
Forward
outstanding
(period
end)
contracts
99
801
,
97
836
,
96
531
,
94
483
,
104
373
,
102
791
,
102
436
,
101
511
,
101
004
,
Diluted
shares
(period
end)
538
015
,
538
365
,
537
915
,
538
290
,
548
249
,
555
249
,
555
119
,
552
887
,
560
013
,
Earnings
share
(basic)
per
0
06
0
17
0
15
0
55
0
47
0
50
0
28
0
45
0
20
(diluted)
Earnings
share
per
0
05
0
14
0
13
0
45
0
39
0
41
0
23
0
37
0
17
Book
value
share
(basic)
per
1
54
1
49
1
64
2
01
2
44
2
02
2
30
2
69
2
80
Book
value
share
(diluted)
per
1
86
1
77
1
89
2
17
2
62
2
12
2
35
2
68
2
88
Total
capital
adequacy
3
546
,
2
958
,
3
294
,
3
386
,
3
892
,
4
323
,
4
043
,
4
843
,
4
994
,
Core
capital
450 462 386 441 431 503 506 648 625
Total
capital
adequacy
ratio
13% 16% 12% 13% 11% 12% 13% 13% 13%
Minimum
requirement
ratio
coverage
1
6x
2
0x
1
5x
1
6x
1
4x
1
5x
1
6x
1
7x
1
6x

Financial calendar

27 April 2022 | Ex. dividend date 8 July 2022 | Q2 2022 earnings release 14 October 2022 | Q3 2022 earnings release

8 February 2023 | Q4 2022 earnings release / preliminary full-year figures

Company overview

ABGSC enables businesses and capital to grow and perform

25 1) Source: Mergermarket (M&A). Pending and completed transactions with targets from Norway, Sweden or Denmark

2) Source: Refinitiv (ECM): Companies listed in Norway, Sweden or Denmark

3) Source: Stamdata (DCM). Non-Shipping related high yield issuers located in Norway, Sweden or Denmark and with documentation in Norway, Sweden or Denmark

Our vision is to be the most agile and respected Nordic investment bank

Norway

ABG Sundal Collier ASA Pb. 1444 Vika Ruseløkkveien 26 8th floor NO-0251 Oslo

Tel +47 22 01 60 00 Fax +47 22 01 60 60

Sweden

ABG Sundal Collier AB Box 7269 Regeringsgatan 25 8th floor SE-11153 Stockholm Tel +46 8 566 286 00 Fax +46 8 566 286 01

United Kingdom

ABG Sundal Collier Ltd. St Martin's Court 25 Newgate St 5th floor UK-EC4M 7EJ London Tel +44 207 905 5600

Fax +44 207 905 5601

Denmark ABG Sundal Collier ASA

Copenhagen Branch Forbindelsesvej 12 DK-2100 Copenhagen Ø

Tel +45 3546 3000 Fax +45 3546 3010

Germany

ABG Sundal Collier ASA Frankfurt Branch Schillerstrasse 2 5. Obergeschoss DE-60313 Frankfurt /Main

Tel +49 69 96 86 96 0 Fax +49 69 96 86 96 9

USA

ABG Sundal Collier Inc. 850 Third Avenue Suite 9-C US-10022 New York Tel +1 212 605 3800 Fax +1 212 605 3801

Singapore

ABG Sundal Collier Pte Ltd 10 Collyer Quay Ocean Financial Center #40-07, Singapore 049315

Tel +65 6808 6082

This material has been prepared by ABG Sundal Collier ASA, or an affiliate thereof ("ABGSC").

This material is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. It has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any recipient. It is published solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. No representation or warranty, either expressed or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein, nor is it intended to be a complete statement or summary of the securities, markets or developments referred to in the materials. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgement. Any opinions expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by other business areas or groups of ABGSC as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. ABGSC is under no obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. ABGSC, its directors, officers and employees' or clients may have or have had interests or long or short positions in the securities or other financial instruments referred to herein and may at any time make purchases and/or sales in them as principal or agent. ABGSC may act or have acted as market-maker in the securities or other financial instruments discussed in this material. Furthermore, ABGSC may have or have had a relationship with or may provide or has provided investment banking, capital markets and/or other financial services to the relevant companies. Neither ABGSC nor any of its affiliates, nor any of ABGSC' or any of its affiliates, directors, employees or agents accepts any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.

© 2022 ABG Sundal Collier ASA. All rights reserved. ABG Sundal Collier ASA specifically prohibits the redistribution of this material and accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect.

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