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ABG Sundal Collier

Quarterly Report Apr 20, 2021

3518_rns_2021-04-20_ebbeb3ab-dc6e-42ce-8eeb-95916f0f680b.pdf

Quarterly Report

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Strong performance in Q1, with revenues up 181%, to NOK 738m (263m)

All-time high LTM revenues of NOK 2,401m

Q1 diluted EPS of NOK 0.39 (0.05)

Solid pipeline going into Q2

2021 Q1 INTERIM REPORT

Comments from the CEO

A solid start to the year

The high level of activity in the second half of 2020 continued through the first quarter of 2021, and markets show no sign of cooling off. Even though Q1 is usually a seasonally weak quarter, Q1 2021 turned out to very strong, with solid contribution from all business areas and total revenues amounting to NOK 738m, up 181% y-o-y. The increase is partly driven by favourable markets, but there is also clear evidence that ABGSC continues to gain ground relative to peers.

Given the strong equity market sentiment, many companies in the Nordics are seizing the opportunity to raise capital. What distinguishes Q1 2021 from 2020 is the broader range of companies conducting capital markets activities. While tech companies dominated 2020, we are experiencing solid activity across many sectors this year.

We have over years steadily improved our position in the Swedish market. Our strategy is to further improve our position in Sweden by capitalising on being an integrated Nordic investment bank with a strong focus on collaboration across teams and across countries. Therefore, I am especially pleased to note that we are growing revenues and improving market share within Swedish ECM, while at the same time our business in Norway continues to be market leaders and performing very well.

Research quality is a key priority and ABGSC continues to invest in its research operation. During the quarter, we reached a couple of important milestones as we now cover a total of 400 Nordic companies and signed our sponsored research contract number 100.

Continued positive outlook

ABGSC has a very strong pipeline of transactions going into the second quarter, and we see no sign of this trend fading in the near term. At the same time, we are aware that market trends and investors' appetite for risk can change quickly, and hence continue to focus also on costs and efficiency.

Jonas Ström, CEO

Key financial figures: Q1 revenue of close to 3x last year combined with a decrease in non-compensation costs provides significant earnings leverage

Macro and market backdrop: Signs of interest rates bottoming out with falling market volatility and equity markets at all-time high

  • Rising long-term interest rates in the US. Europe flat at zero level
  • The S&P 500 volatility index (VIX) dropping to low 20-level
  • S&P 500 up 6% and MSCI Nordic up 8% in the quarter

Capital market and M&A market perspectives: Positive trends in all segments with particular strength in ECM and DCM transactions

  • High activity within primary equity capital has continued into Q1 with a large number of completed new issues
  • Solid recovery in the DCM market after slow Q1 last year
  • Increase in announced M&A transactions

Source: Refinitiv, Stamdata, Mergermarket

  • 1) Issuers listed on Nordic stock exchanges
  • 2) Corporate high yield, Nordic issuers
  • 3) Nordic buyers or sellers, announced transactions

Corporate Financing: Massive growth as ABGSC continues to gain market share, especially within Swedish ECM

ECM –
IPO
NOK 4.2bn Renewables
ECM –
IPO
NOK 1.8bn TMT
ECM –
IPO
NOK 1.4bn Consumer
ECM –
IPO
NOK 767m TMT
ECM –
IPO
NOK 750m Renewables
ECM –
IPO
SEK 6.0bn TMT
ECM –
IPO
SEK 4.5bn Consumer
ECM –
RI/PP
SEK 2.5bn
SEK 1.1bn
TMT
ECM –
IPO
SEK 1.7bn Consumer
ECM –
PP
SEK 1.2bn TMT
DCM –
HY
NOK
400m
EUR 30m
Financials
DCM –
HY
SEK 1.3bn Real Estate

M&A and Advisory: Moderate increase in revenues with underlying activity picking up

Brokerage and Research: Encouragingly strong start to the year

Comments

  • Strong equity markets and high activity throughout Q1
  • The y-o-y comparison faced tough comps, primarily in March
  • ABGSC continues to take market share in both Brokerage & Research
  • Research coverage of 400 corporates gives ABGSC the broadest equity research franchise in Scandinavia by a wide margin

Operating costs: YTD operating costs are significantly up, however mainly due to revenue-driven compensation costs

▪ Increased compensation costs driven by higher revenues and profitability

  • Headcount has increased by approx. 9%, reflecting our strategic decision to further expand the investment banking operation
  • Non-compensation costs primarily down due to reduced travel costs

Closing remarks

  • Exceptionally strong first quarter, with a continuance of last year's strong market trend
  • ABGSC is gaining market share
  • All segments contributing to increased revenues, although Corporate Financing continues to be the main driver
  • Broader range of companies being active in the capital market, indicating a more sustainable growth
  • Positive outlook with continued strong pipeline of transactions

Financial statements and supplementary information

Consolidated income and cash flow statements

Condensed consolidated income statement (unaudited) Other comprehensive income

NOKm Q1
2021
Q1
2020
2020
Corporate
Financing
491.7 50.4 1,044.6
M&A
and
Advisory
90.5 78.1 380.9
Brokerage
and
Research
155.9 134.5 500.6
Total
revenues
738.0 262.9 1,926.0
Personnel
costs
-395.4 -148.9 -994.1
Other
operating
costs
-54.2 -63.8 -241.8
Depreciation -14.4 -13.7 -54.9
Total
operating
costs
-464.1 -226.4 -1,290.8
Operating
profit
274.0 36.5 635.3
Net
interest
-3.3 -0.5 -6.6
Associates -2.0 -2.5 -9.9
Other 1.1 3.3 2.7
Net
financial
result
-4.2 0.3 -13.8
Profit
before
tax
269.8 36.8 621.4
Taxes -63.1 -10.5 -157.9
Net
profit
206.7 26.3 463.6
Profit
/
loss
to
non-controlling
interests
-1.5 1.0 51.8
Profit
/
loss
owners of
the
to
parent
208.2 25.3 411.8
NOKm Q1
2021
Q1
2020
2020
Net
profit
206.7 26.3 463.6
Items
that
may be
reclassified
profit
or loss
to
Exchange
differences
on translating
foreign
operations
-15.9 53.0 6.6
Hedging
of
investment
in
foreign
subsidiaries
12.7 -54.6 -6.8
reclassified
Income
tax
relating
to
items
that
may be
-3.2 13.6 1.7
comprehensive
income
Total
other
-6.3 12.1 1.5
Total
comprehensive
income
for
the
period
200.4 38.3 465.0
Comprehensive
income
non-controlling
interests
to
-1.5 1.0 51.8
Comprehensive
income
owners of
the
to
parent
201.9 37.3 413.2
Condensed cash flow statement
NOKm Q1
2021
Q1
2020
2020
Cash
and
cash
equivalents
- opening
balance
1,251.3 570.6 570.6
Net
cash
flow
from
operating
activities
-292.1 114.1 1,031.1
Net
cash
flow
from
investing
activities
2.4 -53.3 -74.4
flow
from
financing
Net
cash
activities
-22.0 148.2 -276.0
Net
change
in
cash
and
cash
equivalents
-311.8 209.0 680.7
Cash
and
cash
equivalents
- closing
balance
939.5 779.6 1,251.3

Consolidated balance sheet

Consolidated balance sheet (unaudited)

NOKm 31/03/2021 31/03/2020 31/12/2020
Intangible
assets
161.8 161.4 164.6
Financial
non-current
assets
67.2 84.1 77.4
Tangible
assets
263.8 311.8 289.0
Total
non-current
assets
492.8 557.4 530.9
Receivables 5,828.5 4,840.9 1,622.8
Investments 36.9 102.3 65.1
Cash
and
bank
deposits
939.5 779.6 1,251.3
Total
current
assets
6,804.9 5,722.7 2,939.2
Total
assets
7,297.7 6,280.1 3,470.1
Paid-in
capital
112.6 111.8 113.1
Retained
earnings
971.6 563.9 780.9
Equity
attributable
to
owners of
the
parent
1,084.2 675.7 893.9
Non
controlling
interests
88.4 63.2 89.9
Total
equity
1,172.7 738.8 983.8
Long-term
liabilities
235.3 276.7 256.4
Short-term
interest
bearing
liabilities
0.0 212.0 0.0
Short-term
liabilities
5,889.8 5,052.5 2,229.9
Total
liabilities
6,125.1 5,541.3 2,486.3
Total
equity
and
liabilities
7,297.7 6,280.1 3,470.1

Condensed statement of changes in equity

NOKm Q1
2021
Q1
2020
2020
Equity
attributable
owners of
- opening
to
the
parent
balance
893.9 691.1 691.1
Comprehensive
owners of
income
to
the
parent
201.9 37.3 413.2
Payment
to
shareholders
0.0 0.0 -183.6
of
New
issuing
shares
0.0 0.0 0.0
Change
in
own shares
-11.6 -52.8 -26.8
Equity
attributable
to
owners of
the
parent
- closing
balance
1,084.2 675.7 893.9
Equity
attributable
to
non-controlling
interests
- Opening
balance
89.9 62.2 62.2
Comprehensive
income
non-controlling
interests
to
-1.5 1.0 51.8
Payment
shareholders
to
0.0 0.0 -24.1
Business
combinations
0.0 0.0 0.0
Equity
attributable
non-controlling
interests
- Closing
balance
to
88.4 63.2 89.9
Total
equity
- closing
balance
1,172.7 738.8 983.8

Notes to the financial statements

1) Accounting principles

The quarterly report is prepared in accordance with IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting and International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) published by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) and all interpretations from the Financial Reporting Interpretations Committee (IFRIC), which have been endorsed by the European Commission for adoption within the EU. The quarterly report is prepared using the same principles as those used for the 2020 annual report. The quarterly report is unaudited.

2) Judgments, estimates and assumptions

The preparation of condensed consolidated interim financial statements in accordance with IFRS and the application of the chosen accounting policies require management to make judgments, estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, income and expenses. The estimates and associated assumptions are based on historical experience and various other factors that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances. Actual results may differ from these estimates. The estimates and underlying assumptions are reviewed on a continuous basis. Revisions to accounting estimates are recognised in the period in which the estimates are revised if the revision affects only that period, or in the period of the revision and future periods if the revision affects both current and future periods. When preparing these condensed consolidated interim financial statements, the significant judgments made by management in applying the Group's accounting policies and the key sources of estimate uncertainty were the same as those that applied to the consolidated financial statements as of the period ending 31 December 2020.

3) Risk and uncertainty

As described in ABGSC's annual report, ABGSC's total risk exposure is analysed and evaluated at the group level. Risk evaluations are integrated in all business activities both at the group and business unit levels, increasing ABGSC's ability to take advantage of business opportunities. There has not been any significant change in the risk exposure or the risks and uncertainties described in the annual report.

4) Related parties

There have not been any changes or transactions with any related parties that significantly impact the Group's financial position or results for the period.

5) Segment information

The group segments its business primarily on a product level as this provides the best understanding of the Group's integrated operation. The Group does not allocate profits or split the balance sheet per product. Revenues are also split at an overall geographical level. Segment information is presented on other pages of this report, including on the historical quarterly summary pages.

Cost ratios

Shareholder matters: Share count and shareholder structure

Share count

Q1
2020
Q2
2020
Q3
2020
Q4
2020
Q1
2021
Shares
outstanding
(period
end)
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
(period
end)
- Treasury
shares
32
534
,
30
219
,
29
364
,
26
940
,
26
870
,
(period
end)
+ Forward
outstanding
contracts
99
801
,
97
836
,
96
531
,
94
483
,
104
373
,
(period
end)
Diluted
shares
538
015
,
538
365
,
537
915
,
538
290
,
548
249
,
Shares
outstanding
(average)
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
470
747
,
- Treasury
shares
(average)
17
723
,
31
639
,
29
694
,
27
906
,
26
832
,
+ Forward
outstanding
(average)
contracts
80
437
,
99
337
,
97
178
,
95
292
,
96
645
,
Diluted
shares
(average)
533
460
,
538
445
,
538
231
,
538
134
,
540
560
,

Shareholder structure

Shares
held
by
Directors
and
staff
Q1
2020
Q2
2020
Q3
2020
Q4
2020
Q1
2021
Shares
held
by
Directors
and
Staff
/
Shares
outstanding
20% 20% 20% 20% 20%
Shares
fwd
Staff
/
and
held
by
Directors
and
Diluted
shares
contracts
36% 36% 35% 35% 36%
Shareholders
by
(shares
outstanding)
country
Q1
2020
Q2
2020
Q3
2020
Q4
2020
Q1
2021
Norway 73% 74% 73% 71% 69%
Great
Britain
4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
USA 9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
Sweden 5% 5% 5% 7% 7%
Other 9% 8% 8% 9% 10%

Share transactions

During the quarter, ABGSC purchased 1.8m shares at NOK 8.44 per share in a buy-back offering. ABGSC also purchased 0.7m shares from retired partners at an average price of NOK 7.55 per share. ABGSC sold 2.3m treasury shares to partners as settlement of forward contracts previously entered into and sold 0.3m shares as part of the annual partner share offering. ABGSC also sold 12.2m shares on forward contracts as part of the annual partner share offering and to new partners.

Shareholder information

For more information about the ABGSC share and its largest shareholders, please visit the Investor Relations section on the ABGSC website (www.abgsc.com).

Shareholder matters: ABGSC sold a total of 12.4m shares to partners and repurchased 2.5m shares from the market and leaving partners in Q1

The Board currently has a mandate from the shareholders to acquire a number of ABGSC shares corresponding to approximately 10% of the share capital. The one-year mandate is valid until the end of June 2021.

Expiry
year
(1
000)
Forward
contracts
,
Forward
price
average
2021 1
737
,
2
74
2022 10
811
,
3
21
2023 10
815
,
4
37
2024 40
630
,
3
07
2025 28
191
,
2
30
2026 12
189
,
72
7
Total 104
373
,

As part of the partner share incentive programme, several partners in the firm have entered into forward contracts for the future delivery of shares. Under the programme, new and certain existing partners are given the opportunity to acquire restricted partner shares at market price, with a 15% price adjustment reflecting several restrictions with regards to the selling (or purchasing) of these shares.

The final settlement price will be adjusted to reflect any distribution to shareholders paid prior to settlement. The interest element in the forward contract will also lead to an adjustment of the settlement price in cases where the contract is settled prior to the original expiry date.

Shareholder matters: Distribution to shareholders

  • 133% 89% 128% 2017 2018 2019 2020
  • The Board is committed to returning excess capital to shareholders through cash and buy-backs of shares over time. Excess capital will be evaluated on a continuous basis, taking into consideration a number of factors, including market conditions, regulatory requirements, counterparty and market perceptions and the nature of our business
  • The Board has decided to revert to annual dividend payments, so there will not be any mid-year interim dividend in 2021

Capital and balance sheet summary: Highly liquid asset base and solid capitalisation with satisfactory buffers to regulatory requirement

▪ ABGSC is well capitalised with a core capital ratio of 1.4x the current regulatory minimum requirement and >2x future requirement to be implemented in Q3

  • Liquid balance sheet with limited proprietary trading activity and a modest and conservative security financing operation
  • Net working capital shall be close to neutral over time, but may be subject to short-term fluctuations1)
  • Cash & Bank includes collateral cash deposits (stock borrowing, clearing, etc.)

Historical figures – nine quarters

Income statement
NOKm Q1
2019
Q2
2019
Q3
2019
Q4
2019
Q1
2020
Q2
2020
Q3
2020
Q4
2020
Q1
2021
Revenues 232 345 271 504 263 408 363 893 738
Operating
costs
-199 -259 -219 -335 -226 -291 -264 -509 -464
Operating
profit
33 85 52 169 36 116 99 384 274
Net
financial
result
-1 1 -3 -2 0 -4 -3 -7 -4
Profit
before
tax
32 86 49 167 37 112 96 377 270
Taxes -7 -22 -11 -40 -11 -29 -24 -95 -63
Non-controlling
interests
-2 -3 -2 -20 -1 -8 -5 -38 1
Net
profit
23 61 36 107 25 76 67 243 208
Balance sheet
NOKm Q1
2019
Q2
2019
Q3
2019
Q4
2019
Q1
2020
Q2
2020
Q3
2020
Q4
2020
Q1
2021
Total
non-current assets
261 268 285 285 557 546 541 531 493
Receivables 3,491 2,941 2,943 1,356 4,841 4,238 4,762 1,623 5,828
Investments 54 47 105 59 102 78 249 65 37
Cash
and
bank
deposits
364 275 566 571 780 507 752 1,251 940
Total
current assets
3,908 3,264 3,614 1,986 5,723 4,822 5,763 2,939 6,805
Total
assets
4,169 3,531 3,899 2,271 6,280 5,368 6,304 3,470 7,298
Equity
attributable
to owners of
the
parent
638 610 657 691 676 658 726 894 1,084
Non-controlling
interests
63 44 46 62 63 49 54 90 88
Total
equity
701 654 703 753 739 706 779 984 1,173
Long-term
liabilities
126 122 119 66 277 263 265 256 235
Short-term
interest
bearing
liabilities
0 59 246 0 212 14 223 0 0
Short-term
liabilities
3,342 2,697 2,831 1,452 5,053 4,385 5,036 2,230 5,890
Total
liabilities
3,468 2,877 3,196 1,518 5,541 4,662 5,524 2,486 6,125
Total
equity
and
liabilities
4,169 3,531 3,899 2,271 6,280 5,368 6,304 3,470 7,298

Historical figures – nine quarters (cont'd)

Segment revenues

NOKm Q1
2019
Q2
2019
Q3
2019
Q4
2019
Q1
2020
Q2
2020
Q3
2020
Q4
2020
Q1
2021
Corporate
Financing
29 165 96 213 50 236 180 579 492
M&A
and
Advisory
115 82 81 170 78 46 82 175 90
Brokerage
and
Research
87 97 94 121 134 126 101 139 156
Group 232 345 271 504 263 408 363 893 738
NOKm Q1
2019
Q2
2019
Q3
2019
Q4
2019
Q1
2020
Q2
2020
Q3
2020
Q4
2020
Q1
2021
Norway 80 174 96 272 136 211 168 524 343
Sweden 108 118 119 161 85 132 133 224 287
Denmark 15 13 24 32 8 10 23 37 21
International 29 40 31 39 34 54 39 108 87

Historical figures – nine quarters (cont'd)

Key figures
NOK Q1
2019
Q2
2019
Q3
2019
Q4
2019
Q1
2020
Q2
2020
Q3
2020
Q4
2020
Q1
2021
(average)
Headcount
279 278 280 275 275 278 287 298 301
(average)
Revenues
per head
0.83 1.24 0.97 1.83 0.95 1.46 1.27 2.99 2.45
Operating
(average)
costs per head
-0.71 -0.93 -0.78 -1.21 -0.82 -1.05 -0.92 -1.70 -1.54
Operating
cost /
Revenues
86% 75% 81% 66% 86% 72% 73% 57% 63%
Total
compensation
/
Revenues
58% 56% 55% 50% 57% 54% 54% 48% 54%
Operating
margin
%
14% 25% 19% 34% 14% 28% 27% 43% 37%
Return
on Equity
(annualised)
14% 39% 23% 64% 15% 45% 39% 120% 84%
Shares
outstanding
(period
end)
470,747 470,747 470,747 470,747 470,747 470,747 470,747 470,747 470,747
Treasury
shares
(period
end)
-17,899 -17,421 -14,996 -14,023 -32,534 -30,219 -29,364 -26,940 -26,870
Forward
contracts outstanding
(period
end)
78,589 77,361 75,211 75,611 99,801 97,836 96,531 94,483 104,373
Diluted
shares
(period
end)
531,438 530,688 530,963 532,335 538,015 538,365 537,915 538,290 548,249
Earnings
per share
(basic)
0.05 0.14 0.08 0.24 0.06 0.17 0.15 0.55 0.47
(diluted)
Earnings
per share
0.05 0.12 0.07 0.21 0.05 0.14 0.13 0.45 0.39
(basic)
Book
value
per share
1.41 1.35 1.44 1.51 1.54 1.49 1.64 2.01 2.44
(diluted)
Book
value
per share
1.76 1.67 1.75 1.79 1.86 1.77 1.89 2.17 2.62
Total
capital
adequacy
3,193 3,165 2,972 3,196 3,546 2,958 3,294 3,386 3,892
Core
capital
442 458 391 504 450 462 386 441 431
Total
capital
adequacy
ratio
14% 14% 13% 16% 13% 16% 12% 13% 11%
Minimum
requirement
coverage ratio
1.7x 1.8x 1.6x 2.0x 1.6x 2.0x 1.5x 1.6x 1.4x

Financial calendar

  • Q2 2021 earnings release: 9 July 2021
  • Q3 2021 earnings release: 15 October 2021
  • Q4 2021 earnings release/preliminary full-year figures: 9 February 2022

The Annual General Meeting will take place on 20 April 2021 and the first trading day ex. dividend of NOK 0.83 per share will be 21 April 2021

Company overview

ABGSC is enabling businesses and capital to grow and perform

25 1) Source: Mergermarket. Pending and completed transactions with targets from Norway, Sweden or Denmark

2) Source: Thomson Reuters: Companies listed in Norway, Sweden or Denmark

3) Source: Stamdata. Non-Shipping related high yield issuers located in Norway,Sweden or Denmark and with documentation in Norway, Sweden or Denmark

Our vision is to be the most agile and respected Nordic investment bank

Norway

ABG Sundal Collier ASA Pb. 1444 Vika Munkedamsveien 45E 7th floor NO-0250 Oslo Tel +47 22 01 60 00 Fax +47 22 01 60 60

Sweden

ABG Sundal Collier AB Box 7269 Regeringsgatan 25 8th floor SE-11153 Stockholm Tel +46 8 566 286 00 Fax +46 8 566 286 01

United Kingdom

ABG Sundal Collier Ltd. St Martin's Court 25 Newgate St 5th floor UK-EC4M 7EJ London Tel +44 207 905 5600 Fax +44 207 905 5601

Denmark ABG Sundal Collier ASA Copenhagen Branch Forbindelsesvej 12 DK-2100 Copenhagen Ø

Tel +45 3546 3000 Fax +45 3546 3010

Germany

ABG Sundal Collier ASA Frankfurt Branch Schillerstrasse 2 5. Obergeschoss DE-60313 Frankfurt /Main

Tel +49 69 96 86 96 0 Fax +49 69 96 86 96 9

USA

ABG Sundal Collier Inc. 850 Third Avenue Suite 9-C US-10022 New York Tel +1 212 605 3800 Fax +1 212 605 3801

Singapore

ABG Sundal Collier Pte Ltd 10 Collyer Quay Ocean Financial Center #40-07, Singapore 049315

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This material has been prepared by ABG Sundal Collier ASA, or an affiliate thereof ("ABGSC").

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