Investor Presentation • Nov 3, 2022
Investor Presentation
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Hannover, 3 November 2022
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health | 12 |
| 4 | Investments | 15 |
| 5 | Target Matrix and Outlook 2022 | 18 |
| Appendix | 21 |
42,197 47,629 49,002 56,213 58,016 2018 2019 2020 2021 30.09.2022 Operating cash flow in m. EUR 627 709 935 1,686 1,269 390 821 736 994 850 692 941 919 1,513 1,649 515 39 429 747 2,225 2,509 3,018 4,940 3,770 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total Assets under own management (AuM) in m. EUR | 1 Group overview | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
5 Conference Call on Q3/2022 financial results
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health | 12 |
| 4 | Investments | 15 |
| 5 | Target Matrix and Outlook 2022 | 18 |
| Appendix | 21 |
| Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR | Q3/2021 | Q3/2022 | Q1-3/2021 | Q1-3/2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 5,003 | 6,562 | 15,269 | 19,484 |
| Net premium earned | 4,229 | 5,742 | 12,076 | 15,562 |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
(64) | 25 | 253 | 121 |
| Combined ratio incl. interest on funds withheld |
101.5% | 99.6% | 97.9% | 99.2% |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
387 | 340 | 957 | 993 |
| Other income and expenses | (40) | (64) | (148) | (227) |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 283 | 301 | 1,061 | 887 |
| Tax ratio | 43.7% | 37.3% | 26.1% | 29.0% |
| Group net income | 147 | 146 | 739 | 545 |
| 1 | 2 Property & Casualty | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Natural and man-made catastrophe losses1) in m. EUR
1) Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross
8 Conference Call on Q3/2022 financial results
| 1 | 2 Property & Casualty | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Storm "Ylenia/Zeynep", Europe | 16 - 19 Feb | 130.4 | 114.8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rain and flood, Australia | 21 Feb - 3 Mar | 272.5 | 210.6 |
| Earthquake, Japan | 16 Mar | 14.0 | 14.0 |
| Floods, South Africa | 8 - 15 Apr | 85.5 | 85.4 |
| Storm / hail, USA | 10 - 15 Apr | 22.3 | 10.3 |
| Storm / hail , USA | 9 - 12 May | 75.4 | 49.3 |
| Storm, Canada | 21 May | 15.7 | 8.7 |
| Tornadoes / hail, USA | 27 - 31 May | 12.8 | 9.4 |
| Storm / hail, France | 2 - 6 Jun | 44.7 | 33.2 |
| Storm / hail, USA | 4 - 7 Jun | 14.4 | 4.5 |
| Storm "Qiara", France | 19 - 23 Jun | 111.1 | 84.1 |
| Floods, South Korea | 7 - 10 Aug | 28.7 | 28.7 |
| 2) Typhoon "Nanmandol", Japan |
18 - 19 Sep | 64.5 | 64.5 |
| 2) Hurricane "Fiona", Caribbean, USA, Canada |
18 - 22 Sep | 47.0 | 43.0 |
| 2) Typhoon "Noru", Philippines |
25 - 26 Sep | 15.0 | 15.0 |
| 2) Hurricane "Ian", USA |
27 - 29 Sep | 276.0 | 276.0 |
| 16 Natural catastrophes | 1,229.8 | 1,051.4 |
1) Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross Large loss budget 2022: EUR 1,400 m., thereof EUR 250 m. man-made and EUR 1,150 m. NatCat 2) Based on own IBNR estimate only (top-down approach); actual gross loss expected to be higher due to retrocession and ILS business
| Man-made losses within budget; Russia/Ukraine IBNR unchanged | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catastrophe losses1 ) in m. EUR |
Gross | Net | |||
| 16 Natural catastrophes | 1,229.8 | 1,051.4 | |||
| 1 Marine loss | 16.9 | 14.8 | |||
| 1 Credit loss | 16.9 | 16.9 | |||
| 4 Property losses | 72.2 | 70.1 | |||
| 6 Man-made losses | 106.1 | 101.8 | |||
| 22 Major losses | 1,335.9 | 1,153.2 | |||
| War Russia/Ukraine | 330.8 | 330.8 | |||
| Total | 1,666.7 | 1,484.0 |
1) Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross Large loss budget 2022: EUR 1,400 m., thereof EUR 250 m. man-made and EUR 1,150 m. NatCat
1) All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately; EMEA incl. CIS
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health | 12 |
| 4 | Investments | 15 |
| 5 | Target Matrix and Outlook 2022 | 18 |
| Appendix | 21 | |
| Life & Health R/I in m. EUR | Q3/2021 | Q3/2022 | Q1-3/2021 | Q1-3/2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 2,152 | 2,347 | 6,350 | 6,767 |
| Net premium earned | 1,889 | 2,076 | 5,558 | 6,024 |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
(122) | (41) | (315) | (177) |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
61 | 29 | 185 | 229 |
| Other income and expenses | 102 | 120 | 351 | 389 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 41 | 108 | 220 | 441 |
| EBIT margin | 2.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% |
| Tax ratio | (9.8%) | 15.4% | 31.3% | 15.4% |
| Group net income | 45 | 90 | 150 | 369 |
| Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|
| Property & Casualty | 6 |
| Life & Health | 12 |
| Investments | 15 |
| Target Matrix and Outlook 2022 | 18 |
| Appendix | 21 |
| in m. EUR | Q3/2021 | Q3/2022 | Q1-3/2021 | Q1-3/2022 | RoI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary investment income1) | 408 | 529 | 1,106 | 1,432 | 3.3% |
| Realised gains/losses | 96 | (37) | 238 | 15 | 0.0% |
| Impairments/appreciations & depreciations | (13) | (61) | (52) | (113) | -0.3% |
| Change in fair value of financial instruments (through P&L) |
(5) | (18) | (48) | 10 | 0.0% |
| Investment expenses | (36) | (44) | (101) | (122) | -0.3% |
| NII from assets under own management | 449 | 370 | 1,142 | 1,223 | 2.9% |
| NII from funds withheld | 42 | 31 | 215 | 157 | |
| Total net investment income | 491 | 400 | 1,357 | 1,380 |
| Unrealised gains/losses on investments | 31 Dec 21 | 30 Sep 22 |
|---|---|---|
| On-balance sheet | 2,310 | (4,820) |
| thereof Fixed income AFS | 1,299 | (5,836) |
| Off-balance sheet | 629 | 496 |
| thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R | 148 | (62) |
| Total | 2,939 | (4,324) |
1) Incl. results from associated companies
| Investment category | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | Q3/2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 87% | 87% | 85% | 86% | 83% |
| - Governments | 35% | 35% | 34% | 34% | 36% |
| - Semi-governments | 16% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% |
| - Corporates | 29% | 31% | 30% | 32% | 27% |
| Investment grade | 25% | 26% | 25% | 28% | 23% |
| Non-investment grade | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 2) 6% |
| Equities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% |
| - Listed equity | >0% | >0% | 1% | 1% | >0% |
| - Private equity | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Real Assets | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% |
| Others | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 5% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 42.7 | 48.2 | 49.8 | 56.2 | 58.5 |
Asset allocation Ordinary income split
1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments of EUR 1,951.0 m. (EUR 1,588.2 m.) as at 30 September 2022
2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 58.7%
3) Before real estate-specific costs. Economic view based on market values as at 30 September 2022
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health | 12 |
| 4 | Investments | 15 |
| 5 | Target Matrix and Outlook 2022 | 18 |
| Appendix | 21 | |
| Business group | Key figures | Strategic targets | Q1-3/2022 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Return on equity1 ) |
900 bps above risk-free | 11.5% |
| Solvency ratio2 ) |
≥ 200% | 232% | |
| Property & Casualty reinsurance | Gross premium growth3 ) |
≥ 5% | +18.6% |
| EBIT growth4 ) |
≥ 5% | -16.4% | |
| Combined ratio | ≤ 96% | 99.2% | |
| xRoCA5 ) |
≥ 2% | n.a. | |
| Life & Health reinsurance | Gross premium growth3 ) |
≥ 3% | +1.1% |
| EBIT growth4 ) |
≥ 5% | +100.5% | |
| Value of New Business (VNB)6 ) |
≥ EUR 250 m. | n.a. | |
| xRoCA5 ) |
≥ 2% | n.a. |
1) After tax; risk-free: 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds 2) According to our internal capital model and Solvency II requirements
3) Average annual growth at constant f/x rates 4) Average annual growth
5) Excess return (one-year economic profit in excess of the cost of capital) on allocated economic capital 6) Based on Solvency II principles; pre-tax reporting
| • | Gross written premium1) | > 7.5% |
|---|---|---|
| • | 2) Return on investment |
> 2.5% |
| • | Group net income 2) | at the lower end of the EUR 1.4 - 1.5 bn. range |
1) At unchanged f/x rates
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 321 m. in Q4/2022 and no unexpected material Covid-19 impact in L&H
| Appendix | 21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Target Matrix and Outlook 2022 | 18 |
| 4 | Investments | 15 |
| 3 | Life & Health | 12 |
| 2 | Property & Casualty | 6 |
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q1-3/2021 | Q1-3/2022 | Q1-3/2021 | Q1-3/2022 | Q1-3/2021 | Q1-3/2022 |
| Gross written premium | 15,269 | 19,484 | 6,350 | 6,767 | 21,620 | 26,251 |
| Change in GWP | - | +27.6% | - | +6.6% | - | +21.4% |
| Net premium earned | 12,076 | 15,562 | 5,558 | 6,024 | 17,634 | 21,586 |
| Net underwriting result | 220 | 71 | (497) | (284) | (277) | (213) |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | 253 | 121 | (315) | (177) | (63) | (56) |
| Net investment income | 989 | 1,043 | 367 | 336 | 1,357 | 1,380 |
| From assets under own management | 957 | 993 | 185 | 229 | 1,142 | 1,223 |
| From funds withheld | 32 | 50 | 182 | 107 | 215 | 157 |
| Other income and expenses | (148) | (227) | 351 | 389 | 201 | 161 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 1.061 | 887 | 220 | 441 | 1,281 | 1,328 |
| Financing costs | (2) | (2) | (1) | (1) | (61) | (64) |
| Net income before taxes | 1.060 | 886 | 219 | 440 | 1,219 | 1,264 |
| Taxes | (276) | (257) | (69) | (68) | (318) | (306) |
| Net income | 784 | 629 | 150 | 373 | 901 | 958 |
| Non-controlling interest | 44 | 84 | 1 | 3 | 45 | 87 |
| Group net income | 739 | 545 | 150 | 369 | 856 | 871 |
| Retention | 90.4% | 91.3% | 88.3% | 88.8% | 89.8% | 90.7% |
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 97.9% | 99.2% | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% |
| Tax ratio | 26.1% | 29.0% | 31.3% | 15.4% | 26.1% | 24.2% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 6.13 | 4.52 | 1.24 | 3.06 | 7.10 | 7.22 |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q3/2021 | Q3/2022 | Q3/2021 | Q3/2022 | Q3/2021 | Q3/2022 |
| Gross written premium | 5,003 | 6,562 | 2,152 | 2,347 | 7,155 | 8,909 |
| Change in GWP | - | +31.2% | - | +9.0% | - | +24.5% |
| Net premium earned | 4,229 | 5,742 | 1,889 | 2,076 | 6,119 | 7,819 |
| Net underwriting result | (82) | 16 | (147) | (63) | (229) | (47) |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | (64) | 25 | (122) | (41) | (187) | (16) |
| Net investment income | 405 | 349 | 86 | 50 | 491 | 400 |
| From assets under own management | 387 | 340 | 61 | 29 | 449 | 370 |
| From funds withheld | 18 | 9 | 25 | 21 | 42 | 31 |
| Other income and expenses | (40) | (64) | 102 | 120 | 63 | 55 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 283 | 301 | 41 | 108 | 325 | 409 |
| Financing costs | (1) | (1) | (0) | (0) | (21) | (21) |
| Net income before taxes | 283 | 301 | 41 | 107 | 303 | 387 |
| Taxes | (124) | (112) | 4 | (16) | (106) | (122) |
| Net income | 159 | 189 | 45 | 91 | 197 | 266 |
| Non-controlling interest | 12 | 43 | (0) | 1 | 12 | 44 |
| Group net income | 147 | 146 | 45 | 90 | 185 | 222 |
| Retention | 88.4% | 90.6% | 88.4% | 88.8% | 88.4% | 90.1% |
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 101.5% | 99.6% | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| Tax ratio | 43.7% | 37.3% | (9.8%) | 15.4% | 35.0% | 31.4% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.22 | 1.21 | 0.37 | 0.74 | 1.54 | 1.84 |
After listed equity liquidation, main focus turns back to credit exposures
| Portfolio | Scenario | Change in market value in m. EUR |
Change in OCI before tax in m. EUR |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10% | -215 | -215 | ||
| Equity (listed and private equity) | -20% | -429 | -429 | |
| +50 bps | -1,226 | -1,191 | ||
| Fixed-income securities | +100 bps | -2,391 | -2,323 | |
| Credit spreads | +50% | -1,094 | -1,076 |
As at 30 September 2022
| High-quality fixed-income book well balanced Geographical allocation mainly in accordance with our broad business diversification |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governments | Semi governments |
Corporates | Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS |
Short-term investments, cash |
Total | |||||||
| AAA | 76% | 52% | 1 % |
59% | - | 47% | ||||||
| A A |
10% | 23% | 10% | 13% | - | 12% | ||||||
| A | 10% | 8 % |
35% | 13% | - | 18% | ||||||
| BBB | 3 % |
2 % |
43% | 13% | - | 17% | ||||||
| <bbb< td=""> | 2 % | 14% | 11% | 2 % | - | 7 % | </bbb<>
2 % |
14% | 11% | 2 % |
- | 7 % |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 100% | ||||||
| Germany | 12% | 26% | 3 % |
18% | 25% | 12% | ||||||
| UK | 6 % |
1 % |
6 % |
6 % |
7 % |
5 % |
||||||
| France | 2 % |
1 % |
6 % |
8 % |
1 % |
4 % |
||||||
| GIIPS | 0 % |
3 % |
5 % |
8 % |
0 % |
3 % |
||||||
| Rest of Europe | 3 % |
14% | 12% | 19% | 2 % |
9 % |
||||||
| USA | 55% | 13% | 33% | 20% | 17% | 38% | ||||||
| Australia | 2 % |
18% | 6 % |
5 % |
5 % |
6 % |
||||||
| Asia | 17% | 23% | 19% | 10% | 39% | 19% | ||||||
| Rest of World | 2 % |
1 % |
9 % |
5 % |
5 % |
4 % |
||||||
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||||
| Total b/s values in m. EUR | 21,317 | 7,585 | 15,264 | 3,670 | 2,644 | 50,480 |
IFRS figures as at 30 September 2022
25 Conference Call on Q3/2022 financial results
| Modified duration | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3/2022 | 4.8 | |||
| 2021 | 5.8 | |||
| 2020 | 5.8 | |||
| 2019 | 5.7 | |||
| 2018 | 4.8 | |||
This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.
While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-todate, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.
Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.
This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.
© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved. Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.
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