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SAF-HOLLAND SE

Investor Presentation May 26, 2023

6218_ip_2023-05-26_e11bdb95-3953-43d7-b6be-b8e2ed661d18.pdf

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CONFERENCE CALL PRESENTATION

SAF-HOLLAND SE Q1 2023

MAY 26, 2023

Q1 2023 Highlights

Trading Review Strong
sales
increase of 29.9% y-o-y
mainly
driven
by Americas and APAC regions plus
Haldex having been consolidated for five weeks. Organic growth 10.8%
---------------- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cyber Attack SAF-HOLLAND lost c. EUR 15 mn in revenues during Q1 2023 but expects to recover
most of lost revenue
during Q2 and Q3 2023
Aftermarket Strength Strong aftermarket growth
of 30.0%, partly driven by first consolidation of Haldex
---------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Haldex Update Haldex AB was consolidated
for the first time as of February 21, 2023 and contributed
EUR 59.1 mn to sales in Q1 2023
Guidance
guided range. Adjusted EBIT margin projection unchanged between 7.5% to 8.5%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Significant sales growth supported by Haldex, strong adjusted EBIT margin

Q1 2023 Group sales includes five weeks of Haldex sales, double-digit growth organically

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

  • Q1 2023 sales up 29.9%; adjusted for FX and M&A
  • Continued strong demand from customers for truck and trailer components
  • Haldex included for five weeks in the scope of consolidation contributed EUR 59.1 mn to group sales
  • Approximately EUR 15 mn of temporary loss in sales due to a cyber attack - most of the production shortfall to be recovered during Q2 and Q3 2023

Top line: Americas region gaining importance, split by customer category unchanged

Sales development (by region, by customer category)

Group adj. EBIT: Increased sales volume and prior price increases supportive

  • Group adj. EBIT improved by EUR 19.9 mn or +84.6%
  • Improvement in adjusted EBIT resulted mainly from higher volumes, increased aftermarket share and price increases compensating higher material, logistics and energy costs
  • Process optimizations, cost efficiencies and economies of scale especially in SG&A also supportive

Adj. EBIT by Quarter

(in EUR mn and % of sales)

EMEA: Sales increase from Haldex consolidation and strong aftermarket, organic sales growth above market development

  • Adjusted for exchange rate effects and changes in the scope of consolidation, sales were up 0.7% year-onyear
  • Five weeks of Haldex consolidation contributed EUR 19.3 mn to sales in EMEA
  • EMEA recorded solid sales growth in the aftermarket business in Q1 2023

EMEA: Prior price increases as well as strong aftermarket business support margin improvement

  • Increase in adj. EBIT and adj. EBIT margin was supported by prior price increases partially compensating higher steel, logistics and energy costs as well as internal efficiency improvements
  • Product mix and higher aftermarket share also had a positive impact

Adj. EBIT by Quarter

(in EUR mn and % of sales)

Americas: Strong growth due to unchanged high customer demand and Haldex consolidation

  • The Americas region saw a growth of 48.9% as Haldex generates c. 50% of sales in the Americas region
  • On an organic basis, SAF-HOLLAND increased sales in the region by 17.4%
  • Haldex contributed EUR 34.4 mn to sales in the Americas region
  • Growth in the OE business was driven by continued solid demand and strong production figures for Class 8 trucks and trailers
  • Due to its strong position, SAF-HOLLAND benefitted from the trend towards disc brake axle systems

Americas: Operating leverage and efficiency enhancements support strong margin improvement

  • The Americas region nearly doubled its adjusted EBIT in the first quarter
  • Strong improvement in earnings was primarily the result of the operating leverage due to strong sales growth
  • Successfully implemented efficiency enhancements and savings in the overhead area are showing the expected benefits

Adj. EBIT by Quarter

(in EUR mn and % of sales)

APAC: Strong growth driven by demand in India, Australia and Southeast Asia

  • Strong growth in the APAC region was again driven by the strong development in India due to India's ongoing government infrastructure measures and the expansion of its transport sector
  • Customer demand also remained solid in the specialty market of Australia and Southeast Asia
  • In APAC Haldex contributed EUR 5.5 mn in sales
  • China business grew export-related as well as in new local OEM-business

APAC: Profitability improvement driven by higher sales volumes and improved operating performance in China

  • Economies of scale from the higher business volume in India and a favorable product mix were supportive
  • New highly profitable business in the mining sector in Southeast Asia
  • Improvement in the operating performance in China also contributed to the earnings improvement

Adj. EBIT by Quarter

(in EUR mn and % of sales)

Financials Q1 2023

in EUR thousands Q1 2023 Q1 2022 Change absolute Change in %
EBIT 38,832 21,039 17,793 84.6%
EBIT margin in % 8.1% 5.7%
Additional depreciation and amortization of
property, plant and equipment and intangible
assets from PPA
2,328 2,289 39 1.7%
Restructuring and transactions costs 2,200 157 2,043
Adjusted EBIT 43,360 23,485 19,875 84.6%
Adjusted EBIT margin in % 9.0% 6.4%

Q1 2023 Earnings per share developed nicely

Equity ratio down due to balance sheet expansion driven by Haldex acquisition

  • Compared to 31 Dec. 2022, equity as of 31 Mar. 2023 improved by EUR 8.4 mn
  • Negative currency effects had an impact of EUR 11.2 mn
  • The expansion in total assets resulting from the first-time inclusion of Haldex however caused the equity ratio to decline to 27.2%, from 29.5 % as at 31 Dec. 2022

Net working capital ratio up due to seasonality and Haldex consolidation

Net working capital (in % of sales) 11,9% 14,4% 14,8% 15,5% 14,8% 15,7% 17,4% 15,9% 12,0% 15,6%
EUR mn Dec
2020
Mar
2021
Jun
2021
Sep
2021
Dec
2021
Mar
2022
Jun
2022
Sep
2022
Dec
2022
Mar
2023
Inventories 126.4 155.8 176.0 195.3 194.0 211.9 237.0 237.9 202.2 308.4
Trade receivables 95.3 130.0 148.9 147.2 136.3 176.1 184.6 187.0 144.7 283.0
Trade payables -107.2 -147.4 -163.4 -160.6 -145.8 -179.3 -176.2 -187.3 -159.0 -262.2
NWC 114.6 138.4 161.5 181.9 184.4 208.7 245.5 237.6 188.0 329.2
Sales (LTM) 959.5 961.7 1,091.4 1,175.6 1,246.6 1,330.7 1,411.7 1,497.5 1,565.1 2,112.8
  • NWC ratio of SAF-HOLLAND on a stand-alone basis was 12.4%, showing only a slight increase against the 31 Dec. 2022 value of 12.0%
  • Typical seasonality with Q1 usually showing an increase in NWC
  • NWC increased due to the consolidation of Haldex, which has a significantly higher NWC-ratio around the 20%-mark
  • For better comparability, NWC of sales calculation takes into account Haldex's contribution to sales on a pro forma basis for the last twelve months, as Haldex's contribution to NWC is also fully included

Strong start to the year with both positive operating and net free cash flow

18,7

48,8

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

62,5

• The sharp increase was driven above all by the development of cash flow before changes in net working capital, which rose to EUR 42.2 mn (Q1 2022: EUR 26.1 mn)

  • The increase was mainly due to higher earnings before taxes, while the higher finance expenses resulting from the Haldex financing and higher depreciation and amortization did not affect the calculation of operating cash flow
  • Payments for investments in property, plant and equipment and intangible assets increased to EUR 7.3 mn from EUR 5.3 mn in Q1 2022 in preparation for planned future growth
  • The sale of property, plant and equipment generated a cash inflow to SAF-HOLLAND of EUR 0.6 mn against EUR 0.5 mn in Q1 2022

-10,0

Q1

* Pre-acquisition / acquisition of HLDX shares

-10,0

5,4

Net free cash flow from operating activities* (EUR mn)

5,4

Q1 2023 Call Presentation < 19 >

Strong ROCE improvement driven by lower financial liabilities and strong operating performance

Return on capital employed (in %)

EUR mn Dec
2020
Mar
2021
Jun
2021
Sep
2021
Dec
2021
Mar
2022
Jun
2022
Sep
2022
Dec
2022
Mar
2023
Equity 300.5 325.2 334.8 353.7 371.1 390.5 431.1 468.5 441.4 449.8
Financial liabilities 324.1 332.4 323.7 318.5 322.2 318.9 369.9 614.5 715.7 663.3
Lease liabilities 43.6 42.7 41.6 41.7 41.1 40.4 40.9 39.9 38.4 62.7
Pension provisions 31.4 32.2 32.2 32.7 22.3 22.5 16.8 16.9 15.3 43.1
Cash/cash
equivalents
-171.0 -179.5 -164.9 -159.5 -165.2 -148.9 -173.0 -206.2 -243.5 -218.0
Capital employed 528.6 553.0 567.4 587.1 591.4 623.4 685.7 933.7 967.3 1,000.9
Adjusted EBIT (LTM) 58.8 62.3 82.1 91.5 93.1 94.7 101.8 114.1 124.6 165.0
  • Q1 2023 ROCE was 16.5%, significantly up due to lower financial liabilities and increased adjusted EBIT (LTM)
  • Increased adjusted EBIT was driven by inclusion of Haldex on a pro-forma basis as well as SAF-HOLLAND's strong operating performance on a stand-alone basis
  • Target for 2027, including Haldex, is a ROCE of >=15%
  • For better comparability, the calculation includes Haldex's contribution to adjusted EBIT on a pro forma basis for the last twelve months, as Haldex's contribution to capital employed is also fully included

Net debt/EBITDA: Target for 2024 remains in place: 2x or lower

Net debt/EBITDA

  • Including pro-forma EBITDA contribution of Haldex and related debt, net debt/EBITDA ratio amounted to 2.4x, down from the 31 Dec. 2022 value of 2.6x
    1. Dec 2022 net debt/EBITDA ratio of 0.7x did not include additional debt due to the acquisition of Haldex
  • Significant deleveraging in Q3 2022 and Q4 2022 was the result of the strong operating free cash flow, which in turn was due to improved working capital management
  • The target for 2024 is a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2x or lower

Update on Haldex Consolidation

in EUR mn Haldex
2022
SAF-HOLLAND
Group 2023
Impairments on
capitalized
development cost
_
Value adjustments
on inventories
Total effect
~ 21
_
Tooling and other _
Total 6% -
8% of
purchase price
_
Goodwill + 30 –
70
PPA amortization ~ -11
per annum
Inventory step-up ~ -5
  • First-time consolidation of Haldex took place February 21, 2023, due to delayed approval of the Polish antitrust authority
  • SAF-HOLLAND rolled out its group accounting and valuation principles to Haldex and aligned its group accounting and reporting principles to those of the SAF-HOLLAND Group
  • Total effect on consolidated financial statements of Haldex AB were approximately EUR 21mn in FY 2022 solely visible in Haldex AB FY 2022 consolidated financial statements
  • Based on current assessments, the purchase price allocation for Haldex is expected to result in increased goodwill around the upper end of EUR 30 to 70 mn and additional PPA amortization of approx. EUR 11 mn per annum
  • Step-up in inventories is expected to be EUR 5 mn in FY 2023

Outlook 2023

Europe and North America facing consolidation, strong growth in India and China

Trailer Trucks
EMEA -5% -1%
North America -3% -1%
Brazil -10% -15%
China +15% +15%
India +17% +14%

Sources: Market data for trucks and trailers based on ACT Research (April 2023), CLEAR international (November 2022), IHS (January 2023), ANFAVEA, SIAM

  • EMEA
  • Due to the difficult overall economic environment and persistent uncertainties surrounding the Ukraine conflict, the European trailer market, measured in terms of production in 2023, is expected to decline slightly
  • Truck business expected to contract slightly, albeit from a high level
  • North America
  • Trailer market expected to decline slightly
  • After a strong start to the year, truck market is expected to gradually weaken over the remainder of 2023
  • Brazil
  • For South America's most important commercial vehicle market, both trailer and truck markets are expected to decline in 2023
  • China
  • Following previous year's sharp downturn in the truck and trailer markets, there are signs of a recovery in 2023, with both trailer and truck markets expected to grow by 15%
  • India
  • Supported by the continued strong investment of India's government in infrastructure expansion, trailer production is expected to increase by 17% and truck production by 14%
IFRS
(incl. Haldex as of
Feb. 21)
Pro-forma
(incl. Haldex as of
Jan. 1)
Sales EUR 1,800
-
1,950 mn
EUR 1,850
-
2,000 mn
Adjusted EBIT
margin
7.5% to 8.5% 7.5% to 8.5%
Capex ratio Up to 3% Up to 3%

Comments on IFRS outlook FY 2023

  • Based on current estimates, SAF-HOLLAND is assuming group sales for FY 2023 tending around the upper end of the previously planned sales range of EUR 1,800 mn to EUR 1,950 mn, assuming stable exchange rates and the sales contribution of Haldex as of February 21, 2023
  • SAF-HOLLAND continues to expect an adjusted EBIT margin, including Haldex, in the range of 7.5% to 8.5%
  • For FY 2023, including Haldex, the Group plans expenditures for investments of up to 3% of Group sales, with a focus on expanding production capacities in Mexico, Brazil and India
  • In the EMEA region, the Group is significantly expanding capacity for the production of disc brake axle systems and for the new generation of EBS systems. In addition, further investments are planned in automation projects and process efficiency improvements in production, particularly in the core markets in Germany and North America

Contact and additional information

Financial calendar & IR contact

Issuer & contact Additional information
SAF-HOLLAND SE
Hauptstrasse 26
63856 Bessenbach
ISIN
WKN
Listing
DE000SAFH001
SAFH00
Frankfurt Stock Exchange
Prime Standard
Fabian Giese
Tel: +49 6095 301 –
904
Alexander Pöschl
Tel: +49 6095 301 –
117
Financial calendar 2023
Stephan Haas June 15 & 16, 2023 Warburg Highlights Conference
Tel: +49 6095 301 –
803
August 10, 2023 Publication of the Half-Year Financial
Report 2023
Email: [email protected] November 09, 2023 Publication of the Quarterly Statement
Q3 2023

Disclaimer

This presentation has been prepared by SAF-HOLLAND SE ("SAF-HOLLAND") and comprises written materials concerning SAF-HOLLAND. It is furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, to any other person. It contains summary information only and does not purport to be comprehensive and is not intended to be (and should not be used as) the sole basis of any analysis or other evaluation of SAF-HOLLAND or its business. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and, accordingly, neither SAF-HOLLAND nor any of the members of its management board or any of its officers, employees or advisors nor any other person shall have any responsibility or liability whatsoever (for negligence or otherwise) arising, directly or indirectly, from the use of this presentation, or its contents or otherwise in connection with this presentation.

This presentation contains certain statements related to our future business and financial performance and future events or developments involving SAF-HOLLAND and/or the industry in which SAF-HOLLAND operates that may constitute forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by words such as "believes," "expects," "predicts," "intends," "projects," "plans," "estimates," "aims," "foresees," "anticipates," "targets," and similar expressions. Forward-looking statements are not historical facts, but solely opinions, views and forecasts which are based on current expectations and certain assumptions of SAF-HOLLAND's management or cited from third party sources which are uncertain and subject to risks. Actual events may differ significantly from the anticipated developments due to a number of factors, including without limitation, changes in general economic conditions, changes affecting the fair values of the assets held by SAF-HOLLAND and its subsidiaries, changes affecting interest rate levels, changes in competition levels, changes in laws and regulations, environmental damages, the potential impact of legal proceedings and actions and the Group's ability to achieve operational synergies from past or future acquisitions. Should any of these risks or uncertainties materialise or should underlying expectations not occur or assumptions prove to be incorrect, actual results, performance or achievements of SAF-HOLLAND may (negatively or positively) vary materially from those described, explicitly or implicitly, in the relevant forward-looking statement.

The information contained in this presentation, including any forward-looking statements expressed herein, speaks only as of the date hereof and reflects current legislation and the current business and financial affairs of the SAF-HOLLAND which are subject to change and audit. Neither the delivery of this presentation nor any further discussions of SAF-HOLLAND with any of the recipients thereof shall, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of SAF-HOLLAND since such date. Consequently, SAF-HOLLAND neither accepts any responsibility for the future accuracy of the information contained in this presentation, including any forward-looking statements expressed herein, nor assumes any obligation, to update or revise this information to reflect subsequent events or developments which differ from those anticipated.

* This presentation is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction. This presentation is for information purposes only and does neither constitute an offer to sell securities, nor any recommendation of, or solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities of SAF-HOLLAND in the United States, Germany or any other jurisdiction. In the United States, any securities may not be offered or sold absent registration or an exemption from registration under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933.

The information contained in this document has not been subject to any independent audit or review. Information derived from unaudited financial information should be read in conjunction with the relevant audited financial statements, including the notes thereto. Certain financial data included in the document consists of "non-IFRS financial measures". These non-IFRS financial measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies, nor should they be construed as an alternative to other financial measures determined in accordance with IFRS. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any non-IFRS financial measures and ratios included herein.

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