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Vonovia SE

Investor Presentation Nov 3, 2023

477_ip_2023-11-03_5856a5aa-7570-4f6a-9b22-335c5b5d31f2.pdf

Investor Presentation

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9M 2023 Earnings Call Presentation

November 3, 2023

Agenda

1. Business Update & 9M 2023 Results pages 3-22

  1. Appendix pages 23-56

Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

  • Highlights
  • Disposals year to date
  • Second Joint Venture Transaction
  • Segment Overview
  • 8-10 Rental
  • Value-add
  • Recurring Sales
  • Development
  • EPRA NTA
  • Investment Program
  • 16-18 Debt KPIs, Bond Covenants & Financing Update
    • Final Guidance 2023
    • Initial Guidance 2024
    • Update Investigation
    • Wrap-up

Highlights

1.
Disposals

€3.7bn total sales volume signed 2023 year to date,
of which €1.7bn since H1 reporting in August.

Second JV signed: Apollo agreed to acquire ca. 30%
equity stake in Vonovia's
Northern Portfolio for
€1.0bn.
CBRE agreed to acquire 1,200 new constructions at

~4% discount to fair value.

City of Dresden agreed to buy ca. 1,200 units for
€88m (at fair value).

Continued progress across all other sales channels
3.
9M 2023
Results
3.8% organic rent growth, 2.1% vacancy rate, and

99.9% rent collection.
Adj. EBITDA Rental €1,803.3m (+7.0% y-o-y).


Total EBITDA €2,010.0m (-4.7% y-o-y).
Group FFO €1,446.0m (-8.4% y-o-y).

EPRA NTA €50.51 p.s. (-12.1% ytd).


No Q3 portfolio valuation due to absence of triggering
event.
including a series of smaller transactions in residential
and commercial Non-core and MFH Sales clusters.

€2.0bn new bank loans signed year to date and
€0.8bn loans rolled over.

€3.0bn RCF/CP extended with unchanged terms.
Final guidance 2023
3.7-3.8% organic rent growth.

Lower end of Adj. EBITDA Total range and midpoint of

Group FFO range in light of headwinds from lower
investment volumes and challenging market conditions
2.
Financing,
Cash Flow,
and
Leverage
€3.8bn pro forma cash position (including undrawn

loans and disposals signed but not closed yet).

All unsecured maturities covered until end of Q1
2025.

Baa1 rating and stable outlook confirmed by Moody's.
Pro forma LTV 45.0%.1

Focus remains on deleveraging through disposals.
4.
Guidance
for disposals.
Initial guidance 2024

Rental revenue in line with 2023E in spite of negative
volume impact from asset disposals.
Adj. EBITDA Total in line with 2023E.


Moderate decline in Group FFO, resulting from higher
taxes due to sales and increased interest costs.

>€3bn gross proceeds from further disposals (signed).

Disposals Year to Date

Continuous Progress across All Sales Channels; Initial €2bn Disposal Target Overachieved

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

  • €3.7bn total proceeds from disposals, of which €1.7bn are included in 9M 2023 accounts.
  • Vonovia remains fully committed to pursue further disposals to repay upcoming bond maturities and to ensure that debt KPIs move back into their respective target ranges.

JV Südewo
JV Northern Portfolio
CBRE 1
CBRE 2
City of Dresden
Non-core, MFH & commercial
Development to Sell
Recurring Sales
Minority stake in France

Highlights

€1,000m JV Südewo
(common minority equity participation)
€560m CBRE 1: Disposal of 1,350 apartments (new
constructions) to CBRE (~7% discount to FV)
€96m Minority stake in France sold in Q1
(above acquisition price)
€37m Disposal of 361 apartments in Dresden
to a family office
(marginally above fair value)
€88m Disposal of 1,200 apartments
to the City of Dresden
(at fair value)
€1,000m JV Northern Portfolio
(common minority equity participation)
€209m 958 apartments in Recurring Sales Segment
(43%
premium to fair value)
€377m Other smaller disposals (Non-core, MFH
and
Dev. to Sell
around fair value; commercial
~7% below
fair value)
€357m CBRE 2: Disposal of 1,200 apartments (new
constructions) to CBRE (~4% discount to FV).
€3,724m Signed year-to-date 2023
(of which €1.7bn since H1 reporting)

Second Joint Venture Transaction

€1bn Additional Equity at Comparatively Low Cost of Equity

  • Following the successful Südewo partnership, Vonovia and Apollo have signed an agreement on the sale of a common minority equity participation in Vonovia's holding entity for the "Northern Portfolio." • Apollo, on behalf of its affiliated and third-party insurance clients and other, long-term investors has agreed to pay €1.0bn to acquire a minority stake in the holding entity valued at ~€3.8bn (30% ownership of ~€3.3bn entity value excluding other minority participations). • The holding entity of the Northern Portfolio is essentially debt-free and comprises ca. 31k units primarily located in Kiel, Bremen, and Lübeck. Closing of the transaction is expected on or around Dec. 31, 2023, and is subject to further conditions such as the absence of material adverse changes and regulatory clearances. • Vonovia does not intend to pursue additional joint ventures of this kind. Transaction overview The key terms of the transaction are similar to the Südewo transaction • Vonovia receives equity at a cost substantially lower than what is currently indicated by the share price and will deploy the full net proceeds towards deleveraging. • Vonovia will continue to control, operate and consolidate the portfolio, given limited minority investor protection rights. • Higher-than pro-rata share of the dividend distribution from free cash flow generated by the portfolio. Correspondingly, Vonovia retains a long-term call-option giving it the right to repurchase the participation at an IRR of 6.95%-8.30%. • The range is purely related to the timing of a call option exercise by Vonovia starting at 6.95% and reaching a maximum of 8.30%. The IRR takes into account any dividends paid, reducing the call option price over time. The value of the call option is accounted for as a financial asset. • The cost of capital to Vonovia is capped at the IRR range. Vonovia retains 100% of any additional upside or outperformance of the portfolio versus the business plan. There is no obligation for Vonovia to exercise the call option.
    • Maintenance and operating expenses are paid from the cash flow generated by the portfolio.

Segment Overview

Core Operating Business Continues to Grow. Headwinds in Other Segments Remain

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

• Rental business increased by 7%, driven by rent growth, continuously high occupancy and virtually full rent collection. Further support from lower cost base for both maintenance and operating expenses. Deutsche Wohnen synergies are being realized, as planned.

• Other segments still impacted by low transaction volume, reduced investment program and overall market environment.

€m (unless indicated otherwise) 9M 2023 9M 20222 Delta
Total Segment Revenue 4,232.3 4,606.3 -8.1%
Adj. EBITDA Rental 1,803.3 1,685.3 +7.0%
Adj. EBITDA Value-add 73.3 125.3 -41.5%
Adj. EBITDA Recurring Sales 51.6 112.8 -54.3%
Adj. EBITDA Development 28.0 122.1 -77.1%
Adj. EBITDA Nursing 53.8 64.6 -16.7%
Adj. EBITDA Total 2,010.0 2,110.1 -4.7%
FFO interest expenses -460.8 -361.9 +27.3%
Current income taxes FFO -96.7 -97.3 -0.6%
Consolidation1 -6.5 -73.1 -91.1%
Group FFO 1,446.0 1,577.8 -8.4%
of which non-controlling interests 69.6 62.0 +12.3%
Group FFO after non-controlling
interests
1,376.4 1,515.8 -9.2%
Number of shares (eop) 814.6 795.8 +2.4%
Group FFO p.s. (eop
NOSH)
1.78 1.98 -10.1%
Group FFO p.s. (after non-controlling
interests)
1.69 1.90 -11.3%

1Comprised of intragroup losses of €6.6m (9M 2022: intragroup profit of €-22.6m), gross profit of development to hold of €-13.1m (9M 2022: €-50.5m). 2 In Q4 2022 the segment Deutsche Wohnen was dissolved and integrated into the segments Rental, Value-add, Recurring Sales, Development and Nursing. Prior-year figures adjusted accordingly.

Rental Segment

  • Increased revenue driven by rental growth on a marginally smaller portfolio.
  • Reduction in operating expenses mainly driven by successful realization of Deutsche Wohnen synergies.
  • Adj. EBITDA up 7.0% as a result of top line growth combined with efficient cost control on maintenance and operating expenses.

Rental Segment (€m) 9M 2023 9M 20222 Delta

Rental revenue 2,411.6 2,363.7 +2.0%

Maintenance expenses -311.2 -326.5 -4.7%

Operating expenses -297.1 -351.9 -15.6%

Adj. EBITDA Rental 1,803.3 1,685.3 +7.0%

1 Adj. EBITDA Operations margin (Adj. EBITDA Rental + Adj. EBITDA Value-add – intragroup profits) / Rental revenue. Margin 2019 and beyond includes positive impact from IFRS 16. Cost per unit is defined as (Rental revenue – EBITDA Operations + Maintenance) / average no. of units. 2022 and onwards incl. Deutsche Wohnen. 9M 2023 CPU annualized. 2 In Q4 2022 the segment Deutsche Wohnen was dissolved and integrated into the segments Rental, Value-add, Recurring Sales, Development and Nursing. Prior-year figures adjusted accordingly.

Rental Segment

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

  • Accelerating market rent growth but fluctuation remains low.
  • Vacancy rate only a function of turnaround time in case of fluctuation.
  • Virtually full rent collection.
  • Capitalized maintenance reduced y-o-y.

Vacancy rate (eop, %)

Expensed and capitalized maintenance (€/sqm)

Collection rate for rental income and all

ancillary expenses (%)

2023-11-03 | 9M 2023 Earnings Call 9

1 OVM = local comparable rent. % value refers to Mietspiegel/OVM adjustments already implemented. 2 German portfolio only.

Additional Information on Mietspiegel/OVM Growth

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

In 2022, the acceleration in Mietspiegel/OVM1 growth started creating a bow wave of rent growth that comes with delayed implementation because the rules-based rental system does not always allow for the immediate implementation of the full rent growth; a portion of the Mietspiegel/OVM rent growth implementation is often delayed, particularly because of

  • the local maximum over three years ("Kappungsgrenze": 11% in Berlin, 15% in markets defined as tight and 20% elsewhere);
  • the 15-months hiatus between two rent increases.

This additional rent growth is irrevocably linked to each specific apartment but it can only be implemented with a time lag.

The maximum Mietspiegel/OVM level is marked in our SAP operating system apartment by apartment, and the remaining step-up will be automatically implemented immediately after the restriction period has lapsed.

1 OVM = local comparable rent. % value refers to Mietspiegel/OVM adjustments already implemented. The amount shown for "Mietspiegel/OVM (still to be implemented)" refers to the amount accumulated in a given year; the implementation is not necessarily in the same year.

Value-add Segment

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

EBITDA reduction driven by challenges in craftsmen organization

  • reduced investment volume weighed on profitability;
  • increased cost base;
  • reorganization process underway.

External revenue growth mostly driven by energy and PV installations.

Value-add Segment (€m) 9M 2023 9M 20221 Delta
Revenue Value-add 904.7 947.9 -4.6%
of which external 94.9 91.2 +4.1%
of which internal 809.8 856.7 -5.5%
Operating expenses Value-add -831.4 -822.6 +1.1%
Adj. EBITDA Value-add 73.3 125.3 -41.5%

1In Q4 2022 the segment Deutsche Wohnen was dissolved and integrated into the segments Rental, Value-add, Recurring Sales, Development and Nursing. Prior-year figures adjusted accordingly.

Operations (multimedia, smart metering, energy)

Revenues in Value-add Segment

Residential environment Third-party management

VTS

29%

14%

3%

54%

Recurring Sales Segment

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

  • Disposal volumes still below prior years.
  • Fair-value step-up remained very high with almost 43% in 9M 2023; partly driven by relatively high share of volume in Austria.
  • Focus remains on liquidity generation over price optimization.

Recurring Sales Segment (€m) 9M 2023 9M 20221 Delta
Units sold 958 1,853 -48.3%
Revenue from recurring sales 209.1 413.5 -49.4%
Fair value -146.3 -286.2 -48.9%
Adjusted result 62.8 127.3 -50.7%
Fair value step-up 42.9% 44.5% -1.6pp
Selling costs -11.2 -14.5 -22.8%
Adj. EBITDA Recurring Sales 51.6 112.8 -54.3%
Free Cash2 170.3 358.3 -52.0%
Cash conversion3 81% 87% -6pp

1In Q4 2022 the segment Deutsche Wohnen was dissolved and integrated into the segments Rental, Value-add, Recurring Sales, Development and Nursing. Prior-year figures adjusted accordingly. 2 Revenue minus selling costs minus taxes. 3Free cash in relation to revenue. 42018 onwards also including Recurring Sales in Austria.

2023-11-03 | 9M 2023 Earnings Call 12

Development Segment

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

  • Project-driven nature of development business and overall market conditions resulted in substantially lower volume in 9M 2023, as prioryear period was also positively impacted by a large global exit.
  • Lower gross margin in the context of overall market environment.
  • Focus remains on liquidity generation over price optimization.

Development Segment (€m) 9M 2023 9M 20221 Delta
Revenue from
disposal of to-sell properties
267.9 466.0 -42.5%
Cost of Development
to sell
-233.4 -372.0 -37.3%
Gross profit
Development to sell
34.5 94.0 -63.3%
Gross margin Development to Sell (DtS) 12.9% 20.2% -7.3pp
Fair value
Development to hold
218.3 204.7 +6.6%
Cost of Development to hold2 -205.2 -154.2 +33.1%
Gross
profit Development to hold
13.1 50.5 -74.1%
Gross margin Development to Hold (DtH) 6.0% 24.7% -18.7pp
Rental revenue Development 3.5 2.5 +40.0%
Operating expenses Development -23.1 -24.9 -7.2%
Adj. EBITDA Development 28.0 122.1 -77.1%

1 In Q4 2022 the segment Deutsche Wohnen was dissolved and integrated into the segments Rental, Value-add, Recurring Sales, Development and Nursing. Prior-year figures adjusted accordingly. 2 Excluding €0.5m (9M 2022: €0.0m) capitalized interest.

EPRA NTA

Business Update &
9M 2023 Results Appendix
EPRA NTA
(€m)
(unless indicated otherwise)
Sep. 30, 2023 Dec. 31, 2022 Delta
Total equity attributable to Vonovia shareholders 27,854.5 31,331.5 -11.1%
Deferred tax in relation to FV gains of investment properties1 14,880.6 16,190.0 -8.1%
FV of financial instruments2 -139,4 -117.5 +18.6%
Goodwill as per IFRS balance sheet -1,391,7 -1,529.9 -9.0%
Intangibles as per IFRS balance sheet -55,7 -129.6 -57.0%
EPRA NTA €###
41,148.3
45,744.5 -10.0%
NOSH (million) 814.6 795.8 +2.4%
EPRA NTA (€/share) 50.51 57.48 -12.1%

1 Hold portfolio only. 2Adjusted for effects from cross currency swaps. 3 Per-share impact based on new number of shares (814.6m) was -€0.83 for cash dividend and -€0.95 for scrip element.

Investment Program – Addressing the Megatrends

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

• Capital discipline is key.

Investment hurdles have been increased to reflect higher cost of capital. 2023E and 2024E volumes below prior years as a result of revised capital allocation.

1 Calculated as investment amount over fair value; 2023E and 2024E based on 9M 2023 fair value.

Debt Structure

Well-balanced and Long-term Maturity Profile with Diverse Funding Mix

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

  • Diverse funding mix with no more than 12% of debt maturing annually.
  • Combination of debt KPIs, fixed/hedged debt ratio and maturity profile remains key in overall funding strategy.
  • Well-balanced maturity profile and the heterogeneous funding mix safeguard sufficient flexibility for future refinancings.
  • All unsecured maturities covered until end of Q1 2025.
  • General strategy of rolling over secured debt and repaying unsecured bonds with disposal proceeds to continue.

KPI / criteria Oct. 31, 2023 Dec. 31, 2022
Corporate rating
(Scope) Outlook: negative
A- A
Corporate rating (S&P) Outlook: stable BBB+ BBB+
Corporate rating (Moody's) Outlook: stable Baa1 Baa1
Fixed/hedged debt
ratio
98% 96%
Average cost of
debt
1.7% 1.5%
Weighted average maturity (years) 6.7 7.4
Average fair market value of debt 85% 83%

1 SSD = Schuldscheindarlehen (promissory notes), ISV = Inhaberschuldverschreibungen (bearer bonds), NSV = Namensschuldverschreibungen (registered bonds) 2 Sep. 30, 2023, adjusted for repayment of USD250m bond.

Debt KPIs and Bond Covenants

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

€m (unless indicated otherwise) Sep. 30, 2023 Dec. 31, 2022 Delta
LTV (target: 40-45%)
Adj. net debt 42,149.2 43,320.1 -2.7%
Adj. fair value of real estate
portfolio
90,035.1 96,051.7 -6.3%
LTV 46.8% 45.1% +1.7 pp
Pro forma LTV1 45.0% 45.1% -0.1 pp
ND/EBITDA multiple (target: 14-15x)
Net debt (end
of period)
42,149.2 43,320.1 -2.7%
Adj. EBITDA (LTM) 2,662.9 2,763.1 -3.6%
ND/EBITDA multiple 15.8x 15.7x +0.1x
Pro forma ND/EBITDA
multiple1
15.2x 15.7x -0.5x
ICR (target: at least 3.5x)
Adj. EBITDA (LTM) 2,662.9 2,763.1 -3.6%
Net Cash Interest (LTM) 608.9 502.6 +21.2%
ICR 4.4x 5.5x -1.1x
Bond covenant Required
level
Current
level
Headroom
LTV
(Total financial debt /
total assets)
<60% 45.9% Fair values would have to drop
~26% for the LTV to cross 60%.2
Secured LTV
(Secured debt / total
assets)
<45% 13.7% Fair values would have to drop
~77% for the secured LTV to cross
45%.2
ICR
(LTM Adj. EBITDA /
LTM
net cash interest)
>1.8x 4.4x Interest expenses would have to
increase 143% to ca. €1.5bn for the
ICR to fall below 1.8x.3
Unencumbered
assets
(Unencumbered assets
/ unsecured debt)
>125% 153% Fair values would have to drop 22%
for the unencumbered assets ratio
to fall below 125%.2

1 Pro forma Sep. 30, 2023, Adj. net debt, Adj. fair value of real estate portfolio, Net debt (end of period), and Adj. EBITDA (LTM) adjusted for disposals signed after Q3. 2 Headroom calculations are based on sensitivities regarding changes in investment properties, not total assets, while all other variables are kept unchanged. 3 Headroom calculations are based on sensitivities regarding changes in net cash interest in relation to Adj. EBITDA, while all other variables are kept unchanged. Calculation of current levels in the appendix.

Financing Update 2023 YTD

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

€0.8bn secured loans rolled over

  • 9 loans
  • 10-year maturities
  • Weighted average interest rate of 4.03% (3.5% 4.3% range1)

€0.6bn new secured loans

  • €125m Nord LB
  • €130m UniCredit
  • €175m Berliner Sparkasse
  • Four additional loans with an aggregate volume of €160m
  • 8-10 year maturities
  • Weighted average interest rate of 3.75% (3.7% 4.3% range1)

€1.4bn new unsecured loans

  • €600m EIB (of which €150m undrawn)2
  • €150m CaixaBank
  • €30m other
  • 5-8 year maturities
  • Weighted average interest rate of 3.5%
  • €600m bridge-to-capital markets facility 2+1 years (undrawn)

€3.0bn RCF/CP extended by two years with unchanged terms (150m drawn).

Work on additional (un)secured debt is well underway.

1 Interest rate range excl. subsidized loans from public institutions at interest rates well below market rates. 2 Signed end of 2022.

  • General strategy of rolling over secured debt and repaying unsecured bonds with disposal proceeds to continue.
  • Additional bank financing as back-up, capitalizing on the spread between unsecured debt and (less expensive) bank debt.
  • €3.8bn pro forma cash position:
    • €1.1bn cash on hand (Sep 30, 2023).
    • €0.75bn loans signed but undrawn.
    • €2.0bn disposals signed but not closed yet.
  • All unsecured maturities covered until end of Q1 2025.

Maturity profile for the next 24 months (€m)

Final 2023 Guidance

  • Final outcome for 2023E organic rent growth largely dependent on fluctuation rate.
  • Revenue, EBITDA, and Group FFO impacted by headwinds from lower investment volumes and challenging market conditions for Recurring Sales and Development to Sell.
  • Focus remains on cash generation. Sales proceeds to delever to come predominantly from sales outside the EBITDA segments.
Guidance 2023
(Aug. 2023)
Final Guidance 2023
(Nov. 2023)
Total
Segment Revenue
€6.4bn -
€7.2bn
Moderatly
below prior year, driven by lower investment volumes and challenging
market conditions for Recurring Sales and Development to Sell
Rental Revenue €3.15bn –
€3.25bn
Upper end of €3.15bn –
€3.25bn
range
Organic rent growth (eop) 3.6% -
3.9%
3.7%-3.8%
Recurring Sales (# of units) Suspended Suspended
FV step-up Recurring Sales Suspended Suspended
Adj. EBITDA Total €2.6bn -
€2.85bn
Lower end of €2.6bn -
€2.85bn
range
Group FFO €1.75bn -
€1.95bn
Midpoint of €1.75bn -
€1.95bn range
Group FFO p.s. (eop
shares)
€2.15 –
€2.39
Midpoint
of €2.15 –
€2.39 range
Dividend ~70% of Group FFO
after non-controlling interests.
Policy unchanged; finalization pending visibility on relevant factors (e.g. leverage,
property valuations, and disposals) and to be made at the latest in March 2024.
Investments Portfolio Investments: ~€500m
Space creation: ~€350m
Portfolio Investments: ~€500m
Space creation: ~€350m
SPI ~100% 105%-110%

Initial 2024 Guidance

We expect the general direction of our business along these lines:

  • Rental Revenue in line with 2023E in spite of the negative volume impact from asset disposals.
  • Adj. EBITDA Total in line with 2023E.
  • Moderate decline in Group FFO and Group FFO p.s. compared to 2023E, resulting from higher taxes due to sales and increased interest costs.
  • Moderate increase of invest volume compared to 2023E.
  • SPI of ~100%.
  • Organic rent growth 2024E to be quantified with FY2023 reporting.
  • €3bn gross proceeds from further disposals (signed).

Investigation Update

Background In March 2023, investigators searched the company headquarters and another Vonovia site in Bochum;

the authorities were acting on the suspicion of potentially problematic activities in the awarding of
contracts to subcontractors in the context of heating systems.

Vonovia is an injured party, not the defendant.
We have the greatest interest in a swift and comprehensive clarification of the allegations. To this end, we

are not only cooperating fully with the investigating authorities, but also instructed Hengeler
Mueller and
Deloitte to carry out an internal investigation.
Status
Update

The internal investigation supported by Hengeler
Mueller and Deloitte is almost concluded.

The investigation is thorough and comprehensive: As part of the forensic analysis, a large set of data,
including several million emails and hundreds of individual business processes have been evaluated.
This data analysis has been followed by individual interviews to further support the analysis.


Before Vonovia
submits a final assessment, we would first like to exchange our state of knowledge and
discuss our findings with the respective public prosecutor's office.
We expect this to take place in the coming months.

Appendix Business Update &

9M 2023 Results

Wrap-up

Core rental business with continuously strong performance and sustainable growth.

Transactions are possible in spite of the challenging market environment but they need time and careful preparation and execution.

All unsecured maturities covered until the end of Q1 2025 from successful cash generation through disposals and continued roll-over of secured debt as well as new secured and unsecured bank debt.

We remain fully committed to our disposal efforts to further strengthen the balance sheet and bring the debt KPIs back into the target ranges.

Fair value headroom allows us to continue to act from a position of strength, and we are not forced to take drastic measures that would be detrimental to the long-term nature of our business and/or destroy longterm shareholder value.

Appendix Business Update &

9M 2023 Results

1. Business Update & 9M 2023 Results pages 3-22

  1. Appendix pages 23-56

Appendix

  • 25 Megatrends
  • 26 Vonovia's Growth Drivers
  • 27-28 Regional Markets & Portfolio Clusters
    • 29 Fluctuation
  • 30 Vonovia's PV Program
  • 31-36 ESG
  • 37-39 Lenders Outside Bond Market, Bond Overview & Covenants
  • 40 LTV evolution in German Resi
  • 41 Inflation & Rent Growth
  • 42-51 Residential Market Data
  • 52-53 Vonovia Shares
    • 54 IR Contact & Financial Calendar
    • 55 Disclaimer

Our Business Is Supported by Two Dominant Megatrends…

…But the Current Environment is a Short-term Challenge

  • In addressing the consequences of the Russian war on Ukraine, central banks around the world have been increasing interest rates at an unprecedented speed.
  • The drawback of Vonovia's stable business model in a regulated market is that it reacts only slowly to the new environment, and the initial impact on our KPIs is negative.
  • However, the new environment also accelerates the relevant megatrends around which we have built our business, leading to even stronger fundamentals in the medium- and long-term.

Expected demand, permits, completions ('000 units)1 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E Cum. gap up to 400k Gap up to 320k Cum. gap up to 520k Cum. gap up to 700k completions permits additional demand Ukraine war expected demand new construction Gov't target

Urbanization & Supply/Demand Imbalance Climate Change

Appendix Business Update &

9M 2023 Results

Development of green house gas emissions in the building sector (Germany)2

1 Adapted from ZIA forecast based on Empirica and Pestel Institute. 2 Agora Energiewende (2023): "Die Energiewende in Deutschland: Stand der Dinge 2022. Rückblick auf die wesentlichen Entwicklungen sowie Ausblick auf 2023." 2022 is an estimate.

Vonovia is uniquely positioned as the best-in-class operator and sustainability leader in a structurally undersupplied asset class.

Appendix Business Update &

9M 2023 Results

Regional Markets

Balanced Exposure to Relevant Growth Regions

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

Fair value1 In-place rent
Regional Markets
(Sep. 30, 2023)
(€bn) (€/sqm) Residential
units
Vacancy
(%)
Total
(p.a., €m)
Residential
(p.a., €m)3
Residential
(€/sqm/
month)3
Organic rent
growth
(y-o-y, %)
Multiple
(in-place
rent)
Purchase power
index (market
data)2
Market rent
increase forecast
Valuation (% p.a.)
Average rent
growth (LTM, %)
from Optimize
Apartment
Berlin 25.6 2,879 143,942 1.0 813 774 7.57 3.3 31.5 84.0 2.3 39.2
Rhine Main Area (Frankfurt, Darmstadt, Wiesbaden) 7.0 2,934 36,575 2.8 261 251 9.28 3.2 26.6 103.3 2.2 34.4
Dresden 5.4 1,955 45,017 2.4 222 208 6.79 2.8 24.2 85.8 2.1 24.0
Southern Ruhr Area (Dortmund, Essen, Bochum) 5.3 1,969 43,018 2.6 225 219 7.05 4.4 23.7 89.0 1.9 32.8
Rhineland (Cologne, Düsseldorf, Bonn) 5.2 2,455 31,659 1.9 210 199 8.14 2.8 25.0 100.4 2.1 34.4
Hamburg 3.4 2,665 20,117 1.0 125 120 8.02 3.4 27.5 97.5 2.0 39.2
Munich 3.1 4,241 10,856 1.5 83 79 9.67 9.5 37.2 119.2 2.3 51.4
Hanover 3.0 2,109 22,087 2.1 128 121 7.40 3.7 23.7 89.8 2.0 33.8
Kiel 2.9 1,925 25,323 2.1 131 125 7.34 4.4 22.1 75.7 2.0 37.9
Stuttgart 2.4 2,805 13,335 1.6 90 87 8.84 3.7 26.6 102.6 2.2 28.0
Northern Ruhr Area (Duisburg, Gelsenkirchen) 2.1 1,399 24,443 2.6 117 113 6.41 2.7 18.3 80.4 1.6 26.6
Leipzig 2.0 1,994 14,267 3.0 79 72 6.56 2.1 25.6 77.6 2.0 24.1
Bremen 1.5 2,046 11,732 1.5 58 56 6.64 3.2 25.7 83.1 2.1 31.5
Westphalia (Münster, Osnabrück) 1.1 1,826 9,438 2.1 52 51 7.05 3.0 21.8 89.6 2.0 27.7
Freiburg 0.8 2,702 4,033 1.1 28 27 8.39 2.8 26.6 86.3 2.0 36.0
Other Strategic Locations 3.5 1,991 27,568 3.1 156 150 7.43 2.6 22.8 2.0 33.9
Total Strategic Locations 74.4 2,431 483,410 1.9 2777 2652 7.59 3.4 26.8 2.1 34.2
Non-Strategic Locations 0.4 1,714 3,543 3.7 23 19 6.96 1.9 19.1 1.9 40.1
Total Germany 74.9 2,425 486,953 1.9 2800 2670 7.58 3.4 26.7 2.1 34.2
Vonovia Sweden 6.4 2,071 39,628 3.5 344 319 9.78 5.1 18.4 2.1 -
Vonovia Austria 2.9 1,686 21,417 4.7 123 97 5.42 10.7 23.8 1.7 -
Total 84.2 2,359 547,998 2.1 3267 3087 7.67 3.8 25.8 2.1 2.1 n/a

1 Fair value of the developed land excluding €4.5bn, of which €0.5bn for undeveloped land and inheritable building rights granted, €0.2bn for assets under construction, €2.3bn for development, €1.1bn for nursing portfolio and €0.4bn for other.

2 Source: GfK (2023). Data refers to the specific cities indicated in the table, weighted by the number of households where applicable. 3 Based on the country-specific definition. In-place rents in Austria and Sweden are not fully comparable to Germany, as Sweden includes ancillary costs and Austria includes maintenance and property improvement contributions from tenants. The table above shows the rental level unadjusted to the German definition.

Portfolio Clustering

Sep. 30, 2023 Resi
units
In-place
rent
p.a.)3
(€m
In-place
rent
3
(€/sqm)
Vacancy
rate
Fair value
(€bn)
Fair value
(€/sqm)
Gross
yield
ults
s
e
R
nt
e
O
m
F
F
c
gi
e
Urban quarters
& clusters
(Germany)
421,896 2,362 7.51 1.8 63.2 2,401 3.8%
at
Str
Sweden 39,628 344 9.78 3.5 6.4 2,071 5.7%
g
d
e
S
n
n
a
i
d
e
d
s
e
al
S
g
n
Germany 27,929 173 7.47 2.7 4.7 2,419 3.8%
u
cl
n
I
urri
ec
R
Austria 21,417 123 5.42 4.7 2.9 1,686 4.4%
nt
e
O
ot
m
F
F
g
n
s
al
os
p
MFH
Sales
23,143 175 9.45 1.4 5.4 3,489 3.3%
d
e
s
S
n
al
n
ults a
os
d i
p
e
s
d
s
Di
u
e
R
cl
n
i
s
Di
al
n
o
Non Core 13,985 90 6.61 4.1 1.6 1,500 6.0%
diti
d
A
DW Nursing 72 properties 1.1 n/a 6.6%1
Total2 547,998 3,267 7.67 2.1 84.2 2,359 4.0%

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

German portfolio comprises of strategic assets in 15 urban growth regions that are held in larger urban quarters (~ 3/4) and smaller urban clusters (~ 1/4).

Swedish Properties are located in Sweden's three large urban areas Stockholm, Gothenburg, and Malmö.

EBITDA contribution is shown in Recurring Sales Segment.Single-unit disposals to owner-occupiers and retail investors.

Outside of Core Business Segments and included in Other Income.

Focus on cash generation.

  • MFH: low yielding assets outside urban quarters.
  • Non-core: non-strategic residential and commercial properties.

DW Nursing: Vonovia is supportive of disposal efforts at acceptable terms.

1 Calculated as 9M 2023 Segment EBITDA annualized / fair value (Sep. 30, 2023). 2 Excl. DW Nursing. 3 Based on the country-specific definition. In-place rents in Austria and Sweden are not fully comparable to Germany, as Sweden includes ancillary costs and Austria includes maintenance and property improvement contributions from tenants. The table above shows the rental level unadjusted to the German definition.

Evolution of Tenant Fluctuation

  • The fluctuation rate has been steadily declining since the IPO and is currently <8%.
  • The fluctuation rate level impacts the overall rent growth as the contribution from new lettings is usually comparatively high (rent growth of ca. 10% without investments and ca. 30% with investments).

2023 onwards including Deutsche Wohnen.

Appendix Business Update &

9M 2023 Results

Roll-out of PV Generation Capacity

PV Generates an Attractive IRR of ~10%

2,000 30,000 Current 2030 Goal Photovoltaic installations (no. of roofs) Energy generation capacity (MWp) 33 280 Current 2030 Goal 180 300 500 250 530 Vonovia's Portfolio Offers Substantial Potential for Electric Power Generation (MWp) (long-term)

Major photovoltaic power plant in France

Appendix Business Update &

9M 2023 Results

Cestas Núñez de Balboa Vonovia potential

Major photovoltaic power plant in Spain

280

(by 2030)

(phases 1 + 2)

Serving a Fundamental Need in a Highly Relevant Market

Our Business Is Deeply Rooted in ESG

All of our actions have more than just an economic dimension and require adequate stakeholder reconciliation.

  • We provide a home to almost 1.5 million people from ca. 150 nations.
  • CO2 emissions related to housing are one of the largest sources of greenhouse gas emissions.
  • As a listed, blue-chip company we are rightfully held to a high standard.

built on trust

Appendix Business Update &

9M 2023 Results

Megatrends

Three Dominant Megatrends in Residential Real Estate

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

20%

29%

71%

80%

2015

Sources: United Nations, European Union.

Commitment to Sustainability

Science-based Decarbonization Roadmap with Measurable Interim Targets

  • Accelerated decarbonization with near CO2 neutrality by 2045.
  • Following CRREM MFH 1.5 degree pathway.
  • Including Scope 1, 2 and 3.3.

CO2

intensity in kg CO2e/sqm per year1

The 3 levers of our climate path

Appendix Business Update &

9M 2023 Results

Continue deep renovation.

Replace conventional heating with hybrid systems and heat pumps.

PV on all suitable roofs.

Own local heating networks in Urban Quarters powered with renewable energy.

Transformation of the energy sector towards carbonfree district heating and green electricity.

1 Includes scopes 1 & 2 as well as scope 3.3 "Fuel- and energy-related activities upstream;" referring to German building stock (incl. Deutsche Wohnen). Development of energy sector according to Scenario Agora Energiewende KNDE 20245; For comparison: CRREM pathway MFH 1.5° DE 2045=5.4kg CO2e/sqm per year (07/2021); Climate pathway development supported by Fraunhofer ISE. Per-sqm values based on rental area, not total floor space. Data refers to year end. ** CO2 intensity for 2022 better than expected at the time of planning.

1

2

3

United Nations Sustainability Development Goals

Vonovia Has a Meaningful Impact on 8 SDGs

Appendix Business Update &

9M 2023 Results

Recognition of ESG Performance

ESG Ratings and Indices

Vonovia is a constituent of various ESG indices, including the following: DAX 50 ESG, STOXX Global ESG Leaders, EURO STOXX ESG Leaders 50, Dow Jones Sustainability Index Europe.

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

Corporate Governance

AGM, Supervisory Board, Management Board

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

  • The duties and authorities of the three governing bodies derive from the SE Regulation, the German Stock Corporation Act and the Articles of Association. In addition, Vonovia is fully in compliance with the German Corporate Governance Code.
  • In the two-tier governance system, the management and monitoring of the business are strictly separated from each other.

Annual General Meeting (AGM)

  • Shareholders can exercise their voting rights (One Share, One Vote).
  • Decision making includes the appropriation of profit, discharge of members of the SVB and MB, and capital authorization.

Two-tier Governance System

Supervisory Board (SVB)

  • Appoints, supervises and advises MB and approves decisions of fundamental importance to the company
  • Examines and adopts the annual financial statements
  • Forms Supervisory Board Committees
  • Fully independent
  • Board profile with all required skills and experience

(Chairwoman)

Dr. Florian Funck

Dr. Ute Geipel-

CEO Rolf Buch

CFO Philip Grosse

CRO Arnd Fittkau

CDO Daniel Riedl

CHRO Ruth Werhahn

Dr. Daniela Gerd tom Markotten

Management Board (MB)

  • Jointly accountable for independently managing the business in the best interest of the company and its stakeholders
  • Informs the SVB regularly and comprehensively
  • Develops the company's strategy, coordinates it with the SVB and executes that strategy

Müller

Who Are Vonovia's Lenders Outside the Bond Market?

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

Bonds & Ratings

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

Name Tenor & Coupon ISIN Amount Issue price Price2 Yield2 Coupon Final Maturity Date Moodys Scope S&P
Bond 010C (EMTN) 8 years 2.250% DE000A18V146 EUR 876,8m 99,085% 99,55% 4,51% 2,250% 15-Dez-2023 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 017A (EMTN) 6 years 0.750% DE000A19UR61 EUR 328,6m 99,330% 98,94% 4,53% 0,750% 15-Jan-2024 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 023A (EMTN) 4 years 1.625% DE000A28VQC4 EUR 336,1m 99,831% 98,53% 4,56% 1,625% 07-Apr-2024 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 030A (EMTN) 2 years 3mS+95bps XS2368364522 SEK 500,0m 100,000% 99,27% 6,45% 3mS+95bps 08-Apr-2024 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 027A (EMTN) 3.25 years 0.000% DE000A3E5MF0 EUR 278,3m 100,192% 95,71% 4,67% 0,000% 16-Sep-2024 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 013 (EMTN) 8 years 1.250% DE000A189ZX0 EUR 871,0m 99,037% 96,17% 4,68% 1,250% 06-Dez-2024 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 009B (EMTN) 10 years 1.500% DE000A1ZY989 EUR 485,4m 98,455% 95,79% 4,50% 1,500% 31-Mrz-2025 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond B. 500-2 (DW) 5 years 1.000% DE000A289NE4 EUR 589,7m 98,910% 93,97% 5,03% 1,000% 30-Apr-2025 Baa1 NR BBB+
Bond 020 (EMTN) 6.5 years 1.800% DE000A2RWZZ6 EUR 429,2m 99,836% 95,15% 4,74% 1,800% 29-Jun-2025 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 015 (EMTN) 8 years 1.125% DE000A19NS93 EUR 429,8m 99,386% 93,55% 4,68% 1,125% 08-Sep-2025 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 028B (EMTN) 4.25 years 0.000% DE000A3MP4T1 EUR 1.250,0m 99,724% 90,63% 4,66% 0,000% 01-Dez-2025 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 029A (EMTN) 3.85 years 1.375% DE000A3MQS56 EUR 610,5m 99,454% 92,49% 4,69% 1,375% 28-Jan-2026 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 018B (EMTN) 8 years 1.500% DE000A19X8A4 EUR 652,0m1 101,119% 92,97% 4,58% 1,500% 22-Mrz-2026 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 011B (EMTN) 10 years 1.500% DE000A182VT2 EUR 444,2m 99,165% 92,75% 4,44% 1,500% 10-Jun-2026 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 024A (EMTN) 6 years 0.625% DE000A28ZQP7 EUR 673,0m 99,684% 89,68% 4,52% 0,625% 09-Jul-2026 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 014B (EMTN) 10 years 1.750% DE000A19B8E2 EUR 500,0m 99,266% 90,51% 4,96% 1,750% 25-Jan-2027 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 030B (EMTN) 5 years 3mS+140bps XS2368364449 SEK 750,0m 100,000% 94,88% 7,17% 3mS+140bps 08-Apr-2027 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 031A (EMTN) 4.5 years 4.750% DE000A30VQA4 EUR 750,0m 99,853% 99,20% 5,12% 4,750% 23-Mai-2027 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 027B (EMTN) 6 years 0.375% DE000A3E5MG8 EUR 1.000,0m 99,947% 84,66% 5,16% 0,375% 16-Jun-2027 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 022B (EMTN) 8 years 0.625% DE000A2R8ND3 EUR 500,0m 98,941% 84,35% 5,05% 0,625% 07-Okt-2027 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 017B (EMTN) 10 years 1.500% DE000A19UR79 EUR 491,5m 99,439% 86,93% 5,09% 1,500% 14-Jan-2028 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 029B (EMTN) 6.25 years 1.875% DE000A3MQS64 EUR 715,2m 99,108% 86,90% 5,17% 1,875% 28-Jun-2028 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 028C (EMTN) 7 years 0.250% DE000A3MP4U9 EUR 1.233,4m 99,200% 79,52% 5,24% 0,250% 01-Sep-2028 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 021A (EMTN) 10 years 0.500% DE000A2R7JD3 EUR 500,0m 98,965% 76,84% 5,21% 0,500% 14-Sep-2029 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 027C (EMTN) 8.5 years 0.625% DE000A3E5MH6 EUR 999,0m 99,605% 76,92% 5,31% 0,625% 14-Dez-2029 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 018C (EMTN) 12 years 2.125% DE000A19X8B2 EUR 495,6m 98,967% 83,28% 5,37% 2,125% 22-Mrz-2030 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 023B (EMTN) 10 years 2.250% DE000A28VQD2 EUR 479,7m 98,908% 84,02% 4,64% 2,250% 07-Apr-2030 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond B. 500-3 (DW) 10 years 1.500% DE000A289NF1 EUR 587,3m 98,211% 83,04% 5,23% 1,500% 30-Apr-2030 Baa1 NR BBB+
Bond 024B (EMTN) 10 years 1.000% DE000A28ZQQ5 EUR 704,1m 99,189% 76,79% 5,33% 1,000% 09-Jul-2030 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 031B (EMTN) 8 years 5.000% DE000A30VQB2 EUR 750,0m 99,645% 98,31% 4,48% 5,000% 23-Nov-2030 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 026 (EMTN) 10 years 0.625% DE000A3E5FR9 EUR 600,0m 99,759% 72,22% 5,38% 0,625% 24-Mrz-2031 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 500_S1-T1 (DW) 10 years 0.500% DE000A3H25P4 EUR 318,3m 98,600% 75,67% 5,33% 0,500% 07-Apr-2031 NR NR BBB+
Bond 029C (EMTN) 10 years 2.375% DE000A3MQS72 EUR 786,9m 99,003% 80,63% 5,39% 2,375% 25-Mrz-2032 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 028D (EMTN) 11 years 0.750% DE000A3MP4V7 EUR 1.169,1m 99,455% 68,75% 5,53% 0,750% 01-Sep-2032 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 027D (EMTN) 12 years 1.000% DE000A3E5MJ2 EUR 964,0m 99,450% 68,19% 5,66% 1,000% 16-Jun-2033 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 021B (EMTN) 15 years 1.125% DE000A2R7JE1 EUR 500,0m 99,822% 65,36% 5,61% 1,125% 14-Sep-2034 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 018D (EMTN) 20 years 2.750% DE000A19X8C0 EUR 500,0m 97,896% 72,66% 5,67% 2,750% 22-Mrz-2038 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 022C (EMTN) 20 years 1.625% DE000A2R8NE1 EUR 500,0m 98,105% 59,47% 5,25% 1,625% 07-Okt-2039 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 025 (EMTN) 20 years 1.000% DE000A287179 EUR 500,0m 99,355% 50,39% 5,81% 1,000% 28-Jan-2041 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 500_S2-T1 (DW) 20 years 1.300% DE000A3H25Q2 EUR 265,4m 97,838% 57,01% 5,51% 1,300% 07-Apr-2041 NR NR BBB+
Bond 027E (EMTN) 20 years 1.500% DE000A3E5MK0 EUR 500,0m 99,078% 54,22% 5,10% 1,500% 14-Jun-2041 Baa1 A- BBB+
Bond 028E (EMTN) 30 years 1.625% DE000A3MP4W5 EUR 750,0m 97,903% 46,87% 5,44% 1,625% 01-Sep-2051 Baa1 A- BBB+

Overview includes publicly traded bonds of Vonovia and Deutsche Wohnen (excl. Private Placements, Namensschuldverschreibungen (registered bonds) and Schuldscheindarlehen (promissory notes)). 1 Incl. Tab Bond EUR 200m, Issue date Feb 6, 2020. 2As of end of September 2023. Green Bond. Social Bond.

Bond Covenants

Substantial Headroom for All Covenants

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

Bond covenants Required
level
Current
level
(Sep. 30, 2023)
Headroom
LTV
(Total financial debt / total assets)
<60% 43.8bn
95.6bn
45.9%
On the current total financial
debt level,
fair values would have
to drop ~26% for the LTV to
cross 60%.1
Secured LTV
(Secured debt / total assets)
<45% 13.1bn
95.6bn

13.7%
On the current secured debt
volume, fair values
would have to drop ~77% for the
secured LTV to cross 45%.1
ICR
(LTM Adj. EBITDA / LTM
net cash interest)
>1.8x 2,663m
609m

4.4x
On the current EBITDA
level,
interest expenses would have to
increase 143% to ca. €1.5bn for
the ICR to fall below 1.8x.2
Unencumbered assets
(Unencumbered assets
/ unsecured debt)
>125% 47.1bn
30.8bn

153%
On the current unsecured debt
level, fair values would have to
drop 22% for the unencumbered
assets ratio to fall below 125%.1

1 Headroom calculations are based on sensitivities regarding changes in investment properties, not total assets, while all other variables are kept unchanged. 2 Headroom calculations are based on sensitivities regarding changes in net cash interest in relation to Adj. EBITDA, while all other variables are kept unchanged.

LTV Development of Listed German Resi Peers

Peer Group includes selected listed residential players in Germany. LTVs shown as reported by companies (eop and including hybrids). Vonovia 9M 2023 pro forma.

Appendix Business Update &

9M 2023 Results

Rent Growth & Inflation

• No direct connection between inflation & rent growth but historic data shows strong correlation & similar growth rates over time.

• When inflation shows meaningful acceleration, rent growth cannot keep up initially due to regulatory constraints that delay implementation but rents are expected to grow faster and for longer once inflationary pressure has subsided.

Appendix Business Update &

9M 2023 Results

2023-11-03 | 9M 2023 Earnings Call 41

House Prices & Construction Costs Correlation

Resi Prices Have Been Moving Alongside Construction Prices for 50 Years

Sources: OECD: House price index. Federal Statistics Office: (a) Residential Construction Price Index ("Baupreisindex für Wohngebäude") and (b) Construction land price index ("Preisindex für Bauland").

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

Comps & Implied Building Values

Market Comps and Implied Land Values Suggest Vonovia Valuation Is Conservative

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

Vonovia's implied building values based on reported fair values and current equity valuation (€/sqm)

1 Source: Value Data Insights (formerly empirica-systeme), 9M 2023; 2 Assumption: 10% of sales price. 3 Estimated €4.1k per sqm. 4 Residual value of sales price minus est. developer margin minus est. construction costs. 5 Weighted average across the regions Berlin, Rhine Main, Southern Ruhr Area, Rhineland, Dresden, Hamburg, Stuttgart, Leipzig. 6 Implied fair value based on share price of €21 and LTV of 46.8%.

Vonovia's Fair Values and Rents Are Substantially Below Market

Data Points on Prices for Condos & New Constructions and Rent Levels

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

Price levels

Vonovia fair values versus prices for condos and new constructions (€/sqm)

Rent levels

Vonovia rental levels versus prices for condos and new constructions (€/sqm)

1 Market data is simple average of Dortmund and Essen. 2 Market data is simple average of Frankfurt and Wiesbaden. 3 Values and rents for Vonovia refer to average of that Regional Market. 4 Source: Value Data Insights (formerly empirica-systeme), 9M 2023.

Resi Prices Have Shown No Real Weakness in 50 Years

Only Period of Slight Decline Came During High Vacancy Phase

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

Sources: OECD for house prices and GdW (Association of German Housing Companies) for vacancy rate. There are no reliable national statistics on vacancy levels prior to 1991.

Relation between NIY and Financing Costs

Appendix Business Update &

9M 2023 Results

Residential Market Fundamentals (Germany)

Household Sizes and Ownership Structure

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

Growing number of smaller households Fragmented ownership structure

  • While the overall population in Germany is expected to slightly decline, the number of households is forecast to grow until at least 2035 with a clear trend towards smaller households.
  • The household growth is driven by various demographic and social trends including divorce rates, employment mobility etc.

  • Germany is the largest housing market in Europe with ~43m housing units, of which ~23m are rental units.

  • Ownership structure is highly fragmented and majority of owners are non-professional landlords.
  • Listed sector represents ~4% of total rental market.

Distribution of household sizes (million)

Ownership structure (million units)

Sources: German Federal Statistics Office, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners). 2035E household numbers are based on trend scenario of the German Federal Statistics Office.

Supply/Demand Imbalance

Gap Will Become Even Larger

  • Vonovia considers the structural supply/demand imbalance in urban areas to be the most relevant driver of residential property values.
  • A meaningful improvement to this imbalance is not in sight:
    • Building permits are hard to obtain;
    • Craftsmen capacity remains a scarcity;
    • Residents do not want their neighborhood to change with new construction and new people (NIMBY – "Not In My Back Yard").
  • The rate of completion falls short of current construction targets.
  • At the same time, the actual need for new housing is likely to be substantially larger than widely anticipated:
    • One factor that has received little attention in housing and population forecasts is the retirement of the strongest age group 50-59 years.
    • Over the next 10 years, many members from this age group will be retiring and the younger age groups are all significantly smaller.
    • If Germany is to maintain its current productivity, there remains a gap that can only be replaced through immigration. The Head of Germany's Federal Labor Agency estimates that in order to maintain its productivity, Germany will need to see an inflow of ca. 400k immigrants per year to plug gaps in the work force as the population ages.1
    • After Russia's attack on Ukraine, about 1.1 million people from Ukraine arrived in Germany in 2022.3
  • The incremental demand for housing has so far been largely ignored in discussions around the supply/demand imbalance and the need for new construction.

Age group distribution in Germany (million)2

Appendix Business Update &

9M 2023 Results

1 Source:https://apnews.com/article/europe-business-germany-immigration-migration-066b67d8f256f64f781793d9ea659c59. 2 Source: Federal Bureau for Political Education (www.bpb.de). 3Source: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Press/2023/02/PE23\_N010\_12411.html.

Average disposable income per household in Germany in 2021 was €3,813/month (€45,756/year).1

On that basis, the average cost of a Vonovia apartment in relation to this average disposable household income (unadjusted for recent wage increases) is as shown in the chart below.

Average cost of Vonovia apartment in relation to average disposable household income in Germany

Wage and salary 2 increases have provided additional compensation. Examples

+24% Minimum wage
+10.5% Temp workers
+10.5% Civil servants
+15% Deutsche Post
+12% Deutsche Bahn
+13% Union for wholesale
and export industry

In an effort to mitigate the financial burden from increased cost of living, the government has put in place various support schemes and subsidies with an aggregate amount of ca. €300bn.

The Federal Finance Ministry calculated the financial benefit of different types of households to show what the impact of the government assistance is on individual families.

Average subsidies & benefits

2023E

1 Source: Federal Statistics Office. 2 Source: Handelsblatt based on data provided by the Federal Finance Ministry.

Long-term Positive Fundamentals (Germany)

Positive Fundamentals

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

Urbanization1

• Long-term structural support from

  • Insufficient levels of new construction;
  • Urbanization driving supply/demand imbalance in urban areas;
  • High replacement costs.

Large gap between in-place values and replacement costs2 Structural supply/demand imbalance3

Annual Urban Population at Mid-Year (in million) (RHS)

1 Source: United Nations. 2 Note: VNA 2013 & 2014 refers to Deutsche Annington portfolio at the time. The land value refers to the share of total fair value estimated to relate to the land. 3 Federal Statistics Office for actual completions, 20223-2024E GdW estimate; CDU/SPD government for 2018-2021 and current government coalition (SPD, Greens, FDP (Liberals)) for 2022E-2025E target rate.

Long-term Positive Fundamentals (Sweden)

Positive Fundamentals

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

Urbanization1

Annual Urban Population at Mid-Year (in million) (RHS)

• Long-term structural support from

  • Insufficient levels of new construction;
  • Urbanization driving supply/demand imbalance in urban areas;
  • High replacement costs.

Large gap between in-place values and replacement costs2 Structural supply/demand imbalance3

1 Sources: United Nations. 2 Note: The land value refers to the share of total fair value estimated to relate to the land. Allocation between building and land in Sweden assumed to be similar to Germany. 3 Sources: Swedish National Board of Housing, Building and Planning, Statistics Sweden.

Liquid Large-cap Stock

Total Performance since IPO

Source: Factset until October 31, 2023, company data; VNA and DAX performance are total shareholder return (share price plus dividends reinvested); EuroStoxx50 and EPRA Europe are share price performance only.

Vonovia Shares

Basic Data and NOSH Evolution

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results

First day of trading July 11, 2013
No. of shares
outstanding
814.6 million
Free
float
85.4%
ISIN DE000A1ML7J1
Ticker symbol VNA
Share class Registered shares with no par value
Main listing Frankfurt Stock Exchange
Market segment Regulated
Market, Prime Standard
Major indices DAX 40, GPR 250 World, FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Europe, DAX 50 ESG, STOXX
Global ESG Leaders, EURO STOXX ESG Leaders 50, Dow Jones Sustainability
Index Europe

Evolution of number of shares (million) and use of proceeds from capital increases

IR Contact & Financial Calendar

https://investors.vonovia.de

Appendix Business Update & 9M 2023 Results


1

45
153
T
41 12
45
1
11
1

Contact
Nov 6 Roadshow with Goldman Sachs (Frankfurt)
Nov 7-8 Roadshow with Goldman Sachs (London)
Nov 9 Roadshow with Goldman Sachs (Amsterdam)
Nov 10 Roadshow with Goldman Sachs (virtual)
Nov 13-15 Roadshow with Kepler (USA)
Nov 16 Kepler Pan Euro Real Estate Conference, London (IR only)
Nov 21-23 UBS Asia Debt Capital Markets Issuer/Investor Event 2023 (IR only)
Nov 22 Van Lanschot Kempen Conference, London
Nov 24 SEB Real Estate Seminar, Stockholm (Debt)
Nov 29 UBS Global Real Estate CEO/CFO Conference, London
Nov 30 Société
Générale
Flagship Conference, Paris
Dec 4-5 Jefferies Global Real Estate Conference, Miami Beach (IR only)
Dec 7 Berenberg
European Conference, London
Jan 9-10 GIS Commerzbank & ODDO BHF, New York
Jan 11 Barclays European Real Estate Conference, London
Jan 12 ODDO BHF Forum, Lyon (IR only)
Jan 16 Uni
Credit & Kepler German Corporate Conference, Frankfurt
Mar 15 FY 2023 Results
Apr 30 Q1 2024 Results
Aug 2 H1 2024 Results
Nov 6 9M 2024 Results
Financial Calendar 2023 and 2024

Dates are subject to change. The most up-to-date financial calendar is always available online.

Disclaimer

This presentation has been specifically prepared by Vonovia SE and/or its affiliates (together, "Vonovia") for internal use. Consequently, it may not be sufficient or appropriate for the purpose for which a third party might use it.

This presentation has been provided for information purposes only and is being circulated on a confidential basis. This presentation shall be used only in accordance with applicable law, e.g. regarding national and international insider dealing rules, and must not be distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part, nor may its contents be disclosed by the recipient to any other person. Receipt of this presentation constitutes an express agreement to be bound by such confidentiality and the other terms set out herein.

This presentation includes statements, estimates, opinions and projections with respect to anticipated future performance of Vonovia ("forward-looking statements") which reflect various assumptions concerning anticipated results taken from Vonovia's current business plan or from public sources which have not been independently verified or assessed by Vonovia and which may or may not prove to be correct. Any forward-looking statements reflect current expectations based on the current business plan and various other assumptions and involve significant risks and uncertainties and should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Any forward-looking statements only speak as at the date the presentation is provided to the recipient. It is up to the recipient of this presentation to make its own assessment of the validity of any forward-looking statements and assumptions and no liability is accepted by Vonovia in respect of the achievement of such forward-looking statements and assumptions.

Vonovia accepts no liability whatsoever to the extent permitted by applicable law for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or penalty arising from any use of this presentation, its contents or preparation or otherwise in connection with it.

No representation or warranty (whether express or implied) is given in respect of any information in this presentation or that this presentation is suitable for the recipient's purposes. The delivery of this presentation does not imply that the information herein is correct as at any time subsequent to the date hereof.

Vonovia has no obligation whatsoever to update or revise any of the information, forward-looking statements or the conclusions contained herein or to reflect new events or circumstances or to correct any inaccuracies which may become apparent subsequent to the date hereof.

This presentation does not, and is not intended to, constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with or act as any inducement to enter into any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever.

This presentation is neither an advertisement nor a prospectus and is made available on the express understanding that it does not contain all information that may be required to evaluate, and will not be used by the attendees/recipients in connection with, the purchase of or investment in any securities of the Company. This presentation is selective in nature and does not purport to contain all information that may be required to evaluate the Company and/or its securities. No reliance may or should be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation, or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness.

This presentation is not directed to or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction.

Neither this presentation nor the information contained in it may be taken, transmitted or distributed directly or indirectly into or within the United States, its territories or possessions. This presentation is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States. The securities of the Company have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act") or with any securities regulatory authority of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States. Consequently, the securities of the Company may not be offered, sold, resold, transferred, delivered or distributed, directly or indirectly, into or within in the United States except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and in compliance with any applicable securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States unless registered under the Securities Act.

Tables and diagrams may include rounding effects.

Per share numbers for 2013-2014 are TERP adjusted (TERP factor: 1.051). Subscription rights offering in 2015 due to Südewo acquisition.

Per share numbers for 2013-2020 are TERP adjusted (TERP factor: 1.067). Subscription rights offering in 2021 due to Deutsche Wohnen acquisition.

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