Investor Presentation • Feb 1, 2024
Investor Presentation
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February 2024
| 1 | Hannover Re Group | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 31 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 40 |
| 4 | Investment management | 53 |
| 5 | Capital and risk management | 59 |
| 6 | IFRS 17 | 70 |
| 7 | Interim results Q1-3/2023 | 85 |
| 8 | Outlook | 95 |
| Appendix | 98 |
Limited appetite for larger M&A results in lean and efficient structure
Overview of main/material transactions (and main parts of acquisitions) without e.g. minority shareholdings All lines of business except those stated separately italic = (at least in part) sold
1) Majority shareholder HDI V.a.G.
Jean-Jacques Henchoz Chief Executive Officer
Claude Chèvre
Longevity Solutions
Life & Health Reinsurance
Africa, Middle East, Asia, Australia, Latin America, Western and Southern Europe,
Group Operations and Strategy, Information Technology, Facility Management, Human Resources Management, Corporate Communications, Group Audit, Group Risk Management, Compliance
Clemens Jungsthöfel Chief Financial Officer
Asset Management, Reinsurance Accounting and Valuation, Group Finance, Investor and Rating Agency Relations
Property & Casualty Reinsurance
North America, Aviation and Marine, Credit, Surety and Political Risks, UK, Ireland and London Market, Facultative R/I, Coordination of Property & Casualty Business Group, Quotations
Silke Sehm Property & Casualty Reinsurance
Continental Europe and Africa, Catastrophe XL (Cat XL), Structured R/I and ILS, Retrocessions
Dr. Klaus Miller Life & Health Reinsurance
North America, United Kingdom/Ireland, Northern, Eastern and Central Europe
Sharon Ooi Property & Casualty Reinsurance Asia-Pacific, South Africa
Middle East, Germany, Switzerland, Austria, Italy, Latin America, Iberian Peninsula and Agricultural Risks, Group Legal Services, Run Off Solutions
| Rank Group |
Country | GWP | NPW |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Munich Re |
DE | 51,331 | 48,550 |
| 2 Swiss Re |
CH | 39,749 | 37,302 |
| Hannover Re1 ) 3 |
DE | 35,528 | 29,672 |
| 4 Canada Life Re |
CA | 23,414 | 23,414 |
| Berkshire Hathaway Inc.2) 5 |
US | 22,147 | 22,147 |
| 6 SCOR |
FR | 21,068 | 17,055 |
| Lloyd's3) 4) 7 |
UK | 18,533 | 14,162 |
| 8 China Re |
CN | 16,865 | 15,395 |
| 9 RGA |
US | 13,823 | 13,052 |
| 10 Everest Re |
BM | 9,316 | 8,983 |
| 11 RenaissanceRe |
BM | 9,214 | 7,196 |
| 12 PartnerRe |
BM | 8,689 | 7,544 |
| 13 Korean Re |
KR | 7,804 | 5,797 |
| 14 Arch Capital |
BM | 6,948 | 4,924 |
| MS&AD Insurance Group5) 6) 7) 15 |
JP | 5,153 | n/a |
For further information please see A.M. Best "Market Segment Report" August 2023 (© A.M. Best Europe - Information Services Ltd. - used by permission)
1) Net premium written data not reported; net premium earned substituted
2) Berkshire Hathaway completed its acquisition of Alleghany Corp. on October 19, 2022, and, per US GAAP accounting rules, incurs premiums and expenses only after the acquisition
3) Lloyd's premiums are for reinsurance only. Premiums for certain groups in the rankings also may include Lloyd's Syndicate premiums when applicable
4) Shareholders' funds includes Lloyd's members' assets and Lloyd's central reserves
5) Fiscal year ended March 31, 2023
6) Net asset value used for shareholders' funds
7) Ratios are based on the group's operations
| 1 Hannover Re Group | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Market size primary insurance vs. reinsurance
2022 or latest. Global reinsurance premium: gross written premium of the Top 50 Global Reinsurance Groups according to A.M. Best "Segment Report" (August 2023) Source: © A.M. Best Europe - Information Services Ltd. - used by permission, own research
Market: Sum of Non-life GWP of Top 50 Global Reinsurance Groups according to A.M. Best "Segment Report" (August 2023) Top 10 in 2022: Munich Re, Hannover Re, Swiss Re, Lloyd's, Berkshire Hathaway, SCOR, Everest Re, Renaissance Re, China Re, Partner Re Source: © A.M. Best Europe - Information Services Ltd. - used by permission
Market: Sum of Life GWP of Top 50 Global Reinsurance Groups according to A.M. Best "Segment Report" (August 2023) Top 7 in 2022: Canada Life Re, Swiss Re, Munich Re, RGA, SCOR, Hannover Re, China Re Source: © A.M. Best Europe - Information Services Ltd. - used by permission
Global trends Protection gap Demographic change Climate change
New products/markets Emerging markets Cyber Emerging risks
Capital requirement Regulatory changes Capital models Local GAAP, IFRS
Volatile earnings Expectation of regulators, shareholders and rating agencies
Managing earnings volatility
Gross written premium in m. EUR
| Gross written premium |
in m. EUR | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Africa | 33,276 | |||||||||
| Australia | 27,762 | 1.9% 6.3% 4.0% |
||||||||
| Latin America | 22,598 | 24,770 | 16.0% | |||||||
| Asia | 19,176 | 14.0% | ||||||||
| Other European countries | 13,963 | 14,362 | 17,069 | 16,354 | 17,791 | 6.3% | ||||
| Germany | 3.4% 5.9% 5.6% 6.1% 11.6% |
12.8% | ||||||||
| United Kingdom | 16.4% 9.1% 18.8% |
38.7% | ||||||||
| North America | 29.0% | |||||||||
| Gesamt | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
2020 restated pursuant to IAS 8
2022: net income target achieved in a challenging market environment
Operating profit (EBIT) in m. EUR
| 1 Hannover Re Group | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Dividend per share in EUR Dividend strategy
5-year average RoE of 11.7% is highly satisfactory despite exceptional loss burden
1) After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year rolling average of 10-year German government bond rate ("risk free")
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2018 - 2022 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Company | RoE | Rank | RoE | Rank | RoE | Rank | RoE | Rank | RoE | Rank | avg. RoE | Rank |
| Hannover Re | 12.2% | 1 | 13.3% | 1 | 8.2% | 2 | 10.8% | 2 | 14.1% | 1 | 11.7% | 1 |
| Peer | 7.9% | 3 | 8.7% | 5 | 3.2% | 8 | 4.5% | 8 | 7.3% | 3 | 5.3% | 6 |
| Peer | 1.3% | 9 | 11.9% | 3 | 5.5% | 5 | 13.9% | 1 | 6.4% | 4 | 6.5% | 3 |
| Peer | 8.5% | 2 | 9.6% | 4 | 4.0% | 6 | 9.7% | 3 | 13.2% | 2 | 9.0% | 2 |
| Peer | 4.7% | 6 | 8.0% | 6 | 5.8% | 4 | 6.2% | 6 | 5.9% | 5 | 6.1% | 4 |
| Peer | 5.4% | 4 | 6.9% | 8 | 3.7% | 7 | 7.3% | 4 | -5.3% | 8 | 3.6% | 7 |
| Peer | 4.2% | 7 | 12.9% | 2 | 10.8% | 1 | -1.0% | 9 | -18.4% | 9 | 1.7% | 9 |
| Peer | 1.4% | 8 | 2.5% | 9 | -3.1% | 9 | 5.7% | 7 | 2.6% | 6 | 1.8% | 8 |
| Peer | 4.9% | 5 | 7.3% | 7 | 6.3% | 3 | 6.4% | 5 | 2.1% | 7 | 5.4% | 5 |
| Average | 5.6% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% |
RoE based on company data, own calculation Peers: China Re, Everest Re, Korean Re, Munich Re, Renaissance Re, RGA, SCOR, Swiss Re | 1 Hannover Re Group | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
2022: book value per share decreased mainly due to rising interest rates
Book value and accumulated paid dividends in EUR
Book value per share Paid dividends (cumulative since 1994)
18 Hannover Re: the somewhat different reinsurer
Administrative expense ratio Expense ratio (P&C reinsurance) 5-year average 2)
1) Peers: Munich Re, Swiss Re, SCOR; own calculation
2) Source: A.M. Best "Market Segment Report" 2018 - 2022, (© A.M. Best Europe - Information Services Ltd. - used by permission); Peers: Munich Re, Swiss Re, SCOR
• Reinsurance revenue is lower than IFRS 4 premium mainly due to exclusion of commissions and NDIC
Numbers are FY2022; DA: Directly attributable costs; NDAC: Non-directly attributable costs
• Negative screening / active divestment since 2012
1) Corporates, covered bonds and equities; compared to base year 2019
Performance comparison (incl. reinvested dividends)
29 Hannover Re: the somewhat different reinsurer
| in m. EUR | 2022 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Market capitalisation as of date | 22,371 | 26,085 |
| - Market capitalisation at IPO (Nov 1994) |
1,084 | 1,084 |
| + Dividend payments (cumulative) | 8,197 | 9,157 |
| - Capital increases (1996, 1997, 2001, 2003) |
811 | 811 |
| Value creation since IPO | 28,673 | 33,347 |
| 1 | Hannover Re Group | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 31 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 40 |
| 4 | Investment management | 53 |
| 5 | Capital and risk management | 59 |
| 6 | IFRS 17 | 70 |
| 7 | Interim results Q1-3/2023 | 85 |
| 8 | Outlook | 95 |
| Appendix | 98 |
Distribution channels
• Flexible cost base due to relatively higher share of business written via brokers (~2/3)
Cycle management
Effective cycle management
share in "hard" markets only
• Above-average profitability due
• No pressure to grow due to
to stringent underwriting
line
• Selective growth: increase market
low administrative expense ratio
approach with focus on bottom
and focus on profitability
Conservative reserve policy
GWP split by reporting categories in m. EUR 26% 25% 26% 25% 21% 20% 21% 22% 23% 23% 11% 12% 13% 13% 12% 24% 24% 21% 23% 27% 6% 5% 5% 4% 5% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 11,976 14,781 16,744 19,224 24,242 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Agricultural Risks Aviation and Marine Facultative R/I Credit, Surety and Political Risks Structured R/I and ILS APAC Americas EMEA 1) 1) 1)
Gross written premium split by regions
1) All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately
Breakdown of business written
in % and m. EUR
35 Hannover Re: the somewhat different reinsurer
| in m. EUR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year end1 ) |
Resiliency Reserve2 ) |
Change | Impact on loss ratio |
P&C premium (net earned) |
| 2011 | 1,117 | 162 | 2.7% | 5,961 |
| 2012 | 1,308 | 190 | 2.8% | 6,854 |
| 2013 | 1,517 | 209 | 3.1% | 6,866 |
| 2014 | 1,546 | 29 | 0.4% | 7,011 |
| 2015 | 1,887 | 341 | 4.2% | 8,100 |
| 2016 | 1,865 | -22 | -0.3% | 7,985 |
| 2017 | 1,813 | -52 | -0.6% | 9,159 |
| 2018 | 1,694 | -118 | -1.1% | 10,804 |
| 2019 | 1,457 | -238 | -1.9% | 12,798 |
| 2020 | 1,536 | 80 | 0.6% | 14,205 |
| 2021 | 1,703 | 167 | 1.0% | 16,624 |
| 2022 | 1,378 | -325 | -1.5% | 21,637 |
P&C gross loss reserves3) EUR 41 bn.
1) Figures unadjusted for changes in foreign exchange rate, i.e. based on actual exchange rates at respective year end
2) Resiliency reserve of loss and loss adjustment expense reserve net of reinsurance for its non-life insurance business against held IFRS reserves, before tax and minority participations. WTW reviewed these estimates - see appendix 3) As at 31 December 2022, consolidated, IFRS, IBNR – Incurred but not reported
| Effect on forecast net income in m. EUR | 2021 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100-year loss | (1,452) | (1,378) | |
| Hurricane US/Carribean | 250-year loss | (1,959) | (1,859) |
| Earthquake US West Coast | 100-year loss | (839) | (758) |
| 250-year loss | (1,615) | (1,385) | |
| Winter storm Europe | 100-year loss | (667) | (614) |
| 250-year loss | (1,009) | (874) | |
| 100-year loss | (758) | (645) | |
| Earthquake Japan | 250-year loss | (1,203) | (966) |
| 100-year loss | (493) | (513) | |
| Earthquake Chile | 250-year loss | (1,277) | (1,180) |
| average NatCat losses vs. budget |
Volatility1) | |
|---|---|---|
| (1.4%) | 2.7% | |
| Peers | 1.0% | 5.6% |
• On average, Hannover Re stays within NatCat budget
• Lower volatility of NatCat budget utilisation by Hannover Re compared to peers
All numbers as % of net premium earned and as reported; numbers do not include Covid-19 or Ukraine war impact; Peers: Munich Re, Swiss Re, SCOR 1) Standard deviation
Comments
| 1 | Hannover Re Group | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 31 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 40 |
| 4 | Investment management | 53 |
| 5 | Capital and risk management | 59 |
| 6 | IFRS 17 | 70 |
| 7 | Interim results Q1-3/2023 | 85 |
| 8 | Outlook | 95 |
| Appendix | 98 |
We strive to achieve exceptional results
Life & Health reinsurance
We foster an effective organisational set-up
1,200 experts in 24 offices on all continents
We have a highly agile mindset
We prioritise fast time-tomarket
18 % 13 % 13 % 18 % 13% 13% 16% 16% 15% 18% 16% 16% 17% 17% 42% 42% 38% 38% 40% 27% 29% 30% 29% 7,200 28% 7,815 8,026 8,538 9,033 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Morbidity Mortality Longevity Financial solutions
Mainly driven by Financial Solutions and Longevity business
1) Based on MCEV principles and post-tax reporting (in 2015 cost of capital already increased from 4.5% to 6% in line with Solvency II) 2) Based on Solvency II principles and pre-tax reporting
Whilst positioning ourselves for sustainable growth with a clear strategic focus
Risk Solutions Provide terms and capacity for all types of technical risks
Financial Solutions Achieve financial objectives for our clients
Reinsurance universe Positive economic value expected
| Risk Solutions Competitive terms and appropriate capacity for technical risks |
Financial Solutions Structured agreements to achieve certain financial objectives |
Reinsurance Services Comprehensive range geared towards individual needs |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mortality | Longevity | New Business Financing | Products | Processes | ||
| Health | Morbidity Disability |
Reserve & Solvency Relief | Biometrics Risk Assessment |
|||
| Long Term Care | Critical Illness | Embedded Value Transaction | Underwriting Systems | |||
| Profitability depends largely on the underlying biometric risks |
Profitability is less likely to be affected by the underlying biometric risks |
Only in combination with risk solutions and/ or financial solutions |
Risk of paying more death benefits than expected
Longevity
Status of health
Monthly annuity
Annuity increase
Risk of paying annuities longer than expected
1) Allows people in ill health to receive a higher regular income in recognition of the fact that they, on average, have a shorter life expectancy than a healthy person
Risk of experiencing a higher claims burden from traditional health, critical illness, long-term care, and disability covers
Helps consumers to protect their life quality in case of a life-threatening disease
Critical Illness Payment of lump sum insured
Hannover Re's contribution
| Products | Innovative, e.g. products with little or no underwriting |
|---|---|
| Processes | Lean, e.g. distribution directly to individuals, without advisers |
| Biometrics | Cover of death, disease or disability risks at an appropriate cost |
| Risk assessment | Support for proper medical & claims assessment |
| U/W systems | hr Quirc, hr ReFlex or hr Ascent |
51 Hannover Re: the somewhat different reinsurer
Business All lines of life, health & annuities
Service An important component 4
5
Premium Not the only meaningful benchmark → EBIT
2
Relationship Long term due to very long run-off
Financial solutions business Key driver of earnings
| 1 | Hannover Re Group | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 31 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 40 |
| 4 | Investment management | 53 |
| 5 | Capital and risk management | 59 |
| 6 | IFRS 17 | 70 |
| 7 | Interim results Q1-3/2023 | 85 |
| 8 | Outlook | 95 |
| Appendix | 98 |
42,197 47,629 49,002 56,213 56,940 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Operating cash flow in m. EUR 627 709 935 1,686 1,269 390 821 736 994 850 692 941 919 1,513 1,649 515 39 429 747 1,396 2,225 2,509 3,018 4,940 5,164 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total Assets under own management (AuM) in m. EUR
Funds withheld and contract deposits
Net income from assets under own management
| Asset class | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed Income | 87% | 87% | 85% | 86% | 83% |
| Governments | 44% | 42% | 42% | 40% | 42% |
| Semi-governments | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% |
| Corporates | 29% | 31% | 30% | 32% | 27% |
| Investment grade | 25% | 26% | 25% | 28% | 23% |
| Non-Investment grade | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| Covered Bonds | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2) 4% |
| ABS/MBS/CDO | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Equities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
| Listed | < <0.1% 0 |
<0.1% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
| Private Equities | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Real Assets (without Infra-Debt) | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% |
| Others | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Cash/STI | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| MV AuM in EUR bn. | 42.7 | 48.2 | 49.8 | 56.2 | 57.4 |
Ordinary income split
1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments of EUR 2,061.7 m. (EUR 1,588.2 m.) as at 31 December 2022
2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 59.0%
3) Before real estate-specific costs. Economic view based on market values as at 31 December 2022
Geographical allocation mainly in accordance with our broad business diversification
| Governments | Semi-governments | Corporates | Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS |
Short-term investments, cash |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAA | 75% | 54% | 0% | 59% | - | |||||
| AA | 10% | 23% | 9% | 13% | - | |||||
| A | 10% | 8% | 35% | 13% | - | |||||
| BBB | 4% | 1% | 44% | 13% | - | |||||
| <bbb< td=""> | 1% | 14% | 12% | 2% | - | </bbb<>1% | 14% | 12% | 2% | - |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | |||||
| Germany | 15% | 22% | 3% | 18% | 22% | |||||
| U K |
7% | 1% | 6% | 6% | 7% | |||||
| France | 2% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 1% | |||||
| GIIPS | 0% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 0% | |||||
| Rest of Europe | 3% | 15% | 12% | 21% | 4% | |||||
| USA | 53% | 13% | 32% | 19% | 15% | |||||
| Australia | 2% | 17% | 6% | 5% | 7% | |||||
| Asia | 17% | 26% | 20% | 10% | 39% | |||||
| Rest of World | 2% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 7% | |||||
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |||||
| Total b/s values in m. EUR | 21,088 | 7,553 | 15,096 | 3,571 | 1,855 |
IFRS figures as at 31 December 2022
57 Hannover Re: the somewhat different reinsurer
Duration-neutral strategy intact; lower modified duration as result of yield increases
| 2022 | 4.9 |
|---|---|
| 2021 | 5.8 |
| 2020 | 5.8 |
| 2019 | 5.7 |
| 2018 | 4.8 |
| 2 Property & Casualty reinsurance 31 3 Life & Health reinsurance 40 4 Investment management 53 5 Capital and risk management 59 6 IFRS 17 70 Interim results Q1-3/2023 85 7 Outlook 95 8 Appendix 98 |
1 | Hannover Re Group | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Type | Nominal amount |
Issue date |
Issue ratings S&P / A.M. Best |
First call date |
Maturity | Coupon rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dated subordinated bond ISIN: XS2549815913 |
EUR 750 m. | 2022-11-14 | A / - | 2033-02-26 | 2043-08-26 | Until 2033-08-26: 5.875% p. a. and thereafter 3.75% p. a. above 3 months EURIBOR |
| Dated subordinated bond ISIN: XS2320745156 |
EUR 750 m. | 2021-03-22 | A / - | 2031-12-30 | 2042-06-30 | Until 2032-06-30: 1.375% p. a. and thereafter 2.33% p. a. above 3 months EURIBOR |
| Dated subordinated bond ISIN: XS2198574209 |
EUR 500 m. | 2020-07-08 | A / - | 2030-07-08 | 2040-10-08 | Until 2030-10-08: 1.75% p. a. and thereafter 3.00% p. a. above 3 months EURIBOR |
| Dated subordinated bond ISIN: XS2063350925 |
EUR 750 m. | 2019-10-09 | A / - | 2029-07-09 | 2039-10-09 | Until 2029-10-09: 1.125% p. a. and thereafter 2.38% p. a. above 3 months EURIBOR |
| Undated subordinated bond ISIN: XS1109836038 |
EUR 500 m. | 2014-09-15 | A / a+ | 2025-06-26 | Perpetual | Until first call date: 3.375% p. a. and thereafter 3.25% p. a. above 3 months EURIBOR |
Senior bond not recognised as regulatory capital
1) Plus expected premium As at January 2024
62 Hannover Re: the somewhat different reinsurer
| Group | S&P | A.M. Best |
|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway | AA+ | A++ |
| Hannover Re | AA- | A+ |
| Munich Re | AA-1) | A + |
| XL Bermuda | AA- | A + |
| Swiss Re | AA- | A + |
| Everest Re | A + |
A + |
| Partner Re | A + |
A + |
| SCOR | A + |
A |
| Lloyd's | AA- | 1) A |
Our cost of financing in the capital markets is lower
We create lower capital charges for our cedents
Eligible Own Funds Solvency Capital Requirements (SCR)
1) Excluding minority shareholdings of EUR 650 m.
2) Minimum Target Ratio Limit 180%
| 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% |
243% | -2.0% | 5.4% Positive contribution from L&H and P&C new business |
9.2% EOF decrease due to higher credit spreads and interest rates. SCR mainly affected by interest rate movements. |
-4.1% | 0.3% | 252% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | Year-end 2021 | 1) Model changes |
2) Operating impact |
3) Market variances |
4) Taxes |
5) Capital management |
Year-end 2022 | |
| Eligible own funds | 16,784 | -175 | 1,513 | -442 | -185 | 19 | 17,514 | |
| Solvency capital requirements |
6,904 | -16 | 462 | -438 | 40 | 0 | 6,952 |
Figures in m. EUR.
1) Model changes (pre-tax) in terms of Eligible Own Funds (EOF) relate to the calculation of technical provisions, mainly L&H. Changes in terms of Solvency Capital Requirements (SCR) relate to the regulatory approved internal capital model.
2) Operating earnings and assumption changes (pre-tax). EOF increase includes the L&H new business value of EUR 496 m.
3) Changes (pre-tax) due to movements in foreign exchange rates, interest rates, credit spreads, inflation (mainly investments) and other financial market indicators.
4) Tax payments and changes in deferred taxes.
5) Incl. dividend payments and changes in foreseeable dividends and the issuance of a hybrid bond of EUR 750 m.
1) 250 year return period acc. to our internal model which is equivalent to an occurrence probability of 0.4%.
2) Average stress level of +50 bps, differing by corporate bond issuer rating. Excl. government bonds and incl. impact of changes in dynamic volatility adjustment.
1) Foreseeable dividends and distributions incl. non-controlling interests 2) Net deferred tax assets
As at 31 December 2022 (2021)
Solvency capital requirements based on the internal model
Capital allocation based on Tail Value-at-Risk taking account of the dependencies between risk categories
| 1 | Hannover Re Group | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 31 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 40 |
| 4 | Investment management | 53 |
| 5 | Capital and risk management | 59 |
| 6 | IFRS 17 | 70 |
| 7 | Interim results Q1-3/2023 | 85 |
| 8 | Outlook | 95 |
| Appendix | 98 |
• Main asset classes: Private-Equity, Real-Estate, fixed-income funds
OCI option limits volatility of technical result and equity
CSM release with stabilising effect on overall result
OCI option limits volatility of technical result and equity
Volatility likely to increase due to higher share of assets FVPL, but due to "hold & sell" >90% FVOCI
74 Hannover Re: the somewhat different reinsurer
Reinsurance revenue
P&C reinsurance L&H reinsurance
• Positive impact on combined ratio (magnitude depending on interest rate level)
• Deduction of commissions and NDIC2) from both numerator and denominator
Illustrative translation to IFRS 17 assuming a combined ratio <100 %. 1) Reinsurance revenue (gross) – Reinsurance expenses (ceded) 2) Non-distinct investment component
Insurance service result
12.8 11.0 4.7 IFRS 4 1.1.2022 Change in OCI 30.6.2022 IFRS 17 1.01.2022 Change in OCI 30.6.2022 Total equity in bn. EUR CSM after tax Group net income RoE = Average equity • Unlocking of best-estimate liabilities in L&H results in decrease of shareholders' equity and increase in EBIT (mid to high double-digit millions) Shareholders' equity will be more stable due to improved matching of assets and liabilities RoE uplift of 100bps Accounting impact IFRS 17
All figures as of 1.1.2022, preliminary unaudited figures
• largely aligned with SII methodology, differences in extrapolation
Changes in interest rates will largely be reflected in OCI
All figures as of 1.1.2022, preliminary unaudited figures
All figures as of 1.1.2022, preliminary unaudited figures
| 1 | Hannover Re Group | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 31 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 40 |
| 4 | Investment management | 53 |
| 5 | Capital and risk management | 59 |
| 6 | IFRS 17 | 70 |
| 7 | Interim results Q1-3/2023 | 85 |
| 8 | Outlook | 95 |
| Appendix | 98 |
All figures in m. EUR unless otherwise stated
1) At unchanged f/x rates
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 1.725 bn. in 2023 and no further significant impact from Covid-19 on L&H result
| Property & Casualty R/I |
Q3/2022 | Q3/2023 | Q1-3/2022 | Q1-3/2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinsurance revenue (gross) | 4,539 | 4,371 | 12,389 | 12,736 |
| Reinsurance revenue (net) | 4,154 | 3,701 | 11,259 | 10,885 |
| Reinsurance service result | 209 | 287 | 606 | 885 |
| Reinsurance finance result | (80) | (188) | (229) | (473) |
| Investment result | 285 | 324 | 833 | 949 |
| Other result | (36) | (145) | (184) | (253) |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 378 | 279 | 1,026 | 1,108 |
| Combined ratio (net) | 95.0% | 92.2% | 94.6% | 91.9% |
| New business CSM (net) | 380 | 335 | 1,641 | 2,164 |
| New business LC (net) | (37) | (4) | (273) | (39) |
LC = Loss component All figures in m. EUR unless otherwise stated YTD
Natural and man-made catastrophe losses1)
All figures in m. EUR unless otherwise stated
1) Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross, undiscounted view
| Catastrophe losses1) in m. EUR |
Date | Gross | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Floods, New Zealand | 26 Jan - 6 Feb | 90.4 | 45.7 |
| Wildfires, Chile | 21 Feb - 31 Mar | 22.9 | 22.9 |
| Earthquake, Türkiye | 6 Feb | 279.2 | 273.1 |
| Cyclone "Gabrielle", New Zealand | 10 - 17 Feb | 122.3 | 66.0 |
| Hail / Storm, USA | 01 - 03 Mar | 25.0 | 7.3 |
| Tornadoes / Storm, USA | 24 - 27 Mar | 13.8 | 13.8 |
| Tornadoes / Storm, USA | 30 Mar - 02 April | 51.8 | 40.7 |
| Hail / Storm, USA | 14 - 20 April | 10.1 | 7.5 |
| Rain / Flood, Italy | 16 - 22 May | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Hail / Storm, Italy | 28 Jul - 25 Aug | 131.7 | 131.7 |
| Typhoon "Doksuri", China | 26 - 28 Jul | 15.0 | 15.0 |
| Floods, Europe | 03 - 07 Aug | 31.8 | 31.8 |
| Wildfires, Hawaii | 08 - 10 Aug | 168.0 | 87.2 |
| Wildfires, Canada | 15 - 31 Aug | 23.4 | 21.4 |
| Hurricane "Idalia", USA | 28 - 31 Aug | 64.5 | 55.0 |
1) Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross Large loss budget 2023: EUR 1,725 m., thereof EUR 250 m. man-made and EUR 1,475 m. NatCat
| Catastrophe losses1) in m. EUR |
Date | Gross | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquake, Morocco | 08 Sep | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Typhoon "Haikui", China | 08 Sep | 18.0 | 18.0 |
| Storm "Ophelia", USA | 28 Sep - 03 Oct | 23.6 | 23.6 |
| 18 Natural catastrophes | 1,199.0 | 968.1 | |
| 11 Property losses | 202.3 | 191.1 | |
| 2 Credit losses | 29.7 | 29.7 | |
| 1 Aviation loss | 14.7 | 14.7 | |
| 14 Man-made losses | 246.8 | 235.6 | |
| 32 Major losses | 1,445.8 | 1,203.6 |
|---|---|---|
| ----------------- | --------- | --------- |
1) Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross Large loss budget 2023: EUR 1,725 m., thereof EUR 250 m. man-made and EUR 1,475 m. NatCat
| Life & Health R/I | Q3/2022 | Q3/2023 | Q1-3/2022 | Q1-3/2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinsurance revenue (gross) | 1,977 | 1,870 | 5,943 | 5,778 |
| Reinsurance revenue (net) | 1,836 | 1,690 | 5,533 | 5,233 |
| Reinsurance service result | 161 | 196 | 458 | 677 |
| Reinsurance finance result | (33) | (72) | (90) | (130) |
| Investment result | 83 | 91 | 359 | 315 |
| Other result | (45) | (8) | (90) | (132) |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 166 | 206 | 637 | 730 |
| New business CSM (net) | 117 | 77 | 347 | 228 |
| New business LC (net) | (1) | (4) | (2) | (9) |
All figures in m. EUR unless otherwise stated
| Investments 2016A |
Q3/2022 | Q3/2023 | Q1-3/2022 | Q1-3/2023 | RoI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1) Ordinary investment income 1) |
523 | 517 | 1,399 | 1,458 | 3.4% |
| Realised gains/losses | (15) | (14) | (71) | (58) | -0.1% |
| Depreciations Real Assets, Impairments | (12) | (20) | (35) | (47) | -0.1% |
| Change in ECL | -33 | -6 | -53 | -14 | 0.0% |
| FVTPL2)- Valuation | (50) | 1 | 73 | 58 | 0.1% |
| Investment expenses | (45) | (46) | (119) | (131) | -0.3% |
| Investment result | 368 | 432 | 1,193 | 1,266 | 3.0% |
| Unrealised gains/losses on investments (OCI) | 31 Dec 22 | 30 Sep 23 |
|---|---|---|
| Fixed Income | (4,863) | (5,318) |
| Equities (non-recycling) | (0.1) | (0.1) |
| Real Assets | 546 | 589 |
| Others (Participations etc.) | 275 | 287 |
| Total | (4,042) | (4,444) |
All figures in m. EUR unless otherwise stated
1) Incl. results from associated companies
2) Fair Value Through P/L of financial instruments
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q3/2022 | Q3/2023 | ∆-% | Q3/2022 | Q3/2023 | ∆-% | Q3/2022 | Q3/2023 | ∆-% |
| Reinsurance revenue (gross) | 4,539 | 4,371 | -3.7% | 1,977 | 1,870 | -5.4% | 6,515 | 6,242 | -4.2% |
| Reinsurance service expenses | 4,411 | 3,555 | -19.4% | 1,822 | 1,654 | -9.2% | 6,232 | 5,209 | -16.4% |
| Reinsurance service result (gross) | 128 | 816 | - | 155 | 217 | 39.6% | 283 | 1,033 | - |
| Reinsurance result (ceded) | 81 | (529) | - | 6 | (21) | - | 87 | (550) | - |
| Reinsurance service result | 209 | 287 | 37.3% | 161 | 196 | 21.5% | 370 | 483 | +30.5% |
| Reinsurance finance result | (80) | (188) | 134.5% | (33) | (72) | 115.2% | (113) | (260) | +128.8% |
| Investment result | 285 | 324 | 13.8% | 83 | 91 | 8.8% | 368 | 415 | +12.6% |
| Currency result | 54 | (73) | - | (33) | 30 | - | 21 | (42) | - |
| Other income and expenses | (90) | (72) | -19.7% | (12) | (39) | - | (102) | (111) | +9.3% |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 378 | 279 | -26.4% | 166 | 206 | 24.1% | 544 | 484 | -11.0% |
| Net income before taxes | 523 | 458 | -12.4% | ||||||
| Taxes | Tax ratio Q3/2023 below expected level, mainly driven by geographic income split | (164) | (20) | -88.0% | |||||
| Net income | 359 | 438 | +22.0% | ||||||
| Non-controlling interest | 58 | (1) | - | ||||||
| Group net income | 301 | 439 | +45.8% |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q1-3/2022 | Q1-3/2023 | ∆-% | Q1-3/2022 | Q1-3/2023 | ∆-% | Q1-3/2022 | Q1-3/2023 | ∆-% |
| Reinsurance revenue (gross) | 12,389 | 12,736 | +2.8% | 5,943 | 5,778 | -2.8% | 18,331 | 18,514 | +1.0% |
| Reinsurance service expenses | 11,694 | 10,451 | -10.6% | 5,458 | 5,049 | -7.5% | 17,152 | 15,499 | -9.6% |
| Reinsurance service result (gross) | 695 | 2,286 | - | 484 | 729 | +50.6% | 1,179 | 3,015 | +155.7% |
| Reinsurance result (ceded) | (89) | (1,401) | - | (26) | (53) | +100.6% | (116) | (1,453) | - |
| Reinsurance service result | 606 | 885 | +46.1% | 458 | 677 | +47.8% | 1,064 | 1,561 | +46.8% |
| Reinsurance finance result | (229) | (473) | +106.6% | (90) | (130) | +43.6% | (319) | (602) | +88.8% |
| Investment result | 833 | 949 | +13.8% | 359 | 315 | -12.1% | 1,193 | 1,266 | +6.1% |
| Currency result | 30 | (13) | - | (36) | 5 | - | (6) | (8) | +33.8% |
| Other income and expenses | (214) | (240) | +12.0% | (53) | (137) | +157.4% | (270) | (380) | +40.8% |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 1,026 | 1,108 | +7.9% | 637 | 730 | +14.7% | 1,662 | 1,837 | +10.5% |
| Net income before taxes | 1,598 | 1,746 | +9.3% | ||||||
| Taxes | (369) | (318) | -13.8% | ||||||
| Net income | 1,229 | 1,428 | +16.2% | ||||||
| Non-controlling interest | 113 | 28 | -75.0% | ||||||
| Group net income | 1,116 | 1,399 | +25.4% |
| 1 | Hannover Re Group | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 31 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 40 |
| 4 | Investment management | 53 |
| 5 | Capital and risk management | 59 |
| 6 | IFRS 17 | 70 |
| 7 | Interim results Q1-3/2023 | 85 |
| 8 | Outlook | 95 |
| Appendix | 98 | |
| • | Reinsurance revenue | EUR 24.4 bn. |
|---|---|---|
| • | EBIT | EUR 1.97 bn. |
| • | Net income | EUR 1.8 bn. |
| • | EBIT | EUR 1.10 bn. |
|---|---|---|
| • | EBIT | EUR 0.87 bn. |
|---|---|---|
| Expected contribution from our business groups |
Group financial guidance 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Property & Casualty | Combined ratio < 89% |
Revenue growth > 5% |
| Life & Health | Reinsurance service result > 850 m. |
Group net income EUR ≥ 2.1 bn. |
| Investments | Return on investment ≥ 2.8% |
1) 1) 2021 2022 2023E 2024E |
| 1) IFRS4 |
| 1 | Hannover Re Group | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 31 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 40 |
| 4 | Investment management | 53 |
| 5 | Capital and risk management | 59 |
| 6 | IFRS 17 | 70 |
| 7 | Interim results Q1-3/2023 | 85 |
| 8 | Outlook | 95 |
| Appendix | 98 |
18 March 2024 Annual Press Conference and Analysts' Conference
14 May 2024 Quarterly Statement as at 31 March 2024
Half-yearly Financial Report 2024
11 November 2024 Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2024
Karl Steinle General Manager
Phone: +49 511 5604 - 1500 [email protected]
Axel Bock Senior Investor Relations Manager
Phone: +49 511 5604 - 1736 [email protected]
Rebekka Brust Investor Relations Manager
Phone: +49 511 5604 - 1530 [email protected]
Hannover Rück SE | Karl-Wiechert-Allee 50 | 30625 Hannover, Germany | www.hannover-re.com
| International Securities Identification Number (ISIN) | DE 000 840 221 5 |
|---|---|
| Ticker symbols | |
| -Bloomberg | HNR1 |
| -Thomson Reuters | HNRGn |
| -ADR | HVRRY |
| Exchange listings | |
| -Germany | Xetra, Frankfurt, Munich, Stuttgart, Hamburg, Berlin, Düsseldorf, Hannover (official trading: Xetra, Frankfurt and Hannover) |
| -USA | American Depositary Receipts (Level 1 ADR programme; 2 ADR = 1 share) |
| Market segment | Prime Standard |
| Index inclusion | DAX |
| First listed | 30 November 1994 |
| Number of issued shares1) | 120,597,134 |
| Common shares1) | EUR 120,597,134 |
| Share class | No-par-value registered shares |
• The scope of WTW's work was to review certain parts of the held loss and loss adjustment expense reserve, net of outwards reinsurance, from Hannover Re Group's consolidated IFRS financial statements and the implicit resiliency reserve margin, for the non-life business of Hannover Re Group annually as at each 31 December, most recently as at 31 December 2022. WTW concludes that the reviewed loss and loss adjustment expense reserve, net of reinsurance, less the resiliency reserve margin is reasonable in that it falls within WTW's range of reasonable estimates.
• Life reinsurance and health reinsurance business are excluded from the scope of this review.
• WTW's review of non-life reserves as at 31 December 2022 covered 97.2% / 100.0% of the gross and net held non-life reserves of €41.0 billion and €37.8 billion respectively. Together with life reserves of gross €5.9 billion and net €5.7 billion, the total balance sheet reserves amount to €46.9 billion gross and €43.6 billion net.
• The results shown in WTW's reports are not intended to represent an opinion of market value and should not be interpreted in that manner. The reports do not purport to encompass all of the many factors that may bear upon a market value.
• WTW's analysis was carried out based on data as at evaluation dates for each 31 December. WTW's analysis may not reflect claim development or all information that became available after the valuation dates and WTW's results, opinions and conclusions presented herein may be rendered inaccurate by developments after the valuation dates.
• The results shown in this presentation are based on a series of assumptions as to the future. It should be recognised that actual future claim experience is likely to deviate, perhaps materially, from WTW's estimates. This is because the ultimate liability for claims will be affected by future external events; for example, the likelihood of claimants bringing suit, the size of judicial awards, changes in standards of liability, and the attitudes of claimants towards the settlement of their claims.
• As is typical for insurance and reinsurance companies, claims reporting can be delayed due to late notifications by some claimants and cedants. This increases the uncertainty in the WTW results.
• Hannover Rück SE has asbestos, environmental and other health hazard (APH) exposures which are subject to greater uncertainty than other general liability exposures. WTW's analysis of the APH exposures assumes that the reporting and handling of APH claims is consistent with industry benchmarks. However, there is scope for wide variation in actual experience relative to these benchmarks. Thus, although Hannover Re Group's held reserves show resiliency reserve compared to WTW's indications, the actual fully developed losses could prove to be significantly different to both the held and indicated amounts.
• WTW has not anticipated any extraordinary changes to the legal, social, inflationary or economic environment, or to the interpretation of policy language, that might affect the cost, frequency, or future reporting of claims. In addition, WTW's estimates make no provision for potential future claims arising from causes not substantially recognised in the historical data (such as new types of mass torts or latent injuries, terrorist acts), except in so far as claims of these types are included incidentally in the reported claims and are implicitly developed.
• Sharp increases in inflation in many economies worldwide have resulted from recent rises in energy, food, component and raw material prices driven by wider economic effects of the Russia-Ukraine conflict combined with factors such as supply chain disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and labour shortages. Generally, inflation is expected to remain elevated in the near term despite mitigating policy responses by central banks and governments. Over time reductions in inflation rates to more normative levels, barring future shocks to the global economy are expected. However, prospective inflationary risks remain high due to the continuing Russia-Ukraine conflict and heightened geopolitical tensions with increased possibilities of hitherto unexpected conflict escalation. Longer term implications for inflation from current conflicts, heightened geopolitical tensions, increased energy prices, potential reductions in food supplies, disruption in global trading and their impacts on insurance exposures remain highly uncertain. The WTW analysis makes no explicit allowance for extraordinary future effects that may result from the above factors or other emerging shocks on the projection results.
• In accordance with its scope WTW's estimates are on the basis that all of Hannover Re Group's reinsurance protection will be valid and collectable. Further liability may exist for any reinsurance that proves to be irrecoverable. • WTW's estimates are in Euros based on the exchange rates provided by Hannover Re Group as at each 31 December evaluation date. However, a substantial proportion of the liabilities is denominated in foreign currencies. To the extent that the assets backing the reserves are not held in matching currencies, future changes in exchange rates may lead to significant exchange gains or losses.
• WTW has not attempted to determine the quality of Hannover Re Group's current asset portfolio, nor has WTW reviewed the adequacy of the balance sheet provisions except as otherwise disclosed herein.
• In its review, WTW has relied on audited and unaudited data and financial information supplied by Hannover Rück SE and its subsidiaries, including information provided orally. WTW relied on the accuracy and completeness of this information without independent verification.
• Except for any agreed responsibilities WTW may have to Hannover Re Group, WTW does not assume any responsibility and will not accept any liability to any person for any damages suffered by such person arising out of this commentary or references to WTW in this document.
This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.
While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-todate, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.
Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.
This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.
© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved. Rights of third parties that are used under a Creative Commons licence and are to be guaranteed accordingly remain unaffected and are not to be restricted in any way. Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.
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