Investor Presentation • Nov 16, 2022
Investor Presentation
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer

16 November 2022



Henri Poupart-Lafarge, Chairman and CEO

Conclusion Henri Poupart-Lafarge, Chairman and CEO
―――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――
―――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――
―――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――


Henri Poupart -Lafarge Chairman and CEO

SOLID H1 FINANCIAL RESULTS


6



● Margin and cash on order intake supporting short and mid-term trajectory

BaWû (REGIONAL & SERVICES - Germany)

CORADIA EMUs (EMUs & SERVICES - Romania)



SJ250 (HIGH SPEED - Sweden)

SNCF TGVs (VERY HIGH SPEED - France)


UK GTR (SERVICES – United Kingdom)
&


● Growth across all regions notably from Asia-Pacific and Africa – Middle-East

ROLLING STOCK: €4,360m (+2% vs H1 2021/22) Stabilizing project execution

SERVICES: €1,802m (+16% vs H1 2021/22) Significant step-up driven by Europe and Americas

SIGNALLING: €1,152m (+7% vs H1 2021/22) Stable execution in Europe & APAC, growing in Germany

SYSTEMS: €734m (+41% vs H1 2021/22) Acceleration in execution (Cairo Monorail, Thailand, Montreal)


| Mar 21 | Sep 21 | Mar 22 | Sep 22 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,429 | 1,444 | 1,361 | 1,264 |
.1. Representing sales on projects with a negative margin at completion.
Target 100% by March 2023
7 countries live Target 100% by December 2024 (30 countries)
SYNERGIES FY 2022/23 ~ €200m vs €102m last year


Operational performance back to nominal by March 2023 Supply chain & electronic components challenges fully mitigated in H1


DISTANCE RECORD WITHOUT REFUELING

PUBLIC SUPPORT TO BOOST HYDROGEN






• Successful test on track in July 2022 • Successful tests with automatic lateral signalling systems and obstacle detection


Laurent Martinez CFO

| (in € million) | H1 2021/22 |
H1 2022/23 |
Evolution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 7,443 | 8,048 | +8.1% |
| Cost of Sales |
(6,494) | (6,988) | +7.6% |
| Adjusted Gross Margin before PPA¹ As a % of sales |
949 12.8% |
1,060 13.2% |
+40bps |
| Research and development expenses before PPA2 As a % of sales |
(220) 3.0% |
(231) 2.9% |
+5.0% |
| Selling & Administrative expenses As a % of sales |
(471) 6.3% |
(507) 6.3% |
+7.6% |
| Net interest in equity investees pickup3 |
77 | 75 | (2.6%) |
| Adjusted EBIT ¹ |
335 | 397 | +18.5% |
| Adjusted EBIT margin¹ |
4.5% | 4.9% | +40bps |
Definition in Appendix
Excluding €(30) million of amortisation expenses of the purchase price allocation of Bombardier Transportation.
Definition in Appendix. This mainly includes Chinese joint-ventures


© ALSTOM SA 2022. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
| ~2/3 of backlog with indexation ~50% of H1 sales |
~ 1/3 of backlog without indexation ~50% of H1 sales |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour | costs fixed for 2022/23, Energy costs mostly hedged for 2022/23, Cost-out measures, Customer negotiations |
|||
| • Indexation covering raw materials, energy and labour • ~60% of supplier contracts with fix prices or capped indexation |
• ~10% of sales are short-term with price revisions • Contracts costs factors updated • ~80% of supplier contracts with fix prices or capped indexation |
|||
| Marginal positive impact on H1 2022/23 | ||||
| Net negative impact overall of ~80bps on H1 2022/23 90% orders pipeline with indexation |
| (in € million) | H1 2021/22 |
H1 2022/23 |
Evolution | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 7,443 | 8,048 | +8.1% | |
| Adjusted EBIT |
335 | 397 | +18.5% | |
| Adjusted EBIT margin |
4.5% | 4.9% | +40bps | |
| Restructuring and rationalisation costs |
(47) | (6) | +41 | Integration cost €64m |
| Integration, acquisition and other costs | (32) | (116) | (84) | Remedies €20m |
| Reversal of net interest in equity investees pickup¹ |
(77) | (75) | +2 | Legal fees €17m |
| EBIT before PPA | 179 | 200 | ||
| Financial results | (20) | (24) | (4) | |
| Tax results |
(43) | (48) | (5) | ETR 27% |
| Share in net income of equity investees |
65 | 62 | (3) | |
| Minority interests from continued op. |
(9) | (11) | (2) | |
| Net profit2 Adjusted |
172 | 179 | ||
| PPA net of tax | (196) | (195) | +1 | |
| Net Profit - Continued operations, Group share |
(24) | (16) |
1 This mainly includes Chinese joint-ventures
2 Definition in appendix


1 Change in Working Capital for €(381)m corresponds to the €(343) million changes in working capital resulting from operating activities disclosed in the condensed interim consolidated financial statements from which the €12 million variations of restructuring provisions and €(50)m of variation of Tax working capital have been excluded
| (in € million) | 31 March 2022 |
30 September 2022 |
Variation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contract assets |
3,846 | 4,139 | 293 | |
| Contract liabilities |
(6,155) | (6,299) | (144) | |
| Inventories | 3,274 | 3,604 | 330 | |
| Trade payables | (3,323) | (3,535) | (212) | |
| Trade receivables | 2,747 | 2,572 | (175) | |
| Other current assets/liabilities |
(1,972) | (1,897) | 75 | |
| Working Capital before provisions As a % of sales |
(1,583) (10%) |
(1,416) (9%) |
167 +1% |
Specific downpayment scheme €299m vs €471m in March 2022 Other payables €1,534m vs €1,503m in March 2022 Suppliers with extended payment terms €348m vs €324m in March 2022 Tax and VAT receivables €128m vs €167m in March 2022 |
| Provisions Of which Risks on contracts |
(2,403) (1,361) |
(2,283) (1,264) |
120 97 |
Of which €144m of provisions application |
| Working Capital |
(3,986) | (3,699) | 287(1) |
(1) As per note 15., Total changes in working capital for €287m include €343m changes in operating working capital and €(56)m Others non-cash, mainly changes in working capital resulting from investing activities


4,618 (IN € MILLION)

€357m Neu CP as of September 2022 (vs. €250m as of March 2022 and €750m as of September 2021)
Negotiable European Commercial Papers.
sep-22


March 2022 Sept. 2022


Laurent Martinez CFO


© ALSTOM SA 2022. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.

FY 2022/23 Free Cash Flow outlook confirmed in a range of +€100m to +€300m

Chairman and CEO Henri Poupart -Lafarge

Mid-term 2024/25 targets confirmed
The Group has based its FY 2022/23 outlook on a central inflation scenario reflecting a consensus of public institutions.
The Group also assumes its continuous ability to navigate the electronic components, supply chain and energy challenges as it has done during the first half.

aEBIT 8-10%3
FCF to Adjusted Net profit > 80%4
Dividend payout ratio 25-35%5
SALES CAGR >5%2
MARKET SHARE +5pp1
supported by secular trends
with improving margin
GLOBAL FOOTPRINT, multi-local supply chain


Martin VAUJOUR VP Investor Relations

25 January 2023 Q3 2022/23 publication
29 March 2023 Alstom ESG Day
10 May 2023 FY 2022/23 publication Alstom Investor Day
11 July 2023 Shareholders' assembly


H1 2022/23 backlog per regions and product lines
Backlog breakdown per regions (in € million)
Backlog breakdown per product line (in € million)


H1 2022/23 Sales per regions and product lines
Sales breakdown per regions (in € million)
Sales breakdown per product line (in € million)


| Currencies | H1 2022/23 as a % of sales |
|---|---|
| EUR | 48.9% |
| USD | 13.1% |
| GBP | 12.0% |
| AUD | 5.0% |
| INR | 4.5% |
| ZAR | 2.7% |
| SEK | 2.3% |
| CAD | 1.8% |
| SGD | 1.4% |
| Currencies below 1% of sales |
8.3% |

© ALSTOM SA 2022. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
| (in € million) | H1 2022/23 |
|---|---|
| Total Gross debt, incl. lease obligations (1) |
3 810 |
| Pensions liabilities net of prepaid and deferred tax asset related to pensions (2) |
551 |
| Non controlling interest (3) |
113 |
| Cash and cash equivalents (4) |
(833) |
| Other current financial assets (4) |
(93) |
| Other non-current financial assets (5) |
(49) |
| Net deferred tax liability / (asset) (6) |
(364) |
| Investments in associates & JVs, excluding Chinese JVs (7) |
(133) |
| Non-consolidated Investments (8) |
(80) |
| Bridge | 2 922 |
(1) Long-term and short-term debt and Leases (Note 20), excluding the lease to a London metro operator for €129m due to matching financial asset (Notes 14 and 20)
(2) As per Note 22 net of €(49)m of deferred tax allocated to accruals for employees benefit costs
(3) As per balance sheet
(4) As per balance sheet
(5) Other non-current assets: Loans to Non-consolidated Investments for €18m and deposit on a US loan for €31m (Notes 14 and 20)
(6) Deferred Tax asset and Liabilities - as per balance sheet net of €(49)m of deferred tax allocated to accruals for employees benefit costs
(7) JVs - to the extent they are not included in equity pickup / FCF, ie excluding Chinese JVs.
(8) Non-consolidated investments as per balance sheet

| (in € million) | As per P&L 1 Booking |
|---|---|
| FY 2020/21 | (71) |
| FY 2021/22 | (428) |
| H1 FY 2022/23 | (207) |
| H2 FY2022/23 | (199) |
| FY 2022/23 | (406) |
| FY 2023/24 | (372) |
| FY 2024/25 | (376) |
| FY 2025/26 | (267) |
| FY 2026/27 | (215) |
| FY 2027/28 | (205) |
| FY 2028/29 | (167) |
| FY 2029/30 | (140) |
| FY 2030/31 | (108) |
| FY 2031/32 | (97) |
| Beyond | (290) |
Refer to Note 1.1.1 for explanations on amortisation duration
Excludes PPA other than related to the purchase of Bombardier Transportation
| (in € million) |
Tota l | Ajustments | Tota l | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Con s olida ted Fin a n cia l |
Con s olida ted Fin a n cia l |
|||||
| S ta tem en ts | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | S ta tem en ts | |
| (GAAP) | (MD&A view) | |||||
| 30 September 2022 |
||||||
| Sales | 8,048 | 8,048 | ||||
| Cost of Sales |
(7,168) | 178 | 2 | (6,988) | ||
| PPA (*) Adjusted Gross Margin before |
880 | 178 | 2 | - | - | 1,060 |
| R&D expenses | (261) | 30 | (231) | |||
| Selling expenses |
(178) | (178) | ||||
| Administrative expenses |
(329) | (329) | ||||
| Equity pick-up |
- | 7 5 | 7 5 | |||
| EBIT (*) Adjusted |
112 | 208 | 2 | - | 7 5 | 397 |
| Other income / (expenses) |
(120) | (2) | (122) | |||
| Equity pick-up (reversal) |
- | (75) | (75) | |||
| PPA (*) EBIT / EBIT before |
(8) | 208 | - | - | - | 200 |
| Financial income (expenses) |
(24) | (24) | ||||
| Pre-tax income | (32) | 208 | - | - | - | 176 |
| Income tax Charge | (29) | (19) | (48) | |||
| in net income of equity-accounted investments Share |
5 6 | 6 | 6 2 | |||
| Net profit (loss) from continued operations |
(5) | 195 | - | - | - | 190 |
| Net profit (loss) attributable to non controlling interests (-) |
(11) | (11) | ||||
| (*) Net profit (loss) from continued operations (Group share) / Adjusted Net Profit (loss) |
(16) | 195 | - | - | - | 179 |
| Purchase Price Allocation (PPA) net of corresponding tax effect |
- | (195) | (195) | |||
| (loss) Net profit from discontinued operations |
(5) | (5) | ||||
| Net profit (Group share) |
(21) | (21) |
Impact of business combinations: amortisation of assets exclusively valued when determining the purchase price allocation (PPA), including corresponding tax effect;
Impact of Aptis closure: reclassification of operational results as non-recurring items following Alstom's announced and planned discontinuance of Aptis activities;
Reclassification of other operational costs to nonrecurring item
Reclassification of share in net income of the equityaccounted investments when these are considered to b part of operating activities of the Group.

| (in € millions) | Tota Etats | Adjustments | Total Adjusted | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financiers | In come | |||||
| Consollidés | State ment | |||||
| (GAAP) | (1) | (2) | (3) | (Manage ment | ||
| View) | ||||||
| September 30, 2021 | ||||||
| Sales | 7,443 | 7,443 | ||||
| Cost of sales | (6,694) | 179 | 21 | (6,494) | ||
| Adjusted Gross Margin before PPA (1)(2) | 749 | 179 | 21 | 949 | ||
| R&D expenses | (258) | 38 | (220) | |||
| Selling expenses | (162) | (162) | ||||
| Administrative expenses | (309) | (309) | ||||
| Equity pick-up | 77 | 77 | ||||
| Adjusted EBIT (1)(2) | 20 | 217 | 21 | 77 | 335 | |
| Other income / (expenses) | (28) | (21) | (79) | |||
| Equity pick-up (reversal) | (77) | (77) | ||||
| EBIT / EBIT before PPA (2) | (38) | 217 | 179 | |||
| Financial income | 6 | 6 | ||||
| Financial expenses | (26) | (26) | ||||
| Pre-tax income | (E8) | 217 | 159 | |||
| Income tax Charge | (22) | (21) | (43) | |||
| Share in net income of equity-accounted investments | દર | દિદ | ||||
| Net profit (loss) from continued operations | (12) | 196 | 181 | |||
| Net (profit) loss attributable to non controlling interests | (a) | (a) | ||||
| Net profit (loss) / Adjusted Net Profit (loss) (2) | (24) | 196 | 172 | |||
| Purchase Price Allocation (PPA) | (196) | (196) | ||||
| Net profit (loss) from discontinued operations | (2) | (2) | ||||
| Net profit (Group share) | (26) | (26) |

© ALSTOM SA 2022. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
• Revenue and Contract Margin are recognized at the percentage of completion method based on Costs-to-Costs under IFRS15:
1. Billing triggers reduction of contract asset and recognition of a Receivable.
1. Goods receipt triggers recognition of an Accounts Payable.
• Other current operating assets are mainly :
46
• The remainder consists essentially in Taxes payable
A new order is recognised as an order received only when the contract creates enforceable obligations between the Group and its customer. When this condition is met, the order is recognised at the contract value. If the contract is denominated in a currency other than the functional currency of the reporting unit, the Group requires the immediate elimination of currency exposure using forward currency sales. Orders are then measured using the spot rate at inception of hedging instruments.
The book-to-bill ratio is the ratio of orders received to the amount of sales traded for a specific period.
Adjusted Gross Margin before PPA is a Key Performance Indicator to present the level of recurring operational performance. It represents the sales minus the cost of sales, adjusted to exclude the impact of amortisation of assets exclusively valued when determining the purchase price allocations ("PPA") in the context of business combination as well as non-recurring "one off" items that are not supposed to occur again in following years and are significant.
Adjusted EBIT ("aEBIT") is the Key Performance Indicator to present the level of recurring operational performance. This indicator is also aligned with market practice and comparable to direct competitors.
Starting September 2019, Alstom has opted for the inclusion of the share in net income of the equity-accounted investments into the aEBIT when these are considered to be part of the operating activities of the Group (because there are significant operational flows and/or common project execution with these entities).This mainly includes Chinese joint-ventures, namely CASCO joint-venture for Alstom as well as, following the integration of Bombardier Transportation, Alstom Sifang (Qingdao) Transportation Ltd. (formerly Bombardier Sifang), Bombardier NUG Propulsion System Co. Ltd and Changchun Changke Alstom Railway Vehicles Company Ltd (former Changchun Bombardier
aEBIT corresponds to Earning Before Interests and Tax adjusted for the following elements:
A non-recurring item is a "one-off" exceptional item that is not supposed to occur again in following years and that is significant.
Following the Bombardier Transportation acquisition and with effect from the fiscal year 2021/22 condensed consolidated financial statements, Alstom decided to introduce the "EBIT before PPA" indicator aimed at restating its Earnings Before Interest and Taxes ("EBIT") to exclude the impact of amortisation of assets exclusively valued when determining the purchase price allocations ("PPA") in the context of business combination. This indicator is also aligned with market practice.
The adjusted net profit" indicator aims at restating the Alstom's net profit from continued operations (Group share) to exclude the impact of amortisation of assets exclusively valued when determining the purchase price allocations ("PPA") in the context of business combination, net of the corresponding tax effect.
Free Cash Flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures including capitalised development costs, net of proceeds from disposals of tangible and intangible assets. Free Cash Flow does not include any proceeds from disposals of activity.
The most directly comparable financial measure to Free Cash Flow calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS is net cash provided by operating activities.
The net cash/(debt) is defined as cash and cash equivalents, marketable securities and other current financial asset, less borrowings
This presentation includes performance indicators presented on an actual basis and on an organic basis. Figures given on an organic basis eliminate the impact of changes in scope of consolidation and changes resulting from the translation of the accounts into Euro following the variation of foreign currencies against the Euro.
The Group uses figures prepared on an organic basis both for internal analysis and for external communication, as it believes they provide means to analyse and explain variations from one period to another. However, these figures are not measurements of performance under IFRS.


Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.