Earnings Release • Apr 20, 2023
Earnings Release
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o Average financial occupancy rate progressing (+280bp year-on-year and +340bp for offices), reflecting active demand for Gecina's assets in central sectors, as well as the improvement in residential letting processes
o Rent indexation reflected in like-for-like growth as leases pass their anniversary dates o Contribution of around +4.2% for the first quarter (vs +2.1% for 2022)
o Net rental contribution of +€4m, reflecting the impact of the deliveries of the l1ve building in Paris' Central Business District and 157-CdG in Neuilly in 2022 (both fully let), offsetting the Icône-Marbeuf (Paris-CBD) and Flandre (Paris) assets vacated to be redeveloped
o Recurrent net income (Group share) is expected to reach €5.80 to €5.90 per share in 2023, up +4.3% to +6.1%.
(vs. +4.4% at end-2022)
| Gross rental income | Mar 31, 2022 | Mar 31, 2023 | Change (%) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In million euros | Current basis | Like-for-like | |||
| Offices | 121.2 | 133.2 | +9.8% | +7.9% | |
| Traditional residential | 26.7 | 27.7 | +3.9% | +4.7% | |
| Student residences | 5.4 | 5.8 | +6.6% | +6.6% | |
| Total gross rental income | 153.3 | 166.7 | +8.7% | +7.3% |
Like-for-like, the acceleration in performance exceeded the levels reported at end-2022, with rental income growth of +7.3% overall (vs. +4.4% at end-2022) and +7.9% for offices (vs. +4.6% at end-2022).
All of the components contributing to like-for-like rental income growth during this first quarter are trending up, across all Gecina's business lines.
On a current basis, rental income is up by nearly +9%, benefiting from not only the robust like-for-like rental performance, as explained above, but also the pipeline's strong net rental contribution, particularly following two major deliveries of office buildings in 2022 in Paris and Neuilly.
| Gross rental income - Offices | Mar 31, 2022 | Mar 31, 2023 | Change (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In million euros | Current basis | Like-for-like | ||
| Offices | 121.2 | 133.2 | +9.8% | +7.9% |
| Central areas (Paris, Neuilly, Southern Loop) | 88.9 | 97.1 | +9.2% | +6.1% |
| Paris City | 71.2 | 77.6 | +8.9% | +6.6% |
| - Paris CBD & 5-6-7 | 43.7 | 49.7 | +13.5% | +5.7% |
| - Paris - Other | 27.5 | 27.9 | +1.7% | +7.9% |
| Core Western Crescent | 17.7 | 19.5 | +10.3% | +4.0% |
| La Défense | 15.1 | 17.5 | +15.9% | +15.9% |
| Other locations (Peri-Défense, Inner / Outer Rims, Other regions) | 17.2 | 18.5 | +7.8% | +9.1% |
Since the start of the year, Gecina has let, relet or renegotiated more than 32,000 sq.m, representing nearly €17m of headline rent. This robust trend follows on from 2022, with a clear outperformance by the most central sectors.
The average financial occupancy rate for offices is up +340bp to 94.5% (vs. 91.1% at end-March 2022), reflecting the continued improvement in the occupancy of our buildings throughout 2022.
This improvement concerns all of the region's commercial sectors, and particularly La Défense, where it reached 98%, benefiting from the expected arrival of the final tenants in the Carré Michelet building midway through the second half of 2022.
Like-for-like office rental income growth came to +7.9% year-on-year (vs. +4.6% at end-2022), benefiting from an improvement in the occupancy rate across our buildings for +1.9%, as well as a positive indexation effect which is continuing to ramp up (+4.8%), passing on the return of an inflationary context, as well as the impact of the positive reversion captured in the last few years.)
Rental income growth on a current basis came to nearly +10% for offices, reflecting the impact of the pipeline's positive net contribution (+€4m net of tenant departures from buildings to be redeveloped), notably taking into account the delivery of the l1ve building in Paris' Central Business District during the second half of 2022 and 157-CDG in Neuilly, which are both fully let, largely offsetting the buildings vacated and currently being redeveloped (Icône-Marbeuf and Flandre in Paris).
activity
| Gross rental income | Mar 31, 2022 | Mar 31, 2023 | Change (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In million euros | Current basis | Like-for-like | ||
| Residential | 32.1 | 33.5 | +4.4% | +5.1% |
| Traditional residential | 26.7 | 27.7 | +3.9% | +4.7% |
| Student residences | 5.4 | 5.8 | +6.6% | +6.6% |
Like-for-like, rental income for traditional residential properties is up +4.7%, marking an acceleration compared with the end of 2022 (+2.0%), under the impact of indexation that is gradually taking shape (+2.4%), as well as a moderate increase in occupancy levels and rental reversion that is ramping up (+1.7%). Rents for new arrivals are around +11% higher than levels for the previous tenants on average since the start of the year. This performance has been achieved thanks to Gecina's ability to continuously adapt its rental offering to the needs of its clients and especially young professionals.
On a current basis, rental income is up +3.9%, slightly lower than the like-for-like performance, reflecting the impact of the few disposals completed since the start of 2022.
Rental income from student residences shows a significant like-for-like increase of +6.6%, linked primarily to the high level of positive reversion rapidly captured thanks to the quick rotation of tenants with this type of product.
| Average financial occupancy rate - Offices | Mar 31, 2022 | Jun 30, 2022 | Sep 30, 2022 | Dec 31, 2022 | Mar 31, 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offices | 91.1% | 91.8% | 92.3% | 92.8% | 94.5% |
| Central areas | 93.2% | 93.3% | 93.3% | 93.6% | 94.5% |
| La Défense | 82.8% | 86.0% | 88.7% | 91.2% | 97.9% |
| Other locations | 89.0% | 89.9% | 90.3% | 90.5% | 91.4% |
| Traditional residential | 96.9% | 96.8% | 96.5% | 96.7% | 97.1% |
| Student residences | 92.6% | 86.3% | 82.7% | 86.0% | 93.4% |
| Group total | 92.0% | 92.3% | 92.5% | 93.1% | 94.9% |
The Group's average financial occupancy rate has progressed each quarter for over a year and is now close to 95%, up +280bp from end-March 2022, and +180bp higher than the end-2022 average occupancy rate.
For offices, the average occupancy rate reached 94.5%, moving closer to a normalized level. This rate is up +340bp year-on-year, reflecting the robust rental trends observed on Gecina's markets since 2021.
Since the start of the year, Gecina has completed or secured €147m of sales, with an average premium of +6.4% versus the latest appraisal values.
60% of these sales concern residential assets and nearly 75% are located outside of Paris.
quarter
| Ratios | Covenant | Dec 31, 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Loan to value (block, excl. duties) | < 60% | 35.7% |
| Loan to value (block, incl. duties) | 33.7% | |
| EBITDA / net financial expenses | > 2.0x | 5.6x |
| Outstanding secured debt / net asset value of portfolio (block, excl. duties) | < 25% | - |
| Net asset value of portfolio (block, excl. duties) in billion euros | > 6.0 | 20.1 |
Liquidity further strengthened over the long term, covering maturities through to 2027
Since the start of 2022, Gecina has therefore set up nearly €2.0bn of new credit lines, which are undrawn, with an average maturity of seven years.
At end-March, Gecina had €4.9bn of liquidity (primarily undrawn credit lines). Available liquidity net of short-term financing represents €3.1bn, higher than the Group's financial policy, which requires a minimum of €2.0bn, making it possible to date to cover the bond maturities through to 2027.
In terms of the sensitivity of the Group's average cost of debt, Gecina's rate hedging policy stands out through the long maturity of its hedging instruments (7 years), making it possible to sustainably protect the average cost of debt.
From 2023 to 2025, around 90% of debt is hedged on average against changes in the Euribor. The Group's hedging policy is also aligned with a longer timeframe, with nearly 80% of debt hedged on average through to the end of 20281 .
to +6% expected (between €5.80 and €5.90)
The results published at end-2022 and the trends still observed during the first quarter reflect the very good level of the rental markets in Gecina's preferred sectors. This robust operational performance is being further strengthened by the gradual upturn in indexation.
The pipeline's positive contribution to recurrent net income growth is expected to ramp up, with the major building deliveries in 2022 and 2023, further strengthening Gecina's confidence.
Lastly, Gecina's long debt maturity and active rate hedging policy will enable it to limit the impact of interest rate rises on the Group's financial expenses in 2023.
In a context that therefore requires a cautious approach, Gecina expects recurrent net income (Group share) to reach €5.80 to €5.90 per share in 2023, with growth of between +4.3% and +6.1%.
As a specialist for centrality and uses, Gecina operates innovative and sustainable living spaces. The Group owns, manages and develops Europe's leading office portfolio, with over 97% located in the Paris Region, and a portfolio of residential assets and student residences, with over 9,000 apartments. These portfolios are valued at 20.1 billion euros at end-2022.
Gecina has firmly established its focus on innovation and its human approach at the heart of its strategy to create value and deliver on its purpose: "Empowering shared human experiences at the heart of our sustainable spaces". For our 100,000 clients, this ambition is supported by our client-centric brand YouFirst. It is also positioned at the heart of UtilesEnsemble, our program setting out our solidarity-based commitments to the environment, to people and to the quality of life in cities.
Gecina is a French real estate investment trust (SIIC) listed on Euronext Paris, and is part of the SBF 120, CAC Next 20, CAC Large 60 and Euronext 100 indices. Gecina is also recognized as one of the top-performing companies in its industry by leading sustainability benchmarks and rankings (GRESB, Sustainalytics, MSCI, ISS ESG and CDP). www.gecina.fr
Samuel Henry-Diesbach Tel: +33 (0)1 40 40 52 22 [email protected]
Sofiane El Amri Tel: +33 (0)1 40 40 52 74 [email protected]
Glenn Domingues Tel: +33 (0)1 40 40 63 86 [email protected]
Armelle Miclo Tel: +33 (0)1 40 40 51 98 [email protected]
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