Investor Presentation • Jan 24, 2024
Investor Presentation
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24 January 2024
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Solid level of small orders exceeding €2 billion in Q3 2023/24
Europe still dynamic, AMECA taking off
© ALSTOM SA 2024. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
Cross Country (MAINTENANCE- United Kingdom)
VLocity (MAINTENANCE- Australia)
Tel Aviv Green Line (TURNKEY- Tel Aviv)
Nexteo (SIGNALLING - France)
* Mostly Rolling stock – disposal of Reichshoffen factory in France due to remedies process
(+7% over 9 months vs 2022/23, o/w 10% org) Strong ramp-up in the UK, Italy and US
(+8% over 9 months vs 2022/23, o/w 12% org) Consistent execution across all regions mainly in the US, UK and Australia
(+5% over 9 months vs 2022/23, o/w 8% org) Ramp-up in Mexico, good performance of Turnkey Systems projects in Egypt, Canada and France
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* European Works Forum
AMTRAK Next Generation US - High Speed Train
• Homologation timing due to first time implementation of the new regulation for high-speed trains and operation on legacy infrastructure
Certification on-track tests resumed in January 2024
AVENTRA Platform UK - Regional Trains 6 contracts – 5 customers
Key numbers / Achievements
The Group has based its FY 2023/24 outlook on a central inflation scenario reflecting a consensus of public institutions.
The Group also assumes its continuous ability to navigate the supply chain, macro-economic and geopolitical challenges as it has done during this first half of FY 2023/24.
Mid-term targets To be reached in FY 2025/26
FCF > 80% conversion2
From FY 2025/26 onwards. Subject to short term volatility
© ALSTOM SA 2024. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
1. CAGR between Sales proforma FY 2020/21 and FY 2025/26
Martin VAUJOUR VP Investor Relations
9
| February 29 | Titans of Capital Landmark MENA event - Morgan Stanley |
Abu Dhabi, UAE |
|---|---|---|
| March 26 | Société Générale - European ESG Conference |
Paris, FRANCE |
| May 8 - 31 |
FY roadshows (London, Paris, Europe and US/Canada) | |
| June 5 | BNPP Exane CEO conference | Paris, FRANCE |
| June 12 | JP Morgan European Capital Goods CEO | London, UNITED KINGDOM |
| FY | 2022/23 | FY | 2023/24 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported growth |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | 9M |
| Rolling Stock |
0 5% |
3 0% |
4 8% |
-2 0% |
5 5% |
-0 7% |
-0 2% |
1 5% |
| Services | 19 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 7 |
| 3% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | |
| Systems | 63 | 22 | 9 | 24 | -16 | 22 | 12 | 5 |
| 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 2% | |
| Signalling | 3% | 2% | 0% | 9% | 13 | 3 | 8 | 8 |
| -1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 2% | |
| GROUP | 8 | 8 | 8% | 3 | 3% | 5% | 2 | 1% |
| 1% | 2% | 7 | 0% | 4 | 5 | 6% | 4 | |
| FY | 2022/23 | FY | 2023/24 | |||||
| Organic growth |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | 9M |
| Rolling Stock |
-2 2% |
6% 1 |
0% 4 |
0 3% |
9 1% |
3 6% |
5% 1 |
7% 4 |
| Services | 14 | 8 | 1% | 5% | 8 | 19 | 4 | 10 |
| 9% | 3% | 11 | 7 | 3% | 7% | 2% | 5% | |
| Systems | 52 | 19 | 0 | 30 | -14 | 28 | 5% | 8 |
| 7% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 0% | 15 | 3% | |
| Signalling | -4 | 10 | 11 | 5% | 17 | 8 | 11 | 12 |
| 3% | 6% | 4% | 5 | 3% | 1% | 4% | 0% | |
| GROUP | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 7 |
| 7% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 3% | |
| FY | 2022/23 | FY | 2023/24 | |||||
| FX Impact |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | 9M |
| Rolling Stock |
2 8% |
2 4% |
2 2% |
-0 4% |
-1 8% |
-3 5% |
-1 7% |
-2 3% |
| Services | 3 | 3 | 2 | -0 | -2 | -3 | -1 | -2 |
| 8% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 8% | 4% | |
| Systems | 7 | 2 | 9 | -4 | -1 | -4 | -3 | -2 |
| 1% | 1% | 0% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 8% | |
| Signalling | 3 | 4 | -0 | -0 | -3 | -4 | -2 | -3 |
| 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 4% | |
| GROUP | 3 | 2 | 2 | -0 | -2 | -3 | -2 | -2 |
| 3% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 7% | |
| FY | 2022/23 | FY | 2023/24 | |||||
| Scope impact |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | 9M |
| Rolling Stock |
0 0% |
-0 9% |
-1 4% |
-2 0% |
-1 5% |
-0 7% |
0 0% |
-0 7% |
| Services | 0 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -0 | 0 | 0 | -0 |
| 0% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 3% | |
| Systems | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Signalling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| FY 2023/24 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 9M | |||
| 5.5% | $-0.7%$ | $-0.2%$ | 1.5% | |||
| 5.2% | 15.3% | 2.3% | 7.4% | |||
| $-16.0\%$ | 22.5% | 12.0% | 5.2% | |||
| 13.0% | 3.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | |||
| 4.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% |
| FY 2023/24 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | 03 | 9M | |||
| $9.1\%$ | 3.6% | 1.5% | 4.7% | |||
| 8.3% | 19.7% | $4.2\%$ | 10.5% | |||
| $-14.8%$ | 28.0% | 15.5% | 8.3% | |||
| 17.3% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 12.0% | |||
| 7.6% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% |
| FY 2023/24 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 02 | ОЗ | 9M | ||||
| $-1.8%$ | $-3.5%$ | $-1.7\%$ | $-2.3%$ | ||||
| $-2.0%$ | $-3.6%$ | $-1.8%$ | $-2.4%$ | ||||
| $-1.3%$ | $-4.4%$ | $-3.0\%$ | $-2.8%$ | ||||
| $-3.6%$ | $-4.2\%$ | $-2.6%$ | $-3.4%$ | ||||
| $-2.0%$ | $-3.7%$ | $-2.0%$ | $-2.7%$ |
| FY 2022/23 |
FY 2023/24 |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scope impact |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | 9M |
| Rolling Stock |
0 0% |
-0 9% |
-1 4% |
-2 0% |
-1 5% |
-0 7% |
0 0% |
-0 7% |
| Services | 0 0% |
0 0% |
-0 6% |
-1 1% |
-0 9% |
0 0% |
0 0% |
-0 3% |
| Systems | 0 0% |
0 0% |
0 0% |
0 0% |
0 0% |
0 0% |
0 0% |
0 0% |
| Signalling | 0 0% |
0 0% |
0 0% |
0 0% |
0 0% |
0 0% |
0 0% |
0 0% |
| © ALSTOM SA 2024. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is GROUP provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited. |
0 0% |
-0 5% |
-0 9% |
3% -1 |
0% -1 |
-0 4% |
0 0% |
-0 5% |
13
A new order is recognised as an order received only when the contract creates enforceable obligations between the Group and its customer. When this condition is met, the order is recognised at the contract value. If the contract is denominated in a currency other than the functional currency of the reporting unit, the Group requires the immediate elimination of currency exposure using forward currency sales. Orders are then measured using the spot rate at inception of hedging instruments.
The book-to-bill ratio is the ratio of orders received to the amount of sales traded for a specific period.
Adjusted Gross Margin before PPA is a Key Performance Indicator to present the level of recurring operational performance. It represents the sales minus the cost of sales, adjusted to exclude the impact of amortisation of assets exclusively valued when determining the purchase price allocations ("PPA") in the context of business combination as well as non-recurring "one off" items that are not supposed to occur again in following years and are significant.
Adjusted EBIT ("aEBIT") is the Key Performance Indicator to present the level of recurring operational performance. This indicator is also aligned with market practice and comparable to direct competitors.
Starting September 2019, Alstom has opted for the inclusion of the share in net income of the equity-accounted investments into the aEBIT when these are considered to be part of the operating activities of the Group (because there are significant operational flows and/or common project execution with these entities). This mainly includes Chinese joint-ventures, namely CASCO, Alstom Sifang (Qingdao) Transportation Ltd, Jiangsu ALSTOM NUG Propulsion System Co. Ltd. (former Bombardier NUG Propulsion) and Changchun Changke Alstom Railway Vehicles Company Ltd.
aEBIT corresponds to Earning Before Interests and Tax adjusted for the following elements:
A non-recurring item is a "one-off" exceptional item that is not supposed to occur again in following years and that is significant.
Adjusted EBIT margin corresponds to Adjusted EBIT expressed as a percentage of sales.
Following the Bombardier Transportation acquisition and with effect from the fiscal year 2021/22 condensed consolidated financial statements, Alstom decided to introduce the "EBIT before PPA" indicator aimed at restating its Earnings Before Interest and Taxes ("EBIT") to exclude the impact of amortisation of assets exclusively valued when determining the purchase price allocations ("PPA") in the context of business combination. This indicator is also aligned with market practice.
The "Adjusted Net Profit" indicator aims at restating the Alstom's net profit from continued operations (Group share) to exclude the impact of amortisation & impairment of assets exclusively valued when determining the purchase price allocations ("PPA") in the context of business combination, net of the corresponding tax effect.
Free Cash Flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures including capitalised development costs, net of proceeds from disposals of tangible and intangible assets. Free Cash Flow does not include any proceeds from disposals of activity.
The most directly comparable financial measure to Free Cash Flow calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS is net cash provided by operating activities.
The net cash/(debt) is defined as cash and cash equivalents, marketable securities and other current financial asset, less borrowings
This presentation includes performance indicators presented on an actual basis and on an organic basis. Figures given on an organic basis eliminate the impact of changes in scope of consolidation and changes resulting from the translation of the accounts into Euro following the variation of foreign currencies against the Euro.
The Group uses figures prepared on an organic basis both for internal analysis and for external communication, as it believes they provide means to analyse and explain variations from one period to another. However, these figures are not measurements of performance under IFRS.
Gross Margin % on backlog is a Key Performance Indicator to present the expected performance level of firmed contracts in Backlog. It represents the difference between the sales not yet recognized and the cost of sales not yet incurred from the contracts in Backlog. This % is an average of the portfolio of contracts in backlog and is meaningful to project mid and long term profitability.
EBITDA + JV dividends is the EBIT before PPA, before the depreciation and amortisation, with the addition of the dividends received from the JVs.
Funds from Operations "FFO" in the EBIT to FCF statement refers to the Free Cash Flow generated by Operations, less Working Capital variations.
Trade Working Capital is the Working Capital that is not strictly contractual, hence not included in Project Working Capital. It includes:
Contract Working Capital is the sum of:
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