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Protector Forsikring

Investor Presentation Oct 22, 2025

3719_rns_2025-10-22_7768fc25-f676-4108-8063-eb9f010c4a65.pdf

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Q3 2025 Interim results

Investor Presentation

Oslo, 23 October 2025

We will always be

The Challenger

We will deliver through unique relationships, best in class decision-making and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership Profitable growth Top 3

Values

Credible Innovative/Open Bold Committed

Highlights Q3 & Q1-Q3 2025

Q3: Combined ratio at 83.1% | Total investment return of 105 | EPS at 5.6

Q3 Q1-Q3 Other highlights
Combined Ratio Combined Ratio
Successfully placed a new Solvency II compliant Tier 2
bond of NOK 500m.
Gross written premium Gross written premium
Portfolio transfer agreement for the Danish workers'
LCY GWP growth LCY GWP growth compensation portfolio (as communicated in April) is still
subject to conditions, including approval by Norwegian and
German financial regulators.
Total investment return Total investment return
Completion and booking now expected in Q4 2025.
Profit for the period Profit for the period
The Board has decided to distribute a dividend of NOK
247m, corresponding to NOK 3.00 per share.
Earnings per share Earnings per share

Volume update

Q3: GWP growth at 1% | 3% in local currencies (LCY)

  • Q3 growth at 3% (LCY) a small volume quarter.
  • Renewal rate at 80%.
    • Driven by higher client churn, incl. loss of three > NOK 10m accounts, and inception date movements.
  • Underlying GWP growth in LCY is high single-digit.
  • First client won within UK Real Estate.
  • In-scope market sized ~ £ 1bn.
  • French tenders (with January 2026 inception) seen representing ~ € 460m.
  • We will quote 70-75% of this.
Segment Q3 25 Q3 24 Growth NOK % LCY%
UK 940 995 -56 -6% -2%
Sweden 315 316 -2 -0% -3%
Norway 229 231 -3 -1% -1%
Denmark 122 121 1 1% 3%
France 71 - 71 - -
Protector 1 676 1 664 12 1 % 3 %
Segment Q1-Q3 25 Q1-Q3 24 Growth NOK % LCY%
UK 4 270 3 811 459 12% 11%
Sweden 2 594 2 372 222 9% 6%
Norway 2 338 2 086 252 12% 12%
Denmark 1 575 1 376 199 14% 13%
France 388 - 388 - -
Protector 11 165 9 645 1 520 16 % 14 %

Claims update

Q3: Loss ratio, net of reinsurance at 72.2% | Large losses of NOK 205m (5.8%) | Run-off gains of NOK 91m (2.6%)

  • Q3 positively influenced by property, supported by lower-than-expected large losses.
  • Q3 large losses1 NOK 205m, or 5.8% (215 or 7.1%).
  • 4 large loss events.
  • Property Sweden, Norway and the UK.
  • Q3 run-off gains at 2.6% (2.8%).
  • Gains on property and general liability.
  • Gains in all countries.
  • Natural damage compensation in Norway following the extreme weather "Amy" in October estimated at NOK 1.8 billion, according to the Norwegian Natural Perils Pool
  • The pool has a 50% quota share reinsurance agreement up to NOK 2bn. XL-agreement in place from NOK 2bn.
  • We will compensate our share of the pool (4.51%), adjusted for the reinsurers' share.

Loss ratios

Segment Q3 25 Gross Q3 24 Gross Q3 25 Net Q3 24 Net
UK 64% 64% 69% 68%
Sweden* 67% 60% 73% 64%
Norway 76% 64% 79% 63%
Denmark 57% 126% 64% 122%
France 89% 94%
Protector 66.6% 71.5% 72.2% 73.6%
Whereof large loss % , 5.8% 7.1%
Whereof run-off % -2.6% -2.8%

Loss ratios

Segment Q1-Q3 25 Gross Q1-Q3 24 Gross Q1-Q3 25 Net Q1-Q3 24 Net
UK 64% 63% 69% 70%
Sweden* 69% 71% 72% 72%
Norway 77% 78% 80% 79%
Denmark 66% 117% 76% 119%
France 89% 96%
Protector 68.5% 75.1% 73.6% 79.3%
Whereof large loss % ź 5.1% 8.9%
Whereof run-off % -2.1% -1.1%

Large losses and run-off

Best estimate reserving practice; run-off neutral over time.

Key metrics per segment

Quarterly volatility must be expected, especially by segment.

Ul ( Swe den Norv vay Denn nark Fran nce Prote ctor
NOKm Q3 25 Q3 24 Q3 25 Q3 24 Q3 25 Q3 24 Q3 25 Q3 24 Q3 25 Q3 24 Q3 25 Q3 24
Gross premium written 940 995 315 316 229 231 122 121 71 - 1 676 1 664
Insurance revenues 1 489 1 293 812 704 665 589 469 415 94 3 529 3 002
Insurance service result 295 284 108 168 78 178 132 (126) (16) 598 504
Loss ratio, gross 63.6% 64.0% 66.9% 59.7% 76.2% 63.8% 57.4% 125.8% 89.3% 66.6% 71.5%
Net reinsurance ratio 5.9% 4.0% 6.5% 4.0% 3.1% -0.3% 6.8% -3.5% 5.2% 5.6% 2.1%
Loss ratio, net of reinsurance 69.5% 68.0% 73.5% 63.6% 79.3% 63.5% 64.2% 122.3% 94.5% 72.2% 73.6%
Cost ratio 10.7% 10.1% 13.2% 12.5% 8.9% 6.3% 7.6% 8.0% 22.7% 10.9% 9.6%
Whereof commissions to brokers and agents 4.4% 4.0% 7.9% 7.6% 2.8% 2.3% 0.0% 0.1% 8.7% 4.4% 4.0%
Combined ratio 80.2% 78.1% 86.7% 76.1% 88.2% 69.8% 71.9% 130.3% 117.1% 83.1% 83.2%

UI ( Swed den Norv vay Denn nark Fran ice Prote ctor
NOKm Q1-Q3 25 Q1-Q3 24 Q1-Q3 25 Q1-Q3 24 Q1-Q3 25 Q1-Q3 24 Q1-Q3 25 Q1-Q3 24 Q1-Q3 25 Q1-Q3 24 Q1-Q3 25 Q1-Q3 24
Gross premium written 4 270 3 811 2 594 2 372 2 338 2 086 1 575 1 376 388 - 11 165 9 645
Insurance revenue 4 344 3 639 2 327 2 095 1 932 1 687 1 348 1 181 246 10 197 8 601
Insurance service result 860 677 309 298 228 239 228 (312) (54) 1 571 902
Loss ratio, gross 64.2% 62.6% 68.5% 70.8% 77.1% 78.2% 66.2% 116.7% 88.7% 68.5% 75.1%
Net reinsurance ratio 5.2% 7.8% 4.0% 1.7% 3.0% 0.8% 9.6% 2.0% 7.7% 5.1% 4.1%
Loss ratio, net of reinsurance 69.4% 70.4% 72.5% 72.5% 80.1% 79.0% 75.8% 118.7% 96.4% 73.6% 79.3%
Cost ratio 10.8% 11.0% 14.2% 13.3% 8.2% 6.9% 7.2% 7.7% 25.6% 11.0% 10.3%
Whereof commissions to brokers and agents 4.3% 4.5% 7.9% 7.6% 2.4% 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 8.6% 4.3% 4.3%
Combined ratio 80.2% 81.4% 86.7% 85.8% 88.2% 85.9% 83.1% 126.4% 122.0% 84.6% 89.5%

Investments

Investment results and portfolio statistics

Q3: Return of NOK 117m (0.4%) | Bond portfolio yield at 5.0%, before cost of risk

  • NOK 117m, or 0.4% gain.
  • Equities: NOK -72m, or -1.9 %.
  • Put options: NOK -24m.
  • Bonds: NOK 213m, or 0.9 %.
    • Interest rate swaps: NOK -56m.
  • Slight reduction in bond risk during Q3.
  • HY portfolio totalling ≈ NOK 5.3bn.
  • Duration at 2.0, -0.1 from Q2.
  • Steering interest rate risk from solvency capital perspective.
  • Strong quarter for Nordic HY bonds.
  • DNB Nordic HY index +2.7% in Q3.

Portfolio size (NOKm)

Equities

3 3 935 3 428 4 184

Share of total 14.5 % 15.1% 15.5 % Estimated intrinsic value discount 35 % 38% 35 % No. of companies 37 34 37

1 Put option included in total return and excluded in equity return

2 Bank deposits included

3Size includes currency swaps

4 Interest rate swap effect included

5Avg. linear rating based on official rating (>45%) and 'Protector rating' (<55%)

Capital position

Income statement

Q3: Profit of NOK 459m (581) | EPS at NOK 5.6 (7.1)

NOKm Q3 25 Q3 24 Q1-Q3 25 Q1-Q3 24 FY 24
Gross written premium 1 676 1 664 11 165 9 645 12 333
Insurance revenue 3 529 3 002 10 197 8 601 11 783
Insurance claims expenses (2 350) (2 146) (6 983) (6 460) (8 606)
Insurance operating expenses (383) (289) (1 119) (883) (1 253)
Insurance service result before reinsurance contracts held 796 567 2 094 1 259 1 924
Net result from reinsurance contracts held (198) (63) (523) (357) (520)
Insurance service result 598 504 1 571 902 1 404
Net income from investments 117 534 1 336 1 155 1 059
Net insurance finance income or expenses (13) (235) (228) (242) (213)
Other income/expenses (70) (48) (163) (138) (198)
Profit/(loss) before tax 632 756 2 516 1 677 2 052
Tax (173) (174) (600) (386) (513)
Profit/(loss) for the period 459 581 1 916 1 291 1 539
Loss ratio 66.6% 71.5% 68.5% 75.1% 73.0%
Net reinsurance ratio 5.6% 2.1% 5.1% 4.1% 4.4%
Loss ratio, net of reinsurance 72.2% 73.6% 73.6% 79.3% 77.5%
Cost ratio 10.9% 9.6% 11.0% 10.3% 10.6 %
Combined ratio 83.1% 83.2% 84.6% 89.5% 88.1 %
Large losses, net of reinsurance 5.8% 7.1% 5.1% 8.9% 7.2 %
Run-off gains/losses, net of reinsurance -2.6% -2.8% -2.1% -1.1% -0.9 %
Change in risk adjustment, net of reinsurance 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 1.7% 1.5 %
Discounting effect, net of reinsurance -3.4% -3.8% -3.8% -4.1% -3.8 %

Capital development

SCR ratio 229%, up from 220% driven by lower SCR

Eligible Own Funds (OF)

  • Dividend NOK 3 per share, NOK 247m in total.
  • Contribution from NOK 800m T2 loan issued in February 2025 at NOK 452.
  • NOK 110m reduction in utilization in Q3 due to decreased SCR.
  • No contribution from the NOK 500m T2 loan issued in August.
  • Full effects of Tier 2 loans expected over time.

Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR)

• Solvency capital requirement down due to reduced exposure to currency exchange risk in the balance sheet.

We will always be

The Challenger

We will deliver through unique relationships, best in class decision-making and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership Profitable growth Top 3

Values

Credible Innovative/Open Bold Committed

Summary Q3 & Q1-Q3 2025

Q3: Combined ratio at 83.1% | Total investment return of 105 | EPS at 5.6

Q3 Q1-Q3 Other highlights
Combined Ratio Combined Ratio
Successfully placed a new Solvency II compliant Tier 2
bond of NOK 500m.
Gross written premium Gross written premium
Portfolio transfer agreement for the Danish workers'
LCY GWP growth LCY GWP growth compensation portfolio (as communicated in April) is still
subject to conditions, including approval by Norwegian and
German financial regulators.
Total investment return Total investment return
Completion and booking now expected in Q4 2025.
Profit for the period Profit for the period
The Board has decided to distribute a dividend of NOK
247m, corresponding to NOK 3.00 per share.
Earnings per share Earnings per share

Disclaimer

This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Protector Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The information and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligations to update or correct any of the information set out herein.

These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, those regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and is not prepared or made in connection with, an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been independently verified. While the Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, it does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its owners, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company, its affiliates or any of their respective advisors or representatives or any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. The Company's securities have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "US Securities Act"), and are offered and sold only outside the United States in accordance with an exemption from registration provided by Regulation S of the US Securities Act.

This presentation should not form the basis of any investment decision. Investors and prospective investors in securities of any issuer mentioned herein are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisal of the business and financial condition of such company and the nature of the securities. Any decision to purchase securities in the context of a proposed offering of securities, if any, should be made solely on the basis of information contained in any offering documents published in relation to such an offering. For further information about the Company, reference is made public disclosures made by the Company, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange, periodic reports and other materials available on the Company's web pages.

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