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Industrivärden

Quarterly Report Oct 4, 2019

2928_10-q_2019-10-04_99c5ef04-b71e-476d-a514-a67ff8ec214f.pdf

Quarterly Report

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INTERIM REPORT 9M:2019

January 1 – September 30, 2019

Net asset value on September 30, 2019, was SEK 100.7 billion, or SEK 231 per share, an increase during the first nine months 2019 of SEK 35 per share. Including reinvested dividend, net asset value increased by 21%.

  • The total return for the first nine months 2019 was 24% for the Class A shares as well as for the Class C shares, compared with 23% for the Stockholm Stock Exchange's total return index (SIXRX).
  • Earnings per share during the first nine months 2019 were SEK 41.34 per share.
  • During the first nine months 2019 shares were acquired in Volvo, Class A for SEK 1.6 billion, in Skanska, Class B for SEK 0.4 billion, in Essity, Class B for SEK 0.3 billion, in Sandvik for SEK 0.3 billion and in SCA, Class B for SEK 0.2 billion. Furthermore shares were divested in, Essity, Class A for SEK 0.3 billion and SCA, Class A for SEK 0.1 billion.
  • On May 15 the exchangeable bond matured preceded by exchangeable holders calling for redemptions in 2019 worth SEK 4.1 billion. During the second quarter of 2019 the remaining shares in ICA Gruppen were sold.
  • The debt-equities ratio as per September 30, 2019, was 3%, a decrease since year-end of 4 percentage points.

VALUE PERFORMANCE

Annual average change as per September 30, 2019

Total return
Net asset value* Industrivärden C Index (SIXRX)
9M:2019 21% 24% 23%
1 year 0% 12% 6%
3 years 12% 14% 10%
5 years 12% 15% 11%
7 years 13% 16% 13%
10 years 12% 15% 12%

*Including reinvested dividend.

CEO's message

EXTERNAL FACTORS

The global economy continues to slow, and GDP growth for the full year is expected to be approximately 3%. The rate of growth has clearly subsided during 2019, but with large variations between geographies and sectors. The global manufacturing industry has had more challenging conditions, while the service sector has performed relatively well. Recently signs of a continued slowdown have surfaced in Europe as well as Asia.

Looking forward, growth expectations have also become dampened, and focus has once again been directed to the central banks' actions. The historically low real interest rates have continued to buttress the stock market, which has performed relatively well. However, the weakened economic outlook combined with various areas of concern – such as greater trade barriers – has led to greater volatility as well as sector rotation between various industries.

PORTFOLIO COMPANIES

The market situation in the sectors in which our portfolio companies work has been strong for several years, but there are now clear signs of a lower level of activity and weaker outlooks going forward. Against this background, our portfolio companies have for some time taken measures to adapt operations to the prevailing market situation.

In August Sandvik's CEO, Björn Rosengren, announced that he will be leaving the company in early 2020. The process of recruiting a new CEO is ongoing.

In September SCA announced that it had decided to expand its kraftliner capacity through an investment of SEK 7.5 billion in the Obbola paper mill.

Another important future-oriented activity is Volvo's new strategic alliance with Samsung on electromobility.

At the end of September Ericsson announced that as a result of investigations by U.S. authorities into regulatory violations, the company has made a SEK 12 billion provision during the third quarter.

INDUSTRIVÄRDEN'S PERFORMANCE

The first nine months of 2019 were characterized by a continued high level of investment activity in the equities portfolio. During the first half of the year we concluded our ownership position in ICA Gruppen which allowed us to lower our debt and has strengthened our flexibility. We have used this greater scope to act to increase our ownership in a number of our portfolio companies, among other things. Thus far during the year we have invested net amounts of SEK 1.6 billion in Volvo, SEK 0.4 billion in Skanska and SEK 0.3 billion in Sandvik. We have also taken advantage of a favorable market opportunity to carry out transactions in Essity and SCA, where most entailed shifting Class A shares for Class B shares in order to create scope to maneuver and increase our equity stakes over time.

Net asset value at September 30, 2019, was SEK 100.7 billion, or SEK 231 per share. This corresponds to a 21% increase in net asset value during the first nine months of the year including reinvested dividend. At the end of the period the portfolio was worth SEK 104.4 billion and net debt was SEK 3.6 billion, corresponding to a debt-equities ratio of 3%. This means that the debt-equities ratio has decreased by 4 percentage points since the start of the year.

During the first nine months of the year the total return for the Class A and Class C shares was 24%, respectively, compared with 23% for the return index (SIXRX). The longterm return is good – a performance that we are making a determined effort to strengthen over time.

Stockholm, October 4, 2019

Helena Stjernholm CEO

Overview

INDUSTRIVÄRDEN IN BRIEF

Industrivärden conducts long-term value-creating asset management through active ownership. The operation is conducted in two main processes, investment and active ownership. Active ownership is exercised primarily through involvement in nomination processes for board elections, through board representation and through evaluation of company boards, CEOs and Executive Management. Industrivärden monitors its portfolio companies continuously and where necessary, by influencing the portfolio companies' overall development through their respective boards. Through these measures Industrivärden contributes to the portfolio companies' growth in value over time. Industrivärden's long-term objective is to increase net asset value and thereby generate a return for the shareholders that exceeds the market's required rate of return. Taking into account the risk profile of the portfolio's investments, the shareholders are to be given a total return which over time is higher than the average for the Stockholm Stock Exchange.

More information can be found at www.industrivarden.net.

EQUITIES PORTFOLIO, SEPTEMBER 30, 2019

COMPOSITION OF EQUITIES PORTFOLIO AND NET ASSET VALUE

09/30/2019 9M:2019
Share of
ownership, %
Market value Total
return
TR for the
stock
Share of
Portfolio companies No. of shares Capital Votes value, % SEK M SEK/share SEK M %
Sandvik 154,200,000 12.3 12.3 23 23,647 54 4,708 24
Volvo A 154,600,000 24.1 21 21,366 50 4,676 27
Volvo B 3,600,000 7.4 498 28
Essity A 34,000,000 9.5
29.2
18 9,877 44 5,188 36
Essity B 32,800,000 9,423 35
Handelsbanken A 202,900,000 10.3 10.4 18 18,703 43 -215 -1
Ericsson A 86,052,615 2.6
15.1
7 6,781 16 201 3
Ericsson B 1,000,000 79 2
Skanska A 12,667,500 6 2,526 14 46
Skanska B 18,500,000 7.4
24.3
3,689 1,990 46
SCA A 33,785,290 9.7
29.0
6 3,098 14 1,448 31
SCA B 34,575,273 3,035 30
SSAB A 44,334,933 4.3 11.8 1 1,214 3 -88 -6
Other 0 432 1 120
Equities portfolio 100 104,368 240 18,028 20
Interest-bearing net debt -3,629 -8 Index: 23
Net asset value 100,739 231
Debt-equities ratio 3%

Performance

NET ASSET VALUE

Net asset value on September 30, 2019, was SEK 100.7 billion, or SEK 231 per share, an increase of SEK 35 per share during the first nine months 2019. Including reinvested dividend, net asset value increased by 21%. The Stockholm Stock Exchange's total return index (SIXRX) increased by 23% during the same period.

During the last five- and ten-year periods, net asset value grew annually by 12%, for the respective periods, including reinvested dividend. The total return index (SIXRX) increased by 11% and 12%, respectively, during the same

periods.

Net asset value September 30, 2019

09/30/2019 12/31/2018
SEK bn SEK/share SEK bn SEK/share
Equities portfolio 104.4 240 92.2 212
Interest-bearing net
debt -3.6 -8 -6.6 -15
Adjustment
exchangeable - - -0.4 -1
Net asset value 100.7 231 85.2 196

Development of net asset value, 10 years

EQUITIES PORTFOLIO

During the first nine months 2019 the value of the equities portfolio, adjusted for purchases and sales, increased by SEK 14.1 billion. On September 30, 2019 the equities portfolio was worth SEK 104.4 billion, or SEK 240 per share. The shareholdings in Essity, Sandvik and Volvo made a significant positive contribution to the equities portfolio's value performance.

On May 15 the exchangeable bond matured preceded by exchangeable holders calling for redemptions in 2019 worth SEK 4.1 billion. During the second quarter of 2019 the remaining shares in ICA Gruppen were sold. The transactions have not had any material impact on earnings.

Contribution analysis of equities portfolio 9M:2019

Performance of shareholdings, 3 years

Annual average total return, %
Class of shares
SCA A* 22
SCA B* 22
Sandvik 20
Volvo B 17
Volvo A 17
Essity A* 16
Essity B* 15
Ericsson A 10
Ericsson B 10
Total return index (SIXRX) 10
SSAB A 5
Skanska B 4
Handelsbanken A -3

*For calculation method, see page 9.

CASH FLOW

Investment activities

During the first nine months 2019 shares were acquired in Volvo, Class A for SEK 1,598 M, in Skanska, Class B for SEK 351 M, in Essity, Class B for SEK 285 M, in Sandvik for SEK 273 M, and in SCA, Class B for SEK 215 M. Furthermore, Essity, Class A for SEK 288 M and SCA Class A, for SEK 98 M were divested.

Dividend paid out

The Annual General Meeting on April 17, 2019 approved the Board of Director's proposed dividend of SEK 5.75 per share (5.50). The total dividend amounted to SEK 2 502 M (2 394).

Dividends received

During the first nine months 2019 dividends received amounted to SEK 4 093 M (3 764).

Management cost

The management cost during the first nine months 2019 was SEK 92 M (90), which on a yearly basis corresponds to 0.12% (0.11) of the equities portfolio's value on September 30, 2019.

FINANCING

Interest-bearing net debt

Interest-bearing net debt amounted to SEK 3.6 (7.2) billion on September 30, 2019. The debt-equities ratio was 3% (7), and the equity ratio was 96% (93). The debt-equities ratio is calculated as interest-bearing net debt in relation to the market value of the equities portfolio.

During the first nine months 2019 a new bond of SEK 1.0 billion was issued within the framework of the existing MTN program. The bond was issued primarily for refinancing and has a tenor of three years.

No part of Industrivärden's borrowings is conditional upon any covenants.

Interest-bearing net debt, September 30, 2019

Credit
facility,
SEK M
Utilized
amount,
SEK M
Maturity
MTN-program 8,000 3,056 2020-2022
Commercial paper 3,000 600
Pension debt 103
Other liabilities 254
Total borrowing 4,013
Less:
Interest-bearing receivables 167
Cash and cash equivalents 217
Interest-bearing net debt 3,629

Development of interest-bearing net debt, 5 years

Credit rating

S&P Global Ratings has issued a credit rating on Industrivärden of A+/Stable/A-1.

Exchangeable in ICA Gruppen's stock

On May 15, 2019 the SEK 4.4 billion exchangeable bond that was issued in 2014 based on ICA Gruppen's stock matured. During the first half of 2019, exchangeable holders called for redemptions corresponding to SEK 4.1 billion, whereby shares in ICA Gruppen were delivered.

INDUSTRIVÄRDEN SHARE DATA

The market prices for Industrivärden's Class A and C shares on September 30, 2019, were SEK 221.40 and SEK 215.50, respectively. The corresponding market prices on December 31, 2018, were SEK 183.20 and SEK 179.20, respectively.

The total return during the first nine months 2019 was 24%, respectively, for the Class A and C shares. The Stockholm Stock Exchange's total return index (SIXRX) was 23% during the same period.

The total return for Industrivärden's shares over longer periods of time are shown in the table on page 1 and for specific years in the table below.

Value performance the respective year

At the 2011 Annual General Meeting, a share conversion clause was added to the Articles of Association. Shareholders have the right at any time to request conversion of Class A shares to Class C shares. During the first nine months 2019, 117 shares were converted.

Share structure, September 30, 2019

Capital, Votes,
Share class No. of shares No. of votes % %
A (1 vote) 268,183,340 268,183,340 61.6 94.1
C (1/10 vote) 167,026,537 16,702,653 38.4 5.9
Total 435,209,877 284,885,993 100.0 100.0

Other

FINANCIAL CALENDAR

Year-end report 2019: February 7, 2020 Annual report 2019: February 20, 2020 Interim report January-March: April 7, 2020 Annual General Meeting: April 24, 2020, in Stockholm Interim report January-June: July 7, 2020 Interim report January-September: October 6, 2020

CONTACT PERSONS

Sverker Sivall, Head of Corporate Communication and Sustainability Phone: +46-8-666 64 19 E-mail: [email protected] Jan Öhman, CFO Phone: +46-8-666 64 45 E-mail: [email protected]

CONTACT INFORMATION

AB Industrivärden (publ) Box 5403, SE-114 84 Stockholm, Sweden Registered office: Stockholm Reg. no.: 556043-4200 Switchboard: +46-8-666 64 00 [email protected] www.industrivarden.net

TICKER CODES

INDUC:SS, Bloomberg INDUc.ST, Reuters INDU C, NASDAQ

PUBLICATION

This information is such that AB Industrivärden is required to make public pursuant to the EU Market Abuse Regulation and the Securities Markets Act. The information was submitted for publication, through the agency of the Head of Corporate Communication and Sustainability stated above, at 10:00 a.m. CET on October 4, 2019.

This interim report has not been reviewed by the Company's auditor.

Financial statements in brief

GROUP

2019 2018 2019 2018 2018
SEK M July-Sep. July-Sep. Jan.-Sep. Jan.-Sep. Jan.-Dec.
INCOME STATEMENT
Dividend income 0 0 4,093 3,764 3,764
Change in fair value of financial assets -3,339 6,397 14,015 5,351 -11,954
Management cost -28 -20 -92 -90 -121
Operating income -3,367 6,377 18,016 9,025 -8,311
Financial items -8 -5 -23 -12 -19
Income after financial items -3,375 6,372 17,993 9,013 -8,330
- - - - -
Tax
Net income for the period -3,375 6,372 17,993 9,013 -8,330
Earnings per share, SEK -7.75 14.64 41.34 20.71 -19.14
STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
Comprehensive income for the period -3,375 6,372 17,993 9,013 -8,344
BALANCE SHEET as per end of period
Equities 104,368 110,003 92,170
Other non-current assets 16 11 11
Total non-current assets 104,384 110,014 92,181
Cash and cash equivalents 217 120 786
Other current assets 177 401 273
Total current assets 394 521 1,059
Total assets 104,778 110,535 93,240
Shareholders' equity 100,633 102,499 85,142
Non-current interest-bearing liabilities 2,359 2,174 2,170
Non-current non interest-bearing liabilities 27 62 36
Total non-current liabilities 2,386 2,236 2,206
Current interest-bearing liabilities 1,654 5,523 5,394
Other liabilities 105 277 498
Total current liabilities 1,759 5,800 5,892
Total shareholders' equity and liabilities 104,778 110,535 93,240
CASH FLOW
Cash flow from operating activities 3,905 3,635 3,492
Cash flow from investing activities 1,560 2,525 3,252
Cash flow from financing activities* -6,034 -6,653 -6,571
Cash flow for the period -569 -493 173
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period 217 120 786

* Of which, dividends of SEK 2,502 M (2,394) paid to shareholders.

GROUP, CONT.

2019 2018 2018
SEK M Jan.-Sep. Jan.-Sep. Jan.-Dec.
CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Opening shareholders' equity as per balance sheet 85,142 95,880 95,880
Comprehensive income for the period 17,993 9,013 -8,344
Dividend -2,502 -2,394 -2,394
Closing shareholders' equity as per balance sheet 100,633 102,499 85,142
INTEREST-BEARING NET DEBT at end of period
Cash and cash equivalents 217 120 786
Interest-bearing assets 167 391 177
Non-current interest-bearing liabilities 2,359 2,174 2,170
Current interest-bearing liabilities 1,654 5,523 5,394
Interest-bearing net debt 3,629 7,186 6,601

PARENT COMPANY

2019 2018 2018
SEK M Jan.-Sep. Jan.-Sep. Jan.-Dec.
INCOME STATEMENT
Operating income 11,212 6,729 -4,991
Income after financial items 11,190 6,720 -5,007
Income for the period 11,190 6,720 -5,007
Comprehensive income for the period 11,190 6,720 -5,021
BALANCE SHEET as per end of period
Non-current assets 60,404 65,984 53,600
Current assets 134 275 788
Total assets 60,538 66,259 54,388
Shareholders' equity 54,921 57,974 46,233
Non-current liabilities 2,386 2,236 2,206
Current liabilities 3,231 6,049 5,949
Total shareholders' equity and liabilities 60,538 66,259 54,388

Accounting policies and other comments

ACCOUNTING POLICIES

This interim report has been prepared in accordance with IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting. The consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as endorsed by the EU, and the Swedish Annual Accounts Act. The Parent Company's financial statements have been prepared in accordance with RFR 2 – Accounting for Legal Entities, and the Swedish Annual Accounts Act. New or amended IFRSs and IFRIC interpretations have not had any material effect on the Group's or Parent Company's earnings or financial position.

ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES

The definitions of the alternative performance measures net asset value, debt-equities ratio, equity ratio, market value of the equities portfolio and interest-bearing net debt are provided in the 2018 Annual Report. These alternative performance measures are essential for understanding and evaluating an investment company's business.

TOTAL RETURN ESSITY AND SCA

The total returns for Essity and SCA have been calculated as the respective companies share of the original company SCA's total return before the split (based on share of value at the time of the split) and thereafter based on the value performance of the respective companies. The split was carried out on June 9, 2017, and the first day of trading in Essity shares was June 15, 2017.

FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT OF FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS

In accordance with IFRS 13, financial instruments are measured at fair value according to a three level hierarchy. Classification is based on input data that is used in measuring the instruments. Instruments in Level 1 are valued according to quoted prices for identical instruments in an active market. Instruments in Level 2 are measured in a valuation model which uses input data that are directly or indirectly observable in the market. Instruments in Level 3 are measured using a valuation technique based on input data that are not observable in a market.

09/30/2019 Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Total
Assets
Equities 103,936 - 432 104,368
Total assets 103,936 0 432 104,368
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Total
Liabilities
Derivatives, etc. - -27 - -27
Total liabilities - -27 - -27

No changes have been made between levels compared with the preceding year.

RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES

The dominant risk in Industrivärden's business is share price risk, i.e., the risk of a change in value caused by changes in share prices. A 1% change in the share price of the holdings in the equities portfolio as per September 30, 2019, would have affected its market value by approximately +/– SEK 1,000 M. Further information about risks and uncertainties are provided in the 2018 Annual Report.

TAX

In recent times, the value concentration in Industrivärden's equities portfolio has increased. During the second quarter of 2019 Industrivärden informed the Swedish Tax Agency about this fact, in order to clarify whether Industrivärden should be taxed as an investment company or a conventionally taxed company. During the third quarter, the Swedish Tax Agency announced that Industrivärden should continue to be taxed as an investment company.

RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS

During the first nine months 2019, dividend income was received from associated companies.

EVENTS AFTER THE BALANCE SHEET DATE

No significant events have occurred after September 30, 2019.

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