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FORD OTOMOTİV SANAYİ A.Ş.

Earnings Release Aug 6, 2024

5914_rns_2024-08-06_5663d31b-090f-4fb9-90d4-31578ffbdf40.pdf

Earnings Release

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Highlights

Financial Results (mn TL) 1H24 1H23 YoY Δ 2Q24 2Q23 YoY Δ
Revenues 241,404 253,194 -5% 106,779 130,018 -18%
Export Revenues 187,215 186,066 1% 81,426 91,841 -11%
Domestic Revenues 54,189 67,128 -19% 25,353 38,177 -34%
Operating Profit 13,669 28,160 -51% 4,032 17,461 -77%
EBITDA 19,222 32,768 -41% 6,177 19,633 -69%
EBITDA excluding other income/expense 19,127 26,802 -29% 7,061 13,798 -49%
Profit Before Tax 15,537 24,738 -37% 4,816 13,628 -65%
Net Income 15,703 19,397 -19% 5,976 10,556 -43%
Volumes (units) 1H24 YoY Δ 2Q24 YoY Δ
Total Wholesale 309,383 -1% 139,159 -10%
Export 259,824 3% 114,007 -7%
Domestic 49,559 -17% 25,152 -23%
Domestic Retail 49,217 -13% 24,924 -19%
Market Share 8.2% -1.5 pps 8.6% -0.6 pps
Production (units) 313,619 1% 142,262 -4%
Capacity Utilization Rate 84% -10 pps 76% -13 pps

In 1H24, total CUR was 84%, reaching 81%, 82%, 59% and 90% in the Gölcük, Yeniköy, Eskişehir and Craiova Plants respectively.

Summary Income Statement, Million TL 1H24 1H23 YoY Δ 2Q24 2Q23 YoY Δ
Revenues 241,404 253,194 -5% 106,779 130,018 -18%
Export 187,215 186,066 1% 81,426 91,841 -11%
Domestic 54,189 67,128 -19% 25,353 38,177 -34%
Gross Profit 24,639 33,339 -26% 10,312 18,117 -43%
Operating Profit 13,669 28,160 -51% 4,032 17,461 -77%
Net Financial Income/(Expense) -9,771 -10,201 -4% -5,304 -7,771 -32%
Profit Before Tax 15,537 24,738 -37% 4,816 13,628 -65%
Net Profit 15,703 19,397 -19% 5,976 10,556 -43%
Other Financial Data
Depreciation and Amortization (1) 5,554 4,608 21% 2,145 2,171 -1%
EBITDA (1) 19,222 32,768 -41% 6,177 19,633 -69%
EBITDA excluding other income/expense (1) 19,127 26,802 -29% 7,061 13,798 -49%
Capital Expenditures -13,251 -12,367 7% -5,683 -3,779 50%

(1) Straightline expenses related with embedded lease in Türkiye and Romania operations are included.

1H24 financial results published in this earnings announcement have been prepared according to the Turkish Financial Reporting Standards (TFRS).

Revenues

In the first 6 months of 2024, Turkish automotive market witnessed a 3% growth with total sales reaching 598,016. In this period, despite last year's strong basis, PC and MCV sales experienced an increase of 7% and 29%, respectively, while the LCV and Heavy Trucks segments shrank by 28% and 9%. This performance can be attributed to i) the increase in the base price for the SCT-exemption applied to disabled individuals, ii) pull-forward domestic demand in the pre-election period, iii) the General Safety Regulation (GSR) compelled market to adopt competitive pricing strategies, iv) the increase in availability of MCVs, which had been limited due to the dominance of PCs in the market in the previous year, v) lower LCV availability in the market. In this environment, Ford Otosan led CV market with 25.6% market share and maintained its #3 position in the total industry with 8.2% market share (1H23: 9.7 %) due to extended ramp-up period in new Custom and Courier models and 25% YoY decline in the HCV sales driven by increased competition in the market and the ADAS regulation impact.

In 1H24, despite last year's strong basis, European van market grew by 12.9% YoY whereas the PC and the HCV market experienced 4.7% and 2.5% growth. In this period, Ford Otosan, being the largest CV manufacturer for Ford Pro in Europe, is leading the way in producing both Ford-branded CVs and Ford's bestselling PC Puma. This significantly contributes to Ford's position as a market leader in the CV industry, with Ford Otosan accounting for 74% of Ford's CV sales in Europe. Additionally, Ford Otosan supports Ford's performance in European PC market by producing 37% of Ford's sales.

There was a 19% YoY decrease in domestic revenues resulting in a total of TL 54.2 billion in the first half of 2024. This was primarily driven by the 17% YoY decline in sales volumes and lower pricing environment in the market. On the other hand, export revenues showed a slight increase of 1% YoY, reaching TL 187.2 billion, due to a 3% YoY growth in volume. Overall, total revenues declined by 5% YoY to TL 241.4 billion, with volumes down by 1% YoY. Share of exports in total revenues increased to 78% in 1H24 (1H23: 73%).

Profitability

In 1H24, Ford Otosan experienced a dilution in profitability due to i) lower YoY domestic performance, ii) the increase in the share of export revenues in the overall revenue mix, iii) extended ramp-up period of new Custom & Courier, iv) deferrals in launches leading higher YoY inventory levels, v) relatively weak exchange rates (average EUR/TRY up 25% in 1H24 vs up 61% in 1H23 YoY).

Gross Profit stood at TL 24.6 billion, exhibiting a 26% YoY decline primarily due to 1) the 17% decrease in domestic volumes combined with competitive pricing environment in 1H24 and 2) the impact of inflation accounting on inventories and its subsequent influence on the cost of goods sold. Net Other Income also witnessed a YoY decline of 98%, amounting to TL 96 million (vs TL 6.0 billion in 1H23) (impact of sharp TL depreciation in 1H23 on operations vs strong TL in 1H24), leading to a 51% YoY decrease in Operating Profit to TL 13.7 billion. In this period EBITDA and EBITDA excluding the currency impact were TL 19.2 billion and TL 19.1 billion, respectively, experiencing declines of 41% and 29%.

During the first half of 2024, a monetary gain of TL 10.6 billion (1H23: TL 6.8 billion ) was included into the Profit Before Tax, resulting in a total of TL 15.5 billion, down 37% YoY. On the other hand, TL 5.3 billion Tax expense (one-off impact of earthquake tax payment in 1H23) turned to TL 166 million Tax income and as a result the Net Income realized as TL 15.7 billion, indicating a YoY drop of 19%.

Margins: Gross 10.2% (-3 pps YoY); EBITDA 8.0% (-4.9 pps YoY); EBITDA excluding other income 7.9% (-2.7 pps YoY); Operating 5.7% (-5.4 pps YoY); PBT 6.4% (- 3.4 pps YoY) and Net 6.5% (-1.2 pps YoY).

Margins 1H24 1H23 YoY Δ, pps 2Q24 2Q23 YoY Δ, pps
Gross Margin 10.2% 13.2% (3.0) 9.7% 13.9% (4.2)
EBITDA Margin 8.0% 12.9% (4.9) 5.8% 15.1% (9.3)
EBITDA Margin (excluding other income) 7.9% 10.6% (2.7) 6.6% 10.6% (4.0)
Operating Margin 5.7% 11.1% (5.4) 3.8% 13.4% (9.6)
PBT Margin 6.4% 9.8% (3.4) 4.5% 10.5% (6.0)
Net Margin 6.5% 7.7% (1.2) 5.6% 8.1% (2.5)
Per Vehicle (EUR) 1H24 1H23 YoY Δ 2Q24 2Q23 YoY Δ
EBITDA 1,805 2,333 -23% 1,455 2,305 -37%
PBT 1,467 2,153 -32% 993 2,276 -56%

Sales Performance

Ranking #3 in the total industry in 1H24 with 8.2% share, CV leadership with 25.6% share.

Sales Volume by Model, units 1H24 1H23 YoY Δ 2Q24 2Q23 YoY Δ
Domestic Sales 49,559 59,456 -17% 25,152 32,794 -23%
Puma 4,821 2,008 140% 2,229 1,281 74%
Other 9,288 12,534 -26% 4,239 8,281 -49%
Passenger Car 14,109 14,542 -3% 6,468 9,562 -32%
Courier 11,821 25,088 -53% 8,424 12,273 -31%
Connect 266 254 5% 164 90 82%
Light Commercial Vehicle 12,087 25,342 -52% 8,588 12,363 -31%
Transit 13,443 10,254 31% 5,913 5,769 2%
Custom 3,467 3,194 9% 1,439 1,992 -28%
Ranger 2,350 215 993% 1,002 114 779%
Medium Commercial Vehicle 19,260 13,663 41% 8,354 7,875 6%
Truck 4,103 5,771 -29% 1,742 2,983 -42%
Rakun 0 138 -100% 0 11 -100%
Export Sales 259,824 253,337 3% 114,007 121,959 -7%
Custom 91,783 70,816 30% 40,803 30,937 32%
Transit 60,509 71,585 -15% 20,567 35,129 -41%
Courier 28,572 14,097 103% 14,501 6,107 137%
Truck 1,665 3,520 -53% 1,184 1,489 -20%
Puma 77,273 93,284 -17% 36,952 48,279 -23%
Other 22 35 N/M 0 18 N/M
Total Wholesale Volume 309,383 312,793 -1% 139,159 154,753 -10%
Total Turkish Automotive Industry Sales 598,016 579,674 3% 290,972 332,174 -12%
Ford Otosan Retail Sales 49,217 56,457 -13% 24,924 30,661 -19%
Ford Otosan Market Share 8.2% 9.7% -1.5 pps 8.6% 9.2% -0.6 pps

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow

Summary Balance Sheet, Million TL 6/30/2024 12/31/2023 YoY Δ
Current Assets 136,599 128,378 6%
Current Liabilities 115,932 117,418 -1%
Property, Plant and Equipment - Net 76,155 71,345 7%
Total Assets 278,439 270,684 3%
Total Liabilities 191,106 179,618 6%
Shareholders' Equity 87,333 91,066 -4%
Financial Ratios 6/30/2024 12/31/2023
Current Ratio 1.18 1.09
Liquidity Ratio 0.68 0.69
Net Debt / EBITDA 1.92 1.19
Current Assets / Total Assets 0.49 0.47
Current Liabilities / Total Liabilities 0.61 0.65
Total Liabilities/Total Liabilities & Equity 0.69 0.66
Return on Equity 65.8% 67.2%
Summary Cash Flow Statement, Million TL 6/30/2024 6/30/2023 YoY Δ
Beginning Balance of Cash & Equivalents 18,952 20,778 -9%
Net Cash from Operating Activities 3,725 37,197 -90%
Net Cash Used in Investing Activities -13,224 -12,300 8%
Net Cash Used in Financing Activities 13,037 2,628 396%
Monetary Gain/(Loss) on Cash&Equivalents -4,683 -4,199 12%
End of Period Balance of Cash&Equivalents 17,833 44,426 -60%
2024 Guidance
2023A 2024 Old Guidance 2024 New Guidance
Total Industry Volume 1,278 K 800K - 900K 1,000K - 1,100K
Ford Otosan:
Retail Sales Volume 114 K 100K - 110K 100K - 110K
Export Volume 492 K 560K - 610K 560K - 610K
Turkey 312K 350K - 380K 350K - 380K
Romania 180K 210K - 230K 210K - 230K
Wholesale Volume 610 K 660K -720K 660K -720K
Total Production Volume 590 K 650K - 700K 650K - 700K
Turkey 399 K 400K - 430K 400K - 430K
Romania 191 K 250K - 270K 250K - 270K
Capex (fixed assets) € 900 mn € 900 - 1,000 mn € 900 - 1,000 mn
General Investments € 96 mn € 170 - 190 mn € 170 - 190 mn
Product Related Investments € 804 mn € 730 - 810 mn € 730 - 810 mn

Contacts

Gül Ertuğ Bahar Efeoğlu Ağar Tel: +90 262 315 69 05 Tel: +90 216 564 7859 [email protected] [email protected]

Chief Financial Officer Head of Investor Relations

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