Earnings Release • Aug 6, 2024
Earnings Release
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| Financial Results (mn TL) | 1H24 | 1H23 | YoY Δ | 2Q24 | 2Q23 | YoY Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 241,404 | 253,194 | -5% | 106,779 | 130,018 | -18% | |
| Export Revenues | 187,215 | 186,066 | 1% | 81,426 | 91,841 | -11% | |
| Domestic Revenues | 54,189 | 67,128 | -19% | 25,353 | 38,177 | -34% | |
| Operating Profit | 13,669 | 28,160 | -51% | 4,032 | 17,461 | -77% | |
| EBITDA | 19,222 | 32,768 | -41% | 6,177 | 19,633 | -69% | |
| EBITDA excluding other income/expense | 19,127 | 26,802 | -29% | 7,061 | 13,798 | -49% | |
| Profit Before Tax | 15,537 | 24,738 | -37% | 4,816 | 13,628 | -65% | |
| Net Income | 15,703 | 19,397 | -19% | 5,976 | 10,556 | -43% |
| Volumes (units) | 1H24 | YoY Δ | 2Q24 | YoY Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Wholesale | 309,383 | -1% | 139,159 | -10% | |
| Export | 259,824 | 3% | 114,007 | -7% | |
| Domestic | 49,559 | -17% | 25,152 | -23% | |
| Domestic Retail | 49,217 | -13% | 24,924 | -19% | |
| Market Share | 8.2% | -1.5 pps | 8.6% | -0.6 pps | |
| Production (units) | 313,619 | 1% | 142,262 | -4% | |
| Capacity Utilization Rate | 84% | -10 pps | 76% | -13 pps |
In 1H24, total CUR was 84%, reaching 81%, 82%, 59% and 90% in the Gölcük, Yeniköy, Eskişehir and Craiova Plants respectively.
| Summary Income Statement, Million TL | 1H24 | 1H23 | YoY Δ | 2Q24 | 2Q23 | YoY Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 241,404 | 253,194 | -5% | 106,779 | 130,018 | -18% |
| Export | 187,215 | 186,066 | 1% | 81,426 | 91,841 | -11% |
| Domestic | 54,189 | 67,128 | -19% | 25,353 | 38,177 | -34% |
| Gross Profit | 24,639 | 33,339 | -26% | 10,312 | 18,117 | -43% |
| Operating Profit | 13,669 | 28,160 | -51% | 4,032 | 17,461 | -77% |
| Net Financial Income/(Expense) | -9,771 | -10,201 | -4% | -5,304 | -7,771 | -32% |
| Profit Before Tax | 15,537 | 24,738 | -37% | 4,816 | 13,628 | -65% |
| Net Profit | 15,703 | 19,397 | -19% | 5,976 | 10,556 | -43% |
| Other Financial Data | ||||||
| Depreciation and Amortization (1) | 5,554 | 4,608 | 21% | 2,145 | 2,171 | -1% |
| EBITDA (1) | 19,222 | 32,768 | -41% | 6,177 | 19,633 | -69% |
| EBITDA excluding other income/expense (1) | 19,127 | 26,802 | -29% | 7,061 | 13,798 | -49% |
| Capital Expenditures | -13,251 | -12,367 | 7% | -5,683 | -3,779 | 50% |
(1) Straightline expenses related with embedded lease in Türkiye and Romania operations are included.
1H24 financial results published in this earnings announcement have been prepared according to the Turkish Financial Reporting Standards (TFRS).
In the first 6 months of 2024, Turkish automotive market witnessed a 3% growth with total sales reaching 598,016. In this period, despite last year's strong basis, PC and MCV sales experienced an increase of 7% and 29%, respectively, while the LCV and Heavy Trucks segments shrank by 28% and 9%. This performance can be attributed to i) the increase in the base price for the SCT-exemption applied to disabled individuals, ii) pull-forward domestic demand in the pre-election period, iii) the General Safety Regulation (GSR) compelled market to adopt competitive pricing strategies, iv) the increase in availability of MCVs, which had been limited due to the dominance of PCs in the market in the previous year, v) lower LCV availability in the market. In this environment, Ford Otosan led CV market with 25.6% market share and maintained its #3 position in the total industry with 8.2% market share (1H23: 9.7 %) due to extended ramp-up period in new Custom and Courier models and 25% YoY decline in the HCV sales driven by increased competition in the market and the ADAS regulation impact.
In 1H24, despite last year's strong basis, European van market grew by 12.9% YoY whereas the PC and the HCV market experienced 4.7% and 2.5% growth. In this period, Ford Otosan, being the largest CV manufacturer for Ford Pro in Europe, is leading the way in producing both Ford-branded CVs and Ford's bestselling PC Puma. This significantly contributes to Ford's position as a market leader in the CV industry, with Ford Otosan accounting for 74% of Ford's CV sales in Europe. Additionally, Ford Otosan supports Ford's performance in European PC market by producing 37% of Ford's sales.
There was a 19% YoY decrease in domestic revenues resulting in a total of TL 54.2 billion in the first half of 2024. This was primarily driven by the 17% YoY decline in sales volumes and lower pricing environment in the market. On the other hand, export revenues showed a slight increase of 1% YoY, reaching TL 187.2 billion, due to a 3% YoY growth in volume. Overall, total revenues declined by 5% YoY to TL 241.4 billion, with volumes down by 1% YoY. Share of exports in total revenues increased to 78% in 1H24 (1H23: 73%).
In 1H24, Ford Otosan experienced a dilution in profitability due to i) lower YoY domestic performance, ii) the increase in the share of export revenues in the overall revenue mix, iii) extended ramp-up period of new Custom & Courier, iv) deferrals in launches leading higher YoY inventory levels, v) relatively weak exchange rates (average EUR/TRY up 25% in 1H24 vs up 61% in 1H23 YoY).
Gross Profit stood at TL 24.6 billion, exhibiting a 26% YoY decline primarily due to 1) the 17% decrease in domestic volumes combined with competitive pricing environment in 1H24 and 2) the impact of inflation accounting on inventories and its subsequent influence on the cost of goods sold. Net Other Income also witnessed a YoY decline of 98%, amounting to TL 96 million (vs TL 6.0 billion in 1H23) (impact of sharp TL depreciation in 1H23 on operations vs strong TL in 1H24), leading to a 51% YoY decrease in Operating Profit to TL 13.7 billion. In this period EBITDA and EBITDA excluding the currency impact were TL 19.2 billion and TL 19.1 billion, respectively, experiencing declines of 41% and 29%.
During the first half of 2024, a monetary gain of TL 10.6 billion (1H23: TL 6.8 billion ) was included into the Profit Before Tax, resulting in a total of TL 15.5 billion, down 37% YoY. On the other hand, TL 5.3 billion Tax expense (one-off impact of earthquake tax payment in 1H23) turned to TL 166 million Tax income and as a result the Net Income realized as TL 15.7 billion, indicating a YoY drop of 19%.
Margins: Gross 10.2% (-3 pps YoY); EBITDA 8.0% (-4.9 pps YoY); EBITDA excluding other income 7.9% (-2.7 pps YoY); Operating 5.7% (-5.4 pps YoY); PBT 6.4% (- 3.4 pps YoY) and Net 6.5% (-1.2 pps YoY).
| Margins | 1H24 | 1H23 | YoY Δ, pps | 2Q24 | 2Q23 | YoY Δ, pps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 10.2% | 13.2% | (3.0) | 9.7% | 13.9% | (4.2) |
| EBITDA Margin | 8.0% | 12.9% | (4.9) | 5.8% | 15.1% | (9.3) |
| EBITDA Margin (excluding other income) | 7.9% | 10.6% | (2.7) | 6.6% | 10.6% | (4.0) |
| Operating Margin | 5.7% | 11.1% | (5.4) | 3.8% | 13.4% | (9.6) |
| PBT Margin | 6.4% | 9.8% | (3.4) | 4.5% | 10.5% | (6.0) |
| Net Margin | 6.5% | 7.7% | (1.2) | 5.6% | 8.1% | (2.5) |
| Per Vehicle (EUR) | 1H24 | 1H23 | YoY Δ | 2Q24 | 2Q23 | YoY Δ |
| EBITDA | 1,805 | 2,333 | -23% | 1,455 | 2,305 | -37% |
| PBT | 1,467 | 2,153 | -32% | 993 | 2,276 | -56% |
| Sales Volume by Model, units | 1H24 | 1H23 | YoY Δ | 2Q24 | 2Q23 | YoY Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domestic Sales | 49,559 | 59,456 | -17% | 25,152 | 32,794 | -23% |
| Puma | 4,821 | 2,008 | 140% | 2,229 | 1,281 | 74% |
| Other | 9,288 | 12,534 | -26% | 4,239 | 8,281 | -49% |
| Passenger Car | 14,109 | 14,542 | -3% | 6,468 | 9,562 | -32% |
| Courier | 11,821 | 25,088 | -53% | 8,424 | 12,273 | -31% |
| Connect | 266 | 254 | 5% | 164 | 90 | 82% |
| Light Commercial Vehicle | 12,087 | 25,342 | -52% | 8,588 | 12,363 | -31% |
| Transit | 13,443 | 10,254 | 31% | 5,913 | 5,769 | 2% |
| Custom | 3,467 | 3,194 | 9% | 1,439 | 1,992 | -28% |
| Ranger | 2,350 | 215 | 993% | 1,002 | 114 | 779% |
| Medium Commercial Vehicle | 19,260 | 13,663 | 41% | 8,354 | 7,875 | 6% |
| Truck | 4,103 | 5,771 | -29% | 1,742 | 2,983 | -42% |
| Rakun | 0 | 138 | -100% | 0 | 11 | -100% |
| Export Sales | 259,824 | 253,337 | 3% | 114,007 | 121,959 | -7% |
| Custom | 91,783 | 70,816 | 30% | 40,803 | 30,937 | 32% |
| Transit | 60,509 | 71,585 | -15% | 20,567 | 35,129 | -41% |
| Courier | 28,572 | 14,097 | 103% | 14,501 | 6,107 | 137% |
| Truck | 1,665 | 3,520 | -53% | 1,184 | 1,489 | -20% |
| Puma | 77,273 | 93,284 | -17% | 36,952 | 48,279 | -23% |
| Other | 22 | 35 | N/M | 0 | 18 | N/M |
| Total Wholesale Volume | 309,383 | 312,793 | -1% | 139,159 | 154,753 | -10% |
| Total Turkish Automotive Industry Sales | 598,016 | 579,674 | 3% | 290,972 | 332,174 | -12% |
| Ford Otosan Retail Sales | 49,217 | 56,457 | -13% | 24,924 | 30,661 | -19% |
| Ford Otosan Market Share | 8.2% | 9.7% | -1.5 pps | 8.6% | 9.2% | -0.6 pps |
| Summary Balance Sheet, Million TL | 6/30/2024 | 12/31/2023 | YoY Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Assets | 136,599 | 128,378 | 6% |
| Current Liabilities | 115,932 | 117,418 | -1% |
| Property, Plant and Equipment - Net | 76,155 | 71,345 | 7% |
| Total Assets | 278,439 | 270,684 | 3% |
| Total Liabilities | 191,106 | 179,618 | 6% |
| Shareholders' Equity | 87,333 | 91,066 | -4% |
| Financial Ratios | 6/30/2024 | 12/31/2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| Liquidity Ratio | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 1.92 | 1.19 |
| Current Assets / Total Assets | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| Current Liabilities / Total Liabilities | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| Total Liabilities/Total Liabilities & Equity | 0.69 | 0.66 |
| Return on Equity | 65.8% | 67.2% |
| Summary Cash Flow Statement, Million TL | 6/30/2024 | 6/30/2023 | YoY Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beginning Balance of Cash & Equivalents | 18,952 | 20,778 | -9% |
| Net Cash from Operating Activities | 3,725 | 37,197 | -90% |
| Net Cash Used in Investing Activities | -13,224 | -12,300 | 8% |
| Net Cash Used in Financing Activities | 13,037 | 2,628 | 396% |
| Monetary Gain/(Loss) on Cash&Equivalents | -4,683 | -4,199 | 12% |
| End of Period Balance of Cash&Equivalents | 17,833 | 44,426 | -60% |
| 2024 Guidance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023A | 2024 Old Guidance | 2024 New Guidance | |
| Total Industry Volume | 1,278 K | 800K - 900K | 1,000K - 1,100K |
| Ford Otosan: | |||
| Retail Sales Volume | 114 K | 100K - 110K | 100K - 110K |
| Export Volume | 492 K | 560K - 610K | 560K - 610K |
| Turkey | 312K | 350K - 380K | 350K - 380K |
| Romania | 180K | 210K - 230K | 210K - 230K |
| Wholesale Volume | 610 K | 660K -720K | 660K -720K |
| Total Production Volume | 590 K | 650K - 700K | 650K - 700K |
| Turkey | 399 K | 400K - 430K | 400K - 430K |
| Romania | 191 K | 250K - 270K | 250K - 270K |
| Capex (fixed assets) | € 900 mn | € 900 - 1,000 mn | € 900 - 1,000 mn |
| General Investments | € 96 mn | € 170 - 190 mn | € 170 - 190 mn |
| Product Related Investments | € 804 mn | € 730 - 810 mn | € 730 - 810 mn |
Gül Ertuğ Bahar Efeoğlu Ağar Tel: +90 262 315 69 05 Tel: +90 216 564 7859 [email protected] [email protected]
Chief Financial Officer Head of Investor Relations
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